Published online Nov 9, 2022. doi: 10.5492/wjccm.v11.i6.364
Peer-review started: April 26, 2022
First decision: June 8, 2022
Revised: June 12, 2022
Accepted: September 9, 2022
Article in press: September 9, 2022
Published online: November 9, 2022
Processing time: 191 Days and 9.6 Hours
The application of prognosticating scoring systems is considered as an important phase in intensive care units (ICUs) since these severity scoring systems estimate the probability of mortality for patients. These scores help the physicians to facilitate resource utilization or continuous quality improvement and to stratify the patients for clinical research. ICU scoring systems can help both patients as well as their attendants to select from further treatment options. Further, the scores calculated by these scoring systems help in evaluating the impact of newer treatment modalities and organizational changes which in turn contributes towards the development of treatment standards. In addition to the above, the scoring systems’ outcomes also help in benchmarking ICU performance and comparing the scores secured by different ICU patient populations so as to find out the differences in mortality.
There is a dearth of studies that compare different generations of scoring systems especially the ones used upon cancer patients admitted in medical oncology ICUs. Only a few studies have assessed their usefulness in cancer patients with conflicting results.
To compare the efficacy of seven commonly employed scoring systems to predict outcomes of critically ill cancer patients.
We conducted a retrospective analysis of 400 consecutive cancer patients admitted in the medical intensive care unit over a 2-year period. The primary outcome was hospital mortality and the secondary outcome measure was comparison of various scoring systems in predicting hospital mortality.
Overall ICU mortality in our study was 43.5% whereas hospital mortality was 57.8%. All scoring systems tested underestimated the mortality. Mortality predicted by MPM II0 predicted death rate (PDR), was closest to that of the actual mortality followed by that of APACHE II, with a standardized mortality rate (SMR) of 1.305 and 1.547, respectively. APACHE III (χ2 = 4.704, P = 0.788) had the best calibration and SOFA score (χ2 = 15.966, P = 0.025) had the worst calibration, but the difference was not statistically significant. All the scores tested had good efficacy and acceptable discrimination, however SAPS III PDR and MPM II0 PDR (AUROC = 0.762), performed better than others. There was a significant correlation between the various scoring systems (P < 0.001).
Overall, all the scores in our study cohort under-predicted the mortality. The difference in efficacy was not statistically significant in all scores. The choice of scoring system should depend on the ease of use and local preferences as all the scores tested had similar performance.
There is a lack of an ideal score for prognostication of critically ill cancer patients. In our retrospective study, analyzing data from 400 patients and comparing seven commonly employed critical illness scores, we observed that all the scores had similar efficacy but under-predicted mortality. Therefore, the choice of scoring system should depend on the ease of use and local preferences.