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Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2026. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Gastroenterol. Feb 7, 2026; 32(5): 114752
Published online Feb 7, 2026. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v32.i5.114752
Correlation between sarcopenia and esophageal stenosis following endoscopic submucosal dissection and construction of a postoperative stenosis risk model
Kai-Zhe Yang, Lu Chen, Li Xu, Bin-Xiang Xu, Ming-Yue Li, Zhi Wang, Qin Lu
Kai-Zhe Yang, Li Xu, Qin Lu, School of Medicine, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, Jiangsu Province, China
Lu Chen, Ming-Yue Li, Zhi Wang, Qin Lu, Department of Gastroenterology, Zhongda Hospital Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, Jiangsu Province, China
Bin-Xiang Xu, Department of Gastroenterology, Baoying County Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Yangzhou 225800, Jiangsu Province, China
Author contributions: Yang KZ contributed to data curation; methodology; writing - original draft; Xu L contributed to software; Xu BX and Wang Z contributed to validation; Lu Q contributed to conceptualization; Yang KZ, Chen L, Xu L and Li MY contributed to formal analysis; Yang KZ and Lu Q contributed to writing - review & editing; Li MY and Lu Q contributed to funding acquisition; and all contributing authors read and approved the final manuscript.
Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China, No. 82300638; the General Program of Jiangsu Provincial Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine, No. MS2024139; and Zhongda Hospital Affiliated to Southeast University, Jiangsu Province High-Level Hospital Construction Funds, No. YKK24268.
Institutional review board statement: This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of Southeast University, Zhongda Hospital Southeast University (approval No. 2025ZDSYLL373-P01). All study procedures adhered to the Declaration of Helsinki.
Informed consent statement: The ethics committee waived the requirement for obtaining informed consent from the patients owing to the retrospective nature of the study.
Conflict-of-interest statement: The authors declare that they have no conflicts of interest related to the manuscript.
Data sharing statement: The data used and analyzed during the study are available from the lead author and the corresponding authors upon reasonable request.
Open Access: This article is an open-access article that was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: https://creativecommons.org/Licenses/by-nc/4.0/
Corresponding author: Qin Lu, MD, Associate Chief Physician, Research Fellow, Department of Gastroenterology, Zhongda Hospital Southeast University, No. 87 Dingjiaqiao, Gulou District, Nanjing 210009, Jiangsu Province, China. luqin81287@163.com
Received: September 28, 2025
Revised: November 20, 2025
Accepted: December 29, 2025
Published online: February 7, 2026
Processing time: 123 Days and 16.3 Hours
Abstract
BACKGROUND

Sarcopenia has been indicated to be related to the postoperative outcome of patients with various digestive tract diseases. However, no studies have investigated the association between sarcopenia and esophageal stenosis after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD).

AIM

To explore the correlation between sarcopenia and post-ESD esophageal stenosis, and subsequently develop a risk prediction model.

METHODS

Retrospective data from 499 patients who underwent esophageal ESD were collected. After stratification via the L3 skeletal muscle indices (L3-SMIs) into sarcopenia and non-sarcopenia groups, post-ESD stenosis rates were compared. Propensity score matching (PSM) was used for sensitivity analysis. The original cohort was randomly split at a ratio of 7:3 into training (n = 350) and validation (n = 149) groups to construct and validate a risk prediction model for post-ESD stenosis.

RESULTS

Sarcopenia was significantly associated with post-ESD esophageal stenosis (48.23% vs 22.35%, P < 0.001). Furthermore, multivariate analysis confirmed its independence as a predictor of this postoperative complication [odds ratio (OR): 3.86; 95% confidence interval: 1.76-8.45; P < 0.001]. This conclusion was consistent across the subgroup analyses and PSM analyses. The risk prediction model incorporating sarcopenia had area under the curve values of 0.848 (training set) and 0.794 (validation set). Calibration curves and Hosmer-Lemeshow tests indicated good calibration of the model. Moreover, decision curve analysis confirmed a positive net clinical benefit for the model.

CONCLUSION

Sarcopenia is an independent risk predictor of post-ESD esophageal stenosis. Our model integrating muscle mass assessment aids in early high-risk identification and intervention.

Keywords: Sarcopenia; Endoscopic submucosal dissection; Esophageal stenosis; Complications; Prediction model

Core Tip: A novel finding of this study is that a body composition abnormality, quantified by an index associated with computed tomography-defined sarcopenia, is a clinically significant and independent predictor of the development of esophageal stenosis after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD). We successfully constructed a risk prediction model for post-ESD stenosis that includes sarcopenia, which achieved good internal validation. This investigation addresses a limitation of prior research, which focused solely on local lesion characteristics for predicting post-ESD esophageal stenosis. Moreover, the model helps in identifying high-risk groups at early time points and formulating individualized treatment strategies.