Published online May 22, 2021. doi: 10.4291/wjgp.v12.i3.40
Peer-review started: January 21, 2021
First decision: February 9, 2021
Revised: February 25, 2021
Accepted: March 31, 2021
Article in press: March 31, 2021
Published online: May 22, 2021
Processing time: 112 Days and 18.8 Hours
Simple tools for clinicians to identify cirrhosis in patients with chronic viral hepatitis are medically necessary for treatment initiation, hepatocellular cancer screening and additional medical management.
To determine whether platelets or other laboratory markers can be used as a simple method to identify the development of cirrhosis.
Clinical, biochemical and histologic laboratory data from treatment naive chronic viral hepatitis B (HBV), C (HCV), and D (HDV) patients at the NIH Clinical Center from 1985-2019 were collected and subjects were randomly divided into training and validation cohorts. Laboratory markers were tested for their ability to identify cirrhosis (Ishak ≥ 5) using receiver operating characteristic curves and an optimal cut-off was calculated within the training cohort. The final cut-off was tested within the validation cohort.
Overall, 1027 subjects (HCV = 701, HBV = 240 and HDV = 86), 66% male, with mean (standard deviation) age of 45 (11) years were evaluated. Within the training cohort (n = 715), platelets performed the best at identifying cirrhosis compared to other laboratory markers [Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics curve (AUROC) = 0.86 (0.82-0.90)] and sensitivity 77%, specificity 83%, positive predictive value 44%, and negative predictive value 95%. All other tested markers had AUROCs ≤ 0.77. The optimal platelet cut-off for detecting cirrhosis in the training cohort was 143 × 109/L and it performed equally well in the validation cohort (n = 312) [AUROC = 0.85 (0.76-0.94)].
The use of platelet counts should be considered to identify cirrhosis and ensure optimal care and management of patients with chronic viral hepatitis.
Core Tip: Platelet count is a well-recognized surrogate marker for progression of liver disease, however a specific cut-off for cirrhosis has not been established. In this study, platelet counts can accurately stratify chronic viral hepatitis patients with cirrhosis; and a platelet count > 143 × 109/L appears to have the most clinical utility in ruling out cirrhosis across all chronic viral hepatitis. This widely available laboratory value may be useful in decision making for the management of patients with chronic viral hepatitis and represents a finding which may be of particular value in a primary care setting.