Published online Aug 21, 2021. doi: 10.3748/wjg.v27.i31.5272
Peer-review started: February 12, 2021
First decision: April 18, 2021
Revised: May 3, 2021
Accepted: July 20, 2021
Article in press: July 20, 2021
Published online: August 21, 2021
Processing time: 186 Days and 14.8 Hours
The rate of positive tests using fecal immunochemical test (FIT) does not decrease with subsequent campaigns, but the positive predictive value of advanced neoplasia significantly decreases in subsequent campaign after a first negative test. A relationship between the fecal hemoglobin concentration (Fhb) and the opportunity to detect a colorectal cancer in subsequent campaign has been shown.
To predict the severity of colorectal lesions based on Fhb measured during previous colorectal cancer screening campaign.
This etiological study included 293750 patients aged 50-74, living in Auvergne-Rhône-Alpes (France). These patients completed at least two FIT [test(-1) and test(0)] between June 2015 and December 2019. Delay between test(-1) and test(0) was > 1 year and test(-1) result was negative (< 150 ngHb/mL). The severity of colorectal lesions diagnosed at test(0) was described according to Fhb measured at test(-1) [Fhb(-1)]. The relationship between the severity classified in seven ordinal categories and the predictive factors was analyzed in an ordered multivariate polytomous regression model.
The test(0) positive rate was 4.0%, and the colonoscopy completion rate was 97.1% in 11594 patients who showed a positive test(0). The colonoscopy detection rate was 77.7% in those 11254 patients who underwent a colonoscopy. A total of 8748 colorectal lesions were detected (including 2182 low-risk-polyps, 2400 high-risk-polyp, and 502 colorectal cancer). The colonoscopy detection rate varied significantly with Fhb(-1) [0 ngHb/mL: 75.6%, (0-50 ngHb/mL): 77.3%, (50-100 ngHb/mL): 88.7%, (100-150 ngHb/mL): 90.3%; P = 0.001]. People with a Fhb(-1) within (100-150 ngHb/mL) (P = 0.001) were 2.6 (2.2; 3.0) times more likely to have a high severity level compared to those having a Fhb(-1) value of zero. This risk was reduced by 20% in patients aged 55-59 compared to those aged < 55 [adjusted odds ratio: 0.8 (0.6; 1.0)].
The study showed that higher Fhb(-1) is correlated to an increased risk of severity of colorectal lesions. This risk of severity increased among first-time participants (age < 55) and the elderly (≥ 70). To avoid the loss of chance in these age groups, the FIT positivity threshold should be reduced to 100 ngHb/mL. The other alternative would be to reduce the time between the two tests in these age groups from the current 2 years to 1 year.
Core Tip: The study showed that the severity of the colonic lesions increases with a high concentration of fecal hemoglobin measured in previous test. The elderly (≥ 70 years) had a high proportion of positive colonoscopy when the fecal hemoglobin concentration measured in previous campaign was between 100 and 150 ngHb/mL. Younger patients (age < 54) were likely to have a high-severity neoplasia. Given these results, the recommendation to reduce the FIT positivity threshold to 100 ngHb/mL for first-time participants and the elderly (aged ≥ 70) should attract the attention of the decision-making authority.