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Copyright ©The Author(s) 2025. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastrointest Pathophysiol. Dec 22, 2025; 16(4): 110243
Published online Dec 22, 2025. doi: 10.4291/wjgp.v16.i4.110243
Gender, racial, and stage-specific trends in esophageal cancer: Insights from longitudinal population data
Silpa Choday, Anthony Yeung, Paul Kang, Tina Younger, Wael Youssef
Silpa Choday, Anthony Yeung, Tina Younger, Department of Internal Medicine, Creighton University School of Medicine, Phoenix, AZ 85012, United States
Paul Kang, Department of Clinical Research and Public Health, Creighton University School of Medicine, Phoenix, AZ 85012, United States
Wael Youssef, Department of Gastroenterology, Creighton University School of Medicine, Phoenix, AZ 85012, United States
Author contributions: Choday S analyzed the data and wrote the major sections of the manuscript; Yeung A performed the research; Kang P designed the research study; Younger T and Youssef W reviewed the final manuscript and made necessary corrections; all of the authors read and approved the final version of the manuscript to be published.
Institutional review board statement: Age-adjusted incidence and incidence-based mortality rates for esophageal cancer were derived from the SEER rate sessions using SEER*Stat version 8.4.4. No Institutional Review Board approval needed.
Clinical trial registration statement: Age-adjusted incidence and incidence-based mortality rates for esophageal cancer were derived from the SEER rate sessions using SEER*Stat version 8.4.4. No clinical trial registration statement needed.
Informed consent statement: Age-adjusted incidence and incidence-based mortality rates for esophageal cancer were derived from the SEER rate sessions using SEER*Stat version 8.4.4. No informed consent statement needed.
Conflict-of-interest statement: All authors declare no conflict of interest in publishing the manuscript.
CONSORT 2010 statement: The authors have read the CONSORT 2010 Statement, and the manuscript was prepared and revised according to the CONSORT 2010 Statement.
Data sharing statement: No additional data are available.
Open Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Silpa Choday, MD, Department of Internal Medicine, Creighton University School of Medicine, 3110 N Central Avenue, Phoenix, AZ 85012, United States. ushilpa19@gmail.com
Received: June 3, 2025
Revised: July 17, 2025
Accepted: November 26, 2025
Published online: December 22, 2025
Processing time: 203 Days and 5.6 Hours
Abstract
BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer is a significant global health concern, characterized by high mortality rates and diverse histological types, primarily adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma.

AIM

To analyze trends in esophageal cancer using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data, focusing on patient characteristics, stage at diagnosis, treatment modalities, and survival outcomes, to provide insights that may guide clinical practice and public health initiatives.

METHODS

Age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates for esophageal cancer, 2004-2021, were obtained from SEER rate sessions using SEER*Stat version 8.4.4. Average percent changes (APC) over time in age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates relative to gender, race/ethnicity, and stage at diagnosis were assessed using Joinpoint’s log-linear regression. Finally, Poisson regression was used to ascertain incidence and mortality rate ratios to ascertain associations between age, gender, race/ethnicity, and staging with incidence and mortality rates. All analyses were further stratified by gender to assess interactions between gender and the other demographic and clinical characteristics.

RESULTS

Overall, the data reveals significant trends in both the incidence and mortality rates of esophageal cancer, with notable variations across gender, race, and stage at diagnosis. Age-adjusted incidence and mortality rates were higher in males compared to females (incidence: 4.1 per 100000 vs 0.9 per 100000, mortality: 3.4 per 100000 vs 0.7 per 100000), P < 0.001. Furthermore, the APC among males decreased more significantly over time [APC (95%CI): -1.14 (-1.52 to -0.78); P < 0.001]. Both non-Hispanic (NH) Blacks and NH Whites showed significant decreases in cancer incidence, with NH Blacks observing a 3.27% decline and NH Whites a 0.51% decline. Patients with distant staging had a 5% APC increase in mortality rates over time (P = 0.003). Additionally, mortality rates increased with age, and all minority groups showed declines in incidence and mortality compared to NH Whites. Cancer diagnosed at a distant stage had a mortality rate 4.16 times higher than in situ cases.

CONCLUSION

The analysis reveals clear disparities in both the incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer, with males, particularly NH Whites, experiencing significantly higher rates than females. Despite a general decline in incidence rates over time, the upward trend in mortality for certain subgroups warrants further investigation into potential contributing factors such as healthcare access, treatment efficacy, and underlying socio-economic disparities.

Keywords: Esophageal cancer; Incidence; Mortality; Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results; Epidemiology

Core Tip: This population-based study uses Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data (2004-2021) to assess trends in esophageal cancer incidence and mortality by demographic and clinical characteristics. While overall incidence is declining - particularly among males and non-Hispanic Black individuals - mortality remains disproportionately high in older adults, males, and those with distant-stage disease. Notably, non-Hispanic Whites show a concerning upward trend in mortality. These findings highlight persistent disparities and underscore the need for targeted prevention, early detection, and improved treatment strategies.