BPG is committed to discovery and dissemination of knowledge
Retrospective Study
Copyright: ©Author(s) 2026. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. No commercial re-use. See permissions. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. Apr 15, 2026; 18(4): 115687
Published online Apr 15, 2026. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v18.i4.115687
Clinical prediction of carcinoembryonic antigen combined with neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio for postoperative survival in colorectal cancer
Tao Wang, Chang Liu, Jun Jiang
Tao Wang, Department of General Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Hebei North University, Zhangjiakou 075000, Hebei Province, China
Chang Liu, Research and Development Center, Autobio Diagnostics Co., Ltd, Zhengzhou 450000, Henan Province, China
Jun Jiang, Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230022, Anhui Province, China
Co-first authors: Tao Wang and Chang Liu.
Author contributions: Wang T and Liu C contributed equally as co-first authors; Wang T, Liu C, and Jiang J contributed to research design and data analysis; Wang T contributed to data collection and paper writing; Liu C and Jiang J contributed to reviewing and editing; Jiang J was responsible for funding application, communication coordination, ethical review, copyright and licensing, and follow-up; all authors have read and approve the final manuscript.
Institutional review board statement: The research was reviewed and approved by the Ethic Committee of The First Affiliated Hospital of Hebei North University.
Informed consent statement: All research participants or their legal guardians provided written informed consent prior to study registration.
Conflict-of-interest statement: All the authors report no relevant conflicts of interest for this article.
Data sharing statement: The raw and processed data supporting the conclusions of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Corresponding author: Jun Jiang, PhD, Department of Radiation Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, No. 218 Jixi Road, Hefei 230022, Anhui Province, China. jiangjunpub@126.com
Received: November 4, 2025
Revised: December 11, 2025
Accepted: January 19, 2026
Published online: April 15, 2026
Processing time: 154 Days and 23 Hours
Abstract
BACKGROUND

Colorectal cancer (CRC) presents a significant global health burden, with considerable variation in survival following curative surgery. Identifying patients at high risk of poor outcomes is crucial for tailored treatment and surveillance strategies. Evidence indicates that individual prognostic markers, whether tumor-associated or inflammation-based, offer limited predictive value. This study posits that a combined model integrating carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) will provide a more accurate and robust prediction of postoperative survival in patients with CRC than any single biomarker alone.

AIM

To evaluate the prognostic value of combined CEA, NLR, and PLR in CRC.

METHODS

This study retrospectively enrolled 120 CRC patients who underwent radical resection from July 2021 to July 2022. Based on three-year survival status, patients were classified into a mortality group (43 patients) and a survival group (77 patients). Baseline NLR, PLR, and CEA levels were compared between groups. Cox proportional hazards regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were used to identify survival risk factors and evaluate prognostic utility.

RESULTS

Among 120 patients, 43 died within 3 years postoperatively, yielding a mortality rate of 35.83%. Comparing clinical data between groups, the deceased group displayed significantly higher serum levels of NLR, PLR, and CEA than the surviving group, along with a higher proportion of tumors > 5 cm in diameter and distant metastases (P < 0.05). Cox regression analysis demonstrated that elevated postoperative serum NLR, PLR, and CEA levels constitute risk factors for postoperative survival in CRC patients. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis revealed that the area under the curve for predicting postoperative survival using NLR, PLR, and CEA individually were 0.896, 0.805, and 0.880, correspondingly. The integrated area under the curve for the three biomarkers was 0.977, indicating significantly higher predictive value than any single marker (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

Combined assessment of inflammatory markers NLR, PLR and tumor marker CEA provides valuable prognostic information for CRC patient survival.

Keywords: Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio; Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio; Carcinoembryonic antigen; Colorectal cancer; Postoperative survival; Predictive value

Core Tip: This study investigated the predictive value of the inflammatory markers neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio combined with the tumor marker carcinoembryonic antigen for postoperative survival in patients with colorectal cancer. The results showed that the combined detection of the three markers demonstrated significantly superior predictive efficacy compared to any single indicator, providing an efficient and convenient clinical tool for assessing the prognosis of colorectal cancer patients.