Copyright
©The Author(s) 2024.
World J Gastrointest Surg. May 27, 2024; 16(5): 1344-1353
Published online May 27, 2024. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.v16.i5.1344
Published online May 27, 2024. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.v16.i5.1344
Characteristics | Development (2473) | Validation (1056) | P value |
Age, yr | 63.1 ± 12.0 | 61.7 ± 12.3 | 0.002a |
Sex | 0.930 | ||
Male | 1448 (58.4) | 620 (59.1) | |
Female | 1025 (41.6) | 436 (40.9) | |
BMI, kg/m2 | 22.6 ± 3.2 | 22.8 ± 3.2 | 0.180 |
Smoking | 942 (37.0) | 395 (37.9) | 0.700 |
Drinking | 767 (30.8) | 310 (29.8) | 0.327 |
Hypertension | 649 (25.1) | 257 (25.4) | 0.235 |
T2DM | 311 (11.5) | 123 (11.5) | 0.442 |
CHD | 98 (4.3) | 52 (4.8) | 0.195 |
Tumor location | 0.217 | ||
Colon | 1166 (47.3) | 582 (46.9) | |
Rectum | 1307 (52.7) | 474 (53.1) | |
TNM stage | 0.802 | ||
I | 490 (18.9) | 215 (18.4) | |
II | 1067 (39.9) | 443 (40.4) | |
III | 916 (35.6) | 398 (36.6) | |
Tumor size | 0.705 | ||
< 5 cm | 1442 (60.1) | 623 (60.9) | |
≥ 5 cm | 1031 (39.9) | 433 (39.1) | |
CEA | 0.053 | ||
Normal | 1562 (63.2) | 703 (66.6) | |
Abnormal | 911 (36.8) | 353 (33.4) | |
CA199 | 0.823 | ||
Normal | 1973 (79.8) | 839 (79.5) | |
Abnormal | 500 (20.2) | 217 (20.5) | |
AFP | 0.105 | ||
Normal | 2366 (95.7) | 997 (94.4) | |
Abnormal | 107 (4.3) | 59 (5.6) | |
Surgical time, min | 224.5 ± 78.3 | 224.6 ± 78.3 | 0.967 |
Risk factors | Univariate analysis | Multivariate analysis | ||
HR (95%CI) | P value | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
Age (yr) | 1.045 (1.037-1.055) | < 0.01a | 1.042 (1.033-1.051) | < 0.01a |
Sex (male/female) | 0.931 (0.770-1.126) | 0.461 | ||
BMI (kg/m2) | 0.952 (0.924-0.981) | 0.001a | 0.980 (0.952-1.008) | 0.161 |
T2DM (yes/no) | 1.231 (0.938-1.617) | 0.134 | ||
Tumor location (colon/ rectum) | 1.179 (0.979-1.421) | 0.083 | ||
Tumor stage (III/II/I) | 2.105 (1.817-2.438) | < 0.01a | 1.938 (1.665-2.255) | < 0.01a |
Smoking (yes/no) | 0.964 (0.795-1.168) | 0.706 | ||
Drinking (yes/no) | 0.884 (0.718-1.089) | 0.248 | ||
Hypertension (yes/no) | 0.926 (0.743-1.154) | 0.493 | ||
Tumor size (≥ 5 cm/< 5 cm) | 1.426 (1.184-1.718) | < 0.01a | 1.117 (0.923-1.351) | 0.255 |
CEA (abnormal/normal) | 2.185 (1.812-2.633) | < 0.01a | 1.393 (1.137-1.707) | 0.001a |
AFP (abnormal/normal) | 1.108 (0.715-1.718) | 0.645 | ||
CA-199 (abnormal/normal) | 2.646 (2.185-3.204) | < 0.01a | 1.984 (1.614-2.438) | < 0.01a |
Surgical time, min | 1.001 (1.000-1.002) | 0.069 |
- Citation: Diao YH, Rao SQ, Shu XP, Cheng Y, Tan C, Wang LJ, Peng D. Prognostic prediction model of colorectal cancer based on preoperative serum tumor markers. World J Gastrointest Surg 2024; 16(5): 1344-1353
- URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/1948-9366/full/v16/i5/1344.htm
- DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.4240/wjgs.v16.i5.1344