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Retrospective Cohort Study
Copyright: ©Author(s) 2026. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial (CC BY-NC 4.0) license. No commercial re-use. See permissions. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc.
World J Gastrointest Surg. Sep 27, 2026; 18(9): 121131
Published online Sep 27, 2026. doi: 10.4240/wjgs.121131
Matched analysis of long-term oncological outcomes between watch-and-wait strategy and radical surgery after neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer
Zi-Jun Li, Ke Zhang
Zi-Jun Li, Department of Medical Oncology, Jiujiang City Key Laboratory of Cell Therapy, Jiujiang No. 1 People’s Hospital, Jiujiang 332000, Jiangxi Province, China
Ke Zhang, General Surgery Center, Jiujiang City Key Laboratory of Cell Therapy, Jiujiang No. 1 People’s Hospital, Jiujiang 332000, Jiangxi Province, China
Author contributions: Li ZJ responsible for research design, data collection, statistical analysis, and manuscript drafting; Zhang K provided guidance for this study and reviewed the final draft; and all authors have approved the final version of the manuscript.
AI contribution statement: The authors declare that no AI tools were used in the development or writing of this manuscript and take full responsibility for its integrity, accuracy, and originality.
Institutional review board statement: This study was approved by the Medical Ethics Committee of Jiujiang No. 1 People’s Hospital, approval No. JJSDYRMYY-YXLL-121.
Informed consent statement: Signed informed consent was obtained from all participants and their legal guardians.
Conflict-of-interest statement: All the authors report no relevant conflicts of interest for this article.
STROBE statement: The authors have read the STROBE Statement-checklist of items, and the manuscript was prepared and revised according to the STROBE Statement-checklist of items.
Data sharing statement: No additional data are available.
Corresponding author: Ke Zhang, Associate Chief Physician, General Surgery Center, Jiujiang City Key Laboratory of Cell Therapy, Jiujiang No. 1 People’s Hospital, No. 48 Taling South Road, Xunyang District, Jiujiang 332000, Jiangxi Province, China. cole66866@126.com
Received: April 22, 2026
Revised: May 23, 2026
Accepted: July 7, 2026
Published online: September 27, 2026
Processing time: 145 Days and 22.6 Hours
Abstract
BACKGROUND

For patients with clinical complete response (cCR) after neoadjuvant therapy for rectal cancer (RC), traditional radical surgery involves significant trauma, and the long-term oncological safety of the wait-and-see strategy for organ preservation needs further verification.

AIM

To assess and compare long-term oncological outcomes between the watch-and-wait approach and radical surgery in patients with locally advanced RC achieving cCR following neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 100 RC patients treated at our hospital from October 2020 to October 2022 who achieved cCR after neoadjuvant therapy. Patients were allocated to the watch-and-wait group (n = 45) or the radical surgery group (n = 45) based on patient preference and multidisciplinary team recommendations. Three-year disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), recurrence patterns, and quality of life were evaluated and compared between groups.

RESULTS

Kaplan-Meier analysis showed 3-year DFS rates of 86.67% (39/45) in the watch-and-wait group and 91.11% (41/45) in the radical surgery group, with no statistically significant difference (Log-rank χ2 = 0.512, P = 0.474). Three-year OS rates were 95.56% (43/45) and 97.78% (44/45), respectively, with no significant difference (Log-rank χ2 = 0.347, P = 0.556). Overall recurrence rates were comparable between the two groups (P > 0.05). At 24 months post-enrollment, the watch-and-wait group showed significantly higher scores for role, emotional, and social functioning, and global health status (P < 0.05) and lower scores for fatigue, pain, insomnia, diarrhea, and urinary dysfunction (P < 0.05) compared with the radical surgery group. Cox regression identified baseline cN2 stage as an independent predictor of 3-year DFS (hazard ratio = 4.128, 95% confidence interval: 1.265-13.468, P = 0.019), whereas treatment strategy did not significantly influence DFS.

CONCLUSION

In patients with locally advanced RC achieving cCR after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, the watch-and-wait strategy provides comparable 3-year DFS, OS, and recurrence rates to radical surgery while conferring superior medium- and long-term quality of life. These findings support watch-and-wait as a safe and feasible organ-preserving approach.

Keywords: Rectal neoplasms; Neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy; Clinical complete response; Watch-and-wait; Oncological outcomes

Core Tip: This study compared long-term oncological outcomes between the watch-and-wait strategy and radical surgery in 100 rectal cancer patients with clinical complete response after neoadjuvant therapy. Results showed comparable 3-year disease-free survival, overall survival, and recurrence rates, while watch-and-wait conferred better quality of life, supporting watch-and-wait as a safe organ-preserving option.

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