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Sagawe JS, Loake VIP, Openshaw PJM, Kemp P, Culley FJ. Aging enhances pro-atrogenic gene expression and skeletal muscle loss following respiratory syncytial virus infection. GeroScience 2025; 47:1485-1500. [PMID: 39354240 PMCID: PMC11978595 DOI: 10.1007/s11357-024-01370-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2024] [Accepted: 09/25/2024] [Indexed: 10/03/2024] Open
Abstract
Aging and many age-related health conditions are associated with skeletal muscle loss. Furthermore, older adults are more susceptible to severe respiratory infections, which can in turn lead to muscle wasting. The mechanisms by which respiratory viral infection can impact skeletal muscle in older adults are not well understood. We determined the effects of acute infection with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) on the lung and skeletal muscle of aged mice. RSV infection caused more severe disease in aged mice with enhanced weight loss, reduced feeding, higher viral load, and greater airway inflammation. Aged but not young mice showed decreased leg muscle weight at the peak of illness and decreased size of leg muscle fibers. Aged mice increased muscle-specific expression of atrophy-promoting enzymes (Atrogin-1 and MuRF-1) and failed to increase the rate of muscle protein synthesis during RSV infection. In aged mice, the changes in Atrogin-1 and MuRF-1 gene expression in skeletal muscle correlated with IL-6 levels in the lungs. These findings indicate that RSV infection of aged mice provides a model for studying the diverse adverse systemic consequences of respiratory viral infections on health and wellbeing in older adults.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Sophie Sagawe
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK
| | - Verity I P Loake
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK
| | - Peter J M Openshaw
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK
| | - Paul Kemp
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK
| | - Fiona J Culley
- National Heart and Lung Institute, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, St Mary's Campus, Norfolk Place, London, W2 1PG, UK.
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2
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Hela C, Chadli D. Commentary: Improving meta-analysis methodology: The necessity of prediction intervals and homogeneous data selection. Asia Pac J Clin Nutr 2025; 34:262-264. [PMID: 40134065 PMCID: PMC11937484 DOI: 10.6133/apjcn.202504_34(2).0013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2024] [Revised: 12/24/2024] [Accepted: 12/24/2024] [Indexed: 03/27/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Cherif Hela
- Faculty of Medicine of Tunis; University Tunis El Manar, Tunis, Tunisia
| | - Dziri Chadli
- Faculty of Medicine of Tunis; University Tunis El Manar, Tunis, Tunisia
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3
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Lawlor P, Gratton V, Cohen L, Adeli SR, Besserer E, Murphy R, Warmels G, Bruni A, Kabir M, Noel C, Heidinger B, Anderson K, Arsenault-Mehta K, Wooller K, Lapenskie J, Webber C, Bedard D, Enright P, Desjardins I, Bhimji K, Dyason C, Iyengar A, Bush SH, Isenberg S, Tanuseputro P, Vanderspank-Wright B, Parsons H, Downar J. Hospital-based specialist palliative care involvement before and during the COVID-19 pandemic: secondary analysis of a regional retrospective decedent cohort study in Ottawa, Canada. BMJ Open 2025; 15:e091331. [PMID: 40122545 PMCID: PMC11931962 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-091331] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2024] [Accepted: 03/07/2025] [Indexed: 03/25/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To determine the occurrence and clinicodemographic associations of hospital-based specialist palliative care (SPC) referral before and during the COVID-19 pandemic, timing of completed SPC consultation and comparative prevalence of 'no cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR)' orders, and end-of-life medication use, according to SPC involvement. DESIGN Cross-sectional secondary analysis of a retrospective cohort study with a pre-pandemic (November 2019 to February 2020) group (Pre-COVID, n=170) and two intra-pandemic (March to August 2020) groups, one without (COVID-ve, n=170) and one with COVID-19 infection (COVID+ve, n=85). In the cohort study, Pre-COVID and COVID-ve group decedents were matched 2:1 on age, sex and care service (internal medicine/intensive care unit (ICU)) at death with COVID+ve decedents. In our current secondary analysis, clinicodemographic variables associated with SPC referral were examined in multivariable logistic regression, reporting adjusted ORs (aORs) and 95% CIs. SETTING One quaternary and two tertiary acute care hospitals. PARTICIPANTS Decedent cohort with a terminal hospital admission (N=425). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES SPC referral (yes/no) and timing of completed SPC consultation before death. Additional outcomes included 'no CPR' status and end-of-life medication prescription and dosing. RESULTS SPC referral occurred in 70 (41.2%), 71 (41.8%) and 26 (30.6%) of the Pre-COVID, COVID-ve and COVID+ve groups, respectively (p=0.18). The aORs for SPC referral were lower for deaths in ICU (0.07; 95% CI 0.03 to 0.16) and admissions from nursing homes/long-term care (0.45; 95% CI 0.23 to 0.9), and higher for active cancer (2.5; 95% CI 1.39 to 4.39). Recipients of SPC consultation, compared with non-recipients, more frequently had a 'no CPR' order, had it placed earlier and were more frequently prescribed palliative end-of-life medications. CONCLUSIONS Hospital SPC consultation rates early in the COVID-19 pandemic were largely maintained at pre-pandemic levels. Having active cancer was positively associated with SPC referral, whereas both ICU death and having a nursing home/long-term care pre-admission source were negatively associated with referral.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Lawlor
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Valérie Gratton
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, Institut du Savoir Montfort, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Leila Cohen
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Palliative Care, Queensway Carleton Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | | | | | - Rebekah Murphy
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Palliative Care, Queensway Carleton Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Grace Warmels
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Palliative Care, Queensway Carleton Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Adrianna Bruni
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Palliative Care, Queensway Carleton Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Monisha Kabir
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Chelsea Noel
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Psychology, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Brandon Heidinger
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Western Ontario, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Koby Anderson
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - Krista Wooller
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Julie Lapenskie
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Colleen Webber
- Department of Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Daniel Bedard
- Department of Medicine, Institut du Savoir Montfort, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Paula Enright
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Isabelle Desjardins
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Khadija Bhimji
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Palliative Care, Queensway Carleton Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Claire Dyason
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Palliative Care, Queensway Carleton Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Akshai Iyengar
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Critical Care, Queensway Carleton Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Shirley H Bush
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Sarina Isenberg
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Peter Tanuseputro
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Brandi Vanderspank-Wright
- Department of Medicine, The Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- School of Nursing, University of Ottawa Faculty of Health Sciences, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - Henrique Parsons
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Medicine, Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
| | - James Downar
- Department of Medicine, University of Ottawa, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Palliative Care, Bruyère Health Research Institute, Ottawa, Ontario, Canada
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Sullivan B, Barker E, MacGregor L, Gorman L, Williams P, Bhamber R, Thomas M, Gurney S, Hyams C, Whiteway A, Cooper JA, McWilliams C, Turner K, Dowsey AW, Albur M. Comparing conventional and Bayesian workflows for clinical outcome prediction modelling with an exemplar cohort study of severe COVID-19 infection incorporating clinical biomarker test results. BMC Med Inform Decis Mak 2025; 25:123. [PMID: 40065374 PMCID: PMC11892292 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-025-02955-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2023] [Accepted: 02/26/2025] [Indexed: 03/14/2025] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE Assessing risk factors and creating prediction models from real-world medical data is challenging, requiring numerous modelling decisions with clinical guidance. Logistic regression is a common model for such studies, for which we advocate the use of Bayesian methods that can jointly deliver probabilistic risk factor inference and prediction. As an exemplar, we compare Bayesian logistic regression with horseshoe priors and Projective Prediction variable selection with the established frequentist LASSO approach, to predict severe COVID-19 outcomes (death or ICU admittance) from demographic and laboratory biomarker data. Our study serves as guidance on data curation, variable selection, and performance assessment with cross-validation. METHODS Our source data is based on a retrospective observational cohort design with records from three National Health Service (NHS) Trusts in southwest England, UK. Models were fit to predict severe outcomes within 28 days after admission to hospital (or a positive PCR result if already admitted) using demographic data and the first result from 30 biomarker tests collected within 3 days after admission (or testing positive if already admitted). RESULTS Patients included hospitalized adults positive for COVID-19 from March to October 2020, 756 total patients: Mean age 71, 45% female, 31% (n=234) had a severe outcome, of whom 88% (n=206) died. Patients were split into training (n=534) and external validation groups (n=222). Using our Bayesian pipeline, we show a reduced variable model using Age, Urea, Prothrombin time (PT) C-reactive protein (CRP), and Neutrophil-Lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has better predictive performance (median external AUC: 0.71, 95% Quantile [0.7, 0.72]) relative to a GLM using all variables (external AUC: 0.67 [0.63, 0.71]). CONCLUSION Urea, PT, CRP, and NLR have been highlighted by other studies, and respectively suggest that hypovolemia, derangement of circulation via clotting, and inflammation are strong predictive risk factors of severity. This study provides guidance on conventional and Bayesian regression and prediction modelling with complex clinical data.
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Affiliation(s)
- Brian Sullivan
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
| | - Edward Barker
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Louis MacGregor
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Leo Gorman
- Jean Golding Institute, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Philip Williams
- Department of Microbiology, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK
| | - Ranjeet Bhamber
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Matt Thomas
- Intensive Care Unit, Southmead Hospital, North Bristol NHS Trust, Bristol, UK
| | - Stefan Gurney
- Intensive Care Unit, University Hospitals Bristol and Weston NHS Foundation Trust, Bristol, UK
| | - Catherine Hyams
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Alastair Whiteway
- Department of Clinical Heamatology, Southmead Hospital, North Bristol NHS Trust, Bristol, UK
| | - Jennifer A Cooper
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Chris McWilliams
- Department of Engineering Mathematics, Faculty of Engineering, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Katy Turner
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Andrew W Dowsey
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Mahableshwar Albur
- Department of Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
- Severn Infection Sciences, Southmead Hospital, North Bristol NHS Trust, Bristol, UK.
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5
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Shergill S, Elshibly M, Hothi SS, Parke KS, England RJ, Wormleighton JV, Hudson GJ, Tunnicliffe EM, Wild J, Smith SM, Francis S, Toshner M, Sattar N, Khunti K, Brightling CE, Antoniades C, Berry C, Greenwood JP, Moss A, Neubauer S, McCann GP, Raman B, Arnold JR. Assessing the impact of COmorbidities and Sociodemographic factors on Multiorgan Injury following COVID-19: rationale and protocol design of COSMIC, a UK multicentre observational study of COVID-negative controls. BMJ Open 2025; 15:e089508. [PMID: 40050066 PMCID: PMC11887317 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2024-089508] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2024] [Accepted: 02/03/2025] [Indexed: 03/09/2025] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION SARS-CoV-2 disease (COVID-19) has had an enormous health and economic impact globally. Although primarily a respiratory illness, multi-organ involvement is common in COVID-19, with evidence of vascular-mediated damage in the heart, liver, kidneys and brain in a substantial proportion of patients following moderate-to-severe infection. The pathophysiology and long-term clinical implications of multi-organ injury remain to be fully elucidated. Age, gender, ethnicity, frailty and deprivation are key determinants of infection severity, and both morbidity and mortality appear higher in patients with underlying comorbidities such as ischaemic heart disease, hypertension and diabetes. Our aim is to gain mechanistic insights into the pathophysiology of multiorgan dysfunction in people with COVID-19 and maximise the impact of national COVID-19 studies with a comparison group of COVID-negative controls. METHODS AND ANALYSIS COmorbidities and Sociodemographic factors on Multiorgan Injury following COVID-19 (COSMIC) is a prospective, multicentre UK study which will recruit 200 subjects without clinical evidence of prior COVID-19 and perform extensive phenotyping with multiorgan imaging, biobank serum storage, functional assessment and patient reported outcome measures, providing a robust control population to facilitate current work and serve as an invaluable bioresource for future observational studies. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION Approved by the National Research Ethics Service Committee East Midlands (REC reference 19/EM/0295). Results will be disseminated via peer-reviewed journals and scientific meetings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER COSMIC is registered as an extension of C-MORE (Capturing Multi-ORgan Effects of COVID-19) on ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04510025).
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Affiliation(s)
- Simran Shergill
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Mohamed Elshibly
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Sandeep S Hothi
- Department of Cardiology, Heart and Lung Centre, Royal Wolverhampton NHS Trust, Wolverhampton, UK
- Institute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, UK
| | - Kelly S Parke
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Radiology, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachel J England
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Radiology, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Joanne V Wormleighton
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- Department of Radiology, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - George J Hudson
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Elizabeth M Tunnicliffe
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, Oxford Centre for Clinical Magnetic Resonance Research, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, John Radcliffe Hospital, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - James Wild
- POLARIS Imaging Group, The Department of Infection, Immunity and Cardiovascular Disease, The University of Sheffield Faculty of Medicine Dentistry and Health, Sheffield, UK
- Insigneo Institute for in silico Medicine, The University of Sheffield Faculty of Medicine Dentistry and Health, Sheffield, UK
| | - Stephen M Smith
- Oxford Centre for Functional MRI of the Brain, Wellcome Centre for Integrative Neuroimaging, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Sue Francis
- Sir Peter Mansfield Imaging Centre, School of Physics and Astronomy, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
- National Institute for Health Research Nottingham Biomedical Research Centre, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, UK
| | - Mark Toshner
- National Institute for Health Research Cambridge Clinical Research Facility and Biomedical Research Centre, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Naveed Sattar
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences and British Heart Foundation Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - Kamlesh Khunti
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Christopher E Brightling
- Leicester National Institute for Health Research Biomedical Research Centre (Respiratory theme), Leicester, UK
- Infection, Inflammation and Immunity, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Charalambos Antoniades
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, Oxford Centre for Clinical Magnetic Resonance Research, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, John Radcliffe Hospital, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Colin Berry
- Institute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences and British Heart Foundation Glasgow Cardiovascular Research Centre, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
| | - John P Greenwood
- Baker Heart and Diabetes Institute South Australia, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Alastair Moss
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Stefan Neubauer
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, Oxford Centre for Clinical Magnetic Resonance Research, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, John Radcliffe Hospital, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Gerry P McCann
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Betty Raman
- Division of Cardiovascular Medicine, Radcliffe Department of Medicine, Oxford Centre for Clinical Magnetic Resonance Research, National Institute for Health Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, John Radcliffe Hospital, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Jayanth Ranjit Arnold
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences and the National Institute for Health Research Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
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6
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Soleimani M, Jalilvand A. Spatial analysis of COVID-19 incidence and mortality rates in northwest iran for future epidemic preparedness. Sci Rep 2025; 15:7450. [PMID: 40032988 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-91246-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2024] [Accepted: 02/19/2025] [Indexed: 03/05/2025] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has underscored the critical need for effective public health strategies to combat infectious diseases. This study examines the epidemiological characteristics and spatial distribution of COVID-19 incidence and mortality in Zanjan Province, northwest Iran, to inform future epidemic preparedness. Using data from 39,739 hospitalized COVID-19 cases recorded between February 2020 and September 2021, sourced from the Medical Care Monitoring Center, we conducted descriptive and geospatial analyses. Demographic, clinical, and spatial variables were analyzed using logistic regression and advanced spatial techniques, including Kernel Density Estimation and Local Moran's I, to identify risk factors and disease hotspots. Results revealed that women accounted for 52% of cases, with higher incidence rates, while men exhibited higher mortality rates (7.86% vs. 7.80%). Urban areas, particularly the provincial capital, were identified as hotspots, with the highest patient density (20,384 cases per 10 km²). Comorbidities such as HIV/AIDS (OR: 4.85), chronic liver disease (OR: 3.6), chronic blood diseases (OR: 2.8), and cancer (OR: 2.5) significantly increased mortality risk, with ventilator use showing the highest odds ratio for death (OR = 91). Vaccination significantly reduced mortality, with fully vaccinated individuals experiencing a 6.3% mortality rate compared to 8.1% in unvaccinated individuals. Spatial analysis highlighted population density and mobility as key drivers of disease spread. These findings emphasize the importance of integrating spatial and epidemiological data to enhance pandemic preparedness. Targeted interventions in urban hotspots, early detection systems, and prioritizing vaccination for high-risk populations are critical for mitigating future outbreaks. This study provides a foundation for evidence-based public health strategies to strengthen global epidemic response and improve preparedness for future health crises.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mohsen Soleimani
- Assistant Professor of Medical Informatics, Metabolic Diseases Research Center, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran
| | - Ahmad Jalilvand
- Associate Professor of Pathology, Department of Pathology, School of Medicine, Zanjan University of Medical Sciences, Zanjan, Iran.
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7
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Iniesta Hernández I, Madrona Rodríguez H, Redondo González O, Torralba González de Suso M. [Validated clinical prediction model for mortality from COVID-19 in hospitalized patients. What is truly important?]. Semergen 2025; 51:102471. [PMID: 40023091 DOI: 10.1016/j.semerg.2025.102471] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2024] [Revised: 01/27/2025] [Accepted: 01/27/2025] [Indexed: 03/04/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To develop and validate a clinical prediction model aimed at improving resource management and determining the prognosis of patients hospitalized with COVID-19. MATERIALS AND METHODS A retrospective, single-center cohort study conducted at the University Hospital of Guadalajara, including 1,043 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between March and May 2020. Data were extracted from hospital records and anonymized. Demographic, clinical, laboratory, radiological, and therapeutic variables were collected, and statistical analysis was performed to identify factors associated with mortality. Logistic regression and Cox models were employed to evaluate mortality predictors. Validation was conducted by comparing ROC curves. RESULTS The median age of the patients was 70.4years (P25-P75: 59-84), with 59.2% being male, and a mortality rate of 23.2%. The most common comorbidities were hypertension (54.8%), dyslipidemia (36.3%), and diabetes (27.1%). Independent predictors of mortality included age over 80years (OR: 6.18), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (OR: 2.35), oxygen saturation <90% (OR: 1.7), multilobar pneumonia (OR: 2.4), and elevated LDH levels (OR: 1.2). The area under the curve (AUC) for the derivation model was 0.805 (P<.001), and for the validation model, the AUC was 0.78 (P<.001). CONCLUSIONS Advanced age, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, low oxygen saturation, multilobar pneumonia, and elevated LDH levels are significantly associated with increased mortality risk. The validated predictive model enables classification of patients into high- or low-risk groups, thereby facilitating improved clinical decision-making and resource management.
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Affiliation(s)
- I Iniesta Hernández
- Medicina de Familia, Centro de Salud Infante-Juan Manuel, Murcia; Medicina de Familia, Casa de Socorro de Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, España.
| | - H Madrona Rodríguez
- Medicina de Familia, Centro de Salud Infante-Juan Manuel, Murcia; Medicina de Familia, Casa de Socorro de Alcalá de Henares, Madrid, España
| | - O Redondo González
- Servicio de Medicina Preventiva, Hospital Universitario de Guadalajara, Guadalajara, España
| | - M Torralba González de Suso
- Servicio de Medicina Interna, Unidad de Investigación, Hospital Universitario de Guadalajara, Guadalajara, España; Departamento de Medicina y Especialidades Médicas, Universidad de Alcalá, IDISCAM, Madrid, España
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8
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Chun KH, Kim HJ, Kang DR, Kim JY, Kim W, Jeong YW, Han SH, Koh KK. Sex-specific impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the incidence of metabolic syndrome: a comparative study of 2018-2019 and 2020-2021. Korean J Intern Med 2025; 40:262-274. [PMID: 40102710 PMCID: PMC11938662 DOI: 10.3904/kjim.2024.288] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2024] [Revised: 10/15/2024] [Accepted: 11/20/2024] [Indexed: 03/20/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND/AIMS The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has significantly impacted global health, exacerbated metabolic health issues, and altered lifestyle behaviors. This study examined the sex-specific impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the incidence of metabolic syndrome using data from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). METHODS Data from the KNHANES VII (2018) and VIII (2019-2021), including 15,499 participants, were analyzed. The study population was stratified by sex, and further subdivisions were conducted based on the timeframe relative to the COVID-19 outbreak. Variables such as age, education level, household income, smoking status, and high-risk drinking were analyzed to assess their influence on the prevalence of metabolic syndrome. RESULTS The overall prevalence of metabolic syndrome significantly increased from 28.11% before the outbreak to 29.69% after the outbreak. Both males and females reported significant increases in waist circumference and fasting glucose levels. Age and education level differentially influenced the prevalence of metabolic syndrome between the sex. Smoking was significantly associated with increased prevalence in males, whereas high-risk drinking was associated with increased prevalence in males and decreased prevalence in females. CONCLUSION The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly increased the prevalence of metabolic syndrome with notable sex-specific differences. These findings highlight the need for sex-specific public health interventions to mitigate the impact of the pandemic on metabolic health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kyeong-Hyeon Chun
- Division of Cardiology, National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital, Goyang,
Korea
| | - Hyun-Jin Kim
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Hanyang University Guri Hospital, Hanyang University College of Medicine, Guri,
Korea
| | - Dae Ryong Kang
- Department of Precision Medicine, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju,
Korea
| | - Jang Young Kim
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University Wonju College of Medicine, Wonju,
Korea
| | - Wonjin Kim
- Division of Endocrinology, Department of Internal Medicine, CHA University School of Medicine, Pocheon,
Korea
| | - Yong Whi Jeong
- Department of Medical Informatics and Biostatistics, Graduate School, Yonsei University, Wonju,
Korea
| | - Seung Hwan Han
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Gachon University Gil Medical Center, Incheon,
Korea
| | - Kwang Kon Koh
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Internal Medicine, Gachon University Gil Medical Center, Incheon,
Korea
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Alzahrani S, Ennaceur SA, Arbaein T. Outcomes of patients in intensive care units according to COVID-19 status: analysis of 114 854 cases in Saudi Arabia. Ann Saudi Med 2025; 45:86-94. [PMID: 40189854 PMCID: PMC11973436 DOI: 10.5144/0256-4947.2025.86] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2025] [Accepted: 02/22/2025] [Indexed: 04/10/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The COVID-19 pandemic, caused by the novel severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), has profoundly affected global health systems. Healthcare systems across the globe have been pushed to their limits, with intensive care units (ICUs) witnessing a sharp rise in admissions, putting a strain on resources and personnel. OBJECTIVES Examine ICU health outcomes, including mortality, length of stay (LOS), and discharge rates, among COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients. DESIGN Retrospective, cross-sectional study. SETTING A national cross-sectional dataset provided by the Ministry of Health in Saudi Arabia. PATIENTS AND METHODS All patients admitted to ICUs across Saudi Arabia between January 1, 2022, and December 31, 2022. Patients were classified as confirmed COVID-19 cases and non-COVID-19 cases. To evaluate the ICU outcomes, the study used multivariate regression models, adjusting for covariates including age, gender, region, citizenship, and comorbidity score. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES ICU outcomes including mortality, LOS and discharge rate. SAMPLE SIZE 114 854 ICU patients. RESULTS The study population consisted of 114 854 ICU patients across various demographic and clinical categories. Mortality was found to be higher in COVID-19 patients than non-COVID-19 patients, with COVID-19 patients showing a 7% increase in mortality (OR=1.07, 95% CI: 1.02-1.12). Also, COVID-19 patients had 78% higher odds of being discharged home than the non-COVID-19 group (OR=1.78, 95% CI: 1.71-1.84). Moreover, the average LOS in the ICU was significantly shorter for COVID-19 patients than non-COVID-19 patients by 6% on average (Coefficient=-0.06, 95% CI: -0.07 to -0.03). CONCLUSION Significant differences were seen in ICU outcomes between patients with and without COVID-19, including mortality rates, discharge rates, and LOS. COVID-19 patients exhibited higher mortality rate and discharge rate, and shorter ICU LOS than those without COVID-19. LIMITATIONS The data used in this study has missing critical information such as laboratory results, socioeconomic variables, and hospitalization characteristics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sahal Alzahrani
- From the Department of Public Health, Saudi Electronic University, Jeddah, Saudi Arabia
| | | | - Turky Arbaein
- From the Department of Public Health, Saudi Electronic University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
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10
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Thaweethai T, Selvaggi CA, Ng TC, Cheng D, Cao T, Chibnik LB, Shinnick DJ, Foulkes AS. Biomarker states and risk of death among individuals hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 infection. BMC Infect Dis 2025; 25:260. [PMID: 39994606 PMCID: PMC11849268 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-025-10651-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2023] [Accepted: 02/14/2025] [Indexed: 02/26/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Identifying individuals hospitalized for SARS-CoV-2 infection at increased risk of death is crucial for clinical decision making. Analyses must consider simultaneously the multitude of biomarkers across several domains and how these biomarker profiles change over time. METHODS This electronic health records-based study included individuals hospitalized at a Massachusetts General Brigham hospital for at least 24 h within 5 days prior and 30 days after diagnosis of COVID-19. K-means clustering was used to identify profiles among 20 eligible biomarkers and proportional hazards models were used to model 30-day mortality at hospitalization and 7 days after hospitalization (i.e., landmark models). RESULTS Twelve thousand, nine hundred forty-two individuals were included, among whom 1,198 died within 30 days. Six states were identified, characterized by the following abnormalities: (1) normal/reference, (2) hematologic, (3) inflammatory and hematological, (4) metabolic, (5) kidney, hematologic, and metabolic, and (6) cardio-thrombotic, liver, and metabolic. Risk of death within 30 days was higher in States 3, 4, 5, and 6 (adjusted hazard ratios ranging from 3.6 to 7.8) compared to individuals in State 1 at hospitalization. Landmark model findings were similar. CONCLUSIONS Distinct sub-phenotypes based on biomarker profiles were identified among patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 infection, and certain phenotypes are associated with greater risk of 30-day mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tanayott Thaweethai
- Massachusetts General Hospital Biostatistics, 399 Revolution Drive Ste 1068, Somerville, MA, 02145, USA.
- Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck St., Boston, MA, 02115, USA.
| | - Caitlin A Selvaggi
- Massachusetts General Hospital Biostatistics, 399 Revolution Drive Ste 1068, Somerville, MA, 02145, USA
| | - Ta-Chou Ng
- Massachusetts General Hospital Biostatistics, 399 Revolution Drive Ste 1068, Somerville, MA, 02145, USA
| | - David Cheng
- Massachusetts General Hospital Biostatistics, 399 Revolution Drive Ste 1068, Somerville, MA, 02145, USA
- Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck St., Boston, MA, 02115, USA
| | - Tingyi Cao
- Massachusetts General Hospital Biostatistics, 399 Revolution Drive Ste 1068, Somerville, MA, 02145, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave., Boston, MA, 02115, USA
| | - Lori B Chibnik
- Massachusetts General Hospital Biostatistics, 399 Revolution Drive Ste 1068, Somerville, MA, 02145, USA
- Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck St., Boston, MA, 02115, USA
- Department of Epidemiology, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 677 Huntington Ave., Boston, MA, 02115, USA
| | - Daniel J Shinnick
- Massachusetts General Hospital Biostatistics, 399 Revolution Drive Ste 1068, Somerville, MA, 02145, USA
| | - Andrea S Foulkes
- Massachusetts General Hospital Biostatistics, 399 Revolution Drive Ste 1068, Somerville, MA, 02145, USA
- Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck St., Boston, MA, 02115, USA
- Department of Biostatistics, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, 655 Huntington Ave., Boston, MA, 02115, USA
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11
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Hammond J, Leister-Tebbe H, Gardner A, Abreu P, Bao W, Wisemandle W, Ansari W, Harrington MA, Simón-Campos A, Chew KW, Pypstra R, Rusnak JM. Alleviation of COVID-19 Symptoms and Reduction in Healthcare Utilization Among High-risk Patients Treated With Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir (NMV/R): A Phase 3 Randomized Trial. Clin Infect Dis 2025; 80:323-330. [PMID: 39523543 PMCID: PMC11848284 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciae551] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2024] [Revised: 10/21/2024] [Accepted: 11/07/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (NMV/r) is an oral antiviral treatment for mild to moderate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS This phase 2/3, double-blind, randomized (1:1) study assessed oral NMV/r 300 mg/100 mg versus placebo every 12 hours for 5 days in high-risk, unvaccinated, nonhospitalized, symptomatic adults with COVID-19 from 343 sites across 21 countries. In testing the primary endpoint of COVID-19‒related hospitalization and all-cause deaths and key secondary endpoints, including symptom duration and COVID-19‒related medical visits, type I error was controlled with prespecified sequential testing and the Hochberg procedure. RESULTS Among 2113 randomized patients enrolled from July 2021 through December 2021, 1966 (NMV/r, n = 977; placebo, n = 989) were included in the prespecified analysis population (symptom onset ≤5 days, did not receive monoclonal antibodies). NMV/r significantly reduced times to sustained alleviation (median, 13 vs 15 days; hazard ratio = 1.27, P < .0001) and resolution (16 vs 19 days; hazard ratio = 1.20, P = .0022) through day 28 and significantly reduced the number of COVID-19‒related medical visits and the proportion of patients with such visits. Hospitalized patients treated with NMV/r had shorter stays, none required intensive care unit admission or mechanical ventilation, and all were discharged to home/self-care. Fewer NMV/r-treated patients required additional treatment for COVID-19. No NMV/r-treated patients died through week 24 compared with 15 placebo-treated patients. CONCLUSIONS In addition to reducing COVID-19‒related hospitalization or death from any cause through day 28, NMV/r was found to also reduce duration of COVID-19 symptoms and utilization of healthcare resources versus placebo in patients at high risk of progressing to severe disease. CLINICAL TRIAL INFORMATION ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04960202, https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT04960202.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jennifer Hammond
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer, Collegeville, Pennsylvania, USA
| | | | - Annie Gardner
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer, Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Paula Abreu
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA
| | - Weihang Bao
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA
| | - Wayne Wisemandle
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer, Lake Forest, Illinois, USA
| | | | | | | | - Kara W Chew
- Infectious Diseases, David Geffen School of Medicine at University of California, Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California, USA
| | - Rienk Pypstra
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer, New York, New York, USA
| | - James M Rusnak
- Pfizer Research and Development, Pfizer, Tampa, Florida, USA
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12
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Su G, Li S, Zhang D, Zhou Y, Wang L, Yuan Y, Qian G, Li G, Han N, Cheng M, Li G, Zhang S, Luo H, Yang M, Zhang Y, Song Z, Xing J, Yu Z, Ren Z. Real-world effectiveness of azvudine versus nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and pre-existing diabetes. iScience 2025; 28:111907. [PMID: 39995857 PMCID: PMC11848794 DOI: 10.1016/j.isci.2025.111907] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2024] [Revised: 11/29/2024] [Accepted: 01/23/2025] [Indexed: 02/26/2025] Open
Abstract
Azvudine and nirmatrelvir-ritonavir are prioritized treatments for SARS-CoV-2 infection in China, but their effectiveness and safety in hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and pre-existing diabetes remains unknown. In this retrospective cohort study, we collected 32,864 hospitalized COVID-19 patients from nine hospitals, among which 636 azvudine recipients and 318 nirmatrelvir-ritonavir recipients were enrolled for final analysis after exclusion and propensity score matching. Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox regression analysis results showed that azvudine had a lower risk of all-cause death compared with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir for the treatment of patients with COVID-19 and pre-existing diabetes (log rank: p = 0.044; HR: 0.63; 95% CI: 0.431-0.934). No significant difference was found in composite disease progression between the two groups. Five sensitivity analyses verified the robustness of the results. Overall, azvudine may be comparable to nirmatrelvir-ritonavir in terms of both all-cause death and composite disease progression among hospitalized patients with COVID-19 and pre-existing diabetes, with acceptable adverse events.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guanyue Su
- Department of Infectious Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Antiviral Drugs, Pingyuan Laboratory, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
| | - Silin Li
- Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine, Fengqiu County People’s Hospital, Xinxiang 453300, China
| | - Donghua Zhang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Anyang City Fifth People’s Hospital, Anyang 455000, China
| | - Yongjian Zhou
- Department of Infectious Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Antiviral Drugs, Pingyuan Laboratory, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
| | - Ling Wang
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Henan Provincial Chest Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450008, China
| | - Yiqiang Yuan
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Henan Provincial Chest Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450008, China
| | - Guowu Qian
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Nanyang Central Hospital, Nanyang 473009, China
| | - Guotao Li
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Luoyang Central Hospital Affiliated to Zhengzhou University, Luoyang 471000, China
| | - Na Han
- Department of Infectious Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Antiviral Drugs, Pingyuan Laboratory, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
| | - Ming Cheng
- Department of Medical Information, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
| | - Guangming Li
- Department of Liver Disease, the Affiliated Infectious Disease Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
| | - Shixi Zhang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Shangqiu Municipal Hospital, Shangqiu 476000, China
| | - Hong Luo
- Guangshan County People’s Hospital, Guangshan County, Xinyang 465450, China
| | - Mengzhao Yang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Antiviral Drugs, Pingyuan Laboratory, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
| | - Yanyang Zhang
- Henan Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Zhengzhou 450016, China
| | - Zhan Song
- Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery, Nanyang Central Hospital, Nanyang 473009, China
| | - Jiyuan Xing
- Department of Infectious Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Antiviral Drugs, Pingyuan Laboratory, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
| | - Zujiang Yu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Antiviral Drugs, Pingyuan Laboratory, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
| | - Zhigang Ren
- Department of Infectious Diseases, State Key Laboratory of Antiviral Drugs, Pingyuan Laboratory, the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, China
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13
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Murphy DJ, Anderson W, Heavner SH, Al-Hakim T, Cruz-Cano R, Laudanski K, Kamaleswaran R, Badawi O, Engel H, Grunwell J, Herasevich V, Khanna AK, Lamb K, MacLaren R, Rincon T, Sanchez-Pinto L, Sikora AN, Stevens RD, Tanner D, Teeter W, Wong AKI, Wynn JL, Zhang XT, Zimmerman JJ, Kumar V, Cobb JP, Reuter-Rice KE. Development of a Core Critical Care Data Dictionary With Common Data Elements to Characterize Critical Illness and Injuries Using a Modified Delphi Method. Crit Care Med 2025:00003246-990000000-00468. [PMID: 39982128 DOI: 10.1097/ccm.0000000000006595] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/22/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To develop the first core Critical Care Data Dictionary (C2D2) with common data elements (CDEs) to characterize critical illness and injuries. DESIGN Group consensus process using modified Delphi approach. SETTING Electronic surveys and in-person meetings. SUBJECTS A multidisciplinary workgroup of clinicians and researchers with expertise in the care of the critically ill and injured. INTERVENTIONS The Delphi process was divided into domain and CDE portions with each composed of two item generation rounds and one item reduction/refinement rounds. Two in-person meetings augmented this process to facilitate review and consideration of the domains and by panel members. The final set of domains and CDEs was then reviewed by the group to meet the competing criteria of utility and feasibility, resulting in the core dataset. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS The 23-member Delphi panel was provided 1833 candidate variables for potential dataset inclusion. The final dataset includes 226 patient-level CDCs in nine domains, which include anthropometrics and demographics (8), chronic comorbid illnesses (18), advanced directives (1), ICU diagnoses (61), diagnostic tests (42), interventions (27), medications (38), objective assessments (26), and hospital course and outcomes (5). Upon final review, 91% of the panel endorsed the CDCs as meeting criteria for a minimum viable data dictionary. Data elements cross the lifespan of neonate through adult patients. CONCLUSIONS The resulting C2D2 provides a foundation to facilitate rapid collection, analyses, and dissemination of information necessary for research, quality improvement, and clinical practice to optimize critical care outcomes. Further work is needed to validate the effectiveness of the dataset in a variety of critical care settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- David J Murphy
- Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, Critical Care and Sleep Medicine, Department of Medicine, Emory University, Atlanta, GA
| | | | | | | | - Raul Cruz-Cano
- Department of Epidemiology & Biostatistics, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN
| | - Krzysztof Laudanski
- Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN
| | | | - Omar Badawi
- National Evaluation System for Health Technology, Arlington, VA
| | - Heidi Engel
- Department of Rehabilitative Services, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | | | - Vitaly Herasevich
- Division of Critical Care Medicine, Department of Anesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN
| | - Ashish K Khanna
- Department of Anesthesiology, Section on Critical Care Medicine, Wake Forest University, Winston-Salem, NC
| | - Keith Lamb
- Pulmonary Diagnostics & Respiratory Therapy Services, University of Virginia Medical Center, Charlottesville, VA
| | - Robert MacLaren
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, University of Colorado, Aurora, CO
| | - Teresa Rincon
- School of Nursing, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, MA
| | - Lazaro Sanchez-Pinto
- Division of Health and Biomedical Informatics, Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University, Evanston, IL
| | - Andrea N Sikora
- Department of Biomedical Informatics, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Aurora, CO
| | - Robert D Stevens
- Department of Anesthsiology and Critical Care Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD
| | - Donna Tanner
- Department of Intensive Care and Resuscitation, Cleveland Clinic, Cleveland, OH
| | - William Teeter
- Department of Emergency Medicine, University of Maryland, Baltimore, MD
| | - An-Kwok Ian Wong
- Division of Pulmonary, Allergy, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Medicine, Duke University, Durham, NC
| | - James L Wynn
- Department of Pediatrics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL
| | - Xiaohan T Zhang
- Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, MD
| | - Jerry J Zimmerman
- Division of Pediatric Critical Care Medicine, Department of Pediatrics, University of Washington, Seattle, WA
| | | | - J Perren Cobb
- Division of Trauma, Emergency Surgery and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA
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Yu W, Huang R, Sun S, Bu L, Chen X, Di Y, Lin S, Li Q, Yang Y, Ye X, Wang W, Ren R, Xi L, Zhang R, Li Y, Li X, Hou T, Ning Z, Peng Y, Wang D. Reduced functional independence and multimorbidity increases the risk of severe infection among older patients with Omicron: a multicenter retrospective cohort study. BMC Geriatr 2025; 25:84. [PMID: 39915733 PMCID: PMC11800401 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-025-05739-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2023] [Accepted: 01/24/2025] [Indexed: 02/11/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Multimorbidity and physical function in older adults have been identified as associated with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outcomes. This study aimed to investigate whether multimorbidity affects the association of impaired functional independence (FI) with critical COVID-19 among older inpatients during the peak of Omicron infection in China. METHODS This is a multicentre, retrospective cohort study in northeastern China. Patients aged ≥ 60 years, who were diagnosed with COVID-19 at the time of admission or during hospitalisation. The Barthel index was used to assess FI. Patients were classified into independent, mildly dependent, moderately dependent, and severely dependent groups. Disease severity was classified as critical, severe, and non-severe and combined into severe or critical and non-severe. Binary logistic regression analysis was used to investigate any correlation between FI and disease severity. Patients were further stratified by presence or absence of multimorbidity. FINDINGS In this study, of 1598 patients, 530 (33.17%) developed severe or critical infections during the entire hospital stay. Patients with severe dependency had 7.39 times (95% CI: [4.60, 12.15]) higher risk of serious or critical infections than those without dependency. An interaction was noted between reduced FI and multimorbidity (p for interaction < 0.001). Compared to non-multimorbid patients (OR = 3.71, 95% CI: [1.58, 9.16]), multimorbid patients (OR = 10.04, 95% CI: [5.63, 18.57]) had a more pronounced risk of severe or critical infection. CONCLUSIONS Our results provide further scientific evidence on the association between FI, multimorbidity, and disease severity in older COVID-19 patients, contributing to future health decision-making for COVID-19 and other infectious diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wan Yu
- Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, 110000, China
| | - Runnian Huang
- Beijing Institute for Brain Disorders, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China
| | - Shuning Sun
- Department of Neurology, Liaoning Jinqiu Hospital, Shenyang, China
| | - Li Bu
- Department of Geriatric Respiratory Medicine, Liaoning Jinqiu Hospital, Shenyang, China
| | - Xin Chen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Geriatric Center, The Fourth People's Hospital of Shenyang, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Yunhua Di
- Department of Endocrinology and Metabolism, Central Hospital Affiliated to Shenyang Medical College, Shenyang, China
| | - Shuwu Lin
- Department of Geriatrics, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Shenyang Medical College, Shenyang, China
| | - Qian Li
- Department of Internal Medicine, Geriatric Center, The Fourth People's Hospital of Shenyang, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Yang Yang
- The Second Affiliated Hospital of Shenyang Medical College, Shenyang, China
| | - Xingyue Ye
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Wenxu Wang
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Rui Ren
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Linze Xi
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Ru Zhang
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Yi Li
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Xin Li
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Tianbo Hou
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Zibo Ning
- Department of Health Statistics, School of Public Health, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Yang Peng
- Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, 110000, China.
| | - Difei Wang
- Department of Gerontology and Geriatrics, Shengjing Hospital of China Medical University, Shenyang, 110000, China.
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Lovett D, Woodcock T, Naude J, Redhead J, Majeed A, Aylin P. Evaluation of a pragmatic approach to predicting COVID-19-positive hospital bed occupancy. BMJ Health Care Inform 2025; 32:e101055. [PMID: 39914853 PMCID: PMC11800226 DOI: 10.1136/bmjhci-2024-101055] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/19/2024] [Accepted: 12/15/2024] [Indexed: 02/09/2025] Open
Abstract
STUDY OBJECTIVES This study evaluates the feasibility and accuracy of a pragmatic approach to predicting hospital bed occupancy for COVID-19-positive patients, using only simple methods accessible to typical health system teams. METHODS We used an observational forecasting design for the study period 1st June 2021 to -21st January 2022. Evaluation data covered individuals registered with a general practitioner in North West London, through the Whole Systems Integrated Care deidentified dataset. We extracted data on COVID-19-positive tests, vaccination records and admissions to hospitals with confirmed COVID-19 within the study period. We used linear regression models to predict bed occupancy, using lagged, smoothed numbers of COVID-19 cases among unvaccinated individuals in the community as the predictor. We used mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) to assess model accuracy. RESULTS Model accuracy varied throughout the study period, with a MAPE of 10.8% from 12 July 2021 to 18 October 2021, rising to 20.0% over the subsequent period to 15 December 2021. After that, model accuracy deteriorated considerably, with MAPE 110.4% from December 2021 to 21 January 2022. Model outputs were used by senior healthcare system leaders to aid the planning, organisation and provision of healthcare services to meet demand for hospital beds. CONCLUSIONS The model produced useful predictions of COVID-19-positive bed occupancy prior to the emergence of the Omicron variant, but accuracy deteriorated after this. In practice, the model offers a pragmatic approach to predicting bed occupancy within a pandemic wave. However, this approach requires continual monitoring of errors to ensure that the periods of poor performance are identified quickly.
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Affiliation(s)
- Derryn Lovett
- Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Chelsea & Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Thomas Woodcock
- Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Jacques Naude
- London North West Healthcare NHS Trust, London, UK
- University of the Witwatersrand Johannesburg, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Azeem Majeed
- Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Paul Aylin
- Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK
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16
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Lespezeanu DA, Kraft A, Moldovan C, Ungureanu D, Bacalbasa N. The short-term follow-up of patients with diabetes mellitus presenting with COVID-19. J Med Life 2025; 18:116-124. [PMID: 40134446 PMCID: PMC11932506 DOI: 10.25122/jml-2025-0027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2025] [Accepted: 02/23/2025] [Indexed: 03/27/2025] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has disproportionately affected individuals with diabetes mellitus (DM), significantly increasing their risk of adverse outcomes. This retrospective study aimed to explore the underlying factors contributing to the heightened vulnerability of individuals with DM to severe COVID-19. We reviewed medical records of patients diagnosed with DM from August 2020 to August 2022 and identified 60 equally divided into two groups. Group A (n = 30) included those diagnosed with an associated COVID-19 infection, while Group B (n = 30) served as the control group without a COVID-19 infection. Inflammatory biomarkers, venous blood glucose levels, and other parameters were assessed at hospital admission and again after a 14-day treatment period. Statistical analysis confirmed a strong association between diabetes and COVID-19 infection. In COVID-19 patients treated with Empagliflozin, correlations were observed between IL-1, TNF-alpha, IL-6, and blood glucose levels. Patients in Group B did not show significant improvements in inflammatory markers or blood glucose control. In contrast, in the first group, better correlations between interleukin levels and blood glucose were demonstrated, suggesting a higher success rate for that treatment. Our findings indicate that while Empagliflozin had limited efficacy in managing long-term diabetes-related complications, it might offer significant benefits in the acute phase of illness.
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Affiliation(s)
- Delia-Andreea Lespezeanu
- Ion Pavel Diabetes Center, Prof. Dr. N. C. Paulescu National Institute of Diabetes, Nutrition and Metabolic Diseases, Bucharest, Romania
- Doctoral School, Titu Maiorescu University of Bucharest, Romania
| | - Alin Kraft
- Department of General Surgery, Regina Maria Military Emergency Hospital, Brasov, Romania
| | - Cosmin Moldovan
- Department of Medical-Surgical and Prophylactic Disciplines, Faculty of Medicine, Titu Maiorescu University, Bucharest, Romania
- Department of General Surgery, Witting Clinical Hospital, Bucharest, Romania
| | - Dan Ungureanu
- Doctoral School, Titu Maiorescu University of Bucharest, Romania
| | - Nicolae Bacalbasa
- Department of Surgery, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Bucharest, Romania
- Department of Visceral Surgery, Center of Excellence in Translational Medicine, Fundeni Clinical Institute, Bucharest, Romania
- Department of Visceral Surgery, Center of Digestive Diseases and Liver Transplantation, Fundeni Clinical Institute, Bucharest, Romania
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Kim JH, Choi A, Bae G, Joo EJ, Choi MJ, Huh K, Lee H, Kim J, Kim DH, Yoo MG, Jo IU, Lee PH, Lee GW, Jung HS, Jung J, Shin JY. Selected Acute Safety Events Following the Use of Nirmatrelvir/Ritonavir or Molnupiravir for COVID-19: A Nationwide Cohort Study in South Korea. Clin Pharmacol Ther 2025; 117:445-453. [PMID: 39377297 DOI: 10.1002/cpt.3461] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2024] [Accepted: 09/23/2024] [Indexed: 10/09/2024]
Abstract
There had been concerns about the acute complications during or shortly after coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment with nirmatrelvir/ritonavir (NMVr) and molnupiravir (MOL). This study aimed to compare the risks of selected acute safety events in patients treated with or without NMVr or MOL using the COVID-19 oral treatment safety assessment data, constructed through the linkage of nationwide databases: National COVID-19 registry, Real-time Prescription Surveillance, and National Health Insurance data. We identified all adults diagnosed with COVID-19 between January and November 2022, and then constructed two cohorts by matching up to four patients without antiviral treatment records to NMVr or MOL users using propensity score matching. Outcomes of interest were incident-selected cardiac (i.e., atrial fibrillation, other arrhythmia, bradycardia), neurological (i.e., seizure, neuropathy, encephalomyelitis), and miscellaneous (i.e., acute pancreatitis, acute liver injury, dysgeusia) events. A total of 739,935 NMVr users were matched with 2,951,690 comparators and 150,431 MOL users with 759,521 comparators. NMVr users were at lower risk for developing selected cardiac events (hazard ratio 0.74 [95% CI 0.65-0.87] for atrial fibrillation, 0.81 [0.65-0.99] for other arrhythmia, and 0.82 [0.70-0.96] for bradycardia) and dysgeusia (0.58 [0.45-0.74]). For MOL users, the risk was lower for atrial fibrillation (0.72 [0.53-0.96]) and dysgeusia (0.34 [0.18-0.65]). Overall, there were no increased risks of acute complications during and shortly after treatment with oral COVID-19 antivirals. Rather, the findings underscore their effectiveness in attenuating the risk of potential acute sequelae of COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ju Hwan Kim
- School of Pharmacy, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, Korea
- Department of Biohealth Regulatory Science, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, Korea
| | - Ahhyung Choi
- School of Pharmacy, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, Korea
- Harvard-MIT Center for Regulatory Science, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Gihwan Bae
- Artificial Intelligence and Big-Data Convergence Center, Gil Medical Center, Gachon University College of Medicine, Incheon, Korea
| | - Eun-Jeong Joo
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Kangbuk Samsung Hospital, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Min Joo Choi
- Department of Internal Medicine, Catholic Kwandong University College of Medicine, International St. Mary's Hospital, Incheon, Korea
| | - Kyungmin Huh
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Samsung Medical Center, Sungkyunkwan University School of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hyungmin Lee
- Patient Management Team, Central Headquarters of COVID-19, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Korea
- Division of Immunization, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Korea
| | - Jungyeon Kim
- Patient Management Team, Central Headquarters of COVID-19, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Korea
- Division of Clinical Research, Center for Emerging Virus Research, National Institute of Infectious Disease, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Korea
| | - Dong-Hwi Kim
- Patient Management Team, Central Headquarters of COVID-19, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Korea
| | - Min-Gyu Yoo
- Patient Management Team, Central Headquarters of COVID-19, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Korea
- Division of Public Health Emergency Response Research, Bureau of Public Health Emergency Preparedness, Korea Disease Control and Prevention Agency, Cheongju, Korea
| | - Il Uk Jo
- Big Data Management Division, Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service, Wonju, Korea
| | - Poong Hoon Lee
- Big Data Management Division, Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service, Wonju, Korea
| | - Geun Woo Lee
- Big Data Management Division, Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service, Wonju, Korea
| | - Hee Sun Jung
- Big Data Management Division, Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service, Wonju, Korea
| | - Jaehun Jung
- Department of Preventive Medicine, Korea University College of Medicine, Seoul, Korea
| | - Ju-Young Shin
- School of Pharmacy, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, Korea
- Department of Biohealth Regulatory Science, Sungkyunkwan University, Suwon, Korea
- Department of Clinical Research Design & Evaluation, Samsung Advanced Institute for Health Sciences & Technology (SAIHST), Sungkyunkwan University, Seoul, Korea
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18
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Shaik KM, Kumar D, Srikanth P, Nandi S. SARS-CoV-2: A synergy to the Alzheimer's disease. J Neurovirol 2025; 31:16-23. [PMID: 39998800 DOI: 10.1007/s13365-025-01247-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2025] [Revised: 02/10/2025] [Accepted: 02/14/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025]
Abstract
COVID-19 was a nightmare in humankind's history that challenged our advanced medical technology. All credit goes to the researchers who played a crucial role in curbing COVID-19 and proved our medical technology supremacy. However, COVID-19 has left some mysterious scars on human well-being. It is believed that COVID-19 has a significant negative impact on various cardiovascular (CVS) and central nervous system (CNS) diseases, especially in the case of CNS diseases like Alzheimer's. Surprisingly, COVID-19 affects the respiratory system, whereas Alzheimer's disease (AD) alters brain function. To explain this phenomenon, several hypotheses were proposed, but the mechanism needs to be clearly understood. Another critical thing to be concerned about is that COVID-19 will worsen pre-existing conditions and lead to the onset of AD. In the race to curb COVID-19, the invention of vaccines was speeded up, and it is necessary to fight against COVID-19. However, postvaccination follow-up is mandatory when an individual is a victim of AD. In this review article, we compiled the various dreadful effects of the COVID-19 virus on AD, the Post effects of the virus on AD, and the effect of the COVID-19 vaccination on AD. This article provides a new direction for research concerning COVID-19 and AD.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khaja Moinuddin Shaik
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, National Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research (NIPER), Sector 67, S.A.S. Nagar, 160 062, Punjab, India
| | - Deepak Kumar
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, National Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research (NIPER), Sector 67, S.A.S. Nagar, 160 062, Punjab, India
| | - Pirangi Srikanth
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, National Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research (NIPER), Sector 67, S.A.S. Nagar, 160 062, Punjab, India
| | - Sukhendu Nandi
- Department of Pharmaceutical Analysis, National Institute of Pharmaceutical Education and Research (NIPER), Sector 67, S.A.S. Nagar, 160 062, Punjab, India.
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Li G, Meex RCR, Goossens GH. The role of tissue oxygenation in obesity-related cardiometabolic complications. Rev Endocr Metab Disord 2025; 26:19-30. [PMID: 39298040 PMCID: PMC11790814 DOI: 10.1007/s11154-024-09910-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/08/2024] [Indexed: 09/21/2024]
Abstract
Obesity is a complex, multifactorial, chronic disease that acts as a gateway to a range of other diseases. Evidence from recent studies suggests that changes in oxygen availability in the microenvironment of metabolic organs may exert an important role in the development of obesity-related cardiometabolic complications. In this review, we will first discuss results from observational and controlled laboratory studies that examined the relationship between reduced oxygen availability and obesity-related metabolic derangements. Next, the effects of alterations in oxygen partial pressure (pO2) in the adipose tissue, skeletal muscle and the liver microenvironment on physiological processes in these key metabolic organs will be addressed, and how this might relate to cardiometabolic complications. Since many obesity-related chronic diseases, including type 2 diabetes mellitus, cardiovascular diseases, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and obstructive sleep apnea, are characterized by changes in pO2 in the tissue microenvironment, a better understanding of the metabolic impact of altered tissue oxygenation can provide valuable insights into the complex interplay between environmental and biological factors involved in the pathophysiology of metabolic impairments. This may ultimately contribute to the development of novel strategies to prevent and treat obesity-related cardiometabolic diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Geng Li
- Department of Human Biology, Institute of Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism (NUTRIM), Maastricht University Medical Centre+, PO Box 616, Maastricht, 6200 MD, The Netherlands
| | - Ruth C R Meex
- Department of Human Biology, Institute of Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism (NUTRIM), Maastricht University Medical Centre+, PO Box 616, Maastricht, 6200 MD, The Netherlands
| | - Gijs H Goossens
- Department of Human Biology, Institute of Nutrition and Translational Research in Metabolism (NUTRIM), Maastricht University Medical Centre+, PO Box 616, Maastricht, 6200 MD, The Netherlands.
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20
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Wei J, Liu S, Bian Y, Li L, Qian B, Shen Z, Zhang Y, Abuduaini A, Dong F, Zhang X, Li J, Yu Y, Zhang W, Wang J, Zhai W, Song Q, Zheng Y, Pan W, Yu L, Zhan Q, Zhang N, Zheng J, Pan S, Yao C, Li H. Safety and efficacy of oral administrated cepharanthine in non-hospitalized, asymptomatic or mild COVID-19 patients: a Double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial : Author detials. Sci Rep 2025; 15:3875. [PMID: 39890847 PMCID: PMC11785718 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-75891-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/28/2024] [Accepted: 10/09/2024] [Indexed: 02/03/2025] Open
Abstract
Cepharanthine (CEP) is a natural remedy that potently inhibits SARS-CoV-2 activity both in vitro and in vivo. To evaluate the efficacy and safety of CEP compared with placebo in adults with asymptomatic or mild coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), we conducted a proof-of-concept, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial. Patients were randomized to receive 120 mg/day of CEP, 60 mg/day CEP or placebo for 5 days. Main outcome was the time from randomization to negative nasopharyngeal swab and safety. Among 262 randomized participants, 188 completed the trial among group of 120 mg/day CEP (n = 65), 60 mg/day CEP (n = 68) and placebo (n = 55). Neither 120 mg/day or 60 mg/day CEP shortened the time to negative significantly compared with placebo. However, 60 mg/day CEP showed a slight trend (difference=-0.77 days, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.40, 95% CI 0.97-2.01, p = 0.072). In analysis of participants with good medication compliance, 60 mg/day CEP significantly shortened the time to negative (difference=-0.87 days, HR = 1.56, 95% CI 1.03-2.37, p = 0.035). Adverse events were not different among the three groups, and no serious adverse events occurred. In conclusion, treatment of asymptomatic or mild Covid-19 with 120 mg/day or 60 mg/day did not shorten the time to negative significantly. However, 60 mg/day CEP showed a slight trend which needs future confirmatory trials to validate. (NCT05398705).
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Affiliation(s)
- Jianyi Wei
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Shupeng Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Yuexiang Bian
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Lei Li
- Department of Otorhinolaryngology-Head & Neck Surgery, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Biyun Qian
- Hongqiao International Institute of Medicine, Shanghai Tongren Hospital/School of Public Health, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Zixuan Shen
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Yan Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Adila Abuduaini
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Fuchen Dong
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Xin Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Jinhui Li
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Yongpei Yu
- Peking University Clinical Research Institute, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, 100083, China
| | - Weituo Zhang
- Clinical Research Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Jun Wang
- Department of Interventional Oncology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, No. 160 Pujian Rd, Pudong, Shanghai, 200127, China
| | - Wei Zhai
- Department of Urology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Qixiang Song
- Department of Urology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Yu Zheng
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Weihua Pan
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Lanlan Yu
- Peking University Clinical Research Institute, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, 100083, China
| | - Qimin Zhan
- Peking University - Yunnan Baiyao International Medical Research Center, Beijing, China
| | - Ning Zhang
- Peking University - Yunnan Baiyao International Medical Research Center, Beijing, China
| | - Junhua Zheng
- Department of Urology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China
| | - Shuming Pan
- Department of Emergency, Xinhua Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Yangpu District, Shanghai, China.
| | - Chen Yao
- Peking University Clinical Research Institute, Peking University First Hospital, Beijing, 100083, China.
| | - Hai Li
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine; NHC Key Laboratory of Digestive Diseases (Renji Hospital, Shanghai Jiaotong University School of Medicine), 1630 Dong Fang Road, Shanghai, 200127, China.
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21
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Pourmoradian S, Haghighian-Roudsari A, Khoubbin Khoshnazar TA, Milani-Bonab A. The lived experience of Iranian adults from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-A qualitative study. Front Public Health 2025; 12:1362708. [PMID: 39935742 PMCID: PMC11810893 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1362708] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/04/2024] [Accepted: 12/20/2024] [Indexed: 02/13/2025] Open
Abstract
Introduction The widespread impact of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic on human health causes sudden lifestyle changes, through social distancing and isolation at home, with social and economic consequences. This qualitative study aimed to identify the lived experiences of recovered adult patients from COVID-19 in Iran. Methods This qualitative research was conducted using a national phenomenological approach. The participants were patients who recovered from COVID-19 through their treatment period in the hospital or at home. Semi-structured in-depth interviews were applied for 45 participants who were invited using purposeful sampling and continued to achieve data saturation. The five-stage inductive process to analyze the structure of lived experience (IPSE) approach was used to analyze the data using MAXQDA 2020 software. Results According to the statements of the participants in the study, five types of experiences extracted during the period of suffering from the disease: nutritional problems, physical problems, the psychological burden caused by the disease, the supporting role of others in the disease tolerance, and the unpleasant and better experiences of the disease. Discussion Patients with COVID-19 disease experience many physical and psychosocial consequences which affect their quality of life. Therefore, sociopsychological support provided by psychologists and family members can have ameliorating effects in reducing disease consequences. Further interventional studies were needed to capture these aspects of diseases.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samira Pourmoradian
- Nutrition Research Center, Department of Community Nutrition, Faculty of Nutrition and Food Sciences, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
| | - Arezoo Haghighian-Roudsari
- Department of Community Nutrition, Faculty of Nutrition Sciences and Food Technology, National Nutrition and Food Technology Research Institute, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
| | | | - Ali Milani-Bonab
- Food and Nutrition Policy and Planning Research Department, National Nutrition and Food Technology Research Institute and Faculty of Nutrition Sciences and Food Technology, Shahid Beheshti University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran
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22
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De Ridder D, Uppal A, Rouzinov S, Lamour J, Zaballa ME, Baysson H, Joost S, Stringhini S, Guessous I, Nehme M. SARS-CoV-2 Infection and the Risk of New Chronic Conditions: Insights from a Longitudinal Population-Based Study. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2025; 22:166. [PMID: 40003393 PMCID: PMC11855532 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph22020166] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2024] [Revised: 01/09/2025] [Accepted: 01/21/2025] [Indexed: 02/27/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The post-acute impact of SARS-CoV-2 infections on chronic conditions remains poorly understood, particularly in general populations. OBJECTIVES Our primary aim was to assess the association between SARS-CoV-2 infections and new diagnoses of chronic conditions. Our two secondary aims were to explore geographic variations in this association and to assess the association between SARS-CoV-2 infections and the exacerbation of pre-existing conditions. METHODS This longitudinal study used data from 8086 participants of the Specchio-COVID-19 cohort in the canton of Geneva, Switzerland (2021-2023). Mixed-effects logistic regressions and geographically weighted regressions adjusted for sociodemographic, socioeconomic, and healthcare access covariates were used to analyze self-reported SARS-CoV-2 infections, new diagnoses of chronic conditions, and the exacerbation of pre-existing ones. RESULTS Participants reporting a SARS-CoV-2 infection were more likely to be diagnosed with a new chronic condition compared to those who did not report an infection (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] = 2.15, 95% CI 1.43-3.23, adjusted p-value = 0.002). Notable geographic variations were identified in the association between SARS-CoV-2 infections and new diagnoses. While a positive association was initially observed between SARS-CoV-2 infections and exacerbation of pre-existing chronic conditions, this association did not remain significant after adjusting p-values for multiple comparisons. CONCLUSIONS These findings contribute to understanding COVID-19's post-acute impact on chronic conditions, highlighting the need for targeted health management approaches and calling for tailored public health strategies to address the pandemic's long-term effects.
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Affiliation(s)
- David De Ridder
- Geographic Information Research and Analysis in Population Health (GIRAPH) Lab, Department of Community Health and Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (I.G.)
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
| | - Anshu Uppal
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
| | - Serguei Rouzinov
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
| | - Julien Lamour
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
| | - María-Eugenia Zaballa
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
| | - Hélène Baysson
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
| | - Stéphane Joost
- Geographic Information Research and Analysis in Population Health (GIRAPH) Lab, Department of Community Health and Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (I.G.)
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
- Geospatial Molecular Epidemiology (GEOME), Laboratory for Biological Geochemistry (LGB), School of Architecture, Civil and Environmental Engineering (ENAC), École Polytechnique Fédérale de Lausanne (EPFL), 1015 Lausanne, Switzerland
- La Source School of Nursing, University of Applied Sciences and Arts Western Switzerland (HES-SO), 1004 Lausanne, Switzerland
| | - Silvia Stringhini
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
- School of Population and Public Health, and Edwin S.H, Leong Centre for Healthy Aging, Faculty of Medicine, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC V6T 1Z3, Canada
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Idris Guessous
- Geographic Information Research and Analysis in Population Health (GIRAPH) Lab, Department of Community Health and Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (I.G.)
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
- Faculty of Medicine, University of Geneva, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Mayssam Nehme
- Unit of Population Epidemiology, Division of Primary Care Medicine, Geneva University Hospitals, 1205 Geneva, Switzerland (M.N.)
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Jiang H, Xia H, Wang Z, Xiong F. Discovery of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 Main Protease Inhibitors through Rational Design of Novel Fluorinated 1,3,4-oxadiazole Amide Derivatives: An In-Silico Study. Chem Biodivers 2025:e202403179. [PMID: 39853882 DOI: 10.1002/cbdv.202403179] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2024] [Revised: 12/23/2024] [Accepted: 01/24/2025] [Indexed: 01/26/2025]
Abstract
As severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‑CoV‑2) variants continue to emerge, there is an urgent need to develop more effective antiviral drugs capable of combating the COVID-19 pandemic. The main protease (Mpro) of SARS-CoV-2 is an evolutionarily conserved drug discovery target. The present study mainly focused on chemoinformatics computational methods to investigate the efficacy of our newly designed trifluoromethyl-1,3,4-oxadiazole amide derivatives as SARS-CoV-2 Mpro inhibitors. Drug-likeness absorption, distribution, metabolism, excretion, and toxicity analysis, molecular docking simulation, density functional theory (DFT), and molecular dynamics simulation methods were included. A comprehensive drug-likeness analysis was performed on the 14 newly designed compounds (1a-1n), and this series of small molecule inhibitors showed potential anti-SARS-CoV-2 activity. In order to reveal the mechanism of drug interaction, these novel compounds were classified by structure, and molecular docking simulations were performed. The results showed good interactions and identified the key amino acid residue GLY-143. Further DFT analysis using B3LYP-D3BJ functional and 6-311 + + G (d, p) basis set was performed to optimize the optimal configuration of the Mpro inhibitors, and the infrared spectrum of the vibration frequency was analyzed to clearly understand the structure and stability of the drug. The electrostatic potential map was analyzed to predict the reactivity of functional groups and protein-substrate interactions. The frontier molecular orbital analysis and density of states map showed the reactivity level and stability of the drug itself, among which 1i had the smallest energy gap difference (ΔEgap = 3.64 ev), showing good reactivity. The analysis of global reactivity descriptors such as electrophilic index (ω) and chemical potential (μ) also showed that our newly designed Mpro inhibitors had stronger interactions. Molecular dynamics simulation further revealed the stable binding of the Mpro inhibitors in a solvent environment. The binding free energy results calculated by Molecular Mechanics / Poisson Boltzmann Surface Area (MM/PBSA) all exceeded the Food and Drug Administration-approved standard reference drug (Nirmatrelvir), and the free energy landscape and principal component analysis also further described the energy sites formed during the binding process between the drug molecule and the ligand-protein and the changes in conformation. These new series of small molecule inhibitors studied in this work will provide the necessary theoretical basis for the synthesis and activity evaluation of novel SARS-CoV-2 Mpro inhibitors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Huiying Jiang
- Department of Chemistry, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, P. R. China
| | - Heping Xia
- Department of Chemistry, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, P. R. China
| | - Zhonghua Wang
- Shanghai Engineering Research Center of Green Fluoropharmaceutical Technology, School of Chemical and Environmental Engineering, Shanghai Institute of Technology, Shanghai, P. R. China
| | - Fei Xiong
- Department of Chemistry, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai, P. R. China
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24
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Wemhöner L, Brandts C, Dinse H, Skoda EM, Jansen S, Teufel M, Rohn H, Dodel R. Consequences of COVID-19 for geriatric patients during a pandemic. Sci Rep 2025; 15:3136. [PMID: 39856128 PMCID: PMC11759943 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-84379-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2024] [Accepted: 12/23/2024] [Indexed: 01/27/2025] Open
Abstract
To investigate the outcomes of geriatric COVID-19 patients in a German academic setting during the pandemic. This study included 468 consecutive geriatric patients (≥ 70 years) who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and were treated at the University of Duisburg-Essen from 2/2020 to 3/2021. 74 patients were transferred to a geriatric hospital and a 12-month follow-up (prospective study) was performed in 51 patients. Clinical assessments evaluated depression (GDS), apathy (AES), cognitive status (MMST), mobility (TUG), health status (EQ-5D-5 L), and daily living activities (Barthel Index). Demographic and clinical data were also analyzed. Results showed that the mortality in this vulnerable group was 52% (n = 209). Long-term survival was higher in patients who received comprehensive geriatric treatment (74.3% vs. 51.8%). The duration of inpatient stay at the primary hospital was 13.3 ± 3.6 days, with 28.8% (n = 135) requiring intensive care. At the 12-month mark more patients with geriatric treatment lived in nursing homes. Barthel-Index/Timed-Up-and-Go-Test/MMST/AES/GDS, and EQ-5D-5 L indicated worse outcomes in the group who received geriatric treatment. Specialized geriatric care may improve survival in geriatric COVID-19 patients despite decreased long-term outcomes. Further research, including international studies like NAPKON, are encouraged to confirm these findings and explore potential interventions for improved outcomes in this vulnerable population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ludwig Wemhöner
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
- Department of Infectious Diseases, West German Centre of Infectious Diseases, University Medicine Essen University Hospital Essen, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Charlotte Brandts
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
- Department of Infectious Diseases, West German Centre of Infectious Diseases, University Medicine Essen University Hospital Essen, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Hannah Dinse
- Clinic for Psychosomatic Medicine and Psychotherapy, LVR-University Hospital, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
- Center for Translational Neuro- and Behavioral Sciences (C-TNBS), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Eva-Maria Skoda
- Clinic for Psychosomatic Medicine and Psychotherapy, LVR-University Hospital, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
- Center for Translational Neuro- and Behavioral Sciences (C-TNBS), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Sarah Jansen
- Department of Infectious Diseases, West German Centre of Infectious Diseases, University Medicine Essen University Hospital Essen, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Martin Teufel
- Clinic for Psychosomatic Medicine and Psychotherapy, LVR-University Hospital, University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
- Center for Translational Neuro- and Behavioral Sciences (C-TNBS), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Hana Rohn
- Department of Infectious Diseases, West German Centre of Infectious Diseases, University Medicine Essen University Hospital Essen, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany
| | - Richard Dodel
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, University Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
- Center for Translational Neuro- and Behavioral Sciences (C-TNBS), University of Duisburg-Essen, Essen, Germany.
- Chair of Geriatric Medicine, University Duisburg-Essen, Virchowstrasse 171, 45356, Essen, Germany.
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Chaddock NJM, Crossfield SSR, Pujades-Rodriguez M, Iles MM, Morgan AW. Genetic proxies for clinical traits are associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19. Sci Rep 2025; 15:2083. [PMID: 39814935 PMCID: PMC11736077 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-86260-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/18/2023] [Accepted: 01/09/2025] [Indexed: 01/18/2025] Open
Abstract
Routine use of genetic data in healthcare is much-discussed, yet little is known about its performance in epidemiological models including traditional risk factors. Using severe COVID-19 as an exemplar, we explore the integration of polygenic risk scores (PRS) into disease models alongside sociodemographic and clinical variables. PRS were optimized for 23 clinical variables and related traits previously-associated with severe COVID-19 in up to 450,449 UK Biobank participants, and tested in 9,560 individuals diagnosed in the pre-vaccination era. Associations were further adjusted for (i) sociodemographic and (ii) clinical variables. Pathway analyses of PRS were performed to improve biological understanding of disease. In univariate analyses, 17 PRS were associated with increased risk of severe COVID-19 and, of these, four remained associated with COVID-19 outcomes following adjustment for sociodemographic/clinical variables: hypertension PRS (OR = 1.1, 95%CI 1.03-1.18), atrial fibrillation PRS (OR = 1.12, 95%CI 1.03-1.22), peripheral vascular disease PRS (OR = 0.9, 95%CI 0.82-0.99), and Alzheimer's disease PRS (OR = 1.14, 95%CI 1.05-1.25). Pathway analyses revealed enrichment of genetic variants in pathways for cardiac muscle contraction (genes N = 5; beta[SE] = 3.48[0.60]; adjusted-P = 1.86 × 10-5). These findings underscore the potential for integrating genetic data into epidemiological models and highlight the advantages of utilizing multiple trait PRS rather than a single PRS for a specific outcome of interest.
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Affiliation(s)
- N J M Chaddock
- University of Leeds (School of Medicine and Leeds Institute for Data Analytics), Leeds, UK
| | - S S R Crossfield
- University of Leeds (School of Medicine and Leeds Institute for Data Analytics), Leeds, UK
| | - M Pujades-Rodriguez
- University of Leeds (School of Medicine and Leeds Institute for Data Analytics), Leeds, UK
| | - M M Iles
- University of Leeds (School of Medicine and Leeds Institute for Data Analytics), Leeds, UK
- Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust (NIHR Leeds Biomedical Research Centre and NIHR Leeds Medtech and In vitro Diagnostics Co-operative), Leeds, UK
| | - A W Morgan
- University of Leeds (School of Medicine and Leeds Institute for Data Analytics), Leeds, UK.
- Leeds Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust (NIHR Leeds Biomedical Research Centre and NIHR Leeds Medtech and In vitro Diagnostics Co-operative), Leeds, UK.
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26
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Bian H, Zhu S, Xing W, Qi L, Xue J, Peng X, Jin Z, Zhao H. Research Status and Direction of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Complicated with Coronary Heart Disease: A Bibliometric Analysis from 2005 to 2024. Int J Chron Obstruct Pulmon Dis 2025; 20:23-41. [PMID: 39802036 PMCID: PMC11724669 DOI: 10.2147/copd.s495326] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2024] [Accepted: 12/29/2024] [Indexed: 01/16/2025] Open
Abstract
Objective There is increasing evidence that chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is associated with coronary heart disease (CHD). In this study, we provide valuable insights in the field by examining the evolution of the relationship between COPD and CHD over the past 20 years. Methods A comprehensive computer search was conducted in the Web of Science (WOS) core dataset, covering literature on COPD combined with CHD from January 1, 2005, to August 20, 2024. Visual analyses were performed using VOSviewer, CiteSpace, and Bibliometrix to assess countries, institutions, the centrality of institutional intermediaries, authorship patterns, including co-cited authors and references, and keywords; Excel (version 2021) software was utilized for generating relevant descriptive analysis tables. Results A total of 2420 publications sourced from WOS were included in this study. Since 2005, there has been a continuous increase in the literature about COPD combined with CHD; polynomial fitting yielded an R² value of 0.7758. The volume of literature in this domain is projected to continue growing steadily. The United States emerged as the leading country by publication count; Lin Cheng-li ranked first among authors, while China Medical University topped institutional contributions. Notably, Sin dd, Mannino dm, and Helvaci Mr were identified as the top three authors based on citation frequency. The Journal of Vascular Surgery recorded the highest number of publications, whereas The Lancet was recognized as the most influential among the top ten co-cited journals. The most frequently cited reference pertains to systemic inflammation's role in increasing cardiovascular risk among patients with COPD. Through keyword clustering analysis, we categorized all keywords into three distinct groups: management strategies for COPD and CHD; diseases associated with both conditions; and epidemiological characteristics concerning their burden-current hotspots include multimorbidity factors such as hypertension and obesity alongside outcomes like diagnosis during COVID-19 pandemic implications within societal contexts are highlighted here too. Conclusion Presently focused research on COPD coupled with CHD primarily revolves around five key areas: pathogenesis exploration, early diagnostic techniques, COVID-19 infection, dynamics intervention, methodologies, and treatment protocol development efforts. To improve the early detection rate of COPD complicated with CHD, the main development direction in the future is to extract computed tomography (CT) features using imaging omics and establish an early prediction model. The results of this study will provide new ideas and directions for subsequent related research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hupo Bian
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
| | - Shaoqi Zhu
- Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
| | - Wenjian Xing
- Department of Radiology, The Linghu People’s Hospital, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
| | - Luying Qi
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
| | - Jingnan Xue
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
| | - Xiuhua Peng
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
| | - Zanhui Jin
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
| | - Hongxing Zhao
- Department of Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Huzhou University, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
- Huzhou Key Laboratory of Precise Diagnosis and Treatment of Urinary Tumors, Huzhou, Zhejiang, People’s Republic of China
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27
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Scott A, Puzniak L, Murphy MV, Benjumea D, Rava A, Benigno M, Allen KE, Stanford RH, Manuel F, Chambers R, Reimbaeva M, Ansari W, Cha-Silva AS, Draica F. Assessment of clinical characteristics and mortality in patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 from January 2022 to November 2022, when Omicron variants were predominant in the United States. Curr Med Res Opin 2025; 41:71-82. [PMID: 39811881 DOI: 10.1080/03007995.2024.2442515] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2024] [Revised: 11/25/2024] [Accepted: 12/11/2024] [Indexed: 01/16/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To describe the demographic/clinical characteristics, treatment patterns, and mortality among patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during Omicron predominance by immunocompromised and high-risk status. METHODS Retrospective observational study of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between January 1, 2022 and November 30, 2022, using data from the Optum de-identified Clinformatics Data Mart Database. Patient demographic/clinical characteristics, treatments, mortality and costs, were assessed, during the emergence of BA.1 BA.4, BA.5, BA.2.12.1, BA.2.75, BQ.1, XBB Omicron viral subvariants. RESULTS Overall, 43,123 patients were included, with a mean (standard deviation [SD]) age of 75.5 (12.4) years, 51.8% were female. Immunocompromised patients accounted for 36% of hospitalized patients while only 5.8% received any outpatient COVID-19 treatment within 30 days of hospital admission. The mean (SD) hospital length of stay was 7.9 (7.5) days with 15.5% mortality within 30 days of admission. Mean (SD) hospital costs were $33,975 ($26,392), and 30-day all-cause readmission was 15.1%. Patients with immunocompromised status and those with a higher number of high-risk conditions proceeded to have an elevated proportion of hospital readmissions and mortality within 30 days. Moreover, a higher proportion of mortality was observed during the BA.1 period (20.1%) relative to other variant periods (11.0%). CONCLUSION COVID-19 imposed a large healthcare burden, particularly among immunocompromised patients and those with underlying high-risk conditions during Omicron period. Low utilization of outpatient COVID-19 treatments was observed in these high-risk populations eligible for treatment. Continued surveillance and research regarding COVID-19 variants and the impact of outpatient treatment options on high-risk patients is crucial to inform and guide public health action.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amie Scott
- Real World Evidence Center of Excellence, Pfizer Inc., New York, NY, USA
| | - Laura Puzniak
- Medical Development & Scientific Clinical Affairs, Pfizer Inc., Collegeville, PA, USA
| | | | | | | | - Michael Benigno
- Real World Evidence Center of Excellence, Pfizer Inc., New York, NY, USA
| | - Kristen E Allen
- Medical Development & Scientific Clinical Affairs, Pfizer Inc., Collegeville, PA, USA
| | | | | | - Richard Chambers
- Global Product Development Statistics, Pfizer Inc., Collegeville, PA, USA
| | - Maya Reimbaeva
- Global Biometrics and Data Management, Pfizer Inc., Groton, CT, USA
| | - Wajeeha Ansari
- Global Biopharmaceuticals Business, Pfizer Inc., New York, NY, USA
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28
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Gharibzadeh S, Routen A, Razieh C, Zaccardi F, Lawson C, Gillies C, Heller S, Davies M, Atkins H, Bain SC, Lone NL, Poinasamy K, Peto T, Robertson E, Young B, Johnston D, Quint J, Valabhji J, Ismail K, Marks M, Horsley A, Docherty A, Harrison E, Chalmers J, Ho LP, Raman B, Brightling C, Elneima O, Evans R, Greening N, Harris VC, Houchen-Wolloff L, Sereno M, Shikotra A, Singapuri A, Wain L, Langenberg C, Dennis J, Petrie J, Sattar N, Leavy O, Richardson M, Saunders RM, McArdle A, McASuley H, Yates T, Khunti K. Long term health outcomes in people with diabetes 12 months after hospitalisation with COVID-19 in the UK: a prospective cohort study. EClinicalMedicine 2025; 79:103005. [PMID: 39834716 PMCID: PMC11743801 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2024.103005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2024] [Revised: 11/25/2024] [Accepted: 11/27/2024] [Indexed: 01/22/2025] Open
Abstract
Background People with diabetes are at increased risk of hospitalisation, morbidity, and mortality following SARS-CoV-2 infection. Long-term outcomes for people with diabetes previously hospitalised with COVID-19 are, however, unknown. This study aimed to determine the longer-term physical and mental health effects of COVID-19 in people with and without diabetes. Methods The PHOSP-COVID study is a multicentre, long-term follow-up study of adults discharged from hospital between 1 February 2020 and 31 March 2021 in the UK following COVID-19, involving detailed assessment at 5 and 12 months after discharge. The association between diabetes status and outcomes were explored using multivariable linear and logistic regressions. Findings People with diabetes who survived hospital admission with COVID-19 display worse physical outcomes compared to those without diabetes at 5- and 12-month follow-up. People with diabetes displayed higher fatigue (only at 5 months), frailty, lower physical performance, and health-related quality of life and poorer cognitive function. Differences in outcomes between diabetes status groups were largely consistent from 5 to 12-months. In regression models, differences at 5 and 12 months were attenuated after adjustment for BMI and presence of other long-term conditions. Interpretation People with diabetes reported worse physical outcomes up to 12 months after hospital discharge with COVID-19 compared to those without diabetes. These data support the need to reduce inequalities in long-term physical and mental health effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection in people with diabetes. Funding UK Research and Innovation and National Institute for Health Research. The study was approved by the Leeds West Research Ethics Committee (20/YH/0225) and is registered on the ISRCTN Registry (ISRCTN10980107).
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Affiliation(s)
- Safoora Gharibzadeh
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Ash Routen
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK
| | - Cameron Razieh
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
- Health Analysis and Life Events Division, Office for National Statistics, Newport, UK
| | - Francesco Zaccardi
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Claire Lawson
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust and the University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- NIHR Applied Research Collaboration–East Midlands, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Clare Gillies
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
| | - Simon Heller
- Department of Oncology and Metabolism, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK
| | - Melanie Davies
- National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust and the University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre and Diabetes Research Centre, College of Life Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Helen Atkins
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
| | - Stephen C. Bain
- Swansea University Medical School, Swansea, UK
- Department of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Swansea Bay University Health Board, UK
| | - Nazir L. Lone
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | | | - Tunde Peto
- Department of Clinical Ophthalmology, Institute of Ophthalmology, University College London, London University, London, UK
| | | | | | | | | | - Jonathan Valabhji
- Division of Metabolism, Digestion & Reproduction, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
- Department of Diabetes and Endocrinology, Chelsea and Westminster Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
- Institute of Psychiatry, Kings College London, London, UK
| | - Khalida Ismail
- Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Michael Marks
- Hospital for Tropical Diseases, University College London Hospital, London, UK
- Division of Infection, Immunity & Respiratory Medicine, Faculty of Biology, Medicine and Health, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK
| | - Alex Horsley
- Manchester University NHS Foundation Trust, Manchester, UK
- University of Dundee, Ninewells Hospital and Medical School, Dundee, UK
| | - Annemarie Docherty
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - Ewen Harrison
- Centre for Medical Informatics, The Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
| | - James Chalmers
- MRC Human Immunology Unit, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- NIHR Oxford Biomedical Research Centre, Oxford, UK
| | - Ling-Pei Ho
- Radcliffe Department of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Betty Raman
- Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
- The Institute for Lung Health, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Chris Brightling
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Omer Elneima
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Rachel Evans
- University Hospitals of Leicester NHS Trust, Leicester, UK
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Neil Greening
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | | | | | - Marco Sereno
- NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Aarti Shikotra
- Department of Population Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Amisha Singapuri
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Louise Wain
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Metabolic Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Claudia Langenberg
- Precision Healthcare University Research Institute – PHURI, Queen Mary University London; And Berlin Institute of Health at Charité—Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - John Dennis
- School of Medicine, Dentistry and Biomedical Sciences, Queen's University Belfast, Northern Ireland, UK
| | - John Petrie
- School of Health and Wellbeing, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Clarice Pears Building, Level 5 90 Byres Road, Glasgow, G12 8TB, UK
- Robertson Centre for Biostatistics, School of Health and Wellbeing, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, UK
| | - Naveed Sattar
- Division of Metabolism, Digestion & Reproduction, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK
| | - Olivia Leavy
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
- MRC Epidemiology Unit, Institute of Metabolic Science, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Mattew Richardson
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Ruth M. Saunders
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Anne McArdle
- Department of Musculoskeletal Biology, Institute of Ageing and Chronic Disease, University of Liverpool and MRC- Arthritis Research UK Centre for Integrated Research Into Musculoskeletal Ageing (CIMA), UK
| | - Hamish McASuley
- Centre for Exercise and Rehabilitation Science, NIHR Leicester Biomedical Research Centre-Respiratory, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Tom Yates
- Diabetes Research Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, UK
- Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK
| | - Kamlesh Khunti
- Leicester Real World Evidence Unit, Diabetes Research Centre, Leicester General Hospital, University of Leicester, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK
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29
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Tripathy N, Jain A, Jain J. Prevalence and Prognostic Impact of Diabetes Mellitus in Hospitalized COVID-19 Patients: A Monocentric Study From India. Cureus 2025; 17:e76902. [PMID: 39902024 PMCID: PMC11789428 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.76902] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/04/2025] [Indexed: 02/05/2025] Open
Abstract
Background COVID-19 has been a fatal pandemic in modern history, with diabetes mellitus (DM) as a common comorbidity. However, data on the effect of DM on Indian COVID-19 patients are still scarce. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence and prognostic impact of DM in COVID-19 patients hospitalized at Index Medical College Hospital and Research Center (IMCHRC), Indore, Madhya Pradesh. Methods This is a retrospective monocentric observational study including all consecutive adult COVID-19 patients admitted to our center from July 2021 to March 2022. Data including demographics, clinical features, DM history, laboratory investigations, comorbidities, disease severity, intensive care unit (ICU) admission, invasive fungal infections, multi-organ dysfunction, and death were retrieved from the medical records of the patients and analyzed. Results A total of 357 COVID-19 patients (236 males) with a mean age of 52+9.7 years were evaluated. The overall prevalence of DM in the patients was 32% (115/357), comprising of 23% (83/357) cases of pre-existing DM and 9% (32/357) cases of new onset of DM. Vascular comorbidities consisting of hypertension (62% vs 27%; p=0.002), cardiovascular disease (39% vs 21%; p=0.016), and kidney disease (42% vs 27%; p=0.019) were significantly associated with DM. Diabetic versus non-diabetic COVID-19 patients had a higher rate of ICU admission (23% vs 10%; p=0.042), severe disease (43% [49/115] vs 5% [13/242]; p=0.002), acute respiratory distress syndrome (25% vs 7%), secondary infections (30% vs 11%; p=0.033), multi-organ dysfunction (16% vs 9%; p=0.045), and in-hospital mortality (21% [24/115] vs 6% [15/242]; p=0.011). Conclusions Our study shows a high prevalence of DM in COVID-19 patients and an adverse effect of DM on the prognosis of COVID-19 patients including increased disease severity and in-hospital mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nidhi Tripathy
- Department of Biochemistry, Index Medical College, Hospital & Research Center, Indore, IND
| | - Ashutosh Jain
- Department of Physiology, Index Medical College, Hospital & Research Center, Indore, IND
| | - Jaya Jain
- Department of Biochemistry, Index Medical College, Hospital & Research Center, Indore, IND
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Malignac M, Besseiche A, Cloppet-Fontaine A, Sadeg MO, Jafarbay J, Gourdon M, Trivalle C, Jeandel C, Vidal JS, Hanon O. COVID-19 vaccine safety and effectiveness at 3 months in institutionalized old people. BMC Geriatr 2024; 24:1032. [PMID: 39716131 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-024-05609-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2023] [Accepted: 12/05/2024] [Indexed: 12/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Older age and associated comorbid conditions increase the risk of severe form of COVID-19 and death. The SARS-CoV-2 vaccination campaign began in France in December 2020 targeting institutionalized older population before having been evaluated in this population. The objective of our study was to assess the tolerability of vaccination 21 days (D21) and 90 days after the first vaccination (D90) in institutionalized old people. Secondary objective was to assess its effectiveness (mortality, hospitalization and occurrence of COVID) at D21 and D90. METHODS People living in nursing homes or in long-term hospitalization facilities in France were included 12-2020-06-2021. They were divided into SARS-CoV-2 vaccinated and unvaccinated groups. Vaccine tolerability was prospectively assessed by the occurrence of health events at D21 and D90 (local and systemic side effects, geriatric syndromes, cardiovascular events). Vaccine efficacy was assessed by the occurrence of COVID-19 and serious adverse events (unscheduled hospitalization and all-cause mortality). RESULTS The mean age of the 2595 participants was 86 years, 83% received COVID-19 vaccine. There were no significant difference between the vaccinated and unvaccinated for systemic or local adverse events at D21 and D90. At D90, vaccinated participants had significantly fewer SARS-CoV-2 infections (odds ratio (95% confidence interval) = 0.35 (0.22-0.58)), fewer deaths or hospitalizations (0.50 (0.31-0.81)), fewer cardiovascular events (0.28 (0.12-0.64)) and fewer pressure ulcers (0.38 (0.17-0.88)). CONCLUSIONS In this prospective cohort study, COVID-19 vaccine in a very old institutionalized geriatric population had a reassuring safety profile and a protective effect on COVID-19, hospitalizations and deaths, cardiovascular events and pressure ulcers.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Jamileh Jafarbay
- USLD and EHPAD Centre de gérontologie Les Abondances, Boulogne-Billancourt, France
| | | | | | - Claude Jeandel
- Université de Montpellier, CHRU Montpellier, Montpellier, France
| | | | - Olivier Hanon
- Université de Paris, EA 4468, APHP, Hôpital Broca, Paris, France.
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Shang X, Cao Y, Guo Y, Zhang L, Li J, Zhang H, Fan Y, Huang Y, Li J, Wang Y, Xiong Y, Cai Q, Zhang H, Ma Y. Recent advancements in traditional Chinese medicine for COVID-19 with comorbidities across various systems: a scoping review. Infect Dis Poverty 2024; 13:97. [PMID: 39696533 PMCID: PMC11658301 DOI: 10.1186/s40249-024-01263-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/25/2024] [Accepted: 11/15/2024] [Indexed: 12/20/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has developed a rich theoretical system and practical experience in fighting to infectious diseases over the past thousands of years, and has played an important role in controlling the spread owing to its unique advantages. In particular, its significant contribution to the prevention and control of Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) is widely recognized. COVID-19 infection is mainly non-severe with a favorable overall outcome, but patients with comorbidities tend to have a poor prognosis. However, a comprehensive review of TCM for preventing and treating COVID-19 with comorbidities across various systems is still lacking. Hence, this scoping review aims to conduct a comprehensive investigation on treatment outcome of TCM for treating COVID-19 with comorbidities across various systems. METHODS The scoping review was conducted by searching English databases including PubMed and Web of Science, and Chinese databases including China National Knowledge Infrastructure and Wanfang between January 2020 and January 2024. We followed the inclusion and exclusion criteria to identify relevant literature. Information for inclusion in the literature were subsequently extracted and consolidated. RESULTS We enrolled 13 literature that met the inclusion criteria in the review finally. Our analysis revealed that research on COVID-19 with comorbidities was mostly focused on circulatory diseases, including hypertension, heart failure, and cerebrovascular diseases, most common comorbidities were hypertension. Followed by endocrine and metabolic diseases such as diabetes, respiratory diseases including pulmonary tuberculosis and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease have been also addressed. However, there were few studies on co-infectious urogenital system disease, and no studies on the rheumatic, immune, hematological, nervous, reproductive, and skin systems diseases. Based on existing studies, TCM has significantly improved the clinical symptoms of COVID-19 with comorbidities such as fever, fatigue, dry cough, anorexia and asthma, the absorption of lung lesions, shortened the duration of viral shedding and the course of disease. CONCLUSIONS TCM has great application prospects in treating COVID-19 with comorbidities. These findings could provide important evidence for clinicians to treat COVID-19 with comorbidities. Multi-center studies are required to confirm our results in the future.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiyu Shang
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Yuqing Cao
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Yang Guo
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Lei Zhang
- Institute of Traditional Chinese Medicine Information, Chinese Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing, 100700, People's Republic of China
| | - Jiajia Li
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Huifang Zhang
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Yipin Fan
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Yuxuan Huang
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Jiantao Li
- Fuwai Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100037, China
| | - Yanping Wang
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China
| | - Yibai Xiong
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China.
- NHC Key Laboratory of Human Disease Comparative Medicine, Beijing Key Laboratory for Animal Models of Emerging and Remerging Infectious Diseases, Institute of Laboratory Animal Science, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Comparative Medicine Center, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100021, China.
| | - Qiujie Cai
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China.
| | - Huamin Zhang
- Institute of Basic Theory for Chinese Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China.
| | - Yan Ma
- Institute of Basic Research in Clinical Medicine, China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences, Beijing, 100700, China.
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Garg I, Gangu K, Zabel KM, Shuja H, Sohail AH, Nasrullah A, Sohail S, Combs SA, Sheikh AB. Trends in utilisation of palliative care services in COVID-19 patients and their impact on hospital resources in the USA: insights from the national inpatient sample. BMJ Support Palliat Care 2024; 14:e2818-e2826. [PMID: 38135484 DOI: 10.1136/spcare-2023-004621] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2023] [Accepted: 12/13/2023] [Indexed: 12/24/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Poor prognosis and lack of effective therapeutic options have made palliative care an integral part of the management of severe COVID-19. However, clinical studies on the role of palliative care in severe COVID-19 patients are lacking. The objective of our study was to evaluate the utility of palliative care in intubated COVID-19 patients and its impact on in-hospital outcomes. METHODS Rate of palliative care consult, patient-level variables (age, sex, race, income, insurance type), hospital-level variables (region, type, size) and in-hospital outcome variables (mortality, cost, disposition, complications) were recorded. RESULTS We retrospectively analysed 263 855 intubated COVID-19 patients using National Inpatient Sample database from 1 January 2020 to 31 December 2020. 65 325 (24.8%) patients received palliative care consult. Factors associated with an increased rate of palliative care consults included: female gender (p<0.001), older age (p<0.001), Caucasian race (p<0.001), high household income (p<0.001), Medicare insurance (p<0.001), admission to large-teaching hospitals (p<0.001), patients with underlying comorbidities, development of in-hospital complications and the need for intensive care procedures. Patients receiving palliative consults had shorter hospital length of stay (LOS) (p<0.001) and no difference in hospitalisation cost (p=0.15). CONCLUSIONS Palliative care utilisation rate in intubated COVID-19 patients was reflective of disease severity and disparities in healthcare access. Palliative care may help reduce hospital LOS. Our findings also highlight importance of improving access to palliative care services and its integration into the multidisciplinary management of severe COVID-19 patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ishan Garg
- University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA
| | - Karthik Gangu
- The University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, Kansas, USA
| | | | - Hina Shuja
- Karachi Medical and Dental College, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Amir Humza Sohail
- NYU Langone Health, New York, New York, USA
- NYU Langone, NYU Grossman Long Island School of Medicine, New York, New York, USA
| | | | | | - Sara A Combs
- University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA
| | - Abu Baker Sheikh
- University of New Mexico Health Sciences Center, Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA
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Tejero-Mas M, Palmerín-Donoso A, Buitrago-Ramírez F, Pérez-Caballero FL, Morales-Gabardino JA. [Clinical and sociodemographic characteristics and progression of SARS-CoV-2 patients in two health areas of Extremadura during the first six months of the pandemic]. Aten Primaria 2024; 57:103155. [PMID: 39689623 PMCID: PMC11719368 DOI: 10.1016/j.aprim.2024.103155] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/01/2024] [Revised: 11/04/2024] [Accepted: 11/11/2024] [Indexed: 12/19/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To describe clinical and sociodemographic characteristics as well as the outcome of patients infected with SARS-CoV-2 in first six months of the pandemic. DESIGN Observational and ambispective study. SITE: Primary Care (two Health Areas in Extremadura). PARTICIPANTS A total of 1,422 patients were included (mean age 45.6 years; 53.2% women) who had the ICPC-2 diagnostic code for "confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection" recorded in their clinical history during the first six months of the pandemic. INTERVENTIONS Not necessary. MAIN MEASUREMENTS Clinical and sociodemographic characteristics as well as outcome of patients (hospital visits, admissions and mortality). RESULTS The mean age (50.8 vs. 42.3 years, p<0.001), and prevalence of most of the comorbidities, dependent patients (13.8% vs. 4.0%), and residents in social care institutions (15.4% vs. 3.1%) were higher in the Don Benito-Villanueva area than in Badajoz. The predominant age group was 19-49 years (44.4%). 41.4% of patients were actively employed, mainly in National Classification of Occupations groups 2, 5, and 9, while 16.5% were social healthcare professionals. 16.5% of patients visited the hospital, 13.4% required hospitalization. Among those who consulted in hospital emergency departments independently, 46.2% were hospitalized, compared to 78.8% of those referred from primary care (p=0.000). The overall mortality rate was 2.0% (3.1% in Don Benito-Villanueva versus 1.3% in Badajoz; p=0.016) increasing to 8.9% among hospitalized patients. CONCLUSIONS Sociodemographic and clinical differences were noted between the two health areas. Most infections were managed in primary care, while those referred to the hospital had a higher hospitalization rate.
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Affiliation(s)
- Manuel Tejero-Mas
- Consultorio Local de Trujillanos, Centro de Salud Mérida Norte (Mérida), Badajoz, España.
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Simon SCS, Bibi I, Schaffert D, Benecke J, Martin N, Leipe J, Vladescu C, Olsavszky V. AutoML-Driven Insights into Patient Outcomes and Emergency Care During Romania's First Wave of COVID-19. Bioengineering (Basel) 2024; 11:1272. [PMID: 39768090 PMCID: PMC11673140 DOI: 10.3390/bioengineering11121272] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2024] [Revised: 12/11/2024] [Accepted: 12/13/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The COVID-19 pandemic severely impacted healthcare systems, affecting patient outcomes and resource allocation. This study applied automated machine learning (AutoML) to analyze key health outputs, such as discharge conditions, mortality, and COVID-19 cases, with the goal of improving responses to future crises. METHODS AutoML was used to train and validate models on an ICD-10 dataset covering the first wave of COVID-19 in Romania (January-September 2020). RESULTS For discharge outcomes, Light Gradient Boosted models achieved an F1 score of 0.9644, while for mortality 0.7545 was reached. A Generalized Linear Model blender achieved an F1 score of 0.9884 for "acute or emergency" cases, and an average blender reached 0.923 for COVID-19 cases. Older age, specific hospitals, and oncology wards were less associated with improved recovery rates, while mortality was linked to abnormal lab results and cardiovascular/respiratory diseases. Patients admitted without referral, or patients in hospitals in the central region and the capital region of Romania were more likely to be acute cases. Finally, counties such as Argeş (South-Muntenia) and Brașov (Center) showed higher COVID-19 infection rates regardless of age. CONCLUSIONS AutoML provided valuable insights into patient outcomes, highlighting variations in care and the need for targeted health strategies for both COVID-19 and other health challenges.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sonja C. S. Simon
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Igor Bibi
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Daniel Schaffert
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Johannes Benecke
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Niklas Martin
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
| | - Jan Leipe
- Department of Medicine V, Division of Rheumatology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany;
| | - Cristian Vladescu
- National Institute for Health Services Management, 030167 Bucharest, Romania
- Faculty of Medicine, University Titu Maiorescu, 031593 Bucharest, Romania
| | - Victor Olsavszky
- Department of Dermatology, Venereology and Allergology, University Medical Center and Medical Faculty Mannheim, Heidelberg University, Theodor-Kutzer-Ufer 1-3, 68167 Mannheim, Germany; (S.C.S.S.); (I.B.); (D.S.); (J.B.); (N.M.); (V.O.)
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Fernández-García R, Fraguas-Sánchez AI. Nanomedicines for Pulmonary Drug Delivery: Overcoming Barriers in the Treatment of Respiratory Infections and Lung Cancer. Pharmaceutics 2024; 16:1584. [PMID: 39771562 PMCID: PMC11677881 DOI: 10.3390/pharmaceutics16121584] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/12/2024] [Revised: 12/02/2024] [Accepted: 12/10/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2025] Open
Abstract
The pulmonary route for drug administration has garnered a great deal of attention in therapeutics for treating respiratory disorders. It allows for the delivery of drugs directly to the lungs and, consequently, the maintenance of high concentrations at the action site and a reduction in systemic adverse effects compared to other routes, such as oral or intravenous. Nevertheless, the pulmonary administration of drugs is challenging, as the respiratory system tries to eliminate inhaled particles, being the main responsible mucociliary escalator. Nanomedicines represent a primary strategy to overcome the limitations of this route as they can be engineered to prolong pulmonary retention and avoid their clearance while reducing drug systemic distribution and, consequently, systemic adverse effects. This review analyses the use of pulmonary-administered nanomedicines to treat infectious diseases affecting the respiratory system and lung carcinoma, two pathologies that represent major health threats.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Ana I. Fraguas-Sánchez
- Department of Pharmaceutics and Food Technology, School of Pharmacy, Complutense University, 28040 Madrid, Spain
- Institute of Industrial Pharmacy, Complutense University, 28040 Madrid, Spain
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Patrascu R, Dumitru CS, Laza R, Besliu RS, Gug M, Zara F, Laitin SMD. The Role of Age and Comorbidity Interactions in COVID-19 Mortality: Insights from Cardiac and Pulmonary Conditions. J Clin Med 2024; 13:7510. [PMID: 39768431 PMCID: PMC11677844 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13247510] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/14/2024] [Revised: 12/03/2024] [Accepted: 12/09/2024] [Indexed: 01/11/2025] Open
Abstract
Background: Understanding the interactions between age and comorbidities is crucial for assessing COVID-19 mortality, particularly in patients with cardiac and pulmonary conditions. This study investigates the relationship between comorbidities and mortality outcomes in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients, emphasizing the interplay of age, cardiac, and pulmonary conditions. Methods: We analyzed a cohort of 3005 patients hospitalized with COVID-19 between 2020 and 2022. Key variables included age, comorbidities (diabetes, cardiac, pulmonary, and neoplasms), and clinical outcomes. Chi-square tests and logistic regression models were used to assess the association between comorbidities and mortality. Stratified analyses by age, diabetes, and pulmonary conditions were conducted to explore interaction effects. Additionally, interaction terms were included in multivariable logistic regression models to evaluate the combined impact of age, comorbidities, and mortality. Results: Cardiac conditions such as hypertension, ischemic cardiopathy, and myocardial infarction showed significant protective effects against mortality in younger patients and in those without pulmonary conditions (p < 0.001). However, these protective effects were diminished in older patients and those with pulmonary comorbidities. Age was found to be a significant modifier of the relationship between cardiac conditions and mortality, with a stronger protective effect observed in patients under the median age (p < 0.001). Pulmonary comorbidities significantly increased the risk of mortality, particularly when co-occurring with cardiac conditions (p < 0.001). Diabetes did not significantly modify the relationship between cardiac conditions and mortality. Conclusions: The findings highlight the complex interactions between age, cardiac conditions, and pulmonary conditions in predicting COVID-19 mortality. Younger patients with cardiac comorbidities show a protective effect against mortality, while pulmonary conditions increase mortality risk, especially in older patients. These insights suggest that individualized risk assessments incorporating age and comorbidities are essential for managing COVID-19 outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Raul Patrascu
- Department of Functional Sciences, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania;
| | - Cristina Stefania Dumitru
- Department of Microscopic Morphology, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania;
| | - Ruxandra Laza
- Infectious Diseases University Clinic, Department XIII, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 2 Eftimie Murgu Square, 300041 Timisoara, Romania;
- Clinical Hospital of Infectious Diseases and Pneumology “Dr. Victor Babes”, 300310 Timisoara, Romania;
| | - Razvan Sebastian Besliu
- Epidemiology Clinic, ‘Pius Brinzeu’ Emergency Clinical County Hospital Timisoara, Liviu Rebreanu Boulevard No. 156, 300723 Timisoara, Romania;
| | - Miruna Gug
- Discipline of Genetics, Department of Microscopic Morphology, Doctoral School, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania;
| | - Flavia Zara
- Department of Microscopic Morphology, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, 300041 Timisoara, Romania;
- Department of Pathology, Emergency City Hospital, 300254 Timisoara, Romania
| | - Sorina Maria Denisa Laitin
- Clinical Hospital of Infectious Diseases and Pneumology “Dr. Victor Babes”, 300310 Timisoara, Romania;
- Epidemiology University Clinic, Department XIII, “Victor Babes” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Eftimie Murgu Square No. 2, 300041 Timisoara, Romania
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Marinova R, Marinova P. Gastrointestinal symptoms related to COVID-19 in ileoanal pouch and stoma patients. BRITISH JOURNAL OF NURSING (MARK ALLEN PUBLISHING) 2024; 33:S10-S16. [PMID: 39639693 DOI: 10.12968/bjon.2024.0059] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/07/2024]
Abstract
COVID-19 symptoms are often perceived as respiratory only. However, recent findings have shown that gastrointestinal symptoms are being reported in a significant number of patients, ranging from 17% to more than 50%, with some studies speculating that the figure may be even higher, but that it is under-reported and overlooked. Therefore, a hypothesis was put forward that gastrointestinal symptoms related to COVID-19 may make pouch or stoma function deteriorate or even mimic pouchitis symptoms in ileoanal pouches and gastroenteritis in stoma patients; the intention was to investigate this further and to test the hypothesis. A retrospective analysis of patients with a stoma or ileoanal pouch was conducted, including those who reported having gastrointestinal symptoms following a positive COVID-19 test in the preceding 4 years (2020-2024). It was anticipated that gaining insight into this topic can help improve care for this patient group.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rali Marinova
- Nurse Practitioner, Pouch and Stoma Care, TWINS for iPouch & Stoma Patients Ltd
| | - Petya Marinova
- Nurse Practitioner, Pouch and Stoma Care, TWINS for iPouch & Stoma Patients Ltd
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Alharbi A, Almogbel F, Rabbani U, Memish ZA. Long COVID-19 and Coexistence of Fatigue and Depression: A Cross-sectional Study from Saudi Arabia. J Epidemiol Glob Health 2024; 14:1602-1608. [PMID: 39400651 PMCID: PMC11652431 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-024-00312-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2024] [Accepted: 09/30/2024] [Indexed: 10/15/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is associated with various manifestations even after infection resolution. This study aimed to assess the prevalence of post-COVID-19 fatigue and its predictors. METHODS We conducted a nationwide cross-sectional study among Polymerase Chain Reaction test confirmed COVID-19 cases in Saudi Arabia from July 2021 to February 2022. We collected data through telephonic interviews covering socio-demographics, comorbidities, body mass index, smoking, illness severity, and COVID-19 vaccination status. We assessed fatigue using Fatigue Severity Scale while depression was assessed using Patient Health Questionnaire-2. Logistic regression was employed to analyze the relationship between post-COVID-19 fatigue and depression. RESULTS The analysis included 361 participants with a mean age of 37 ± 10.5 years, among whom 43% were female. Approximately 10% had comorbidities, and 21% were current smokers. Nearly two-thirds (68%) of the participants reported mild illness. The prevalence of perceived fatigue was 22.7%, while fatigue measured by the Fatigue Severity Scale was 14.4%. The multivariable logistic regression model revealed that COVID-19 severity and depression were significant predictors of post-COVID-19 fatigue; adjusted odds ratio 1.87 (95% CI: 1.10 to 3.18) and 14.3 (95% CI: 4.55 to 45.0), respectively. CONCLUSION Our findings suggest a higher prevalence of perceived fatigue compared to that measured by the Fatigue Severity Scale, underscoring the importance of using a valid assessment tool for fatigue among COVID-19 patients to ensure proper management. The significant association between post-COVID-19 fatigue and depression highlights the need for psychological assessment of COVID-19 patients to enhance their post-infection quality of life.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Faisal Almogbel
- Family Medicine Academy, Qassim Health Cluster, Qassim, Saudi Arabia
| | - Unaib Rabbani
- Family Medicine Academy, Qassim Health Cluster, Qassim, Saudi Arabia
| | - Ziad A Memish
- College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Hubert Department of Global Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
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Ho A, McInnes N, Blunsum A, Quinn J, Lynagh D, Murphy ME, Gunson R, MacConnachie A, Lowe DJ. Near real-time severe acute respiratory illness surveillance characterising influenza and COVID-19 epidemiology in hospitalised adults, 2021-22. J Infect 2024; 89:106338. [PMID: 39489182 DOI: 10.1016/j.jinf.2024.106338] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/07/2024] [Revised: 10/23/2024] [Accepted: 10/25/2024] [Indexed: 11/05/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We report the findings of a novel enhanced syndromic surveillance that characterised influenza- and SARS-CoV-2-associated severe acute respiratory illness (SARI) in the 2021/2022 winter season. METHODS Prospective cohort study of adults admitted to the Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, Glasgow, with a severe acute respiratory illness. Patient demographics, clinical history, admission details, and outcomes were recorded. Data were available to Public Health Scotland (PHS) and clinicians weekly. RESULTS Between November 2021 and May 2022, 1063 hospitalised SARI episodes in 1037 adult patients were identified. Median age was 72.0 years, and 44.5% were male. Most (82.6%) SARI cases had ≥1 co-morbidity; chronic lung disease (50.0%) and malignancy (22.5%) were the most frequently reported. Overall, 229 (22%) and 33 (3%) SARI episodes were SARS-CoV-2 and influenza A PCR positive, respectively. 74.7%, 6.5% and 43.0% SARI episodes received antibiotics, antivirals, and steroids, respectively (54.5%, 11.0% and 51.3% among COVID-19 patients). 1.1% required mechanical ventilation and 7.8% died. Male sex, multimorbidity, frailty, respiratory rate >30, low GCS and chest X-ray consolidation were predictive of in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSION Near real-time hospitalised SARI syndromic surveillance characterised the evolving clinical epidemiology of SARS-CoV-2 and influenza, high antimicrobial use, and predictors of inpatient mortality among hospitalised SARI patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antonia Ho
- Medical Research Council-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, 464 Bearsden Road, Glasgow G61 1QH, UK; Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, 1345 Govan Road, Glasgow G51 4TF, UK.
| | - Neil McInnes
- Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, 1345 Govan Road, Glasgow G51 4TF, UK
| | - Andrew Blunsum
- Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, 1345 Govan Road, Glasgow G51 4TF, UK
| | - Joanna Quinn
- Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, 1345 Govan Road, Glasgow G51 4TF, UK
| | - Daniel Lynagh
- NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde (NHS GGC), Glasgow, UK
| | - Michael E Murphy
- NHS GGC Department of Microbiology, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, 84 Castle Street, Glasgow G4 0SF, UK; College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, Glasgow G12 8QQ, UK
| | - Rory Gunson
- West of Scotland Specialist Virology Centre, Glasgow Royal Infirmary, 84 Castle Street, Glasgow G4 0SF, UK
| | | | - David J Lowe
- Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, 1345 Govan Road, Glasgow G51 4TF, UK; School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, 90 Byres Road, Glasgow G12 8TB, UK
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Amput P, Wongphon S. The Assessment of Muscle Strength and Cardiorespiratory Parameters Using Simple Tests in Older Adults With Recovery From Mild COVID-19. Ann Rehabil Med 2024; 48:389-395. [PMID: 39654436 DOI: 10.5535/arm.240033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2024] [Accepted: 11/06/2024] [Indexed: 01/01/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate muscle strength and cardiorespiratory parameters, this study uses simple tests in older adults, including those who have and have not recovered from mild coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). METHODS Eighty older adults (age≥60 years old) were divided into two groups: those without previous COVID-19 (control group, n=40) and those with recovery from mild COVID-19 (recovered group, n=40). Muscle strength was assessed using a handgrip strength test and the sit-to-stand test (STS10). Cardiorespiratory parameters were evaluated with a 1-minute sitto- stand (1-min STS) test and a 6-minute walk test (6MWT). RESULTS Both groups had normal values for body mass index, blood pressure, heart rate, and pulse oxygen saturation. The recovered group showed significant differences in handgrip strength test (24.73±6.99 vs. 22.03±4.36, p=0.041) and duration for the STS10 (25.15±6.11 vs. 33.40±7.56, p<0.001) when compared to the control group. Furthermore, the recovered group had significantly decreased repetitions of a 1-min STS (31.38±4.89 vs. 21.25±3.64, p<0.001) and increased the rate of perceived exertion (RPE) (7.43±1.20 vs. 8.95±1.01, p=0.01) and leg fatigue (1.49±1.13 vs. 3.00±1.04, p=0.03) after performing a 1-min STS when compared with the control group. Moreover, the recovered group had also significantly decreased distances for the 6MWT (421.68±8.28 vs. 384.35±6.17, p<0.001) and increased the post-test RPE (7.63±1.37 vs. 12.05±1.63, p<0.001) and the post-test leg fatigue (1.71±0.88 vs. 5.28±0.91, p<0.001) compared with the control group. CONCLUSION Older adults with recovery from mild COVID-19 reported reduced muscle strength and exercise tolerance when compared with older adults without COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
- Patchareeya Amput
- Department of Physical Therapy, School of Allied Health Sciences, University of Phayao, Phayao, Thailand
- Unit of Excellence of Human Performance and Rehabilitations, University of Phayao, Phayao, Thailand
| | - Sirima Wongphon
- Department of Traditional Chinese Medicine, School of Public Health, University of Phayao, Phayao, Thailand
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Yazılıtaş F, Çakıcı EK, Güngör T, Karakaya D, Çelikkaya E, Şen ZS, Gümüşer R, Tanır NG, Bülbül M. Retrospective evaluation of acute kidney injury in paediatric COVID-19 patients: a tertiary referral hospital experience. J Nephrol 2024; 37:2541-2550. [PMID: 39031240 PMCID: PMC11663816 DOI: 10.1007/s40620-024-01986-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2022] [Accepted: 01/01/2023] [Indexed: 07/22/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has been recognised as a risk factor for acute kidney injury (AKI). Our aim was to investigate the risk factors contributing to hospitalised and outpatient paediatric COVID-19-associated AKI. METHODS A retrospective observational study was conducted on patients aged 1 month to 18 years with diagnosed COVID-19-associated AKI applied to a tertiary paediatric referral hospital between March 1, 2020 and March 1, 2022. RESULTS A total of 6683 patients were evaluated and 486 patients were included in the study. Acute kidney injury was observed in 3.7% of outpatients and 23.9% of hospitalised patients. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that, on admission, a history of contact with a COVID-19 positive person (p < 0.001), age below 12 months (p = 0.004), presence of comorbidities (p < 0.001), abdominal pain (p = 0.008), anorexia (p = 0.003), dyspnoea (p = 0.005), higher lactate dehydrogenase values (p = 0.004), neutrophilia (p < 0.001), higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (p = 0.003), higher white blood cell counts (p = 0.006), elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) levels (p = 0.002), anaemia (p = 0.015), hypoalbuminaemia (p < 0.001), hyperglycaemia (p = 0.006), and presence of proteinuria (p = 0.003) were independent predictors of AKI. Higher rates of hospitalisation (p < 0.001) and admission to the paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) (p < 0.001), longer length of hospitalisation (p < 0.001), and greater need for mechanical ventilation (p < 0.001) were associated with AKI. CONCLUSIONS This study reveals that not only hospitalised children, but also paediatric patients are at risk for AKI. The presence of comorbidities, abdominal pain, anorexia, dyspnoea, anaemia, inflammation, hypoalbuminaemia, proteinuria and history of contact with a COVID-19 positive person were the main risk factors for AKI. COVID-19-associated AKI was associated with worse outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fatma Yazılıtaş
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey.
| | - Evrim Kargın Çakıcı
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Tülin Güngör
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Deniz Karakaya
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Evra Çelikkaya
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Zeynep Savaş Şen
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Rüveyda Gümüşer
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Naciye Gönül Tanır
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey
| | - Mehmet Bülbül
- Dr Sami Ulus Kadin Dogum Cocuk Sagligi ve Hastaliklari Egitim ve Arastirma. Hastanesi, Ankara, Turkey
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Mir R, Altemani FH, Algehainy NA, Alanazi MA, Elfaki I, Alsayed BA, Mir MM, Mustafa SK, Moawadh MS, Tayeb FJ, Alfaifi J, Alatawi SM, Alhiwety MS, Ullah MF. Identification of Novel Genomic Variants in COVID-19 Patients Using Whole-Exome Sequencing: Exploring the Plausible Targets of Functional Genomics. Biochem Genet 2024:10.1007/s10528-024-10970-8. [PMID: 39557769 DOI: 10.1007/s10528-024-10970-8] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 11/02/2024] [Indexed: 11/20/2024]
Abstract
Covid-19 caused by SARS-CoV-2 virus has emerged as an immense burden and an unparalleled global health challenge in recorded human history. The clinical characteristics and risk factors of COVID-19 exhibit considerable variability, leading to a spectrum of clinical severity. Moreover, the likelihood of exposure to the virus may differ based on comorbidity status as comorbid illnesses have mechanisms that can considerably increase mortality by reducing the body's ability to withstand injury. The mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway is essential for orchestrating innate immune cell defense, including cytokine production and is dysregulated in severe Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) individuals. Through genome-wide, association studies, numerous genetic variants in the human host have been identified that have a significant impact on the immune response to SARS-CoV-2. To identify potentially significant genetic variants in Covid-19 patients that could affect the risk, severity, and clinical outcome of the infection, this study has used whole-exome sequencing (WES) on the 16 COVID-19 patients with varying comorbidities and severity of the disease including fatal outcomes. Among them, 8 patients made a full recovery and were discharged, while 8 patients unfortunately did not survive due to the severity of the illness and majority of them were males. The study identified 10,204 variants in the patients. From 1120 variants, which were chosen for novel variant analysis using mutation, function prediction tools to identify deleterious variants that could affect normal gene function, 116 variants of 57 genes were found to be deleterious. These variants were further classified as likely pathogenic and variants of uncertain significance. The data showed that among the likely pathogenic variants five genes were identified in connection to immune response whereas two were related to respiratory system. The common variants associated with the covid-19 phenotype showed the top 10 significant genes identified in this study such as ERCC2, FBXO5, HTR3D, FAIM, DNAH17, MTOR, IGHMBP2, ZNF530, QSER1, and FOXRED2 with variant rs1057079 of the MTOR gene representing the highest odds ratio (1.7, p = 8.7e-04). The mammalian target of rapamycin (mTOR) pathway variant rs1057079 was reported with high odds ratio, may orchestrate innate immune cell defense, including cytokine production, and is dysregulated. This study concluded that the mTOR signaling gene variant (rs1057079) is associated with different degrees of covid-19 severity and is essential for orchestrating innate immune cell defense including cytokine production. Inhibiting mTOR and its corresponding deleterious immune responses with medicinal approaches may provide a novel avenue for treating severe COVID-19 illness. Besides the PPI network exhibited a significantly high local clustering coefficient of 0.424 (p = 0.000536), suggesting the presence of tightly knit functional modules. These findings enhance our comprehension of the intricate interactions between genetic factors and COVID-19 disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rashid Mir
- Department of Medical Laboratory Technology Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Chair for Biomedical Research, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia.
| | - Faisal H Altemani
- Department of Medical Laboratory Technology Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Chair for Biomedical Research, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | - Naseh A Algehainy
- Department of Medical Laboratory Technology Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Chair for Biomedical Research, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | - Mohammad A Alanazi
- Department of Medical Laboratory Technology Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Chair for Biomedical Research, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | - Imadeldin Elfaki
- Department of Biochemistry, Faculty of Science, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | - Badr A Alsayed
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | - Mohammad Muzaffar Mir
- Department of Clinical Biochemistry, College of Medicine, University of Bisha, 61922, Bisha, Saudi Arabia
| | - Syed Khalid Mustafa
- Department of Chemistry, Faculty of Science, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | - Mamdoh S Moawadh
- Department of Medical Laboratory Technology Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Chair for Biomedical Research, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | - Faris J Tayeb
- Department of Medical Laboratory Technology Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Chair for Biomedical Research, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | - Jaber Alfaifi
- Department of Child Health, College of Medicine, University of Bisha, 61922, Bisha, Saudi Arabia
| | - Sael M Alatawi
- Department of Medical Laboratory Technology Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, Prince Fahad Bin Sultan Chair for Biomedical Research, University of Tabuk, 71491, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia
| | | | - Mohammad Fahad Ullah
- Department of Medical Laboratory Technology, Faculty of Applied Medical Sciences, University of Tabuk, King Faisel Road, 7149, Tabuk, Saudi Arabia.
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Kim T, Kim JS, So MW, Yeo HJ, Jang JH, Park O, Cho WH. Treatment outcomes and healthcare resource utilization in critically ill COVID-19 patients in Korea: A nationwide multicenter cohort study. Medicine (Baltimore) 2024; 103:e40505. [PMID: 39560591 PMCID: PMC11575975 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000040505] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2023] [Accepted: 10/24/2024] [Indexed: 11/20/2024] Open
Abstract
COVID-19 pandemic was accompanied by many healthcare-related issues. Concrete national data regarding the care performance of critical ill cases of COVID-19 does not exist in Korea. The current study aimed to describe the treatment outcome and healthcare resource utilization of critically ill COVID-19 patients. Our multicenter retrospective cohort study enrolled critically ill COVID-19 patients from 22 tertiary care hospitals in Korea. Inclusion criteria: (1) patients aged 19 years or older, (2) patients with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection who received at least one of following initial treatments such as high-flow oxygen therapy (HFOT) or noninvasive ventilation (NIV) or invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV) or extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. During the study wave, a total of 1358 eligible participants were enrolled, with 21 institutions participating in the study. Among them, data from 1113 patients were available and analyzed. Of 921 (82.7%), 621 (55.8%) were supported by IMV. Of the 921 patients supported by HFOT or NIV, 438 (47.6%) recovered without IMV, 429 (46.6%) required IMV, and 54 died who DNR after NIV was applied. Prone position ventilation was administered to 163 (33.1%) patients with IMV and 25 (6.2%) patients with HFOT. Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation was administered to 128 (20.6%) patients treated with IMV. The overall mortality rate was 26.4%. In South Korea, mortality rates for patients with severe COVID-19 pneumonia have been shown substantial fatality, with the highest mortality rates observed in wave 3. The increased mortality rate in wave 3 could be associated with the rapid escalation of critically ill COVID-19 patients and the consequent saturation of intensive care unit capacities. Patients received NIV therapy and prone position ventilation more frequently in wave 3 as the number of cases increased.
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Affiliation(s)
- Taehwa Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
- Transplant Research Center, Research Institute for Convergence of Biomedical Science and Technology, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
| | - Jeong Su Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
- Transplant Research Center, Research Institute for Convergence of Biomedical Science and Technology, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
| | - Min Wook So
- Department of Internal Medicine, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
- Division of Rheumatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
| | - Hye Ju Yeo
- Department of Internal Medicine, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
- Transplant Research Center, Research Institute for Convergence of Biomedical Science and Technology, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
| | - Jin Ho Jang
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
- Transplant Research Center, Research Institute for Convergence of Biomedical Science and Technology, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
| | - Onyu Park
- College of Nursing, Research Institute of Nursing Science, Pusan National University, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
| | - Woo Hyun Cho
- Department of Internal Medicine, Pusan National University School of Medicine, Busan, Republic of Korea
- Division of Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
- Transplant Research Center, Research Institute for Convergence of Biomedical Science and Technology, Pusan National University Yangsan Hospital, Yangsan, Republic of Korea
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Holmes A, Emerson L, Irving LB, Tippett E, Pullin JM, Young J, Watters DA, Hamilton A. Persistent symptoms after COVID-19: an Australian stratified random health survey on long COVID. Med J Aust 2024; 221 Suppl 9:S12-S17. [PMID: 39489523 DOI: 10.5694/mja2.52473] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/12/2024] [Accepted: 08/21/2024] [Indexed: 11/05/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To determine the impact of persistent symptoms after coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in an Australian population. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS We conducted a statewide health survey of a stratified random sample of adults who had had a confirmed acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection (COVID-19-positive group) and their close contacts (control group). The sample was drawn from Victoria's COVID-19 database between January 2020 and October 2022. Data were collected from 12 688 survey respondents between September 2022 and April 2023 (11 174 in the COVID-19-positive group and 1514 in the control group). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Persistent new symptoms, recovery, and daily function using validated questionnaires for fatigue, neurocognitive symptoms, anxiety, depression and quality of life. RESULTS At a mean of 12.6 months after infection, 4560 respondents in the COVID-19-positive group (39.1%; 95% CI, 37.9-40.3%) reported at least one persistent new symptom, compared with 216 respondents in the control group (20.8%; 95% CI, 18.5-23.1%). A total of 1656 respondents (14.2%; 95% CI, 13.4-15.0%) were classified as having clinical long COVID using the criteria of at least one persistent new symptom and less than 80% recovery three months after the infection. Of the respondents with clinical long COVID, 535 (3.2%; 95% CI, 2.6-3.8%) reported at least moderate problems with usual activities at 12 months after their infection. The proportion of respondents with clinical long COVID was lower for those with more recent infections. The risk factors for clinical long COVID were female sex, age 40-49 years, infection severity, chronic illness, and past anxiety or depression. Factors associated with a decreased risk of having clinical long COVID included infection when the Omicron strain was dominant and infection when the Delta strain was dominant, as compared with when the ancestral strain of the virus was dominant. CONCLUSION Persistent symptoms after COVID-19 are common, though with a lower incidence following infection from less virulent strains. Although long COVID can be largely managed in primary care, a minority of people who have persistent symptoms and impaired function may require specialist care pathways, the effectiveness of which should be a focus of future research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alex Holmes
- Royal Melbourne Hospital, Melbourne, VIC
- University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC
| | | | | | | | | | | | - David A Watters
- Deakin University, Geelong, VIC
- Safer Care Victoria, Melbourne, VIC
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Andrada M, Signorini F, Rendeli I, Asis N, Ramirez S, Obeide L, Moser F. Bariatric Metabolic Surgery Might be More of a Benefit than a Risk During a Pandemic Outbreak. J Laparoendosc Adv Surg Tech A 2024; 34:993-999. [PMID: 39102641 DOI: 10.1089/lap.2023.0535] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/07/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction: This report aimed to analyze the outcomes of patients with obesity who were on a bariatric program during the SARS-Cov-2 pandemic outbreak and compare those who received surgery with the ones who were not operated on. Methods: This was a retrospective study between 2020 and 2021. Patients were divided into two groups: those who underwent surgery (O) and those who were not operated (NO). The evolution of the risk factors identified for severe COVID infection and death was studied (ASMBS criteria). For this study, a follow-up period of 12 months was initiated. Results: In the O group, 83 patients were included and 99 were in the NO group. In the O group, patients with body mass index (BMI) > 35 Kg/m2 before surgery resolved the condition in 73.5% (61) cases, and this was done in the first 30 days by 38 (45.7%). Type 2 diabetes mellitus remission was documented in 18 patients (85.7%) of the O group, and the mean time elapsed for remission was 102.2 days (P < .01). Hypertension remitted in 66.7% (20) of the patients in group O in 82.4 days (P < .01). The subgroup of patients with obesity and one high-risk associated condition (30.2%, 25) resolved both in 44% (11) cases and one in 48% (12) cases. In the group of patients with obesity and two high-risk associated conditions (15.6%, 13), 47% (6) patients resolved the three conditions, 38% (5) resolved two conditions, and 15% (2) resolved one condition. Among the NO group, no comorbidity resolutions were recorded (P < .01). Admission because of COVID infection was necessary for 7.1% of NO and 1.2% of O (P = .04). Conclusion: Bariatric metabolic surgery would not increase the risk of COVID infection or of suffering serious complications resulting from it. Patients undergoing bariatric metabolic surgery rapidly resolved high-risk comorbidities and had less need for hospitalization because of SARS-CoV-2 infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Martín Andrada
- General Surgery Department, Hospital Privado Universitario de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Franco Signorini
- General Surgery Department, Hospital Privado Universitario de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Ignacio Rendeli
- General Surgery Department, Hospital Privado Universitario de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Nicolás Asis
- General Surgery Department, Hospital Privado Universitario de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Sofía Ramirez
- General Surgery Department, Hospital Privado Universitario de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Lucio Obeide
- General Surgery Department, Hospital Privado Universitario de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
| | - Federico Moser
- General Surgery Department, Hospital Privado Universitario de Córdoba, Córdoba, Argentina
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Ajali-Hernández NI, Travieso-González CM. Novel cost-effective method for forecasting COVID-19 and hospital occupancy using deep learning. Sci Rep 2024; 14:25982. [PMID: 39472612 PMCID: PMC11522642 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-69319-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2024] [Accepted: 08/02/2024] [Indexed: 11/02/2024] Open
Abstract
The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2019 and its rapid global spread put healthcare systems around the world to the test. This crisis created an unprecedented level of stress in hospitals, exacerbating the already complex task of healthcare management. As a result, it led to a tragic increase in mortality rates and highlighted the urgent need for advanced predictive tools to support decision-making. To address these critical challenges, this research aims to develop and implement a predictive system capable of predicting pandemic evolution with accuracy (in terms of Mean Absolute error (MAE), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), R2, and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE)) and low computational and economic cost. It uses a set of interconnected Long Short Term-memory (LSTM) with double bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) layers together with a novel preprocessing based on future time windows. This model accurately predicts COVID-19 cases and hospital occupancy over long periods of time using only 40% of the set to train. This results in a long-term prediction where each day we can query the cases for the next three days with very little data. The data utilized in this analysis were obtained from the "Hospital Insular" in Gran Canaria, Spain. These data describe the spread of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) from its initial emergence in 2020 until March 29, 2022. The results show an improvement in MAE (< 161), RMSE (< 405), and MAPE (> 0.20) compared to other studies with similar conditions. This would be a powerful tool for the healthcare system, providing valuable information to decision-makers, allowing them to anticipate and strategize for possible scenarios, ultimately improving public health outcomes and optimizing the allocation of healthcare and economic resources.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nabil I Ajali-Hernández
- Signals and Communications Department (DSC), University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Campus Universitario de Tafira, 35017, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain.
| | - Carlos M Travieso-González
- Signals and Communications Department (DSC), University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Campus Universitario de Tafira, 35017, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
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Wick KD, Ware LB, Matthay MA. Acute respiratory distress syndrome. BMJ 2024; 387:e076612. [PMID: 39467606 DOI: 10.1136/bmj-2023-076612] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/30/2024]
Abstract
The understanding of acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) has evolved greatly since it was first described in a 1967 case series, with several subsequent updates to the definition of the syndrome. Basic science advances and clinical trials have provided insight into the mechanisms of lung injury in ARDS and led to reduced mortality through comprehensive critical care interventions. This review summarizes the current understanding of the epidemiology, pathophysiology, and management of ARDS. Key highlights include a recommended new global definition of ARDS and updated guidelines for managing ARDS on a backbone of established interventions such as low tidal volume ventilation, prone positioning, and a conservative fluid strategy. Future priorities for investigation of ARDS are also highlighted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Katherine D Wick
- Division of Pulmonary, Critical Care, and Sleep Medicine, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA
| | - Lorraine B Ware
- Departments of Medicine and Pathology, Microbiology and Immunology, Vanderbilt University Medical Center, Nashville, TN, USA
| | - Michael A Matthay
- Departments of Medicine and Anesthesia, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Cardiovascular Research Institute, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
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Zhu YJ, Wang JY, Wu CN, Yu BY, Liu TT, Liu Y, Zhang LL. Equity evaluation of intensive care unit admission based on comorbidity in hospitalized patients with COVID-19: a cross-sectional analysis. Front Public Health 2024; 12:1430462. [PMID: 39529718 PMCID: PMC11550993 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2024.1430462] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2024] [Accepted: 10/14/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Intensive care unit (ICU) beds played a crucial role in reducing mortality rates of patients with severe COVID-19. The surge in the number of patients led to a shortage of ICU beds, which may have exacerbated inequity of healthcare utilization. However, most attention has been focused on the horizontal equity in healthcare utilization, where individuals with the same needs receive the same services. Vertical equity, where individuals with higher needs receive more healthcare is often neglected, which might overestimate the equity. This study analyzes the vertical equity of ICU utilization among hospitalized patients with COVID-19. Methods In total, 18,547 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Maryland in 2020 were enrolled in this cross-sectional study. Logistic regression analysis was conducted to determine the independent factors affecting ICU utilization, and the Shapley value decomposition approach was implemented to assess the contribution of the independent variables to disparities in ICU admission. A concentration curve and concentration index were used to assess the vertical equity in healthcare utilization. Results ICU utilization by patients with COVID-19 was significantly affected by Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), with odds ratios (OR) 1.09 [95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.07-1.10; p < 0.001] in univariable analysis and 1.11 (95% CI: 1.09-1.13; p < 0.001) in multivariable regression analysis. The most important contributors were household income (32.27%) and the CCI (22.89%) in the Shapley value decomposition analysis. The concentration curve was below the line of equity, and the concentration index was 0.094 (95% CI: 0.076-0.111; p < 0.001), indicating that ICU utilization was concentrated among patients with a high CCI. These results were robust for all subgroup analyses. Conclusion Among 18,547 hospitalized patients with COVID-19 in Maryland in 2020, ICU utilization was significantly affected by comorbid conditions. The concentration curve and concentration index also indicated that ICU utilization was more concentrated in patients with a higher CCI. The results was consistent with the principle of vertical equity, whereby healthcare resources are more concentrated on COVID-19 patients with higher health needs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yang-Jie Zhu
- Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Jia-Yue Wang
- Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Chen-Nan Wu
- Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Bo-Yang Yu
- Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
- Department of Medical Health Service, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command of PLA, Shenyang, China
| | - Tong-Tong Liu
- Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
- Department of Medical Health Service, 969th Hospital of PLA Joint Logistics Support Forces, Hohhot, China
| | - Yuan Liu
- Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
| | - Lu-Lu Zhang
- Department of Military Health Management, College of Health Service, Naval Medical University, Shanghai, China
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Al-Amoosh HHS, Al-Amer R, Alamoush AH, Alquran F, Atallah Aldajeh TM, Al Rahamneh TA, Gharaibeh A, Ali AM, Maaita M, Darwish T. Outcomes of COVID-19 in Pregnant Women: A Retrospective Analysis of 300 Cases in Jordan. Healthcare (Basel) 2024; 12:2113. [PMID: 39517325 PMCID: PMC11545174 DOI: 10.3390/healthcare12212113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2024] [Revised: 10/03/2024] [Accepted: 10/16/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The impact of COVID-19 on pregnancy remains a critical area of research, with growing evidence suggesting that maternal infection, particularly in the third trimester, may lead to significant complications Aims: The primary aim was to investigate the maternal and neonatal outcome of pregnant Jordanian women with COVID-19. The secondary aim included exploring demographics, obstetrics characteristics, and comorbidities among these women. METHODS A retrospective comprehensive review of the records of 300 cases of pregnant women with COVID-19, who were treated between November 2020 and April 2021 at Queen Alia Military Hospital (a main referral center for patients with COVID-19) in Jordan. All cases were confirmed by the rapid antigen test (RAT) + long polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test used to detect SARS-CoV-2 by amplifying viral RNA from patient samples. Women infected with COVID-19 were categorized into four groups according to the RCOG guidelines for COVID-19 infection in pregnancy: asymptomatic, mild, moderate, and severe cases. All cases were managed following the Royal College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists protocol for COVID-19 in pregnancy. Data extracted from patient's records included demographic information, COVID-19 clinical manifestations, obstetric history, diagnostic findings, treatment plans, comorbidities, gestational age at diagnosis, treatment protocols, and maternal and neonatal outcomes. RESULTS The mean age was 29.7 years; 98.3% were nonsmokers; 8% had previous miscarriages, and 67.3% had the infection in the third trimester. Iron deficiency anemia affected 30.3%, while 18.3% had comorbidities, mainly hypothyroidism. Most women were asymptomatic 61.7%, but 33% had respiratory symptoms, 4.7% needed intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and 2.7% resulted in maternal deaths. First-trimester and second-trimester miscarriages were recorded in 2.67% and 3.67% of cases, respectively, while preterm labor occurred in 3.0% of pregnancies. Additionally, age and hospitalization duration had a positive correlation with the neonatal outcomes (r = 0.349, p < 0.01), (r = 0.376, p < 0.01), respectively. Furthermore, COVID-19 presentation and treatment options demonstrated a strong positive correlation (p-value <0.01). On the other hand, maternal death had a strong negative correlation with poor neonatal outcomes (r = -0.776, p < 0.01). CONCLUSION The study showed that COVID-19 in pregnant women, particularly in the third trimester, is associated with significant neonatal complications, with age, hospitalization duration, and COVID-19 severity strongly impacting outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Rasmieh Al-Amer
- Nursing Faculty, Mental Health Department, Yarmouk University, Irbid 21163, Jordan
| | - Aysheh Hasan Alamoush
- Faculty of Nursing, Adult Health Nursing Department, Applied Science Private University, Amman 11937, Jordan;
| | - Fatima Alquran
- Gynecology and Obstetrics Department, King Hussein Medical Center, Amman 11733, Jordan; (F.A.); (T.M.A.A.)
| | | | - Taysier Ahmad Al Rahamneh
- Gynecology and Obstetrics Department, Royal Medical Services, Amman 11855, Jordan; (T.A.A.R.); (A.G.); (M.M.)
| | - Amer Gharaibeh
- Gynecology and Obstetrics Department, Royal Medical Services, Amman 11855, Jordan; (T.A.A.R.); (A.G.); (M.M.)
| | - Amira Mohammed Ali
- Department of Psychiatric Nursing and Mental Health, Faculty of Nursing, Alexandria University, Alexandria 21526, Egypt;
| | - Maher Maaita
- Gynecology and Obstetrics Department, Royal Medical Services, Amman 11855, Jordan; (T.A.A.R.); (A.G.); (M.M.)
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Ostrowska M, Kasprzak M, Fabiszak T, Gajda J, Jaje-Rykowska N, Michalski P, Moczulska B, Nowek P, Piasecki M, Pilaczyńska-Cemel M, Podhajski P, Prudzic P, Stępniak D, Świątkowski D, Żechowicz M, Gajda R, Gromadziński L, Kryś J, Kubica A, Przybylski G, Szymański P, Kubica J. The 123 COVID SCORE: A simple and reliable diagnostic tool to predict in-hospital death in COVID-19 patients on hospital admission. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0309922. [PMID: 39436870 PMCID: PMC11495612 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0309922] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/06/2024] [Accepted: 08/20/2024] [Indexed: 10/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Patients hospitalized due to Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are still burdened with high risk of death. The aim of this study was to create a risk score predicting in-hospital mortality in COVID-19 patients on hospital admission. METHODS Independent mortality predictors identified in multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to build the 123 COVID SCORE. Diagnostic performance of the score was evaluated using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS Data from 673 COVID-19 patients with median age of 70 years were used to build the score. In-hospital death occurred in 124 study participants (18.4%). The final score is composed of 3 variables that were found predictive of mortality in multivariate logistic regression analysis: (1) age, (2) oxygen saturation on hospital admission without oxygen supplementation and (3) percentage of lung involvement in chest computed tomography (CT). Four point ranges have been identified: 0-5, 6-8, 9-11 and 12-17, respectively corresponding to low (1.5%), moderate (13.4%), high (28.4%) and very high (57.3%) risk of in-hospital death. The 123 COVID SCORE accuracy measured with the AUROC was 0.797 (95% CI 0.757-0.838; p<0.0001) in the study population and 0.774 (95% CI 0.728-0.821; p<0.0001) in an external validation cohort consisting of 558 COVID-19 patients. CONCLUSIONS The 123 COVID SCORE containing merely 3 variables: age, oxygen saturation, and percentage of lung involvement assessed with chest CT is a simple and reliable tool to predict in-hospital death in COVID-19 patients upon hospital admission.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Michał Kasprzak
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Tomasz Fabiszak
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Jacek Gajda
- Gajda-Med District Hospital in Pultusk, Pultusk, Poland
| | - Natalia Jaje-Rykowska
- Department of Cardiology and Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Collegium Medicum, University of Warmia and Mazury, Olsztyn, Poland
| | - Piotr Michalski
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Beata Moczulska
- Department of Cardiology and Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Collegium Medicum, University of Warmia and Mazury, Olsztyn, Poland
| | - Paulina Nowek
- Department of Cardiology and Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Collegium Medicum, University of Warmia and Mazury, Olsztyn, Poland
| | - Maciej Piasecki
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Marta Pilaczyńska-Cemel
- Department of Lung Diseases, Neoplasms and Tuberculosis, Faculty of Medicine, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | | | - Paulina Prudzic
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Dominika Stępniak
- Department of Cardiology and Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Collegium Medicum, University of Warmia and Mazury, Olsztyn, Poland
| | | | - Maciej Żechowicz
- Department of Cardiology and Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Collegium Medicum, University of Warmia and Mazury, Olsztyn, Poland
| | - Robert Gajda
- Gajda-Med District Hospital in Pultusk, Pultusk, Poland
| | - Leszek Gromadziński
- Department of Cardiology and Internal Medicine, School of Medicine, Collegium Medicum, University of Warmia and Mazury, Olsztyn, Poland
| | - Jacek Kryś
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Aldona Kubica
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Grzegorz Przybylski
- Department of Lung Diseases, Neoplasms and Tuberculosis, Faculty of Medicine, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
| | - Paweł Szymański
- Department of Cardiology, Interventional Cardiology and Electrophysiology with Cardiac Intensive Care Unit, Tertiary Care Hospital, Grudziądz, Poland
| | - Jacek Kubica
- Collegium Medicum, Nicolaus Copernicus University, Bydgoszcz, Poland
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