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©The Author(s) 2024.
World J Hepatol. Oct 27, 2024; 16(10): 1177-1187
Published online Oct 27, 2024. doi: 10.4254/wjh.v16.i10.1177
Published online Oct 27, 2024. doi: 10.4254/wjh.v16.i10.1177
Table 1 Baseline sociodemographic and clinical characteristics of the study participants
Variables | Frequency | Percentage (%) | Median with IQR | ||
Age (years) | - | - | 40.5 (31-54) | ||
Sex | Male | 95 | 67.9 | - | |
Female | 45 | 32.1 | - | ||
History of jaundice | Yes | 47 | 33.6 | - | |
No | 93 | 66.2 | - | ||
History of alcohol use | Yes | 21 | 15 | - | |
No | 119 | 85 | - | ||
Ascites | Yes | 53 | 37.9 | - | |
No | 87 | 62.1 | - | ||
Cirrhosis classification | Compensated | 70 | 50 | - | |
Decompensated | 70 | 50 | - | ||
HBsAg | Reactive | 56 | 40 | - | |
Non-reactive | 84 | 60 | - | ||
HCV Ab | Reactive | 23 | 16.4 | - | |
Non-reactive | 117 | 83.6 | - | ||
Ascites on ultrasounds | Yes | 60 | 42.8 | - | |
No | 79 | 56.4 | - | ||
Not reported on ultrasound | 1 | 0.7 | - | ||
EV on endoscopy | Yes | Grade 1 | 32 | 27.4 | - |
Grade 2 | 47 | 40.2 | - | ||
Grade 3 | 38 | 32.5 | - | ||
No | 23 | 16.4 | - | ||
Stigmata of bleeding | Yes | 43 | 30.7 | - | |
No | 81 | 57.8 | - | ||
Not reported on the endoscopy | 16 | 11.4 | - |
Table 2 Baseline biochemical and ultrasound findings of the study participants
Variables | Percentage of participants for whom the laboratory tests were done (%) | Median with IQR | |
AST (IU) | 97.1 | 66 (41-119) | |
ALT (IU) | 97.1 | 48.5 (32-79.9) | |
Total bilirubin (mg/dL) | 86.4 | 1.5 (0.89-2.62) | |
Albumin (g/dL) | 60.7 | 3.78 (3-4.15) | |
INR | 37.8 | 1.45 (1.25-1.81) | |
Hemoglobin (g/dL) | 100 | 13.65 (11.6-15.57) | |
WBC count (× 10³/mL) | 100 | 5.0 (3.8-6.575) | |
Platelet count (× 10³/mL) | 100 | 104 (73-139) | |
Creatinine (mg/dL) | 90 | 0.8 (0.6-0.92) | |
Ultrasound findings | SD (mm) | 100 | 140 (123-161.75) |
Liver size (mm) | 100 | 140 (130-148) | |
Portal vein diameter (mm) | 37.8 | 12 (10-14.9) | |
PC/SD | 100 | 750.88 (452.2-1099) |
Table 3 Comparison of study participants' clinical, biochemical, and ultrasonographic features based on the presence or absence of esophageal varices
Variables | Cirrhosis with varices | Cirrhosis without varices | P value | |
Sex | Male | 65.8% | 78.3% | 0.2431 |
Female | 64.2% | 21.7% | - | |
Age | 41 (31-53) | 39 (30-55) | 0.889 | |
AST | 67 (43.7-121.5) | 41.5 (31-85.25) | 0.035 | |
ALT | 47 (32-79.8) | 51 (27.5-83) | 0.96 | |
WBC count | 5 (3.7-6.55) | 5.6 (4.5-6.8) | 0.386 | |
Hemoglobin | 13.3 (11.25-15.1) | 15.9 (14-16.4) | 0.001a | |
Platelet count | 94 (68-132) | 159 (128-207) | 0.001a | |
Ultrasound features | SD (mm) | 141 (124-168) | 125 (115-141) | 0.001a |
Liver size (mm) | 141 (130-148) | 140 (130-147) | 0.832 | |
PC/SD | 693.8 (423.6-1053) | 1360 (920-1886.9) | 0.001a |
Table 4 The crude and adjusted odds ratio of variables in univariant and multivariate logistic regression
Variable | Crude OR (95%CI) | P value | AOR (95%CI) | P value |
PC/SD | 0.069 (0.025-0.195) | < 0.001 | - | - |
Hemoglobin | 0.695 (0.551-0.875) | 0.002 | - | - |
Platelet count | 0.129 (0.036-0.56) | 0.002 | 0.140 (0.037-0.526) | 0.004a |
SD | 1.037 (10.13-1.061) | 0.002 | - | - |
Ascites on ultrasound | 0.044 (0.006-0.337) | 0.003 | - | - |
Stage of cirrhosis | 14.571 (3.264-65.055) | < 0.001 | 12.623 (3.164-67-586) | 0.001a |
Table 5 Predictive accuracy of the best cutoff value of platelet count, spleen diameter, and platelet count-spleen diameter ratio in the diagnosis of esophageal varices
Non-invasive markers | Cut-off value | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | AUROC (95%CI) | P value | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | Accuracy (%) |
Platelet count | 138000/mL | 82.05 | 69.57 | 0.815 (0.718-0.913) | < 0.001 | 93.20 | 43.24 | 80 |
Spleen diameter | 120.5 mm | 83.76 | 47.83 | 0.712 (0.605-0.820) | 0.001 | 89.09 | 36.67 | 77.86 |
PC/SD | 1118.74 | 86.32 | 69.57 | 0.835 (0.736-0.934) | < 0.001 | 93.52 | 50 | 83.57 |
Table 6 Predictive accuracy of the cutoff value of platelet count, spleen diameter, and platelet count-spleen diameter ratio in the diagnosis of compensated cirrhosis
Non-invasive marker | Cut-off value | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | AUROC (95%CI) | P value | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | Accuracy (%) |
Platelet count | 119500/mL | 73.47 | 90.48 | 0.872 (0.785-0.959) | 0.001a | 94.74 | 59.38 | 78.57 |
Spleen diameter | 133.5 mm | 59.18 | 76.19 | 0.713 (0.591-0.836) | 0.005 | 85.29 | 44.44 | 64.29 |
PC/SD | 830.3 | 69.39 | 95.24 | 0.889 (0.805-0.973) | 0.001a | 97.14 | 57.14 | 77.14 |
Table 7 Predictive accuracy of the best cutoff value of spleen diameter and Platelet count-spleen diameter ratio in the diagnosis of large esophageal varices
Non-invasive marker | Cut-off value | Sensitivity (%) | Specificity (%) | AUROC (95%CI) | P value | PPV (%) | NPV (%) | Accuracy (%) |
Spleen diameter | 140.5 mm | 78.95 | 60.76 | 0.695 (0.595-0.795) | 0.001a | 49.18 | 85.71 | 66.67 |
PC/SD | 696.5 | 63.16 | 55.7 | 0.595 (0.488-0.702) | 0.095 | 40.68 | 75.86 | 58.12 |
- Citation: Mossie GY, Nur AM, Ayalew ZS, Azibte GT, Berhane KA. Platelet counts to spleen diameter ratio: A promising noninvasive tool for predicting esophageal varices in cirrhosis patients. World J Hepatol 2024; 16(10): 1177-1187
- URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/1948-5182/full/v16/i10/1177.htm
- DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.4254/wjh.v16.i10.1177