Liu MJ, Pei JY, Zeng C, Xing Y, Zhang YF, Tang PQ, Deng SM, Hu XQ. Triglyceride-glucose related indices as predictors for major adverse cardiovascular events and overall mortality in type-2 diabetes mellitus patients. World J Diabetes 2025; 16(3): 101488 [DOI: 10.4239/wjd.v16.i3.101488]
Corresponding Author of This Article
Xin-Qun Hu, MD, Chief Physician, Professor, Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, No. 139 Renmin Middle Road, Changsha 410011, Hunan Province, China. huxinqun@csu.edu.cn
Research Domain of This Article
Cardiac & Cardiovascular Systems
Article-Type of This Article
Retrospective Study
Open-Access Policy of This Article
This article is an open-access article which was selected by an in-house editor and fully peer-reviewed by external reviewers. It is distributed in accordance with the Creative Commons Attribution Non Commercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license, which permits others to distribute, remix, adapt, build upon this work non-commercially, and license their derivative works on different terms, provided the original work is properly cited and the use is non-commercial. See: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/
World J Diabetes. Mar 15, 2025; 16(3): 101488 Published online Mar 15, 2025. doi: 10.4239/wjd.v16.i3.101488
Table 1 Baseline characteristics of participants by quartiles of triglyceride glucose-waist height ratio, n (%)
Overall
Q1 (n = 2524)
Q2 (n = 2523)
Q3 (n = 2523)
Q4 (n = 2524)
P value
TyG-WHtR
5.97 ± 0.92
4.83 ± 0.37
5.62 ± 0.17
6.24 ± 0.19
7.17 ± 0.50
< 0.001
Age (years)
62.80 ± 6.64
63.56 ± 7.04
63.10 ± 6.73
62.63 ± 6.50
61.92 ± 6.16
< 0.001
Sex
< 0.001
Male
6206 (61.48)
1706 (67.59)
1661 (65.83)
1525 (60.44)
1314 (52.06)
Female
3888 (38.52)
818 (32.41)
862 (34.17)
998 (39.56)
1210 (47.94)
Race
< 0.001
White
6302 (62.43)
1201 (47.58)
1489 (59.02)
1677 (66.47)
1935 (76.66)
Non-white
3792 (37.57)
1323 (52.42)
1034 (40.98)
846 (33.53)
589 (23.34)
Education
< 0.001
Less than high school graduate
1492 (14.79)
364 (14.44)
389 (15.42)
400 (15.87)
339 (13.44)
High school grad (or GED)
2662 (26.39)
668 (26.50)
657 (26.05)
645 (25.59)
692 (27.43)
Some college or technical school
3311 (32.82)
736 (29.19)
818 (32.43)
839 (33.28)
918 (36.39)
College graduate or more
2622 (25.99)
753 (29.87)
658 (26.09)
637 (25.27)
574 (22.75)
CVD History
3556 (35.23)
848 (33.60)
931 (36.90)
856 (33.93)
921 (36.49)
0.022
Duration of diabetes (years)
10.79 ± 7.58
11.70 ± 7.99
11.07 ± 7.68
10.30 ± 7.29
10.08 ± 7.26
< 0.001
Previous hypertension
7609 (75.38)
1847 (73.18)
1908 (75.62)
1899 (75.27)
1955 (77.46)
0.006
Previous hyperlipidemia
7065 (69.99)
1713 (67.87)
1792 (71.03)
1784 (70.71)
1776 (70.36)
0.058
Proteinuria
2001 (19.83)
443 (17.55)
443 (17.56)
527 (20.90)
588 (23.30)
< 0.001
Heart failure
484 (4.80)
102 (4.04)
94 (3.73)
107 (4.24)
181 (7.17)
< 0.001
Depression
2394 (23.72)
409 (16.20)
510 (20.21)
631 (25.02)
844 (33.45)
< 0.001
Living alone
2039 (20.20)
460 (18.23)
496 (19.67)
519 (20.57)
564 (22.35)
0.003
Smoking
< 0.001
Yes
5886 (58.31)
1391 (55.11)
1483 (58.78)
1474 (58.42)
1538 (60.94)
No
4208 (41.69)
1133 (44.89)
1040 (41.22)
1049 (41.58)
986 (39.06)
Alcohol
< 0.001
Yes
2414 (23.92)
637 (25.24)
655 (25.97)
612 (24.28)
510 (20.21)
No
7676 (76.08)
1887 (74.76)
1867 (74.03)
1909 (75.72)
2013 (79.79)
BMI (kg/m2)
32.21 ± 5.40
27.09 ± 3.43
30.63 ± 3.63
33.62 ± 3.91
37.49 ± 4.21
< 0.001
SBP (mmHg)
136.36 ± 17.10
136.11 ± 17.04
136.41 ± 16.81
136.64 ± 17.21
136.30 ± 17.36
0.823
DBP (mmHg)
74.89 ± 10.66
73.41 ± 10.67
74.31 ± 10.31
75.66 ± 10.66
76.18 ± 10.78
< 0.001
Heart rate, bpm
72.66 ± 11.74
70.82 ± 11.31
71.81 ± 11.58
73.47 ± 11.82
74.54 ± 11.90
< 0.001
FPG (mg/dL)
175.21 ± 56.16
154.52 ± 52.23
168.84 ± 51.57
179.59 ± 54.19
197.88 ± 57.38
< 0.001
HbA1C (%)
8.30 ± 1.06
8.16 ± 1.06
8.24 ± 1.02
8.32 ± 1.03
8.48 ± 1.09
< 0.001
TC (mg/dL)
183.29 ± 41.85
173.74 ± 37.60
179.77 ± 39.06
184.93 ± 40.26
194.72 ± 47.02
< 0.001
TG (mg/dL)
190.26 ± 148.59
113.74 ± 57.49
166.67 ± 93.30
201.97 ± 120.21
278.64 ± 217.96
< 0.001
VLDL-C (mg/dL)
36.56 ± 24.38
22.69 ± 11.33
32.88 ± 16.77
39.16 ± 20.68
51.52 ± 33.22
< 0.001
LDL-C (mg/dL)
104.86 ± 33.89
104.48 ± 31.87
105.21 ± 33.52
104.97 ± 33.83
104.77 ± 36.22
0.717
eGFR (mL/minute/1.73 m2)
91.05 ± 27.18
90.82 ± 24.23
91.06 ± 29.91
91.03 ± 27.48
91.30 ± 26.79
0.941
WC (cm)
106.74 ± 13.64
92.87 ± 8.68
102.75 ± 8.36
110.47 ± 8.81
120.85 ± 9.98
< 0.001
WHtR
0.63 ± 0.08
0.54 ± 0.04
0.60 ± 0.04
0.65 ± 0.04
0.72 ± 0.05
< 0.001
Medications
ARB/ACEI
6992 (69.27)
1678 (66.48)
1738 (68.89)
1754 (69.52)
1822 (72.19)
< 0.001
CCB
1929 (19.11)
457 (18.11)
469 (18.59)
488 (19.34)
515 (20.40)
0.178
β-Blockers
3041 (30.21)
641 (25.45)
725 (28.84)
807 (32.07)
868 (34.47)
< 0.001
Biguanides
6455 (63.96)
1563 (61.93)
1618 (64.13)
1644 (65.19)
1630 (64.58)
0.085
Thiazolidinediones
2228 (22.07)
527 (20.88)
503 (19.94)
598 (23.71)
600 (23.77)
< 0.001
Sulfonylureas
5401 (53.51)
1374 (54.44)
1372 (54.38)
1329 (52.70)
1326 (52.54)
0.351
Insulins
3522 (34.89)
822 (32.57)
858 (34.01)
908 (35.99)
934 (37.00)
0.004
Statins
6417 (63.81)
1644 (65.39)
1636 (65.23)
1601 (63.58)
1536 (61.03)
0.004
Aspirin
5497 (54.70)
1341 (53.36)
1344 (53.61)
1436 (57.12)
1376 (54.71)
0.030
Cholesterol absorption inhibitors
205 (2.04)
46 (1.83)
58 (2.31)
52 (2.07)
49 (1.95)
0.658
MACEs
1791 (17.74)
367 (14.54)
458 (18.15)
467 (18.51)
499 (19.77)
< 0.001
Total mortality
1914 (18.96)
420 (16.64)
457 (18.11)
484 (19.18)
553 (21.91)
< 0.001
Table 2 Baseline characteristics of participants by quartiles of triglyceride glucose-waist circumference, n (%)
Overall
Q1 (n = 2524)
Q2 (n = 2523)
Q3 (n = 2523)
Q4 (n = 2524)
P value
TyG-WC
1014.05 ± 160.17
815.26 ± 67.01
955.95 ± 31.22
1062.40 ± 31.75
1222.59 ± 85.99
< 0.001
Age (years)
62.80 ± 6.64
63.61 ± 7.09
63.26 ± 6.68
62.68 ± 6.54
61.66 ± 6.07
< 0.001
Sex
< 0.001
Male
6206 (61.48)
1323 (52.42)
1527 (60.52)
1617 (64.09)
1739 (68.90)
Female
3888 (38.52)
1201 (47.58)
996 (39.48)
906 (35.91)
785 (31.10)
Race
< 0.001
White
6302 (62.43)
1075 (42.59)
1445 (57.27)
1778 (70.47)
2004 (79.40)
Non-white
3792 (37.57)
1449 (57.41)
1078 (42.73)
745 (29.53)
520 (20.60)
Education
< 0.001
Less than high school graduate
1492 (14.79)
420 (16.66)
415 (16.46)
370 (14.67)
287 (11.38)
High school grad (or GED)
2662 (26.39)
713 (28.28)
640 (25.39)
646 (25.61)
663 (26.28)
Some college or technical school
3311 (32.82)
715 (28.36)
799 (31.69)
850 (33.70)
947 (37.53)
College graduate or more
2622 (25.99)
673 (26.70)
667 (26.46)
656 (26.01)
626 (24.81)
CVD history
3556 (35.23)
821 (32.53)
872 (34.56)
924 (36.62)
939 (37.20)
0.002
Duration of diabetes (years)
10.79 ± 7.58
11.82 ± 8.06
11.11 ± 7.72
10.37 ± 7.21
9.86 ± 7.17
< 0.001
Previous hypertension
7609 (75.38)
1895 (75.08)
1896 (75.15)
1868 (74.04)
1950 (77.26)
0.059
Previous hyperlipidemia
7065 (69.99)
1712 (67.83)
1774 (70.31)
1786 (70.79)
1793 (71.04)
0.050
Proteinuria
2001 (19.83)
432 (17.12)
460 (18.23)
519 (20.58)
590 (23.38)
< 0.001
Heart failure
484 (4.80)
107 (4.24)
85 (3.37)
121 (4.80)
171 (6.77)
< 0.001
Depression
2394 (23.72)
433 (17.16)
519 (20.57)
631 (25.03)
811 (32.13)
< 0.001
Living alone
2039 (20.20)
516 (20.44)
514 (20.38)
497 (19.70)
512 (20.29)
0.908
Smoking
< 0.001
Yes
5886 (58.31)
1257 (49.80)
1449 (57.43)
1532 (60.72)
1648 (65.29)
No
4208 (41.69)
1267 (50.20)
1074 (42.57)
991 (39.28)
876 (34.71)
Alcohol
0.002
Yes
2414 (23.92)
540 (21.39)
629 (24.94)
650 (25.78)
595 (23.58)
No
7676 (76.08)
1984 (78.61)
1893 (75.06)
1871 (74.22)
1928 (76.42)
BMI (kg/m2)
32.21 ± 5.40
27.32 ± 3.80
30.80 ± 3.91
33.52 ± 4.07
37.20 ± 4.21
< 0.001
SBP (mmHg)
136.36 ± 17.10
136.82 ± 17.10
136.56 ± 17.39
136.27 ± 17.23
135.81 ± 16.67
0.156
DBP (mmHg)
74.89 ± 10.66
73.40 ± 10.60
74.49 ± 10.41
75.37 ± 10.78
76.29 ± 10.64
< 0.001
Heart rate, bpm
72.66 ± 11.74
71.20 ± 11.25
72.08 ± 11.71
72.87 ± 11.73
74.50 ± 12.01
< 0.001
FPG (mg/dL)
175.21 ± 56.16
154.21 ± 53.15
168.08 ± 50.86
179.83 ± 52.30
198.70 ± 58.37
< 0.001
HbA1c (%)
8.30 ± 1.06
8.18 ± 1.05
8.25 ± 1.04
8.29 ± 1.04
8.47 ± 1.07
< 0.001
TC (mg/dL)
183.29 ± 41.85
176.93 ± 38.09
180.96 ± 40.52
183.75 ± 41.18
191.52 ± 45.89
< 0.001
TG (mg/dL)
190.26 ± 148.59
116.86 ± 69.17
162.72 ± 90.13
201.83 ± 119.22
279.62 ± 216.65
< 0.001
VLDL-C (mg/dL)
36.56 ± 24.38
23.21 ± 12.74
32.12 ± 16.35
39.43 ± 21.35
51.50 ± 32.60
< 0.001
LDL-C (mg/dL)
104.86 ± 33.89
105.98 ± 32.30
106.31 ± 34.13
104.31 ± 33.70
102.85 ± 35.27
< 0.001
eGFR (mL/minute/1.73 m2)
91.05 ± 27.18
91.55 ± 29.26
90.87 ± 29.19
89.95 ± 23.73
91.84 ± 26.11
0.074
WC (cm)
106.74 ± 13.64
91.52 ± 7.73
102.48 ± 6.70
110.63 ± 7.10
122.32 ± 8.99
< 0.001
WHtR
0.63 ± 0.08
0.55 ± 0.05
0.61 ± 0.05
0.65 ± 0.05
0.71 ± 0.06
< 0.001
Medications
ARB/ACEI
6992 (69.27)
1674 (66.32)
1736 (68.81)
1752 (69.44)
1830 (72.50)
< 0.001
CCB
1929 (19.11)
475 (18.82)
493 (19.54)
457 (18.11)
504 (19.97)
0.353
β-Blockers
3041 (30.21)
647 (25.71)
715 (28.37)
795 (31.64)
884 (35.12)
< 0.001
Biguanides
6455 (63.96)
1542 (61.09)
1638 (64.92)
1618 (64.16)
1657 (65.65)
0.004
Thiazolidinediones
2228 (22.07)
513 (20.32)
516 (20.45)
572 (22.68)
627 (24.84)
< 0.001
Sulfonylureas
5401 (53.51)
1370 (54.28)
1335 (52.91)
1342 (53.21)
1354 (53.65)
0.784
Insulins
3522 (34.89)
834 (33.04)
878 (34.80)
888 (35.20)
922 (36.53)
0.075
Statins
6417 (63.81)
1630 (64.91)
1595 (63.37)
1622 (64.57)
1570 (62.38)
0.221
Aspirin
5497 (54.70)
1302 (51.89)
1343 (53.38)
1432 (57.05)
1420 (56.48)
< 0.001
Cholesterol absorption inhibitors
205 (2.04)
50 (1.99)
55 (2.19)
51 (2.03)
49 (1.95)
0.940
MACEs
1791 (17.74)
366 (14.50)
426 (16.88)
484 (19.18)
515 (20.40)
< 0.001
Total mortality
1914 (18.96)
406 (16.09)
447 (17.72)
484 (19.18)
577 (22.86)
< 0.001
Table 3 Risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and total mortality based on triglyceride glucose-waist height ratio
Outcome
Events/n
Non-adjusted
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
HR (95%CI)
P value
HR (95%CI)
P value
HR (95%CI)
P value
HR (95%CI)
P value
MACEs
TyG-WHtR
1.147 (1.091, 1.206)
< 0.0001
1.184 (1.123, 1.249)
< 0.0001
1.146 (1.081, 1.214)
< 0.0001
1.128 (1.064, 1.196)
< 0.0001
Q1
367/2524
Reference
Reference
Reference
Reference
Q2
458/2523
1.273 (1.110, 1.461)
0.0006
1.216 (1.059, 1.397)
0.0056
1.196 (1.040, 1.376)
0.0121
1.179 (1.025, 1.357)
0.0211
Q3
467/2523
1.303 (1.137, 1.494)
0.0001
1.336 (1.162, 1.536)
< 0.0001
1.291 (1.120, 1.488)
0.0004
1.266 (1.097, 1.460)
0.0012
Q4
499/2524
1.442 (1.260, 1.650)
< 0.0001
1.526 (1.326, 1.757)
< 0.0001
1.408 (1.212, 1.635)
< 0.0001
1.353 (1.164, 1.574)
< 0.0001
Per 1 SD
1.135 (1.084, 1.188)
< 0.0001
1.169 (1.113, 1.227)
< 0.0001
1.134 (1.075, 1.196)
< 0.0001
1.117 (1.059, 1.180)
< 0.0001
P for trend
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
Total mortality
TyG-WHtR
1.141 (1.088, 1.198)
< 0.0001
1.230 (1.168, 1.295)
< 0.0001
1.177 (1.113, 1.246)
< 0.0001
1.163 (1.099, 1.231)
< 0.0001
Q1
420/2524
Reference
Reference
Reference
Reference
Q2
457/2523
1.09 (0.96, 1.25)
0.1802
1.07 (0.94, 1.23)
0.2912
1.06 (0.92, 1.21)
0.4310
1.04 (0.91, 1.19)
0.5849
Q3
484/2523
1.175 (1.031, 1.339)
0.0156
1.266 (1.108, 1.446)
0.0005
1.214 (1.060, 1.391)
0.0052
1.187 (1.035, 1.361)
0.0140
Q4
553/2524
1.399 (1.232, 1.588)
< 0.0001
1.625 (1.423, 1.855)
< 0.0001
1.474 (1.279, 1.698)
< 0.0001
1.420 (1.231, 1.638)
< 0.0001
Per 1 SD
1.130 (1.080, 1.181)
< 0.0001
1.210 (1.154, 1.269)
< 0.0001
1.162 (1.104, 1.224)
< 0.0001
1.149 (1.091, 1.211)
< 0.0001
P for trend
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
Table 4 Risk of major adverse cardiovascular events and total mortality based on triglyceride glucose-waist circumference
Outcome
Events/n
Non-adjusted
Model 1
Model 2
Model 3
HR (95%CI)
P value
HR (95%CI)
P value
HR (95%CI)
P value
HR (95%CI)
P value
MACEs
TyG-WC (per 100 units)
1.102 (1.070, 1.134)
< 0.0001
1.100 (1.067, 1.135)
< 0.0001
1.080 (1.044, 1.117)
< 0.0001
1.070 (1.034, 1.108)
0.0001
Q1
366/2524
Reference
Reference
Reference
Reference
Q2
426/2523
1.176 (1.023, 1.353)
0.0226
1.13 (0.98, 1.31)
0.0838
1.10 (0.96, 1.27)
0.1712
1.09 (0.94, 1.25)
0.2551
Q3
484/2523
1.354 (1.182, 1.551)
< 0.0001
1.300 (1.131, 1.496)
0.0002
1.245 (1.080, 1.436)
0.0026
1.225 (1.061, 1.413)
0.0056
Q4
515/2524
1.481 (1.295, 1.693)
< 0.0001
1.471 (1.276, 1.695)
< 0.0001
1.370 (1.179, 1.592)
< 0.0001
1.314 (1.129, 1.529)
0.0004
Per 1 SD
1.168 (1.115, 1.223)
< 0.0001
1.165 (1.109, 1.225)
< 0.0001
1.131 (1.071, 1.194)
< 0.0001
1.115 (1.056, 1.178)
0.0001
P for trend
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
Total mortality
TyG-WC (per 100 units)
1.105 (1.075, 1.136)
< 0.0001
1.136 (1.102, 1.171)
< 0.0001
1.109 (1.073, 1.146)
< 0.0001
1.101 (1.065, 1.138)
< 0.0001
Q1
406/2524
Reference
Reference
Reference
Reference
Q2
447/2523
1.11 (0.97, 1.27)
0.1183
1.11 (0.97, 1.27)
0.1448
1.08 (0.94, 1.24)
0.2769
1.06 (0.93, 1.22)
0.3817
Q3
484/2523
1.219 (1.068, 1.391)
0.0033
1.241 (1.084, 1.422)
0.0018
1.183 (1.030, 1.359)
0.0171
1.170 (1.018, 1.344)
0.0272
Q4
577/2524
1.520 (1.339, 1.726)
< 0.0001
1.689 (1.475, 1.933)
< 0.0001
1.535 (1.330, 1.770)
< 0.0001
1.480 (1.282, 1.710)
< 0.0001
Per 1 SD
1.173 (1.122, 1.226)
< 0.0001
1.227 (1.169, 1.288)
< 0.0001
1.180 (1.120, 1.244)
< 0.0001
1.166 (1.106, 1.230)
< 0.0001
P for trend
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
< 0.0001
Table 5 Analysis of the threshold effects of triglyceride glucose-waist height ratio and triglyceride glucose-waist circumference levels on overall mortality
One linear-regression model
Inflection point (K)
< K, effect 1
> K, effect 2
P value for LRT
TyG-WHtR
1.163 (1.099, 1.231); P < 0.0001
5.062
0.802 (0.626, 1.026); P = 0.0797
1.223 (1.146, 1.306); P < 0.0001
0.004
TyG-WC
1.101 (1.065, 1.138); P < 0.0001
870.1
0.891 (0.781, 1.017); P = 0.0880
1.137 (1.094, 1.182); P < 0.0001
0.002
Table 6 Additional predictive value of triglyceride-glucose related indices for major adverse cardiovascular events and total mortality
AUC (95%CI)
P value
NRI (95%CI)
P value
IDI (95%CI)
P value
MACEs
Basic model
0.6264 (0.6131, 0.6396)
Reference
Reference
Basic model + TyG
0.6318 (0.6186, 0.6450)
0.0039
0.0660 (0.0380, 0.1000)
< 0.0001
0.0030 (0.0010, 0.0060)
< 0.0001
Basic model + TyG-WHtR
0.6344 (0.6213, 0.6475)
0.0012
0.0770 (0.0450, 0.1060)
< 0.0001
0.0040 (0.0020, 0.0070)
< 0.0001
Basic model + TyG-WC
0.6322 (0.6191, 0.6454)
0.0043
0.0610 (0.0280, 0.0850)
< 0.0001
0.0030 (0.0010, 0.0060)
< 0.0001
Total mortality
Basic model
0.6667 (0.6539, 0.6794)
Reference
Reference
Basic model + TyG
0.6683 (0.6556, 0.6811)
0.0324
0.0340 (0.0020, 0.0630)
0.0400
0.0010 (0.0000, 0.0020)
0.1200
Basic model + TyG-WHtR
0.6696 (0.6569, 0.6823)
0.0038
0.0520 (0.0200, 0.0800)
< 0.0001
0.0020 (0.0000, 0.0040)
0.0070
Basic model + TyG-WC
0.6701 (0.6574, 0.6829)
0.0025
0.0410 (0.0110, 0.0690)
< 0.0001
0.0020 (0.0000, 0.0050)
0.0070
Citation: Liu MJ, Pei JY, Zeng C, Xing Y, Zhang YF, Tang PQ, Deng SM, Hu XQ. Triglyceride-glucose related indices as predictors for major adverse cardiovascular events and overall mortality in type-2 diabetes mellitus patients. World J Diabetes 2025; 16(3): 101488