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Observational Study
Copyright: ©Author(s) 2026.
World J Gastroenterol. Apr 7, 2026; 32(13): 115710
Published online Apr 7, 2026. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v32.i13.115710
Table 1 Patient characteristics, n (%)

IPMNs (n = 23)
MCNs (n = 36)
SCAs (n = 32)
Non-neoplastic cysts (n = 10)
P value
Gender< 0.001
    Male14 (60.9)0 (0)6 (18.8)2 (20)
    Female9 (39.1)36 (100)26 (81.3)8 (80)
Age (years)64.22 (5.93)41.81 (13.04)45.25 (14.75)36.2 (8.77)< 0.001
Location0.007
    Head11 (47.8)3 (8.3)7 (21.9)2 (20)
    Body or tail10 (43.5)33 (91.7)23 (71.9)8 (80)
    Head and body or tail2 (8.7)0 (0)2 (6.3)0 (0)
Cyst diameter (mm)43.09 (17.81)56.79 (33.5)48.88 (18.49)68.1 (27.63)0.046
Cyst diameter ≥ 30 mm0.213
    Yes17 (73.9)33 (91.7)31 (96.9)9 (90)
    No5 (21.7)2 (5.6)1 (3.1)1 (10)
Main pancreatic duct dilation (≥ 4 mm)< 0.001
    Yes16 (69.6)2 (5.6)6 (18.8)1 (10)
    No7 (30.4)34 (94.4)26 (81.3)8 (80)
Bile duct dilation (≥ 7 mm)0.041
    Yes4 (17.4)1 (2.8)0 (0)0 (0)
    No18 (78.3)34 (94.4)32 (100)9 (90)
Serum CEA (ng/mL)3.48 (4.31)1.49 (2)1.49 (0.98)1.29 (1.08)0.012
Elevated serum CEA (≥ 5 ng/mL)0.001
    Yes5 (21.7)1 (2.8)1 (3.1)0 (0)
    No18 (78.3)34 (94.4)31 (96.9)8 (80)
Serum CA19-9 (U/mL)34.8 (53.56)25.32 (35.41)20.73 (29.65)16.29 (13.33)0.486
Elevated serum CA19-9 (≥ 34 U/mL)0.097
    Yes3 (13)7 (19.4)3 (9.4)1 (10)
    No20 (87)29 (80.6)29 (90.6)8 (80)
Total bilirubin (μmol/L)15.34 (7.97)14.34 (5.85)12.91 (5.76)12.73 (3.57)0.463
Elevated total bilirubin (≥ 22.2 μmol/L)0.184
    Yes4 (17.4)5 (13.9)1 (3.1)0 (0)
    No19 (82.6)31 (86.1)31 (96.9)10 (100)
Direct bilirubin (μmol/L)6.38 (6.59)4.44 (1.6)4.22 (2.52)4.21 (1.32)0.124
Elevated direct bilirubin (≥ 6.8 μmol/L)0.563
    Yes4 (17.4)4 (11.1)4 (12.5)0 (0)
    No19 (82.6)32 (88.9)28 (87.5)10 (100)
Table 2 Summary of hotspot mutation analysis, n (%)
Hotspot mutation
IPMNs (n = 23)
MCNs (n = 36)
SCAs (n = 32)
Non-neoplastic cysts (n = 10)
KRASWild type14 (60.9)25 (69.4)32 (100)10 (100)
Hotspot mutation9 (39.1)11 (30.6)0 (0)0 (0)
    G12D3 (13)3 (8.3)0 (0)0 (0)
    G12V4 (17.4)4 (11.1)0 (0)0 (0)
    G12R0 (0)1 (2.8)0 (0)0 (0)
    Q61H11 (4.3)2 (5.6)0 (0)0 (0)
    A146V24 (17.4)3 (8.3)0 (0)0 (0)
GNASWild type11 (47.8)36 (100)32 (100)10 (100)
Hotspot mutation12 (52.2)0 (0)0 (0)0 (0)
    R201C4 (17.4)0 (0)0 (0)0 (0)
    R201H8 (34.8)0 (0)0 (0)0 (0)
Table 3 Performance of different diagnostic modalities

Sensitivity (95%CI)
Specificity (95%CI)
Identification of mucinous neoplasms among all PCLs
    Integrated prediction model62.7% (50.4%-75.1%)95.2% (88.8%-100%)
    KRAS/GNAS mutation panel40.7% (28.1%-53.2%)100% (100%-100%)
    Clinical characteristics and serum markers37.3% (24.9%-49.6%)95.2% (88.8%-100%)
Identification of IPMNs among all PCLs
    Integrated prediction model82.6% (67.1%-98.1%)100% (100%-100%)
    KRAS/GNAS mutation panel52.2% (31.8%-72.6%)100% (100%-100%)
    Clinical characteristics and serum markers78.3% (61.4%-95.1%)80.8% (72.0%-89.5%)
Identification of mucinous neoplasms among PCLs in pancreatic head
    Integrated prediction model87.5% (71.3%-100%)100% (100%-100%)
    KRAS/GNAS mutation panel56.2% (31.9%-80.6%)100% (100%-100%)
    Clinical characteristics and serum markers62.5% (38.8%-86.2%)100% (100%-100%)
Identification of IPMNs among PCLs
    Integrated prediction model84.6% (65%-100%)100% (100%-100%)
    KRAS/GNAS mutation panel46.2% (19.1%-73.3%)100% (100%-100%)
    Clinical characteristics and serum markers69.2% (44.1%-94.3%)92.9% (79.4%-100%)