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Systematic Reviews
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2025.
World J Clin Oncol. Nov 24, 2025; 16(11): 106498
Published online Nov 24, 2025. doi: 10.5306/wjco.v16.i11.106498
Table 1 Characteristics of the included studies
Ref.
Year
Number of patients
Stage
Type of neoadjuvant treatment
Time of endoscopic assessment
Endoscopic modality used
Time of surgery
Definition of ECR
pCR
ECR
Accuracy of pCR prediction
Lim et al[15]2010-201587T3/T4 and/or N+5 × 5 1.8 Gy + 5.4 Gy boost + ChT (5FU, capecitabine or FOLFOX)1-2 weeks prior to surgeryN/A6-8 weeks after CRTA flat whitish or reddish scar ulcer, or a flat active/healing stage ulcer with regular edges surrounded by normal mucosa; disappearance of the neoplastic pit pattern without magnification; and disappearance of the neoplastic nodule or stenosis21.7%17.9%88.7%
Chino et al[12]2013-201579T3/T4 and/or N+Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (oral fluoracil + 50.4 Gy), long course 59%, induction chemo (mFOLFOX + bevacizumab) + nCRT for cT4, cN2 or MRF (+) or positive lateral lymph nodes (41%)48 days after CRTWL-C, white light conventional endoscopy; ME, magnifying endoscopy under crystal violet staining1-3 days after endoscopyWL-C: Linear scar/flat scar, completely closed ulcer, no white moss, no protruded nodule. ME: Regenerated pits uniformly arranged, hyper-cellular pits. Wall extension by insufflation: Normal extension21.5%12.6%85% for ME
Bengulescu et al[16]2015-201743Stage II/III rectal adenocarcinomaLong course chemoradiotherapy (5FU + RT 504 Gy in 28 fractions)N/AN/A6-8 weeks after nCRTEndoscopy good grade (complete response or good response): Erythema; telangectasia; clean ulcer at the base; no elevationN/A67%N/A
Wang et al[17]2014-2021214LARCNeoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy not otherwise specified6–16 weeks after the completion of NTClassic endoscopy (Olympus, Tokyo, Japan). ResNet-18 and DenseNet-121 deep learning algorithmsGood response; scarring (flat and white fibrosis with vasculopathy); erythema (erosion with peripheral erythematous mucosal changes)23.8%N/AManual method 75%, DenseNet-121: 72.6%, ResNet-18: 71.6%
Ishioka et al[14]2012-201761Stage II/II rectal cancer with poor features: MRF < 1 mm, cT4, positive lateral lymph nodes, mesorectal N2 disease and/or tumor requiring abdominoperineal resectionNeoadjuvant chemotherapy (folinic acid, fluorouracil, oxaliplatin + bevacizumab) followed by 50.4 Gy radiotherapy with concurrent S-1Median 43 days after end of radiotherapyWhite-light endoscopy and chromoendoscopy with indigo carmine dye, followed by magnifying NBIMedian 47 days after end of radiotherapyComplete response (all 5): White light endoscopy: Ulcer completely closed and linear or flat shape of scar; no residual protruded nodules; preservation of rectal wall distention by insufflation. NBI: Regular or regenerated surface pattern; invisible or isolated vessel pattern (orderly network of micro vessels comprised of thin-caliber vessels)31.1%11.4%70.5% with conventional white-light endoscopy, 75.4% white-light endoscopy + NBI
Kawai et al[18]2007-2015198 (186 radical surgery)Low rectal cancer or T3/4 or N (+)50.4 Gy with concurrent fluorouracil3-8 weeks after end of CRTColonoscopy6-8 weeks after end of CRTChanges in the marginal tumor swelling, classified as almost no change, less than half according to pre-CRT measures, and almost flattened; changes in central ulceration, assessed according to whether reepithelialization of the ulcer was present; a cancer-negative biopsy result12.8% in surgery group, 16.7% estimation in the watch-and-wait group22.3% in radical surgery group, 50% in watchful waitingFlattened marginal swelling 69.7%. Ulcer reepithelization 81.2%. Cancer negative biopsy 66.4%
Van Der Sande et al[19]2012-2015161 (87 surgery, 74 watch and wait)cT1-2: 21.7%, cT3: 73.3%, cT4: 5%, cNo: 25.5%, cN1: 28.6%, cN2: 46%Long course CRT or short course RT + interval9 weeks after end of radiotherapy median (8-12 weeks)White light imaging flexible sigmoidoscopy, 3 readers (2 surgeons, 1 gastroenterologist)18 weeks interval between endoscopy and surgeryA flat scar; a small flat ulcer (< 1 cm); a large flat ulcer; ulcer with an irregular border; an adenomatous mass; tumorous mass16%42.8% (20.3% in surgery, 79.7% in watch and wait)AUC 0.84, 0.80, 0.84 for complete response prediction for each of the 3 readers
Haak et al[13]2012-2015226cT1-2: 22%, cT3: 71%, cT4: 7%, cNo: 24%, cN1: 28%, cN2: 48%Long course CRT or short course RT + interval10 weeks, median: 8-15 weeksWhite light imaging flexible endoscopy (EPK-I video processor, Pentax Medical Netherlands, Uithoorn, the Netherlands) + deep learning5 weeks, median: 2-10 weeks, between endoscopy and surgeryN/A10.6%48%67%-75% for different convolutional neural network models including endoscopic images and clinical variables
Felder et al[20]N/A survey41+17 endoscopic picturesN/ANeoadjuvant treatment not otherwise specifiedN/ATwo cross-sectional surveys, each containing endoscopic photos of rectal cancers treated with NT. The first survey assessed reproducibility of eight endoscopic criteria using 41 unique endoscopic photos. The second survey included endoscopic pairs of pre-neoadjuvant and post-neoadjuvant treatment photos of 17 patientsN/AFlat and white scar; telangiectasias; absence of ulceration; absence of nodularity; small mucosal nodules or minor mucosal abnormality; superficial ulceration; mild persisting erythema of the scar; and visible tumorN/AN/A89%
Williams et al[9]2014-2020263cT1-2: 12.6%, cT3: 75.6%, cT4: 11.8%, cN (+): 63.7%TNT (INCT-CRT or CRT-CNCT)8 ± 4 weeks after TNT completionFlexible sigmoidoscopyN/AFlat scar; telangiectasia; ulcer; nodularity; mucosal irregularity; mild erythema of the scar; visible tumorN/A42.5%N/A
Williams et al[10]2012-2020288Stage II/IIITNT (INCT-CRT or CRT-CNCT)47 days median time from end of TNTWhite-light flexible endoscopy with an Olympus scope (model CF-Q160S). Convolutional Neural Network using ResNet-50N/AFlat white scar; telangiectasias; no ulceration; no nodularityN/AN/AAUC 0.99 for training set, AUC 0.98 for main test, AUC 0.92 for local regrowth
Chen et al[21]2013-20211000T3-4 and / or N (+)Long course radiotherapy 50 Gy or short course radiotherapy 25 Gy. Concurrent chemotherapy oral/intravenous 5FU or combined with oxaliplatin/irinotecan6-8 weeks after NTWhite-light endoscopy with endoscopy-based Deep Convolutional Neural Network with a ResNeSt-50 variant6-12 weeks after NTN/A21.9%N/A94.21% for training set, 92.13% for validation set, 87.14% for independent set
Sohn et al[22]2004-2013425cT3-4 and/or N (+)nCRT (45 Gy + 5.4 Gy boost + 5FU/Leucovorin or capecitabine or tegafur/uracil)Immediately before surgeryWhite-light endoscopy6-8 weeks after nCRTE-GR: Scarring (the flat and white mucosa with fibrotic changes); telangiectasia (scarring surrounded by small blood vessels); erythema (scarring or erosion with peripheral erythematous mucosal changes)10.8%11.1%N/A
Han et al[23]2004-2013481cT3-4nCRT (45 Gy + 5.4 Gy boost + 5FU/Leucovorin or capecitabine or capecitabine + irinotecan or tegafur/uracil)6-8 weeks after nCRTWhite-light endoscopy6-8 weeks after nCRTE-GR: Scarring (the flat and white mucosa with fibrotic changes); telangiectasia (scarring surrounded by small blood vessels); erythema (scarring or erosion with peripheral erythematous mucosal changes)11%N/APathologic good response: ≤ ypT1, positive predictive value of 0.65, negative predictive value of 0.885
Thompson et al[11]2012-2017109LARCTNT [ChT (FOLFOX or CAPEOX) + long-course chemoradiotherapy with concurrent 5FU or capecitabine]6 weeks after TNT and subsequent follow up visits (3 total selected including first visit)White-light endoscopy with convolutional neural network VGG-19Watch and waitN/AN/AN/ATraining set AUROC 0.83, testing set AUROC 0.83
Table 2 Quality assessment of studies using Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2
Ref.Risk of bias
Applicability concerns
Patient selection
Index test
Reference standard
Flow and timing
Patient selection
Index test
Reference standard
Lim et al[15]High riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow risk
Chino et al[12]High riskUnclear riskUnclear riskLow riskHigh riskHigh riskUnclear risk
Bengulescu et al[16]High riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow risk
Wang et al[17]High riskLow riskUnclear riskLow riskLow riskLow riskUnclear risk
Ishioka et al[14]High riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow risk
Kawai et al[18]High riskUnclear riskLow riskLow riskLow riskHigh riskLow risk
Van Der Sande et al[19]High riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow risk
Haak et al[13]High riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow risk
Felder et al[20]High riskUnclear riskLow riskHigh riskLow riskUnclear riskLow risk
Williams et al[9]High riskLow riskUnclear riskHigh riskLow riskUnclear riskUnclear risk
Williams et al[10]High riskUnclear riskUnclear riskHigh riskLow riskUnclear riskUnclear risk
Chen et al[21]High riskUnclear riskUnclear riskLow riskLow riskHigh riskUnclear risk
Sohn et al[22]High riskUnclear riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow riskLow risk
Han et al[23]High riskLow riskUnclear riskLow riskLow riskLow riskUnclear risk
Thompson et al[11]High riskHigh riskHigh riskHigh riskLow riskHigh riskHigh risk