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Ben Fredj M, Gara A, Kacem M, Dhouib W, Ben Hassine D, Bennasrallah C, Zemni I, Ben Alaya N, Derouiche S, Maatouk A, Bouanene I, Abroug H, Belguith Sriha A. Longitudinal analysis of Covid-19 infection trends and in-hospital mortality across six pandemic waves in Tunisia. Arch Public Health 2025; 83:86. [PMID: 40170097 PMCID: PMC11959794 DOI: 10.1186/s13690-024-01485-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/08/2024] [Accepted: 12/22/2024] [Indexed: 04/03/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The global impact of the COVID-19 pandemic was remarkably diverse, unfolding with multiple waves that have touched countries and continents in distinctive ways, leading to varying rates of mortality. The objectives of this study were to examine the characteristics and in-hospital fatality rates of COVID-19 patients hospitalized in the Monastir governorate over two years, with an overall analysis and a wave-specific breakdown throughout the pandemic's progression. METHODS We carried out a two-year longitudinal study, enrolling all COVID-19-infected patients admitted to both public and private health facilities in the governorate of Monastir from March 2020 to March 2022. The study covered six complete infection waves. Patients were followed from their first day of admission to their outcome in hospital. The data were collected using a questionnaire manually completed by well-trained residents. The data were globally analyzed across all hospitalized patients and then compared based on the different waves. RESULTS Overall, 5176 were hospitalized. The cumulative in-hospital case fatality rate (CFR) over the study period was 21.4%. After the first wave (W1), the in-hospital CFR followed a gradual increase, reaching its peak at 27.5% during W4 (alpha variant). Later, it decreased to 21.8% during W5 (delta variant), and further declined to 19.5% during W6, associated with the Omicron variant (overall p < 0.001). W5 exhibited the highest proportions of infections, hospitalizations, and in-hospital deaths. W6 featured a low hospitalization rate of 2.8% and a decline in severe cases. Nevertheless, there was a significant surge in hospitalizations among both the pediatric (≤ 18 years) and geriatric (≥ 75 years) populations, with a pronounced impact on the elderly with chronic conditions. This surge resulted in an increase in fatalities among the elderly. The length of stay (LoS) decreased throughout the course of the pandemic, declining from 13 days [10;14] in W1 to 4 days [2;9] in W6 with almost half of them had a LoS less than seven days (55.6%). CONCLUSION This study underscores the critical interplay of variant-specific disease severity, patient demographics, and evolving healthcare responses in managing COVID-19's impact on hospital outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Manel Ben Fredj
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia.
- Department of Preventive Medicine and Infection Control, Hospital Haj Ali Soua of Ksar-Hellal, Monastir, Tunisia.
- Research Laboratory "Technology and Medical Imaging", Monastir, Tunisia.
| | - Amel Gara
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Meriem Kacem
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
- Research Laboratory "Technology and Medical Imaging", Monastir, Tunisia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital Fattouma Bourguiba, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Wafa Dhouib
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
- Research Laboratory "Technology and Medical Imaging", Monastir, Tunisia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital Fattouma Bourguiba, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Donia Ben Hassine
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Cyrine Bennasrallah
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
- Research Laboratory "Technology and Medical Imaging", Monastir, Tunisia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital Fattouma Bourguiba, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Imen Zemni
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
- Research Laboratory "Technology and Medical Imaging", Monastir, Tunisia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital Fattouma Bourguiba, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Nissaf Ben Alaya
- National Observatory of New and Emerging Diseases, Ministry of Health, Tunis, Tunisia
| | - Sondes Derouiche
- National Observatory of New and Emerging Diseases, Ministry of Health, Tunis, Tunisia
| | - Amani Maatouk
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital Fattouma Bourguiba, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Ines Bouanene
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital Fattouma Bourguiba, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Hela Abroug
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
- Research Laboratory "Technology and Medical Imaging", Monastir, Tunisia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital Fattouma Bourguiba, Monastir, Tunisia
| | - Asma Belguith Sriha
- Faculty of Medicine of Monastir, University of Monastir, Monastir, Tunisia
- Research Laboratory "Technology and Medical Imaging", Monastir, Tunisia
- Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital Fattouma Bourguiba, Monastir, Tunisia
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Zhang FS, Li HJ, Yu X, Song YP, Ren YF, Qian XZ, Liu JL, Li WX, Huang YR, Gao K. Global trends and hotspots of type 2 diabetes in children and adolescents: A bibliometric study and visualization analysis. World J Diabetes 2025; 16:96032. [PMID: 39817223 PMCID: PMC11718446 DOI: 10.4239/wjd.v16.i1.96032] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2024] [Revised: 09/30/2024] [Accepted: 11/19/2024] [Indexed: 11/29/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Epidemiological surveys indicate an increasing incidence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) among children and adolescents worldwide. Due to rapid disease progression, severe long-term cardiorenal complications, a lack of effective treatment strategies, and substantial socioeconomic burdens, it has become an urgent public health issue that requires management and resolution. Adolescent T2DM differs from adult T2DM. Despite a significant increase in our understanding of youth-onset T2DM over the past two decades, the related review and evidence-based content remain limited. AIM To visualize the hotspots and trends in pediatric and adolescent T2DM research and to forecast their future research themes. METHODS This study utilized the terms "children", "adolescents", and "type 2 diabetes", retrieving relevant articles published between 1983 and 2023 from three citation databases within the Web of Science Core Collection (SCI, SSCI, ESCI). Utilizing CiteSpace and VoSviewer software, we analyze and visually represent the annual output of literature, countries involved, and participating institutions. This allows us to predict trends in this research field. Our analysis encompasses co-cited authors, journal overlays, citation overlays, time-zone views, keyword analysis, and reference analysis, etc. RESULTS A total of 9210 articles were included, and the annual publication volume in this field showed a steady growth trend. The United States had the highest number of publications and the highest H-index. The United States also had the most research institutions and the strongest research capacity. The global hot journals were primarily diabetes professional journals but also included journals related to nutrition, endocrinology, and metabolism. Keyword analysis showed that research related to endothelial dysfunction, exposure risk, cardiac metabolic risk, changes in gut microbiota, the impact on comorbidities and outcomes, etc., were emerging keywords. They have maintained their popularity in this field, suggesting that these areas have garnered significant research interest in recent years. CONCLUSION Pediatric and adolescent T2DM is increasingly drawing global attention, with genes, behaviors, environmental factors, and multisystemic interventions potentially emerging as future research hot spots.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fang-Shuo Zhang
- School of Acupuncture-Moxibustion and Tuina, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Hai-Jing Li
- School of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Xue Yu
- School of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Yi-Ping Song
- School of Acupuncture-Moxibustion and Tuina, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Yan-Feng Ren
- School of Acupuncture-Moxibustion and Tuina, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Xuan-Zhu Qian
- School of Acupuncture-Moxibustion and Tuina, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Jia-Li Liu
- School of Acupuncture-Moxibustion and Tuina, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Wen-Xun Li
- School of Acupuncture-Moxibustion and Tuina, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Yi-Ran Huang
- School of Acupuncture-Moxibustion and Tuina, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
| | - Kuo Gao
- School of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Beijing University of Chinese Medicine, Beijing 100029, China
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Naffeti B, Ounissi Z, Srivastav AK, Stollenwerk N, Van-Dierdonck JB, Aguiar M. Modeling COVID-19 dynamics in the Basque Country: characterizing population immunity profile from 2020 to 2022. BMC Infect Dis 2025; 25:9. [PMID: 39748283 PMCID: PMC11697651 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-024-10342-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/24/2024] [Accepted: 12/12/2024] [Indexed: 01/04/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV-2, has spread globally, presenting a significant public health challenge. Vaccination has played a critical role in reducing severe disease and deaths. However, the waning of immunity after vaccination and the emergence of immune-escape variants require the continuation of vaccination efforts, including booster doses, to maintain population immunity. This study models the dynamics of COVID-19 in the Basque Country, Spain, aiming to characterize the population's immunity profile and assess its impact on the severity of outbreaks from 2020 to 2022. METHODS A SIR/DS model was developed to analyze the interplay of virus-specific and vaccine-induced immunity. The model includes three levels of immunity, with boosting effects from reinfection and/or vaccination. It was validated using empirical daily case data from the Basque Country. The model tracks shifts in immunity status and their effects on disease dynamics over time. RESULTS The COVID-19 epidemic in the Basque Country progressed through three distinct phases, each shaped by dynamic interactions between virus transmission, public health interventions, and vaccination efforts. The initial phase was marked by a rapid surge in cases, followed by a decline due to strict public health measures, with a seroprevalence of 1.3 % . In the intermediate phase, multiple smaller outbreaks emerged as restrictions were relaxed and new variants, such as Alpha and Delta, appeared. During this period, reinfection rates reached 20 % , and seroprevalence increased to 32 % . The final phase, dominated by the Omicron variant, saw a significant rise in cases driven by waning immunity and the variant's high transmissibility. Notably, 34 % of infections during this phase occurred in the naive population, with seroprevalence peaking at 43 % . Across all phases, the infection of naive and unvaccinated individuals contributed significantly to the severity of outbreaks, emphasizing the critical role of vaccination in mitigating disease impact. CONCLUSION The findings underscore the importance of continuous monitoring and adaptive public health strategies to mitigate the evolving epidemiological and immunological landscape of COVID-19. Dynamic interactions between immunity levels, reinfections, and vaccinations are critical in shaping outbreak severity and guiding evidence-based interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bechir Naffeti
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao, Bizkaia, Spain.
| | - Zeineb Ounissi
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao, Bizkaia, Spain
| | | | | | | | - Maíra Aguiar
- Basque Center for Applied Mathematics, Bilbao, Bizkaia, Spain.
- Ikerbasque, Basque Foundation for Science, Bilbao, Spain.
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Mishra P, Singh RK, Nath A, Sanjeev OP, Hashim Z, Dhiman RK, Pande S, Ghatak T, Rastogi A, Gupta D. Epidemiological Profile and Outcome of COVID-19 Patients and Its Comparison Between the First and Second Wave at a Tertiary-Level COVID Care Facility in North India. Cureus 2024; 16:e74456. [PMID: 39726520 PMCID: PMC11669753 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.74456] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/22/2024] [Indexed: 12/28/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In December 2019, COVID-19 emerged in China and spread rapidly throughout the world, including India. So far, India has witnessed three spells of the disease, termed the first, second, and third waves; although the first two waves were significant in terms of severity, mortality, and need for respiratory support, the third wave had no significant impact and most people recovered without being admitted to the hospital. The present study aimed to discuss the clinical demographic characteristics and in-hospital outcomes of COVID-19 patients and their comparisons between the first and second waves. METHODS This was a retrospective, single-center study, comprising data collected regarding demographic, epidemiological, and outcomes of COVID-19 patients admitted to a tertiary care facility in north India. Patient death or requirement of respiratory support was considered as patient outcomes. RESULTS Of 3563 COVID-19 patients, 2459 comprised the first wave and 1104, the second wave. There was a significantly higher age, increased proportion of female gender, clinical symptoms, ventilator, and non-invasive ventilation (NIV) support, as well as patients' mortality in the second wave, whereas the distribution of the comorbidities was statistically equal between the first and second waves. CONCLUSIONS The second wave of COVID-19 was more devastating in terms of the severity of the disease, the need for respiratory support, and mortality in the patients. Poor outcomes were associated with the presence of any one comorbidity and the absence of vaccination in the patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Prabhaker Mishra
- Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Ratender K Singh
- Emergency Medicine, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Alok Nath
- Pulmonary Medicine, Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Om Prakash Sanjeev
- Emergency Medicine, Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Zia Hashim
- Pulmonary Medicine, Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Radha K Dhiman
- Hepatology, Sanjay Gandhi Postgraduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Shantanu Pande
- Cardiovascular Surgery, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Tanmoy Ghatak
- Emergency Medicine, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Amit Rastogi
- Anaesthesiology, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Devendra Gupta
- Anaesthesiology, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
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5
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Morris C, Doshi H, Liu WF. Impact of COVID-19 in pregnancy on maternal and perinatal outcomes during the Delta variant period: a comparison of the Delta and pre-delta time periods, 2020-2021. Matern Health Neonatol Perinatol 2024; 10:20. [PMID: 39350255 PMCID: PMC11443803 DOI: 10.1186/s40748-024-00189-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/28/2023] [Accepted: 08/18/2024] [Indexed: 10/04/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND To describe the impact on maternal and perinatal outcomes of the Delta variant of COVID-19 compared to the pre-Delta period in pregnant women with COVID-19 infections in one large public, non-profit hospital system. METHODS We conducted a retrospective chart review of identified COVID-19 diagnosed pregnant women with the outcome of pregnancy (livebirth or stillbirths). We assessed maternal and perinatal outcomes between the pre-delta and Delta variant time periods. RESULTS A study cohort of 173 mother-baby dyads was identified from January 2020 to November 2021. Maternal outcomes showed a higher rate of cesarean section (33.8%,49%; p = 0.047), with a higher frequency for worsening maternal condition due to COVID-19 (2.8%, 13.7%; p = 0.016) and association with non-reassuring fetal heart tones as indications for cesarean Sect. (53.8%, 95%; p = 0.008) during the Delta time period. There were more preterm births (16.9%, 32.4%; p = 0.023) even when excluding stillbirths (16.9%,30%; p = 0.05). Cesarean section due to "worsening maternal condition" was an independent risk factors for early delivery (β = 2.66, 93.32-62.02, p < 0.001). The neonates had a longer mean (7.1 days, 9.9 days; p < 0.001) and median (2 days, 3 days; p < 0.001) length of stay during the Delta period. There was no difference in Apgar scores, NICU admissions or need for respiratory support between time periods. CONCLUSION In a public, non-profit health system, from January 2020 to November of 2021, mothers with a diagnosis of COVID-19 during pregnancy, there were more preterm deliveries during the Delta time period, as well as longer length of stay for liveborn babies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cherrie Morris
- Department of OB/GYN, HealthPark/Lee Memorial Hospital, Cape Coral Hospital, 636 Del Prado Blvd S, 5th Floor Administration, Cape Coral, FL, 33990, USA
| | - Harshit Doshi
- Pediatrix Medical Group, Division of Neonatology, Golisano Children's Hospital of Southwest Florida, 3rd floor, NICU Administrative Offices, Fort Myers, FL, 33908, USA
| | - William Frank Liu
- Pediatrix Medical Group, Division of Neonatology, Golisano Children's Hospital of Southwest Florida, 3rd floor, NICU Administrative Offices, Fort Myers, FL, 33908, USA.
- Pediatrix Medical Group, Neonatal Intensive Care Unit, Golisano Children's Hospital of Southwest Florida, 3rd floor, NICU Administrative Offices, 9981 South HealthPark Drive, Fort Myers, FL, 33908, USA.
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Saballs M, Parra S, Martínez N, Amigo N, Cabau L, Iftimie S, Pavon R, Gabaldó X, Correig X, Paredes S, Vallvé JM, Castro A. Lipidomic and metabolomic changes in community-acquired and COVID-19 pneumonia. J Lipid Res 2024; 65:100622. [PMID: 39154734 PMCID: PMC11422144 DOI: 10.1016/j.jlr.2024.100622] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/01/2023] [Revised: 08/10/2024] [Accepted: 08/13/2024] [Indexed: 08/20/2024] Open
Abstract
This prospective observational study compared the 1H NMR blood lipidomes and metabolomes of 71 patients with community-acquired pneumonia (CAP), 75 patients with COVID-19 pneumonia, and 75 healthy controls (matched by age and sex) to identify potential biomarkers and pathways associated with respiratory infections. Both pneumonia groups had comparable severity indices, including mortality, invasive mechanical ventilation, and intensive care unit admission rates. Patients with COVID-19 pneumonia exhibited more pronounced hypolipidemia, with significantly lower levels of total cholesterol and LDL-c compared to patients with CAP. Atherogenic lipoprotein subclasses (VLDL-cholesterol, IDL-cholesterol, IDL-triglyceride, and LDL-triglyceride/LDL-cholesterol) were significantly increased in severe cases of both pneumonia types, while lower HDL-c and small, dense HDL particles were associated with more severe illness. Both infected groups showed decreased esterified cholesterol and increased triglycerides, along with reduced phosphatidylcholine, lysophosphatidylcholine, PUFA, omega-3 fatty acids, and DHA. Additionally, infected patients had elevated levels of glucose, lactate, 3-hydroxybutyrate, and acetone, which are linked to inflammation, hypoxemia, and sepsis. Increased levels of branched-chain amino acids, alanine, glycine, and creatine, which are involved in energy metabolism and protein catabolism, were also observed. Neurotransmitter synthesis metabolites like histidine and glutamate were higher in infected patients, especially those with COVID-19. Notably, severe infections showed a significant decrease in glutamine, essential for lymphocyte and macrophage energy. The severity of COVID-19 pneumonia was also associated with elevated glycoprotein levels (glycoprotein A, glycoprotein B, and glycoprotein F), indicating an inflammatory state. These findings suggest that metabolomic and lipidomic changes in pneumonia are connected to bioenergetic pathways regulating the immune response.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mireia Saballs
- Internal Medicine Department, Quiron Salud Hospital, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Sandra Parra
- Research Group of Autoimmunity, Infection and Thrombosis (GRAIIT), Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Reus, Spain; Internal Medicine Department, "Sant Joan" University Hospital, Reus, Spain.
| | - Neus Martínez
- Biosfer Teslab, Reus, Spain; Department of Basic Medical Sciences, Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Tarragona, Spain
| | - Nuria Amigo
- Biosfer Teslab, Reus, Spain; Department of Basic Medical Sciences, Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Tarragona, Spain; Centre for Biomedical Research Network on Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Diseases (CIBERDEM), ISCIII, Madrid, Spain
| | - Lydia Cabau
- Biosfer Teslab, Reus, Spain; Department of Basic Medical Sciences, Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Tarragona, Spain
| | - Simona Iftimie
- Research Group of Autoimmunity, Infection and Thrombosis (GRAIIT), Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Reus, Spain; Internal Medicine Department, "Sant Joan" University Hospital, Reus, Spain
| | - Raul Pavon
- Research Group of Autoimmunity, Infection and Thrombosis (GRAIIT), Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Reus, Spain; Internal Medicine Department, "Sant Joan" University Hospital, Reus, Spain
| | - Xavi Gabaldó
- Research Group of Autoimmunity, Infection and Thrombosis (GRAIIT), Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Reus, Spain; Clinical laboratory Department, "Sant Joan" University Hospital, Reus, Spain
| | - Xavier Correig
- Centre for Biomedical Research Network on Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Diseases (CIBERDEM), ISCIII, Madrid, Spain; Department of Electronic Engineering, Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Institut d'Investigació Sanitària Pere Virgili (IISPV), Tarragona, Spain
| | - Silvia Paredes
- Rheumatology department, "Sant Joan" University Hospital, Reus, Spain
| | - Josep Maria Vallvé
- Centre for Biomedical Research Network on Diabetes and Associated Metabolic Diseases (CIBERDEM), ISCIII, Madrid, Spain; Lipids and Arteriosclerosis Research Unit, Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Reus, Spain; Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Tarragona, Spain
| | - Antoni Castro
- Research Group of Autoimmunity, Infection and Thrombosis (GRAIIT), Pere Virgili for Health Research Institute (IISPV), Rovira and Virgili University (URV), Reus, Spain; Internal Medicine Department, "Sant Joan" University Hospital, Reus, Spain
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Nasir N, Tajuddin S, Akhtar A, Sheikh CF, Al Karim Manji A, Bhutto S, Khan N, Khan A, Khan MF, Mahmood SF, Jamil B, Khanum I, Habib K, Latif A, Samad Z, Haider AH. Risk factors for mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients across five waves in Pakistan. Sci Rep 2024; 14:20205. [PMID: 39215007 PMCID: PMC11364537 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-70662-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/04/2024] [Accepted: 08/20/2024] [Indexed: 09/04/2024] Open
Abstract
This retrospective cohort study aims to describe the clinical characteristics and outcomes and assess risk factors for mortality across the epidemic waves in hospitalized COVID-19 patients in a major tertiary-care center in Pakistan. A total of 5368 patients with COVID-19, hospitalized between March 2020 and April 2022 were included. The median age was 58 years (IQR: 44-69), 41% were females, and the overall mortality was 12%. Comparative analysis of COVID-19 waves showed that the proportion of patients aged ≥ 60 years was highest during the post-wave 4 period (61.4%) and Wave 4 (Delta) (50%) (p < 0.001). Male predominance decreased from 65.2% in Wave 2 to 44.2% in Wave 5 (Omicron) (p < 0.001). Mortality rate was lowest at 9.4% in wave 5 and highest at 21.6% in the post-wave 4 period (p = 0.041). In multivariable analysis for risk factors of mortality, acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) was most strongly associated with mortality (aOR 22.98, 95% CI 15.28-34.55, p < 0.001), followed by need for mechanical ventilation (aOR 6.81, 95% CI 5.13-9.05, p < 0.001). Other significant risk factors included acute kidney injury (aOR 3.05, 95% CI 2.38-3.91, p < 0.001), stroke (aOR 2.40, 95% CI 1.26-4.60, p = 0.008), pulmonary embolism (OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.28-3.35, p = 0.003), and age ≥ 60 years (aOR 2.45, 95% CI 1.95-3.09, p < 0.001). Enoxaparin use was associated with lower mortality odds (aOR 0.45, 95% CI 0.35-0.60, p < 0.001. Patients hospitalized during Wave 4 (aOR 2.22, 95% CI 1.39-3.56, p < 0.001) and the post-wave 4 period (aOR 2.82, 95% CI 1.37-5.80, p = 0.005) had higher mortality odds compared to other waves. The study identifies higher mortality risk in patients admitted in Delta wave and post-wave, aged ≥ 60 years, and with respiratory and renal complications, and lower risk with anticoagulation during COVID-19 waves.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nosheen Nasir
- Section of Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
| | - Salma Tajuddin
- Section of Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Afshan Akhtar
- Medical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Chanza Fahim Sheikh
- Section of Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | | | | | - Naveera Khan
- Medical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Adnan Khan
- Medical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | | | - Syed Faisal Mahmood
- Section of Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Bushra Jamil
- Section of Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Iffat Khanum
- Section of Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Kiren Habib
- Section of Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Asad Latif
- Department of Anesthesiology, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Zainab Samad
- Section of Adult Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Adil H Haider
- Medical College, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan
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8
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Zhang JR, Mujtaba M, Wagenhauser H, Chapman Y, Engebretsen T, Stevenson HL, Hussain S, Gamilla-Crudo AKN, Kueht M. The learning curve of COVID-19 and organ donation: Potential missed opportunities in the COVID era. Heliyon 2024; 10:e32086. [PMID: 38868064 PMCID: PMC11168379 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e32086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/13/2024] [Revised: 04/30/2024] [Accepted: 05/28/2024] [Indexed: 06/14/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Early in the COVID-19 pandemic, positive COVID-19 status often disqualified potential organ donors due to perceived risks, despite limited evidence. Subsequent studies have clarified that the COVID-19 status of donors, particularly when incidental and not the cause of death, does not adversely affect non-lung transplant outcomes. This study quantifies the potential loss of eligible organ donors and the corresponding impact on organ availability during the initial phase of the pandemic. Methods In this retrospective analysis, we examined deceased donor referrals to a major organ procurement organization from June 2020 to January 2022. Referrals were categorized as All Referrals, Medically Ruled Out (MRO), or Procured Donors (PD). We used Chi-square tests for categorical comparisons and logistic regression to model additional donors and organs, contrasting COVID-negative and positive cases within age-matched cohorts. Results Among 9478 referrals, 23.4 % (2221) were COVID-positive. Notably, COVID-positive referrals had a substantially higher MRO rate (80.6 % vs. 29.6 %, p < 0.01) and a markedly lower PD rate (0.2 % vs. 8.2 %, p < 0.01). Potential missed donations of 103 organs from COVID-positive referrals were identified. Conclusion This OPO-level study demonstrates a substantial impact of COVID-19 status on organ donation rates, revealing significant missed opportunities. Improved management of donor COVID-19 status could potentially increase organ donations nationwide, taking into account evolving evidence and vaccine availability changes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jared R. Zhang
- Department of Surgery, Division of Multiorgan Transplant and Hepatobiliary Surgery, The University of Texas Medical Branch, 301 University Blvd, Galveston TX 77550, USA
| | - Muhammad Mujtaba
- Department of Medicine, Division of Transplant Nephrology, 301 University Blvd, Galveston TX 77550, USA
| | - Heidi Wagenhauser
- Southwest Transplant Alliance, 8190 Manderville Ln, Dallas, TX 75231, USA
| | - Yvette Chapman
- Southwest Transplant Alliance, 8190 Manderville Ln, Dallas, TX 75231, USA
| | - Trine Engebretsen
- Department of Surgery, Division of Multiorgan Transplant and Hepatobiliary Surgery, The University of Texas Medical Branch, 301 University Blvd, Galveston TX 77550, USA
| | - Heather L. Stevenson
- Department of Pathology, Division of Transplant Pathology, The University of Texas Medical Branch, 301 University Blvd, Galveston TX 77550, USA
| | - Syed Hussain
- Department of Medicine, Division of Transplant Nephrology, 301 University Blvd, Galveston TX 77550, USA
| | | | - Michael Kueht
- Department of Surgery, Division of Multiorgan Transplant and Hepatobiliary Surgery, The University of Texas Medical Branch, 301 University Blvd, Galveston TX 77550, USA
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Lin YK, Saragih ID, Lin CJ, Liu HL, Chen CW, Yeh YS. Global prevalence of anxiety and depression among medical students during the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMC Psychol 2024; 12:338. [PMID: 38858700 PMCID: PMC11163725 DOI: 10.1186/s40359-024-01838-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2023] [Accepted: 05/31/2024] [Indexed: 06/12/2024] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE As future physicians, medical students have experienced tremendous pressure during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic, which is associated with a high risk of depression and anxiety. We aimed to investigate an overview of the prevalence of anxiety and depression among medical students in various countries during the global COVID-19 pandemic, and discuss associated stressors. METHODS We systematically searched CINAHL, EMBASE, MEDLINE, PubMed, and Web of Science for relevant articles from December 1, 2019 to March 15, 2023. We performed meta-analysis using a random-effects model with REML method to calculate the pooled prevalence of anxiety and depression. Begg's and Egger's tests were used to identify the potential risk of publication bias. Meta-regression was used to explore potential sources of heterogeneity. RESULTS We identified 130 studies reporting anxiety and depression among 132,068 medical students during the COVID-19 pandemic. Eight screening tools were identified for anxiety and six for depression. The pooled prevalence of mental health outcomes for anxiety and depression was 45% (95% confidence interval [CI], 40%-49%) and 48% (95% CI, 43%-52%), respectively. The pooled prevalence of mental health outcomes for moderate and severe anxiety and moderate and severe depression was 28% (95% CI, 24%-32%) and 30% (95% CI, 26%-35%), respectively. There was high heterogeneity between studies, with I2 ranging from 99.58%-99.66%. Continent and survey date were included in the meta-regression model. The results of meta-regression revealed that medical students in Asia had a lower prevalence of anxiety, and depression than those in other regions. The survey date (from February to June, 2020) showed a significantly positive correlation with the prevalence of anxiety and depression. CONCLUSIONS We demonstrated the global prevalence of anxiety and depression among medical students during the COVID-19 pandemic. The data highlight that medical students worldwide are at high risk of experiencing anxiety and depression. The reported stressors can be categorized into personal, academic, environmental and cultural, and pandemic factors. Schools and institutions should ensure optimal alternative learning environments for uninterrupted provision of medical education. The appropriate authorities should prioritize the provision of adequate protection for medical students and establish policies to promote new methods of training and education during a disaster, such as via distance learning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yen-Ko Lin
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
- Division of Trauma and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
- Department of Medical Humanities and Education, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
- Center for Medical Education and Humanizing Health Professional Education, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan.
| | - Ita Daryanti Saragih
- Doctoral student, College of Nursing, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Chia-Ju Lin
- College of Nursing, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Hsin-Liang Liu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Chao-Wen Chen
- Division of Trauma and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
| | - Yung-Sung Yeh
- Division of Trauma and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Kaohsiung Medical University Hospital, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, College of Medicine, Kaohsiung Medical University, Kaohsiung, Taiwan
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10
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Alazmi E, Akbar Z, Aldarweesh M, Almuzayen K, Husain E, Alharmi J. Retrospective Cohort Study Comparing the Clinical Profile and Outcomes of Critically Ill Pregnant Patients in Kuwait during the COVID-19 Pandemic Waves. Med Princ Pract 2024; 33:441-451. [PMID: 38643766 PMCID: PMC11460848 DOI: 10.1159/000539004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2023] [Accepted: 04/16/2024] [Indexed: 04/23/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2 virus). This virus evolved into several variants, each with different severity. There are surges in the number of infected patients, commonly described as "waves." In Kuwait, three waves occurred. Our study describes and compares the clinical presentation and outcomes of critically ill pregnant patients infected with different variants. METHODS This was a retrospective cohort study in two intensive care units (ICU) dedicated to patients with COVID-19. The wave periods were retrieved from the Kuwait Ministry of Health. RESULTS The total number of ICU admissions during the study period was 74 patients. Most cases occurred during the third wave (n = 47/74, 63.5%). Most patients did not have comorbidities. The most common presenting symptoms were fever 62.2%, dyspnea 71.6%, and dry cough 74.3%. Low oxygen saturation 35.1% and maternal tachycardia 75.7% were observed in most patients. Cesarean section was the most common route of delivery, with maternal indication accounting for most cases 78.84%. Eight patients (13.69%) underwent dialysis, and thirty-one (41.9%) needed extracorporeal membrane oxygenation. Most patients required ventilatory support 66.21%. Almost all patients were unvaccinated 97.01%. Maternal mortality was mainly noted in the third wave (13.23%). CONCLUSIONS In Kuwait, the number of admissions and the rate of maternal complications, morbidity, and mortality increased with successive waves.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eman Alazmi
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Maternity Hospital Kuwait, Ministry of Health Kuwait, Kuwait City, Kuwait
| | - Zahraa Akbar
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Maternity Hospital Kuwait, Ministry of Health Kuwait, Kuwait City, Kuwait
| | - Mariam Aldarweesh
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Maternity Hospital Kuwait, Ministry of Health Kuwait, Kuwait City, Kuwait
| | - Khalid Almuzayen
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Maternity Hospital Kuwait, Ministry of Health Kuwait, Kuwait City, Kuwait
| | - Eelaf Husain
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Maternity Hospital Kuwait, Ministry of Health Kuwait, Kuwait City, Kuwait
| | - Jehad Alharmi
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, College of Medicine, Kuwait University, Kuwait City, Kuwait
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11
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Roser LP, Samanapally H, Ali T, Xu Q, Han Y, Salunkhe V, Deepti F, McGuffin T, Huang EC, Furmanek S, Glynn A, Ramirez J, Jones CM, Mariyappa R, Hogue RJ, Williams AM, Huang JJ, Arnold FW, Clifford SP, Pahwa S, Kong M, Huang J. Different clinical characteristics and outcomes of adult hospitalized SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia patients complicated by cardiovascular events during the first, delta and omicron waves of COVID-19. FRONTIERS IN EPIDEMIOLOGY 2024; 4:1342917. [PMID: 38699405 PMCID: PMC11064795 DOI: 10.3389/fepid.2024.1342917] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2023] [Accepted: 03/04/2024] [Indexed: 05/05/2024]
Abstract
Background The effects of SARS-CoV-2 have varied between significant waves of hospitalization. Research question Are cardiovascular complications different among the first, delta and omicron waves of hospitalized COVID-19 pneumonia patients? Study design and methods This was a multi-centre retrospective study of patients hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia: 632 were hospitalized during the first wave (March-July 2020), 1013 during the delta wave (September 2020-March 2021), and 323 during the omicron wave (January 2022-July 2022). Patients were stratified by wave and occurrence of cardiovascular events. Results Among all hospitalized patients with cardiovascular events, patients in the omicron wave were younger (62.4 ± 14 years) than patients in the first wave (67.4 ± 7.8 years) and the delta wave (66.9 ± 12.6 years) and had a higher proportion of non-Hispanic White people than in the first wave (78.6% vs. 61.7%). For COVID-19 patients who suffered from cardiovascular events, the omicron wave patients had significantly higher neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, white blood cell and platelet counts when compared to the first wave. Omicron wave patients had significantly lower albumin and B-type natriuretic peptide levels (only 5.8% of the first wave and 14.6% of the delta wave) when compared to either the first wave or delta wave patients. In COVID-19 patients who suffered cardiovascular events during hospitalization, mortality rate in the omicron wave (26.8%) was significantly lower than the first wave (48.3%), time to mortality for non-survivors of COVID-19 patients who suffered cardiovascular events was significantly longer in the omicron wave (median 16 days) than in the first wave (median 10 days). Conclusions Younger and white patients were affected with cardiovascular complications more often by the omicron variant. Despite higher neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio and WBC counts, the omicron patients with cardiovascular events showed lower heart injuries, lower mortality and longer time to mortality for non-survivors when compared to the first and delta waves.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lynn P. Roser
- School of Nursing, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Harideep Samanapally
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Centre of Excellence for Research in Infectious Diseases (CERID), University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - T’shura Ali
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Centre of Excellence for Research in Infectious Diseases (CERID), University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Qian Xu
- Department of Bioinformatics and Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Yuchen Han
- Department of Bioinformatics and Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Vidyulata Salunkhe
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Centre of Excellence for Research in Infectious Diseases (CERID), University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Fnu Deepti
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Centre of Excellence for Research in Infectious Diseases (CERID), University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Trevor McGuffin
- School of Nursing, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Emma C. Huang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Duke University, Durham, NC, United States
| | - Stephen Furmanek
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Centre of Excellence for Research in Infectious Diseases (CERID), University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Alex Glynn
- Kornhauser Health Sciences Library, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Julio Ramirez
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Centre of Excellence for Research in Infectious Diseases (CERID), University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Christopher M. Jones
- Division of Transplantation, Department of Surgery, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Ramesh Mariyappa
- Department of Anesthesiology & Perioperative Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Ryan J. Hogue
- Department of Anesthesiology & Perioperative Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Alexander M. Williams
- Department of Anesthesiology & Perioperative Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Justin J. Huang
- Department of Anesthesiology & Perioperative Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Forest W. Arnold
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Centre of Excellence for Research in Infectious Diseases (CERID), University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Sean P. Clifford
- Department of Anesthesiology & Perioperative Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Siddharth Pahwa
- Department of Cardiovascular & Thoracic Surgery, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Maiying Kong
- Department of Bioinformatics and Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Information Sciences, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
| | - Jiapeng Huang
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Centre of Excellence for Research in Infectious Diseases (CERID), University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
- Department of Anesthesiology & Perioperative Medicine, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
- Department of Cardiovascular & Thoracic Surgery, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
- Department of Pharmacology & Toxicology, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
- Center for Integrative Environmental Health Sciences, University of Louisville, Louisville, KY, United States
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12
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Fauzi A, Simadibrata DM, Friska D, Syam AF. COVID-19 Pandemic is Associated With Increased Prevalence of GERD and Decreased GERD-related Quality of Life: Analysis From 9800 Participants in the Indonesian GERD-Q Study. J Clin Gastroenterol 2024; 58:324-329. [PMID: 37983734 DOI: 10.1097/mcg.0000000000001923] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2023] [Accepted: 08/09/2023] [Indexed: 11/22/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The prevalence of gastroesophageal reflux disease (GERD) is expected to increase during the pandemic due to unexpected, sudden lifestyle changes such as decreased physical activity and worsening mental conditions. Here, we aim to explore the difference in the prevalence of GERD and GERD-related quality of life (QoL) in Indonesia during the COVID-19 pandemic compared with before the COVID-19 pandemic. METHODS Retrospective analysis of the Indonesian GERD Questionnaire study, a cross-sectional study utilizing an online form of the GERD Questionnaire, was done to compare the prevalence of GERD between March 2, 2018 to March 1, 2020 (prepandemic group) and March 2, 2020 to March 1, 2022 (pandemic group). The prevalence odds ratios between the 2 groups were calculated using χ 2 . RESULTS A total of 9800 participants were included in the analysis; 1807 and 7993 were allocated to the pandemic and prepandemic groups, respectively. The prevalence of GERD in the pandemic and prepandemic groups were 67.9% and 61.8%, respectively (prevalence odds ratio: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.17-1.46). CONCLUSION During the COVID-19 pandemic, the prevalence of GERD, heartburn, and those who reported impaired GERD-related quality of life increased. Regurgitation was the most common symptom reported by participants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ahmad Fauzi
- Department of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia
| | | | | | - Ari F Syam
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, Faculty of Medicine, Universitas Indonesia/Dr. Cipto Mangunkusumo General Hospital, Jakarta, Indonesia
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13
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Freitas DHM, Costa ELV, Zimmermann NA, Gois LSO, Anjos MVA, Lima FG, Andrade PS, Joelsons D, Ho Y, Sales FCS, Sabino EC, Carvalho CRR, Ferreira JC. Temporal trends of severity and outcomes of critically ill patients with COVID-19 after the emergence of variants of concern: A comparison of two waves. PLoS One 2024; 19:e0299607. [PMID: 38452031 PMCID: PMC10919739 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0299607] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2023] [Accepted: 02/13/2024] [Indexed: 03/09/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The emergence of SARS-CoV-2 variants led to subsequent waves of COVID-19 worldwide. In many countries, the second wave of COVID-19 was marked by record deaths, raising the concern that variants associated with that wave might be more deadly. Our aim was to compare outcomes of critically-ill patients of the first two waves of COVID-19. METHODS This retrospective cohort included critically-ill patients admitted between March-June 2020 and April-July 2021 in the largest academic hospital in Brazil, which has free-access universal health care system. We compared admission characteristics and hospital outcomes. The main outcome was 60-day survival and we built multivariable Cox model based on a conceptual causal diagram in the format of directed acyclic graph (DAG). RESULTS We included 1583 patients (1315 in the first and 268 in the second wave). Patients in the second wave were younger, had lower severity scores, used prone and non-invasive ventilatory support more often, and fewer patients required mechanical ventilation (70% vs 80%, p<0.001), vasopressors (60 vs 74%, p<0.001), and dialysis (22% vs 37%, p<0.001). Survival was higher in the second wave (HR 0.61, 95%CI 0.50-0.76). In the multivariable model, admission during the second wave, adjusted for age, SAPS3 and vaccination, was not associated with survival (aHR 0.85, 95%CI 0.65-1.12). CONCLUSIONS In this cohort study, patients with COVID-19 admitted to the ICU in the second wave were younger and had better prognostic scores. Adjusted survival was similar in the two waves, contrasting with record number of hospitalizations, daily deaths and health system collapse seen across the country in the second wave. Our findings suggest that the combination of the burden of severe cases and factors such as resource allocation and health disparities may have had an impact in the excess mortality found in many countries in the second wave.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daniela Helena Machado Freitas
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Eduardo Leite Vieira Costa
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Natalia Alcantara Zimmermann
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Larissa Santos Oliveira Gois
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Mirella Vittig Alves Anjos
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Felipe Gallego Lima
- Divisao de Cardiologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto Do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Pâmela Santos Andrade
- Departamento de Epidemiologia, Faculdade de Saude Publica, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Daniel Joelsons
- Divisao de Clinica de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Yeh‐Li Ho
- Divisao de Clinica de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Flávia Cristina Silva Sales
- Divisao de Clinica de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
- Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto de Medicina Tropical, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Ester Cerdeira Sabino
- Divisao de Clinica de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Departamento de Molestias Infecciosas e Parasitarias, Faculdade de Medicina, Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
- Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto de Medicina Tropical, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil
| | - Carlos Roberto Ribeiro Carvalho
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
| | - Juliana Carvalho Ferreira
- Divisao de Pneumologia, Faculdade de Medicina, Instituto do Coracao (InCor), Hospital das Clinicas HCFMUSP, Universidade de Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, SP, Brazil
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14
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Hon KLE, Leung AKC, Leung KKY, Wong AHC. Impact of "Long Covid" on Children: Global and Hong Kong Perspectives. Curr Pediatr Rev 2024; 20:59-65. [PMID: 36281870 DOI: 10.2174/1573396319666221021154949] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2022] [Revised: 07/10/2022] [Accepted: 09/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/22/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic spares no nation or city, and the virus is responsible for the escalating incidence and mortality worldwide. OBJECTIVE This article reviews the impact of "Long Covid" on Children. METHODS A PubMed search was conducted in December 2021 in Clinical Queries using the key terms "COVID-19" OR "long COVID". The search was restricted to children and adolescent aged < 18 years and English literature. RESULTS Many large-scale studies have provided strong scientific evidence as to the detrimental and irreversible sequelae of COVID-19 on the health, psychology, and development of affected children. Many insights into managing this disease can be obtained from comparing the management of influenza. COVID-19 is generally a mild respiratory disease in children. Several syndromes, such as multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) and COVID toe, are probably not specific to SARS-CoV-2. "Long COVID", or the long-term effects of SARS-CoV-2 infection, or the prolonged isolation and containment strategies on education and psychosocial influences on children associated with the pandemic, are significant. CONCLUSION Healthcare providers must be aware of the potential effects of quarantine on children's mental health. More importantly, healthcare providers must appreciate the importance of the decisions and actions made by governments, non-governmental organizations, the community, schools, and parents in reducing the possible effects of this situation. Multifaceted age-specific and developmentally appropriate strategies must be adopted by healthcare authorities to lessen the negative impact of quarantine on the psychological well-being of children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kam Lun Ellis Hon
- Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Hong Kong Children's Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Alexander K C Leung
- Department of Pediatrics, The Alberta Children's Hospital and The University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Karen Ka Yan Leung
- Department of Paediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, Hong Kong Children's Hospital, Hong Kong SAR, China
| | - Alex H C Wong
- Department of Family Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
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15
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Khyati, Manchanda V, Pumma P, Chawla R, Garg S, Saxena S. Diagnostic performance of saliva RT-PCR test as a diagnostic tool and its utility in the detection of SARS-CoV-2 shedding with different patient characteristics: Prospective observational study. Indian J Med Microbiol 2024; 47:100490. [PMID: 37890412 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijmmb.2023.100490] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/16/2023] [Revised: 09/28/2023] [Accepted: 09/29/2023] [Indexed: 10/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Salivary shedding of SARS-CoV-2 is a known entity and its role has been established in transmission of the disease. The present study was performed to evaluate the duration of viral shedding in saliva in COVID-19 patients and its variation among symptomatic and asymptomatic patients with or without co-morbidities. METHODS The present prospective observational study was conducted at the COVID-19 care hospital associated with primary to tertiary care in New Delhi, India. A total of 124 COVID-19 confirmed cases enrolled in two phases (January-March 2021; April-June 2021) who consented for 48hrly saliva and nasopharyngeal swab (NPS) specimens till discharge from the hospital for SARS-CoV-2 detection were included. The specimens obtained were tested for SARS-CoV-2 by Real-Time PCR. RESULTS The sensitivity and the specificity of RT-PCR on saliva were 81.7 % and 85.0 %, respectively. The sensitivity of saliva-based PCR was comparable in symptomatic and asymptomatic patients (81.6 % vs 82.1 %). The sensitivity of saliva-based PCR markedly increased in the second phase of enrollment as compared to the first phase (92.6 % vs 78.5 %) indicating higher level of salivary shedding by the delta variant of SARS-CoV-2. The sensitivity of PCR on saliva was the highest up to day seven of illness. The median duration of RNA shedding in saliva was comparable among the symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. The severity of the disease was not associated with the duration of SARS-CoV-2 shedding in saliva. CONCLUSIONS SARS-CoV-2 shedding in saliva continued till seven days in large number of patients including asymptomatic patients. Saliva is non-inferior to NPS specimen in the diagnosis of SARS-CoV-2. Saliva specimen is recommended as a good alternate to NPS for SARS-CoV-2 testing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khyati
- Department of Microbiology, Maulana Azad Medical College, 110002, New Delhi, India
| | - V Manchanda
- Department of Microbiology, Maulana Azad Medical College, 110002, New Delhi, India.
| | - P Pumma
- Department of Microbiology, Maulana Azad Medical College, 110002, New Delhi, India
| | - R Chawla
- Department of Microbiology, Maulana Azad Medical College, 110002, New Delhi, India
| | - S Garg
- Department of Medicine, Maulana Azad Medical College, 110002, New Delhi, India
| | - S Saxena
- Department of Microbiology, Maulana Azad Medical College, 110002, New Delhi, India
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Pokala U, Potnuru S, Kanapalli S, Sailesh AV, P. N. A Comparative Study on the General and Otolaryngological Manifestations of COVID-19 in the Hospitalized Population of the Telangana Region During the First and Second Waves. Int Arch Otorhinolaryngol 2024; 28:e3-e11. [PMID: 38322430 PMCID: PMC10843908 DOI: 10.1055/s-0043-1777419] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/30/2022] [Accepted: 01/28/2023] [Indexed: 02/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Some common symptoms of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) are fever, cough, and shortness of breath. But ear, nose, and throat (ENT) manifestations such as loss of smell and taste are also very common. Objectives To compare the general and otorhinolaryngological manifestations of COVID-19 and to compare the treatments given and mortality rate during its two waves. Methods This retrospective study was conducted on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) cases in a tertiary care teaching hospital. Six hundred patients were included in the 1st wave sample and 516 were in the 2nd wave sample. The data collected included demographics, comorbidities, general, and ENT symptoms, need for ventilatory support, oxygen therapy, and mortality for both the waves. Results Fever, malaise, and myalgia were more frequently presented in the first wave than in the second, whereas shortness of breath was more common in the second wave. In the second wave, a significant increase in anosmia cases was reported, whereas sore throat, nasal obstruction, dysphagia, nasal discharge, and sneezing were significantly reduced compared with the first wave ( p < 0.001). The case fatality rate increased from 11.33 to 21.55% ( p < 0.001) from the 1 st to the 2 nd wave. The patients who died in the second wave were younger than those in the first wave. Two doses of vaccination showed protection from the death over those not vaccinated and those who only received one dose ( p < 0.05). Conclusion Ear, nose, and throat (ENT) manifestations are very common along with the general symptoms. As anosmia and dysgeusia are early presenting symptoms in COVID-19 patients, all physicians should screen patients for ENT symptoms.
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Affiliation(s)
- Uma Pokala
- Department of ENT, Mamata Medical College, Khammam, Telangana, India
| | - Shilpa Potnuru
- Department of ENT, NRI Institute of Medical Sciences, Vizag, AP, India
| | - Sasikala Kanapalli
- Department of Obstetrics & Gynecology, Vishwabharathi Medical College, Kurnool, Andhra Pradesh, India
| | | | - Naveen P.
- Department of Pharmacology, Mamata Medical College, Khammam, Telangana, India
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Ahmad T, Abdullah M, Mueed A, Sultan F, Khan A, Khan AA. COVID-19 in Pakistan: A national analysis of five pandemic waves. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0281326. [PMID: 38157382 PMCID: PMC10756537 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0281326] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2023] [Accepted: 12/12/2023] [Indexed: 01/03/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The COVID-19 pandemic showed distinct waves where cases ebbed and flowed. While each country had slight, nuanced differences, lessons from each wave with country-specific details provides important lessons for prevention, understanding medical outcomes and the role of vaccines. This paper compares key characteristics from the five different COVID-19 waves in Pakistan. METHODS Data was sourced from daily national situation reports (Sitreps) prepared by the National Emergency Operations Centre (NEOC) in Islamabad. We use specific criteria to define COVID-19 waves. The start of each COVID-19 wave is marked by the day of the lowest number of daily cases preceding a sustained increase, while the end is the day with the lowest number of cases following a 7-days decline, which should be lower than the 7 days following it. Key variables such as COVID-19 tests, cases, and deaths with their rates of change to the peak and then to the trough are used to draw descriptive comparisons. Additionally, a linear regression model estimates daily new COVID-19 deaths in Pakistan. RESULTS Pakistan saw five distinct waves, each of which displayed the typical topology of a complete infectious disease epidemic. The time from wave-start to peak became progressively shorter, and from wave-peak to trough, progressively longer. Each wave appears to also be getting shorter, except for wave 4, which lasted longer than wave 3. A one percent increase in vaccinations decreased deaths by 0.38% (95% CI: -0.67, -0.08) in wave 5 and the association is statistically significant. CONCLUSION Each wave displayed distinct characteristics that must be interpreted in the context of the level of response and the variant driving the epidemic. Key indicators suggest that COVID-19 preventive measures kept pace with the disease. Waves 1 and 2 were mainly about prevention and learning how to clinically manage patients. Vaccination started late during wave 3 and its impact on hospitalizations and deaths became visible in wave 5. The impact of highly virulent strains Alpha/B.1.1.7 and Delta/B.1.617.2 variants during wave 3 and milder but more infectious Omicron/B.1.1.529 during wave 5 are apparent.
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Affiliation(s)
- Taimoor Ahmad
- Research and Development Solutions, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | | | - Abdul Mueed
- Research and Development Solutions, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Faisal Sultan
- Ministry of National Health Services, Regulation and Coordination, Islamabad, Pakistan
- Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital & Research Centre, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Ayesha Khan
- Akhter Hameed Khan Foundation, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Adnan Ahmad Khan
- Research and Development Solutions, Islamabad, Pakistan
- Ministry of National Health Services, Regulation and Coordination, Islamabad, Pakistan
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Lu G, Yang Z, Qu W, Qian T, Liu Z, He W, Lin Z, Hon C. Daily fluctuations in COVID-19 infection rates under Tokyo's epidemic prevention measures - new evidence from adaptive Fourier decomposition. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1245572. [PMID: 38162627 PMCID: PMC10756239 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1245572] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/23/2023] [Accepted: 11/20/2023] [Indexed: 01/03/2024] Open
Abstract
Background The COVID-19 pandemic has witnessed widespread infections and variants. Particularly, Tokyo faced the challenge of seven waves of COVID-19, during which government interventions played a pivotal role. Therefore, gaining a comprehensive understanding of government control measures is of paramount importance, which is beneficial for health authorities in the policy development process. Method Our study analysis the daily change data of the daily COVID-19 infection count in Tokyo from January 16, 2020 to September 30, 2022. We utilized adaptive Fourier decomposition (AFD) for analyzing the temporal trends within COVID-19 data. It extends the conventional AFD approach by constructing new components base on multiple individual components at various time-frequency scales. Furthermore, we conducted Pearson correlation assessments of the first to third-order synthesis results, along with comparative analyses against other signal analysis techniques. Ultimately, these new components are integrated with policy data spanning different time periods for a comprehensive analysis. Result The analysis of daily COVID-19 data in Tokyo using AFD reveals how various government policies impacted infection rates across seven distinct fluctuation periods. In the decomposition results, the reduction of business hours policy correlated with high-frequency components in the first four waves, while the low-frequency components for the sixth wave suggested a decline in its relevance. The vaccination policy initially displayed a mid-frequency correlation with the fifth wave and continued with a low-frequency correlation in the last wave. Moreover, our statistical analysis (value of p < 0.05) demonstrated that 75% of the third-order AFD components exhibited significant positive correlations with the original infections, while the correlation coefficients of most components in EMD and VMD did not attain significance. Conclusion In the time-frequency domain, AFD demonstrates superior performance compared to EMD and VMD in capturing crucial data related to epidemic control measures. The variations in daily COVID-19 infection counts during these seven periods under various policies are evident in distinct third-order AFD components. These findings guide the formulation of future public health policies and social measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Guibin Lu
- Department of Engineering Science, Faculty of Innovation Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa, Macao SAR, China
| | - Zifeng Yang
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Health, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
- Guangzhou Laboratory, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
- Respiratory Disease AI Laboratory on Epidemic Intelligence and Medical Big Data Instrument Applications, Department of Engineering Science, Faculty of Innovation Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa, Macao SAR, China
- Guangzhou Key Laboratory for Clinical Rapid Diagnosis and Early Warning of Infectious Diseases, KingMed School of Laboratory Medicine, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
| | - Wei Qu
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Disease, State Key Laboratory of Respiratory Disease, Guangzhou Institute of Respiratory Health, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
- College of Sciences, China Jiliang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Tao Qian
- Macau Center for Mathematical Sciences, Macau University of Science and Technology, Macau, China
| | - Zige Liu
- Department of Engineering Science, Faculty of Innovation Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa, Macao SAR, China
| | - Wei He
- Department of Engineering Science, Faculty of Innovation Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa, Macao SAR, China
| | - Zhijie Lin
- Department of Engineering Science, Faculty of Innovation Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa, Macao SAR, China
| | - Chitin Hon
- Department of Engineering Science, Faculty of Innovation Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa, Macao SAR, China
- Guangzhou Laboratory, Guangzhou, Guangdong, China
- Respiratory Disease AI Laboratory on Epidemic Intelligence and Medical Big Data Instrument Applications, Department of Engineering Science, Faculty of Innovation Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa, Macao SAR, China
- Guangzhou Key Laboratory for Clinical Rapid Diagnosis and Early Warning of Infectious Diseases, KingMed School of Laboratory Medicine, Guangzhou Medical University, Guangzhou, China
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Casas-Rojo JM, Antón-Santos JM, Millán-Núñez-Cortés J, Gómez-Huelgas R, Ramos-Rincón JM, Rubio-Rivas M, Corrales-González MÁ, Fernández-Madera-Martínez MR, Beato-Pérez JL, Arnalich-Fernández F, Gállego-Lezaun C, Pérez-Martínez P, Molinos-Castro S, Tung-Chen Y, Madrazo M, Méndez-Bailón M, Monge-Monge D, García-García GM, García-Fenoll R, Gilabert N, Fuerte-Martínez R, Contreras-Sánchez M, Rhyman N, Peris-García J, Lumbreras-Bermejo C. Mortality reduction in older COVID-19-patients hospitalized in Spain during the second pandemic wave from the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry. Sci Rep 2023; 13:17731. [PMID: 37853011 PMCID: PMC10584827 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-42735-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2022] [Accepted: 09/14/2023] [Indexed: 10/20/2023] Open
Abstract
In 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic followed a two-wave pattern in most countries. Hospital admission for COVID-19 in one wave or another could have affected mortality, especially among the older persons. The objective of this study was to evaluate whether the admission of older patients during the different waves, before SARS-CoV-2 vaccination was available, was associated with a different mortality. We compared the mortality rates of patients hospitalized during 2020 before (first wave) and after (second wave) July 7, 2020, included in the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry, a large, multicenter, retrospective cohort of patients admitted to 126 Spanish hospitals for COVID-19. A multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to control for changes in either the patient or disease profile. As of December 26, 2022, 22,494 patients had been included (17,784 from the first wave and 4710 from the second one). Overall mortality was 20.4% in the first wave and 17.2% in the second wave (risk difference (RD) - 3.2%; 95% confidence interval (95% CI) - 4.4 to - 2.0). Only patients aged 70 and older (10,973 patients: 8571 in the first wave and 2386 in the second wave) had a significant reduction in mortality (RD - 7.6%; 95% CI - 9.7 to - 5.5) (unadjusted relative risk reduction: 21.6%). After adjusting for age, comorbidities, variables related to the severity of the disease, and treatment received, admission during the second wave remained a protective factor. In Spain, patients aged 70 years and older admitted during the second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic had a significantly lower risk of mortality, except in severely dependent persons in need of corticosteroid treatment. This effect is independent of patient characteristics, disease severity, or treatment received. This suggests a protective effect of a better standard of care, greater clinical expertise, or a lesser degree of healthcare system overload.
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Affiliation(s)
- José-Manuel Casas-Rojo
- Internal Medicine Department, Infanta Cristina University Hospital, Parla, Madrid, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Puerta de Hierro-Segovia de Arana (IDIPHISA), Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
| | - Juan-Miguel Antón-Santos
- Internal Medicine Department, Infanta Cristina University Hospital, Parla, Madrid, Spain
- Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Puerta de Hierro-Segovia de Arana (IDIPHISA), Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Ricardo Gómez-Huelgas
- Internal Medicine Department, Regional University Hospital of Málaga, Biomedical Research Institute of Málaga (IBIMA), University of Málaga (UMA), Málaga, Spain
| | - José-Manuel Ramos-Rincón
- Clinical Medicine Department, Miguel Hernandez University of Elche, Ctra N332 s/n, 03550, Sant Joan d'Alacant, Alicante, Spain.
| | - Manuel Rubio-Rivas
- Internal Medicine Department, Bellvitge University Hospital, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | | | - José-Luis Beato-Pérez
- Internal Medicine Department, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Albacete, Albacete, Spain
| | | | | | - Pablo Pérez-Martínez
- Lipids and Atherosclerosis Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, Maimonides Biomedical Research Institute of Córdoba (IMIBIC), Reina Sofía University Hospital, University of Córdoba, CIBER Fisiopatología de la Obesidad y Nutrición (CIBEROBN), Instituto de Salud Carlos III (ISCIII), Madrid, Spain
| | - Sonia Molinos-Castro
- Internal Medicine Department, Complejo Hospitalario Universitario de Santiago, A Coruña, Spain
| | - Yale Tung-Chen
- Internal Medicine Department, Hospital Universitario Puerta de Hierro Majadahonda, Madrid, Spain
| | - Manuel Madrazo
- Internal Medicine Department, Hospital Universitario Doctor, Peset, Valencia, Spain
| | | | - Daniel Monge-Monge
- Internal Medicine Department, Complejo Asistencial de Segovia, Segovia, Spain
| | | | - Rosa García-Fenoll
- Internal Medicine Department. Hospital, Universitario Miguel Servet, Zaragoza, Spain
| | - Noemí Gilabert
- Internal Medicine Department, Hospital Universitario de la Princesa, Madrid, Spain
| | - Rebeca Fuerte-Martínez
- Internal Medicine Department, Hospital Universitario Infanta Sofía, SS de los Reyes, Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Nicolás Rhyman
- Internal Medicine Department, Hospital de Sant Joan Despí Moisès Broggi, Sant Joan Despí, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Jorge Peris-García
- Internal Medicine Department, Hospital Universitari Sant Joan d'Alacant, Alicante, Spain
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20
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Chimbunde E, Sigwadhi LN, Tamuzi JL, Okango EL, Daramola O, Ngah VD, Nyasulu PS. Machine learning algorithms for predicting determinants of COVID-19 mortality in South Africa. Front Artif Intell 2023; 6:1171256. [PMID: 37899965 PMCID: PMC10600470 DOI: 10.3389/frai.2023.1171256] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2023] [Accepted: 08/15/2023] [Indexed: 10/31/2023] Open
Abstract
Background COVID-19 has strained healthcare resources, necessitating efficient prognostication to triage patients effectively. This study quantified COVID-19 risk factors and predicted COVID-19 intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in South Africa based on machine learning algorithms. Methods Data for this study were obtained from 392 COVID-19 ICU patients enrolled between 26 March 2020 and 10 February 2021. We used an artificial neural network (ANN) and random forest (RF) to predict mortality among ICU patients and a semi-parametric logistic regression with nine covariates, including a grouping variable based on K-means clustering. Further evaluation of the algorithms was performed using sensitivity, accuracy, specificity, and Cohen's K statistics. Results From the semi-parametric logistic regression and ANN variable importance, age, gender, cluster, presence of severe symptoms, being on the ventilator, and comorbidities of asthma significantly contributed to ICU death. In particular, the odds of mortality were six times higher among asthmatic patients than non-asthmatic patients. In univariable and multivariate regression, advanced age, PF1 and 2, FiO2, severe symptoms, asthma, oxygen saturation, and cluster 4 were strongly predictive of mortality. The RF model revealed that intubation status, age, cluster, diabetes, and hypertension were the top five significant predictors of mortality. The ANN performed well with an accuracy of 71%, a precision of 83%, an F1 score of 100%, Matthew's correlation coefficient (MCC) score of 100%, and a recall of 88%. In addition, Cohen's k-value of 0.75 verified the most extreme discriminative power of the ANN. In comparison, the RF model provided a 76% recall, an 87% precision, and a 65% MCC. Conclusion Based on the findings, we can conclude that both ANN and RF can predict COVID-19 mortality in the ICU with accuracy. The proposed models accurately predict the prognosis of COVID-19 patients after diagnosis. The models can be used to prioritize COVID-19 patients with a high mortality risk in resource-constrained ICUs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emmanuel Chimbunde
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Lovemore N. Sigwadhi
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Jacques L. Tamuzi
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Olawande Daramola
- Department of Information Technology, Faculty of Informatics and Design, Cape Peninsula University of Technology, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Veranyuy D. Ngah
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Peter S. Nyasulu
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Department of Global Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
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Vig S, Meena JK, Kumar A, Rathore P, Bhan S, Sirohiya P, Goswami G, Elavarasi A, Sagiraju HKR, Gupta N, Ratre B, Pandit A, Singh R, Kumar B, Garg R, Meena VP, Paul SS, Mohan A, Guleria R, Bhatnagar S. Mortality in Two Waves of COVID-19: A Comparative Analysis of a Tertiary Care Hospital in India. Cureus 2023; 15:e45025. [PMID: 37829991 PMCID: PMC10566229 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.45025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/11/2023] [Indexed: 10/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Background COVID-19 has spread as two distinct surges of cases in many countries. Several countries have reported differences in disease severity and mortality in the two waves. Objective Compare the in-hospital mortality in the two COVID-19 waves at a tertiary care hospital in India. Methods We conducted a retrospective data collection. Distinct periods of surges in cases and admissions were defined as the first wave spanning from March 2020 to December 2020 and the second wave from April 2021 to June 21, 2021. The primary outcome of this study was to compare mortality rates in terms of total hospital mortality rate (TMR) and case fatality rate (CFR). Results Mortality rates of wave 2 were approximately 10 times that of wave 1 (TMR of 20.3% in wave 2 versus 2.4% in wave 1 and CFR of 1.5% versus 17.7% in wave 1 and 2, respectively). Mortalities in wave 2 had a larger proportion of severe disease at presentation, faster progression of symptoms to death, and more patients without any chronic comorbid condition dying due to the direct effect of COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Conclusion Our data matches the worldwide reported pooled hospital mortality figures and shows the comparative difference in disease severity between the two waves.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saurabh Vig
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, National Cancer Institute, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Jitendra K Meena
- Preventive Oncology, National Cancer Institute, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Abhishek Kumar
- Anesthesiology, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences (SGPGIMS), Lucknow, IND
| | - Puneet Rathore
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, Dr. B. R. Ambedkar Institute Rotary Cancer Hospital, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Swati Bhan
- Anesthesiology, Vardhaman Mahavir Medical College (VMMC) and Safdarjung Hospital, New Delhi, IND
| | - Prashant Sirohiya
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, National Cancer Institute, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Gitartha Goswami
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, Dr. B. R. Ambedkar Institute Rotary Cancer Hospital, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | | | - Hari Krishna Raju Sagiraju
- Preventive Oncology, National Cancer Institute, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Nishkarsh Gupta
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, Dr. B. R. Ambedkar Institute Rotary Cancer Hospital, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Delhi, IND
| | - Brajesh Ratre
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, Dr. B. R. Ambedkar Institute Rotary Cancer Hospital, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Anuja Pandit
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, National Cancer Institute, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Ram Singh
- Anesthesiology and Critical Care, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) New Delhi, New Delhi, IND
| | - Balbir Kumar
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, National Cancer Institute, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Rakesh Garg
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, Dr. B. R. Ambedkar Institute Rotary Cancer Hospital, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
| | - Ved P Meena
- Internal Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) New Delhi, New Delhi, IND
| | - Saurav S Paul
- Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) New Delhi, New Delhi, IND
| | - Anant Mohan
- Pulmonary Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) New Delhi, New Delhi, IND
| | - Randeep Guleria
- Pulmonary Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS) New Delhi, New Delhi, IND
| | - Sushma Bhatnagar
- Onco-Anesthesiology and Palliative Medicine, Dr. B. R. Ambedkar Institute Rotary Cancer Hospital, All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), New Delhi, IND
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heydarifard Z, Shafiei‐Jandaghi N, Safaei M, Tavakoli F, Shatizadeh Malekshahi S. Comparison of clinical outcomes, demographic, and laboratory characteristics of hospitalized COVID-19 patients during major three waves driven by Alpha, Delta, and Omicron variants in Tehran, Iran. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2023; 17:e13184. [PMID: 37565071 PMCID: PMC10410233 DOI: 10.1111/irv.13184] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/22/2023] [Revised: 07/25/2023] [Accepted: 07/26/2023] [Indexed: 08/12/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction This study is the first study in which demographic, laboratory data, and outcomes of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) patients due to the circulating SARS-CoV-2 infections caused by different variants (Alpha, Delta, and Omicron) are compared in Iran. Methods We conducted a retrospective study of confirmed hospitalized COVID-19 cases from April 9, 2021, to May 22, 2022. Demographic data and laboratory findings were extracted from patients' electronic medical records on the first day of admission to the hospital. All patients were followed up for outcomes related to COVID-19 including intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality rate. Results Of 760 confirmed hospitalized COVID-19 cases, 362, 298, and 100 represented patients during waves 4-6, respectively. During the Omicron wave, hospitalized patients were older than the other two waves and had a lower median level of C-reactive protein (CRP), alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), and erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR). The median length of hospital stay during waves 4-6 was 5 days (interquartile range [IQR]: 4.0-8.0), 7 days (IQR: 6.0-11), and 6 days (IQR: 5.0-9.0), respectively (p < 0.001). The rate of ICU admission during waves 4-6 significantly increased. Conclusions Although the Omicron variant caused less severe disease, in older patients who were hospitalized due to Omicron infection, longer hospital and ICU stays were reported, which could be attributed to their old age. In particular, elderly patients are more vulnerable to severe COVID-19; otherwise, as expected, other laboratory parameters and clinical outcomes were in accordance with differences in pathogenicity and infectivity of these variants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zahra heydarifard
- Hepatitis Research Center, Department of Virology, Faculty of MedicineLorestan University of Medical SciencesKhorramabadIran
| | | | - Moslem Safaei
- Department of Pharmacy, School of PharmacyShahid Sadoughi University of Medical ScienceYazdIran
| | - Forough Tavakoli
- Department of Bacteriology and Virology, School of MedicineIsfahan University of Medical SciencesIsfahanIran
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Mahmud R, Islam MA, Haque ME, Hussain DA, Islam MR, Monayem FB, Kamal MM, Sina H, Islam MF, Datta PK, Sayeed SJB, Dhali SA, Islam K, Ratul RH, Hossain SMR, Prince HN, Chowdhury AH, Ahmed KG, Miah MT, Rahman MM. Difference in presentation, outcomes, and hospital epidemiologic trend of COVID-19 among first, second, and third waves: a review of hospital records and prospective cohort study. Ann Med Surg (Lond) 2023; 85:3816-3826. [PMID: 37554920 PMCID: PMC10405996 DOI: 10.1097/ms9.0000000000001024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/23/2023] [Accepted: 06/20/2023] [Indexed: 08/10/2023] Open
Abstract
UNLABELLED This study aimed to examine the differences in epidemiologic and disease aspects among patients with coronavirus disease-19 (COVID-19). METHODS The authors reviewed the hospital records between April 2020 and September 2021 and followed up on the patients for post-COVID complications. FINDINGS Older adult patients were predominantly affected during the third wave, and middle-aged patients were predominantly affected during the first and second waves. Men were predominantly admitted, considering the three waves, although more women were admitted in the second wave. Cough was more common in the second and third waves than in the first wave 522 (59.7%). Respiratory distress was the most common in the third wave, 251(67.1%), and least common in the first wave, 403 (46.1%). Anosmia was more common in the third wave 116 (31.2%). In the third wave, patients presenting in a critical state 23 (6.2%) and with severe disease 152 (40.8%) were more common. The hospital admission median (IQR) was longer in the first wave, 12 (8-20), than in other waves. More patients were admitted in the first wave (52%) than in the other waves, and patients received more oxygen in the third wave (75%) than in the other waves. Death occurred more commonly in the first wave (51%) than in the other waves. The positivity rate was higher in the third wave (22.8%) than in the other waves. In the third wave, the positivity rate was higher in women (24.3%) than in men. Post-COVID cough increased in the second wave, and fatigue was higher in the third wave than in the other waves. Tiredness and memory loss were greater during the second wave than in other waves. CONCLUSION The authors found differences in the presentation, outcomes, and hospital epidemiologic trend of COVID-19 among the three waves.
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Affiliation(s)
- Reaz Mahmud
- Department of Neurology, Dhaka Medical College
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Hashmi Sina
- Department of Neurology, Dhaka Medical College
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Rifat H. Ratul
- COVID-19 Post-acute Care and Follow-up Clinic, Dhaka Medical College
| | | | | | | | | | | | - Md. Mujibur Rahman
- Department of Medicine, Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujib Medical University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
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Bezzio C, Vernero M, Costa S, Armuzzi A, Fiorino G, Ardizzone S, Roselli J, Carparelli S, Orlando A, Caprioli FA, Castiglione F, Viganò C, Ribaldone DG, Zingone F, Monterubbianesi R, Imperatore N, Festa S, Daperno M, Scucchi L, Ferronato A, Pastorelli L, Alimenti E, Balestrieri P, Ricci C, Cappello M, Felice C, Coppini F, Alvisi P, Di Luna I, Gerardi V, Variola A, Mazzuoli S, Lenti MV, Saibeni S. SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: comparison between the first and second pandemic waves. BMC Gastroenterol 2023; 23:230. [PMID: 37407913 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-023-02841-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2022] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 07/07/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In Italy, the incidence of SARS-CoV-2 infection peaked in April and November 2020, defining two pandemic waves of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study compared the characteristics and outcomes of patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and SARS-CoV-2 infections between pandemic waves. METHODS Observational longitudinal study of IBD patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Patients with established diagnoses of IBD and of SARS-CoV-2 infection were consecutively enrolled in two periods: (i) first wave, from 1 March 2020 to 31 May 2020; and (ii) second wave, from 15 September to 15 December 2020. RESULTS We enrolled 937 IBD patients (219 in the first wave, 718 in the second wave). Patients of the first wave were older (mean ± SD: 46.3 ± 16.2 vs. 44.1 ± 15.4 years, p = 0.06), more likely to have ulcerative colitis (58.0% vs. 44.4%, p < 0.001) and comorbidities (48.9% vs. 38.9%; p < 0.01), and more frequently residing in Northern Italy (73.1% vs. 46.0%, p < 0.001) than patients of the second wave. There were no significant differences between pandemic waves in sex (male: 54.3% vs. 53.3%, p = 0.82) or frequency of active IBD (44.3% vs. 39.0%, p = 0.18). The rates of negative outcomes were significantly higher in the first than second wave: pneumonia (27.8% vs. 11.7%, p < 0.001), hospital admission (27.4% vs. 9.7%, p < 0.001), ventilatory support (11.9% vs. 5.4%, p < 0.003) and death (5.5% vs. 1.8%, p < 0.007). CONCLUSION Between the first and second SARS-CoV-2 pandemic waves, demographic, clinical and geographical features of IBD patients were different as were the symptoms and outcomes of infection. These differences are likely due to the different epidemiological situations and diagnostic possibilities between the two waves.
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Affiliation(s)
- Cristina Bezzio
- Gastroenterology Unit, Rho Hospital, ASST Rhodense, Corso Europa 250, 20017, Rho, MI, Italy.
| | - Marta Vernero
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - Stefania Costa
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
- , UO Gastroenterology, ASST Milano Ovest, Legnano (MI), Legnano, Italy
| | - Alessandro Armuzzi
- IBD Unit, IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital, Rozzano, MI, Italy
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Pieve Emanuele, MI, Italy
| | - Gionata Fiorino
- Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Unit, IRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele and University Vita-Salute San Raffaele, Milan, Italy
| | - Sandro Ardizzone
- Gastroenterology Unit, ASST Fatebenefratelli Sacco, Milan, Italy
- Department of Biomedical and Clinical Sciences, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | - Jenny Roselli
- Gastroenterology Department, IBD Referral Center, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi, Florence, Italy
| | - Sonia Carparelli
- Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Casa Sollievo Della Sofferenza, San Giovanni Rotondo, Italy
| | | | - Flavio Andrea Caprioli
- Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Unit, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
- Department of Pathophysiology and Transplantation, Università Degli Studi Di Milano, Milan, Italy
| | - Fabiana Castiglione
- Gastroenterology Unit, Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, University Federico II of Naples, Naples, Italy
| | - Chiara Viganò
- European Reference Network on Hepatological Diseases (ERN RARE-LIVER), Fondazione IRCCS San Gerardo dei Tintori, Monza, Italy
| | - Davide G Ribaldone
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medical Sciences, Università Di Torino, Turin, Italy
| | - Fabiana Zingone
- Department of Surgical, Oncological and Gastroenterological Sciences - DISCOG, University Hospital, Padua, Italy
| | - Rita Monterubbianesi
- Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera San Camillo Forlanini, Rome, Italy
| | - Nicola Imperatore
- Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Unit, P.O. Santa Maria delle Grazie, Pozzuoli, Naples, Italy
| | | | - Marco Daperno
- Gastroenterology Unit, Mauriziano Hospital, Turin, Italy
| | - Ludovica Scucchi
- Department of Systems Medicine, University Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
| | - Antonio Ferronato
- UOSD Endoscopia Digestiva, Ospedale Alto Vicentino, AULSS 7 Pedemontana, Santorso, VI, Italy
| | - Luca Pastorelli
- Gastroenterology and Liver Unit, School of Medicine at Ospedale San Paolo, Department of Health Sciences, ASST Santi Paolo E Carlo, University of Milan, Milan, Italy
| | | | - Paola Balestrieri
- Gastroenterology and Endoscopy Unit, Policlinico Campus Bio Medico, Rome, Italy
| | - Chiara Ricci
- Gastroenterology Unit, Clinical and Experimental Sciences Department, Spedali Civili Hospital, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
| | - Maria Cappello
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Section, Department of Health Promotion, Mother and Child Care, Internal Medicine and Medical Specialties, University of Palermo, Palermo, Italy
| | - Carla Felice
- Medicine 1 Unit, Ca' Foncello University Hospital, Department of Medicine (DIMED), University of Padova, Padova, Italy
| | - Francesca Coppini
- Department of Translational Research and New Technologies in Medicine and Surgery, University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
| | - Patrizia Alvisi
- Pediatric Gastroenterology Unit, Maggiore Hospital, Bologna, Italy
| | - Imma Di Luna
- Gastroenterology Unit, Department of Clinical Medicine and Surgery, University Federico II of Naples, Naples, Italy
| | - Viviana Gerardi
- Medicine, Gastroenterology and Digestive Endoscopy Department, Fondazione Poliambulanza, Brescia, Italy
| | - Angela Variola
- IBD Unit, IRCCS Sacro Cuore Don Calabria, Negrar, VR, Italy
| | - Silvia Mazzuoli
- Gastroenterology and Artificial Nutrition Department, Ospedale Monsignor Raffaele Dimiccoli, Barletta, BT, Italy
| | - Marco Vincenzo Lenti
- Department of Internal Medicine and Medical Therapeutics, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy; First Department of Internal Medicine, San Matteo Hospital Foundation, Pavia, Italy
| | - Simone Saibeni
- Gastroenterology Unit, Rho Hospital, ASST Rhodense, Corso Europa 250, 20017, Rho, MI, Italy
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Elsabour Kinawy SA, Assalahi AA, Elnour Elshikh Ahmed G, Taha A, Abd Elgafar Hassan K, Wahdan Alrifai A, Helmy Elsaied M. COVID-19 and H1N1 Influenza: Are They 2 Sides of the Same Coin? Med J Islam Repub Iran 2023; 37:71. [PMID: 37600633 PMCID: PMC10436672 DOI: 10.47176/mjiri.37.71] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2023] [Indexed: 08/22/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Swine flu (H1N1) and Coronavirus diseases (COVID-19) have been compared in the past few months. Both pandemics sparked a worldwide major panic. Although both have some common symptoms and diagnoses, they are quite different in many aspects. The current study aimed to investigate the differences in clinical and viral behaviors between H1N1 Influenza and COVID-19 pneumonia. Methods This was a retrospective study of adult patients hospitalized with H1N1 influenza pneumonia between January 2019 and February 2020, and patients hospitalized with COVID-19 during the outbreak. A demographic and clinical characteristic of H1N1 influenza and COVID-19 patients were recorded. Both groups were compared-using an independent samples student t test for continuous variables and a chi-square test for categorical data-to identify significantly different parameters between the 2 diseases. Results A total of 78 patients were included and divided into 2 groups: 33 patients (42.3%) with H1N1 and 45 patients (57.7%) with COVID-19. The mean age of the patients was 43.3 ± 10.6 years. Bronchial asthma was significantly higher among patients with H1N1, while diabetes mellitus was significantly higher among patients with COVID-19. Right lower lobe affection was significantly present among those with H1N1 than those with COVID (100% vs 0%). The monocytic count was significantly higher among those with H1N1 than COVID-19 (11.63 ± 1.50 vs 7.76 ± 1.68; P < 0.001). Respiratory rates of more than 22 c/min significantly increased in patients with HINI than in those with COVID-19 (18.2% vs 4.4%; P = 0.05). Mortality increased in patients with HINI than in those with COVID-19 (18.2% vs 6.7%). However, the difference did not reach statistical significance (P = 0.15). Conclusion Clinically, it is difficult to distinguish between H1N1 and COVID-19. Thus, a polymerase chain reaction is recommended for all patients suffering from influenza-like symptoms to rule out influenza A subtype H1N1 and/or SARS-CoV2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sayed Abd Elsabour Kinawy
- Chest Diseases Department, Faculty of Medicine, Aswan University, Egypt,
Intensive Care Unit Consultant New Najran General Hospital, KSA
| | | | | | - Ahmed Taha
- Department of Chest Disease, Faculty of Medicine, Al-Azhar University, Cairo,
Egypt
| | - Kamel Abd Elgafar Hassan
- Department of Chest Disease, Damietta Faculty of Medicine (DFM), Al-Azhar
University, Damietta, Egypt
| | - Atef Wahdan Alrifai
- Department of Chest Disease, Damietta Faculty of Medicine (DFM), Al-Azhar
University, Damietta, Egypt
| | - Mahmoud Helmy Elsaied
- Department of Forensic Medicine and Clinical Toxicology, DFM, Al-Azhar
University, Damietta, Egypt
- Medical Education, Alexandria University, Egypt
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Gwasupika J, Daka V, Chileshe J, Mukosha M, Mudenda S, Mukanga B, Mfune RL, Chongwe G. COVID-19 positive cases among asymptomatic individuals during the second wave in Ndola, Zambia. Afr J Lab Med 2023; 12:2119. [PMID: 37293322 PMCID: PMC10244822 DOI: 10.4102/ajlm.v12i1.2119] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2022] [Accepted: 04/18/2023] [Indexed: 06/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Background Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is a worldwide public health concern for healthcare workers. About 80% of cases appear to be asymptomatic, and about 3% may experience hospitalisation and later die. Less than 20% of studies have looked at the positivity rate of asymptomatic individuals. Objective This study investigated the COVID-19 positivity rates among asymptomatic individuals during the second COVID-19 wave at one of Zambia's largest testing centre. Methods This was a retrospective cross-sectional study conducted on routine surveillance and laboratory data at the Tropical Diseases Research Centre COVID-19 laboratory in Ndola, Zambia, from 01 December 2020 to 31 March 2021. The study population was made up of persons that had tested for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection as a requirement for travel. Microsoft Excel was used to come up with an epidemiological curve of daily COVID-19 positive cases; proportions for gender were described using frequencies and percentages. Results A total of 11 144 asymptomatic individuals tested for SARS-CoV-2 were sampled for the study and 1781 (16.0%) returned positive results. The median age among those tested was 36 years (interquartile range: 29-46). Testing for COVID-19 peaked in the month of January 2021 (37.4%) and declined in March 2021 (21.0%). The epidemiological curve showed a combination of continuous and propagated point-source transmission. Conclusion The positivity rate of 16.0% among asymptomatic individuals was high and could imply continued community transmission, especially during January 2021 and February 2021. We recommend heightened testing for SARS-CoV-2 among asymptomatic individuals. What this study adds This study adds critical knowledge to the transmission of COVID-19 among asymptomatic travellers who are usually a key population in driving community infection. This knowledge is critical in instituting evidence-based interventions in the screening and management of travellers, and its control.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan Gwasupika
- Department of Clinical Sciences, Tropical Diseases Research Centre, Ndola, Zambia
| | - Victor Daka
- Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Copperbelt University, Ndola, Zambia
| | - Justin Chileshe
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, Tropical Diseases Research Centre, Ndola, Zambia
| | - Moses Mukosha
- Department of Pharmacy, School of Health Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Steward Mudenda
- Department of Pharmacy, School of Health Sciences, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia
| | - Bright Mukanga
- Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Copperbelt University, Ndola, Zambia
| | - Ruth L. Mfune
- Department of Public Health, School of Medicine, Copperbelt University, Ndola, Zambia
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27
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Alemayehu A, Yusuf M, Demissie A, Abdullahi Y, Oljira L, Assefa N. Determinants of WHO recommended COVID-19 prevention measures among pregnant women attending antenatal care during the third wave of COVID-19 in eastern Ethiopia, 2021. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0284643. [PMID: 37228151 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0284643] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/08/2022] [Accepted: 04/05/2023] [Indexed: 05/27/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The novel coronavirus disease has emerged as the most pressing global health issue. In women with COVID-19 disease, pregnancy confers a substantial additional risk of morbidity and mortality. OBJECTIVE This study aimed to assess WHO-recommended COVID-19 prevention practices and determinant factors among pregnant women attending antenatal care during the third wave of COVID-19 in eastern Ethiopia. METHODS An Institutional-based cross-sectional study was conducted among 422 pregnant women attending antenatal care in Harar, from October 10 to November 10, 2021. The sample size was proportionally allocated to all healthcare facilities, then the study participants were selected using systematic random sampling. Descriptive summary statistics were done. Logistic regression analyses were computed to identify associations between dependent and independent variables. Variables with a p-value < 0.05 were declared statistically significant. RESULT Out of 422 pregnant women, 61.6% of them had good WHO Recommended COVID-19 Prevention Practices. Those with age 25-34 years (AOR: 9.7, 95%CI: 4.8, 19.3), age 35-44 years (AOR:4.8, 95%CI: 2.6, 9.03), monthly income > 10,000 ETB (AOR: 9.4, 95%CI: 2.1, 42.1), being a student (AOR: 10, 95%CI: 2.3, 47.1), having a good level of knowledge (AOR: 2.3, 95%CI:1.4, 3.8), and having ≥10 family members (AOR: 0.24, 95%CI: 0.06, 0.9) were found to have a significant association with WHO recommended prevention practice among pregnant women. CONCLUSION Overall, the WHO-recommended COVID-19 prevention practice among pregnant women attending antenatal care was good, but it needs improvement. In order to improve prevention practices among pregnant women, Harari Regional Health Bureau and other stakeholders should provide repeated, targeted, and tailored information to pregnant women and the community at large through different media.
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Affiliation(s)
- Astawus Alemayehu
- Department of Public Health, Harar Health Science College, Harar, Ethiopia
| | - Mohammed Yusuf
- Department of Nursing, Harar Health Science College, Harar, Ethiopia
| | - Abebaw Demissie
- Department of Anesthesia, Harar Health Science College, Harar, Ethiopia
| | - Yasin Abdullahi
- Department of Management, Harar Health Science College, Harar, Ethiopia
| | - Lemessa Oljira
- School of Public Health, College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
| | - Nega Assefa
- College of Health and Medical Sciences, Haramaya University, Harar, Ethiopia
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28
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Gómez-Antúnez M, Muiño-Míguez A, Bacete-Cebrián M, Rubio-Rivas M, Lebrón Ramos JM, de Cossío Tejido S, Peris-García JJ, López-Caleya JF, Casas-Rojo JM, Millán Núñez-Cortés J. Patients with COPD hospitalized due to COVID-19 in Spain: a comparison between the first and second wave. Rev Clin Esp 2023; 223:298-309. [PMID: 37028707 PMCID: PMC10074726 DOI: 10.1016/j.rceng.2023.04.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2022] [Accepted: 02/28/2023] [Indexed: 04/09/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This work aimed to compare the characteristics, progress, and prognosis of patients with COPD hospitalized due to COVID-19 in Spain in the first wave with those of the second wave. MATERIAL AND METHODS This is an observational study of patients hospitalized in Spain with a diagnosis of COPD included in the SEMI-COVID-19 registry. The medical history, symptoms, analytical and radiological results, treatment, and progress of patients with COPD hospitalized in the first wave (from March to June 2020) versus those hospitalized in the second wave (from July to December 2020) were compared. Factors associated with poor prognosis, defined as all-cause mortality and a composite endpoint that included mortality, high-flow oxygen therapy, mechanical ventilation, and ICU admission, were analyzed. RESULTS Of the 21,642 patients in the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry, 6.9% were diagnosed with COPD: 1128 (6.8%) in WAVE1 and 374 (7.7%) in WAVE2 (p = 0.04). WAVE2 patients presented less dry cough, fever and dyspnea, hypoxemia (43% vs 36%, p < 0.05), and radiological condensation (46% vs 31%, p < 0.05) than WAVE1 patients. Mortality was lower in WAVE2 (35% vs 28.6%, p = 0.01). In the total sample, mortality and the composite outcome of poor prognosis were lower among patients who received inhalation therapy. CONCLUSIONS Patients with COPD admitted to the hospital due to COVID-19 in the second wave had less respiratory failure and less radiological involvement as well as a better prognosis. These patients should receive bronchodilator treatment if there is no contraindication for it.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Gómez-Antúnez
- Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, Spain.
| | - A Muiño-Míguez
- Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, Spain
| | | | - M Rubio-Rivas
- Hospital Universitario de Bellvitge, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
| | | | | | - J J Peris-García
- Hospital Clínico Universitario San Juan, San Juan de Alicante, Alicante, Spain
| | | | - J M Casas-Rojo
- Hospital Universitario Infanta Cristina, Parla, Madrid, Spain
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29
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Gómez-Antúnez M, Muiño-Míguez A, Bacete-Cebrián M, Rubio-Rivas M, Lebrón Ramos JM, de Cossío Tejido S, Peris-García J, López-Caleya JF, Casas-Rojo JM, Millán Núñez-Cortés J. [Patients with COPD hospitalized due to COVID-19 in Spain: a comparison between the first and second wave]. Rev Clin Esp 2023; 223:298-309. [PMID: 37124999 PMCID: PMC10040358 DOI: 10.1016/j.rce.2023.02.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/10/2022] [Accepted: 02/28/2023] [Indexed: 03/29/2023]
Abstract
Objective This work aimed to compare the characteristics, progress, and prognosis of patients with COPD hospitalized due to COVID-19 in Spain in the first wave with those of the second wave. Material and methods This is an observational study of patients hospitalized in Spain with a diagnosis of COPD included in the SEMI-COVID-19 registry. The medical history, symptoms, analytical and radiological results, treatment, and progress of patients with COPD hospitalized in the first wave (from March to June 2020) versus those hospitalized in the second wave (from July to December 2020) were compared. Factors associated with poor prognosis, defined as all-cause mortality and a composite endpoint that included mortality, high-flow oxygen therapy, mechanical ventilation, and ICU admission, were analyzed. Results Of the 21,642 patients in the SEMI-COVID-19 Registry, 6.9% were diagnosed with COPD: 1,128 (6.8%) in WAVE1 and 374 (7.7%) in WAVE2 (p = 0.04). WAVE2 patients presented less dry cough, fever and dyspnea, hypoxemia (43% vs 36%, p < 0.05), and radiological condensation (46% vs 31%, p < 0.05) than WAVE1 patients. Mortality was lower in WAVE2 (35% vs 28.6%, p = 0.01). In the total sample, mortality and the composite outcome of poor prognosis were lower among patients who received inhalation therapy. Conclusions Patients with COPD admitted to the hospital due to COVID-19 in the second wave had less respiratory failure and less radiological involvement as well as a better prognosis. These patients should receive bronchodilator treatment if there is no contraindication for it.
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Affiliation(s)
- M Gómez-Antúnez
- Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, España
| | - A Muiño-Míguez
- Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, Madrid, España
| | | | - M Rubio-Rivas
- Hospital Universitario de Bellvitge, L'Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, España
| | | | | | - J Peris-García
- Hospital Clínico Universitario San Jua, San Juan de Alicante, Alicante, España
| | | | - J M Casas-Rojo
- Hospital Universitario Infanta Cristina, Parla, Madrid, España
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Verma I, Gowda A, Prabhu D, Kulkarni A, Kumar A. Comparison between Clinical Profile and Outcome of Patients Admitted with Moderate and Severe COVID-19 Illness in the First and Second Wave of COVID-19 in a Tertiary Care Centre in South India. Niger J Clin Pract 2023; 26:581-585. [PMID: 37357473 DOI: 10.4103/njcp.njcp_381_22] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/27/2023]
Abstract
Background SARS-coronavirus-2 has caused large number of infections globally. The infections have presented in a wave form in most of the countries. There have been differences in the clinical presentation, course, and the outcomes in the different waves. Aim This study describes the clinical features and course of the patients admitted with COVID-19 illness between the first and second wave of COVID-19 in a tertiary care center in South India. Materials and Methods This was a cross-sectional study where case record analysis of the patients admitted with moderate and severe COVID-19 illness in a tertiary care center in South India was performed. Patients admitted between August 1, 2020, and November 30, 2020, were considered to be affected in the first wave and those admitted between April 30, 2021, and July 30, 2021, were considered to be in the second wave of COVID-19. First wave and second wave periods were determined by a steep surge in infections in India as per the epidemiological data. The symptoms, comorbidities, clinical profile, severity, laboratory parameters, need for assisted ventilation, medications used, and outcome were compared between the two-time frames. Results A total of 123 patients' data were analyzed in each wave. 72 (58%) patients had fever, while 64 (52%) patients had fever in COVID second wave. In the first wave, five (4%) patients had diarrhea, and four (3.2%) patients had vomiting, whereas in second wave, 43 (34%) patients had diarrhea, and 25 (20 percent) patients had vomiting (P < 0.001). It was seen in the present study that more number of patients in the age group of 31 to 40 years had more serious illness and adverse outcomes in second wave compared with patients in first wave where age group of 51-60 years was more seriously affected. In COVID first wave, 80 (65.0%) were having moderate COVID-19 illness and 43 (35%) had severe illness. In the second wave, 70 (57%) had moderate illness and 53 (43%) patients had severe illness. In the first wave, 31 patients (25%) required non-invasive ventilation (NIV), whereas 79 patients (64%) required NIV in second wave (P < 0.001). First wave resulted in 12 (9.7%) deaths, whereas second wave resulted in 20 (16.2%) deaths. Conclusion The patients with COVID-19 illness in the second wave presented with more non-respiratory symptoms like vomiting, diarrhea, and joint pains. The patients who had severe illness in the second wave were comparatively younger than the patients of the first wave. The requirement of ventilatory support and immunosuppressants was more in the second wave.
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Affiliation(s)
- I Verma
- Department of General Medicine, M S Ramaiah Medical College and Hospitals, Bengaluru, India
| | - A Gowda
- Department of Pharmacy Practice, M S Ramaiah University of Applied Sciences, Bengaluru, India
| | - D Prabhu
- Department of General Medicine, M S Ramaiah Medical College and Hospitals, Bengaluru, India
| | - A Kulkarni
- Department of General Medicine, M S Ramaiah Medical College and Hospitals, Bengaluru, India
| | - A Kumar
- Department of General Medicine, M S Ramaiah Medical College and Hospitals, Bengaluru, India
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31
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López-Herrero R, Sánchez-de Prada L, Tamayo-Velasco A, Lorenzo-López M, Gómez-Pesquera E, Sánchez-Quirós B, de la Varga-Martínez O, Gómez-Sánchez E, Resino S, Tamayo E, Álvaro-Meca A. Epidemiology of bacterial co-infections and risk factors in COVID-19-hospitalized patients in Spain: a nationwide study. Eur J Public Health 2023:7136717. [PMID: 37087109 PMCID: PMC10393489 DOI: 10.1093/eurpub/ckad060] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/24/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND We performed a nationwide population-based retrospective study to describe the epidemiology of bacterial co-infections in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)-hospitalized patients in Spain in 2020. We also analyzed the risk factors for co-infection, the etiology and the impact in the outcome. METHODS Data were obtained from records in the Minimum Basic Data Set (MBDS) of the National Surveillance System for Hospital Data in Spain, provided by the Ministry of Health and annually published with 2 years lag. COVID-19 circulated in two waves in 2020: from its introduction to 31st June and from 1st July to 31st December. The risk of developing a healthcare-associated bacterial co-infection and the risk for in-hospital and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in co-infected patients was assessed using an adjusted logistic regression model. RESULTS The incidence of bacterial co-infection in COVID-19 hospitalized patients was 2.3%. The main risk factors associated with bacterial co-infection were organ failure, obesity and male sex. Co-infection was associated with worse outcomes including higher in-hospital, in-ICU mortality and higher length of stay. Gram-negative bacteria caused most infections. Causative agents were similar between waves, although higher co-infections with Pseudomonas spp. were detected in the first wave and with Haemophilus influenzae and Streptococcus pneumoniae in the second. CONCLUSIONS Co-infections are not as common as those found in other viral respiratory infections; therefore, antibiotics should be used carefully. Screening for actual co-infection to prescribe antibiotic therapy when required should be performed.
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Affiliation(s)
- R López-Herrero
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Anesthesiology and Critical Care Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | - L Sánchez-de Prada
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Microbiology and Immunology Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | - A Tamayo-Velasco
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Haematology and Hemotherapy Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | - M Lorenzo-López
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Anesthesiology and Critical Care Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | - E Gómez-Pesquera
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Anesthesiology and Critical Care Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | - B Sánchez-Quirós
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Anesthesiology and Critical Care Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | - O de la Varga-Martínez
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Anesthesiology, Hospital Universitario Infanta Leonor, Madrid, Spain
| | - E Gómez-Sánchez
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Anesthesiology and Critical Care Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | - S Resino
- Unidad de Infección Viral e Inmunidad, Centro Nacional de Microbiología, Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - E Tamayo
- BioCritic, Group for Biomedical Research in Critical Care Medicine, Valladolid, Spain
- Anesthesiology and Critical Care Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
- Department of Surgery, Faculty of Medicine, Universidad de Valladolid, Valladolid, Spain
| | - A Álvaro-Meca
- Departament of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Faculty of Health Science, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, Madrid, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Enfermedades Infecciosas (CIBERINFEC), Instituto de Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
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Lopez-Morinigo JD, Blasco-Fontecilla H, Courtet P, Ayuso-Mateos JL. Investigating the relationship between cross-national suicide rates and COVID-19 first and second waves spread across the world: An exploratory study. SPANISH JOURNAL OF PSYCHIATRY AND MENTAL HEALTH 2023; 16:95-101. [PMID: 35251385 PMCID: PMC8883721 DOI: 10.1016/j.rpsm.2022.02.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/17/2021] [Revised: 02/16/2022] [Accepted: 02/22/2022] [Indexed: 10/24/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION COVID-19 spreads between people in close contact. Social isolation, which is linked with increased suicide risk, prevents COVID-19 from spreading. Suicide and COVID-19 may therefore represent two antagonistic phenomena. Specifically, we tested whether previous cross-national suicide rates inversely correlate with COVID-19 cases and deaths across countries. MATERIAL AND METHODS We ran unadjusted bivariate correlations between the most updated (2016) cross-national Age-Standardised suicide rates and COVID-19 cumulative cases and deaths (as of: 30/08/2020, 11/10/2020 and 30/05/2021) across countries; and we controlled for WHO Income group, WHO region, suicide data quality, and urbanicity. RESULTS Suicide rates negatively correlated with COVID-19 cumulative cases up to 30/08/2020 (r=-0.14, P=.064) and up to 11/10/2020 at an almost significant level (r=-0.149, P=.050) across 174 countries. As of 11/10/2020 this correlation became significant when controlling for WHO region (r=-0.17, P=.028), data quality (r=-0.181, P=.017) and urbanicity (r=-0.172, P=.039); and as of 30/08/2020 when adjusting for WHO region (r=-0.15, P=.047) and data quality a (r=-0.16, P=.036). No significant correlations between suicide rates and COVID-19 deaths were found. CONCLUSIONS There seems to be an inverse correlation between previous cross-national suicide rates and COVID-19 cumulative cases across countries. Suicide and COVID-19 appear to behave, to some degree, as antagonistic phenomena, which challenges their prevention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Javier-David Lopez-Morinigo
- Department of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry, Institute of Psychiatry and Mental Health, Hospital General Universitario Gregorio Marañón, IiSGM, CIBERSAM, School of Medicine, Universidad Complutense, Calle Ibiza, 43, 28009, Madrid, Spain; Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental. CIBERSAM, Avenida de Monforte de Lemos, 3-5, 28029 Madrid, Spain.
| | - Hilario Blasco-Fontecilla
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental. CIBERSAM, Avenida de Monforte de Lemos, 3-5, 28029 Madrid, Spain; Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Calle Arzobispo Morcillo, 4, 28029 Madrid, Spain; Department of Psychiatry, Puerta de Hierro University Hospital, Health Research Institute Puerta de Hierro-Segovia de Aranda (IDIPHISA), Majadahonda, Calle Joaquín Rodrigo, 1, 28022 Madrid, Spain; ITA Mental Health, Calle del Moscatelar, 1K, 28043 Madrid, Spain
| | - Philippe Courtet
- Department of Emergency Psychiatry and Acute Care, CHU Montpellier, 191 Av. du Doyen Gaston Giraud, 34295 Montpellier, France; PSNREC, Univ Montpellier, INSERM, CHU de Montpellier, Montpellier, 191 Av. du Doyen Gaston Giraud, 34295 Montpellier, France
| | - José-Luis Ayuso-Mateos
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental. CIBERSAM, Avenida de Monforte de Lemos, 3-5, 28029 Madrid, Spain; Department of Psychiatry, School of Medicine, Universidad Autónoma de Madrid, Calle Arzobispo Morcillo, 4, 28029 Madrid, Spain; Hospital Universitario de La Princesa, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria Princesa (IIS Princesa), Calle de Diego de León, 62, 28006 Madrid, Spain
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Critical Care Among Disadvantaged Minority Groups Made Equitable: Trends Throughout the COVID-19 Pandemic. J Racial Ethn Health Disparities 2023; 10:660-670. [PMID: 35119680 PMCID: PMC8815384 DOI: 10.1007/s40615-022-01254-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/23/2021] [Revised: 01/26/2022] [Accepted: 01/27/2022] [Indexed: 12/03/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND US racial and ethnic minorities have well-established elevated rates of comorbidities, which, compounded with healthcare access inequity, often lead to worse health outcomes. In the current COVID-19 pandemic, it is important to understand existing disparities in minority groups' critical care outcomes and mechanisms behind these-topics that have yet to be well-explored. OBJECTIVE Assess for disparities in racial and ethnic minority groups' COVID-19 critical care outcomes. DESIGN Retrospective cohort study. PARTICIPANTS A total of 2125 adult patients who tested positive for COVID-19 via RT-PCR between March and December 2020 and required ICU admission at the Cleveland Clinic Hospital Systems were included. MAIN MEASURES Primary outcomes were mortality and hospital length of stay. Cohort-wide analysis and subgroup analyses by pandemic wave were performed. Multivariable logistic regression models were built to study the associations between mortality and covariates. KEY RESULTS While crude mortality was increased in White as compared to Black patients (37.5% vs. 30.5%, respectively; p = 0.002), no significant differences were appraised after adjustment or across pandemic waves. Although median hospital length of stay was comparable between these groups, ICU stay was significantly different (4.4 vs. 3.4, p = 0.003). Mortality and median hospital and ICU length of stay did not differ significantly between Hispanic and non-Hispanic patients. Neither race nor ethnicity was associated with mortality due to COVID-19, although APACHE score, CKD, malignant neoplasms, antibiotic use, vasopressor requirement, and age were. CONCLUSIONS We found no significant differences in mortality or hospital length of stay between different races and ethnicities. In a pandemic-influenced critical care setting that operated outside conditions of ICU strain and implemented standardized protocol enabling equitable resource distribution, disparities in outcomes often seen among racial and ethnic minority groups were successfully mitigated.
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Feng Q, Cui Q, Xiao Z, Liu Z, Fan S. Maternal and Perinatal Outcomes of SARS-CoV-2 and Variants in Pregnancy. MATERNAL-FETAL MEDICINE 2023; 5:104-114. [PMID: 40406388 PMCID: PMC12094409 DOI: 10.1097/fm9.0000000000000189] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/15/2023] [Accepted: 02/15/2023] [Indexed: 03/29/2023] Open
Abstract
Pregnancy is a physiological state that predisposes women to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection, a disease that can cause adverse maternal and perinatal outcomes. The severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) disease is known to vary by viral strain; however, evidence for the effects of this virus in pregnant women has yet to be fully elucidated. In this review, we describe maternal and perinatal outcomes, vaccination, and vertical transmission, among pregnant women infected with the different SARS-CoV-2 variants identified to date. We also summarize existing evidence for maternal and perinatal outcomes in pregnant women with specific information relating to SARS-CoV-2 variants. Our analysis showed that Omicron infection was associated with fewer severe maternal and perinatal adverse outcomes while the Delta variant was associated with worse pregnancy outcomes. Maternal deaths arising from COVID-19 were found to be rare (<1.0%), irrespective of whether the virus was a wild-type strain or a variant. Severe maternal morbidity was more frequent for the Delta variant (10.3%), followed by the Alpha (4.7%), wild-type (4.5%), and Omicron (2.9%) variants. The rates of stillbirth were 0.8%, 4.1%, 3.1%, and 2.3%, respectively, in pregnancies infected with the wild-type strain, Alpha, Delta, and Omicron variants, respectively. Preterm birth and admission to neonatal intensive care units were more common for cases with the Delta infection (19.0% and 18.62%, respectively), while risks were similar for those infected with the wild-type (14.7% and 11.2%, respectively), Alpha (14.9% and 13.1%), and Omicron variants (13.2% and 13.8%, respectively). As COVID-19 remains a global pandemic, and new SARS-CoV-2 variants continue to emerge, research relating to the specific impact of new variants on pregnant women needs to be expanded.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qiaoli Feng
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen 518036, China
| | - Qianwen Cui
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen 518036, China
| | - Zhansong Xiao
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen 518036, China
| | - Zengyou Liu
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Huazhong University of Science and Technology Union Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen 518052, China
| | - Shangrong Fan
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Peking University Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen 518036, China
- Shenzhen Key Laboratory on Technology for Early Diagnosis of Major Gynecological Diseases, Shenzhen 518000, China
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Liu CC, Fann LY, Koo FH, Weng SH, Chiu TF, Cheng CC. Perinatal Care during the COVID-19 Pandemic. CLIN EXP OBSTET GYN 2023; 50. [DOI: 10.31083/j.ceog5003051] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/30/2024]
Abstract
Background: Following the pandemic caused by the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), and considering its capacity for rapid mutation, there have been many studies and articles on this novel coronavirus over the past three years. Therefore, providing knowledge and directions for management of SARS-CoV-2, for hospital staff is crucial. Hence, we collected the research information from different perspectives and summarized the guidelines for perinatal care on the topic of SARS-CoV-2, and for possible future viral pandemics. Methods: A systematic review aimed at assessing the publications written in English and Chinese, offering different perspectives on the topic of perinatal care concerning SARS-CoV-2, was conducted using PubMed and Google Scholar from 2020 to 2022. In addition, we summarized the guidelines from the Taiwan Association of Obstetrics and Gynecology, American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists, Society for Maternal-Fetal Medicine, Maternal Immunization Task Force and Partners, and Academy of Breastfeeding Medicine. Results: Due to physiological changes, pregnant patients may be prone to have complications, especially pre-eclampsia, affecting morbidity and mortality. Most neonates of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) infected mothers did not show any clinical abnormalities due to the infection. However, compared to the general population, infected neonates needed more invasive ventilation care, while the proportion of asymptomatic neonates was less than that in the general population. Further, long term complications are still under investigation. Evidence of vertical transmission via the placenta and umbilical cord is rare but not absent. Paxlovid (nirmatrelvir/ritonavir) can be administered to patients with comorbidities, and indications for cesarean delivery does not include COVID-19 infection. Vaccination against COVID-19 should not be delayed during pregnancy and lactation. Conclusions: Obstetricians and gynecologists should pay more attention to pregnant women with SARS-CoV-2 because of the physiological changes and higher risks of complications, morbidity, and mortality. Early prevention with vaccination in pregnant women is the key to controlling the COVID-19 pandemic, from which we can learn how to manage the next pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chia-Chen Liu
- Department of Education and Research, National Taiwan University Hospital, 100 Taipei, Taiwan
- School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, 242 Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Li-Yun Fann
- Department of Nursing, Taipei City Hospital, 10341 Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Nurse-Midwifery and Women Health, National Taipei University of Nursing and Health Sciences, 11220 Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Medical Research, Tri-Service General Hospital, 11490 Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Fan-Hlan Koo
- Department of Obstetrics/Gynecology, Taipei City Hospital, Zhongxiao Branch, 115 Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Shih-Han Weng
- Department of Education and Research, Taipei City Hospital, 106 Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Ting-Fang Chiu
- Department of Education and Research, Taipei City Hospital, 106 Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Health and Welfare, University of Taipei, 115 Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Pediatrics, Taipei City Hospital, Zhongxiao Branch, 115 Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Chih-Chien Cheng
- School of Medicine, College of Medicine, Fu Jen Catholic University, 242 Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Obstetrics/Gynecology, Taipei City Hospital, Zhongxiao Branch, 115 Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Education and Research, Taipei City Hospital, 106 Taipei, Taiwan
- Department of Health and Welfare, University of Taipei, 115 Taipei, Taiwan
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Polat O, Khoury RE, Alshater MM, Yoon SM. Media Coverage of COVID-19 and Its Relationship with Climate Change Indices: A Dynamic Connectedness Analysis of Four Pandemic Waves. JOURNAL OF CLIMATE FINANCE 2023. [PMCID: PMC10062728 DOI: 10.1016/j.jclimf.2023.100010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/01/2023]
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Venkatram S, Dileep A, Fortuzi K, Allena N, Diaz-Fuentes G. Comparison of patients admitted to an inner-city intensive care unit across 3 COVID-19 waves. Medicine (Baltimore) 2023; 102:e33069. [PMID: 36827070 PMCID: PMC9949371 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000033069] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/25/2023] Open
Abstract
To expand our limited knowledge of COVID-19-related outcomes in patients admitted to inner-city intensive care unit (ICU across multiple infection waves. This retrospective study compared patients admitted to the ICU in Bronx, NY, during 3 COVID-19 waves (March 2020 to February 2022). Outcomes included in hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS), use of mechanical ventilation, and discharge disposition. The study included 716 patients (343, 276, and 97 in the first, second, and third COVID-19 waves, respectively). The number of days on mechanical ventilation and LOS were lower in the first wave. Of the 345 discharged patients, 37% went home directly, whereas 11% were discharged to a skill nursing facility. More patients went home during the second and third waves. Mortality decreased from the first to the third waves (57%-37%; P < .001). Predictors of mortality included age, male gender, COPD, shock, acute kidney injury (AKI), dialysis requirement, and mechanical ventilation. The decreased mortality and better discharge disposition of these inner-city patients during the second and third waves is encouraging, as this population historically had a high COVID-19-related mortality risk.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sindhaghatta Venkatram
- Associate Professor of Clinical Medicine, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, BronxCare Health System, Bronx, NY, USA
- * Correspondence: Sindhaghatta Venkatram, Associate Professor of Clinical Medicine, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, BronxCare Health System, 1650 Grand Concourse, Bronx, NY 10457, USA (e-mail: )
| | - Arundhati Dileep
- Pulmonary Fellow, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, BronxCare Health System, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Ked Fortuzi
- Pulmonary Fellow, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, BronxCare Health System, Bronx, NY, NY, USA
| | - Nishant Allena
- Resident Department of Medicine, BronxCare Health System, Bronx, NY, USA
| | - Gilda Diaz-Fuentes
- Associate Professor, Clinical Medicine, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, BronxCare Health System, Bronx, NY, USA
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Zeng L. Changes in health communication in the age of COVID-19: A study on the dissemination of preprints to the public. Front Public Health 2023; 11:1078115. [PMID: 36844813 PMCID: PMC9944950 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1078115] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2022] [Accepted: 01/05/2023] [Indexed: 02/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction Preprints have become an important tool for meeting the challenges of health communication in the context of COVID-19. They allow scientists to disseminate their results more quickly due to the absence of a peer review process. Preprints have been well-received by scientists, however, there have been concerns about the exposure of wider public audiences to preprints due in part to this lack of peer review. Methods The aim of this study is to examine the dissemination of preprints on medRxiv and bioRxiv during the COVID-19 pandemic using content analysis and statistical analysis. Results Our findings show that preprints have played an unprecedented role in disseminating COVID-19-related science results to the public. Discussion While the overall media coverage of preprints is unsatisfactory, digital native news media performed better than legacy media in reporting preprints, which means that we could make the most of digital native media to improve health communication. This study contributes to understanding how science communication has evolved in response to the COVID-19 pandemic and provides some practical recommendations.
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C R V, Sharma R, Jayashree M, Nallasamy K, Bansal A, Angurana SK, L Mathew J, Sankhyan N, Dutta S, Verma S, Kumar R, Devnanai M, Vaidya PC, Samujh R, Singh MP, Goyal K, Lakshmi PVM, Saxena AK. Epidemiology, Clinical Profile, Intensive Care Needs and Outcome in Children with SARS-CoV-2 Infection Admitted to a Tertiary Hospital During the First and Second Waves of the COVID-19 Pandemic in India. Indian J Pediatr 2023; 90:131-138. [PMID: 35921029 PMCID: PMC9362352 DOI: 10.1007/s12098-022-04283-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/15/2022] [Accepted: 05/13/2022] [Indexed: 01/19/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To compare the epidemiological, clinical profile, intensive care needs and outcome of children hospitalized with SARS-CoV-2 infection during the first and second waves of the pandemic. METHODS This was a retrospective study of all children between 1 mo and 14 y, admitted to a dedicated COVID-19 hospital (DCH) during the first (1st June to 31st December 2020) and second waves (1st March to 30th June 2021). RESULTS Of 217 children, 104 (48%) and 113 (52%) were admitted during the first and second waves respectively. One hundred fifty-two (70%) had incidentally detected SARS-CoV-2 infection, while 65 (30%) had symptomatic COVID-19. Comorbidities were noted in 137 (63%) children. Fifty-nine (27%) and 66 (30%) children required high-dependency unit (HDU) and ICU care respectively. Severity of infection and ICU needs were similar during both waves. High-flow oxygen (n = 5, 2%), noninvasive ventilation [CPAP (n = 34, 16%) and BiPAP (n = 8, 5%)] and invasive ventilation (n = 45, 21%) were respiratory support therapies needed. NIV use was more during the second wave (26% vs. 13%; p = 0.02). The median (IQR) length (days) of DCH stay among survivors was longer during the first wave [8 (6-10) vs. 5.5 (3-8); p = 0.0001]. CONCLUSIONS Disease severity, associated comorbidities, PICU and organ support need and mortality were similar in the first and second waves of the pandemic. Children admitted during the second wave were younger, had higher proportion of NIV use and shorter length of COVID-19 hospital stay.
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Affiliation(s)
- Vishwa C R
- Division of Pediatric Emergency and Intensive Care, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, 160012, India
| | - Raman Sharma
- Division of Pediatric Emergency and Intensive Care, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, 160012, India
| | - Muralidharan Jayashree
- Division of Pediatric Emergency and Intensive Care, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, 160012, India.
| | - Karthi Nallasamy
- Division of Pediatric Emergency and Intensive Care, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, 160012, India
| | - Arun Bansal
- Division of Pediatric Emergency and Intensive Care, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, 160012, India
| | - Suresh Kumar Angurana
- Division of Pediatric Emergency and Intensive Care, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, 160012, India
| | - Joseph L Mathew
- Division of Pediatric Pulmonology, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Naveen Sankhyan
- Division of Pediatric Neurology, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Sourabh Dutta
- Division of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Sanjay Verma
- Division of Pediatric Infectious Disease, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Rakesh Kumar
- Division of Pediatric Endocrinology, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Mahesh Devnanai
- Division of Hospital Administration, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Pankaj C Vaidya
- Division of Pediatric Pulmonology, Department of Pediatrics, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Ram Samujh
- Department of Pediatric Surgery, Advanced Pediatrics Center, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Mini P Singh
- Department of Virology, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Kapil Goyal
- Department of Virology, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - P V M Lakshmi
- Department of Community Medicine, School of Public Health, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
| | - Akshay K Saxena
- Department of Radiodiagnosis and Imaging, Postgraduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India
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Kyu K, Ko TK, Lwin ZM, Soe MK, Maw KW, Thant AM, Shin K, Kyaw Myint M. Clinical Profile of COVID-19 Patients Admitted at a Private Hospital During Three Surges in Mandalay, Myanmar. Cureus 2023; 15:e35167. [PMID: 36960252 PMCID: PMC10030156 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.35167] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/18/2023] [Indexed: 02/21/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, private hospitals in Mandalay started to manage COVID-19 infections according to national treatment guidelines since February 2021. Variations of clinical characteristics and their outcomes in different surges could be evaluated in the private hospital. This study aimed to assess the clinical profile and outcomes of COVID-19 patients admitted at a private hospital during three surges in Mandalay. Methods This study is a retrospective record review of the case series of COVID-19 patients admitted at City Hospital, Mandalay. The study was conducted from January to December 2022. All of the hospital records of COVID-19 patients admitted during the second wave from February 2020 to 26 May 2021, the third wave from 27 May 2021 to 27 January 2022, and the fourth wave from 28 January to April 2022 were included in the study. Results A total of 1606 admitted cases were included in the study. The mean with standard deviation (SD) of age was 55.7±18.5, and males were 778 (48.4%). The mean duration of hospital stay in days was 10.8±5.94, 10.6±6.11, and 7.3±2.88 in second, third, and fourth waves, respectively. The mean duration of hospital stay was shortened in the fourth wave. Comorbid conditions with hypertension and/or diabetes diseases were mostly observed in three waves of COVID-19 infection. Fever was the most presented symptom in three waves. Cough, sore throat, and rhinorrhea were observed more in the fourth wave compared with previous waves. Complication with pneumonia (71.3%), liver dysfunction (21.0%), acute respiratory distress syndrome (10.0%), thrombocytopenia (6.2%), acute kidney injury (5.5%), bleeding (3.9%), and pulmonary embolism (2.9%) were investigated. Antiviral treatment such as remdesivir or molnupiravir was used more in the patients of third and fourth waves than those of the second wave. Oxygen therapy (59.9%), prone position (35.5%), non-invasive ventilation (9.5%), invasive ventilation (0.5%), inotropes (4.6%), and renal replacement therapy (1.1%) were recorded in serious cases. Only 7.9% and 9.4% died in the hospital in second and third waves. No mortality was observed in the fourth wave. Conclusions The study recommended that COVID-19 patients with comorbid conditions of hypertension or diabetes and ages 65 and older should be taken with intensive care support at the hospital. This study also concluded that a private hospital in Mandalay could tackle with COVID-19 severe cases in line with national treatment guidelines since the second wave and could provide better management in the fourth wave. Antiviral treatment should be used in severe COVID-19 cases for further emergency management. In conclusion, private hospital involvement in the COVID-19 pandemic is supportive of the healthcare provision in Myanmar in an emergency situation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kyu Kyu
- Internal Medicine, City Hospital, Mandalay, MMR
| | - Tin Ko Ko
- Internal Medicine, City Hospital, Mandalay, MMR
| | | | - May Kyi Soe
- Internal Medicine, City Hospital, Mandalay, MMR
| | | | | | - Kyi Shin
- Hospital Medicine, City Hospital, Mandalay, MMR
| | - Moe Kyaw Myint
- Health Systems Research, Department of Medical Research, Myanmar Health Ministry, Pyin Oo Lwin, MMR
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Drago G, Pérez-Sádaba FJ, Aceituno S, Gari C, López-Belmonte JL. Healthcare resource use and associated costs in a cohort of hospitalized COVID-19 patients in Spain: A retrospective analysis from the first to the third pandemic wave. EPICOV study. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0280940. [PMID: 36696406 PMCID: PMC9876243 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0280940] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2022] [Accepted: 01/06/2023] [Indexed: 01/26/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Describe healthcare resource use and costs per hospitalized coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) patient during the three main outbreak waves. METHODS A retrospective observational study. COVID-19 patient data were collected from a dataset from 17 hospitals in the HM Hospitals Group. Mean total costs per hospitalized patient and per day were estimated in each wave, as defined by the Spanish National Health System perspective. In addition, costs were estimated for both patients admitted and those not admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) and were stratified by age groups. RESULTS A total of 3756 COVID-19 patients were included: 2279 (60.7%) for the first, 740 (19.7%) for the second, and 737 (19.6%) for the and third wave. Most (around 90%) did not require ICU treatment. For those patients, mean ± SD cost per patient ranged from €10 196.1 ± €7237.2 (mean length of stay [LOS] ± SD: 9.7 ± 6.2 days) for the second wave to €9364.5 ± €6321.1 for the third wave (mean 9.0 ± 5.7 days). Mean costs were around €1000 per day for all the waves. For patients admitted to the ICU, cost per patient ranged from €81 332.5 ± €63 725.8 (mean 31.0 ± 26.3 days) for the second wave to €36 952.1 ± €24 809.2 (mean 15.7 ± 8.2 days) for the third wave. Mean costs per day were around €3000 for all the waves. When estimated by age, mean LOS and costs were greater in patients over 80 when not admitted to the ICU and for patients aged 60 to 79 when admitted to the ICU. CONCLUSIONS LOS was longer for patients admitted to the ICU (especially in the first two waves) and for older patients in our study cohort; these populations incurred the highest hospitalization costs.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Carla Gari
- Outcomes’ 10 SLU, Castellón de la Plana, Castellón, Spain
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Were hospitals with sustained high performance more successful at reducing mortality during the pandemic's second wave? Health Care Manage Rev 2023; 48:70-79. [PMID: 36413651 DOI: 10.1097/hmr.0000000000000354] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND In 2019, the COVID-19 pandemic emerged. Variation in COVID-19 patient outcomes between hospitals was later reported. PURPOSE This study aims to determine whether sustainers-hospitals with sustained high performance on Hospital Value-Based Purchasing Total Performance Score (HVBP-TPS)-more effectively responded to the pandemic and therefore had better patient outcomes. METHODOLOGY We calculated hospital-specific risk-standardized event rates using deidentified patient-level data from the UnitedHealth Group Clinical Discovery Database. HVBP-TPS from 2016 to 2019 were obtained from Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Hospital characteristics were obtained from the American Hospital Association Annual Survey Database (2019), and county-level predictors were obtained from the Area Health Resource File. We use a repeated-measures regression model assuming an AR(1) type correlation structure to test whether sustainers had lower mortality rates than nonsustainers during the first wave (spring 2020) and the second wave (October to December 2020) of the pandemic. RESULTS Sustainers did not have significantly lower COVID-19 mortality rates during the first wave of the pandemic, but they had lower COVID-19 mortality rates during the second wave compared to nonsustainers. Larger hospitals, teaching hospitals, and hospitals with higher occupancy rates had higher mortality rates. CONCLUSION During the first wave of the pandemic, mortality rates did not differ between sustainers and nonsustainers. However, sustainers had lower mortality rates than nonsustainers in the second wave, most likely because of their knowledge management capabilities and existing structures and resources that enable them to develop new processes and routines to care for patients in times of crisis. Therefore, a consistently high level of performance over the years on HVBP-TPS is associated with high levels of performance on COVID-19 patient outcomes. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS Investing in identifying the knowledge, processes, and resources that foster the dynamic capabilities needed to achieve superior performance in HVBP might enable hospitals to utilize these capabilities to adapt more effectively to future changes and uncertainty.
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Ghani H, Navarra A, Pyae PK, Mitchell H, Evans W, Cama R, Shaw M, Critchlow B, Vaghela T, Schechter M, Nordin N, Barlow A, Vancheeswaran R. Relevance of prediction scores derived from the SARS-CoV-2 first wave, in the evolving UK COVID-19 second wave, for safe early discharge and mortality: a PREDICT COVID-19 UK prospective observational cohort study. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e054469. [PMID: 36600417 PMCID: PMC9772190 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-054469] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2021] [Accepted: 12/06/2022] [Indexed: 12/24/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Prospectively validate prognostication scores, SOARS and 4C Mortality Score, derived from the COVID-19 first wave, for mortality and safe early discharge in the evolving pandemic with SARS-CoV-2 variants (B.1.1.7 replacing D614) and healthcare responses altering patient demographic and mortality. DESIGN Protocol-based prospective observational cohort study. SETTING Single site PREDICT and multisite ISARIC (International Severe Acute Respiratory and Emerging Infections Consortium) cohorts in UK COVID-19 second wave, October 2020 to January 2021. PARTICIPANTS 1383 PREDICT and 20 595 ISARIC SARS-CoV-2 patients. PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES Relevance of SOARS and 4C Mortality Score determining in-hospital mortality and safe early discharge in the evolving UK COVID-19 second wave. RESULTS 1383 (median age 67 years, IQR 52-82; mortality 24.7%) PREDICT and 20 595 (mortality 19.4%) ISARIC patient cohorts showed SOARS had area under the curve (AUC) of 0.8 and 0.74, while 4C Mortality Score had AUC of 0.83 and 0.91 for hospital mortality, in the PREDICT and ISARIC cohorts respectively, therefore, effective in evaluating safe discharge and in-hospital mortality. 19.3% (231/1195, PREDICT cohort) and 16.7% (2550/14992, ISARIC cohort) with SOARS of 0-1 were candidates for safe discharge to a virtual hospital (VH) model. SOARS implementation in the VH pathway resulted in low readmission, 11.8% (27/229) and low mortality, 0.9% (2/229). Use to prevent admission is still suboptimal, as 8.1% in the PREDICT cohort and 9.5% in the ISARIC cohort were admitted despite SOARS score of 0-1. CONCLUSIONS SOARS and 4C Mortality Score remains valid, transforming complex clinical presentations into tangible numbers, aiding objective decision making, despite SARS-CoV-2 variants and healthcare responses altering patient demographic and mortality. Both scores, easily implemented within urgent care pathways for safe early discharge, allocate hospital resources appropriately to the pandemic's needs while enabling normal healthcare services resumption.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hakim Ghani
- West Hertfordshire Hospitals NHS Trust, Watford, UK
| | | | - Phyoe K Pyae
- West Hertfordshire Hospitals NHS Trust, Watford, UK
| | | | | | - Rigers Cama
- West Hertfordshire Hospitals NHS Trust, Watford, UK
| | - Michael Shaw
- West Hertfordshire Hospitals NHS Trust, Watford, UK
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Spectrum of COVID-19 Disease in Children: A Retrospective Analysis Comparing Wave 1 and Wave 2 from a Tertiary Hospital in South India. Indian J Pediatr 2022; 89:1222-1228. [PMID: 35334066 PMCID: PMC8948312 DOI: 10.1007/s12098-022-04135-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/26/2021] [Accepted: 11/24/2021] [Indexed: 11/05/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To describe COVID-19 in children and the differences between the two waves. METHODS The electronic medical records of children younger than 16 y of age with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 infection between June 1st 2020 and May 31st 2021 at Christian Medical College, Vellore were retrospectively reviewed. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were collected on a predesigned case record form and analyzed. RESULTS A total of 988 children were diagnosed with confirmed COVID-19 during the study period. Of these, there were 585 children diagnosed during the 1st wave (June 2020-Feb 2021) and 403 children during the 2nd wave (March 2021-May 2021). It was found that loose stools and rash were significantly more frequent during the 1st wave and fever, cough, coryza, heart rate and temperature were significantly more during the 2nd wave. There was no significant difference between the two groups in terms of requirement of oxygen therapy, need for ICU admission, duration of ICU stay or hospital stay, or severity of illness. Mortality was significantly higher during the 2nd wave (0.3% vs. 2%). CONCLUSION The COVID-19 pandemic among children during the 1st and 2nd waves were similar in severity, though there was a higher mortality during the 2nd wave.
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Díaz-Lozano M, Guijo-Rubio D, Gutiérrez PA, Gómez-Orellana AM, Túñez I, Ortigosa-Moreno L, Romanos-Rodríguez A, Padillo-Ruiz J, Hervás-Martínez C. COVID-19 contagion forecasting framework based on curve decomposition and evolutionary artificial neural networks: A case study in Andalusia, Spain. EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS 2022; 207:117977. [PMID: 35784094 PMCID: PMC9235375 DOI: 10.1016/j.eswa.2022.117977] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2022] [Revised: 06/17/2022] [Accepted: 06/22/2022] [Indexed: 05/09/2023]
Abstract
Many types of research have been carried out with the aim of combating the COVID-19 pandemic since the first outbreak was detected in Wuhan, China. Anticipating the evolution of an outbreak helps to devise suitable economic, social and health care strategies to mitigate the effects of the virus. For this reason, predicting the SARS-CoV-2 transmission rate has become one of the most important and challenging problems of the past months. In this paper, we apply a two-stage mid and long-term forecasting framework to the epidemic situation in eight districts of Andalusia, Spain. First, an analytical procedure is performed iteratively to fit polynomial curves to the cumulative curve of contagions. Then, the extracted information is used for estimating the parameters and structure of an evolutionary artificial neural network with hybrid architectures (i.e., with different basis functions for the hidden nodes) while considering single and simultaneous time horizon estimations. The results obtained demonstrate that including polynomial information extracted during the training stage significantly improves the mid- and long-term estimations in seven of the eight considered districts. The increase in average accuracy (for the joint mid- and long-term horizon forecasts) is 37.61% and 35.53% when considering the single and simultaneous forecast approaches, respectively.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - David Guijo-Rubio
- Department of Computer Science and Numerical Analysis, University of Cordoba, 14071 Cordoba, Spain
| | - Pedro Antonio Gutiérrez
- Department of Computer Science and Numerical Analysis, University of Cordoba, 14071 Cordoba, Spain
| | | | - Isaac Túñez
- Maimonides Institute for Biomedical Research of Córdoba (IMIBIC), 14071 Córdoba, Spain
| | | | | | - Javier Padillo-Ruiz
- University of Sevilla. University Hospital Virgen del Rocío, 41013 Sevilla, Spain
| | - César Hervás-Martínez
- Department of Computer Science and Numerical Analysis, University of Cordoba, 14071 Cordoba, Spain
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Kundavaram APP, Selvan S, Raja V, Mathiyalagan P, Kanagarajan R, Reddy NP, Rajendiran N, Hazra D, Gunasekaran K, Moorthy M, Lenin A, Mathew D, Iyyadurai R, Varghese GM, Dj C, Joy M, Peter JV. Retrospective study of comparison of clinical severity and outcome of hospitalised COVID-19 patients during the first and second waves of the pandemic in India. BMJ Open 2022; 12:e062724. [PMID: 36410807 PMCID: PMC9679869 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2022-062724] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To compare the clinical severity and outcome of hospitalised patients during the two waves of the COVID-19 pandemic in India. SETTING A tertiary care referral hospital in South India. PARTICIPANTS Symptomatic SARS CoV-2 reverse transcriptase PCR positive patients presenting to the emergency department during the two waves were recruited. The first wave spanned between April and December 2020 and the second wave between April and May 2021. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES The primary outcome of interest was mortality. Secondary outcomes included illness severity at presentation, need for oxygen therapy, non-invasive ventilation (NIV) and hospital or intensive care unit admission. RESULTS The mean (SD) age of the 4971 hospitalised patients in the first wave was similar to the 2293 patients in the second wave (52.5±15.4 vs 52.1±15.1 years, p=0.37). When compared with the first wave, during the second wave, a higher proportion of patients presented with critical illness (11% vs 1.1%, p<0.001) and needed supplemental oxygen therapy (n=2092: 42.1% vs n=1459: 63.6%; p<0.001), NIV (n=643; 12.9% vs n=709; 30.9%; p<0.001) or inotropes/vasoactive drugs (n=108; 2.2% vs n=77: 3.4%; p=0.004). Mortality was higher during the second wave (19.2% vs 9.3%; p<0.001). On multivariable regression analysis, age >60 years (risk ratio, RR 2.80; 95% CI 2.12 to 3.70), D-dimer >1000 ng/mL (RR 1.34; 95% CI 1.15 to 1.55), treatment with supplemental oxygen (RR 14.6; 95% CI 8.98 to 23.6) and presentation during the second wave (RR 1.40; 95% CI 1.21 to 1.62) were independently associated with mortality. CONCLUSION The second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in India appeared to be associated with more severe presentation and higher mortality when compared with the first wave. Increasing age, elevated D-dimer levels and treatment with supplemental oxygen were independent predictors of mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Saravanan Selvan
- Emergency Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Vivek Raja
- Emergency Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | | | - Rohini Kanagarajan
- Emergency Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Narmadha P Reddy
- Emergency Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Natarajan Rajendiran
- Emergency Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Darpanarayan Hazra
- Emergency Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Karthik Gunasekaran
- Department of General Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Mahesh Moorthy
- Department of Clinical Virology, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Audrin Lenin
- Department of General Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Divya Mathew
- Department of General Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Ramya Iyyadurai
- Department of General Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - George M Varghese
- Department of Infectious Disease, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Christopher Dj
- Department of Pulmonary Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - Melvin Joy
- Department of Biostatistics, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
| | - John Victor Peter
- Department of General Medicine, Christian Medical College Vellore, Vellore, Tamil Nadu, India
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Sahu S, Laishram G, Rannaware A, Choudhari SG. Impact of COVID-19 on Pregnancy and Maternal-Neonatal Outcomes: A Narrative Review. Cureus 2022; 14:e31397. [DOI: 10.7759/cureus.31397] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/02/2022] [Accepted: 11/11/2022] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
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Xourgia E, Katsaros DE, Xixi NA, Tsolaki V, Routsi C, Zakynthinos SG, Kotanidou A, Siempos II. Mortality of intubated patients with COVID-19 during first and subsequent waves: a meta-analysis involving 363660 patients from 43 countries. Expert Rev Respir Med 2022; 16:1101-1108. [DOI: 10.1080/17476348.2022.2145950] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Eleni Xourgia
- First Department of Critical Care Medicine and Pulmonary Services, Evangelismos Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Dimitrios E. Katsaros
- First Department of Critical Care Medicine and Pulmonary Services, Evangelismos Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Nikoleta A. Xixi
- First Department of Critical Care Medicine and Pulmonary Services, Evangelismos Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Vasiliki Tsolaki
- Critical Care Department, University Hospital of Larissa, University of Thessaly, Faculty of Medicine, Larissa, Greece
| | - Christina Routsi
- First Department of Critical Care Medicine and Pulmonary Services, Evangelismos Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Spyros G. Zakynthinos
- First Department of Critical Care Medicine and Pulmonary Services, Evangelismos Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Anastasia Kotanidou
- First Department of Critical Care Medicine and Pulmonary Services, Evangelismos Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece
| | - Ilias I. Siempos
- First Department of Critical Care Medicine and Pulmonary Services, Evangelismos Hospital, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens Medical School, Athens, Greece
- Department of Medicine, Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care Medicine, Weill Cornell Medicine, New York, NY, USA
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Levy TJ, Coppa K, Cang J, Barnaby DP, Paradis MD, Cohen SL, Makhnevich A, van Klaveren D, Kent DM, Davidson KW, Hirsch JS, Zanos TP. Development and validation of self-monitoring auto-updating prognostic models of survival for hospitalized COVID-19 patients. Nat Commun 2022; 13:6812. [PMID: 36357420 PMCID: PMC9648888 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-34646-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2022] [Accepted: 11/02/2022] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Clinical prognostic models can assist patient care decisions. However, their performance can drift over time and location, necessitating model monitoring and updating. Despite rapid and significant changes during the pandemic, prognostic models for COVID-19 patients do not currently account for these drifts. We develop a framework for continuously monitoring and updating prognostic models and apply it to predict 28-day survival in COVID-19 patients. We use demographic, laboratory, and clinical data from electronic health records of 34912 hospitalized COVID-19 patients from March 2020 until May 2022 and compare three modeling methods. Model calibration performance drift is immediately detected with minor fluctuations in discrimination. The overall calibration on the prospective validation cohort is significantly improved when comparing the dynamically updated models against their static counterparts. Our findings suggest that, using this framework, models remain accurate and well-calibrated across various waves, variants, race and sex and yield positive net-benefits.
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Affiliation(s)
- Todd J Levy
- Institute of Health System Science, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
- Institute of Bioelectronic Medicine, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
| | - Kevin Coppa
- Clinical Digital Solutions, Northwell Health, New Hyde Park, NY, 11042, USA
| | - Jinxuan Cang
- Institute of Health System Science, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
- Institute of Bioelectronic Medicine, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
| | - Douglas P Barnaby
- Institute of Health System Science, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
- Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Northwell Health, Hempstead, NY, 11549, USA
| | - Marc D Paradis
- Northwell Holdings, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
| | - Stuart L Cohen
- Institute of Health System Science, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
- Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Northwell Health, Hempstead, NY, 11549, USA
| | - Alex Makhnevich
- Institute of Health System Science, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
- Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Northwell Health, Hempstead, NY, 11549, USA
| | - David van Klaveren
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC University Medical Center, Rotterdam, Netherlands
- Predictive Analytics and Comparative Effectiveness Center, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
| | - David M Kent
- Predictive Analytics and Comparative Effectiveness Center, Tufts Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Karina W Davidson
- Institute of Health System Science, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
- Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Northwell Health, Hempstead, NY, 11549, USA
| | - Jamie S Hirsch
- Institute of Health System Science, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA
- Clinical Digital Solutions, Northwell Health, New Hyde Park, NY, 11042, USA
- Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Northwell Health, Hempstead, NY, 11549, USA
| | - Theodoros P Zanos
- Institute of Health System Science, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA.
- Institute of Bioelectronic Medicine, Feinstein Institutes for Medical Research, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, 11030, USA.
- Donald and Barbara Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra/Northwell, Northwell Health, Hempstead, NY, 11549, USA.
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Khamis F, Al Awaidy S, Ba’Omar M, Osman W, Chhetri S, Ambusaid Z, Al Fahdi Z, Al Lawati J, Al Sulaimi K, Al Bulushi SA, Al Bahrani M, Al-Zakwani I. The Impact of Demographic, Clinical Characteristics and the Various COVID-19 Variant Types on All-Cause Mortality: A Case-Series Retrospective Study. Diseases 2022; 10:100. [PMID: 36412594 PMCID: PMC9680441 DOI: 10.3390/diseases10040100] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2022] [Revised: 11/01/2022] [Accepted: 11/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022] Open
Abstract
(1) Background: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has rapidly evolved into a pandemic affecting virtually every country in the world. We evaluated the demographic, clinical, laboratory, and all-cause mortality of moderate and severe COVID-19 patients admitted to a tertiary care hospital in Oman during the different COVID-19 waves and variant types. (2) Methods: A case-series retrospective study was carried out between 12 March 2020 and 30 June 2022. All adults over the age of 18 with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 were enrolled. Analyses were performed using univariate and multivariate statistics. (3) Results: A total of 1462 confirmed cases enrolled with the mean age of the cohort was 55 ± 17 years with significant differences among the groups (p = 0.006). A total of 63% and 80% of the patients were males and citizens of Oman, respectively. Patients infected with the Alpha COVID-19 variant type were more likely to have acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) (p < 0.001), stay longer in the hospital (p < 0.001), and get admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) (p < 0.001). At the same time, those who had the Omicron COVID-19 type were more likely to have renal impairment (p < 0.001) and less likely to be associated with non-invasive ventilation (NIV) (p = 0.001) compared with other COVID-19 variant types. The Delta (adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 1.8; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.22−2.66; p = 0.003) and Omicron (aOR, 1.88; 95% CI: 1.09−3.22; p = 0.022) COVID-19 variant types were associated with higher all-cause mortality when compared to the initial COVID-19 variant. Old age (aOR, 1.05; 95% CI: 1.04−1.06; p < 0.001), the presence of respiratory disease (aOR, 1.58; 95% CI: 1.02−2.44; p = 0.04), ICU admission (aOR, 3.41; 95% CI: 2.16−5.39; p < 0.001), lower eGFR (aOR, 1.61; 95% CI: 1.17−2.23; p = 0.004), and ARDS (aOR, 5.75; 95% CI: 3.69−8.98; p < 0.001) were also associated with higher mortality while NIV requirements were associated with lower odds of dying (aOR, 0.65; 95% CI: 0.46−0.91; p = 0.012). (4) Conclusions: Alpha and Delta variants were associated with a longer hospital stay, need for intensive care, mechanical ventilation, and increased mortality. Old age, cardiac renal dysfunction were commonly associated with Omicron variants. Large-scale national studies to further assess the risk factors for mortality related to COVID-19 waves are warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Faryal Khamis
- Department of Infectious Disease, The Royal Hospital, Muscat, PC 111, Oman
| | | | - Muna Ba’Omar
- Department of Infectious Disease, The Royal Hospital, Muscat, PC 111, Oman
| | - Wessam Osman
- Department of Medicine, Royal Hospital, Ministry of Health, Muscat, PC 111, Oman
| | - Shabnam Chhetri
- Department of Infectious Disease, The Royal Hospital, Muscat, PC 111, Oman
| | - Zaiyana Ambusaid
- Department of Medicine, Royal Hospital, Ministry of Health, Muscat, PC 111, Oman
| | - Zakariya Al Fahdi
- Department of Medicine, Nizwa Hospital, Ministry of Health, Nizwa, PC 611, Oman
| | - Jaber Al Lawati
- Department of Medicine, Royal Hospital, Ministry of Health, Muscat, PC 111, Oman
| | - Khalsa Al Sulaimi
- Department of Medicine, Royal Hospital, Ministry of Health, Muscat, PC 111, Oman
| | | | - Maher Al Bahrani
- Department of Anaesthesia, Royal Hospital, Ministry of Health, Muscat, PC 111, Oman
| | - Ibrahim Al-Zakwani
- Department of Pharmacology & Clinical Pharmacy, College of Medicine & Health Sciences, Sultan Qaboos University, Al Khoudh, PC 123, Oman
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