Published online Jan 21, 2025. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v31.i3.100393
Revised: November 12, 2024
Accepted: December 2, 2024
Published online: January 21, 2025
Processing time: 127 Days and 2 Hours
Prognostication of compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) is of paramount importance for the physician-and-patient communication and for rational clinical decisions. The paper published by Dallio et al reports on red cell distribution width (RDW)/platelet ratio (RPR) as a non-invasive biomarker in predicting decompensation of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-related cACLD. Differently from other biomarkers and al
Core Tip: A recent paper published in World Journal of Gastroenterology reports on the utility of red cell distribution width (RDW)/platelet ratio, a non-expensive and universally available biomarker based on RDW and platelet count, in predicting decompensation of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) (MASLD-cACLD). We discuss these novel findings in the context of MASLD natural history and of a foreseeable research agenda pertaining to the stratification of MASLD-cACLD.
- Citation: Zheng MH, Lonardo A. Red cell distribution width/platelet ratio predicts decompensation of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-related compensated advanced chronic liver disease. World J Gastroenterol 2025; 31(3): 100393
- URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/1007-9327/full/v31/i3/100393.htm
- DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.3748/wjg.v31.i3.100393
Prognostication of chronic diseases is of paramount clinical importance, as it provides strong grounds for the commu
In 2015, the definition of “compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD)’’ was proposed to identify those asymptomatic patients who are at risk of developing clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH)[3]. These subjects, who need hepatological referral and are often detected by transient elastography, belong, in a continuum, to the spectrum of severe fibrosis and cirrhosis, and distinguishing between the two is not invariably possible clinically[3]. In 2023, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) were renamed metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)[4]. Although this novel nomenclature poses some challenges[5] and has been received with some controversy[6], NAFLD and MASLD identify the same patient population and have the identical natural course[7].
With this backset, Dallio et al[8] have recently reported the utility of red cell distribution width (RDW)/platelet ratio (RPR) as a non-invasive biomarker in predicting decompensation of MASLD-related cACLD (MASLD-cACLD). At variance with other biomarkers and algorithms, RPR is cheap and universally available, being computed based on RDW and platelet count, which are part of a complete blood count. RDW is less specific; conversely, decreased platelet count is more specific and has been used in the hepatological clinic for decades.
The present invited editorial examines and comments on the novel findings by Dallio et al[8]. To this end, the natural history and non-invasive approach to the diagnosis of MASLD-cACLD are first reviewed. Next the physiological bases and clinical investigations regarding RPR are addressed, and the strengths and limitations of the study by Dallio et al[8] are discussed. Finally, we examine a research agenda aimed at confirming and expanding these novel findings.
Based on the NAFLD paradigm, it is reasonable to assume that the primary cause of mortality among MASLD subjects is cardiovascular, followed by extra-hepatic cancers while liver-related mortality ranks only third[9,10]. This implies that all biomarkers that aim at stratifying MASLD patients should also be validated in the context of major adverse cardio
Decompensation represents a dramatic turning point in the natural history of cirrhosis given that life expectancy of patients with compensated cirrhosis is > 12 years as compared to approximately 2 years for those with decompensated disease[1]. To make things more complex, in the MASLD context, analysis of competing risks (i.e., extrahepatic outcomes) should also be conducted and assessment of liver fibrosis offers the best definition of the various hepatic and non-hepatic outcomes[12]. Although precisely defined by histological stages, liver fibrosis can also be assessed non-invasively with a variety of “dry” (imaging-based) and “wet” (blood-based) biomarkers, algorithms, and their sequential application[13-16].
Further to these, at least in the research arena, it is important to stratify patients accurately based on MASLD phenotypes comprising detailed genetic, clinical, biochemical, and histological profiles. For example, characterization of age, sex, ethnicity, lifestyle habits, genetics, obesity, glycemic control, and usage of drugs which may affect disease progression[17-21], and presence/or absence and quantification of steatosis, inflammation, and fibrosis are all key to defining the risk of future decompensation[22-25].
Various experts, reporting that MASLD exhibits different pathophysiological and clinical diversity, pinpoint the importance of precision medicine approaches in this arena[26-29]. Among the most significant contributions, Yi et al[30] leveraged cluster analysis to identify three distinct clinical and prognostic clusters with different metabolic profiles in a population-based cohort from the United States. Ye et al[31] using a different statistical approach in Chinese and United Kingdom population-based cohorts, identified five different clusters with variable odds of developing type 2 diabetes, coronary artery disease, stroke, survival, and all-causes mortality. Martínez-Arranz et al[32] with a combined approach comparing experimental mouse model and serum metabolome from a large cohort of subjects with biopsy-proven MASLD, identified three MASLD phenotypes which, irrespective of liver histology, may explain variable (hepatic versus cardiovascular) outcomes, thereby providing clinically relevant risk stratification. Finally, Ampuero et al[33] in a large multi-center patient cohort, identified three distinct patterns of altered liver enzymes, which portend useful information on liver histology and mortality.
Changes in RDW values have been associated with extremely diverse clinical conditions spanning from elevated glycosylated hemoglobin in the elderly[34], to autoimmune disorders[35], cancers[36], sepsis[37], aortic diseases[38], acute appendicitis[39], and carbon monoxide poisoning[40]. Therefore, RDW seemingly mirrors the entity of the host’s pathophysiological (inflammatory and/or immuno-metabolic) response to a variety of disease stimuli. Conversely, decreased platelet count is a more specific finding, which has been used in the hepatological clinic to discriminate cirrhotic from non-cirrhotic chronic liver disease (CLD) since the early 1980s[41].
These general considerations may help to understand the impressive heterogeneity of the non-hepatic conditions in which RPR has been qualified as a useful biomarker (Table 1)[42-56].
Ref. | Method | Findings | Conclusion |
Acute conditions | |||
Cetinkaya et al[43], 2014 | Totally 102 patients with AP were recruited | RPR with a cutoff value of 0.000067 presented an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.783 (95%CI: 0.688-0.878) and predicted the mortality of approximately 80% of the patients | RPR is a valuable biomarker of mortality in AP |
Pusuroglu et al[44], 2015 | Totally 470 consecutive patients with STEMI submitted for primary PCI were prospectively enrolled | At LRA, high RPR was an independent predictor of one-year cardiovascular mortality (P = 0.003, OR = 3.106, 95%CI: 1.456-6.623) | RPR is an inexpensive and readily available biomarker which offers additional risk stratification in predicting long-term MACE and cardiovascular mortality in STEMI |
Celık et al[42], 2015 | Totally 580 STEMI patients were divided into two groups according to thrombolysis in myocardial infarction flow grades after primary PCI | At LRA, RPR was among the independent predictors of no-reflow after primary PCI. In its turn, being in the no-reflow group compared to the reflow patients was associated with higher odds of in-hospital MACE, and cardiovascular mortality | RPR is among the independent predictors of no-reflow and in-hospital MACE among patients with STEMI undergoing primary PCI |
Karabulut and Arcagok[45], 2020 | RPR was compared to C-reactive protein and procalcitonin to investigate the potential to predict EOS in newborns | RPR and other biomarkers had higher values in proven EOS than in the controls | RPR may be used in the diagnosis of EOS among newborns as a good alternative to other tools |
Lehmann et al[46], 2021 | Totally 102 subjects with deep-seated ICH were included | At LRA elevated RPR ≥ 0.06 was among the independent predictors of 90-day mortality | RPR, as a biomarker of inflammation, might serve for prognostic assessment in deep-seated ICH |
Jiang et al[47], 2022 | Totally 47 individuals with MSA, 125 subjects with Parkinson’s disease, and 124 healthy controls were enrolled | At LRA, RPR was associated with the risk of MSA | Patients with MSA probably have peripheral inflammatory reaction |
Liu et al[48], 2022 | Totally 3367 patients with sepsis were enrolled | After adjustment for confounders, high RPR was significantly associated with increased mortality both for categorical and continuous variables (adjusted HR = 1.210, 95%CI: 1.045–1.400; and adjusted HR = 2.826, 95%CI: 2.025–3.944, respectively) | Elevated RPR values predict 28-day mortality in patients with sepsis |
Wang et al[49], 2022 | Totally 45 newborns were included in each of three groups of different severity; mild, moderate, and severe conditions based on SNAPE-II | A positive correlation was found between the SNAPE-II scores and RPR among newborns in NICU | Further to the SNAPE-II, also RPR can be used as a supplementary predictor biomarker for the assessment of neonatal morbidity and mortality in NICU |
Liang et al[50], 2023 | Retrospective cohort study of 2823 adults with ICH | After adjustment for confounding factors, the 3rd tertile of RPR values, compared to the 1st tertile, was associated with increased odds of 30-day death in patients with ICH (HR = 1.37, 95%CI: 1.15–1.64) | Among subjects with ICH, elevated RPR levels predict 30-day mortality |
Kasirer et al[51], 2024 | Totally 69 infants with NEC and 78 controls were enrolled | RPR was significantly associated with both NEC diagnosis (P < 0.0001) and mortality (P = 0.01). However, at LRA only variations of platelet count from birth to diagnosis remained significant | The often-elusive attempts to definitively diagnose NEC among preterm newborns may benefit from largely available, cheap, and easily calculated platelet indices |
Chronic and acute-on chronic conditions | |||
Özer Bekmez et al[52], 2018 | A cohort of 112 infants with medically treated hsPDA and 96 controls were recruited | At LRA analysis, high RPR (OR = 3.3, 95%CI: 1.438-5.872, P < 0.05) was one of the independent risk factors for hsPDA | RPR is a promising biomarker for the diagnosis of hsPDA |
Bilgin et al[53], 2019 | Totally 312 CRC patients were enrolled | Among subjects with right-sided advanced cancer, OS was statistically significantly better for those with RPR ≥ 0.05 compared to those with RPR < 0.05 (median OS; RPR ≥ 0.05: 24.8 months vs < 0.05: 13.9 months; P = 0.035) | After validation, RPR can be used as a prognostic marker in CRC |
Dagistan and Cosgun[54], 2019 | Retrospective survey of 1342 subjects submitted to cranial MRI | A statistically significant difference was found in RPR values among the various study groups (Fazekas 0 to Fazekas 3) (P < 0.001) | Increased RPR values may suggest higher Fazekas's score and dementia in cranial MRI studies |
Guler Kazanci et al[55], 2019 | Totally 481 infants were recruited (169 with hsPDA and 312 controls) | RPR was significantly higher in the hsPDA group (P < 0.05). At LRA RPR > 0.070 (risk ratio = 5.33; 95%CI: 3.28-8.65; P < 0.001) was among the independent predictors of hsPDA | High RPR values in the first hours of life are a risk factor for hsPDA (and hsPDA refractive to ibuprofen treatment) in preterm infants |
Chen et al[56], 2023 | Totally 1922 AECOPD adults participating in the MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV; and 1738 AECOPD patients from Emergency Intensive Care Unit Collaborative Research Database were recruited | After adjusting for confounders, Log (RPR×1000) was associated with elevated risk of in-hospital mortality of AECOPD patients (OR = 1.36, 95%CI: 1.01–1.84) | Among AECOPD patients RPR was associated with in-hospital mortality |
Indeed, it would be quite difficult to understand what such clinically and physiopathologically diverse conditions as those shown in Table 1 (spanning from acute pancreatitis, to MACE in myocardial infarction, hemodynamically signi
Probably the same physiopathological explanation accounts for the finding that RPR predicts mortality among those with myocardial infarction[42,57] and heart failure[58].
However, as shown in Table 2, RPR has also been used in the assessment of the severity of liver fibrosis across a variety of different etiologies of CLD[59-73]. Findings tend to consistently indicate that RPR is an accurate descriptor of fibrosis severity and may be therefore of value in distinguishing cirrhotic from non-cirrhotic CLD owing to different viral and non-viral causes. While the others evaluated fibrosis, only one prior study by Zhang et al[59], looked at mortality. These authors assessed 168 subjects with hepatitis B virus-decompensated cirrhosis, 21 of whom died within 30 days. At multivariate analysis, RPR and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score were independent predictors of outcome. Interestingly, RPR had a predictive value like that of the MELD score and combined RPR and MELD score further improved the predictive accuracy for mortality.
Ref. | Method | Findings | Conclusion |
Taefi et al[60], 2015 | Totally 152 subjects with native livers and 70 with transplanted livers were recruited | In the native liver group RPR showed the strongest correlation with the degree of fibrosis (P < 0.001), AUC for cirrhosis = 0.684. However, in the transplanted liver group, none of the variables was significantly correlated with the stages of fibrosis nor did it predict cirrhosis | While it can be a strong predictor of the stage of fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with CHB hepatitis and native liver, the use of RPR is limited among those with transplanted livers |
Cengiz and Ozenirler[61], 2015 | Totally 123 consecutive individuals with biopsy-proven NAFLD were analyzed | AUROC of the RPR was 0.69 in predicting significant fibrosis (≥ F2), 0.81 in advanced fibrosis (≥ F3), and 0.85 in F4, and all were statistically significant (P < 0.001). RPR was correlated with fibrosis (r = 0.37, 95%CI: 0.21-0.52, P < 0.001). At LRA, RPR independently predicted both significant and advanced fibrosis (P < 0.05) | The finding that RPR predicted liver fibrosis may be useful to reduce liver biopsy burden in NAFLD |
Koksal et al[62], 2016 | Totally 228 individuals with biopsy-proven CHB were enrolled | Statistically significant increases in all scores, including RPR, and decrease in platelet count were observed as the fibrosis level increased. However, RPR (and platelet count) were best in demonstrating advanced fibrosis | While they cannot replace liver biopsy for diagnosis, noninvasive scores such as APRI score can be used for monitoring the response to treatment with entecavir and tenefovir |
Karagöz et al[63], 2016 | Totally 98 biopsy-proven treatment-naïve CHC patients were recruited | The AUC of RPR (cut-off = 0.07 Fl) for predicting significant fibrosis was 0.705, which was superior to other non-invasive indices of fibrosis | RPR values, being significantly higher in patients with CHC, and associated with the severity of fibrosis, can be used to predict advanced liver histology, thereby decreasing the need of liver biopsy |
Huang et al[64], 2017 | Totally 256 CHB subjects were recruited | The diagnostic performance of GPR was not significantly different from APRI, FIB-4, and RPR in identifying significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, but it was significantly superior to area at risk and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in both HBeAg positive CHB and HBeAg negative CHB | GPR does not show any advantages over APRI, FIB-4, and RPR in identifying significant liver fibrosis, advanced liver fibrosis, and liver cirrhosis among Chinese subjects with HBeAg positive CHB or HBeAg negative CHB |
Ferdous et al[65], 2018 | Totally 40 subjects with CHB were enrolled | RPR was positively correlated with stages of hepatic fibrosis (Spearman's correlation coefficient = 0.749, P < 0.001) | Among CHB patients RPR values are strongly associated with stages of increasing severity of hepatic fibrosis |
Liu et al[66], 2019 | Totally 123 individuals with CHB were enrolled | The AUC values for RPR for the diagnoses of substantial fibrosis, severe fibrosis, and cirrhosis were 0.692, 0.732, and 0.808, respectively | Among CHB patients two-dimensional shear wave elastography is significantly more accurate than other non-invasive indices, including RPR, in the diagnosis of substantial fibrosis, severe fibrosis, and cirrhosis (P < 0.05) |
Milas et al[67], 2019 | Meta-analysis of 18 published studies totaling approximately 1800 patients for each outcome | Sensitivity, specificity, and AUC were as follows: (1) Significant fibrosis: 0.635, 0.769, and 0.747; (2) Advanced fibrosis: 0.607, 0.783, and 0.773; and (3) Cirrhosis: 0.739, 0.768, and 0.818. Similar findings, in all outcomes, were registered for CHB. Subgroup analysis indicated a high specificity for advanced fibrosis detection in PBC. For patients with advanced fibrosis, studies outside of China showed a higher sensitivity than investigations performed in China | With AUC > 0.7 for all outcomes and AUC > 0.8 for cirrhosis, RPR is a good biomarker of fibrosis, particularly among the most advanced forms of CLD |
Jiang et al[68], 2020 | Totally 118 biopsy-proven PBC subjects were recruited | The AUROC of RPR for predicting advanced fibrosis was 0.517 | The AUROC of the total bile acid to platelet ratio in diagnosing fibrosis among PBC subjects was higher than that of other non-invasive serological models, including RPR |
Gozdas and Ince[69], 2020 | Totally 81 subjects with HCV chronic infection were enrolled | RPR values of those with severe fibrosis were significantly higher than those of the mild fibrosis group (P < 0.05). However, MPV/P had the biggest AUROC in the prediction of advanced fibrosis | MPV/P is an easy and practical biomarker to gain a preliminary insight into advanced fibrosis among subjects with chronic HCV infection |
O’Hara et al[70], 2020 | Cross-sectional survey of 8099 individuals in South-Western Uganda | In this study, RPR scores were excluded from further statistical analysis given that only few individuals had an elevated score | This population-based cohort study did not have statistical power sufficient to detect any factors associated with abnormal RPR scores given that only few subjects had an elevated RPR score |
Chen et al[71], 2020 | Retrospective analysis of 1005 CHB patients submitted to liver biopsies and laboratory profiling | Stepwise applying RPR, GPR, and easy liver fibrosis test would accurately discriminate 60% of patients as having either cirrhosis or no cirrhosis | Stepwise applying routine tests could be a strategy for cirrhosis detection in resource-limited settings |
Ramzy et al[72], 2021 | Cross-sectional analysis of 197 Egyptians with CHC | RPR values were significantly different among subjects with various fibrosis stages (P < 0.01) and RPR cut-off values of 0.007 and 0.008 were reliable predictors of significant and advanced fibrosis, respectively. However, at LRA, RPR was not an independent predictor of fibrosis | While having fair sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and overall accuracy for predicting significant fibrosis in patients with CHC, RPR was not an independent predictor of fibrosis at LRA |
Zhang et al[59], 2023 | Totally 168 HBVDC patients were enrolled | AT LRA, RPR (together with MELD score) was an independent predictor of mortality at 30 days. RPR and MELD score had similar predictive value and the combination of the two indexes further improved their predictive value for mortality | RPR is a reliable biomarker for the prediction of mortality at 30 days among HBVDC subjects |
Nawalerspanya et al[73], 2024 | Retrospective cross-sectional study of 139 individuals with biopsy-proven AIH or AIH-PBC overlap syndrome | With an AUROC of 0.742, RPR distinguishes cirrhosis from non-cirrhosis stages of CLD better than FIB-4 and APRI | In distinguishing cirrhotic from non-cirrhotic CLD among individuals with either AIH or AIH-PBC, RPR is more accurate than other non-invasive biomarkers of fibrosis |
Of 150 consecutive MASLD-cACLD patients [identified with liver stiffness measurement (LSM)], 28.6% progressed to decompensated advanced CLD after a median of 28.9 months. At the baseline, cACLD subjects had higher RPR [as well as MELD, Child-Pugh class, aspartate aminotransferase/platelet count ratio (APRI), fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), Albumin-Bilirubin, and LSM] than 40 consecutive healthy controls. RPR (P = 0.02) and the presence of baseline-CSPH [defined according to the Baveno VI criteria[3] were associated with the event of decompensation (P = 0.02 and P = 0.04, respectively)]. Patients who, at the baseline, had CSPH and RPR > 0.472 exhibited significantly more elevated odds of hepatic decompensation (P = 0.0023). Finally, changes of RPR and LSM occurring during follow-up were strongly correlated to each other, which suggests that RPR faithfully mirrors the dynamic course of CLD.
Although this is a well-designed and well-conducted investigation, future large-sized, multi-ethnic confirmative studies are necessary with direct assessment of portal hypertension and, ideally, liver histology assessment. In this regard, it must be emphasized that portal hypertension may be found also among non-cirrhotic MASLD patients owing to a variety of mechanobiological pathomechanisms that characterize this condition[74].
MASLD is a recent re-definition of NAFLD and MAFLD, and cACLD is a descriptor of asymptomatic subjects with elevated LSM and in need of hepatological evaluation. Stratification of the risk of decompensation among MASLD-cACLD, a fundamental piece of information to implement any decision making, may be based on a variety of non-invasive biomarkers and algorithms previously discussed in the present editorial and other promising ones that appear on the horizon[75,76].
To these, the recent study by Dallio et al[8] has added also RPR. Given the striking heterogeneity of MASLD pa
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