Published online Dec 28, 2026. doi: 10.3748/wjg.122612
Revised: July 7, 2026
Accepted: July 31, 2026
Published online: December 28, 2026
Processing time: 193 Days and 19 Hours
Reliable tools for the early detection of stage 3 acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) are limited. We developed a scoring system to predict stage 3 AKI within 14 days of intensive care unit (ICU) admission.
To externally validate the predictive score for stage 3 AKI in patients with ACLF within 14 days of ICU admission.
Patients with cirrhosis admitted to the ICU who met the diagnostic criteria for ACLF were included. Two independent cohorts were established for the model derivation (1314 patients from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database) and the external validation (223 patients from Zhenjiang). The primary outcome was stage 3 AKI occurring within 14 days of ICU admission. Predictors were selected using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression and were subsequently entered into a multivariable logistic regression model.
Stage 3 AKI occurred in 34% of the derivation cohort and 30% of the validation cohort. The chronic liver failure organ failure (CLIF)-AKI score was developed using eight variables: Mechanical ventilation, vasopressor use, serum albumin, mean arterial pressure, white blood cell count, blood urea nitrogen, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, and body mass index. The score demonstrated good discrimination [area under the receiver operating characteristic curve: 0.79 (95% confidence interval: 0.76-0.82) in the derivation cohort and 0.86 (95% confidence interval: 0.81-0.91) in the validation cohort], and showed acceptable calibration in both. The score stratified patients into four risk categories. In the validation cohort, CLIF-AKI score outperformed PIRO, chronic liver failure consortium ACLF, Child-Turcotte-Pugh, MELD, and MELD-sodium in predicting stage 3 AKI (all P < 0.05).
The CLIF-AKI score enables the early identification of ICU patients with ACLF who are at high risk of developing Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes stage 3 AKI within 14 days of admission.
Core Tip: Patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure admitted to the intensive care unit are at high risk of developing stage 3 acute kidney injury (AKI); however, reliable tools for early prediction remain limited. We developed and externally validated the chronic liver failure organ failure-AKI score to predict stage 3 AKI in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. The score demonstrated good discrimination and clinical utility, and outperformed the PIRO model and existing prognostic scores in the external validation cohort. We also developed a point-based scoring system and an online calculator to facilitate its implementation in clinical practice.