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Neamah HH, Davies A, Teta A, Brannan GD, Abdelaziz S, Kovan B. Evaluating The Glasgow Blatchford Score for Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Risk Stratification in A Community Hospital: A Retrospective Study. Spartan Med Res J 2025; 10:15-22. [PMID: 40352134 PMCID: PMC12065547 DOI: 10.51894/001c.137546] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/14/2025] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is the most common emergency in gastroenterology. The Glasgow Blatchford Score (GBS) is a validated tool used for risk stratification. The cutoff values for GBS to predict the need for clinical intervention, endoscopic treatment, and mortality, are not consistent. To determine the relationship between mean GBS score and the need for hemostatic intervention, and blood transfusion, and to evaluate quality of care and proper allocation of resources at our midwestern community hospital. METHODS In this cross-sectional study, we retrospectively extracted records for patients ≥18 years who were admitted for UGIB and underwent esophagogastroduodenoscopy between July 2018 and July 2020. GBS was calculated for each observation. Multivariate analysis and a logistic regression model were performed to predict the GBS score, and the odds ratio, associated with the need for hemostatic intervention and blood transfusion while controlling for confounding factors. RESULTS The GBS sample mean score was 11.17. Those who required hemostatic intervention and blood transfusion scored significantly higher GBS (13.18 versus 10.79) and (13.57 versus 9.21), respectively. A GBS of >10 was associated with higher odds at 21.84 (CI: 10.324,46.185, P<0.001) and 5.085 (CI: 1.864, 13.872, P=0.001) for receiving blood transfusion and hemostatic intervention, respectively. A cutoff of 10 was 22.41% sensitive and 95.41% specific for requiring hemostatic interventions and 66.67% sensitive and 89.91% specific for receiving blood transfusion. CONCLUSION There is a clinical role to using the GBS even at a score higher than 2 to further stratify the severity of UGIB and determine the need for intervention. The sensitivity of a score of 10 on the GBS in this dataset was low. A cutoff with higher sensitivity is needed to stratify a life-threatening condition such as UGIB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hind H. Neamah
- Department of Internal Medicine, Mount Clemens, MI, USAMcLaren Health Care- Macomb Hospital
- Internal Medicine, East Lansing, MI, USAMichigan State University, College of Osteopathic Medicine
| | - Alexandra Davies
- Gastroenterology, East Lansing, MI, USAMichigan State University, College of Osteopathic Medicine,
- Department of Gastroenterology, Lansing, MI, USAMcLaren Health Care- Greater Lansing Hospital
| | - Anthony Teta
- Department of Internal Medicine, Mount Clemens, MI, USAMcLaren Health Care- Macomb Hospital
- Internal Medicine, East Lansing, MI, USAMichigan State University, College of Osteopathic Medicine
| | - Grace D. Brannan
- Graduate Medical Education, Mount Clemens, MI, USAMcLaren Health Care- Macomb Hospital
- GDB Research and Statistical Consulting, Athens, OH, USA
| | - Sami Abdelaziz
- College of Osteopathic Medicine, East Lansing, MI, USAMichigan State University
| | - Bruce Kovan
- Department of Gastroenterology, Mount Clemens, MI, USAMcLaren Health Care- Macomb Hospital
- College of Osteopathic Medicine, Gastroenterology, East Lansing, MI, USAMichigan State University
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Krishnan A. Endoscopic intervention in hematologic malignancy patients with severe thrombocytopenia: Methodological concerns, clinical implications, and future research directions. World J Gastrointest Endosc 2025; 17:105630. [PMID: 40291127 PMCID: PMC12019124 DOI: 10.4253/wjge.v17.i4.105630] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/02/2025] [Revised: 03/16/2025] [Accepted: 04/02/2025] [Indexed: 04/14/2025] Open
Abstract
Gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) presents a significant challenge for patients with hematologic malignancies, especially those with severe thrombocytopenia. Although endoscopic intervention is frequently used in managing GIB, its safety and effectiveness in this high-risk group remain unclear. A recent study by Alhumayyd et al provided insight into this issue. However, it has notable limitations, including its retrospective nature, small sample size, and failure to adjust for important confounding factors such as disease severity, hemodynamic status, and platelet function. The study's findings indicated that urgent endoscopy may help decrease the incidence of recurrent bleeding; however, it did not show a clear benefit in terms of mortality. Future research ought to prioritize prospective, multicenter studies that employ standardized protocols and incorporate risk stratification models to better understand the impact of endoscopic treatment for GIB in these patients. Additionally, integrating platelet function assays could improve clinical decision-making. Addressing these research gaps is essential for improving patient outcomes and developing effective guidelines for managing GIB in individuals with thrombocytopenia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arunkumar Krishnan
- Department of Supportive Oncology, Atrium Health Levine Cancer, Charlotte, NC 28204, United States
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Omolabake BI, Iwuozo E, Abi I, Oche JO, Ochoga M, Ashinze L. Aetiology and Feasibility of Endoscopic Interventions for Massive Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding in Makurdi, North-Central Nigeria. JOURNAL OF THE WEST AFRICAN COLLEGE OF SURGEONS 2025; 15:191-196. [PMID: 40094138 PMCID: PMC11908711 DOI: 10.4103/jwas.jwas_22_24] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/28/2024] [Accepted: 04/15/2024] [Indexed: 03/19/2025]
Abstract
Introduction Massive upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a life-threatening emergency with high mortality. Emergency upper gastrointestinal (GI) endoscopy, endotherapy, interventional radiology, and surgery are necessary to control the bleeding source and restore normal physiology. However, these interventions are suboptimal in most centres in Nigeria, contributing to the dismal mortality observed in this condition. Objectives & Methodology We aimed to determine the aetiology, feasibility of endoscopic intervention, and outcome of management of massive UGIB in Madonna Hospital, Makurdi, over a 30-month-period by retrospectively reviewing the medical and procedural records of patients presenting with hypotension from an endoscopically diagnosed upper GI bleeding source. Result A total of 39 patients were identified, with a mean age of 49.3 ± 17.7 years. Among them, 27 were males (69.2%) and 12 were females (30.8%). Bleeding peptic ulcers were the cause of massive UGIB in 21 cases (53.8%), followed by variceal bleeding, observed in 10 (25.6%) cases. Most of these cases were amenable to endoscopic treatment using adrenaline injection, endoclips, endoscopic variceal band ligation, and diathermy fulguration. Thirty-three (84.6%) patients survived, while the in-hospital mortality following initial endoscopic intervention was 6 out of 39 patients (15.4%), which is comparable to figures from more advanced climes. Conclusion & Recommendation Endoscopic management of massive UGIB is feasible in a low-resource setting. However, timely access to emergency endoscopy is vital to reduce mortality. Strategies to reduce risk factors for peptic ulcers and oesophageal varices are necessary to reduce the incidence of massive UGIB in Makurdi, Nigeria.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Emmanuel Iwuozo
- Department of Medicine, Benue State University Teaching Hospital, Makurdi, Nigeria
| | - Innocent Abi
- Department of Physiology, Benue State University, Makurdi, Nigeria
| | - Joseph O Oche
- Department of Medicine, Benue State University Teaching Hospital, Makurdi, Nigeria
| | - Martha Ochoga
- Department of Paediatrics, Federal University of Health Sciences, Otukpo, Nigeria
| | - Lewis Ashinze
- General Outpatient Department, Madonna Hospital, Makurdi, Nigeria
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Yarkaç A, Bozkurt S, Köse A, Buyurgan ÇS, Usluer HO, Temel G. AS score: a novel score for predicting clinical outcomes in upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Scand J Gastroenterol 2025; 60:213-218. [PMID: 39887700 DOI: 10.1080/00365521.2025.2459237] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2024] [Revised: 01/02/2025] [Accepted: 01/18/2025] [Indexed: 02/01/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Upper gastrointestinal tract bleeding (UGIB) is an significant cause of admission to emergency departments and hospitalizations. AIMS The aim of our study was to compare the pre-endoscopic risk scores used in the literature with our new score (AS score) in patients admitted to the emergency department due to upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). METHODS A total of 541 patients admitted to the emergency department of a tertiary care hospital due to UGIB were included in the study. Pre-endoscopic risk scores and AS score were compared in terms of the need for hospitalization, need for intensive care, need for endoscopic treatment, and mortality. RESULTS All of the scores analysed in the study were found to be effective in predicting the need for hospitalization, the need for intensive care, the need for endoscopic treatment, and mortality. The most effective score in predicting mortality was the AS score. In addition, the sensitivity of the AS score was higher than the other scores in predicting the need for intensive care. CONCLUSIONS The AS score is a new tool that may be useful in the management of patients admitted to the emergency department due to UGIB because of its advantages, such as not including laboratory parameters, being calculated in a very short time in the triage area at the time of patient presentation, and being integrated with the Charlson comorbidity index.
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Affiliation(s)
- Akif Yarkaç
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Mersin University, Mersin, Turkey
| | - Seyran Bozkurt
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Mersin University, Mersin, Turkey
| | - Ataman Köse
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Mersin University, Mersin, Turkey
| | - Çağrı Safa Buyurgan
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Emergency Medicine, Mersin University, Mersin, Turkey
| | - Halil Oktay Usluer
- Emergency Department, Şanlıurfa Siverek State Hospital, Şanlıurfa, Turkey
| | - Gülhan Temel
- Faculty of Medicine, Department of Biostatistics and Medical Informatics, Mersin University, Mersin, Turkey
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Scherr R, Chow JJ, Sing C, Kirby KA, Breuer JA, Abi-Jaoudeh N. Racial Disparities in Upper Gastrointestinal Hemorrhage Treatment. J Racial Ethn Health Disparities 2025:10.1007/s40615-025-02335-7. [PMID: 40014285 DOI: 10.1007/s40615-025-02335-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2024] [Revised: 09/21/2024] [Accepted: 02/18/2025] [Indexed: 02/28/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS To identify demographic predictors, with a focus on race and socioeconomic status, for advanced treatment modality, mortality, and increased length of stay (LOS) in upper gastrointestinal (GI) hemorrhage treatment. METHODS Hospitalizations with acute upper GI hemorrhage from 2016 to 2021 were identified in the Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project's National Inpatient Sample. Cases were divided into interventional radiology (IR) and non-IR (endoscopic) treatments. Statistical analyses calculated significant odds ratios via 95% confidence intervals. The primary outcome of interest was mortality rate. The secondary outcome of interest was the mean LOS. Confounding factors affecting mortality were also examined. RESULTS There was no significant difference in likelihood of an IR procedure or mortality between White patients and both Non-Hispanic (NH) Black and Hispanic patients. NH Black patients had significantly longer LOS in days compared to White patients (12.61 vs 9.57) that persisted when matching for age and sex (13.78 vs 9.92), socioeconomic status (12.94 vs 10.07), chronic comorbidities (11.33 vs 8.88), blood transfusions (14.46 vs 10.21), and vasopressor use (14.43 vs 10.29) (p < 0.001). These LOS differences were not seen under matching conditions post-COVID-19. CONCLUSION This study presents racial disparities in LOS following acute upper GI hemorrhage, but no differences in advanced treatment utilization or mortality. Confounders were responsible for LOS differences in non-IR treatment, but NH Black patients had persistently longer LOS than White patients after IR treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Riley Scherr
- School of Medicine, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA.
- , 101 The City Dr S, Orange, CA, 92868, USA.
| | - Jacqueline J Chow
- School of Medicine, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
| | - Caitlyn Sing
- School of Medicine, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
| | - Katharine A Kirby
- Center for Statistical Consulting, Department of Statistics, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, USA
| | - Joseph A Breuer
- Department of Radiological Sciences, University of California Irvine, Orange, CA, USA
| | - Nadine Abi-Jaoudeh
- Department of Radiological Sciences, University of California Irvine, Orange, CA, USA
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Kozai L, Tan A, Nebrejas K, Nishimura Y. Comparative diagnostic utility of Rockall and Glasgow-Blatchford scores in non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2025; 37:161-166. [PMID: 39400553 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000002867] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/15/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The Rockall score and Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS) are two scoring systems validated in the evaluation of upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). However, no meta-analysis exists to summarize the current data and clarify the use of Rockall score and GBS focusing on non-variceal UGIB. We aimed to evaluate and compare the utility of the Rockall score and GBS in predicting clinical outcomes in non-variceal UGIB. METHODS We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis, searching the MEDLINE and EMBASE databases for all peer-reviewed articles using the terms including 'Glasgow-Blatchford', 'Rockall', and 'gastrointestinal bleed' from their inception to 22 March 2023. Outcomes included mortality, rebleeding, need for blood transfusion, and need for surgical intervention. RESULTS Seven studies with 755 participants with non-variceal bleeding were included in the analysis. Pooled analysis demonstrated no difference in the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) between GBS and Rockall score to predict mortality [weighted mean difference (WMD) = 0.01, 95% CI: -0.06 to 0.08] or rebleeding (WMD = 0.04, 95% CI: -0.03 to 0.11). GBS had a higher AUROC to predict the outcomes compared to Rockall score for the needs for transfusion (WMD = 0.09, 95% CI: 0.01-0.16) and surgical intervention (WMD = 0.21, 95% CI: 0.14-0.29). CONCLUSION The GBS could be superior to the Rockall score in predicting the needs for transfusion and surgical intervention in non-variceal UGIB. However, both scores demonstrate low performance for predicting mortality or rebleeding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Landon Kozai
- Department of Medicine, John A. Burns School of Medicine, University of Hawai'i, Honolulu, Hawai'i
| | - Arvin Tan
- Department of Medicine, John A. Burns School of Medicine, University of Hawai'i, Honolulu, Hawai'i
| | - Kevin Nebrejas
- Department of Medicine, John A. Burns School of Medicine, University of Hawai'i, Honolulu, Hawai'i
| | - Yoshito Nishimura
- Department of Hematology & Oncology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, Minnesota, USA
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Gao W, Huang YS, Wang YD. Construction and validation of a predictive model for the risk of rebleeding in patients with esophageal and gastric varices hemorrhage. BMC Gastroenterol 2024; 24:471. [PMID: 39716072 DOI: 10.1186/s12876-024-03569-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2024] [Accepted: 12/17/2024] [Indexed: 12/25/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Esophageal and gastric varices hemorrhage (EGVH) is a life-threatening condition with the 6-week mortality rate of 15-25%. Up to 60% of patients with EGVH may experience rebleeding with a mortality rate of 33%. The existing scoring systems, such as RS scoring system (Rockall score, RS) and GBS scoring system (Glasgow-Blatchford score, GBS), have limitations in predicting the risk of rebleeding. Our study was to construct and validate a novel predictive model for the risk of rebleeding in patients with EGVH and to compare the predictive power of the predictive model with GBS and pRS. METHODS Data of patients with EGVH was collected in the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University from January 2016 to June 2020. Binary logistic and stepwise regression was performed to construct a predictive model. We compared the predictive power of the new predictive model to the GBS and pRS scoring systems. RESULTS Clinical data from a total of 265 patients with EGVH was collected. Six factors including systolic blood pressure, transfusion requirement, CA199, platelet count, upper esophageal varices and severity of esophageal varices were included in our new predictive model. The AUCs of the specificity of the predictive model, GBS and pRS are 0.82, 0.60 and 0.56. CONCLUSION This study successfully constructed a predictive model for the risk of rebleeding in patients with EGVH. This predictive model demonstrated higher predictive ability than pRS and GBS scoring systems for assessing rebleeding risk in EGVH patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wei Gao
- Department of Gastroenterology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning Province, 116011, China
| | - Yu-Shuang Huang
- Dalian Public Health Clinical Center, Liaoning Province, Dalian, China
| | - Ying-De Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, the First Affiliated Hospital of Dalian Medical University, Dalian, Liaoning Province, 116011, China.
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Maity R, Dhali A, Biswas J. Importance of risk assessment, endoscopic hemostasis, and recent advancements in the management of acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. World J Clin Cases 2024; 12:5462-5467. [PMID: 39188600 PMCID: PMC11269988 DOI: 10.12998/wjcc.v12.i24.5462] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2024] [Revised: 04/20/2024] [Accepted: 05/17/2024] [Indexed: 07/11/2024] Open
Abstract
Acute non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (ANVUGIB) is a common medical emergency in clinical practice. While the incidence has significantly reduced, the mortality rates have not undergone a similar reduction in the last few decades, thus presenting a significant challenge. This editorial outlines the key causes and risk factors of ANVUGIB and explores the current standards and recent updates in risk assessment scoring systems for predicting mortality and endoscopic treatments for achieving hemostasis. Since ANUVGIB predominantly affects the elderly population, the impact of comorbidities may be responsible for the poor outcomes. A thorough drug history is important due to the increasing use of antiplatelet agents and anticoagulants in the elderly. Early risk stratification plays a crucial role in deciding the line of management and predicting mortality. Emerging scoring systems such as the ABC (age, blood tests, co-morbidities) score show promise in predicting mortality and guiding clinical decisions. While conventional endoscopic therapies remain cornerstone approaches, novel techniques like hemostatic powders and over-the-scope clips offer promising alternatives, particularly in cases refractory to traditional modalities. By integrating validated scoring systems and leveraging novel therapeutic modalities, clinicians can enhance patient care and mitigate the substantial morbidity and mortality associated with ANVUGIB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rick Maity
- General Medicine, Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Kolkata 700020, India
| | - Arkadeep Dhali
- Department of Gastroenterology, Sheffield Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Northern General Hospital, Sheffield S5 7AU, United Kingdom
- School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield S102HQ, United Kingdom
| | - Jyotirmoy Biswas
- General Medicine, College of Medicine and Sagore Dutta Hospital, Kolkata 700058, India
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Pattarapuntakul T, Wong T, Wetwittayakhlang P, Netinatsunton N, Keeratichananont S, Kaewdech A, Jandee S, Chamroonkul N, Sripongpun P, Lakatos PL. Efficacy of Vonoprazan vs. Intravenous Proton Pump Inhibitor in Prevention of Re-Bleeding of High-Risk Peptic Ulcers: A Randomized Controlled Pilot Study. J Clin Med 2024; 13:3606. [PMID: 38930134 PMCID: PMC11204564 DOI: 10.3390/jcm13123606] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2024] [Revised: 06/03/2024] [Accepted: 06/17/2024] [Indexed: 06/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Background: Proton pump inhibitor (PPI) therapy is well-established for its effectiveness in reducing re-bleeding in high-risk peptic ulcer patients following endoscopic hemostasis. Vonoprazan (VPZ) has demonstrated the capacity to achieve gastric pH levels exceeding 4, comparable to PPIs. This study aims to evaluate the comparative efficacy of intravenous PPI infusion versus VPZ in preventing re-bleeding after endoscopic hemostasis in patients with high-risk peptic ulcers. Methods: A randomized, double-blind, controlled, and double-dummy design was employed. Patients with peptic ulcer bleeding (Forrest class IA/IB or IIA/IIB) who underwent endoscopic hemostasis were randomly assigned to either the PPI group or the VPZ group. Re-bleeding rates at 3, 7, and 30 days, the number of blood transfusions required, length of hospitalization, and ulcer healing rate at 56 days were assessed. Results: A total of 44 eligible patients were enrolled, including 20 patients (PPI group, n = 11; VPZ group, n = 9) with high-risk peptic ulcers. The mean age was 66 years, with 70% being male. Re-bleeding within 72 h occurred in 9.1% of the PPI group versus 0% in the VPZ group (p = 1.000). There was no significant difference in re-bleeding rates within 7 days and 30 days (18.2% vs. 11.1%, p = 1.000). Additionally, the ulcer healing rate did not significantly differ between the groups (87.5% vs. 77.8%). Conclusions: This pilot study demonstrates comparable efficacy between oral vonoprazan and continuous PPI infusion in preventing recurrent bleeding events among high-risk peptic ulcer patients following successful endoscopic hemostasis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tanawat Pattarapuntakul
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (T.P.); (T.W.); (A.K.); (S.J.); (N.C.); (P.S.)
| | - Thanawin Wong
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (T.P.); (T.W.); (A.K.); (S.J.); (N.C.); (P.S.)
| | - Panu Wetwittayakhlang
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (T.P.); (T.W.); (A.K.); (S.J.); (N.C.); (P.S.)
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC H3G 1A4, Canada
| | - Nisa Netinatsunton
- Nanthana-Kriangkrai Chotiwattanaphan (NKC) Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (N.N.); (S.K.)
| | - Suriya Keeratichananont
- Nanthana-Kriangkrai Chotiwattanaphan (NKC) Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (N.N.); (S.K.)
| | - Apichat Kaewdech
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (T.P.); (T.W.); (A.K.); (S.J.); (N.C.); (P.S.)
| | - Sawangpong Jandee
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (T.P.); (T.W.); (A.K.); (S.J.); (N.C.); (P.S.)
| | - Naichaya Chamroonkul
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (T.P.); (T.W.); (A.K.); (S.J.); (N.C.); (P.S.)
| | - Pimsiri Sripongpun
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Songkhla 90110, Thailand; (T.P.); (T.W.); (A.K.); (S.J.); (N.C.); (P.S.)
| | - Peter L. Lakatos
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, McGill University Health Centre, Montreal, QC H3G 1A4, Canada
- Department of Internal Medicine and Oncology, Semmelweis University, 1085 Budapest, Hungary
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Liu H, Li Y, Liu C, Liu Z, Chen K. Diagnosis Value of the Blood Urea Nitrogen-to-Creatinine Ratio in Determining the Need for Intervention of Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Dig Dis 2024; 42:285-291. [PMID: 38531324 DOI: 10.1159/000538366] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/29/2023] [Accepted: 03/13/2024] [Indexed: 03/28/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The blood urea nitrogen (BUN)-to-creatinine (Cr) ratio (BUN/Cr ratio) may be used to evaluate the need for intervention of acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB). This study aimed to explore the predictive value of the BUN/Cr ratio in the need for intervention of AUGIB. METHODS This retrospective observational study included patients with AUGIB in the hospital's emergency department between August 2019 and May 2023. The patients were grouped according to whether they underwent an intervention for AUGIB. Patients treated between August 2019 and May 2022 were selected as the training set and the others as the validation set. RESULTS A total of 466 patients (328 males, 138 females) with AUGIB were enrolled in the intervention group (n = 167) and the no-intervention group (n = 299). In the training set, multivariable logistic regression showed that the BUN/Cr ratio (odds ratio [OR]: 1.013, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.003-1.023, p = 0.009), hemoglobin (OR: 0.989, 95% CI: 0.981-0.997, p = 0.010), and a previous history of esophageal variceal bleeding (OR: 6.898, 95% CI: 3.989-11.929, p < 0.001) were independently associated with intervention for AUGIB. The area under receiver operating characteristic curve of BUN/Cr ratio and the prediction model based on logistic regression to predict the need for intervention of AUGIB were 0.604 (95% CI: 0.544-0.664) and 0.759 (95% CI: 0.706-0.812) in the training set and 0.634 (95% CI: 0.529, 0.740) and 0.708 (95% CI: 0.609, 0.806) in the validation set, respectively. CONCLUSION The BUN/Cr ratio was associated with the need for AUGIB intervention. Combining it with other parameters might improve its diagnostic value to predict the need for intervention of AUGIB.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hong Liu
- Emergency Department, The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Yan Li
- Emergency Department, The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Chunliang Liu
- Emergency Department, The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Zheng Liu
- Emergency Department, The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
| | - Kailin Chen
- Emergency Department, The Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, Taiyuan, China
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Huang J, Liao F, Tang J, Shu X. Development of a model for predicting acute cerebral infarction induced by non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding. Clin Neurol Neurosurg 2023; 235:107992. [PMID: 37944305 DOI: 10.1016/j.clineuro.2023.107992] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2023] [Revised: 07/04/2023] [Accepted: 09/26/2023] [Indexed: 11/12/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To evaluate the risk factors for acute cerebral infarction(ACI) in patients with non-variceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding(NVUGIB), and construct a model for predicting ACI in NVUGIB patients. METHODS A model for predicting ACI induced by NVUGIB was established on the basis of a retrospective study that involved 1282 patients who were diagnosed with NVUGIB in the emergency department and Gastroenterology Department of Nanchang University Affiliated Ganzhou Hospital from January 2019 to December 2021. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were drawn to evaluate the sensitivity and specificity of the model and CHA2DS2-VASc score to predict ACI. Delong's test was used to compare AUCs of the present score and the CHA2DS2-VASc score. RESULTS There were 1282 patients enrolled in the study, including 69 in the ACI group and 1213 in the non-ACI group. Multivariate analysis revealed that hypertension, diabetes, red blood cell (RBC) transfusion, mechanical ventilation, D-dimer, rate pressure product (RPP), somatostatin and mean platelet volume (MPV) were factors associated with ACI induced by NVUGIB. A model based on the eight factors was established, Logit(P)= 0.265 + 1.382 × 1 + 1.120 × 2 + 1.769 × 3 + 0.839 × 4-1.549 × 5-0.361 × 6 + 0.045 × 7 + 1.158 × 8(or 1.069 ×9) (X1, hypertension=1; X2, diabetes=1; X3, RBC transfusion=1; X4, mechanical ventilation=1; X5, somatostatin=1; X6, MPV(fL); X7, D-dimer(ng/l); X8, low RPP= 1; X9, high RPP = 2). The area under ROC curve of the model was 0.873, the sensitivity and specificity were 0.768 and 0.887, respectively. The area under ROC curve of CHA2DS2-VASc score was 0.792, the sensitivity and specificity were 0.728 and 0.716, respectively. Delong's test showed the area under ROC curve of the present study was significantly larger than that of CHA2DS2-VASc score. CONCLUSIONS Hypertension, diabetes, RBC transfusion, mechanical ventilation, D-dimer, RPP, somatostatin and MPV were factors associated with ACI induced by NVUGIB. A model constructed based on these factors showed excellent prediction of ACI, and was superior to CHA2DS2-VASc score. However, this needs to be further validated by multi-center study with a larger sample size.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiaming Huang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Nanchang University Affiliated Ganzhou Hospital, Ganzhou, Jiangxi 341000, China
| | - Foqiang Liao
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi 330006, China
| | - Jianhua Tang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Nanchang University Affiliated Ganzhou Hospital, Ganzhou, Jiangxi 341000, China
| | - Xu Shu
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi 330006, China.
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Vanhoenacker C, Hufkens E, Laenen A, Bonne L, Claus E, Peluso J, Demedts I, Laleman W, Wilmer A, Maleux G. Factors influencing outcome of angiographic embolization for gastroduodenal hemorrhage related to peptic ulceration. Eur J Radiol 2023; 166:110970. [PMID: 37463549 DOI: 10.1016/j.ejrad.2023.110970] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/20/2023] [Revised: 06/19/2023] [Accepted: 07/10/2023] [Indexed: 07/20/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE Long-term outcome and prognostic factors of transcatheter embolization for gastroduodenal peptic ulcer bleeding are unknown. This study was conducted to evaluate the clinical outcome and factors associated with early recurrent bleeding and 30-day mortality of transcatheter arterial embolization (TAE) for severe, upper gastroduodenal hemorrhage associated with peptic ulcer and refractory to medical and endoscopic therapy. METHODS A monocenter, retrospective study from 2005 to 2020 including 76 consecutive patients who underwent TAE as first-line therapy for bleeding gastroduodenal peptic ulcers refractory to endoscopic therapy. Patient demographics, endoscopy findings, co-morbidities and interventional procedure findings were recorded. The outcome measures were technical and clinical success, procedure related complications, recurrent bleeding, length of hospital stay, 30-day mortality and overall survival. RESULTS The technical success rate was 96% and the clinical success rate was 65,8%. The rebleeding and 30-day mortality rate were 30,7% and 22,4% respectively. A higher international normalized ratio (INR) was a statistically significant risk factor for 30-day mortality (OR, 7.15; 95% CI, 1.67-30.70; p = 0.008). The mean overall survival was 3.76 years (1.16---5.09; 95% CI); a lower Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and a lower Rockall score were significantly associated with a longer overall survival (HR, 1.24; 95% CI, 1.14-1.35; p = 0.0001; HR, 1.32; 95% CI, 1.10-1.59; p = 0.003) respectively. Early rebleeding was significantly associated with a lower overall survival (HR, 2.72; 95% CI, 1.57-4.71; p = 0.0004). CONCLUSION A higher INR was a significant risk factor with a higher 30-day mortality. A lower CCI, a lower Rockall score and the absence of early rebleeding were significantly associated with a longer overall survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Charlotte Vanhoenacker
- Department of Radiology, University Hospitals KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Eva Hufkens
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospitals KU Leuven,Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Annouschka Laenen
- Department of Public Health and Primary Care, Leuven Biostatistics and Statistical Bioinformatics Centre, Kapucijnenvoer 35, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Lawrence Bonne
- Department of Radiology, University Hospitals KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Eveline Claus
- Department of Radiology, University Hospitals KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Jo Peluso
- Department of Radiology, University Hospitals KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Ingrid Demedts
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospitals KU Leuven,Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Wim Laleman
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University Hospitals KU Leuven,Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Alexander Wilmer
- Department of General Internal Medicine, University Hospitals KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
| | - Geert Maleux
- Department of Radiology, University Hospitals KU Leuven, Herestraat 49, 3000 Leuven, Belgium.
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13
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Liu Z, Zhang L, Li G, Bai WH, Wang PX, Jiang GJ, Zhang JX, Zhan LY, Cheng L, Dong WG. A Nomogram Model for Prediction of Mortality Risk of Patients with Dangerous Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding: A Two-center Retrospective Study. Curr Med Sci 2023; 43:723-732. [PMID: 37326886 DOI: 10.1007/s11596-023-2748-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2022] [Accepted: 12/01/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE This study aimed to establish a nomogram model to predict the mortality risk of patients with dangerous upper gastrointestinal bleeding (DUGIB), and identify high-risk patients who require emergent therapy. METHODS From January 2020 to April 2022, the clinical data of 256 DUGIB patients who received treatments in the intensive care unit (ICU) were retrospectively collected from Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University (n=179) and the Eastern Campus of Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University (n=77). The 179 patients were treated as the training cohort, and 77 patients as the validation cohort. Logistic regression analysis was used to calculate the independent risk factors, and R packages were used to construct the nomogram model. The prediction accuracy and identification ability were evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, C index and calibration curve. The nomogram model was also simultaneously externally validated. Decision curve analysis (DCA) was then used to demonstrate the clinical value of the model. RESULTS Logistic regression analysis showed that hematemesis, urea nitrogen level, emergency endoscopy, AIMS65, Glasgow Blatchford score and Rockall score were all independent risk factors for DUGIB. The ROC curve analysis indicated the area under curve (AUC) of the training cohort was 0.980 (95%CI: 0.962-0.997), while the AUC of the validation cohort was 0.790 (95%CI:0.685-0.895). The calibration curves were tested for Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness of fit for both training and validation cohorts (P=0.778, P=0.516). CONCLUSION The developed nomogram is an effective tool for risk stratification, early identification and intervention for DUGIB patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhou Liu
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Liang Zhang
- Department of Radiology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Guang Li
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Wen-Hui Bai
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Eastern Campus, Wuhan, 430200, China
| | - Pei-Xue Wang
- Department of Gastroenterology, The First People's Hospital of Jingzhou, Jingzhou, 434000, China
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Gui-Jun Jiang
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Ji-Xiang Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Li-Ying Zhan
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.
| | - Li Cheng
- Department of Intensive Care Unit, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Eastern Campus, Wuhan, 430200, China.
| | - Wei-Guo Dong
- Department of Gastroenterology, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.
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Morarasu BC, Sorodoc V, Haisan A, Morarasu S, Bologa C, Haliga RE, Lionte C, Marciuc EA, Elsiddig M, Cimpoesu D, Dimofte GM, Sorodoc L. Age, blood tests and comorbidities and AIMS65 risk scores outperform Glasgow-Blatchford and pre-endoscopic Rockall score in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding. World J Clin Cases 2023; 11:4513-4530. [PMID: 37469720 PMCID: PMC10353516 DOI: 10.12998/wjcc.v11.i19.4513] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2023] [Revised: 05/14/2023] [Accepted: 05/30/2023] [Indexed: 06/30/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Upper gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding is a life-threatening condition with high mortality rates.
AIM To compare the performance of pre-endoscopic risk scores in predicting the following primary outcomes: In-hospital mortality, intervention (endoscopic or surgical) and length of admission (≥ 7 d).
METHODS We performed a retrospective analysis of 363 patients presenting with upper GI bleeding from December 2020 to January 2021. We calculated and compared the area under the receiver operating characteristics curves (AUROCs) of Glasgow-Blatchford score (GBS), pre-endoscopic Rockall score (PERS), albumin, international normalized ratio, altered mental status, systolic blood pressure, age older than 65 (AIMS65) and age, blood tests and comorbidities (ABC), including their optimal cut-off in variceal and non-variceal upper GI bleeding cohorts. We subsequently analyzed through a logistic binary regression model, if addition of lactate increased the score performance.
RESULTS All scores had discriminative ability in predicting in-hospital mortality irrespective of study group. AIMS65 score had the best performance in the variceal bleeding group (AUROC = 0.772; P < 0.001), and ABC score (AUROC = 0.775; P < 0.001) in the non-variceal bleeding group. However, ABC score, at a cut-off value of 5.5, was the best predictor (AUROC = 0.770, P = 0.001) of in-hospital mortality in both populations. PERS score was a good predictor for endoscopic treatment (AUC = 0.604; P = 0.046) in the variceal population, while GBS score, (AUROC = 0.722; P = 0.024), outperformed the other scores in predicting surgical intervention. Addition of lactate to AIMS65 score, increases by 5-fold the probability of in-hospital mortality (P < 0.05) and by 12-fold if added to GBS score (P < 0.003). No score proved to be a good predictor for length of admission.
CONCLUSION ABC score is the most accurate in predicting in-hospital mortality in both mixed and non-variceal bleeding population. PERS and GBS should be used to determine need for endoscopic and surgical intervention, respectively. Lactate can be used as an additional tool to risk scores for predicting in-hospital mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bianca Codrina Morarasu
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Victorita Sorodoc
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Anca Haisan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Stefan Morarasu
- Second Department of Surgical Oncology, Regional Institute of Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Cristina Bologa
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Raluca Ecaterina Haliga
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Catalina Lionte
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Emilia Adriana Marciuc
- Department of Radiology, Emergency Hospital “Prof. Dr. N. Oblu”, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700309, Romania
| | - Mohammed Elsiddig
- Department of Gatroenterology, Beaumont Hospital, Dublin D09V2N0, Ireland
| | - Diana Cimpoesu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Gabriel Mihail Dimofte
- Second Department of Surgical Oncology, Regional Institute of Oncology, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
| | - Laurentiu Sorodoc
- Department of Internal Medicine and Toxicology, Saint Spiridon University Regional Emergency Hospital, Faculty of Medicine, “Grigore T. Popa” University of Medicine and Pharmacy, Iasi 700111, Romania
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Cazacu SM, Alexandru DO, Statie RC, Iordache S, Ungureanu BS, Iovănescu VF, Popa P, Sacerdoțianu VM, Neagoe CD, Florescu MM. The Accuracy of Pre-Endoscopic Scores for Mortality Prediction in Patients with Upper GI Bleeding and No Endoscopy Performed. Diagnostics (Basel) 2023; 13:diagnostics13061188. [PMID: 36980496 PMCID: PMC10047350 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics13061188] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/28/2022] [Revised: 03/15/2023] [Accepted: 03/17/2023] [Indexed: 03/30/2023] Open
Abstract
(1) Background: The assessment of mortality and rebleeding rate in upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is essential, and several prognostic scores have been proposed. Some patients with UGIB did not undergo endoscopy, either because they refused the procedure, suffered from alcohol withdrawal symptoms or altered general status, or because the bleeding was severe enough to cause death before the endoscopy. The mortality risk in the subgroup of patients without endoscopy is poorly evaluated in the literature. (2) Methods: The purpose of the study was to identify the most useful scores for the assessment of in-hospital mortality in patients with UGIB with no endoscopy performed and no known etiology. A total of 198 patients with UGIB and no endoscopy performed were admitted between January 2017 and December 2021 and the accuracy of 12 prognostic scores and the Charlson comorbidity index for in-hospital mortality prediction were analyzed, as well as Child-Pugh Turcotte (CPT) and Meld scores in patients with cirrhosis. (3) Results: The mortality rate was 37.9%, higher than in variceal (21.9%, p < 0.0001) and non-variceal bleeding (7.4%, p < 0.0001). The most accurate scores by AUC were the International Bleeding score (INBS, 0.844), Glasgow Blatchford (0.783), MAP score (0.78), Iino (0.766), AIM65 and modified N-score (0.745 each), modified Glasgow-Blatchford (0.73), H3B2 and N-score (0.701); Rockall, Baylor, and T-score had an AUC below 0.7. MELD score was superior to CPT in patients with cirrhosis (AUC 0.811 versus 0.670). (4) Conclusions: The mortality rate in UGIB with no endoscopy was higher than in both variceal and non-variceal bleeding and was higher in the pandemic period but with no statistical significance (45.3% versus 32.14%, p = 0.0586), mainly because of positive cases. Only one case of rebleeding was noted; the hospitalization period was significantly shorter. The most accurate score was International Bleeding Score; the MELD score had a higher but moderate accuracy compared with CPT in patients with cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sergiu Marian Cazacu
- Research Center of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Gastroenterology Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
| | - Dragoș Ovidiu Alexandru
- Biostatistics Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
| | | | - Sevastița Iordache
- Research Center of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Gastroenterology Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
| | - Bogdan Silviu Ungureanu
- Research Center of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Gastroenterology Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
| | - Vlad Florin Iovănescu
- Research Center of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Gastroenterology Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
| | - Petrică Popa
- Research Center of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Gastroenterology Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
| | - Victor Mihai Sacerdoțianu
- Research Center of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Gastroenterology Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
| | - Carmen Daniela Neagoe
- Research Center of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Gastroenterology Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
| | - Mirela Marinela Florescu
- Pathology Department, University of Medicine and Pharmacy Craiova, Petru Rares Street No 2-4, 200349 Craiova, Dolj County, Romania
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16
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International Normalized Ratio-to-Albumin Ratio as a Novel Marker of Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding Severity. Gastroenterol Res Pract 2022; 2022:1172540. [PMID: 36275426 PMCID: PMC9584709 DOI: 10.1155/2022/1172540] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/19/2022] [Revised: 08/15/2022] [Accepted: 09/29/2022] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a potentially life-threatening gastrointestinal emergency, and effective management depends on early risk stratification. The Glasgow–Blatchford and Rockall scores are commonly used prognostic measures for UGIB, although these scoring systems are relatively difficult to apply in early emergency settings. AIMS65 with five items, albumin, international normalized ratio, mental status, systolic blood pressure, and age (>65 years), showed efficacy in predicting long-term hospitalization and mortality. This study aimed to investigate the usefulness of the prothrombin time-international normalized ratio-to-albumin ratio (PTAR) in the emergency room for early UGIB risk stratification. Methods We retrospectively examined patients who visited a tertiary academic hospital's emergency department (ED) with UGIB as the chief presentation between January 2019 and December 2020. The cutoff values and diagnostic accuracies of the PTAR, Glasgow–Blatchford score, AIMS65 score, pre-endoscopy, and complete Rockall score were analyzed, and the performance of the PTAR was compared with that of other risk stratification methods. In total, 519 patients were enrolled: 163 patients were admitted in the intensive care unit (ICU) and 35 died during admission. Multiple logistic regression analyses confirmed the association of the PTAR with ICU admission and mortality. The adjusted odd ratio (aOR) of the PTAR for ICU admission care was 8.376 (2.722–25.774), and the aOR of the PTAR for mortality was 27.846 (8.701–89.116). Conclusions The PTAR measured in the ED is an independent factor related to ICU admission and mortality in patients with UGIB. Using ED blood laboratory results, which are reported relatively quickly and are easy to acquire and calculate, the PTAR can be used as a risk stratification marker in the early emergency setting.
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17
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Jiang GJ, Gao RK, Wang M, Xie TX, Zhan LY, Wei J, Sun SN, Ji PY, Tan DY, Lyu JJ. A Nomogram Model for Predicting Type-2 Myocardial Infarction Induced by Acute Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. Curr Med Sci 2022; 42:317-326. [PMID: 35290603 DOI: 10.1007/s11596-022-2543-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/19/2021] [Accepted: 11/10/2021] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To examine the independent risk factors of type-2 myocardial infarction (T2MI) elicited by acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (AUGIB), and to establish a nomogram model for the prediction of AUGIB-induced T2MI. METHODS A nomogram model was established on the basis of a retrospective study that involved 533 patients who suffered from AUGIB in the Department of Critical Care Medicine (CCM) or Emergency Intensive Care Unit (EICU) of Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, China, from January 2017 to December 2020. The predictive accuracy and discriminative power of the nomogram were initially evaluated by internal validation, which involved drawing the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, calculating the area under the curve (AUC), plotting the calibration curve derived from 1000 resampled bootstrap data sets, and computing the root mean square error (RMSE). The predictive ability of the nomogram was further validated through the prospective and multicenter study conducted by the investigators, which enrolled 240 AUGIB patients [including 88 cases from Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, 73 cases from Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), and 79 cases from Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital)], who were admitted to the Department of CCM or EICU, from February 2021 to July 2021. RESULTS Among the 533 patients in the training cohort, 78 (14.6%) patients were assigned to the T2MI group and 455 (85.4%) patients were assigned to the non-T2MI group. The multivariate analysis revealed that age >65, hemorrhagic shock, cerebral stroke, heart failure, chronic kidney disease, increased blood urea nitrogen, decreased hematocrit, and elevated D-Dimer were independent risk factors for AUGIB-induced T2MI. All these factors were incorporated into the nomogram model. The AUC for the nomogram for predicting T2MI was 0.829 (95% CI, 0.783-0.875) in the internal validation cohort and 0.848 (95% CI, 0.794-0.902) in the external validation cohort. The calibration curve for the risk of T2MI exhibited good consistency between the prediction by the nomogram and the actual clinical observation in both the internal validation (RMSE=0.016) and external validation (RMSE=0.020). CONCLUSION The nomogram was proven to be a useful tool for the risk stratification of T2MI in AUGIB patients, and is helpful for the early identification of AUGIB patients who are prone to T2MI for early intervention, especially in emergency departments and intensive care units.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gui-Jun Jiang
- Emergency Department, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.,Department of Critical Care Medicine, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Ru-Kai Gao
- Wuhan Britain-China School, Wuhan, 430022, China
| | - Min Wang
- Medical College of Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430065, China
| | - Tu-Xiu Xie
- Department of General Practice, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Li-Ying Zhan
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Jie Wei
- Emergency Department, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China
| | - Sheng-Nan Sun
- Emergency Department, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University (Qingdao), Qingdao, 266000, China
| | - Pei-Yu Ji
- Emergency Department, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Yangzhou, 225001, China
| | - Ding-Yu Tan
- Emergency Department, Clinical Medical College of Yangzhou University, Northern Jiangsu People's Hospital, Yangzhou, 225001, China
| | - Jing-Jun Lyu
- Emergency Department, Renmin Hospital of Wuhan University, Wuhan, 430060, China.
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18
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Ray-Offor E, Opusunju K. Re-bleed and Mortality Amongst Patients Following Initial Endoscopy for Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding: A Single-Center Nigeria Study. Cureus 2021; 13:e12939. [PMID: 33654618 PMCID: PMC7909892 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.12939] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/05/2022] Open
Abstract
Background and aim Clinical and endoscopic parameters are predictive of patient outcome following acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding. The study aimed to investigate factors related to re-bleed and mortality following initial endoscopy among Nigerian patients with recent upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB). Methods This is a cohort study of patients undergoing endoscopy for recent-onset UGIB at a referral endoscopy facility in Port Harcourt, Rivers State, Nigeria, from April 2014 to November 2020. Patients' demographic and clinical data, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status, amount of blood transfusion, endoscopy results, and Rockall scores were retrieved from patients' charts. The re-bleed and mortality rates were noted on follow-up by telephone. Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS version 20 (IMB Inc., Armonk, USA). Results A total of 560 patients had flexible video oesophagogastroduodenoscopy during the study period, and 46 (8.2%) of these were included in the study. Their age ranged from 28 years to 84 years (mean 58.6 ± 15.8 years) with 32 (69.6%) males and 14 (30.4%) females. Peptic ulcer disease (PUD) and gastritis/gastric erosions were the leading endoscopic diagnoses in 24 (52.2%) and 12 (26.1%) patients, respectively. Multiple comorbidities (p=0.021) and higher ASA score (mean 3.0; 95% confidence interval CI: 2.47-3.53; p=0.021) are associated with re-bleed, which was recorded in seven (15.2%) patients. Four (8.7%) cases of mortality were recorded in patients with a mean full Rockall score of 4.25 (95% CI: 1.52-6.97; p=0.021). Conclusion Re-bleed is more common in patients with multiple comorbidities, ASA score of three or more, and bleeding gastro-oesophageal varices at initial endoscopy. Mortality was significantly higher in patients with a full Rockall score of more than three.
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Affiliation(s)
- Emeka Ray-Offor
- Digestive Disease Unit, Oak Endoscopy Centre, Port Harcourt, NGA.,Department of Surgery, University of Port Harcourt Teaching Hospital, Port Harcourt, NGA
| | - Kalanne Opusunju
- Digestive Disease Unit, Oak Endoscopy Centre, Port Harcourt, NGA
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