Meta-Analysis
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2023.
World J Gastroenterol. Sep 28, 2023; 29(36): 5240-5253
Published online Sep 28, 2023. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v29.i36.5240
Table 1 Information on the studies eligible for enrollment (%)
Ref.
Year
Country
Trial design
Disease
Detection method
Total volunteers
Cases (CRC)
Controls (non-CRC)
Sensitivity (95%CI)
Specificity (95%CI)
Sensitivity (95%CI)
Definition of a positive
Stage I
Stage II
Stage III
Stage IV
Symonds et al[27]2016AustraliaProspective observational studyCRC screeningReal-time PCR138166131562 (49–74)92 (90–93)41 (18-67)76 (55–91)59 (33–82)71 (29–96)At least one PCR replicate was positive
Pedersen et al[32]2015AustraliaProspective observational studyCRC screeningReal-time PCR2187414477 (66-86)92 (86-96)50 (7-93)68 (48-84)87 (66-97)100 (63-100)A total change in fluorescence intensity above background levels was measured within 50 PCR amplification cycles
Winter et al[30]2022AustraliaProspective observational studyCRC screeningReal-time PCR89629060660 (54-66)92 (89-94)24 (14-37)62 (51-72)68 (58-77)91 (78-97)Methylation levels of 10% or more
Pedersen et al[32]2015AustraliaProspective observational studyCRC screeningReal-time PCR96712983866 (57-74)94 (92-95)38 (57-74)69 (53-82)73 (56-85)94 (70-100)At least one PCR replicate was positive
Saluja et al[35]2021AustraliaRetrospective case–control studyCRC screeningReal-time PCR1593114147961 (52-70)91 (90-93)NANANANAAt least one PCR replicate was positive
Young et al[28]2016AustraliaProspective observational studyRecurrent CRC detectionReal-time PCR122289468 (48-84)87 (79-93)0/075 (35-97)71 (44-90)33 (1-91)At least one PCR replicate was positive
Symonds et al[29]2020AustraliaProspective observational studyRecurrent CRC detectionReal-time PCR144509466 (57-69)98; (93 -100)0/069 (39-91)70 (51-85)43 (10-82)COLVERA (Clinical Genomics Pty, Ltd, North Ryde, New South Wales Australia) detectability of ctDNA
Pedersen et al[26]2023AustraliaProspective observational studyRecurrent CRC detectionReal-time PCR1423310927 (13-46)91 (84-96)NANANANA0.07%
Pedersen et al[31]2022AustraliaProspective observational studyRecurrent CRC detectionReal-time PCR5497747264 (52-74)98 (96-99)NANANANA0.07%
Musher et al[33]2020United StatesProspective observational studyRecurrent CRC detectionReal-time PCR3222729563 (42-81)92 (88-94)NANANANACOLVERA (clinical Genomics Pathology Inc., NJ, United States) detectability of ctDNA
Symonds et al[34]2022AustraliaProspective observational studyRecurrent CRC detectionReal-time PCR55104570 (35-93)87 (73-95)NANANANAAt least one PCR replicate was positive
Murray et al[36]2018AustraliaProspective observational studyrecurrent CRC detectionreal-time PCR1722314930 (13-53)86 (79-91)NANANANAAt least one PCR replicate
Table 2 Subgroup analysis of the included studies based on the differences of the purpose of testing and the positive result definition (95% CI, %)

Pooled sensitivity
Pooled specificity
Pooled positive likelihood ratio
Pooled negative likelihood ratio
Pooled diagnostic DOR
AUC
Overall60 (53-67)92 (90-94)8.0 (5.8-11.0)0.43 (0.36-0.52)19 (11-30)0.88 (0.85-0.91)
The purpose of testing
CRC screening64 (59-69)92 (91-93)8.5 (7.1-10.1)0.39 (0.33-0.45)22 (16-30)0.92 (0.89-0.94)
Assessment of recurrence54 (42-67)93 (88-96)7.4 (3.9-14.2)0.49 (0.37-0.66)15 (6-37)0.85 (0.81-0.88)
The definition of positive results
At least one PCR replicate59 (50-67)91 (89-93)6.6 (4.6-9.5)0.45 (0.36-0.56)15 (8-26)0.87 (0.84-0.90)
Set a specific threshold61 (49-72)94 (87-96)10.5 (6.1-17.9)0.42 (0.31-0.57)25 (12-55)0.91 (0.88-0.93)