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Retrospective Cohort Study
Copyright: ©Author(s) 2026.
World J Gastroenterol. Dec 28, 2026; 32(48): 122612
Published online Dec 28, 2026. doi: 10.3748/wjg.122612
Table 1 Baseline characteristics and study outcomes of the derivation and validation cohorts, n (%)/median (interquartile range)
Variable
Derivation cohort, n = 1314
Validation cohort, n = 223
P value
Sex0.153
Female526 (40.0)78 (35.0)
Male788 (60.0)145 (65.0)
Age, years57 (50-65)56 (49-69)0.983
BMI, kg/m228 (24-33)23 (21-27)< 0.001a
MAP, mmHg60 (53-67)87 (80-93)< 0.001a
Urine output, mL1225 (750-1900)1250 (950-1515)0.421
Comorbidities
Congestive heart failure177 (13.5)11 (4.9)< 0.001a
Diabetes307 (23.4)34 (15.2)0.007a
Hypertension235 (17.9)59 (26.5)0.004a
Fatty liver disease89 (6.8)34 (15.2)< 0.001a
Organ support
Mechanical ventilation351 (26.7)15 (6.7)< 0.001a
Vasopressor use456 (34.7)13 (5.8)< 0.001a
Medications
Antibiotic1037 (78.9)103 (46.2)< 0.001a
Furosemide166 (12.6)107 (48.0)< 0.001a
Spironolactone122 (9.3)107 (48.0)< 0.001a
Human albumin309 (23.5)74 (33.2)0.003a
Organ failure
Liver242 (18.4)108 (48.4)< 0.001a
Kidney401 (30.5)24 (10.8)< 0.001a
Coagulation312 (23.7)53 (23.8)0.994
Brain326 (24.8)39 (17.5)0.018a
Circulation456 (34.7)13 (5.8)< 0.001a
Lung591 (45.0)25 (11.2)< 0.001a
ACLF grade< 0.001a
Grade 1601 (45.7)192 (86.1)
Grade 2425 (32.3)19 (8.5)
Grade 3288 (21.9)12 (5.4)
Outcomes
In-hospital mortality305 (23.2)36 (16.1)
KDIGO stage 3 AKI within 14 days452 (34.4)68 (30.5)
Laboratory tests
Hemoglobin, g/dL8.50 (7.20-10.10)10.70 (8.40-12.80)< 0.001a
Platelet, × 109/L82 (52-133)71 (50-105)0.001a
WBC, × 109/L12 (8-17)6 (4-9)< 0.001a
Albumin, g/dL2.80 (2.40-3.20)2.82 (2.42-3.16)0.545
Anion gap, mmol/L16.0 (13.0-19.0)11.3 (9.6-13.8)< 0.001a
BUN, mg/dL26 (16-39)15 (10-24)< 0.001a
Calcium, mmol/L1.98 (1.83-2.10)2.07 (1.96-2.16)< 0.001a
Chloride, mmol/L101 (96-106)102 (97-105)0.874
Creatinine, mg/dL1.10 (0.80-1.70)0.78 (0.64-1.02)< 0.001a
Glucose, mmol/L8.0 (6.5-10.7)5.5 (4.8-7.0)< 0.001a
Sodium, mmol/L136 (131-139)136 (133-139)0.552
Potassium, mmol/L4.40 (4.00-4.90)3.80 (3.38-4.21)< 0.001a
INR1.90 (1.50-2.40)1.97 (1.61-2.44)0.014a
PT, seconds20 (16-26)22 (19-26)< 0.001a
aPTT, seconds40 (33-54)44 (39-52)< 0.001a
ALT, U/L38 (23-71)63 (29-361)< 0.001a
ALP, U/L112 (76-156)143 (108-195)< 0.001a
AST, U/L80 (46-165)108 (57-322)< 0.001a
TBil, mg/dL4 (2-9)12 (7-20)< 0.001a
Lymphocytes, %8 (5-14)14 (8-22)< 0.001a
Monocytes, %5.0 (3.1-7.3)8.3 (6.4-10.1)< 0.001a
Neutrophils, %82 (75-88)75 (67-83)< 0.001a
NLR4 (3-7)5 (3-10)0.016a
RBC, × 1012/L2.55 (2.08-3.08)3.15 (2.43-3.88)< 0.001a
RDW, %18.1 (15.9-20.8)15.8 (14.1-18.9)< 0.001a
Severity score
MELD21 (14-28)25 (22-32)< 0.001a
SOFA8 (6-11)6 (5-8)< 0.001a
MELD-Na27 (17-40)27 (23-33)0.573
Table 2 Final multivariable logistic regression model used to develop the chronic liver failure organ failure-acute kidney injury score
Intercept and variable
β coefficient
OR (95%CI)
P value
WBC, × 109/L0.0181.02 (1.00-1.04)0.044
MAP, mmHg-0.0200.98 (0.97-0.99)< 0.001
BUN, mg/dL0.0111.01 (1.00-1.02)0.005
MELD score0.0571.06 (1.04-1.08)< 0.001
BMI, kg/m20.0541.05 (1.04-1.07)< 0.001
Albumin, g/dL-0.4260.65 (0.52-0.81)< 0.001
Mechanical ventilation0.9772.66 (1.99-3.54)< 0.001
Vasopressor use0.7972.22 (1.68-2.93)< 0.001
Intercept-2.409
Table 3 Chronic liver failure organ failure-acute kidney injury risk score and risk stratification
Variables
Points
Variables
Points
WBC, × 109/LBUN, mg/dL
≤ 50≤ 150
5-101516-255
11-152526-4010
> 1530> 4015
Albumin, g/dLBMI, kg/m2
≥ 3.50≤ 23.90
3.0-3.41024.0-27.910
2.5-2.91528.0-34.920
< 2.520≥ 35.030
MAP in mmHgMechanical ventilation
> 650Yes35
56-6510No0
≤ 5520
MELD scoreVasopressor use
≤ 150Yes30
16-2515No0
26-3535
> 3560
Risk stratification, CLIF-AKI scoreRisk category
> 140Very high risk
111-140High risk
81-110Moderate risk
≤ 80Low risk
Table 4 Proportion of patients identified at each chronic liver failure organ failure-acute kidney injury score threshold and diagnostic performance for predicting KDIGO stage 3 acute kidney injury within 14 days, 95% confidence interval
VariableChronic liver failure organ failure-acute kidney injury score
> 80
> 110
> 140
No. of patients, n (%)937 (71.3)611 (46.5)288 (21.9)
Sensitivity0.91 (0.88-0.94)0.73 (0.69-0.77)0.45 (0.41-0.50)
Specificity0.39 (0.36-0.42)0.68 (0.64-0.71)0.90 (0.88-0.92)
Positive predictive value0.44 (0.41-0.47)0.54 (0.50-0.58)0.71 (0.66-0.76)
Negative predictive value0.89 (0.86-0.92)0.83 (0.80-0.86)0.76 (0.73-0.79)
Table 5 Continuous net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement of the chronic liver failure organ failure-acute kidney injury model compared with PIRO, Child-Turcotte-Pugh, chronic liver failure consortium acute-on-chronic liver failure, model for end-stage liver disease, and model for end-stage liver disease-sodium scores for predicting stage 3 acute kidney injury in the external validation cohort
Comparator model
NRI (95%CI)
P value
IDI (95%CI)
P value
PIRO0.408 (0.126-0.696)0.0080.093 (0.037-0.149)0.004
CTP1.162 (0.916-1.391)< 0.0010.271 (0.209-0.334)< 0.001
CLIF-C-ACLF1.000 (0.758-1.242)< 0.0010.212 (0.151-0.275)< 0.001
MELD1.117 (0.858-1.353)< 0.0010.307 (0.237-0.377)< 0.001
MELD-Na1.061 (0.802-1.305)< 0.0010.294 (0.224-0.362)< 0.001


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