BPG is committed to discovery and dissemination of knowledge
Meta-Analysis
Copyright: ©Author(s) 2026.
World J Gastroenterol. Apr 7, 2026; 32(13): 114657
Published online Apr 7, 2026. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v32.i13.114657
Table 1 Cardiovascular-kidney-metabolic syndrome stages
Stages
Definition
Stage 0: No CKM risk factorsIndividuals with normal BMI and waist circumference, normoglycemia, normotension, a normal lipid profile, and no evidence of CKD or subclinical or clinical CVD
Stage 1: Excess or dysfunctional adiposityIndividuals with overweight/obesity, abdominal obesity, or dysfunctional adipose tissue, without the presence of other metabolic risk factors or CKD. BMI ≥ 25 kg/m2 (or ≥ 23 kg/m2 if Asian ancestry), waist circumference ≥ 88/102 cm in women/men (or if Asian ancestry ≥ 80/90 cm in women/men), or fasting blood glucose ≥ 100-124 mg/dL or HbA1c between 5.7% and 6.4%
Stage 2: Metabolic risk factors and CKDIndividuals with metabolic risk factors, hypertriglyceridemia (≥ 135 mg/dL), hypertension, MetS, diabetes, or CKD
Stage 3: Subclinical CVD in CKMSubclinical ASCVD or subclinical HF among individuals with excess/dysfunctional adiposity, other metabolic risk factors, or CKD. Subclinical ASCVD to be principally diagnosed by coronary artery calcification (subclinical atherosclerosis by coronary catheterization/computed tomography angiography also meets criteria). Subclinical HF diagnosed by elevated cardiac biomarkers (NT-proBNP ≥ 125 pg/mL, hs-troponin T ≥ 14 ng/L for women and ≥ 22 ng/L for men, hs-troponin I ≥ 10 ng/L for women and ≥ 12 ng/L for men) or by echocardiographic parameters, with a combination of the 2 indicating highest HF risk. Risk equivalents of subclinical CVD. Very high-risk CKD (stage G4 or G5 CKD or very high risk per KDIGO classification). High predicted 10-year CVD risk
Stage 4: Clinical CVD in CKMClinical CVD (coronary heart disease, HF, stroke, peripheral artery disease, atrial fibrillation) among individuals with excess/dysfunctional adiposity, other CKM risk factors, or CKD. Stage 4a: No kidney failure. Stage 4b: Kidney failure present
Table 2 Summary of articles included in the study
Ref.
Study design
Participants (n)
Age (mean ± SD)
Sex (male/female)
Region (country)
Definition of lean
Outcomes of interest investigated
[15]Cross-sectional46540.8 ± 9.9118/283Asia (Bangladesh)Not definedSteatosis, MASH, and fibrosis
[16]Systematic review and meta-analysis5444145.62320/1592UnspecifiedBMI < 23 kg/m2MASLD occurrence, fibrosis
[21]Retrospective cohort669Lean (46 ± 13); non-lean (49 ± 12)Europe (Italy)BMI < 25 kg/m2MASH, steatosis, fibrosis, HTN
[17]Prospective cohort211748.2 ± 13.7402/244Europe (Sweden)BMI < 25 kg/m2MASH, fibrosis, steatosis, HTN, CVD
[18]Case-control307AsiaBMI < 25 kg/m2Fibrosis
[19]Prospective cohort307AsiaUnspecifiedFibrosis, liver failure
[9]Retrospective cohort1040Lean (38.5 ± 12.04); non-lean (41.46 ± 11.14)604/436Asia (India)BMI < 23 kg/m2MASH, fibrosis, steatosis, HTN
[20]Cross-sectional105763832347669/17345Worldwide (24 countries)BMI < 25 kg/m2MASH, fibrosis, steatosis, HTN, CVD
[22]Cross-sectional12469/67Europe (Germany)BMI < 25 kg/m2Steatosis, MASH
[23]Case-control390Control (47.5 ± 13), MASLD (52 ± 8), MASH (51.7 ± 9)141/159South America (Argentina)BMI < 25 kg/m2Fibrosis, MASH
[24]Cross-sectional162All participants 47 ± 1496/66Europe (Greece)BMI < 25 kg/m2MASH, fibrosis
[25]Cross-sectional1777Control (48), lean MASLD (40), obese (49)817/960Europe (Belgium)BMI < 25 kg/m2HTN, fibrosis, MASH, steatosis
[26]Cross-sectional4834Lean (51.5 ± 18.0); non-lean [overweight (54.1 ± 15.7), obese (51.0 ± 14.1)]2220/2614North America (United States)BMI < 25 kg/m2Cirrhosis, death
[27]Retrospective cohort18594Lean (51.0 ± 36, 63); non-lean [overweight (52.5 ± 41, 63), obese (52.0 ± 40, 61)]8767/9827North America (United States)BMI < 25 kg/m2Cirrhosis, death, CVD
[28]Cross-sectional338656.9 ± 131402/1984North America (United States)BMI < 25 kg/m2Cirrhosis, CVD
[29]Meta-analysis2351453.2 ± 6.814814/8700North America (United States)BMI < 25 kg/m2CVD, death
[10]Retrospective cohort581Lean (58 ± 12); non-lean (59 ± 11)330/251Asia (Japan)BMI < 23 kg/m2CVD, HTN
[30]Prospective cohort394173/221North America (United States)BMI < 25 kg/m2CVD
[31]Prospective cohort1339482320/1430WorldwideBMI < 25 kg/m2Fibrosis, CVD
[11]Prospective cohort2985703/1227 (excluded control group)Asia (Sri Lanka)BMI < 23 kg/m2CVD
[32]Prospective cohort study1312MASLD cohort (49.5 ± 13.5), control (52.4 ± 5.8)762/550Europe (Austria)BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2Steatohepatitis, fibrosis, CVD, death
[33]Retrospective cohort446268/178Asia (Japan)BMI < 25 kg/m2CVD, HTN
[12]Retrospective cohort study1647Non-overweight (50.0 ± 7.9), Overweight (48.8 ± 8.9)941/706Asia (Japan)BMI < 23 kg/m2CVD, HTN
[26]Cross-sectional4834Normal weight (51.5 ± 18.0), overweight (54.1 ± 15.7), obese (51.0 ± 14.1)2220/2614North America (United States)BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2CVD, cirrhosis, death
[34]Cross-sectional3410Lean (51.5), non-lean (50.0)1460/1950North America (United States)BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2CVD, HTN
[13]Cross-sectional743Lean MASLD (75.0 ± 10.7). Non-lean MASLD (66.8 ± 11.9)309/434Asia (Thailand)BMI < 23 kg/m2Fibrosis, HTN
[14]Cross-sectional214456.1 ± 9.31359/785Asia (Korea)BMI < 23 kg/m2CVD, HTN
[35]Prospective cohort1261699/563Asia (Saudi Arabia)BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2CVD, HTN
[36]Cross-sectional2238Lean without MASLD (56.76 ± 9.9); lean with MASLD (60.36 ± 10.2); overweight MASLD (61.36 ± 9.5); obese MASLD (61.66 ± 9.8)1158/1080Europe (Austria)BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2CVD, HTN
[38]Cross-sectional9341Full sample (43.64 ± 0.37)4474/4867North America (United States)BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2Mortality, CVD
[37]Cross-sectional143656730/7635North America (United States)BMI ≤ 25 kg/m2Mortality, CVD