Meta-Analysis
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©The Author(s) 2021. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Meta-Anal. Aug 28, 2021; 9(4): 353-376
Published online Aug 28, 2021. doi: 10.13105/wjma.v9.i4.353
Table 1 Main results for endpoint: Tested positive for coronavirus disease 2019
Selection of estimates 1 Statistic 2 Ever vs never Current vs non-current Current vs never Former vs never Closest to current Closest to never Population = general3 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.04 (0.79-1.37) 0.76 (0.56-1.02) 0.87 (0.52-1.47) 1.09 (0.94-1.28) 0.78 (0.57-1.06) 0.89 (0.73-1.09) n 5 7 5 5 7 7 C EE (95%CI) 1.10 (0.70-1.72) 0.93 (0.43-2.01) 0.96 (0.42-2.17) 1.10 (0.86-1.40) 0.96 (0.42-2.17) 1.10 (0.70-1.72) n 3 3 3 3 3 3 U EE (95%CI) 0.71 (0.63-0.80) 0.56 (0.43-0.75) 0.45 (0.36-0.55) 0.92 (0.80-1.05) 0.56 (0.42-0.75) 0.65 (0.55-0.77) n 1 3 1 1 3 3 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 1.04 (0.83-1.29) 0.79 (0.51-1.22) 0.90 (0.46-1.78) 1.13 (0.97-1.31) 0.80 (0.53-1.22) 0.89 (0.74-1.08) n 5 7 5 5 7 7 Population = tested for COVID-194 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 0.71 (0.60-0.84) 0.61 (0.52-0.71) 0.52 (0.43-0.64) 0.97 (0.86-1.09) 0.55 (0.47-0.65) 0.70 (0.63-0.77) n 10 13 8 8 17 17 C EE (95%CI) 0.77 (0.56-1.05) 0.60 (0.45-0.79) 0.53 (0.34-0.83) 0.90 (0.76-1.08) 0.58 (0.43-0.80) 0.77 (0.64-0.92) n 4 5 4 4 5 5 U EE (95%CI) 0.67 (0.52-0.86) 0.62 (0.51-0.75) 0.49 (0.42-0.58) 1.04 (0.85-1.28) 0.55 (0.45-0.67) 0.67 (0.58-0.78) n 6 8 4 4 11 11 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 0.72 (0.62-0.85) 0.61 (0.50-0.73) 0.53 (0.46-0.61) 0.97 (0.87-1.09) 0.55 (0.46-0.66) 0.71 (0.64-0.79) n 10 12 8 8 17 17
Table 2 Main results for endpoint: Hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019
Selection of estimates1 Statistic2 Ever vs never Current vs non-current Current vs never Former vs never Closest to current Closest to ever Population = positive for COVID-193 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.34 (1.13-1.60) 1.00 (0.86-1.16) 1.05 (0.84-1.32) 1.31 (0.93-1.85) 1.31 (1.12-1.54) 1.38 (1.17-1.63) n 19 13 11 11 22 22 C EE (95%CI) 1.00 (0.76-1.32) 0.90 (0.76-1.07) 0.82 (0.52-1.30) 0.87 (0.67-1.12) 0.96 (0.79-1.18) 0.93 (0.80-1.08) n 6 6 4 4 8 8 U EE (95%CI) 1.53 (1.14-2.06) 1.03 (0.75-1.41) 1.13 (0.81-1.59) 1.77 (1.04-3.04) 1.44 (1.03-2.01) 1.71 (1.24-2.36) n 10 6 6 6 11 11 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 1.64 (1.41-1.91) 0.97 (0.71-1.32) 1.20 (1.01-1.42) 1.75 (1.35-2.27) 1.47 (1.21-1.77) 1.72 (1.46-2.02) n 18 13 11 11 21 21
Table 3 Main results for endpoint: Admitted to intensive care unit
Selection of estimates 1 Statistic 2 Ever vs never Current vs non-current Current vs never Former vs never Closest to current Closest to ever Population = positive for COVID-193 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.57 (1.14-2.17) 0.87 (0.67-1.12) 0.94 (0.60-1.48) 1.55 (1.00-2.42) 1.13 (0.82-1.54) 1.40 (1.09-1.80) n 7 6 5 5 8 8 C EE (95%CI) 1.68 (1.15-2.46) 0.85 (0.77-0.94) 0.61 (0.11-3.36) 1.58 (0.97-2.57) 1.14 (0.54-2.41) 1.30 (0.74-2.31) n 2 2 1 1 3 3 U EE (95%CI) 1.42 (0.94-2.14) 0.94 (0.57-1.57) 0.98 (0.60-1.60) 1.55 (0.91-2.65) 0.98 (0.60-1.60) 1.42(0.94-2.14) n 4 4 4 4 4 4 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 1.52 (1.04-2.22) 1.03 (0.56-1.88) 0.92 (0.60-1.43) 1.68 (1.05-2.68) 1.11 (0.62-2.00) 1.61 (1.13-2.29) n 5 6 5 5 6 6 Population = hospitalized with COVID-194 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.10 (0.99-1.22) 0.90 (0.72-1.12) 0.88 (0.72-1.08) 1.21 (0.99-1.47) 1.02 (0.87-1.21) 1.11 (0.98-1.25) n 9 9 6 6 14 14 C EE (95%CI) 1.01 (0.88-1.16) 0.80 (0.61-1.04) 0.81 (0.61-1.07) 1.07 (0.92-1.24) 0.81 (0.61-1.07) 1.01 (0.88-1.16) n 1 1 1 1 1 1 U EE (95%CI) 1.22 (1.04-1.43) 1.09 (0.93-1.27) 0.96 (0.70-1.31) 1.30 (1.00-1.70) 1.16 (1.05-1.28) 1.19 (1.08-1.30) n 8 7 5 5 12 12 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 1.20 (1.09-1.32) 1.00 (0.87-1.13) 0.89 (0.74-1.06) 1.28 (1.10-1.48) 1.05 (0.95-1.17) 1.14 (1.04-1.24) n 9 9 6 6 14 14
Table 4 Main results for endpoint: Mechanically ventilated
Selection of estimates 1 Statistic 2 Ever vs never Current vs non-current Current vs never Former vs never Closest to current Closest to ever Population = hospitalized for COVID-193 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.05 (0.88-1.25) 1.11 (0.72-1.71) 1.12 (0.60-2.09) 1.16 (0.87-1.55) 1.08 (0.86-1.36) 1.11 (0.92-1.35) n 12 8 5 5 15 15 C EE (95%CI) 1.04 (0.79-1.36) 1.94 (0.40-9.49) 2.77 (0.28-27.2) 2.43 (0.32-18.5) 0.99 (0.77-1.29) 1.04 (0.79-1.36) n 7 2 2 2 7 7 U EE (95%CI) 1.06 (0.94-1.21) 1.12 (0.60-2.09) 0.76 (0.59-0.98) 1.10 (0.96-1.27) 1.16 (0.80-1.67) 1.24 (0.99-1.54) n 5 5 3 3 7 7 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 1.07 (0.92-1.26) 1.10 (0.80-1.51) 1.09 (0.60-1.95) 1.12 (0.98-1.28) 1.12 (0.98-1.38) 1.17 (1.00-1.37) n 10 8 5 5 13 13
Table 5 Results for endpoint: Severe coronavirus disease 20191
Selection of estimates 2 Statistic 3 Ever vs never Current vs non-current Current vs never Former vs never Closest to current Closest to ever Population = positive4 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.39 (1.07-1.80) 1.04 (0.91-1.20) 1.27 (0.82-1.95) 1.20 (0.62-2.32) 1.10 (0.97-1.25) 1.10 (0.97-1.25) n 7 5 4 4 8 8 C EE (95%CI) - 1.02 (0.88-1.18) - - 1.02 (0.88-1.18) 1.02 (0.88-1.18) n 0 1 0 0 1 1 U EE (95%CI) 1.30 (0.94-1.79) 1.26 (0.82-1.93) 1.27 (0.82-1.95) 1.20 (0.62-2.32) 1.35 (0.95-1.92) 1.30 (0.94-1.79) n 5 4 4 4 5 5 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 1.63 (1.27-2.10) 1.17 (1.09-1.25) 1.27 (0.82-1.95) 1.20 (0.62-2.32) 1.48 (1.13-1.94) 1.45 (1.12-1.86) n 7 5 4 4 8 8 Population = hospitalized5 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.15 (0.87-1.51) 1.05 (0.93-1.18) 0.74 (0.49-1.12) 1.07 (0.87-1.32) 1.08 (0.94-1.25) 1.09 (0.98-1.22) n 7 5 2 2 10 10 C EE (95%CI) 1.35 (0.66-2.75) 0.76 (0.50-1.15) 0.77 (0.51-1.17) 1.06 (0.86-1.31) 1.23 (0.46-3.27) 1.35 (0.66-2.75) n 2 1 1 1 2 2 U EE (95%CI) 1.38 (1.04-1.83) 1.12 (1.04-1.21) 0.29 (0.03-2.64) 1.25 (0.56-2.76) 1.17 (0.99-1.37) 1.14 (1.06-1.23) n 4 3 1 1 6 6 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 1.40 (1.20-1.63) 1.14 (1.04-1.24) 0.89 (0.54-1.46) 1.48 (1.23-1.80) 1.17 (1.08-1.27) 1.21 (1.12-1.29) n 6 5 2 2 9 9
Table 6 Main results for endpoint: Died
Selection of estimates 1 Statistic 2 Ever vs never Current vs non-current Current vs never Former vs never Closest to current Closest to ever Population = hospitalized with COVID-193 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.42 (1.19-1.70) 0.99 (0.89-1.10) 1.12 (0.98-1.29) 1.61 (1.34-1.92) 1.27 (1.08-1.49) 1.42 (1.22-1.65) n 18 10 10 10 25 25 C EE (95%CI) 1.07 (0.82-1.38) 0.64 (0.12-3.35) 1.02 (0.70-1.49) 1.15 (1.02-1.29) 1.09 (0.84-1.40) 1.12 (0.91-1.39) n 8 2 3 3 10 10 U EE (95%CI) 1.78 (1.40-2.26) 0.95 (0.77-1.16) 1.18 (0.91-1.52) 1.92 (1.48-2.50) 1.52 (1.22-1.91) 1.79 (1.47-2.19) n 9 6 6 6 13 13 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 1.59 (1.37-1.83) 1.00 (0.88-1.13) 1.12 (0.97-1.29) 1.80 (1.48-2.17) 1.33 (1.18-1.51) 1.58 (1.39-1.78) n 15 10 9 9 20 20 Population = with COVID-194 Best-adjusted All EE (95%CI) 1.41 (0.93-2.14) 0.96 (0.92-1.01) 0.98 (0.72-1.32) 1.61 (0.79-3.29) 1.08 (0.82-1.42) 1.34 (0.96-1.86) n 7 6 5 5 8 8 C EE (95%CI) 0.99 (0.87-1.13) 0.96 (0.92-1.01) 0.85 (0.67-1.07) 1.04 (0.91-1.19) 0.96 (0.92-1.01) 0.97 (0.93-1.02) n 3 4 3 3 4 4 U EE (95%CI) 2.07 (1.12-3.82) 0.93 (0.60-1.46) 1.49 (0.94-2.36) 2.70 (1.11-6.58) 1.59 (1.40-1.80) 2.07 (1.12-3.82) n 3 2 2 2 3 3 All estimates U EE (95%CI) 2.04 (1.39-3.02) 1.06 (0.39-2.90) 1.07 (0.72-1.58) 2.58 (1.31-5.07) 1.52 (0.89-2.60) 2.22 (1.51-3.27) n 5 5 4 4 6 6
Table 7 Results for endpoint: Worsened or died1
Selection of estimates 2 Statistic 3 Ever vs never Current vs non-current Current vs never Former vs never Closest to current Closest to ever Unadjusted4 EE (95%CI) 1.34 (1.00-1.79) 1.31 (1.06-1.62) 1.21 (0.35-4.17) 2.01 (0.67-6.09) 1.27 (1.15-1.39) 1.36 (1.15-1.62) n 5 5 3 3 9 9
Table 8 Variations in best-adjusted effect estimates by level of adjustment, effect estimate type, location and study size
Factor/level Endpoint CP H IC MV S M Population T CP H H H H Estimates 17 22 14 15 10 25 Estimates for closest to current smoking Adjustment U 0.55 (0.45-0.67) 1.44 (1.03-2.01) 1.16 (1.05-1.28) 1.16 (0.80-1.67) 1.17 (0.99-1.37) 1.52 (1.22-1.91) D 0.23 (0.09-0.59) 1.52 (1.18-1.95) 0.73 (0.56-0.96) 0.85 (0.67-1.07) 1.02 (0.89-1.16) 1.01 (0.87-1.17) C 0.58 (0.43-0.80) 0.96 (0.79-1.18) 0.81 (0.61-1.07) 0.99 (0.77-1.29) 1.23 (0.46-3.27) 1.09 (0.84-1.40) PC - - - - 0.71 (0.41-1.23) - P NS < 0.05 < 0.001 NS NS < 0.05 Estimate type OR 0.54 (0.46-0.63) 1.26 (0.97-1.64) 1.07 (0.87-1.32) 1.13 (0.88-1.44) 1.09 (0.93-1.27) 1.35 (1.07-1.70) RR 0.64 (0.31-1.34) 1.25 (1.20-1.31) 0.90 (0.71-1.15) 0.73 (0.56-0.95) - 1.11 (0.87-1.40) HR - 1.10 (0.97-1.24) - - 1.02 (0.64-1.63) 1.15 (0.89-1.50) P NS NS NS < 0.05 NS NS Location United States 0.45 (0.37-0.54) 1.27 (1.11-1.46) 1.00 (0.81-1.22) 1.02 (0.83-1.26) 1.06 (0.72-1.56) 1.21 (0.95-1.53) Other 0.64 (0.55-0.73) 1.11 (0.48-2.57) 1.08 (0.79-1.49) 1.05 (0.65-1.71) 1.10 (1.02-1.17) 1.34 (1.07-1.69) P < 0.01 NS NS NS NS NS Study size < 500 - 0.99 (0.58-1.69) 1.25 (0.91-1.71) 1.35 (1.02-1.80) 1.02 (0.65-1.59) 1.29 (0.97-1.72) 500- 0.40 (0.27-0.61) 1.42 (1.17-1.72) 1.07 (0.69-1.65) 0.92 (0.34-2.46) 1.62 (1.14-2.29) 1.57 (1.20-2.05) 5000- 0.51 (0.39-0.66) 1.43 (0.97-2.10) 0.64 (0.29-1.42) 0.83 (0.70-0.98) 0.81 (0.56-1.19) 1.03 (0.83-1.28) 50,000+ 0.67 (0.51-0.87) 1.00 (0.85-1.18) 0.97 (0.72-1.31) 0.98 (0.61-1.59) 1.09 (0.99-1.19) 0.94 (0.82-1.07) P NS < 0.05 NS < 0.05 NS < 0.01 Estimates for closest to ever smoking Adjustment U 0.67 (0.58-0.78) 1.71 (1.24-2.36) 1.19 (1.08-1.30) 1.24 (0.99-1.54) 1.14 (1.06-1.23) 1.79 (1.47-2.19) D 0.23 (0.09-0.59) 1.41 (1.04-1.92) 0.73 (0.56-0.96) 0.85 (0.67-1.07) 1.02 (0.89-1.16) 1.11 (0.81-1.53) C 0.77 (0.64-0.92) 0.93 (0.80-1.08) 1.01 (0.88-1.16) 1.04 (0.79-1.36) 1.35 (0.66-2.75) 1.12 (0.91-1.39) PC - - - - 0.71 (0.41-1.23) - P < 0.05 < 0.001 < 0.01 NS NS < 0.01 Estimate type OR 0.67 (0.59-0.76) 1.39 (1.08-1.79) 1.16 (0.99-1.37) 1.14 (0.91-1.42) 1.10 (0.98-1.24) 1.53 (1.19-1.96) RR 0.87 (0.59-1.27) 1.25 (1.20-1.31) 1.01 (0.89-1.15) 1.02 (0.88-1.18) - 1.16 (1.05-1.29) HR - 1.03 (0.95-1.11) - - 1.02 (0.64-1.63) 1.28 (1.14-1.44) P NS < 0.001 NS NS NS NS Location United States 0.65 (0.50-0.84) 1.38 (1.14-1.67) 1.10 (0.99-1.23) 1.08 (0.90-1.30) 1.15 (0.87-1.51) 1.43 (1.11-1.84) Other 0.74 (0.66-0.82) 1.31 (0.64-2.71) 1.08 (0.79-1.49) 1.05 (0.65-1.71) 1.10 (1.02-1.17) 1.43 (1.19-1.73) P NS NS NS NS NS NS Study size < 500 - 1.21 (0.84-1.75) 1.25 (0.93-1.69) 1.29 (0.95-1.76) 1.06 (0.74-1.52) 1.36 (1.05-1.75) 500- 0.55 (0.37-0.80) 1.32 (0.99-1.76) 1.04 (0.92-1.18) 1.24 (0.77-2.00) 1.62 (1.14-2.29) 1.70 (1.34-2.16) 5000- 0.64 (0.50-0.81) 1.71 (1.18-2.49) 1.48 (1.10-2.00) 0.83 (0.70-0.98) 1.00 (0.83-1.22) 1.27 (0.96-1.68) 50000+ 0.81 (0.73-0.89) 0.97 (0.88-1.07) 0.97 (0.73-1.28) 1.10 (0.79-1.52) 1.09 (0.99-1.19) 0.94 (0.82-1.07) P < 0.05 < 0.01 NS < 0.05 NS < 0.001
Table 9 Summary of results from meta-analyses1
Endpoint Population Smoking index = closest to current smoking Smoking index = closest to ever smoking Best estimate 2 Comorbidity adjusted 3 Unadjusted 4 Best estimate 2 Comorbidity adjusted 3 Unadjusted 4 Positive General 0.78 (0.57-1.06)5 0.96 (0.42-2.17) 0.56 (0.42-0.75)5 0.89 (0.73-1.09) 1.10 (0.70-1.72) 0.65 (0.55-0.77) Positive Tested 0.55 (0.47-0.65) 0.58 (0.43-0.80) 0.55 (0.45-0.67) 0.70 (0.63-0.77) 0.77 (0.64-0.92) 0.67 (0.58-0.78) Hospitalized Positive 1.31 (1.12-1.54) 0.96 (0.79-1.18) 1.44 (1.03-2.01) 1.38 (1.17-1.63) 0.93 (0.80-1.08) 1.71 (1.24-2.36) ICU admission Positive 1.13 (0.82-1.54) 1.14 (0.54-2.41) 0.98 (0.60-1.60) 1.40 (1.09-1.80)5 1.30 (0.74-2.31) 1.42 (0.94-2.14) ICU admission Hospitalized 1.02 (0.87-1.21) 0.81 (0.61-1.07) 1.16 (1.05-1.28) 1.11 (0.98-1.25) 1.01 (0.88-1.16) 1.19 (1.08-1.30) Mechanically ventilated Hospitalized 1.08 (0.86-1.36) 0.99 (0.77-1.29)5 1.16 (0.80-1.67) 1.11 (0.92-1.35) 1.04 (0.79-1.36)5 1.24 (0.99-1.54) Severe Positive 1.10 (0.97-1.25)5 1.02 (0.88-1.18) 1.35 (0.95-1.92) 1.10 (0.97-1.25)5 1.02 (0.88-1.18) 1.30 (0.94-1.79) Severe Hospitalized 1.08 (0.94-1.25) 1.23 (0.46-3.27) 1.17 (0.99-1.37) 1.09 (0.98-1.22) 1.35 (0.66-2.75) 1.14 (1.06-1.23) Died Positive 1.08 (0.82-1.42) 0.96 (0.92-1.01) 1.59 (1.40-1.80) 1.34 (0.96-1.86) 0.97 (0.93-1.02) 2.07 (1.12-3.82) Died Hospitalized 1.27 (1.08-1.49)5 1.09 (0.84-1.40) 1.52 (1.22-1.91) 1.42 (1.22-1.65) 1.12 (0.91-1.39) 1.79 (1.47-2.19)