Meta-Analysis
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2021.
World J Meta-Anal. Aug 28, 2021; 9(4): 353-376
Published online Aug 28, 2021. doi: 10.13105/wjma.v9.i4.353
Table 1 Main results for endpoint: Tested positive for coronavirus disease 2019
Selection of estimates1Statistic2Ever vs neverCurrent vs non-currentCurrent vs neverFormer vs neverClosest to currentClosest to never
Population = general3
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.04 (0.79-1.37)0.76 (0.56-1.02)0.87 (0.52-1.47)1.09 (0.94-1.28)0.78 (0.57-1.06)0.89 (0.73-1.09)
n575577
CEE (95%CI)1.10 (0.70-1.72)0.93 (0.43-2.01)0.96 (0.42-2.17)1.10 (0.86-1.40)0.96 (0.42-2.17)1.10 (0.70-1.72)
n333333
UEE (95%CI)0.71 (0.63-0.80)0.56 (0.43-0.75)0.45 (0.36-0.55)0.92 (0.80-1.05)0.56 (0.42-0.75)0.65 (0.55-0.77)
n131133
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)1.04 (0.83-1.29)0.79 (0.51-1.22)0.90 (0.46-1.78)1.13 (0.97-1.31)0.80 (0.53-1.22)0.89 (0.74-1.08)
n575577
Population = tested for COVID-194
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)0.71 (0.60-0.84)0.61 (0.52-0.71)0.52 (0.43-0.64)0.97 (0.86-1.09)0.55 (0.47-0.65)0.70 (0.63-0.77)
n1013881717
CEE (95%CI)0.77 (0.56-1.05)0.60 (0.45-0.79)0.53 (0.34-0.83)0.90 (0.76-1.08)0.58 (0.43-0.80)0.77 (0.64-0.92)
n454455
UEE (95%CI)0.67 (0.52-0.86)0.62 (0.51-0.75)0.49 (0.42-0.58)1.04 (0.85-1.28)0.55 (0.45-0.67)0.67 (0.58-0.78)
n68441111
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)0.72 (0.62-0.85)0.61 (0.50-0.73)0.53 (0.46-0.61)0.97 (0.87-1.09)0.55 (0.46-0.66)0.71 (0.64-0.79)
n1012881717
Table 2 Main results for endpoint: Hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019
Selection of estimates1Statistic2Ever vs neverCurrent vs non-currentCurrent vs neverFormer vs neverClosest to currentClosest to ever
Population = positive for COVID-193
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.34 (1.13-1.60)1.00 (0.86-1.16)1.05 (0.84-1.32)1.31 (0.93-1.85)1.31 (1.12-1.54)1.38 (1.17-1.63)
n191311112222
CEE (95%CI)1.00 (0.76-1.32)0.90 (0.76-1.07)0.82 (0.52-1.30)0.87 (0.67-1.12)0.96 (0.79-1.18)0.93 (0.80-1.08)
n664488
UEE (95%CI)1.53 (1.14-2.06)1.03 (0.75-1.41)1.13 (0.81-1.59)1.77 (1.04-3.04)1.44 (1.03-2.01)1.71 (1.24-2.36)
n106661111
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)1.64 (1.41-1.91)0.97 (0.71-1.32)1.20 (1.01-1.42)1.75 (1.35-2.27)1.47 (1.21-1.77)1.72 (1.46-2.02)
n181311112121
Table 3 Main results for endpoint: Admitted to intensive care unit
Selection of estimates1Statistic2Ever vs neverCurrent vs non-currentCurrent vs neverFormer vs neverClosest to currentClosest to ever
Population = positive for COVID-193
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.57 (1.14-2.17)0.87 (0.67-1.12)0.94 (0.60-1.48)1.55 (1.00-2.42)1.13 (0.82-1.54)1.40 (1.09-1.80)
n765588
CEE (95%CI)1.68 (1.15-2.46)0.85 (0.77-0.94)0.61 (0.11-3.36)1.58 (0.97-2.57)1.14 (0.54-2.41)1.30 (0.74-2.31)
n221133
UEE (95%CI)1.42 (0.94-2.14)0.94 (0.57-1.57)0.98 (0.60-1.60)1.55 (0.91-2.65)0.98 (0.60-1.60)1.42(0.94-2.14)
n444444
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)1.52 (1.04-2.22)1.03 (0.56-1.88)0.92 (0.60-1.43)1.68 (1.05-2.68)1.11 (0.62-2.00)1.61 (1.13-2.29)
n565566
Population = hospitalized with COVID-194
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.10 (0.99-1.22)0.90 (0.72-1.12)0.88 (0.72-1.08)1.21 (0.99-1.47)1.02 (0.87-1.21)1.11 (0.98-1.25)
n99661414
CEE (95%CI)1.01 (0.88-1.16)0.80 (0.61-1.04)0.81 (0.61-1.07)1.07 (0.92-1.24)0.81 (0.61-1.07)1.01 (0.88-1.16)
n111111
UEE (95%CI)1.22 (1.04-1.43)1.09 (0.93-1.27)0.96 (0.70-1.31)1.30 (1.00-1.70)1.16 (1.05-1.28)1.19 (1.08-1.30)
n87551212
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)1.20 (1.09-1.32)1.00 (0.87-1.13)0.89 (0.74-1.06)1.28 (1.10-1.48)1.05 (0.95-1.17)1.14 (1.04-1.24)
n99661414
Table 4 Main results for endpoint: Mechanically ventilated
Selection of estimates1Statistic2Ever vs neverCurrent vs non-currentCurrent vs neverFormer vs neverClosest to currentClosest to ever
Population = hospitalized for COVID-193
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.05 (0.88-1.25)1.11 (0.72-1.71)1.12 (0.60-2.09)1.16 (0.87-1.55)1.08 (0.86-1.36)1.11 (0.92-1.35)
n128551515
CEE (95%CI)1.04 (0.79-1.36)1.94 (0.40-9.49)2.77 (0.28-27.2)2.43 (0.32-18.5)0.99 (0.77-1.29)1.04 (0.79-1.36)
n722277
UEE (95%CI)1.06 (0.94-1.21)1.12 (0.60-2.09)0.76 (0.59-0.98)1.10 (0.96-1.27)1.16 (0.80-1.67)1.24 (0.99-1.54)
n553377
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)1.07 (0.92-1.26)1.10 (0.80-1.51)1.09 (0.60-1.95)1.12 (0.98-1.28)1.12 (0.98-1.38)1.17 (1.00-1.37)
n108551313
Table 5 Results for endpoint: Severe coronavirus disease 20191
Selection of estimates2Statistic3Ever vs neverCurrent vs non-currentCurrent vs neverFormer vs neverClosest to currentClosest to ever
Population = positive4
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.39 (1.07-1.80)1.04 (0.91-1.20)1.27 (0.82-1.95)1.20 (0.62-2.32)1.10 (0.97-1.25)1.10 (0.97-1.25)
n754488
CEE (95%CI)-1.02 (0.88-1.18)--1.02 (0.88-1.18)1.02 (0.88-1.18)
n010011
UEE (95%CI)1.30 (0.94-1.79)1.26 (0.82-1.93)1.27 (0.82-1.95)1.20 (0.62-2.32)1.35 (0.95-1.92)1.30 (0.94-1.79)
n544455
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)1.63 (1.27-2.10)1.17 (1.09-1.25)1.27 (0.82-1.95)1.20 (0.62-2.32)1.48 (1.13-1.94)1.45 (1.12-1.86)
n754488
Population = hospitalized5
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.15 (0.87-1.51)1.05 (0.93-1.18)0.74 (0.49-1.12)1.07 (0.87-1.32)1.08 (0.94-1.25)1.09 (0.98-1.22)
n75221010
CEE (95%CI)1.35 (0.66-2.75)0.76 (0.50-1.15)0.77 (0.51-1.17)1.06 (0.86-1.31)1.23 (0.46-3.27)1.35 (0.66-2.75)
n211122
UEE (95%CI)1.38 (1.04-1.83)1.12 (1.04-1.21)0.29 (0.03-2.64)1.25 (0.56-2.76)1.17 (0.99-1.37)1.14 (1.06-1.23)
n431166
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)1.40 (1.20-1.63)1.14 (1.04-1.24)0.89 (0.54-1.46)1.48 (1.23-1.80)1.17 (1.08-1.27)1.21 (1.12-1.29)
n652299
Table 6 Main results for endpoint: Died
Selection of estimates1Statistic2Ever vs neverCurrent vs non-currentCurrent vs neverFormer vs neverClosest to currentClosest to ever
Population = hospitalized with COVID-193
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.42 (1.19-1.70)0.99 (0.89-1.10)1.12 (0.98-1.29)1.61 (1.34-1.92)1.27 (1.08-1.49)1.42 (1.22-1.65)
n181010102525
CEE (95%CI)1.07 (0.82-1.38)0.64 (0.12-3.35)1.02 (0.70-1.49)1.15 (1.02-1.29)1.09 (0.84-1.40)1.12 (0.91-1.39)
n82331010
UEE (95%CI)1.78 (1.40-2.26)0.95 (0.77-1.16)1.18 (0.91-1.52)1.92 (1.48-2.50)1.52 (1.22-1.91)1.79 (1.47-2.19)
n96661313
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)1.59 (1.37-1.83)1.00 (0.88-1.13)1.12 (0.97-1.29)1.80 (1.48-2.17)1.33 (1.18-1.51)1.58 (1.39-1.78)
n1510992020
Population = with COVID-194
Best-adjustedAllEE (95%CI)1.41 (0.93-2.14)0.96 (0.92-1.01)0.98 (0.72-1.32)1.61 (0.79-3.29)1.08 (0.82-1.42)1.34 (0.96-1.86)
n765588
CEE (95%CI)0.99 (0.87-1.13)0.96 (0.92-1.01)0.85 (0.67-1.07)1.04 (0.91-1.19)0.96 (0.92-1.01)0.97 (0.93-1.02)
n343344
UEE (95%CI)2.07 (1.12-3.82)0.93 (0.60-1.46)1.49 (0.94-2.36)2.70 (1.11-6.58)1.59 (1.40-1.80)2.07 (1.12-3.82)
n322233
All estimatesUEE (95%CI)2.04 (1.39-3.02)1.06 (0.39-2.90)1.07 (0.72-1.58)2.58 (1.31-5.07)1.52 (0.89-2.60)2.22 (1.51-3.27)
n554466
Table 7 Results for endpoint: Worsened or died1
Selection of estimates2Statistic3Ever vs neverCurrent vs non-currentCurrent vs neverFormer vs neverClosest to currentClosest to ever
Unadjusted4EE (95%CI)1.34 (1.00-1.79)1.31 (1.06-1.62)1.21 (0.35-4.17)2.01 (0.67-6.09)1.27 (1.15-1.39)1.36 (1.15-1.62)
n553399
Table 8 Variations in best-adjusted effect estimates by level of adjustment, effect estimate type, location and study size
Factor/levelEndpoint
CP
H
IC
MV
S
M
Population
T
CP
H
H
H
H
Estimates172214151025
Estimates for closest to current smoking
AdjustmentU0.55 (0.45-0.67)1.44 (1.03-2.01)1.16 (1.05-1.28)1.16 (0.80-1.67)1.17 (0.99-1.37)1.52 (1.22-1.91)
D0.23 (0.09-0.59)1.52 (1.18-1.95)0.73 (0.56-0.96)0.85 (0.67-1.07)1.02 (0.89-1.16)1.01 (0.87-1.17)
C0.58 (0.43-0.80)0.96 (0.79-1.18)0.81 (0.61-1.07)0.99 (0.77-1.29)1.23 (0.46-3.27)1.09 (0.84-1.40)
PC----0.71 (0.41-1.23)-
PNS< 0.05< 0.001NSNS< 0.05
Estimate typeOR0.54 (0.46-0.63)1.26 (0.97-1.64)1.07 (0.87-1.32)1.13 (0.88-1.44)1.09 (0.93-1.27)1.35 (1.07-1.70)
RR0.64 (0.31-1.34)1.25 (1.20-1.31)0.90 (0.71-1.15)0.73 (0.56-0.95)-1.11 (0.87-1.40)
HR-1.10 (0.97-1.24)--1.02 (0.64-1.63)1.15 (0.89-1.50)
PNSNSNS< 0.05NSNS
LocationUnited States0.45 (0.37-0.54)1.27 (1.11-1.46)1.00 (0.81-1.22)1.02 (0.83-1.26)1.06 (0.72-1.56)1.21 (0.95-1.53)
Other0.64 (0.55-0.73)1.11 (0.48-2.57)1.08 (0.79-1.49)1.05 (0.65-1.71)1.10 (1.02-1.17)1.34 (1.07-1.69)
P< 0.01NSNSNSNSNS
Study size< 500-0.99 (0.58-1.69)1.25 (0.91-1.71)1.35 (1.02-1.80)1.02 (0.65-1.59)1.29 (0.97-1.72)
500-0.40 (0.27-0.61)1.42 (1.17-1.72)1.07 (0.69-1.65)0.92 (0.34-2.46)1.62 (1.14-2.29)1.57 (1.20-2.05)
5000-0.51 (0.39-0.66)1.43 (0.97-2.10)0.64 (0.29-1.42)0.83 (0.70-0.98)0.81 (0.56-1.19)1.03 (0.83-1.28)
50,000+0.67 (0.51-0.87)1.00 (0.85-1.18)0.97 (0.72-1.31)0.98 (0.61-1.59)1.09 (0.99-1.19)0.94 (0.82-1.07)
PNS< 0.05NS< 0.05NS< 0.01
Estimates for closest to ever smoking
AdjustmentU0.67 (0.58-0.78)1.71 (1.24-2.36)1.19 (1.08-1.30)1.24 (0.99-1.54)1.14 (1.06-1.23)1.79 (1.47-2.19)
D0.23 (0.09-0.59)1.41 (1.04-1.92)0.73 (0.56-0.96)0.85 (0.67-1.07)1.02 (0.89-1.16)1.11 (0.81-1.53)
C0.77 (0.64-0.92)0.93 (0.80-1.08)1.01 (0.88-1.16)1.04 (0.79-1.36)1.35 (0.66-2.75)1.12 (0.91-1.39)
PC----0.71 (0.41-1.23)-
P< 0.05< 0.001< 0.01NSNS< 0.01
Estimate typeOR0.67 (0.59-0.76)1.39 (1.08-1.79)1.16 (0.99-1.37)1.14 (0.91-1.42)1.10 (0.98-1.24)1.53 (1.19-1.96)
RR0.87 (0.59-1.27)1.25 (1.20-1.31)1.01 (0.89-1.15)1.02 (0.88-1.18)-1.16 (1.05-1.29)
HR-1.03 (0.95-1.11)--1.02 (0.64-1.63)1.28 (1.14-1.44)
PNS< 0.001NSNSNSNS
LocationUnited States0.65 (0.50-0.84)1.38 (1.14-1.67)1.10 (0.99-1.23)1.08 (0.90-1.30)1.15 (0.87-1.51)1.43 (1.11-1.84)
Other0.74 (0.66-0.82)1.31 (0.64-2.71)1.08 (0.79-1.49)1.05 (0.65-1.71)1.10 (1.02-1.17)1.43 (1.19-1.73)
PNSNSNSNSNSNS
Study size< 500-1.21 (0.84-1.75)1.25 (0.93-1.69)1.29 (0.95-1.76)1.06 (0.74-1.52)1.36 (1.05-1.75)
500-0.55 (0.37-0.80)1.32 (0.99-1.76)1.04 (0.92-1.18)1.24 (0.77-2.00)1.62 (1.14-2.29)1.70 (1.34-2.16)
5000-0.64 (0.50-0.81)1.71 (1.18-2.49)1.48 (1.10-2.00)0.83 (0.70-0.98)1.00 (0.83-1.22)1.27 (0.96-1.68)
50000+0.81 (0.73-0.89)0.97 (0.88-1.07)0.97 (0.73-1.28)1.10 (0.79-1.52)1.09 (0.99-1.19)0.94 (0.82-1.07)
P< 0.05< 0.01NS< 0.05NS< 0.001
Table 9 Summary of results from meta-analyses1
EndpointPopulationSmoking index = closest to current smoking
Smoking index = closest to ever smoking
Best estimate2Comorbidity adjusted3Unadjusted4Best estimate2Comorbidity adjusted3Unadjusted4
PositiveGeneral0.78 (0.57-1.06)50.96 (0.42-2.17)0.56 (0.42-0.75)50.89 (0.73-1.09)1.10 (0.70-1.72)0.65 (0.55-0.77)
PositiveTested0.55 (0.47-0.65)0.58 (0.43-0.80)0.55 (0.45-0.67)0.70 (0.63-0.77)0.77 (0.64-0.92)0.67 (0.58-0.78)
HospitalizedPositive1.31 (1.12-1.54)0.96 (0.79-1.18)1.44 (1.03-2.01)1.38 (1.17-1.63)0.93 (0.80-1.08)1.71 (1.24-2.36)
ICU admissionPositive1.13 (0.82-1.54)1.14 (0.54-2.41)0.98 (0.60-1.60)1.40 (1.09-1.80)51.30 (0.74-2.31)1.42 (0.94-2.14)
ICU admissionHospitalized1.02 (0.87-1.21)0.81 (0.61-1.07)1.16 (1.05-1.28)1.11 (0.98-1.25)1.01 (0.88-1.16)1.19 (1.08-1.30)
Mechanically ventilatedHospitalized1.08 (0.86-1.36)0.99 (0.77-1.29)51.16 (0.80-1.67)1.11 (0.92-1.35)1.04 (0.79-1.36)51.24 (0.99-1.54)
SeverePositive1.10 (0.97-1.25)51.02 (0.88-1.18)1.35 (0.95-1.92)1.10 (0.97-1.25)51.02 (0.88-1.18)1.30 (0.94-1.79)
SevereHospitalized1.08 (0.94-1.25)1.23 (0.46-3.27)1.17 (0.99-1.37)1.09 (0.98-1.22)1.35 (0.66-2.75)1.14 (1.06-1.23)
DiedPositive1.08 (0.82-1.42)0.96 (0.92-1.01)1.59 (1.40-1.80)1.34 (0.96-1.86)0.97 (0.93-1.02)2.07 (1.12-3.82)
DiedHospitalized1.27 (1.08-1.49)51.09 (0.84-1.40)1.52 (1.22-1.91)1.42 (1.22-1.65)1.12 (0.91-1.39)1.79 (1.47-2.19)