Retrospective Study
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©The Author(s) 2024. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Transplant. Sep 18, 2024; 14(3): 94914
Published online Sep 18, 2024. doi: 10.5500/wjt.v14.i3.94914
Table 1 Summary patient characteristics
n % Patients 305 Sex (Male) 253 82.95 Age at LT [median (Q1-3)] 58.90 (53.8-63) Aetiology of liver disease HBV 73 23.93 HCV 150 49.18 Alcohol related liver disease 86 28.20 NAFLD 33 10.82 Co-morbidities prior to LT Diabetes 96 31.48 Hypertension 73 23.93 Stroke 6 1.97 Obesity (BMI > 30) 103 33.77 Total cholesterol ≥ 4 mmol/L 253 82.95 AFP ≥ 100 ng/mL 26 8.52 Regional therapy ≥ 3 140 45.90 Largest diameter of HCC ≥ 3 cm 97 31.80 Histology Microvascular invasion 40 13.11 Beyond Milan criteria 90 29.51 Beyond Up-to-7 criteria 52 17.05 Complete response at LT 107 35.08 Follow up time [median months (Q1-Q3)] 59.90 (27.93-99.61) HCC-recurrence (overall) 34 11.15 HCC-recurrence after 24 months 16 5.25 All-cause mortality 48 15.74 Composite endpoint of HCC-recurrence or all-cause mortality 65 21.31 HCC-related mortality 17 5.57
Table 2 Summary of pharmacotherapy use within 24 months of liver transplantation
n % Statin use 56 18.36 Aspirin use 51 16.72 Metformin use 50 16.39 Statins, aspirin or metformin use 126 41.31 MTORi use 85 27.87
Table 3 Summary patient characteristics of those who had hepatocellular carcinoma -recurrence vs no hepatocellular carcinoma – recurrence, n (%)
Characteristics HCC-recurrence No HCC-recurrence P valueTotal 34 277 Sex (male) 30 (88.24) 223 (82.29) 0.39 Age at LT [median (Q1-Q3)] 58.83 (53.85-62.35) 58.9 (53.9-63.1) 0.79 Aetiology of liver disease HBV 12 (35.29) 61 (22.51) 0.1 HCV 20 (58.82) 130 (47.97) 0.23 Alcohol related liver disease 5 (14.71) 81 (29.89) 0.064 NAFLD 3 (8.82) 30 (11.07) 0.69 Pre LT co-morbidities Diabetes 9 (26.47) 87 (32.10) 0.51 Hypertension 7 (20.59) 66 (24.35) 0.63 Stroke 2 (5.88) 5 (1.85) 0.67 Ischaemic heart disease 0 (0) 7 (2.58) 0.35 Obesity (BMI > 30) 12 (35.29) 91 (33.58) 0.84 Total cholesterol ≥ 4 mmol/L [median (Q1-Q3)] 26 (76.47) 227 (83.76) 0.29 Pre-LT AFP ≥ 100 ng/mL 9 (26.47) 17 (6.27) < 0.01 Pre-LT regional therapy ≥ 3 22 (64.71) 118 (43.54) 0.02 Pre-LT largest diameter of HCC ≥ 3 cm 19 (55.88) 78 (28.78) < 0.01 Histology: Microvascular invasion 13 (38.24) 27 (9.96) < 0.01 All-cause mortality 18 (52.84) 30 (11.07) < 0.01 Death within 2 years 11 (32.35) 11 (4.06) < 0.01 Beyond Milan criteria 20 (58.82) 70 (25.83) < 0.01 Beyond up-to-7 criteria 14 (41.18) 38 (14.03) < 0.01 Complete response prior to LT 6 (17.65) 101 (37.27) 0.024 Chemoprophylaxis Statins 4 (11.76) 52 (19.19) 0.29 Aspirin 15 (44.12) 36 (13.28) < 0.01 Metformin 6 (17.65) 44 (16.24) 0.84 Statins, metformin or aspirin use 20 (58.82) 106 (39.11) 0.028 MTORi use 10 (29.41) 75 (27.68) 0.83 Follow up time [median months (Q1-Q3)] 30.46 (8.97-58.87) 65.99 (30.97-104.70) < 0.01
Table 4 Univariate and multivariate analysis for the composite endpoint of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence or all-cause mortality
Univariate analysis P valueMultivariate analysis P valueVariables Sex 1.94 (95%CI: 0.79-4.76) 0.15 2.02 (95%CI: 0.82-4.96) 0.12 Age at LT 1.03 (95%CI: 1.00-1.06) 0.10 1.02 (95%CI: 0.98-1.05) 0.33 Aetiology of liver disease HBV 1.33 (95%CI: 0.72-2.44) 0.37 HCV 1.21 (95%CI: 0.70-2.10) 0.50 NAFLD 0.97 (95%CI: 0.39-2.41) 0.95 Statin use 1.20 (95%CI: 0.59-2.41) 0.62 1.16 (95%CI: 0.58-2.30) 0.67 Aspirin use 1.01 (95%CI: 0.22-4.61) 0.99 1.21 (95%CI: 0.28-5.27) 0.80 Metformin use 0.68 (95%CI: 0.31-1.50) 0.34 0.61 (95%CI: 0.27-1.36) 0.23 Statins, aspirin or metformin use1 1.10 (95%CI: 0.60-2.01) 0.76 1.06 (95%CI: 0.56-1.91) 0.85 MTORi use 1.14 (95%CI: 0.59-2.21) 0.70 0.81 (95%CI: 0.43-1.53) 0.51 Pre LT co-morbidities Diabetes 1.08 (95%CI: 0.61-1.93) 0.79 Stroke 0.98 (95%CI: 0.14-7.02) 0.99 Hypertension 0.68 (95%CI: 0.35-1.33) 0.26 Obesity 0.68 (95%CI: 0.37-1.26) 0.22 Ischaemic heart disease 2.08 (95%CI: 0.52-8.22) 0.27 Total cholesterol mmol/L 0.58 (95%CI: 0.30-1.12) 0.11 Other variables Microvascular invasion 3.54 (95%CI: 1.97-6.34) < 0.01 2.82 (95%CI: 1.51-5.27) < 0.01 Pre-LT AFP ≥ 100 ng/mL pre-LT 3.04 (95%CI: 1.53-6.02) < 0.01 2.73 (95%CI: 1.38-5.40) < 0.01 Pre-LT Regional treatments ≥ 3 1.26 (95%CI: 0.73-2.18) 0.41 Pre-LT size of largest lesion ≥ 3 cm 1.62 (95%CI: 0.93-2.83) 0.092 1.50 (95%CI: 0.86-2.61) 0.16 Beyond Milan 2.06 (95%CI: 1.19-3.56) 0.01 Beyond up-to-7 2.25 (95%CI: 1.23-4.10) < 0.01 1.68 (95%CI: 0.94-2.99) 0.077 Complete response at LT 0.77 (95%CI: 0.43-1.38) 0.38
Table 5 Univariate and multivariate analysis for the endpoint of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence
Variables Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis Hazard ratio (95%CI) P valueHazard ratio (95%CI) P valueSex 1.88 (95%CI: 0.63-5.60) 0.26 2.27 (95%CI: 0.64-8.02) 0.22 Age at LT 1.02 (95%CI: 0.98-1.07) 0.84 1.01 (95%CI: 0.96-1.05) 0.81 Aetiology of liver disease HBV 2.09 (95%CI: 0.98-4.45) 0.06 1.98 (95%CI: 0.92-4.27) 0.081 HCV 1.68 (95%CI: 0.80-3.49) 0.17 NAFLD 0.50 (95%CI: 0.14-1.78) 0.28 Statin use 0.52 (95%CI: 0.22-1.26) 0.40 0.52 (95%CI: 0.20-1.35) 0.18 Aspirin use 0.32 (95%CI: 0.07-1.43) 0.14 0.51 (95%CI: 0.14-1.93) 0.32 Metformin use 0.90 (95%CI: 0.33-2.46) 0.84 1.0 (95%CI: 0.37-2.72) 1.00 Statin, aspirin or metformin use1 0.61 (95%CI: 0.27-1.37) 0.45 0.64 (95% 0.27-1.53) 0.31 MTORi use 0.97 (95%CI: 0.49-1.93) 0.94 0.68 (95%CI: 0.41-1.13) 0.14 Pre LT co-morbidities Diabetes 0.67 (95%CI: 0.30-1.51) 0.33 Stroke 1.88 (95%CI: 0.26-13.50) 0.53 Hypertension 0.67 (95%CI: 0.26-1.73) 0.41 Obesity 0.96 (95%CI: 0.45-2.08) 0.92 Ischaemic heart disease N/A N/A Total cholesterol mmol/L 0.59 (95%CI: 0.25-1.42) 0.24 Other variables Microvascular invasion 5.34 (95%CI: 2.54-11.21) < 0.01 4.04 (95%CI: 1.81-9.04) < 0.01 AFP > 100 ng/mL pre-LT 4.20 (95%CI: 1.86-9.51) < 0.01 3.14 (95%CI: 1.33-7.41) < 0.01 Pre-LT regional treatments ≥ 3 2.27 (95%CI: 1.07-4.84) 0.033 1.46 (95%CI: 0.60-3.52) 0.40 Pre-LT size of largest lesion ≥ 3 cm 3 (95%CI: 1.43-6.31) < 0.01 2.21 (0.96-5.06) 0.062 Beyond Milan 4.31 (95%CI: 2.09-8.89) < 0.01 Beyond up-to-7 4.59 (95%CI: 2.22-9.49) < 0.01 2.82 (95%CI: 1.35-5.89) < 0.01 Complete response at LT 0.36 (95%CI: 0.14-0.92)) 0.034 0.66 (95%CI: 0.24-1.81) 0.42
Table 6 Univariate and multivariate analysis for the endpoint of hepatocellular carcinoma related mortality
Variables Univariate analysis Multivariate analysis Hazard ratio (95%CI) P valueHazard ratio (95%CI) P valueSex 0.87 (95%CI: 0.20-3.84) 0.86 0.90 (95%CI: 0.23-3.56) 0.88 Age at LT 1.02 (95%CI: 0.93-1.12) 0.68 1.05 (95%CI: 0.94-1.17) 0.36 Aetiology of liver disease HBV 1.19 (95%CI: 0.34-4.21) 0.78 HCV 1.41 (95%CI: 0.41-4.21) 0.57 NAFLD 0.80 (95%CI: 0.16-3.90) 0.78 Statin use 0.46 (95%CI: 0.059-3.53) 0.45 0.32 (95%CI: 0.033-3.09) 0.32 Aspirin use 0.50 (95%CI: 0.10-2.40) 0.39 0.71 (95%CI: 0.14-3.73) 0.69 Metformin use 1.27 (95%CI: 0.36-4.49) 0.71 1.57 (95%CI: 0.61-4.04) 0.35 Statins, aspirin or metformin use1 0.67 (95%CI: 0.21-2.08) 0.48 0.61 (95%CI: 0.18-2.08) 0.43 MTORi use 0.96 (95%CI: 0.35-2.65) 0.93 0.63 (95%CI: 0.26-1.49) 0.29 Pre LT co-morbidities Diabetes 0.62 (95%CI: 0.11-3.51) 0.59 Stroke N/A Hypertension 0.29 (95%CI: 0.06-1.47) 0.14 Obesity 0.35 (95%CI: 0.10-1.15) 0.08 0.23 (95%CI: 0.06-0.85) 0.027 Ischaemic heart disease N/A N/A Total cholesterol mmol/L 0.77 (95%CI: 0.17-3.45) 0.74 Other variables Microvascular invasion 7.52 (95%CI: 2.22-25.47) < 0.01 8.05 (95%CI: 2.63-24.68) < 0.01 AFP > 100 ng/mL immediately pre-LT 2.83 (95%CI: 0.85-9.44) 0.09 3.11 (95%CI: 0.70-13.76) 0.14 Pre-LT regional treatments ≥ 3 1.58 (95%CI: 0.45-5.52) 0.48 Pre-LT size of largest lesion ≥ 3 cm 2.19 (95%CI: 0.60-7.96) 0.23 Beyond Milan 2.72 (95%CI: 0.80-9.30) 0.11 Beyond up-to-7 5.29 (95%CI: 1.55-18.13) < 0.01 4.14 (95%CI: 1.09-15.81) 0.038 Complete response at LT 0.32 (95%CI: 0.055-1.88) 0.21
Citation: Chung W, Wong K, Ravindranayagam N, Tang L, Grace J, Wong D, Con D, Sinclair M, Majumdar A, Kutaiba N, Hui S, Gow P, Muralidharan V, Dobrovic A, Testro A. Statin, aspirin and metformin use and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma related outcomes following liver transplantation: A retrospective study. World J Transplant 2024; 14(3): 94914
URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/2220-3230/full/v14/i3/94914.htm
DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.5500/wjt.v14.i3.94914