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Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2025. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Radiol. Dec 28, 2025; 17(12): 112911
Published online Dec 28, 2025. doi: 10.4329/wjr.v17.i12.112911
Interpretable model based on multisequence magnetic resonance imaging radiomics for predicting the pathological grades of hepatocellular carcinomas
Yue Shi, Peng Zhang, Li Li, Hui-Min Yang, Zu-Mao Li, Jing Zheng, Lin Yang
Yue Shi, Peng Zhang, Jing Zheng, Lin Yang, Department of Radiology, Interventional Medical Center, Science and Technology Innovation Center, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong 637000, Sichuan Province, China
Li Li, Hui-Min Yang, Zu-Mao Li, Institute of Basic Medicine, Department of Pathology, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong 637000, Sichuan Province, China
Co-corresponding authors: Jing Zheng and Lin Yang.
Author contributions: Shi Y and Zhang P performed the data curation work and prepared the original draft of the manuscript; Zheng J and Yang L conceptualized the study; they contributed equally to this article and are the co-corresponding authors of this manuscript; Li L, Yang HM, and Li ZM performed the pathological grading analysis; and all authors contributed to manuscript revision and provided approval for publishing the final version of the manuscript.
Institutional review board statement: This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, No. 2025ER8-1.
Informed consent statement: Owing to the retrospective data analysis, informed consent from the patients was waived.
Conflict-of-interest statement: All the authors report no relevant conflicts of interest for this article.
Data sharing statement: The original contributions presented in this study are included in the article. Further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
Open Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Lin Yang, MD, Department of Radiology, Interventional Medical Center, Science and Technology Innovation Center, Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, No. 63 Wenhua Road, Nanchong 637000, Sichuan Province, China. linyangmd@163.com
Received: August 11, 2025
Revised: September 15, 2025
Accepted: December 3, 2025
Published online: December 28, 2025
Processing time: 138 Days and 22.4 Hours
Abstract
BACKGROUND

Despite the promising prospects of using artificial intelligence and machine learning (ML) for disease classification and prediction purposes, the complexity and lack of explainability of this method make it difficult to apply the constructed models in clinical practice. We developed and validated an interpretable ML model based on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics and clinical features for the preoperative prediction of the pathological grades of hepatocellular carcinomas (HCCs). This model will help clinicians better understand the situation and develop personalized treatment plans.

AIM

To develop and validate an interpretable ML model for preoperative pathological grade prediction in HCC patients via a combination of multisequence MRI radiomics and clinical features.

METHODS

MRI and clinical data derived from 125 patients with HCCs confirmed by postoperative pathological examinations were retrospectively analyzed. The patients were randomly split into training and validation groups (7:3 ratio). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify independent clinical predictors. The tumor lesions observed on axial fat-suppressed T2-weighted imaging (FS-T2WI), arterial phase (AP), and portal venous phase (PVP) images were delineated in a slice-by-slice manner using 3D-slicer to generate volumetric regions of interest, and radiomic features were extracted. Interclass correlation coefficients were calculated, and least absolute selection and shrinkage operator regression were conducted for feature selection purposes. Six predictive models were subsequently developed for pathological grade prediction: FS-T2WI, AP, PVP, integrated radiomics, clinical, and combined radiomics-clinical (RC) models. The effectiveness of these models was assessed by calculating their area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values. The clinical applicability of the models was evaluated via decision curve analysis. Finally, the contributions of the different features contained in the model with optimal performance were interpreted via a SHapley Additive exPlanations analysis.

RESULTS

Among the 125 patients, 87 were assigned to the training group, and 38 were assigned to the validation group. The maximum tumor diameter, hepatitis B virus status, and monocyte count were identified as independent predictors of pathological grade. Twelve optimal radiomic features were ultimately selected. The AUC values obtained for the FS-T2WI model, AP model, PVP model, radiomics model, clinical model, and combined RC model in the training group were 0.761 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.562-0.857], 0.870 (95%CI: 0.714-0.918), 0.868 (95%CI: 0.714-0.959), 0.917(95%CI: 0.857-0.959), 0.869 (95%CI: 0.643-0.973), and 0.941 (95%CI: 0.857-0.945), respectively; in the validation group, the AUC values were 0.724 (95%CI: 0.625-0.833), 0.802 (95%CI: 0.686-1.000), 0.797 (95%CI: 0.688-1.000), 0.901(95%CI: 0.833-0.906), 0.865 (95%CI: 0.594-1.000), and 0.932 (95%CI: 0.812-1.000), respectively. The combined RC model demonstrated the best performance. Additionally, the decision curve analysis revealed that the combined RC model had satisfactory prediction efficiency, and the SHapley Additive exPlanations value analysis revealed that the “FS-T2WI-wavelet-HLL_gldm_Large Dependence High Gray Level Emphasis” feature contributed the most to the model, exhibiting a positive effect.

CONCLUSION

An interpretable ML model based on MRI radiomics provides a noninvasive tool for predicting the pathological grade of HCCs, which will help clinicians develop personalized treatment plans.

Keywords: Machine learning; SHapley Additive exPlanations algorithms; Radiomic model; Hepatocellular carcinoma; Magnetic resonance imaging; Pathological grading; Inflammatory markers

Core Tip: Despite the promising prospects of using artificial intelligence and machine learning for disease classification and prediction purposes, the complexity and lack of explainability of these methods make it difficult to apply the constructed models in clinical practice. This study aimed to develop and validate an interpretable machine learning model for conducting preoperative pathological grade prediction in hepatocellular carcinoma patients via a combination of multisequence magnetic resonance imaging radiomics and clinical features, which will help clinicians better understand the situation and develop personalized treatment plans.