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Copyright: ©Author(s) 2026. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. No commercial re-use. See permissions. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc.
World J Gastroenterol. Jun 28, 2026; 32(24): 118757
Published online Jun 28, 2026. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v32.i24.118757
Three-dimensional psoas muscle volume and longitudinal changes as predictors of outcomes in older patients with advanced pancreatic cancer
Yu Akazawa, Masahiro Ohtani, Yosuke Murata, Tomoko Tanaka, Takuto Nosaka, Kazuto Takahashi, Tatsushi Naito, Yasunari Nakamoto
Yu Akazawa, Masahiro Ohtani, Yosuke Murata, Tomoko Tanaka, Takuto Nosaka, Kazuto Takahashi, Tatsushi Naito, Yasunari Nakamoto, Department of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Fukui, Fukui 910-1193, Japan
Author contributions: Akazawa Y, Ohtani M, and Nakamoto Y designed this study; Akazawa Y collected all the data and wrote the manuscript; Akazawa Y and Ohtani M analyzed the data; all authors critically reviewed and provided final approval of the manuscript, and were responsible for the decision to submit the manuscript for publication.
Supported by Japan Society for the Promotion of Science KAKENHI Grant-in-Aid for Scientific Research, No. 25K19290.
Institutional review board statement: This study was approved by the Institutional Review Board of the University of Fukui, No. 20220008.
Informed consent statement: The Ethics Committee waived the need for written informed consent for this retrospective study.
Conflict-of-interest statement: All the authors report no relevant conflicts of interest for this article.
Data sharing statement: No additional data are available.
Corresponding author: Yasunari Nakamoto, MD, PhD, Professor, Department of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medical Sciences, University of Fukui, 23-3 Matsuoka Shimoaizuki, Eiheiji-Cho, Yoshida-Gun, Fukui 910-1193, Japan. nakamoto-med2@med.u-fukui.ac.jp
Received: January 12, 2026
Revised: February 17, 2026
Accepted: March 23, 2026
Published online: June 28, 2026
Processing time: 149 Days and 13.5 Hours
Abstract
BACKGROUND

Pancreatic cancer (PC) has one of the poorest prognoses among malignant diseases worldwide. In chemotherapy for advanced PC, the anti-tumor effect and tolerability often vary among patients, and reliable biomarkers to predict these outcomes remain unclear. Sarcopenia is recognized as an important prognostic factor in various cancers, and three-dimensional (3D) skeletal muscle volumetric analysis has recently emerged as an objective method for evaluating muscle status. However, the clinical and prognostic implications of volumetric skeletal muscle assessment in older patients with advanced PC undergoing gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel therapy have not been fully clarified.

AIM

To clarify the usefulness of 3D muscle volumetric analysis in predicting tolerability and prognosis in older patients with advanced PC.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 150 older patients (aged ≥ 65 years) with unresectable PC, including those with locally advanced and/or metastatic disease, who received first-line gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel therapy and evaluated the impact of sarcopenia on time to treatment failure (TTF), overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS). Psoas muscle volume was semi-automatically measured using a 3D image analysis system, and sarcopenia was defined by sex-specific psoas volume index cut-offs. Additionally, longitudinal muscle changes at baseline and two months after treatment initiation were evaluated to determine their prognostic relevance.

RESULTS

Forty-six (30.7%) patients were diagnosed with sarcopenia; the median TTF was significantly shorter in sarcopenic patients (59 days vs 211 days; P < 0.001). OS and PFS were also significantly worse in sarcopenic patients (median OS: 175 days vs 562 days, P < 0.001; median PFS: 88 days vs 242 days, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified sarcopenia as an independent prognostic factor for poor TTF, OS, and PFS (all P < 0.001). Severe adverse events (> grade 3) occurred more frequently in patients with sarcopenia than in those without (47.8% vs 26.9%; P = 0.015). Among 135 patients with sequential imaging, the non-sarcopenia-maintenance group (n = 72) showed significantly longer OS (median 615 days) than the sarcopenia-progression (n = 25; 205 days) and sarcopenia-maintenance groups (n = 35; 185 days; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Sarcopenia defined by 3D psoas volume index and early muscle deterioration were strongly associated with poor tolerability and survival, indicating that volumetric assessment may predict outcomes in older patients with advanced PC.

Keywords: Pancreatic cancer; Chemotherapy; Sarcopenia; Skeletal muscle volumetric analysis; Muscle volume dynamics; Tolerability; Prognosis

Core Tip: Sarcopenia is increasingly recognized as a key determinant of survival outcomes in various cancers. In this study, a three-dimensional psoas volume index was used to evaluate skeletal muscle dynamics in relation to clinical outcomes in older patients with advanced pancreatic cancer undergoing gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel therapy. Baseline sarcopenia and early muscle deterioration were strongly associated with poor tolerability, shorter time to treatment failure, and markedly reduced survival. These findings highlight that volumetric skeletal muscle assessment before and during chemotherapy may help predict clinical outcomes and contribute to more individualized treatment optimization in older patients with pancreatic cancer.

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