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Copyright ©The Author(s) 2026. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Diabetes. Feb 15, 2026; 17(2): 114253
Published online Feb 15, 2026. doi: 10.4239/wjd.v17.i2.114253
Using the triglyceride-glucose index and derived indexes to forecast progression from pre-diabetes to diabetes: A 3-year follow-up study
Bing Wang, Ming-Chuan Liu, Xu-Han Liu, Zhu Zhu, Ying-Shu Liu, Ting-Ting Zhang, Xin-Yu Li, Zheng-Nan Gao
Bing Wang, Xu-Han Liu, Zhu Zhu, Ying-Shu Liu, Ting-Ting Zhang, Xin-Yu Li, Zheng-Nan Gao, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Central Hospital of Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116033, Liaoning Province, China
Ming-Chuan Liu, Graduate School, Dalian Medical University, Dalian 116044, Liaoning Province, China
Co-corresponding authors: Xin-Yu Li and Zheng-Nan Gao.
Author contributions: Wang B was the guarantor and designed the study, and was responsible for conceptualization, project administration, supervision, methodology, writing, review and editing; Liu MC and Liu XH were responsible for data curation, methodology, supervision and participated in formal analysis; Zhu Z and Zhang TT participated in data curation; Liu YS was responsible for formal analysis; Li XY and Gao ZN were responsible for methodology, formal analysis, writing, review and editing.
Supported by the National Science and Technology Support Program Project, No. 2013BAI09B13; Natural Science Foundation of Liaoning Province, No. 2021-BS-294; and Dengfeng Project of Dalian Medical Discipline Priority, No. 2022ZZ258, No. 2023ZZ025, No. 2024ZZ016 and No. 2024ZZ034.
Institutional review board statement: The study was approved by the Institutional Research Ethics Committee of Ruijin Hospital Affiliated to the Medical School of Shanghai Jiao Tong University.
Clinical trial registration statement: This study is an observational cohort study and does not fall under the definition of a clinical trial requiring registration.
Informed consent statement: All subjects participated in the study voluntarily and provided informed consent prior to enrollment.
Conflict-of-interest statement: The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.
CONSORT 2010 statement: The authors have read the CONSORT 2010 Statement, and the manuscript was prepared and revised according to the CONSORT 2010 Statement.
Data sharing statement: For privacy and ethical reasons, the individual-level data from this clinical trial cannot be made publicly available. However, de-identified data may be made available to qualified researchers upon reasonable request, subject to a data sharing agreement and approval from the corresponding author and the institutional ethics committee.
Open Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Zheng-Nan Gao, MD, Professor, Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Central Hospital of Dalian University of Technology, No. 826 Xinan Road, Dalian 116033, Liaoning Province, China. gao2008@163.com
Received: September 23, 2025
Revised: October 25, 2025
Accepted: December 17, 2025
Published online: February 15, 2026
Processing time: 136 Days and 1.1 Hours
Core Tip

Core Tip: Pre-diabetes is an abnormal state of glucose metabolism between normal glucose tolerance and diabetes. If early intervention is carried out for risk factors in a pre-diabetic population, the occurrence and development of diabetes can be prevented. The triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index is a new index calculated according to triglycerides and fasting plasma glucose test. The latest research suggests that the TyG index and its derivative indexes, such as the product of TyG index and body mass index and the product of TyG index and waist circumference are novel and surrogate markers for insulin resistance. We prospectively investigated the relationship between TyG index and derived indexes and incident type 2 diabetes using a large sample, community-based cohort, aim at to find a simple indicator predicting the progression of a pre-diabetic population to diabetes, to allow relevant early-stage intervention in a pre-diabetic population and so reduce diabetes incidence.