Retrospective Study
Copyright ©The Author(s) 2024.
World J Gastrointest Oncol. Aug 15, 2024; 16(8): 3507-3520
Published online Aug 15, 2024. doi: 10.4251/wjgo.v16.i8.3507
Table 1 Demographic and clinical characteristics of patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results dataset and our hospital
VariablesTraining set
Validation set
Test set
n = 233
n = 53
n = 92
Age, mean (SD)60.7 (13.5)61.4 (13.2)65.62 (8.78)
Sex, n (%)
Female120 (51.5)21 (39.6)17 (18.48)
Male113 (48.5)32 (60.4)75 (81.52)
Marital, n (%)
Unmarried84 (36.1)16 (30.2)0 (0.00)
Married141 (60.5)37 (69.8)92 (100)
Unknown8 (3.43)0 (0.00)0 (0.00)
Race, n (%)
White41 (17.6)7 (13.2)0 (0.00)
Black167 (71.7)41 (77.4)0 (0.00)
Asian and others25 (10.7)5 (9.43)92 (100)
Primary site, n (%)
Upper 1/344 (18.9)13 (24.5)57 (61.96)
Middle 1/389 (38.2)21 (39.6)11 (11.96)
Lower 1/350 (21.5)12 (22.6)18 (19.57)
Overlapping50 (21.5)7 (13.2)6 (6.52)
Histology, n (%)
NET150 (64.4)33 (62.3)6 (6.52)
NEC71 (30.5)16 (30.2)62 (67.39)
MANEC12 (5.15)4 (7.55)24 (26.09)
Size, n (%)
≤ 292 (39.5)19 (35.8)7 (7.61)
> 2 and ≤ 582 (35.2)21 (39.6)53 (57.61)
> 559 (25.3)13 (24.5)32 (34.78)
T stage, n (%)
Tis3 (1.29)1 (1.89)0 (0.00)
T141 (17.6)5 (9.43)4 (4.35)
T277 (33.0)20 (37.7)10 (10.87)
T367 (28.8)12 (22.6)59 (64.13)
T445 (19.3)15 (28.3)19 (20.65)
N stage, n (%)
N0111 (47.6)27 (50.9)23 (25.00)
N1/N2/N3122 (52.4)26 (49.1)69 (75.00)
M stage, n (%)
M0196 (84.1)43 (81.1)79 (85.87)
M137 (15.9)10 (18.9)13 (14.13)
LNR, n (%)
0111 (47.6)27 (50.9)24 (26.09)
≤ 0.247 (20.2)11 (20.8)35 (38.04)
> 0.275 (32.2)15 (28.3)33 (35.87)
Radiation, n (%)
No213 (91.4)48 (90.6)86 (93.48)
Yes20 (8.58)5 (9.43)6 (6.52)
Chemotherapy, n (%)
No183 (78.5)40 (75.5)41 (44.57)
Yes50 (21.5)13 (24.5)51 (55.43)
Status, n (%)
Alive168 (72.1)36 (67.9)53 (57.61)
Dead65 (27.9)17 (32.1)39 (42.39)
Time, median (range)51 (1, 189)40 (1, 186)23 (1, 148)
Table 2 The performance of the Cox proportional hazards model and the random survival forest model
ModelDatasetC-indexAUC
1-year
3-year
5-year
CoxPHTraining0.834 (0.789-0.879)0.848 (0.763-0.930)0.881 (0.831-0.932)0.875 (0.822-0.927)
Validation0.871 (0.802-0.940)0.843 (0.717-0.969)0.948 (0.892-1.000)0.990 (0.969-1.000)
Test0.744 (0.665-0.822)0.786 (0.622-0.889)0.834 (0.735-0.934)0.810 (0.688-0.931)
RSFTraining0.940 (0.924-0.956)0.962 (0.938-0.989)0.979 (0.963-0.995)0.971 (0.951-0.992)
Validation0.870 (0.818-0.921)0.867 (0.761-0.973)0.955 (0.899-1.000)0.986 (0.960-1.000)
Test0.769 (0.691-0.846)0.803 (0.608-0.891)0.895 (0.814-0.976)0.869 (0.769-0.970)