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Copyright: ©Author(s) 2026. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. No commercial re-use. See permissions. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. Nov 15, 2026; 18(11): 124022
Published online Nov 15, 2026. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.124022
Propensity score-based real-world study of immune checkpoint inhibitor combination therapy in microsatellite stable/proficient mismatch repair metastatic colorectal cancer
Chang Zhang, Shi-Hao Wu, Lei Jin, Liang Lu, Ji Li, Shui Jin
Chang Zhang, Lei Jin, Liang Lu, Shui Jin, Department of Gastroenterology, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei 238000, Anhui Province, China
Chang Zhang, Shi-Hao Wu, Lei Jin, Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230000, Anhui Province, China
Shi-Hao Wu, Department of Burns, The First Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei 230000, Anhui Province, China
Ji Li, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110000, Liaoning Province, China
Author contributions: Zhang C, Wu SH, Jin L, and Li J contributed to formal analysis; Wu SH, Li J, and Jin S participated in visualization; Zhang C and Wu SH participated in methodology; Zhang C and Jin L participated in data curation; Wu SH, Jin S, and Lu L participated in writing - review & editing; Zhang C participated in conceptualization, software, and wrote the original draft; Wu SH participated in investigation; Jin S participated in validation and accessed and verified the study data; Lu L participated in supervision. All authors critically reviewed and provided final approval of the manuscript.
AI contribution statement: The authors declare that no artificial intelligence tools were used in the preparation, analysis, or writing of this manuscript.
Supported by Key Project of Natural Science Research in Universities of Anhui Province, No. 2023AH050581.
Institutional review board statement: This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, No. KYXM-202605-018.
Informed consent statement: The need for patient consent was waived due to the retrospective nature of the study.
Conflict-of-interest statement: All the authors report no relevant conflicts of interest for this article.
Data sharing statement: The authors will provide the raw data that backs the conclusions without extra limits.
Corresponding author: Shui Jin, Department of Gastroenterology, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, No. 64 Chaohu North Road, Juchao District, Chaohu, Hefei 238000, Anhui Province, China. e-ch2009640010@fy.ahmu.edu.cn
Received: June 5, 2026
Revised: July 27, 2026
Accepted: September 10, 2026
Published online: November 15, 2026
Processing time: 144 Days and 14.4 Hours
Abstract
BACKGROUND

Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) show limited efficacy as monotherapy in microsatellite stable/proficient mismatch repair (MSS/pMMR) metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC), largely due to an immunosuppressive tumor microenvironment with low T-cell infiltration. Preclinical studies suggest chemotherapy induces immunogenic cell death, while anti-angiogenic agents normalize tumor vasculature, potentially synergizing with ICIs to enhance antitumor immunity. However, real-world evidence for this combination remains insufficient, and whether clinical factors like tumor location or metastasis pattern influence outcomes requires validation. This study evaluated ICI-based combination therapy in MSS/pMMR mCRC using propensity score-based methods.

AIM

To evaluate ICI-based combination therapy efficacy and explore prognostic modeling and dynamic inflammatory biomarkers in MSS/pMMR mCRC.

METHODS

A total of 123 patients with MSS/pMMR mCRC were retrospectively enrolled. ICI-based combination therapy was compared with chemotherapy plus bevacizumab alone. Propensity score matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting were applied to reduce confounding, and E-value analysis assessed unmeasured confounding. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS). A prognostic nomogram was developed and temporally validated. Associations between post-treatment changes in inflammatory biomarkers and PFS were also evaluated.

RESULTS

After propensity score matching, ICI-based therapy was associated with longer PFS (hazard ratio = 0.486, P = 0.026), with consistent inverse probability of treatment weighting findings. Multivariable regression identified combination therapy as independently favorable and liver metastasis as unfavorable for PFS. Subgroup analyses suggested numerically greater benefits in right-sided and non-liver-metastasis patients, but interaction tests were not significant. A prognostic nomogram showed moderate discrimination temporally (C-index: 0.676-0.695). In exploratory analyses, elevated post-treatment neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and systemic immune-inflammation index were associated with worse PFS in the overall cohort. Grade ≥ 3 adverse event rates were comparable between groups.

CONCLUSION

ICI-based combination therapy improved PFS with manageable safety in MSS/pMMR mCRC. Nomogram and dynamic neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio/systemic immune-inflammation index monitoring may facilitate risk stratification and warrant prospective validation.

Keywords: Metastatic colorectal cancer; Microsatellite stable; Immune checkpoint inhibitors; Anti-angiogenic therapy; Inflammatory biomarkers

Core Tip: Immune checkpoint inhibitors have limited efficacy in microsatellite stable/proficient mismatch repair metastatic colorectal cancer. This real-world study showed that immune checkpoint inhibitor-based combination therapy with chemotherapy and anti-angiogenic agents was associated with improved progression-free survival after propensity score adjustment. Liver metastasis and tumor sidedness showed exploratory prognostic and treatment-related signals, although subgroup findings require further validation. Post-treatment neutrophil‑to‑lymphocyte ratio and systemic immune‑inflammation index may provide additional risk stratification value. These findings offer clinically relevant evidence supporting further prospective evaluation of immune checkpoint inhibitor-based combination strategies in microsatellite stable/proficient mismatch repair metastatic colorectal cancer.

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