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Guo H, Fang F, Lin L, Guo Z, Lai L, Shi Y, Chen T, Lai R, Ou Q, Fu Y. Novel prognostic scoring models for hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure: A comparison with classical models. Virulence 2025; 16:2500490. [PMID: 40376958 PMCID: PMC12087482 DOI: 10.1080/21505594.2025.2500490] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/23/2024] [Revised: 04/21/2025] [Accepted: 04/23/2025] [Indexed: 05/18/2025] Open
Abstract
Early diagnosis and accurate prognostic evaluation are important for guiding clinical treatment and reducing mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). The present study established novel prognostic scoring models to guide the clinical treatment of patients with HBV-ACLF. We performed a retrospective analysis of clinical data from two cohorts of patients diagnosed with HBV-ACLF. By comparing differences in baseline characteristics and clinical indicators between the survival (n = 102) and dead (n = 64) groups in the derivation cohort(n = 166), four laboratory indicators (age, INR, TBIL, and HBeAg status) and three clinical signs (extrahepatic infection, ascites, and hepatic encephalopathy) were identified as independent risk factors. Logistic regression and nomogram models were used to construct three novel predictive models. By comparing the death and survival groups, we found that the three new models had higher predictions for AUROC (average of 0.856) than the three old models (average of 0.773). Model 1 had the strongest predictive power for the short-term survival rate of HBV-ACLF patients. Finally, we verified the predictive value of the new models for HBV-ACLF in a validation cohort (n = 42), and the Model 2 demonstrated good predictive accuracy for the 30-day survival rate of patients. The novel model based on seven predictors could accurately predict short-term mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF, which is promising for guiding clinical management and addressing the aetiological differences in Asian populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hongyan Guo
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- The School of Public Health, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Fengling Fang
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Lin Lin
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Zhaopei Guo
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Lu Lai
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Yue Shi
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Tianbin Chen
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Ruimin Lai
- Department of the Center of Liver Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Qishui Ou
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
| | - Ya Fu
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Fujian Key Laboratory of Laboratory Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Gene Diagnosis Research Center, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
- Department of Laboratory Medicine, National Regional Medical Center, Binhai Campus of the First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China
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Sharma Y, Fischbach C, Asrani SK. The liver allocation landscape: MELD 3.0 and continuous distribution. Curr Opin Organ Transplant 2025; 30:171-178. [PMID: 40172997 DOI: 10.1097/mot.0000000000001215] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/04/2025]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW This review highlights recent advancements in liver organ allocation, specifically the transition to MELD 3.0 and the potential introduction of continuous distribution. These developments are timely, as they address the increasing need for a more efficient, equitable, and personalized system for prioritizing liver transplant candidates. RECENT FINDINGS The review covers two key innovations: MELD 3.0: A refined version of the original MELD score, designed to improve the prioritization process by incorporating additional factors that offer a more accurate and urgent measure of transplant need. This approach aims to better assess the severity of liver disease and the need for transplantation. Continuous distribution: A dynamic approach that shifts away from the static allocation model. It integrates multiple donor and recipient variables - such as geographic location, organ quality, and recipient condition - into a continuous, flexible allocation process. This framework seeks to make more nuanced decisions based on a broader set of factors that reflect transplant suitability. SUMMARY These innovations aim to enhance fairness and patient outcomes by refining candidate prioritization and reducing disparities in access to transplants. However, implementing these systems presents challenges, such as technical complexities and regional differences in access. Ongoing evaluation is necessary to ensure their effectiveness and equitable implementation across diverse patient populations.
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Lim J, Kim JH, Lee A, Han JW, Lee SK, Yang H, Nam H, Lee HL, Song DS, Lee SW, Kim HY, Kwon JH, Kim CW, Chang UI, Nam SW, Kim SH, Sung PS, Jang JW, Bae SH, Choi JY, Yoon SK, Song MJ. Predicting Mortality and Cirrhosis-Related Complications with MELD3.0: A Multicenter Cohort Analysis. Gut Liver 2025; 19:427-437. [PMID: 40211907 PMCID: PMC12070204 DOI: 10.5009/gnl240584] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2024] [Revised: 12/31/2024] [Accepted: 01/07/2025] [Indexed: 05/14/2025] Open
Abstract
Background /Aims: This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) 3.0 for predicting mortality and liver-related complications compared with the Child-Pugh classification, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, the MELD, and the MELD sodium (MELDNa) score. Methods We evaluated a multicenter retrospective cohort of incorporated patients with cirrhosis between 2013 and 2019. We conducted comparisons of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the MELD3.0 and other models for predicting 3-month mortality. Additionally, we assessed the risk of cirrhosis-related complications according to the MELD3.0 score. Results A total of 3,314 patients were included. The mean age was 55.9±11.3 years, and 70.2% of the patients were male. Within the initial 3 months, 220 patients (6.6%) died, and the MELD3.0 had the best predictive performance among the tested models, with an AUROC of 0.851, outperforming the Child-Pugh classification, ALBI grade, MELD, and MELDNa. A high MELD3.0 score was associated with an increased risk of mortality. Compared with that of the group with a MELD3.0 score <10 points, the adjusted hazard ratio of the group with a score of 10-20 points was 2.176, and that for the group with a score of ≥20 points was 4.892. Each 1-point increase in the MELD3.0 score increased the risk of cirrhosis-related complications by 1.033-fold. The risk of hepatorenal syndrome showed the highest increase, with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.149, followed by hepatic encephalopathy and ascites. Conclusions The MELD3.0 demonstrated robust prognostic performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis. Moreover, the MELD3.0 score was linked to cirrhosis-related complications, particularly those involving kidney function, such as hepatorenal syndrome and ascites.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jihye Lim
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yeouido St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Ji Hoon Kim
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Uijeongbu St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Ahlim Lee
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Ji Won Han
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Soon Kyu Lee
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hyun Yang
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Eunpyeong St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Heechul Nam
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Uijeongbu St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hae Lim Lee
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Bucheon St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Do Seon Song
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Sung Won Lee
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Bucheon St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Hee Yeon Kim
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Bucheon St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jung Hyun Kwon
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Chang Wook Kim
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Uijeongbu St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - U Im Chang
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, St. Vincent’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Soon Woo Nam
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Incheon St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Seok-Hwan Kim
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Daejeon St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Pil Soo Sung
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jeong Won Jang
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Si Hyun Bae
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Eunpyeong St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Jong Young Choi
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Seung Kew Yoon
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Seoul St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
| | - Myeong Jun Song
- The Catholic University Liver Research Center, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
- Department of Internal Medicine, Daejeon St. Mary’s Hospital, College of Medicine, The Catholic University of Korea, Seoul, Korea
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Sun CY, Wang YN, Zhan HF, Sun Y, Guan YP, Lin Y, Cai LY, Zeng X. Geriatric Nutritional Risk Index as a Predictor of Overall Survival in Cirrhosis: A Retrospective Cohort Study. Curr Med Sci 2025:10.1007/s11596-025-00056-w. [PMID: 40332738 DOI: 10.1007/s11596-025-00056-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2024] [Revised: 04/12/2025] [Accepted: 04/16/2025] [Indexed: 05/08/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) is widely used for nutritional assessment. Poor nutritional status is associated with complications and poor survival in cirrhotic patients. We aimed to investigate the value of the GNRI in predicting outcomes in cirrhotic patients. METHODS This retrospective study included 420 cirrhotic patients from three centers between 2013 and 2017. Patients were divided into the high GNRI group (≥ 92) and low GNRI group (< 92). Overall survival (OS) in the two groups was evaluated via the Kaplan‒Meier method. Cox proportional hazards model was used to estimate the value of the GNRI in predicting outcomes. Restricted cubic spline model was used to intuitively display the dose‒response associations between the GNRI and OS. A nomogram was constructed to predict OS. RESULTS During the 2-year follow-up period, 58 (13.81%) patients died, and 262 (62.38%) patients experienced episodes of complications. Compared with patients in the low GNRI group, those in the high GNRI group had lower mortality rates (18.73% vs. 5.23%, P < 0.001). The GNRI was an independent predictor of OS (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.958, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.929-0.988, P = 0.007). The GNRI was associated with the cumulative incidence of ascites (HR = 0. 954, 95% CI 0.940-0.969, P < 0.001), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (HR = 0.928, 95% CI 0.891-0.966, P < 0.001), hepatic encephalopathy (HE; HR = 0.944, 95% CI 0.920-0.968, P < 0.001), and hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) (HR = 0.916, 95% CI 0.861-0.974, P = 0.005). Furthermore, 6 independent factors were included to construct the nomogram for OS prediction, including GNRI, age, total bilirubin, serum sodium, history of HE and HRS. The C statistics of our model were 0.83 (95% CI 0.75-0.90) and 0.80 (95% CI 0.73-0.86) at 1 and 2 years, respectively. Patients whose GNRI score decreased within 3 and 6 months had poorer outcomes (P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS The lower GNRI score was associated with the higher cumulative incidence of complications and poorer OS of cirrhotic patients. The GNRI could be a helpful tool for assessing nutritional status and prognosis of these patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chun-Yan Sun
- Department of Gastroenterology, Shanghai East Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200120, China
| | - Yu-Ning Wang
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, 230032, China
| | - Hong-Fei Zhan
- Department of Gastroenterology, Shanghai East Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200120, China
| | - Yan Sun
- Department of Gastroenterology, Shanghai East Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200120, China
| | - Ya-Ping Guan
- Department of Gastroenterology, Shanghai East Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200120, China
| | - Yong Lin
- Department of Gastroenterology, Changzheng Hospital, Navy Military Medical University, Shanghai, 200003, China
| | - Ling-Yan Cai
- Department of Gastroenterology, Shanghai East Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200120, China
| | - Xin Zeng
- Department of Gastroenterology, Shanghai East Hospital, Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200120, China.
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Ahn JC, Rattan P, Starlinger P, Juanola A, Moreta MJ, Colmenero J, Aqel B, Keaveny AP, Mullan AF, Liu K, Attia ZI, Allen AM, Friedman PA, Shah VH, Noseworthy PA, Heimbach JK, Kamath PS, Gines P, Simonetto DA. AI-Cirrhosis-ECG (ACE) score for predicting decompensation and liver outcomes. JHEP Rep 2025; 7:101356. [PMID: 40276480 PMCID: PMC12018547 DOI: 10.1016/j.jhepr.2025.101356] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2024] [Revised: 01/30/2025] [Accepted: 02/07/2025] [Indexed: 04/26/2025] Open
Abstract
Background & Aims Accurate prediction of disease severity and prognosis are challenging in patients with cirrhosis. We evaluated whether the deep learning-based AI-Cirrhosis-ECG (ACE) score could detect hepatic decompensation and predict clinical outcomes in cirrhosis. Methods We analyzed 2,166 ECGs from 472 patients in a retrospective Mayo Clinic cohort, 420 patients in a prospective Mayo transplant cohort, and 341 patients in an external validation cohort from Hospital Clínic de Barcelona. The ACE score's performance was assessed using receiver-operating characteristic analysis for decompensation detection and competing risks Cox regression for outcome prediction. Results The ACE score showed high accuracy in detecting hepatic decompensation (area under the curve 0.933, 95% CI: 0.923-0.942) with 88.0% sensitivity and 84.3% specificity at an optimal threshold of 0.25. In multivariable analysis, each 0.1-point increase in ACE score was independently associated with increased risk of liver-related death (hazard ratio [HR] 1.44, 95% CI 1.32-1.58, p <0.001). Adding ACE to model for end-stage liver disease-sodium significantly improved prediction of adverse outcomes across all cohorts (c-statistics: retrospective cohort 0.903 vs. 0.844; prospective cohort 0.779 vs. 0.735; external validation 0.744 vs. 0.732; all p <0.001). Conclusions The ACE score accurately identifies hepatic decompensation and independently predicts liver-related outcomes in cirrhosis. This non-invasive tool enhances current prognostic models and may improve risk stratification in cirrhosis management. Impact and implications This study demonstrates the potential of artificial intelligence to enhance prognostication in liver disease, addressing the critical need for improved risk stratification in cirrhosis management. The AI-Cirrhosis-ECG (ACE) score, derived from widely available ECGs, shows promise as a non-invasive tool for detecting hepatic decompensation and predicting liver-related outcomes, which could significantly impact clinical decision-making and resource allocation in hepatology. These findings are particularly important for hepatologists, transplant surgeons, and patients with cirrhosis, as they offer a novel approach to complement existing prognostic models such as model for end-stage liver disease-sodium. In practical terms, the ACE score could be integrated into routine clinical assessments to provide more accurate risk predictions, potentially improving the timing of interventions, optimizing transplant listing decisions, and ultimately enhancing patient outcomes. However, further validation in diverse populations and integration with other established predictors is necessary before widespread clinical implementation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Joseph C. Ahn
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MA, USA
| | - Puru Rattan
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MA, USA
| | - Patrick Starlinger
- Department of Surgery, Division of Hepatobiliary and Pancreas Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MA, USA
| | - Adrià Juanola
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clínic, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
- Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi-Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
- Centro de Investigaciones Biomédicas en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBEREHD), Madrid, Spain
| | - Maria José Moreta
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clínic, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
- Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi-Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
- Centro de Investigaciones Biomédicas en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBEREHD), Madrid, Spain
| | - Jordi Colmenero
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clínic, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
- Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi-Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
- Centro de Investigaciones Biomédicas en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBEREHD), Madrid, Spain
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
| | - Bashar Aqel
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Phoenix, AZ, USA
| | | | - Aidan F. Mullan
- Division of Biomedical Statistics and Informatics, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Kan Liu
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Zachi I. Attia
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Alina M. Allen
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MA, USA
| | - Paul A. Friedman
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Vijay H. Shah
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MA, USA
| | | | - Julie K. Heimbach
- Department of Surgery, Division of Transplantation Surgery, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA
| | - Patrick S. Kamath
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MA, USA
| | - Pere Gines
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clínic, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
- Institut d’Investigacions Biomèdiques August Pi-Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
- Centro de Investigaciones Biomédicas en Red de Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBEREHD), Madrid, Spain
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Barcelona, Catalonia, Spain
| | - Douglas A. Simonetto
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MA, USA
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Pinter M, Fulgenzi CAM, Pinato DJ, Scheiner B. Systemic treatment in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and advanced liver dysfunction. Gut 2025:gutjnl-2025-334928. [PMID: 40301119 DOI: 10.1136/gutjnl-2025-334928] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/27/2025] [Accepted: 04/12/2025] [Indexed: 05/01/2025]
Abstract
Systemic therapy represents the standard of care treatment for patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Given the increased risk of death from cirrhosis-related complications in patients with advanced liver dysfunction, pivotal phase III trials traditionally limited inclusion to patients with Child-Pugh class A, where death is more likely to be attributed to HCC progression. Therefore, Western guidelines recommend the use of systemic therapies primarily in patients with preserved liver function. However, patients with HCC and Child-Pugh class B are commonly encountered in clinical practice, but due to limited prospective evidence, there is no clear guidance on their optimal management.In this recent advances article, we discuss how the clinical course of cirrhosis can affect eligibility to treatment in the modern era of systemic therapy for HCC, elaborate on strategies to improve liver function in HCC patients by targeting cirrhosis-related and tumour-related factors and summarise the current literature on systemic therapy in HCC patients with Child-Pugh class B. Based on this information, we finally propose a clinical algorithm on how to systematically approach patients with HCC and advanced liver dysfunction in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Matthias Pinter
- Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
| | - Claudia A M Fulgenzi
- Department of Surgery & Cancer, Imperial College London, Hammersmith Hospital, London, UK
| | - David J Pinato
- Department of Surgery & Cancer, Imperial College London, Hammersmith Hospital, London, UK
- Department of Translational Medicine, Division of Oncology, University of Piemonte Orientale, Novara, Italy
| | - Bernhard Scheiner
- Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine III, Medical University of Vienna, Vienna, Austria
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7
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Gao X, Li C, Wang Y, Cu Y, Zheng Y, Dai H, Yuan X, Luo J, Zhan C. Association of albumin-bilirubin grade with short- and long-term mortality in patients with heart failure: a cohort study using restricted cubic splines and propensity score matching. BMC Cardiovasc Disord 2025; 25:307. [PMID: 40269673 PMCID: PMC12016267 DOI: 10.1186/s12872-025-04760-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2025] [Accepted: 04/11/2025] [Indexed: 04/25/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Heart failure (HF) is a chronic progressive syndrome caused by a variety of cardiovascular diseases and is associated with high morbidity, mortality, and healthcare burden. Forecasting the prognosis of HF patients at an early stage is important. Therefore, our objective was to explore the relationship between HF patients' prognosis and the albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade. METHODS Data for the study were obtained from the MIMIC database. Patients with ALBI grade 1 were matched to patients with ALBI grades 2 and 3 using propensity score matching (PSM). Post-matching analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards models, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, restricted cubic splines (RCS), and subgroup analyses. RESULTS RCS analyses revealed a nonlinear relationship between ALBI grade and 30-, 90-, and 360-day mortality in patients with HF, with a threshold value identified at -1.92. When ALBI scores were below - 1.92, the risk of mortality in HF patients remained relatively stable. In contrast, as ALBI scores approached and exceeded - 1.92, the mortality risk increased rapidly. Before PSM, both ALBI grades 2 and 3 were independent predictors of mortality in patients with HF; however, after PSM, ALBI grade 2 was not statistically associated with patient mortality. This result was supported by Kaplan-Meier (K-M) analysis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaopo Gao
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Cheng Li
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Yurou Wang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Yun Cu
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Yingfang Zheng
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Hongkai Dai
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Xinrun Yuan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Jinlong Luo
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China
| | - Chengye Zhan
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
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McPherson S, Abbas N, Allison MED, Backhouse D, Boothman H, Cooksley T, Corless L, Crame T, Cross TJS, Henry J, Hogan B, Mansour D, McGinty G, McKinnon G, Patel J, Tavabie OD, Williams F, Hollywood C. Decompensated cirrhosis: an update of the BSG/BASL admission care bundle. Frontline Gastroenterol 2025:flgastro-2025-103074. [DOI: 10.1136/flgastro-2025-103074] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/03/2025] Open
Abstract
Acute decompensated cirrhosis (DC) and acute-on-chronic liver failure are common reasons for hospital admission that have a high in-hospital mortality rate (10%–20%). Patients require a detailed assessment for precipitating factors and management of complications such as infections, ascites, acute kidney injury and hepatic encephalopathy. Multiple reports have demonstrated unwarranted variability in the care of patients with DC. In 2014, the British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG)/British Association for the Study of the Liver (BASL) DC care bundle (DCCB) was introduced to provide a structured approach for the management of patients with DC in the first 24 hours. Usage of the DCCB has been shown to improve care of patients with DC. However, despite evidence indicating the beneficial impact of the DCCB, overall usage across the UK was only 11.4% in a national audit. Our aim was to update the DCCB to incorporate recent advances in care and improve its usability and develop a strategy to improve its usage nationally. The updated bundle was developed by a multidisciplinary group of specialists from BSG, BASL and the Society for Acute Medicine with the quality of evidence supporting the bundle recommendations assessed using the Grading of Recommendation Assessment Development and Evaluation tool. Proposed minimum standards for audit were also developed. Finally, a strategy to promote usage of the bundle including education/training at a national and local level, improving accessibility for the bundle, and promotion of frameworks for use at an institutional level to improve and monitor utilisation of DCCB.
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Bektas E, Yilmaz A, Kikili CI, Nuriyev K, Istemihan Z, Senkal IV, Imanov Z, Cavus B, Cifcibasi Ormeci A, Akyuz F, Demir K, Besisik SF, Kaymakoglu S. Virological and Biochemical Effects of Tenofovir Alafenamide in Different Patient Groups With Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection in Real-World Cohort. Int J Hepatol 2025; 2025:9632839. [PMID: 40265082 PMCID: PMC12014250 DOI: 10.1155/ijh/9632839] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/24/2024] [Accepted: 03/26/2025] [Indexed: 04/24/2025] Open
Abstract
Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is an important health concern worldwide. HBV infection can lead to acute hepatitis, cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver failure, and death. Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) form the core of the HBV treatment. The safety and efficacy of NAs in long-term follow-up are still critical issues. We enrolled 225 consecutive patients with at least 12 months of longitudinal follow-up using tenofovir alafenamide (TAF), including 39 antiviral naïve and 186 antiviral experienced patients. In the treatment-experienced group, the main reasons for switching from other NAs to TAF were renal dysfunction and osteoporosis. Renal outcome, lipid profile, virological response, and ALT normalization under the TAF treatment were evaluated. Age > 60 years, liver transplant recipients, and patients with decompensated cirrhosis were evaluated separately, as well as the total cohort. Phosphorus levels increased especially in hypophosphatemic individuals, eGFR levels also increased slightly but statistically significantly, and the remarkable improvement in eGFR stages was observed in the eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 group. A minimal increase in LDL-c levels occurred after TAF treatment, which did not reach statistical significance. Total cholesterol and HDL-c levels increased significantly, while triglyceride levels remained unchanged. In the total cohort, HBV-DNA was strongly suppressed in either treatment-naïve or experienced patients. ALT and AST levels decreased with the TAF treatment, but ALT normalization rate did not change significantly. No serious adverse events associated with TAF occurred, and discontinuation was not required in the total cohort. Our findings support that TAF treatment is well-tolerated and effective in patients with chronic HBV infection.
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Affiliation(s)
- Erdem Bektas
- Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Aysenur Yilmaz
- Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Cevat Ilteris Kikili
- Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Kanan Nuriyev
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Zulal Istemihan
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Ibrahim Volkan Senkal
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Ziya Imanov
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Bilger Cavus
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Asli Cifcibasi Ormeci
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Filiz Akyuz
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Kadir Demir
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Selman Fatih Besisik
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Sabahattin Kaymakoglu
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul University, Istanbul, Turkey
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10
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Adamantou M, Glaros D, Michelis E, Papageorgiou A, Adamopoulou E, Alevizou A, Athanasiadis M, Pergantina E, Georgakopoulou VE, Lekakis V, Cholongitas E. The impact of immature granulocytes on the outcome of patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Eur J Clin Invest 2025:e70044. [PMID: 40217580 DOI: 10.1111/eci.70044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/20/2024] [Accepted: 03/27/2025] [Indexed: 04/14/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Higher immature granulocyte levels have a predictive role in several clinical conditions, although data concerning cirrhosis are scarce. Reduced muscle mass is a known factor affecting the outcome of these patients. The aim of the study was to evaluate the association of immature granulocytes with muscle mass and their role in predicting the outcome (survival, death or liver transplantation) in patients with stable decompensated cirrhosis. METHODS We prospectively studied 210 patients with decompensated cirrhosis awaiting liver transplantation. Their clinical and laboratory characteristics were recorded, including complete blood count with immature granulocyte count and immature granulocyte percentage. The severity of liver disease was evaluated by estimating the Child-Turcotte-Pugh and MELD-sodium scores. Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry was used to quantify the total and regional lean mass, while mid-arm muscle circumference was used for the evaluation of upper limb muscle mass. RESULTS Immature granulocyte percentage was proved to be the only factor independently associated with transplant-free survival (Hazard Ratio: 1.98, 95% confidence interval [1.03-3.81], p = .04). Stratification of our cohort based on the best discriminative cut-off values of immature granulocyte count and percentage revealed significant differences in the outcome based on Kaplan-Meier curves, while immature granulocyte count and percentage were significantly associated with parameters of body composition. CONCLUSIONS Higher immature granulocyte count and percentage have a significant prognostic role and are associated with worse outcome in patients with stable decompensated cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Magdalini Adamantou
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Dimitrios Glaros
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Evangelinos Michelis
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Apostolos Papageorgiou
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Eleni Adamopoulou
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Antonia Alevizou
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Menelaos Athanasiadis
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Eleni Pergantina
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Vasiliki E Georgakopoulou
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Vasileios Lekakis
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
| | - Evangelos Cholongitas
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School of National & Kapodistrian University, Athens, Greece
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11
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Wint T, Badar W, Kadkol SS, Gaba RC. Comparative Prognostic Utility of Updated Model for End-Stage Liver Disease Scores for Prediction of Early Mortality after Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunt Creation. J Vasc Interv Radiol 2025:S1051-0443(25)00282-9. [PMID: 40209845 DOI: 10.1016/j.jvir.2025.03.023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2024] [Revised: 03/27/2025] [Accepted: 03/29/2025] [Indexed: 04/12/2025] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE To compare the performance of updated model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) systems with that of the original MELD score for predicting early mortality after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation. MATERIALS AND METHODS In this single-center retrospective study, 6 MELD variations were quantified in 553 patients (n = 332; 60% male; mean age, 55 years) who underwent TIPS creation between 1998 and 2023. Scoring systems included original MELD, MELD-sodium (MELD-Na), MELD 3.0, MELD-lactate, MELD-glomerular filtration rate assessment in patients with liver disease-sodium (MELD-GRAIL-Na), and MELD-plus. Association of MELD schemes with 30-day, 6-week, and 90-day mortality was assessed using DeLong test, and the predictive capacity of MELD systems was evaluated by comparing area under receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curves. RESULTS TIPS were created for ascites (n = 263, 47%), variceal hemorrhage (n = 247, 45%), or other indications (n = 43, 8%). All MELD systems statistically associated with mortality at each time point (P < .001). Based on 30-day, 6-week, and 90-day AUROC curves, none of the updated MELD systems showed superior predictive capacity for early mortality compared with original MELD-MELD: 0.847, 0.841, and 0.818; MELD-Na : 0.847, 0.846, and 0.829; MELD 3.0: 0.848, 0.850, and 0.842; MELD-lactate: 0.915, 0.881, and 0.866; MELD-GRAIL-Na: 0.851, 0.847, and 0.831; and MELD-Plus: 0.843-0.898, 0.853-0.910, and 0.814-0.829, respectively (P > .05). Findings were principally confirmed on subset analyses stratified by sex, TIPS indication, TIPS urgency, stent type, and TIPS date. CONCLUSIONS Updated MELD systems have prognostic value for early mortality after TIPS creation. However, in this study, these newer schemes did not offer additional predictive power beyond the original MELD, which still effectively estimates early post-TIPS survival.
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Affiliation(s)
- Taryi Wint
- Department of Radiology, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Wali Badar
- Department of Radiology, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois. https://twitter.com/walsterIR
| | - Shrinidhi S Kadkol
- Department of Radiology, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Ron C Gaba
- Department of Radiology, University of Illinois at Chicago, Chicago, Illinois.
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Brandão ABDM, Bombassaro IZ, Coral GP, Soldera J, Kupski C. PERFORMANCE OF SIX PREDICTIVE MODELS OF DEATH OF PATIENTS HOSPITALIZED FOR DECOMPENSATED CIRRHOSIS: A MULTICENTER STUDY. ARQUIVOS DE GASTROENTEROLOGIA 2025; 62:e24065. [PMID: 40197882 PMCID: PMC12043195 DOI: 10.1590/s0004-2803.24612024-065] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/29/2024] [Accepted: 01/06/2025] [Indexed: 04/10/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The natural history of cirrhosis is characterized by an asymptomatic phase (compensated cirrhosis) followed by a rapidly progressive phase (decompensated cirrhosis). The ability to predict the survival of patients with cirrhosis is crucial for decision-making, some as complex as the indication for a liver transplant. Several models have been developed and validated. OBJECTIVE To analyze and compare the performance of models in predicting 90-day mortality among patients hospitalized with decompensated cirrhosis. METHODS A sample of 481 hospitalized patients, with a mean age of 59.04 years 73% male, diagnosed with decompensated cirrhosis and a mean Child-Pugh score of 9. The prognostic models were calculated based on tests performed on admission: MELD-Na, MELD-Plus, MELD 3.0, ReMELD, Refit MELD, and Refit MELD-Na. The accuracy of the models was assessed by calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve, and their respective 95% confidence intervals. Comparisons between the areas were conducted using the DeLong test. A comparison was conducted among all scores, with a primary focus on MELD 3.0 and MELD-Plus. These specific scores were the focal points of interest. RESULTS The scores presented AUROC curve values of 0.703-0.758, indicating a moderate capacity to discriminate between survivors and deceased patients during the considered period. The comparison between the models did not unequivocally establish the superiority of one model over the other. CONCLUSION The scores have a limited predictive ability for death within 90 days in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Our study is unable to establish the prognostic superiority of a specific scoring system. BACKGROUND • This retrospective, multicenter study evaluated the accuracy of six predictive models of death within 90 days in 461 patients hospitalized for decompensated cirrhosis. BACKGROUND • The scores presented an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.703-0.758, indicating a good ability to discriminate between survivors and deceased patients during the considered period. BACKGROUND • The comparison between the models did not unequivocally establish the superiority of one model over the other.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ajácio Bandeira de Mello Brandão
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre, Faculdade de Medicina, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Medicina: Hepatologia, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
| | - Isadora Zanotelli Bombassaro
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre, Faculdade de Medicina, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Medicina: Hepatologia, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
| | - Gabriela Perdomo Coral
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre, Faculdade de Medicina, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Medicina: Hepatologia, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
- Unidade de Gastroenterologia e Hepatologia, Irmandade da Santa Casa de Porto Alegre, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
| | - Jonathan Soldera
- Universidade Federal de Ciências da Saúde de Porto Alegre, Faculdade de Medicina, Programa de Pós-Graduação em Patologia, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
- Tutor, Acute Medicine and Gastroenterology, University of South Wales, Cardiff, United Kingdom
| | - Carlos Kupski
- Pontifícia Universidade Católica do Rio Grande do Sul, Faculdade de Medicina, Porto Alegre, RS, Brasil
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13
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Zhao X, Naghibzadeh M, Sun Y, Rahmani A, Lilly L, Selzner N, Tsien C, Jaeckel E, Vyas MP, Krishnan R, Hirschfield G, Bhat M. Machine Learning Prediction Model of Waitlist Outcomes in Patients with Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis. Transplant Direct 2025; 11:e1774. [PMID: 40166627 PMCID: PMC11957646 DOI: 10.1097/txd.0000000000001774] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2024] [Accepted: 01/01/2025] [Indexed: 04/02/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Liver transplantation is essential for many people with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). People with PSC are less likely to receive a deceased donor liver transplant compared with other causes of chronic liver disease. This disparity may stem from the inaccuracy of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) in predicting waitlist mortality or dropout for PSC. The broad applicability of MELD across many causes comes at the expense of accuracy in prediction for certain causes that involve unique comorbidities. We aimed to develop a model that could more accurately predict dynamic changes in waitlist outcomes among patients with PSC while including complex clinical variables. Methods We developed 3 machine learning architectures using data from 4666 patients with PSC in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR) and tested our models on our institutional data set of 144 patients at the University Health Network (UHN). We evaluated their time-dependent concordance index (C-index) for mortality prediction and compared it against MELD-sodium and MELD 3.0. Results Random survival forest (RSF), a decision tree-based survival model, outperformed MELD-sodium and MELD 3.0 in both the SRTR and the UHN test data set using the same bloodwork variables and readily available demographic data. It achieved a C-index of 0.868 (SD 0.020) and 0.771 (SD 0.085) on the SRTR and UHN test data, respectively. Training a separate RSF model using the UHN data with PSC-specific achieved a C-index of 0.91. In addition to high MELD score, increased white blood cells, time on the waiting list, platelet count, presence of Autoimmune hepatitis-PSC overlap, aspartate aminotransferase, female sex, age, history of stricture dilation, and extremes of body weight were the top-ranked features predictive of the outcomes. Conclusions Our RSF model offers more accurate waitlist outcome prediction in PSC. The significant performance improvement with the inclusion of PSC-specific variables highlights the importance of disease-specific variables for predicting trajectories of clinically distinct presentations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xun Zhao
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Maryam Naghibzadeh
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Yingji Sun
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Arya Rahmani
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Leslie Lilly
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Nazia Selzner
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Cynthia Tsien
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Elmar Jaeckel
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | | | - Rahul Krishnan
- Department of Computer Science, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Department of Laboratory Medicine and Pathobiology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Gideon Hirschfield
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Mamatha Bhat
- Ajmera Transplant Program, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
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14
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Grady J, Song M, Townsend W, Mahmud N, Tapper EB, Parikh ND. A systematic review of noninvasive laboratory indices and elastography to predict hepatic decompensation. Hepatol Commun 2025; 9:e0675. [PMID: 40131017 PMCID: PMC11936601 DOI: 10.1097/hc9.0000000000000675] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/25/2024] [Accepted: 02/04/2025] [Indexed: 03/26/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatic decompensation carries profound implications for patient quality of life and risk of mortality. We lack comparative data on how noninvasive tools perform in risk stratification for those with compensated cirrhosis. We performed a systematic review to assess the performance of laboratory and transient elastography-based models for predicting hepatic decompensation in patients with compensated cirrhosis. METHODS The following databases were searched by an informationist to identify relevant studies, including adult patients with compensated cirrhosis from inception to August 2023: Medline, Embase, Scopus, Web of Science, and ClinicalTrials.gov. Title and abstract screening followed by full-text review were performed by 2 independent reviewers, and data abstraction was completed using standardized forms. Studies of patients with decompensation at baseline (defined by ascites, variceal bleeding, and HE) or any primary hepatic malignancy were excluded. The primary outcome was hepatic decompensation, as defined above. Pooled HRs were calculated using the common-effect inverse-variance model. RESULTS Forty-four full-text studies met the inclusion criteria. Across 52,589 patients, the cumulative incidence of any decompensation was 17.9% over a follow-up time of 111,401 patient years. Pooled risk estimates for all-cause decompensation demonstrated that MELD (HR: 1.08; 95% CI: 1.06-1.10), albumin-bilirubin (HR: 2.13, 95% CI: 1.92-2.36), fibrosis-4 (HR: 1.04, 95% CI: 1.03-1.06), albumin-bilirubin-fibrosis-4 (HR: 1.25, 95% CI: 1.18-1.33), and liver stiffness by transient elastography (HR: 1.04; 95% CI: 1.04-1.05) predict decompensation. CONCLUSIONS Available blood and imaging-based biomarkers can risk-stratify patients for hepatic decompensation. Changes in albumin-bilirubin appear to have the highest discrimination in predicting decompensation events.
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Affiliation(s)
- John Grady
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Michael Song
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Whitney Townsend
- Department of Internal Medicine, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Nadim Mahmud
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Internal Medicine, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
- Department of Medicine, Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
- Leonard David Institute of Health Economics, University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Elliot B. Tapper
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
- Gastroenterology Section, Ann Arbor VA Healthcare System, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
| | - Neehar D. Parikh
- Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
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Curcio F, Amarelli C, Chiappetti R, Mattucci I, Flocco V, Rammal MI, Abete C, Mazzella F, Maiello C, Abete P, Cacciatore F. MELD score predicts outcomes in patients with advanced heart failure: A longitudinal evaluation. ESC Heart Fail 2025; 12:839-847. [PMID: 39644505 PMCID: PMC11911564 DOI: 10.1002/ehf2.15002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/03/2024] [Revised: 05/27/2024] [Accepted: 07/15/2024] [Indexed: 12/09/2024] Open
Abstract
AIMS Advanced heart failure (AHF) is characterized by recurrent episodes of haemodynamic instability and frequent hospitalizations, leading to a progressive decline in quality of life and high mortality rates. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the effect of the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and its variations in predicting adverse outcomes [death, urgent heart transplant, and left ventricular assist device (LVAD) implant] among patients with AHF to assess the clinical associations of the MELD score in this population and to compare the efficacy of this tool with other prognostic scores in AHF. METHODS AND RESULTS In this longitudinal prospective study, 162 patients with advanced heart failure (AHF) were enrolled; all patients included in the study were receiving the maximum tolerated medical therapy according to guidelines. The MELD score was measured at baseline and every 6 months during follow-up. All patients underwent echocardiographic assessment and cardiopulmonary testing, which included the evaluation of maximal oxygen uptake (VO2max) and the minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production (VE/VCO2) slope. The mean age of the study group was 57.7 ± 11.6 years. There were 26 deaths, 5 urgent transplants, and 1 LVAD implantation during a follow-up period of 31.4 ± 15.6 months. The mean New York Heart Association (NYHA) class was 2.8 ± 0.5, ejection fraction (EF) was 26.3 ± 6.5%, the mean VO2max was 11.7 ± 3.5 mL/kg/min. Multiple regression analysis revealed a positive correlation between the MELD score and NT-proBNP (β = 0.215; P = 0.041) and furosemide dosage (β = 0.187; P = 0.040). Conversely, a negative correlation was observed between the MELD score and TAPSE (β = -0.204; P = 0.047). Multivariate Cox regression on combined outcome shows a HR of 1.094 (95% CI 1.003-1.196) for unit increase in MELD considered as a continuous variable. The predictive role is independent by the effect of covariates considered in the analysis such as age, sex, NYHA class, EF, TAPSE, PASP, VO2max, NT-proBNP, MELD score worsening, and NT-proBNP increase. Changes in MELD score percentage, considered as a dichotomous variable (≤100% and >100%), were found to be predictors of mortality, urgent heart transplant and LVAD implant. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.887 for MELD score and composite outcome of death, urgent transplant, and need for LVAD. The predictive performance of MELD was even superior compared with MELD-Na, MELD-XI, MAGGIC risk score, and MECKI. CONCLUSIONS The MELD score and its longitudinal changes are effective predictors of adverse outcomes in AHF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Francesco Curcio
- Department of Translational Medical SciencesUniversity of Naples ‘Federico II’NaplesItaly
| | - Cristiano Amarelli
- Department of Cardiac Surgery and TransplantsMonaldi Hospital, Azienda dei ColliNaplesItaly
| | - Rosaria Chiappetti
- Department of Translational Medical SciencesUniversity of Naples ‘Federico II’NaplesItaly
| | - Irene Mattucci
- Department of Cardiac Surgery and TransplantsMonaldi Hospital, Azienda dei ColliNaplesItaly
| | - Veronica Flocco
- Department of Translational Medical SciencesUniversity of Naples ‘Federico II’NaplesItaly
| | - Mahmoud Issa Rammal
- Department of Translational Medical SciencesUniversity of Naples ‘Federico II’NaplesItaly
| | - Ciro Abete
- Department of Translational Medical SciencesUniversity of Naples ‘Federico II’NaplesItaly
| | - Francesca Mazzella
- Department of Translational Medical SciencesUniversity of Naples ‘Federico II’NaplesItaly
- Department of Cardiac Surgery and TransplantsMonaldi Hospital, Azienda dei ColliNaplesItaly
| | - Ciro Maiello
- Department of Cardiac Surgery and TransplantsMonaldi Hospital, Azienda dei ColliNaplesItaly
| | - Pasquale Abete
- Department of Translational Medical SciencesUniversity of Naples ‘Federico II’NaplesItaly
| | - Francesco Cacciatore
- Department of Translational Medical SciencesUniversity of Naples ‘Federico II’NaplesItaly
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Hu M, Luo J, Wu Y, Zhang J, Li P, Liang X, Xin J, Shi D, Yao H, Ma S, Wei T, Wang Q, Wu X, Kong Y, Zhou X, Chen J, Yang H, Hu W, Li B, Sun F, Ruan Q, Chen Y, Li J, Jiang J. Integrating prior decompensation into ACLF definition to enhance clinical management. Hepatol Int 2025:10.1007/s12072-025-10805-7. [PMID: 40164854 DOI: 10.1007/s12072-025-10805-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2024] [Accepted: 02/18/2025] [Indexed: 04/02/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a complicated syndrome associated with high short-term mortality and reversibility. Whether the prior decompensation should be included in the definition of ACLF is controversial. METHODS A total of 532 patients with decompensation (prior or first) of chronic liver disease were retrospectively enrolled and analyzed from January 2018 to June 2023. Clinical data were used to identify the characteristics and determine prognosis. RESULTS Of the 532 patients, 99 patients did not meet APASL-ACLF criteria due to the existence of prior decompensation and 433 patients met the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL)-ACLF criteria. The two groups had similar characteristics including prognosis scores (Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH)-ACLF II score: 7.59 vs. 7.67, p = 0.934; Chronic Liver Failure (CLIF) Consortium ACLF score: 42.90 vs. 44.81, p = 0.273), the distribution of patients with APASL ACLF research consortium score (AARC score) (5-7: 19.2%/12.0%; 8-10: 56.6%/55.0%; 11-15: 24.2%/33.0%, p > 0.05) and the 28-/90-day mortality rates (30.5%/43.2% vs. 36.3%/43.1%, p = 0.267/0.978). In all integrated ACLF patients, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and decision curve analysis (DCA) showed that COSSH-ACLF IIs had higher prognostic efficiency and clinical net benefit than AARC score and CLIF-C ACLFs for 28-/90-day mortality. CONCLUSION Prior decompensated patients exhibited clinical characteristics and high short-term mortality similar to those of first decompensated patients. The COSSH-ACLF IIs demonstrated the highest prognostic efficiency for all integrated ACLF patients. Including prior decompensation in the ACLF definition can help to simplify and improve clinical management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Meiqian Hu
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Jinjin Luo
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Yu Wu
- Fourth Department of Liver Disease, Beijing You'an Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China
| | - Jing Zhang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Peng Li
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Xi Liang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Jiaojiao Xin
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Dongyan Shi
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Heng Yao
- BioRigino Co., Ltd., 198Th Bandao Middle Road, Anji, 313300, China
| | - Shiwen Ma
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Taoying Wei
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Qiuzhi Wang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Xiao Wu
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Yuheng Kong
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Xingping Zhou
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Jiaxian Chen
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Hui Yang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Wen Hu
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Bingqi Li
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Feiyang Sun
- Wenzhou Medical University Renji College, Wenzhou, 325035, China
| | - Qingyang Ruan
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China
| | - Yu Chen
- Fourth Department of Liver Disease, Beijing You'an Hospital Affiliated to Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100069, China.
| | - Jun Li
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China.
| | - Jing Jiang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, National Medical Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, 79 Qingchun Rd., Hangzhou, 310003, China.
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17
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Hartman N. Concordance Indices for Risk Scores With Policy Evaluations. Health Serv Res 2025:e14619. [PMID: 40145606 DOI: 10.1111/1475-6773.14619] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2024] [Revised: 02/07/2025] [Accepted: 03/14/2025] [Indexed: 03/28/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To demonstrate the differences between concordance index (C-index) methodologies and clarify the appropriate usage for risk score evaluations in health services applications. STUDY SETTING AND DESIGN We performed a methodological comparison of C-index metrics and illustrated the consequences of these differences through a study of liver failure patients. DATA SOURCES AND ANALYTIC SAMPLE We analyzed secondary adult liver transplant registry data from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN), including all waitlist registrations from 2002 to 2022. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS The recommended concordance metric based on Gerds' weighting was higher for the original model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) than Harrell's C-Index, Uno's C-Index, and naïve binary outcome metrics (0.864 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.840, 0.888] versus 0.854 [95% CI: 0.844, 0.864], 0.832 [95% CI: 0.819, 0.844], and 0.727 [95% CI: 0.715, 0.740]), and it did not increase after the latest MELD formula update (0.874 [95% CI: 0.859, 0.889] to 0.869 [95% CI: 0.853, 0.885]). CONCLUSIONS The concordance indices that are often used in health services applications have important deficiencies under policy-related dependent censoring, and researchers must apply appropriate weighting schemes to avoid bias. The findings uncover new interpretations of past evaluation results that have shaped national liver transplant policies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nicholas Hartman
- Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
- Kidney Epidemiology and Cost Center, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
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18
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Yoo SK, Kim JH, Choe WH, Kwon SY. Comparison of Mortality Prediction Between the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-3.0 (MELD-3.0) and the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Lactate (MELD-La) in Korean Patients with Liver Cirrhosis. MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2025; 61:494. [PMID: 40142305 PMCID: PMC11943487 DOI: 10.3390/medicina61030494] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/17/2025] [Revised: 03/07/2025] [Accepted: 03/11/2025] [Indexed: 03/28/2025]
Abstract
Background and Objectives: The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has widely been used for mortality prediction in liver cirrhosis (LC) patients and transplantation allocation. There have been recent modifications of MELD scores, such as MELD-Lactate (MELD-La) and MELD-3.0. The goal of this study was to compare MELD, MELD-La, and MELD-3.0 in predicting mortality among LC patients in Korea. Materials and Methods: This is a retrospective, single-centered study in which LC patients admitted to Konkuk University Hospital between January 2011 and December 2022 were enrolled and reviewed. Predictive values for 1- and 3-month mortality for MELD, MELD-La, and MELD-3.0 were calculated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. Differences between AUROCs were statistically analyzed using DeLong's test. Results: A total of 1152 patients were initially included in this study. Among them, 165 (14.3%) patients died within one month, and 211 (19.7%) died within three months. The AUROCs for 1-month mortality of MELD, MELD-La, and MELD-3.0 were 0.808, 0.79, and 0.807, respectively. For the 3-month mortality of MELD, MELD-La, and MELD-3.0, the AUROCs were 0.805, 0.753, and 0.817, respectively. Multiple comparisons of ROC curves demonstrated that MELD and MELD-3.0 reflected the 3-month mortality prediction of LC patients better than MELD-La (p = 0.0018, p = 0.0003, respectively). Conclusions: This study demonstrated that MELD and MELD-3.0 outperformed MELD-La in predicting the 3-month mortality for LC patients. However, there was no significant difference between MELD and MELD-3.0 in predicting LC patient mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Seung-Kang Yoo
- Department of Internal Medicine, Konkuk University Medical Center, Seoul 05030, Republic of Korea; (S.-K.Y.); (W.-H.C.); (S.-Y.K.)
| | - Jeong-Han Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Konkuk University Medical Center, Seoul 05030, Republic of Korea; (S.-K.Y.); (W.-H.C.); (S.-Y.K.)
- Research Institute of Medical Science, Konkuk University School of Medicine, Seoul 05029, Republic of Korea
| | - Won-Hyeok Choe
- Department of Internal Medicine, Konkuk University Medical Center, Seoul 05030, Republic of Korea; (S.-K.Y.); (W.-H.C.); (S.-Y.K.)
| | - So-Young Kwon
- Department of Internal Medicine, Konkuk University Medical Center, Seoul 05030, Republic of Korea; (S.-K.Y.); (W.-H.C.); (S.-Y.K.)
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19
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DeMaria, Jr. S, Bachner EM, Mroz V, Gamboa S, Ouyang Y, Egorova NN, Smith NK, Wang R. The Efficacy of Mannitol in Attenuating Postreperfusion Syndrome in Orthotopic Liver Transplantation: A Retrospective Cohort Study. J Clin Med 2025; 14:1897. [PMID: 40142705 PMCID: PMC11942640 DOI: 10.3390/jcm14061897] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2025] [Revised: 03/05/2025] [Accepted: 03/11/2025] [Indexed: 03/28/2025] Open
Abstract
Introduction: Postreperfusion syndrome (PRS) is associated with complications following liver transplantation (LT). Mannitol may play a role in attenuating PRS as a free radical scavenger. This study aimed to evaluate the association between intraoperative mannitol administration and the incidence of PRS and postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) in LT. Methods: A retrospective analysis of adult liver-only transplantation between August 2019 and January 2023 at the Mount Sinai Hospital was performed. Patients in the mannitol group received 25G of the drug intravenously prior to reperfusion. Any recipients with pre-existing renal diagnoses were excluded. Demographic, laboratory, intraoperative, and hospital course data were extracted from an institutional data warehouse. Multivariable logistic regressions were used to evaluate the association between mannitol administration and PRS, AKI, early allograft dysfunction, and postoperative cardiac complications. Negative binomial regression was used to evaluate the association with postoperative length of stay (LOS) and ICU LOS. Results: 495 LT cases were included. A total of 81 patients received mannitol before graft reperfusion, while 414 patients did not. The incidence of PRS in patients who received mannitol was 13% and 17% for those who did not receive mannitol (p = 0.53). Additionally, 79% of patients who received mannitol experienced AKI at 7 days, compared to 73% in those who did not receive mannitol (p = 0.48). In the multivariable regression models, mannitol administration was not associated with decreased incidence of PRS or postoperative AKI. It was, however, associated with increased postoperative cardiac complications (risk-adjusted odds ratio 2.70, 95% confidence interval 1.15-6.14, p = 0.02). Conclusions: Mannitol administration during LT was not an effective therapy for reducing PRS or postoperative AKI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Samuel DeMaria, Jr.
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY 10029, USA; (S.D.J.)
| | - Emily M. Bachner
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY 10029, USA; (S.D.J.)
| | - Victoria Mroz
- Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA
| | - Sophia Gamboa
- Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY 10029, USA
| | - Yuxia Ouyang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY 10029, USA; (S.D.J.)
- Department of Population Health Science and Policy, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY 10029, USA
| | - Natalia N. Egorova
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY 10029, USA; (S.D.J.)
- Department of Population Health Science and Policy, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY 10029, USA
| | - Natalie K. Smith
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY 10029, USA; (S.D.J.)
| | - Ryan Wang
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative and Pain Medicine, The Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY 10029, USA; (S.D.J.)
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20
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Angelico R, Trapani S, Manzia TM, Lenci I, Grossi P, Ricci A, Burra P, Andorno E, Agnes S, Bhoori S, Baccarani U, Belli LS, Carrai P, Caccamo L, Carraro A, Cescon M, Colledan M, Cillo U, De Carlis L, De Maria N, De Simone P, di Benedetto F, Donato MF, Maria Ettorre G, Ferri F, Lanza AG, Ghinolfi D, Grieco A, Gruttadauria S, Marenco S, Martini S, Mazzaferro V, Pellicelli A, Pinelli D, Rendina M, Rizzetto M, Romagnoli R, Rossi M, Russo FP, Schiadà L, Tandoi F, Toniutto P, Turco L, Vennarecci G, Viganò M, Vivarelli M, Tisone G, Feltrin G, Nardi A, Angelico M. Liver transplantation for hepatitis D virus/hepatitis B virus coinfection in Italy: an intention-to-treat analysis of long-term outcomes. Am J Transplant 2025:S1600-6135(25)00106-6. [PMID: 40057194 DOI: 10.1016/j.ajt.2025.03.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2024] [Revised: 03/02/2025] [Accepted: 03/03/2025] [Indexed: 04/11/2025]
Abstract
Patients with hepatitis D virus (HDV)/hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related end-stage liver disease candidates for liver transplantation (LT) have traditionally been regarded as a special population, although their outcomes are controversial. An intention-to-treat (ITT) analysis of long-term outcomes of HDV/HBV-coinfected patients waitlisted for LT in Italy, between 2011 and 2020, was performed and compared with HBV-monoinfected LT candidates. Of 1731 HBV-infected LT candidates, 1237 (71.5%) had HBV monoinfection and 494 (28.5%) HDV/HBV coinfection. At listing, HDV/HBV-coinfected patients were significantly younger, listed mainly for decompensated cirrhosis, and with fewer hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) cases; (26% vs 65.8%; P <.0001) compared with HBV-monoinfected patients. HDV/HBV-coinfected patients showed better 5-year ITT survival (83.2%; 95% CI: 79.4%-83.4%, vs 71.6%; 95% CI: 68.8%-74.2%; P < .0001). ITT-multivariable analysis identified the presence of HCC, advanced recipient age, and high model for end-stage liver disease-Na scores as mortality risk factors. Five years after LT, 99.1% of HDV/HBV-coinfected patients received oral nucleos(t)ide analogs, with immunoglobulins against antigen of the hepatitis B virus in 91.8% of cases. HBV and HDV viral recurrences were 1.1% and 0.2%, respectively, whereas recurrent or de novo HCC were 8.9% and 0.3%, respectively. In Italy, HDV/HBV-coinfected patients waitlisted for LT showed more favorable outcomes compared with HBV-monoinfected patients, both before and after LT. These excellent results, from the largest cohort reported so far, suggest that HDV/HBV-coinfected LT recipients do not represent a risky population and may be considered for simpler long-term antiviral prophylactic strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Roberta Angelico
- Department of Surgical Sciences, HPB and Transplant Unit, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
| | - Silvia Trapani
- Italian National Transplant Center, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Tommaso Maria Manzia
- Department of Surgical Sciences, HPB and Transplant Unit, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy.
| | - Ilaria Lenci
- Hepatology Unit, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
| | - Paolo Grossi
- Department of Medicine and Surgery, University of Insubria-ASST Sette Laghi, Varese, Italy
| | - Andrea Ricci
- Italian National Transplant Center, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Patrizia Burra
- Gastroenterology and Multivisceral Transplant Unit, Department of Surgery, Oncology, and Gastroenterology, Padova University Hospital, Italy
| | - Enzo Andorno
- Department of Hepatobiliary-Pancreatic Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, A.O.U.S. Martino, Genova, Italy
| | - Salvatore Agnes
- Department of Surgery, Transplantation Service, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Foundation A. Gemelli Hospital, Rome, Italy
| | - Sherrie Bhoori
- Gastroenterology, Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, Fondazione Istituto Nazionale Tumori IRCCS, National Cancer Institute. Milan, Italy
| | | | - Luca S Belli
- Division of General Surgery and Abdominal Transplantation, ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy
| | - Paola Carrai
- Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplant, Faculty of Medicine Hospital of the University of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
| | - Lucio Caccamo
- Division of General Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - Amedeo Carraro
- Liver Transplant Unit, Department of General Surgery and Oncology, University Hospital of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - Matteo Cescon
- General Surgery and Transplantation Unit, Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria-Policlinico S.Orsola-Malpighi, Bologna, Italy
| | - Michele Colledan
- Department of Organ Failure and Transplantation-ASST Papa Giovanni XXIII, Bergamo, Italy; Università Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy
| | - Umberto Cillo
- Department of Surgery, Oncology and Gastroenterology, Hepatobiliary Surgery and Liver Transplant Unit, University Hospital of Padua, Padua, Italy
| | - Luciano De Carlis
- Division of General Surgery and Abdominal Transplantation, ASST Grande Ospedale Metropolitano Niguarda, University of Milano-Bicocca, Milan, Italy
| | - Nicola De Maria
- Gastroenterology-OHBP Surgery and Liver Transplant, AOU Policlinico di Modena, Italy
| | - Paolo De Simone
- Division of Hepatic Surgery and Liver transplantation, University Hospital of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
| | - Fabrizio di Benedetto
- Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, Azienda-Ospedaliera-Policlinico, University of Modena-Reggio Emilia, Modena, Italy
| | - Maria Francesca Donato
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Fondazione IRCCS Cà Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - Giuseppe Maria Ettorre
- Division of General Surgery and Liver Transplantation, Azienda-Ospedaliera San Camillo-Forlanini, Rome, Italy
| | - Flaminia Ferri
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Translational and Precision Medicine, La Sapienza University, Rome, Italy
| | | | - Davide Ghinolfi
- Division of Hepatic Surgery and Liver transplantation, University Hospital of Pisa, Pisa, Italy
| | - Antonio Grieco
- University Department of Translational Medicine and Surgery, Catholic University of the Sacred Heart, Rome, Italy; Internal Medicine, Gastroenterology and Medical Oncology Area, Fondazione Policlinico A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Salvatore Gruttadauria
- Department for the Treatment and Study of Abdominal Diseases and Abdominal Transplantation, IRCCS-ISMETT, UPMC, Palermo, Italy; University of Catania, Catania, Italy
| | - Simona Marenco
- Gastroenterology Unit, Department of Internal Medicine, University of Genoa, IRCCS Ospedale Policlinico San Martino, Genoa, Italy
| | - Silvia Martini
- Division of Gastroenterology, Molinette Hospital, Città della Salute e della Scienza, Turin, Italy
| | - Vincenzo Mazzaferro
- HPB Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, Department of Oncology, University of Milan, Istituto Nazionale Tumori, IRCCS, Milan, Italy
| | - Adriano Pellicelli
- Liver Unit, Department of Liver Transplant, Azienda-Ospedaliera San Camillo Forlanini, Rome, Italy
| | - Domenico Pinelli
- Chirurgia Generale 3-Trapianti Addominali, Department of Surgery, ASST Papa Giovanni XXIII, Piazza OMS 1, Bergamo, Italy
| | - Maria Rendina
- U.O.C. Gastroenterologia Universitaria, Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria-Policlinico di Bari, Bari, Italy
| | - Mario Rizzetto
- Department of Medical Sciences, University of Torino, Turin, Italy
| | - Renato Romagnoli
- General Surgery 2U, Liver Transplantation Center, AOU Città della Salute e della Scienza di Torino, University of Turin, Turin, Italy
| | - Massimo Rossi
- General Surgery and Organ Transplantation, Sapienza University of Rome, Umberto I Policlinic, Rome, Italy
| | - Francesco Paolo Russo
- Gastroenterology and Multivisceral Transplant Unit, Department of Surgery, Oncology, and Gastroenterology, Padova University Hospital, Italy
| | - Laura Schiadà
- Liver Injury and Transplant Unit, Azienda Ospedaliero Universitaria delle Marche, Ancona, Italy
| | - Francesco Tandoi
- General Surgery and Liver Transplantation Unit, University of Bari, Bari, Italy
| | - Pierluigi Toniutto
- Liver Transplant Unit, Department of Medicine University of Udine, Udine, Italy
| | - Laura Turco
- Internal Medicine Unit for the Treatment of Severe Organ Failure, IRCCS Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
| | - Giovanni Vennarecci
- Laparoscopic, Hepatic, and Liver Transplant Unit, AORN A. Cardarelli, Naples, Italy
| | - Mauro Viganò
- Gastroenterology Hepatology and Transplantation Unit Department of Medical Area, ASST Papa Giovanni XXIII, Bergamo, Italy
| | - Marco Vivarelli
- Hepatobiliary and Abdominal Transplantation Surgery, Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Polytechnic University of Marche, Ancona, Italy
| | - Giuseppe Tisone
- Department of Surgical Sciences, HPB and Transplant Unit, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
| | - Giuseppe Feltrin
- Italian National Transplant Center, National Institute of Health, Rome, Italy
| | - Alessandra Nardi
- Department of Mathematics, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
| | - Mario Angelico
- Hepatology Unit, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Rome, Italy
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21
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Liu J, Yao W, Bai Y, Chen P, Qin J, Song S, Liu X, Ren Y, Yuan F, Zheng C, Liang B. Optimal timing for TIPS and PSE combination treatment in patients with cirrhosis-related variceal bleeding and hypersplenism. Acad Radiol 2025; 32:1534-1546. [PMID: 39384512 DOI: 10.1016/j.acra.2024.09.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2024] [Revised: 08/23/2024] [Accepted: 09/01/2024] [Indexed: 10/11/2024]
Abstract
RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES A consensus has not yet been reached regarding the optimal timing for the combination of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) and partial splenic embolization (PSE) in patients with cirrhosis-related variceal bleeding and hypersplenism. This study aimed to compare the clinical outcomes of patients who underwent either an early or late combination of TIPS and PSE. METHODS A total of 84 consecutive patients with cirrhosis-related variceal bleeding and hypersplenism who underwent TIPS and PSE between September 2016 and April 2023 were included in this retrospective multicenter study. These patients were subsequently divided into early combination (n = 36) and late combination (n = 48) groups based on the timing of the combination therapy. RESULTS Kaplan-Meier curves revealed a significant increase in cumulative survival in the late combination group, compared with that in the early combination group (log-rank P = 0.018). Additionally, the late combination group exhibited a lower cumulative incidence of overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE), compared with the early combination group (log-rank P = 0.002). In Cox regression models, noninfarcted splenic volume (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.995, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.991-0.999, P = 0.044) and grouping (HR = 0.101, 95% CI = 0.011-0.921, P = 0.034) were identified as independent risk factors for mortality. Furthermore, the independent risk factors for OHE were serum albumin (ALB) level (P = 0.032) and grouping (P = 0.028). CONCLUSION The early combination of TIPS and PSE was associated with higher risks of death and OHE than the late combination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiacheng Liu
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.)
| | - Wei Yao
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.)
| | - Yaowei Bai
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.)
| | - Pengfei Chen
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, Henan, China (P.F., J.Q.)
| | - Jiankang Qin
- Department of Interventional Radiology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou 450052, Henan, China (P.F., J.Q.)
| | - Songlin Song
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.)
| | - Xiaoming Liu
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.)
| | - Yanqiao Ren
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.)
| | - Feng Yuan
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.)
| | - Chuansheng Zheng
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.)
| | - Bin Liang
- Department of Radiology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.); Hubei Province Key Laboratory of Molecular Imaging, Wuhan, China (J.L., W.Y., Y.B., S.S., X.L., Y.R., F.Y., C.Z., B.L.).
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22
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Hernaez R, Li H, Moreau R, Coenraad MJ. Definition, diagnosis and epidemiology of acute-on-chronic liver failure. Liver Int 2025; 45:e15670. [PMID: 37424175 DOI: 10.1111/liv.15670] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/27/2023] [Revised: 06/14/2023] [Accepted: 06/27/2023] [Indexed: 07/11/2023]
Abstract
This narrative review addresses the definition of acute-on-chronic liver failure, a condition associated with high short-term mortality in patients with chronic liver disease and/or cirrhosis. We provide two major points of view: the East and the West perspective. Both definitions vary regarding the underlying patient population and organ failure(s) definition. Nevertheless, all the definitions have their clinical utility: from the core concept of having the "liver" as a conditio sine qua non, the syndrome cannot exist (Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver); a data-driven, robust definition (European Association for the Study of the Liver); a bedside tool that can quickly identify patients at high risk of dying (North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease [NACSELD]). In each section, we provide the overall definitions, the criteria of organ failure(s), and some epidemiological data illustrating how these apply in each area of the world.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ruben Hernaez
- Section of Gastroenterology, Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, TX Center, Houston, Texas, USA
- VA HSR&D Center for Innovations in Quality, Effectiveness and Safety, Michael E. DeBakey VA Medical Center, Houston, Texas, USA
- Section of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Hai Li
- Department of Gastroenterology, Ren Ji Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Richard Moreau
- European Foundation for the Study of Chronic Liver Failure (EF CLIF), Barcelona, France
- INSERM, Université de Paris Cité, Centre de Recherche sur l'Inflammation (CRI), Service d'Hépatologie, Paris, France
- Assistance Publique-Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP), and Hôpital Beaujon, Clichy, France
| | - Minneke J Coenraad
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, the Netherlands
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23
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Thiele M, Johansen S, Israelsen M, Trebicka J, Abraldes JG, Gines P, Krag A. Noninvasive assessment of hepatic decompensation. Hepatology 2025; 81:1019-1037. [PMID: 37801593 PMCID: PMC11825506 DOI: 10.1097/hep.0000000000000618] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2023] [Accepted: 07/19/2023] [Indexed: 10/08/2023]
Abstract
Noninvasive tests (NITs) are used in all aspects of liver disease management. Their most prominent break-through since the millennium has been in advancing early detection of liver fibrosis, but their use is not limited to this. In contrast to the symptom-driven assessment of decompensation in patients with cirrhosis, NITs provide not only opportunities for earlier diagnoses but also accurate prognostication, targeted treatment decisions, and a means of monitoring disease. NITs can inform disease management and decision-making based on validated cutoffs and standardized interpretations as a valuable supplement to clinical acumen. The Baveno VI and VII consensus meetings resulted in tangible improvements to pathways of care for patients with compensated and decompensated advanced chronic liver disease, including the combination of platelet count and transient elastography to diagnose clinically significant portal hypertension. Furthermore, circulating NITs will play increasingly important roles in assessing the response to interventions against ascites, variceal bleeding, HE, acute kidney injury, and infections. However, due to NITs' wide availability, there is a risk of inaccurate use, leading to a waste of resources and flawed decisions. In this review, we describe the uses and pitfalls of NITs for hepatic decompensation, from risk stratification in primary care to treatment decisions in outpatient clinics, as well as for the in-hospital management of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure. We summarize which NITs to use when, for what indications, and how to maximize the potential of NITs for improved patient management.
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Affiliation(s)
- Maja Thiele
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Fibrosis, Fatty Liver and Steatohepatitis Research Center Odense (FLASH), Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - Stine Johansen
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Fibrosis, Fatty Liver and Steatohepatitis Research Center Odense (FLASH), Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - Mads Israelsen
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Fibrosis, Fatty Liver and Steatohepatitis Research Center Odense (FLASH), Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
| | - Jonel Trebicka
- Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
- Department of Internal Medicine B, University of Münster, Münster, Germany
- European Foundation for the Study of Chronic Liver Failure, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Juan G. Abraldes
- Division of Gastroenterology, University of Alberta, Edmonton, Canada
| | - Pere Gines
- Liver Unit, Hospital Clínic of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Barcelona, Spain
- Institute of Biomedical Investigation August Pi I Sunyer (IDIBAPS), Barcelona, Spain
- Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red Enfermedades Hepáticas y Digestivas (CIBEReHD), Barcelona, Spain
| | - Aleksander Krag
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Fibrosis, Fatty Liver and Steatohepatitis Research Center Odense (FLASH), Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark
- Department of Clinical Research, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark
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24
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Bababekov YJ, Ha AH, Nydam TL, Goncalves C, Choudhury R, Shinsako J, Baimas-George M, Reynolds DM, Yoshida C, Racke CA, Grewal H, Pomposelli S, Rodriguez IE, Hoffman JR, Schold JD, Kaplan B, Pomfret EA, Pomposelli JJ. Thoracoabdominal Normothermic Regional Perfusion: Real-world Experience and Outcomes of DCD Liver Transplantation. Transplant Direct 2025; 11:e1767. [PMID: 40034160 PMCID: PMC11875611 DOI: 10.1097/txd.0000000000001767] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2024] [Revised: 12/27/2024] [Accepted: 12/31/2024] [Indexed: 03/05/2025] Open
Abstract
Background Donation after circulatory death liver transplantation (DCD LT) is underused given historical outcomes fraught with ischemic cholangiopathy (IC). We aimed to assess 6-mo IC in LT from DCD via normothermic regional perfusion (NRP) compared with DCD via static cold storage (SCS). Methods A retrospective review of adult Maastricht-III DCD liver donors and recipients at the University of Colorado Hospital from January 1, 2017, to August 27, 2024, was performed. The 6-mo IC rate was compared between NRP and SCS. Secondary outcomes included biochemical assessments of accepted versus declined NRP liver allografts and allograft and patient survival for NRP and SCS groups. Results One hundred sixty-two DCD LTs (SCS = 79; NRP = 97) were performed and 150 recipients (SCS = 74; NRP = 86) reached 6-mo follow-up. Six-month IC was lower for NRP compared with SCS (1.2% versus 9.5%, P = 0.03). The Donor Risk Index (2.44 [2.02-2.82] versus 2.17 [1.97-2.30], P = 0.002) and UK DCD Risk Score (4.2 ± 2.9 versus 3.2 ± 2.3, P = 0.008) were higher for NRP versus SCS. The Liver Graft assessment Following Transplantation score was less for NRP compared with SCS (-3.3 versus -3.1, P < 0.05). There were several differences in median biochemical parameters during NRP between accepted and declined livers, including higher terminal biliary bicarbonate (22.7 [20.9-29.1] versus 10.8 [7.6-13.1] mEq/L, P = 0.004). There were no significant differences in 12-mo allograft or patient survival for NRP versus SCS. Conclusions NRP is a disruptive innovation that improves the utilization of DCD livers. Despite higher-risk donor-recipient pairing for NRP compared with SCS, we demonstrate a decrease in IC for NRP. These data facilitate benchmarking of thoracoabdominal NRP DCD LT and support further protocol development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yanik J. Bababekov
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Anna H. Ha
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Trevor L. Nydam
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Carlos Goncalves
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Rashikh Choudhury
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - JoLynn Shinsako
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
| | - Maria Baimas-George
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - David M. Reynolds
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Cassidy Yoshida
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
| | - Caroline A. Racke
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Han Grewal
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Sophia Pomposelli
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Ivan E. Rodriguez
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Jordan R.H. Hoffman
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Jesse D. Schold
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Bruce Kaplan
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - Elizabeth A. Pomfret
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
| | - James J. Pomposelli
- Department of Surgery, University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, CO
- Colorado Center for Transplantation Care, Research and Education (CCTCARE), Aurora, CO
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25
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Akabane M, Imaoka Y, Nakayama T, Esquivel CO, Sasaki K. Exploring the Viability of Matching Marginal Donors With Low Renal Function Recipients in Liver Transplantation. Clin Transplant 2025; 39:e70123. [PMID: 40062522 DOI: 10.1111/ctr.70123] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/20/2024] [Revised: 09/24/2024] [Accepted: 02/19/2025] [Indexed: 05/13/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Renal function varies among liver transplantation (LT) candidates with the same Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)3.0 score. The impact of marginal grafts on post-LT renal function and prognosis varies based on the pre-LT renal function. We explored the effects of matching recipients with low renal function to marginal donors on graft survival (GS) and post-LT kidney function. METHODS We analyzed data from the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR), categorizing pre-LT renal function by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) into low (<30 mL/min/1.73 m2) and high (≥30 mL/min/1.73 m2). Marginal donors were defined by criteria including donation after cardiac death, age ≥ 65, severe macrosteatosis (≥30%), or body mass index ≥ 40 kg/m2. The primary outcome was to compare 3-year post-LT GS between patients with low and high pre-LT renal function. Additionally, we examined post-LT eGFR 1-3 months post-LT. RESULTS Of 13 279 LT recipients, 12 851 had high pre-LT eGFR and 428 had low pre-LT eGFR. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed that recipients with low pre-LT eGFR had significantly lower 3-year GS compared to those with high eGFR (p < 0.01). Recipients of organs from marginal donors also exhibited a significant reduction in 3-year GS (p < 0.01). This adverse effect persisted within the same MELD3.0 category. Additionally, lower pre-LT eGFR was associated with an increased risk of post-LT kidney function deterioration, especially among those receiving grafts from marginal donors. Multivariable logistic regression identified recipient age > 65 as a significant risk factor for post-LT kidney function decline (OR 3.34 [1.05-10.7]; p = 0.03). DISCUSSION GS was notably worse in recipients with low pre-LT eGFR, particularly when matched with marginal donors. A recipient age > 65 is a risk indicator for post-LT kidney function deterioration with marginal donors, underscoring the importance of careful donor-recipient matching, especially with compromised pre-LT kidney function.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miho Akabane
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Yuki Imaoka
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Toshihiro Nakayama
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Carlos O Esquivel
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
| | - Kazunari Sasaki
- Division of Abdominal Transplant, Department of Surgery, Stanford University Medical Center, Stanford, California, USA
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26
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Aramcharoen C, Praguylertluck W, Intarasak N, Yaowmaneerat T, Kaewdech A, Chamroonkul N, Sripongpun P. Serum sodium level is predictive for kidney injury or hyponatremia after modest-volume paracentesis (<5 L) in Asian patients with cirrhosis: A single-centered retrospective observational study. Medicine (Baltimore) 2025; 104:e41420. [PMID: 39928798 PMCID: PMC11813013 DOI: 10.1097/md.0000000000041420] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2024] [Revised: 12/03/2024] [Accepted: 01/15/2025] [Indexed: 02/12/2025] Open
Abstract
Post-paracentesis circulatory dysfunction (PPCD) is a well-known complication in patients with decompensated cirrhosis undergoing large-volume paracentesis (>5 L ascites removal). PPCD can cause acute kidney injury (AKI) and hyponatremia. Given the generally smaller body size observed in patients of Asian descent, we hypothesized that the removal of <5 L of ascitic fluid (modest-volume paracentesis; MVP) might also contribute to the development of PPCD. We investigated whether MVP could lead to AKI/hyponatremia in Thai patients with cirrhosis and identified the factor(s) associated with these outcomes. This was a retrospective, single-center study that included all consecutive patients with cirrhosis who underwent MVP at our unit between 2020 and 2021. Baseline characteristics and laboratory results obtained within 3 days prior to and 7 to 28 days following paracentesis were collected. The occurrence of AKI or hyponatremia was recorded, and the characteristics and laboratory findings of patients who developed these complications were compared with those who did not. During the study period, 73 MVPs were performed in 39 patients. Eight patients (20.5%) developed AKI/hyponatremia within 7 to 28 days of the procedure. Baseline serum sodium level was significantly lower in patients who developed AKI/hyponatremia compared to those who did not (131.0 ± 5.9 vs 135.6 ± 3.0 mEq/L, P = .004). A serum sodium cutoff value of 132 mEq/L showed a specificity and sensitivity of 0.9 and 0.63, respectively, for predicting the development of AKI/hyponatremia, with an area under the curve of 0.81. These findings highlight that PPCD resulted in AKI/hyponatremia, which was previously not anticipated, can indeed occur after paracentesis of <5 L in Thai cirrhotic patients. These results may have significant implications for clinical decision-making regarding the administration of albumin replacement therapy in Asian patients with cirrhosis who are to undergo paracentesis in future clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chayathorn Aramcharoen
- Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Thailand
| | | | - Naree Intarasak
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Thailand
| | - Thanapon Yaowmaneerat
- NKC Institute of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Songklanagarind Hospital, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Thailand
| | - Apichat Kaewdech
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Thailand
| | - Naichaya Chamroonkul
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Thailand
| | - Pimsiri Sripongpun
- Gastroenterology and Hepatology Unit, Division of Internal Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Prince of Songkla University, Hat Yai, Thailand
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27
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Achinger SG, Ayus JC, Kumar A, Tsalatsanis A. Thiazide-Associated Hyponatremia and Mortality Risk: A Cohort Study. Kidney Med 2025; 7:100941. [PMID: 39866296 PMCID: PMC11759562 DOI: 10.1016/j.xkme.2024.100941] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/28/2025] Open
Abstract
Rationale & Objective There are likely over 42 million patients with hypertension taking thiazides in the United States and many more worldwide. Hyponatremia is a common complication of thiazide therapy. It is not currently known if thiazide-associated hyponatremia is also associated with increased mortality. The objective of this study was to determine if outpatients who start thiazide diuretic treatment and develop early hyponatremia are at increased risk of mortality when compared with those who do not develop hyponatremia after starting a thiazide. Study Design A retrospective cohort study. Setting & Participants This study used data from the TriNetX federated health research network comprising deidentified electronic medical records of ∼93 million patients from 76 health care organizations located primarily in the United States. The study population was adult patients 40-90 years old, with essential hypertension and who started on a thiazide diuretic between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2021. The patients were then subdivided into a hyponatremia cohort and a control cohort. 22,057 patients met the inclusion criteria for the hyponatremia cohort, and 234,466 patients met the inclusion criteria for the control cohort. After propensity score matching, 22,052 remained in both cohorts. The primary outcome is one-year mortality. Exposure The hyponatremia cohort developed early hyponatremia defined as a serum sodium ≤ 135 mmol/L within 6 months after initiation of thiazide versus a control that had a serum sodium 136-144 mmol/L after initiation of thiazide. Outcomes Primary outcome is mortality. Secondary outcomes include development of sepsis, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, cellulitis, myocardial infarction, stroke, congestive heart failure, ataxia, fall, and hip fracture. Analytical Approach The design is a retrospective cohort study, propensity score matched. Results Patients in the hyponatremia cohort had a higher hazard of mortality than patients in control, HR 1.96 (95% CI, 1.72-2.28; P < 0.001). In addition, patients in the hyponatremia cohort had higher hazard of developing sepsis, pneumonia, urinary tract infection, cellulitis, myocardial infarction, stroke, congestive heart failure, ataxia, and hip fracture. Limitations The study had a retrospective design. Conclusions Patients who develop early hyponatremia (serum sodium ≤ 135 mmol/L) following initiation of a thiazide diuretic have a higher risk of mortality when compared with those who do not develop hyponatremia after initiation of a thiazide diuretic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Steven G. Achinger
- Department of Nephrology and Hypertension, University of South Florida, Tampa, FL
- Department of Nephrology, Watson Clinic, LLP, Lakeland, FL
| | - Juan Carlos Ayus
- Department of Nephrology, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA
| | - Ambuj Kumar
- Department of Internal Medicine, Research Methodology and Biostatistics Core, Office of Research, Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida Health, Tampa, FL
| | - Athanasios Tsalatsanis
- Department of Internal Medicine, Research Methodology and Biostatistics Core, Office of Research, Morsani College of Medicine, University of South Florida Health, Tampa, FL
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28
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Satre DD, Dasarathy D, Batki SL, Ostacher MJ, Snyder HR, Hua W, Parekh P, Shui AM, Cheung R, Monto A, Wong RJ, Chen JY, Liao M, Tana M, Chen PH, Haight CG, Fakadej T, Khalili M. Factors Associated With Motivation to Reduce Alcohol Use Among Patients With Chronic Liver Disease. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2025; 61:481-490. [PMID: 39523996 PMCID: PMC11710982 DOI: 10.1111/apt.18387] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2024] [Revised: 09/25/2024] [Accepted: 10/25/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Alcohol use is prevalent among hepatology clinic patients with chronic liver disease (CLD). We explored factors associated with the importance and confidence dimensions of motivation to reduce drinking. METHODS Participants (N = 121) with unhealthy alcohol use (i.e., over NIH guidelines) receiving care in hepatology clinics from a safety-net hospital (SN, N = 54) and two Veterans Affairs Healthcare Systems (VA, N = 67) were enrolled in an alcohol intervention trial from March 2022 through October 2023. Baseline assessments included Generalised Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7), Patient Health Questionnaire (PHQ-8), Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT), COVID-19 stress; and measures of importance and confidence to decrease alcohol use (readiness rulers, scales of 1-10). Liver disease aetiology and severity were extracted from electronic health records. We performed multivariable linear regression models with forward selection to assess pre-specified variables' associations with importance and confidence. RESULTS The sample was 84% male, 40% Latino, 31% White, 18% Black and 11% other races; median age was 61 years. Median (Q1-Q3) AUDIT score was 16 (12-24), importance was 9 (6-10) and confidence was 8 (5-9). On multivariable analysis, VA site (vs. SN) participants had a 0.97-point lower importance score (p = 0.02); higher symptoms of depression (PHQ-8 score ≥ 10 vs. < 10) and AUDIT scores (for each point increase) were associated with higher importance score (estimates 1.2 and 0.08, p < 0.05, respectively). Liver disease aetiology and severity were not significantly associated with outcomes. CONCLUSIONS Depression, alcohol problem severity and treatment site may influence motivation to reduce alcohol use and could inform future hepatology-based interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Derek D. Satre
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA
- Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Division of Research, Pleasanton, CA USA
| | | | - Steven L. Batki
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA
- Mental Health Service, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - Michael J. Ostacher
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, Palo Alto, CA USA
- Department of Psychiatry, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA USA
| | - Hannah R. Snyder
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA. University of California, San Francisco, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - William Hua
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA
- Mental Health Service, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - Priti Parekh
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA USA
| | - Amy M. Shui
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - Ramsey Cheung
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA USA
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA USA
| | - Alexander Monto
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - Robert J. Wong
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA USA
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA USA
| | - Jennifer Y. Chen
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Zuckerberg San Francisco General, San Francisco, CA USA
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - Meimei Liao
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA USA
| | - Michele Tana
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Zuckerberg San Francisco General, San Francisco, CA USA
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA
- University of California San Francisco Liver Center, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - Po-Hung Chen
- Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Johns Hopkins University School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD USA
| | - Christina G. Haight
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - Taylor Fakadej
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Zuckerberg San Francisco General, San Francisco, CA USA
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA
| | - Mandana Khalili
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Zuckerberg San Francisco General, San Francisco, CA USA
- Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, University of California, San Francisco, CA USA
- University of California San Francisco Liver Center, San Francisco, CA USA
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Henry ZH, Argo CK. Management of Chronic Liver Disease in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma. Clin Liver Dis 2025; 29:135-147. [PMID: 39608953 DOI: 10.1016/j.cld.2024.08.004] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/30/2024]
Abstract
Management of cirrhosis sequelae is critical in providing the most options for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Compensated liver disease is the ideal state for HCC patients who may require resection, locoregional therapies, or liver transplantation. Portal hypertension complications, suboptimal nutrition, and frailty are common barriers to various HCC treatments. For patients with advanced HCC, systemic therapies are altering the approach to multifocal, unresectable HCC, but similar barriers exist related to managing cirrhosis complications. Frequently, managing the underlying liver disease etiology is a key component to enabling HCC treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zachary H Henry
- Division of GI/Hepatology, University of Virginia, 1335 Lee Street, Box 800708, Charlottesville, VA 22908-0708, USA
| | - Curtis K Argo
- Division of GI/Hepatology, University of Virginia, 1335 Lee Street, Box 800708, Charlottesville, VA 22908-0708, USA.
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Couvineau P, Llorens-Cortes C. Metabolically stable apelin analogs: development and functional role in water balance and cardiovascular function. Clin Sci (Lond) 2025; 139:131-149. [PMID: 39879076 DOI: 10.1042/cs20240955] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2024] [Revised: 12/19/2024] [Accepted: 12/23/2024] [Indexed: 01/31/2025]
Abstract
Apelin, a (neuro) vasoactive peptide, plays a prominent role in controlling water balance and cardiovascular functions. Apelin and its receptor co-localize with vasopressin in magnocellular vasopressinergic neurons. Apelin receptors (Apelin-Rs) are also expressed in the collecting ducts of the kidney, where vasopressin type 2 receptors are also present. Apelin and vasopressin interact at the brain and renal levels to maintain body fluid homeostasis by regulating diuresis in opposite directions. Apelin and angiotensin II have opposite effects on the regulation of blood pressure (BP). Angiotensin II, by binding to AT1 receptors present in VSMCs, induces intracellular calcium mobilization and vasoconstriction, while apelin, by binding to Apelin-R present on vascular endothelium, increases nitric oxide production and induces vasodilation. Apelin also plays a crucial role in the regulation of cardiac function. Apelin-deficient and Apelin-R-deficient mice develop progressive myocardial dysfunction with ageing and are susceptible to heart failure in response to pressure overload. Since the half-life of apelin is very short in vivo (in the minute range), several metabolically stable apelin analogs and non-peptidic Apelin-R agonists have been developed, with potential applications in diverse diseases. In this review, we highlight the interaction between apelin and vasopressin in the regulation of water balance and that between apelin and angiotensin II in the regulation of BP. Additionally, we underline the protective effects of apelin in cardiac function. Lastly, we discuss the beneficial effects of Apelin-R activation in different pathological states such as hyponatremia, hypertension, and heart failure.
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Affiliation(s)
- Pierre Couvineau
- Institut de Génomique Fonctionnelle, CNRS UMR5203, INSERM U1191, Montpellier University, Montpellier, France
| | - Catherine Llorens-Cortes
- Center for Interdisciplinary Research in Biology, College de France, Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale, Paris, France
- Department of Medicines and Healthcare Technologies, CEA Paris-Saclay, Frédéric Joliot Institute for Life and Sciences, SIMoS, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
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Gómez-Orellana AM, Rodríguez-Perálvarez ML, Guijo-Rubio D, Gutiérrez PA, Majumdar A, McCaughan GW, Taylor R, Tsochatzis EA, Hervás-Martínez C. Gender-Equity Model for Liver Allocation Using Artificial Intelligence (GEMA-AI) for Waiting List Liver Transplant Prioritization. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2025:S1542-3565(24)01135-2. [PMID: 39848457 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2024.12.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/09/2024] [Revised: 11/28/2024] [Accepted: 12/19/2024] [Indexed: 01/25/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS We aimed to develop and validate an artificial intelligence score (gender-equity model for liver allocation using artificial intelligence [GEMA-AI]) to predict liver transplantation (LT) waiting list outcomes using the same input variables contained in existing models. METHODS This was a cohort study including adult LT candidates enlisted in the United Kingdom (2010-2020) for model training and internal validation and in Australia (1998-2020) for external validation. GEMA-AI combined international normalized ratio, bilirubin, sodium, and the Royal Free Hospital glomerular filtration rate in an explainable artificial neural network. GEMA-AI was compared with gender-equity model for liver allocation corrected by serum sodium (GEMA-Na), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease 3.0, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease corrected by serum sodium for waiting list prioritization. RESULTS The study included 9320 patients: 5762 in the training cohort, 1920 in the internal validation cohort, and 1638 in the external validation cohort. The prevalence of 90-day mortality or delisting for sickness ranged from 5.3% to 6% across different cohorts. GEMA-AI showed better discrimination than GEMA-Na, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease corrected by serum sodium, and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease 3.0 in the internal and external validation cohorts, with a more pronounced benefit in women and in patients showing at least 1 extreme analytical value. Accounting for identical input variables, the transition from a linear to a nonlinear score (from GEMA-Na to GEMA-AI) resulted in a differential prioritization of 6.4% of patients within the first 90 days and would potentially save 1 in 59 deaths overall, and 1 in 13 deaths among women. Results did not substantially change when ascites was not included in the models. CONCLUSIONS The use of explainable machine learning models may be preferred over conventional regression-based models for waiting list prioritization in LT. GEMA-AI made more accurate predictions of waiting list outcomes, particularly for the sickest patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Antonio Manuel Gómez-Orellana
- Department of Computer Science and Numerical Analysis, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain; Instituto Maimónides de Investigación Biomédica de Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
| | - Manuel Luis Rodríguez-Perálvarez
- Department of Hepatology and Liver Transplantation, Hospital Universitario Reina Sofía, Instituto Maimónides de Investigación Biomédica de Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain; Department of Medicine, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain; Centro de investigación biomédica en red de enfermedades hepáticas y digestivas, Madrid, Spain
| | - David Guijo-Rubio
- Department of Computer Science and Numerical Analysis, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain; Instituto Maimónides de Investigación Biomédica de Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain; Department of Signal Processing and Communications, University of Alcalá, Alcalá de Henares, Spain
| | - Pedro Antonio Gutiérrez
- Department of Computer Science and Numerical Analysis, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain; Instituto Maimónides de Investigación Biomédica de Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
| | - Avik Majumdar
- AW Morrow Gastroenterology and Liver Centre and Australian National Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Central Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Victorian Liver Transplant Unit, Austin Health, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia; Department of Medicine, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Geoffrey W McCaughan
- AW Morrow Gastroenterology and Liver Centre and Australian National Liver Transplant Unit, Royal Prince Alfred Hospital, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Central Clinical School, University of Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia; Liver Injury and Cancer Program, Centenary Institute, Sydney, Australia
| | - Rhiannon Taylor
- Department of Statistics and Clinical Studies, NHS Blood and Transplant, Stoke Gifford, United Kingdom
| | - Emmanuel A Tsochatzis
- Sheila Sherlock Liver Unit and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom.
| | - César Hervás-Martínez
- Department of Computer Science and Numerical Analysis, University of Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain; Instituto Maimónides de Investigación Biomédica de Córdoba, Córdoba, Spain
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Kim K, Yim SH, Lee JG, Joo DJ, Kim MS, Park JY, Ahn SH, Kim DG, Lee HW. Robust Predictive Performance of the SALT-M Score for Clinical Outcomes in Asian Patients With Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure. Aliment Pharmacol Ther 2025; 61:168-176. [PMID: 39392334 DOI: 10.1111/apt.18335] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/19/2024] [Revised: 07/07/2024] [Accepted: 09/28/2024] [Indexed: 10/12/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome of patients with chronic liver disease presenting with multiple organ failures. Recently, Sundaram-ACLF-LT Mortality (SALT-M) score has been developed to predict 1-year post-liver transplantation mortality. We validated the SALT-M score in a large-volume, Asian single-centre cohort. AIMS We validated the SALT-M score in a large-volume, Asian single-centre cohort. METHODS We analysed 224 patients of ACLF grade 2-3. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and concordance index (c-index) were used to assess and compare the predictability of posttransplant mortality of SALT-M and other scores. Moreover, we compared the survivals of patients with high and low SALT-M, in conjunction with MELD score and ACLF grade. RESULTS The AUROC for prediction of 1-year post-LT survival was higher in SALT-M (0.691) than in MELD, MELD-Na, MELD 3.0 and delta-MELD. Similarly, the c-index of the SALT-M (0.650) was higher than aforementioned MELD systems. When categorised by the cut-off of SALT-M ≥ 20 and MELD ≥ 30, patients with high SALT-M exhibited lower post-LT survival than those with low SALT-M scores regardless of high or low MELD (40.0% for high SALT-M/high MELD vs. 42.9% for high SALT-M/low MELD vs. 73.8% for low SALT-M/high MELD vs. 63.7% for low SALT-M/low MELD, p < 0.001). In patients with ACLF grade 3, SALT-M effectively stratified the posttransplant mortality (39.4% for high SALT-M vs. 63.1% for low SALT-M, p = 0.018). CONCLUSIONS SALT-M outperformed previous MELD systems for predicting posttransplant mortality in Asian LT cohort with severe ACLF. Transplantability for patients with severe ACLF could be determined based on SALT-M.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kunhee Kim
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Seung Hyuk Yim
- Department of Surgery, Institute for Transplantation, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Jae Geun Lee
- Department of Surgery, Institute for Transplantation, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Dong Jin Joo
- Department of Surgery, Institute for Transplantation, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Myoung Soo Kim
- Department of Surgery, Institute for Transplantation, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Jun Yong Park
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Sang Hoon Ahn
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Deok-Gie Kim
- Department of Surgery, Institute for Transplantation, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Hye Won Lee
- Department of Internal Medicine, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Institute of Gastroenterology, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Seoul, South Korea
- Yonsei Liver Center, Severance Hospital, Seoul, South Korea
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Al Zaman K, Alhebsi AA, Almheiri A, Alhosani H, Alshehhi NT, Alwheibi ES. Syndrome of Inappropriate Antidiuretic Hormone (SIADH) in Chronic Respiratory Diseases: A Comprehensive Review. Cureus 2025; 17:e77407. [PMID: 39949461 PMCID: PMC11822327 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.77407] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 01/13/2025] [Indexed: 02/16/2025] Open
Abstract
The syndrome of inappropriate antidiuretic hormone secretion (SIADH) is a complex and often underdiagnosed disorder characterized by impaired water homeostasis, leading to hyponatremia and associated complications. This comprehensive review explores the intersection of SIADH with chronic respiratory diseases, including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), pulmonary tuberculosis, cystic fibrosis, and interstitial lung disease. The review looks at current evidence on pathophysiology, diagnostic challenges, and treatment approaches, highlighting the need for specialized management strategies to improve patient outcomes. Through an analysis of clinical and observational studies, this review highlights the significant impact of SIADH on morbidity and mortality among patients with respiratory diseases. It illustrates the necessity for further research to refine diagnostic and therapeutic modalities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Khaled Al Zaman
- Internal Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, ARE
| | | | | | - Hind Alhosani
- Surgery, Cleveland Clinic Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, ARE
| | - Nada T Alshehhi
- Internal Medicine, Cleveland Clinic Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, ARE
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Adamantou M, Oikonomou T, Petridou NG, Kalligiannakis P, Chologkitas C, Kalpoutzakis M, Kavalaki MC, Glaros D, Michelis E, Papageorgiou A, Papatheodoridis GV, Goulis I, Cholongitas E. Validation of gender-equity model for liver allocation (GEMA) and its sodium variant (GEMA-Na) in candidates for liver transplantation. Ann Gastroenterol 2025; 38:93-99. [PMID: 39802293 PMCID: PMC11724376 DOI: 10.20524/aog.2024.0933] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2024] [Accepted: 11/13/2024] [Indexed: 01/16/2025] Open
Abstract
Background The current allocation system for liver transplantation (LT) is based on the sickest-first policy, using objective variables to ensure equal priority. However, under-prioritization of female patients for LT, compared to males, is well demonstrated and new scores have been proposed to overcome this systematic bias. This study evaluated the ability of these new scores to predict the long-term outcomes of patients with cirrhosis. Methods The clinical and laboratory characteristics of 694 consecutive candidates for liver transplantation from 2 liver transplant centers were recorded. The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD)-based scores (MELD, MELD-Sodium and MELD 3.0), as well as the Gender-Equity Model for liver Allocation (GEMA) and GEMA-Sodium, were used to assess the severity of liver disease. Patients were followed-up prospectively and their outcomes assessed. Results During a follow-up period of median length 12 months (range: 4-52), 28.5% of patients died, 21% of patients underwent LT, while 50.5% remained alive. Female patients had significantly lower MELD and MELD-Sodium scores compared to males, attributable to their significantly lower creatinine, while MELD 3.0, GEMA and GEMA-Sodium did not differ between the 2 sexes. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, GEMA-Sodium was the only factor independently associated with death/LT, and showed very good discriminative ability (hazard ratio 1.10, 95% confidence interval 1.073-1.128; P<0.001). These findings were confirmed in several subgroup analyses. Conclusions Our findings show for the first time the predictive ability of GEMA-Sodium for the long-term outcomes of LT candidates. However, further studies are needed to confirm these findings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Magdalini Adamantou
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - Theodora Oikonomou
- 4 Department of Internal Medicine, “Hippocration” General Hospital of Thessaloniki, Aristotelion University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki (Ioannis Goulis, Theodora Oikonomou)
| | - Nedia Georgia Petridou
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - Panagiotis Kalligiannakis
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - Christos Chologkitas
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - Michail Kalpoutzakis
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - Maria Christina Kavalaki
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - Dimitrios Glaros
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - Evangelinos Michelis
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - Apostolos Papageorgiou
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
| | - George V. Papatheodoridis
- Academic Department of Gastroenterology, “Laiko” General Hospital of Athens, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens (George V. Papatheodoridis, Evangelos Cholongitas); Greece
| | - Ioannis Goulis
- 4 Department of Internal Medicine, “Hippocration” General Hospital of Thessaloniki, Aristotelion University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki (Ioannis Goulis, Theodora Oikonomou)
| | - Evangelos Cholongitas
- First Department of Internal Medicine, Medical School, National and Kapodistrian University, Athens (Magdalini Adamantou, Nedia Georgia Petridou, Panagiotis Kalligiannakis, Christos Chologkitas, Michail Kalpoutzakis, Maria Christina Kavalaki, Dimitrios Glaros, Evangelinos Michelis, Apostolos Papageorgiou, Evangelos Cholongitas)
- Academic Department of Gastroenterology, “Laiko” General Hospital of Athens, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens (George V. Papatheodoridis, Evangelos Cholongitas); Greece
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Luk JW, Ha N, Shui AM, Snyder HR, Batki SL, Ostacher MJ, Monto A, Wong RJ, Cheung R, Parekh P, Hua W, Tompkins DA, Fakadej T, Haight CG, Liao M, Khalili M, Satre DD. Demographic and clinical characteristics associated with utilization of alcohol use disorder treatment in a multicenter study of patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis. ALCOHOL, CLINICAL & EXPERIMENTAL RESEARCH 2025; 49:244-255. [PMID: 39632077 PMCID: PMC11747812 DOI: 10.1111/acer.15500] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/04/2024] [Accepted: 11/05/2024] [Indexed: 12/07/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Alcohol use disorder (AUD) treatment can help improve clinical outcomes among patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis but is underutilized. Among socioeconomically disadvantaged patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis, we examined rates of lifetime and past 12-month AUD treatment utilization and associated demographic and clinical characteristics. METHODS Racial/ethnically diverse patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis who had at least one hepatology clinic visit in the prior 6 months were recruited from three Northern California medical centers serving veterans and safety-net populations. Participants self-reported their AUD treatment utilization, liver disease quality of life (LDQoL), history and current symptoms of anxiety and depression, and problematic drinking as measured by the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test (AUDIT). Clinical measures including liver disease severity were captured from medical records. RESULTS Among 196 participants, the majority were male (88%) with a mean age of 62 years. Two-thirds of participants (67%) reported ever utilizing AUD treatment and 32% reported utilizing AUD treatment in the past 12 months. Compared with those who did not utilize AUD treatment, participants who utilized lifetime or past 12-month AUD treatment were younger, had lower LDQoL scores, and had higher scores on current symptoms of anxiety, depression, and problematic drinking. In multivariable analyses, the odds of ever utilizing pharmacological treatment alone or both behavioral and pharmacological treatment (vs. none) were lower with older age or higher LDQoL, and higher among those with a history of anxiety/depressive disorder. For past 12-month treatment utilization, odds were lower with older age, and higher among those with current clinically significant anxiety/depression or problematic drinking. CONCLUSIONS Patients with alcohol-associated cirrhosis who were younger or had anxiety/depression and problematic drinking were more likely to utilize AUD treatment. To improve AUD treatment utilization, targeted outreach to patients less likely to receive care and the provision of integrated ALD and AUD treatment is warranted.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jeremy W. Luk
- Office of the Clinical Director, National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism, Bethesda, MD, USA
| | - Nghiem Ha
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Amy M. Shui
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Liver Center, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Hannah R. Snyder
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Steven L. Batki
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Mental Health Service, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Michael J. Ostacher
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Department of Psychiatry, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA, USA
| | - Alexander Monto
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Robert J. Wong
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Gastroenterology Section, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA, USA
| | - Ramsey Cheung
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, CA, USA
- Gastroenterology Section, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA, USA
| | - Priti Parekh
- Department of Psychiatry, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA, USA
| | - William Hua
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Mental Health Service, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - D. Andrew Tompkins
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Taylor Fakadej
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Christina G. Haight
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Veterans Affairs San Francisco Health Care System, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Meimei Liao
- Gastroenterology Section, Veterans Affairs Palo Alto Health Care System, Palo Alto, CA, USA
| | - Mandana Khalili
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Liver Center, University of California, San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Zuckerberg San Francisco General Hospital, San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Derek D. Satre
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, Weill Institute for Neurosciences, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA
- Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Division of Research, Pleasanton, CA, USA
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Cullaro G, Allegretti AS, Patidar KR, Verna EC, Lai JC. Cystatin C and the difference between cystatin C and serum creatinine: Improved metrics to predict waitlist mortality among patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Liver Transpl 2025; 31:24-31. [PMID: 39041923 PMCID: PMC11647667 DOI: 10.1097/lvt.0000000000000439] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2024] [Accepted: 07/02/2024] [Indexed: 07/24/2024]
Abstract
Among patients with decompensated cirrhosis, serum creatinine (sCr) is biased by sex, frailty, and hepatic synthetic function, while Cystatin C (cysC) is not. We found that sCr would better associate with waitlist mortality and that the difference between cysC and sCr (cysCsCr diff ) would quantify this bias and be independently associated with outcomes. We measured cysC levels at ambulatory liver transplant visits among 525 consecutive patients seen at our center. We defined the cysCsCr diff as the difference between cysC minus sCr. We compared demographics and clinical characteristics in patients with low, intermediate, and high cysCsCr diff , divided by tertile. We used Cox regression to compare the association between sCr and cysC and waitlist mortality and demonstrate the independent association between cysCsCr diff and waitlist mortality. In Cox regression, cysC was significantly more associated with waitlist mortality than sCr ( p < 0.001). We found that as compared to those with a low cysCsCr diff , those with an intermediate or high cysCsCr diff were more likely to be female, have ascites, have higher frailty, and have higher MELD 3.0 scores ( p < 0.05 for all). Compared to those with a low cysCsCr diff , we found that those in the intermediate and high groups were more likely to die during follow-up (low: 6% vs. intermediate: 8% vs. high: 11%, p = 0.007). We found that after adjusting for the components of the MELD 3.0 score, each 1-point increase in the cysCsCr diff was associated with 1.72× (1.27-2.32) the hazard of waitlist mortality. Our study demonstrates that not only is cysC more associated with waitlist mortality than sCr, but that cysCsCr diff represents a novel independent metric associated with waitlist mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giuseppe Cullaro
- Department of Medicine, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
| | - Andrew S. Allegretti
- Department of Medicine, Division of Nephrology, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Kavish R. Patidar
- Section of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine and Michael E. DeBakey Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Houston, Texas, USA
| | - Elizabeth C. Verna
- Department of Medicine, Center for Liver Disease and Transplantation, Vagelos College of Physicians & Surgeons, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA
| | - Jennifer C. Lai
- Department of Medicine, University of California-San Francisco, San Francisco, California, USA
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Protopapas AA, Tsankof A, Papagiouvanni I, Kaiafa G, Skoura L, Savopoulos C, Goulis I. Outpatient management after hospitalisation for acute decompensation of cirrhosis: A practical guide. World J Hepatol 2024; 16:1377-1394. [PMID: 39744202 PMCID: PMC11686542 DOI: 10.4254/wjh.v16.i12.1377] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2024] [Revised: 10/24/2024] [Accepted: 11/20/2024] [Indexed: 11/29/2024] Open
Abstract
Acute decompensation in cirrhotic patients signifies the onset of clinically evident events due to portal hypertension. The transition from compensated to decompensated cirrhosis involves hemodynamic changes leading to multiorgan dysfunction, managed predominantly in outpatient settings with regular monitoring. The mortality risk is elevated in decompensated patients. Therefore, diligent outpatient management should focus on regular medical follow-ups, medication adjustments, patient education, addressing emergent issues and evaluation for liver transplantation. The ultimate goal is to improve quality of life, prevent disease progression, reduce complications, and assess possible recompensation. This guide provides valuable recommendations for medical experts managing decompensated cirrhotic patients post-hospitalization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adonis A Protopapas
- First Propaedeutic Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University Hospital, Thessaloniki 54636, Greece.
| | - Alexandra Tsankof
- First Propaedeutic Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University Hospital, Thessaloniki 54636, Greece
| | - Ioanna Papagiouvanni
- Fourth Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Hippokration General Hospital, Thessaloniki 54642, Greece
| | - Georgia Kaiafa
- First Propaedeutic Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University Hospital, Thessaloniki 54636, Greece
| | - Lemonia Skoura
- Department of Microbiology, Aristotle University οf Thessaloniki, AHEPA University Hospital, Thessaloniki 54636, Greece
| | - Christos Savopoulos
- First Propaedeutic Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, AHEPA University Hospital, Thessaloniki 54636, Greece
| | - Ioannis Goulis
- Fourth Department of Internal Medicine, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Hippokration General Hospital, Thessaloniki 54642, Greece
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Hudson D, Valentin Cortez FJ, León IHDD, Malhi G, Rivas A, Afzaal T, Rad MR, Diaz LA, Khan MQ, Arab JP. Advancements in MELD Score and Its Impact on Hepatology. Semin Liver Dis 2024. [PMID: 39515784 DOI: 10.1055/a-2464-9543] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
There continues to be an ongoing need for fair and equitable organ allocation. The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score has evolved as a calculated framework to evaluate and allocate patients for liver transplantation objectively. The original MELD score has undergone multiple modifications as it is continuously scrutinized for its accuracy in objectively representing the clinical context of patients with liver disease. Several refinements and iterations of the score have been developed, including the widely accepted MELD-Na score. In addition, the most recent updated iteration, MELD 3.0, has been created. The MELD 3.0 calculator incorporates new variables such as patient sex and serum albumin levels and assigns new weights for serum sodium, bilirubin, international normalized ratio, and creatinine levels. It is anticipated that the use of MELD 3.0 scores will reduce overall waitlist mortality and enhance access for female liver transplant candidates. However, despite the emergence of the MELD score as one of the most objective measures for fair organ allocation, various countries and healthcare systems employ alternative methods for stratification and organ allocation. This review article will highlight the origins of the MELD score, its iterations, the current MELD 3.0, and future directions for managing liver transplantation organ allocation. LAY SUMMARY: Organ donation is crucial for the management of patients unwell with liver disease, but organs must be allocated fairly and equitably. One method used for this is the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, which helps objectively decide which patient is a candidate for liver transplant. Over time, the MELD score has been refined to better reflect patients' needs. For example, the latest version, MELD 3.0, now considers factors like nutrition and gender. This should ensure that more patients, especially females, are candidates and receive appropriate access to liver transplantation. However, not every country uses the MELD score. Some countries have created their own scoring systems based on local research. This review will explain where the MELD score came from, how it has changed, the current characteristics of the MELD 3.0 score, and what the future might hold for organ allocation in liver transplants.
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Affiliation(s)
- David Hudson
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University and London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
| | | | - Ivonne Hurtado Díaz de León
- Department of Gastroenterology, Instituto Nacional de Ciencias Médicas y Nutrición Salvador Zubirán, Mexico City, Mexico
| | - Gurpreet Malhi
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University and London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Angelica Rivas
- Department of Medicine, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta, Canada
| | - Tamoor Afzaal
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University and London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Mahsa Rahmany Rad
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University and London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Luis Antonio Diaz
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, MASLD Research Center, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California
| | - Mohammad Qasim Khan
- Division of Gastroenterology, Department of Medicine, Schulich School of Medicine, Western University and London Health Sciences Centre, London, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Western University, London, Ontario, Canada
| | - Juan Pablo Arab
- Departamento de Gastroenterología, Escuela de Medicina, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
- Division of Gastroenterology, Hepatology, and Nutrition, Department of Internal Medicine, Virginia Commonwealth University School of Medicine, Richmond, Virginia
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Kalo E, Sturm L, Schultheiss M, Moore O, Kurup R, Gahm C, Read S, Reincke M, Huber JP, Müller L, Kloeckner R, George J, Thimme R, Bettinger D, Ahlenstiel G. The Freiburg Index of Post-TIPS Survival accurately predicts mortality in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis. Liver Int 2024; 44:3229-3237. [PMID: 39248164 PMCID: PMC11586886 DOI: 10.1111/liv.16098] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2024] [Revised: 08/14/2024] [Accepted: 08/25/2024] [Indexed: 09/10/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The recently developed Freiburg Index of Post-TIPS Survival (FIPS) allows improved risk classification of patients with decompensated cirrhosis allocated to transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) implantation. This study investigated the prognostic value of the FIPS in patients hospitalized with acute decompensation of cirrhosis (AD), outside the setting of TIPS implantation. METHODS A total of 1133 patients with AD were included in a retrospective, multi-centre study. Ninety-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality were recorded and the FIPS' performance in predicting mortality at these time points was analysed using ROC analyses. RESULTS Ninety-day, 180-day and 1-year mortality were 17.7%, 24.4% and 30.8%. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression models showed that the FIPS independently predicted 1-year mortality in the study cohort (HR 1.806, 95% CI 1.632-1.998, p < .0001). In ROC analyses, the FIPS offered consistently high performance in the prediction of mortality within 1 year after AD (area under the receiver operator characteristic [AUROC]: 1-year mortality .712 [.679-.746], 180-day mortality .740 [.705-.775] and 90-day mortality .761 [.721-.801]). In fact, in the subgroup of patients presenting with variceal bleeding, the FIPS even showed significantly improved discriminatory performance in the prediction of long-term mortality (AUROC 1-year mortality: .782 [.724-.839]) in comparison with established prognostic scores, such as the CLIF-C AD score (.724 [.660-.788], p = .0071) or MELD 3.0 (.726 [.662-.790], p = .0042). CONCLUSIONS The FIPS accurately predicts mortality in patients with AD and seems to offer superior prognostication of long-term mortality in patients with variceal bleeding.
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Affiliation(s)
- Eric Kalo
- Blacktown Mount Druitt Clinical School and Research CentreWestern Sydney UniversityBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
- Blacktown HospitalWestern Sydney Local Health DistrictBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Lukas Sturm
- Department of Medicine II, Medical Center University of Freiburg, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
- Berta‐Ottenstein‐Programme, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
| | - Michael Schultheiss
- Department of Medicine II, Medical Center University of Freiburg, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
- Berta‐Ottenstein‐Programme, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
| | - Oliver Moore
- Blacktown HospitalWestern Sydney Local Health DistrictBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Rajiv Kurup
- Blacktown Mount Druitt Clinical School and Research CentreWestern Sydney UniversityBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
- Blacktown HospitalWestern Sydney Local Health DistrictBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Chiara Gahm
- Department of Medicine II, Medical Center University of Freiburg, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
| | - Scott Read
- Blacktown Mount Druitt Clinical School and Research CentreWestern Sydney UniversityBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
- Blacktown HospitalWestern Sydney Local Health DistrictBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
- Storr Liver UnitWestmead Institute for Medical ResearchWestmeadNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Marlene Reincke
- Department of Medicine II, Medical Center University of Freiburg, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
| | - Jan Patrick Huber
- Department of Medicine II, Medical Center University of Freiburg, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
| | - Lukas Müller
- Department of Diagnostic and Interventional RadiologyMedical Center University of Mainz, Faculty of Medicine, University of MainzMainzGermany
| | - Roman Kloeckner
- Institute of Interventional RadiologyUniversity Hospital Schleswig‐HolsteinLübeckGermany
| | - Jacob George
- Storr Liver UnitWestmead Institute for Medical ResearchWestmeadNew South WalesAustralia
- Department of Gastroenterology & HepatologyThe University of Sydney, Westmead HospitalWestmeadNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Robert Thimme
- Department of Medicine II, Medical Center University of Freiburg, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
| | - Dominik Bettinger
- Department of Medicine II, Medical Center University of Freiburg, Faculty of MedicineUniversity of FreiburgFreiburgGermany
| | - Golo Ahlenstiel
- Blacktown Mount Druitt Clinical School and Research CentreWestern Sydney UniversityBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
- Blacktown HospitalWestern Sydney Local Health DistrictBlacktownNew South WalesAustralia
- Storr Liver UnitWestmead Institute for Medical ResearchWestmeadNew South WalesAustralia
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Bilbao I, Lladó L, Cachero A, Campos-Varela I, Colmenero J, Del Hoyo J, Fábrega García E, García-Pajares F, González Diéguez L, González Grande R, Guiberteau Sánchez A, Hernández Oliveros F, Herrero Santos JI, Lorente S, Martín Mateos R, Mesa López MJ, Montero Álvarez JL, Muñoz Codoceo C, Otero Ferreiro A, Otón Nieto E, Rodríguez Soler M, Romero Cristóbal M, Sastre Oliver L, Senosiain Labiano M, Sousa Martín JM, Trapero-Marugán M, Varo E, de la Rosa G, Rodríguez-Perálvarez M. First consensus document of waiting list prioritization for liver transplantation by the Spanish Society of Liver Transplantation (SETH). REVISTA ESPANOLA DE ENFERMEDADES DIGESTIVAS 2024; 116:680-689. [PMID: 39267491 DOI: 10.17235/reed.2024.10639/2024] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 09/17/2024]
Abstract
Spain is worldwide leader in deceased donation rates per million habitants and count on a strong network of twenty-five liver transplant institutions. Although the access to liver transplantation is higher than in other countries, approximately 10% of patients qualifying for liver transplantation in Spain will die in the waiting list or would be excluded due to clinical deterioration. A robust waiting list prioritization system is paramount to grant the sickest patients with the first positions in the waiting list for an earlier access to transplant. In addition, the allocation policy may not create or perpetuate inequities, particularly in a public and universal healthcare system. Hitherto, Spain lacks a unique national allocation system for elective liver transplantation. Most institutions establish their own rules for liver allocation and only two autonomous regions, namely Andalucía and Cataluña, share part of their waiting list within their territory to provide regional priority to patients requiring more urgent transplantation. This heterogeneity is further aggravated by the recently described sex-based disparities for accessing liver transplantation in Spain, and by the expansion of liver transplant indications, mainly for oncological indications, in absence of clear guidance on the optimal prioritization policy. The present document contains the recommendations from the first consensus of waiting list prioritization for liver transplantation issued by the Spanish Society of Liver Transplantation (SETH). The document was supported by all liver transplant institutions in Spain and by the Organización Nacional de Trasplantes (ONT). Its implementation will allow to homogenize practices and to improve equity and outcomes among patients with end-stage liver disease.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | - Javier Del Hoyo
- Hospital Universitari i Politècnic La Fe. Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria La Fe. CIBERehd
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Sara Lorente
- Hospital Universitario Lozano Blesa. Instituto de Investigaciones Sanitarias de Aragón (IIS Aragón)
| | - Rosa Martín Mateos
- Hospital Universitario Ramón y Cajal. IRyCIS. Universidad de Alcalá de Henares. CIBERehd
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Mario Romero Cristóbal
- Hospital General Universitario e Instituto de Investigación Biomédica Gregorio Marañón. CIBERehd
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Bai Z, Yin Y, Xu W, Cheng G, Qi X. Predictive model of in-hospital mortality in liver cirrhosis patients with hyponatremia: an artificial neural network approach. Sci Rep 2024; 14:28719. [PMID: 39567595 PMCID: PMC11579295 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-73256-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2024] [Accepted: 09/16/2024] [Indexed: 11/22/2024] Open
Abstract
Hyponatremia can worsen the outcomes of patients with liver cirrhosis. However, it remains unclear about how to predict the risk of death in cirrhotic patients with hyponatremia. Patients with liver cirrhosis and hyponatremia were screened. Eligible patients were randomly divided into the training (n = 472) and validation (n = 471) cohorts. In the training cohort, the independent predictors for in-hospital death were identified by logistic regression analyses. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated. An artificial neural network (ANN) model was established in the training cohort. Areas under curve (AUCs) of ANN model, Child-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), and MELD-Na scores were calculated by receiver operating characteristic curve analyses. In multivariate logistic regression analyses, ascites (OR = 2.705, P = 0.042), total bilirubin (OR = 1.004, P = 0.003), serum creatinine (OR = 1.004, P = 0.017), and international normalized ratio (OR = 1.457, P = 0.005) were independently associated with in-hospital death. Based on the four variables, an ANN model was established. Its AUC was 0.865 and 0.810 in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, which was significantly larger than those of Child-Pugh (AUC = 0.757), MELD (AUC = 0.765), and MELD-Na (AUC = 0.769) scores. An ANN model has been developed and validated for the prediction of in-hospital death in patients with liver cirrhosis and hyponatremia.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhaohui Bai
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command (Teaching Hospital of Shenyang Pharmaceutical University), Shenyang, China
- Department of Pharmacy Administration and Clinical Pharmacy, School of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, China
| | - Yuhang Yin
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command (Teaching Hospital of Shenyang Pharmaceutical University), Shenyang, China
- Postgraduate College, China Medical University, Shenyang, China
| | - Wentao Xu
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command (Teaching Hospital of Shenyang Pharmaceutical University), Shenyang, China
| | - Gang Cheng
- NMPA Key Laboratory for Research and Evaluation of Drug Regulatory Technology, Shenyang Pharmaceutical University, Shenyang, China.
| | - Xingshun Qi
- Liver Cirrhosis Study Group, Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command (Teaching Hospital of Shenyang Pharmaceutical University), Shenyang, China.
- NMPA Key Laboratory for Research and Evaluation of Drug Regulatory Technology, Shenyang Pharmaceutical University, Shenyang, China.
- Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Northern Theater Command Shenyang (Teaching Hospital of Shenyang Pharmaceutical University), Shenyang, China.
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Chen SY, Ng CJ, Huang YB, Lo HY. Analyzing prognosis and comparing predictive scoring systems for mortality of COVID-19 patients with liver cirrhosis: a multicenter retrospective study. BMC Infect Dis 2024; 24:1315. [PMID: 39558236 PMCID: PMC11572522 DOI: 10.1186/s12879-024-10223-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2024] [Accepted: 11/13/2024] [Indexed: 11/20/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Limited research suggested that liver cirrhosis is an independent risk factor for severe COVID-19, leading to higher hospitalization and mortality rates. This study aimed to identify the prognostic factors and validate scoring systems for predicting mortality in COVID-19 patients with liver cirrhosis. METHODS This retrospective cohort study extracted electronic health records of patients with COVID-19 who visited the emergency department between April 2021 and September 2022. Adult COVID-19 patients with liver cirrhosis were included, excluding those aged < 18 years and who did not require hospitalization. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality. The effectiveness of the scoring systems were analyzed for COVID-19 in-house mortality prediction. RESULTS A total of 1,368 adult COVID-19 patients with liver cirrhosis were included in this study. Compared with the survival group, the non-survival group had lower vital signs such as systolic blood pressure and blood oxygen saturation, higher levels of white blood cells, creatinine, bilirubin, and C-reactive protein, and longer prothrombin time. Higher rates of intubation, oxygen use, and dexamethasone use were observed in the non-survivor group. The WHO ordinal scale, MELD, and MELD-Na scores showed good predictive ability for in-hospital mortality. CONCLUSIONS The WHO ordinal scale showed the best performance in predicting mortality in patients with cirrhosis and COVID-19. MELD and MELD-Na scores were also found good performance for mortality prediction. Coagulation function, intubation, and dexamethasone administration were the most significant prognostic factors.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shou-Yen Chen
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, No. 5 Fushing St., Gueishan Shiang, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
- Graduate Institute of Management, College of Management, Chang Gung University, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Chip-Jin Ng
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, No. 5 Fushing St., Gueishan Shiang, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Yan-Bo Huang
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, No. 5 Fushing St., Gueishan Shiang, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan
| | - Hsiang-Yun Lo
- Department of Emergency Medicine, Chang Gung Memorial Hospital, Chang Gung University College of Medicine, No. 5 Fushing St., Gueishan Shiang, Taoyuan, 333, Taiwan.
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Bernal W, Taylor R, Rowe IA, Chauhan A, Armstrong MJ, Allison ME, Webb G, Pirani T, Moore J, Burke L, Masson S, Cressy D, Hogan BJ, Westbrook R, Jalan R, Simpson KJ, Isaac J, Thorburn D. Liver transplantation for critically ill patients with acute on chronic liver failure: a prospective national programme of waitlist prioritisation. THE LANCET REGIONAL HEALTH. EUROPE 2024; 46:101067. [PMID: 39529808 PMCID: PMC11551510 DOI: 10.1016/j.lanepe.2024.101067] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2024] [Revised: 08/26/2024] [Accepted: 08/28/2024] [Indexed: 11/16/2024]
Abstract
Background Acute on Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) complicates chronic liver disease (CLD) combining rapidly progressive hepatic with extra-hepatic multiple organ failure and high short-term mortality. Effective therapeutic options are very limited, and liver transplantation (LT) seldom utilised through concerns of high recipient mortality and resource use. Retrospective reports suggest recent outcomes may have improved, but use of LT for ACLF has not been prospectively assessed. Methods A prospective programme of prioritised liver graft allocation for selected recipients with ACLF through registration on a new national tier, initiated in May 2021 in all 7 United Kingdom LT centres. Candidates were selected by centre multidisciplinary teams, with inclusion criteria mandating cirrhotic CLD with ACLF requiring critical care (CC) organ support and expected 1-month mortality >50%. Exclusion criteria included age ≥60 years, previous LT, comorbidity or substance misuse profile precluding elective LT. A pilot 50 registrations were planned, with pre-specified futility criteria of a 1-year post-LT survival of 60%. Findings Fifty-two patients were registered on the ACLF tier, median (IQR) age 46 (39-52) years, ACLF grade 3 (3-3) and Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) 39 (35-40). At registration 32 (62%) required mechanical ventilation, 44 (85%) vasopressors and 46 (89%) renal replacement. Forty-two (81%) underwent LT 2 (2-5) days after registration: 10 (19%) did not. All non-transplanted died at median 7 (4-13) days after registration (p < 0.0001 vs. LT). Post-LT follow-up was 212 (119-530) days and patient survival 81% (95% CI 66-91): 28-, 90-day and 1-year survival after registration 93%, 86% and 77%. Median length of CC and hospital stay in LT recipients was 16 (8-28) and 35 (23-54) days respectively. Interpretation We report the first prospective national series of prioritised liver transplantation for critically ill patients with ACLF. For selected recipients LT is a practical and highly effective treatment option where no other similarly effective interventions exist. Funding There was no funding for the study.
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Affiliation(s)
- William Bernal
- Liver Intensive Therapy Unit, Kings College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | | | - Ian A. Rowe
- Leeds Institute for Medical Research, University of Leeds, United Kingdom
- St James University Hospital, Leeds, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | - Gwilym Webb
- Addenbrookes Hospital, Cambridge, United Kingdom
| | - Tasneem Pirani
- Liver Intensive Therapy Unit, Kings College Hospital, London, United Kingdom
| | - Joanna Moore
- St James University Hospital, Leeds, United Kingdom
| | - Laura Burke
- St James University Hospital, Leeds, United Kingdom
| | | | | | | | | | - Rajiv Jalan
- Royal Free Hospital, London, United Kingdom
- Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, University College London, United Kingdom
| | | | - John Isaac
- Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Birmingham, United Kingdom
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Belmonte R, Silva-Rodriguez M, Barbé F, Bensenane M, Haghenejad V, Vrillon I, Alla A, Flahault A, Kormann R, Corbel A, Aitdjafer Z, Quilliot D, Derain-Dubourg L, Namour F, Guéant JL, Bronowicki JP, Oussalah A. Multiparametric renal function assessment in cirrhotic patients shows high prevalence of medically actionable changes in multiple modules. Hepatol Res 2024; 54:1035-1048. [PMID: 38662338 DOI: 10.1111/hepr.14050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2024] [Revised: 03/24/2024] [Accepted: 04/03/2024] [Indexed: 04/26/2024]
Abstract
AIM Renal dysfunction is a common complication of cirrhosis, occurring either as part of multiorgan involvement in acute illness or secondary to advanced liver disease. To date, no study has comprehensively assessed multiple renal function parameters in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis through a multiparametric analysis of renal biochemistry markers. METHODS We conducted a retrospective, observational study including all consecutive patients hospitalized with cirrhosis who underwent a 43-multiparametric renal function assessment between January 1, 2021, and June 30, 2023. RESULTS All patients showed at least one of the following renal abnormalities: Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes stage G2 or higher, sodium and/or chloride excretion fraction <1%, electrolyte-free water clearance <0.4 mL/min, or tubular maximum phosphate reabsorption capacity <0.8 mmol/L. The estimated glomerular filtration rate equations significantly overestimated the measured creatinine clearance with median differences of +14 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI 6-29) and +9 mL/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI 2-15) for European Kidney Function Consortium equations, respectively. Notably, 54% and 39% of patients demonstrated estimated glomerular filtration rates exceeding 30% of the measured creatinine clearance when the Chronic Kidney Disease - Epidemiology Collaboration and European Kidney Function Consortium formulas were employed, respectively. Substantial discrepancies in Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes stage assignments were observed between the estimated glomerular filtration rate- and measured creatinine clearance-based assessments. CONCLUSIONS This study underscores the value of a multiparametric renal function assessment as a routine tool for evaluating renal function in patients with cirrhosis. A high prevalence of medically actionable renal abnormalities spanning multiple renal function modules, including alterations in glomerular function, salt and solute-free water excretion, and proximal tubule phosphate reabsorption, has been demonstrated in hospitalized patients with cirrhosis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Richard Belmonte
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Division of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Medical Biology Laboratory for Biochemical and Molecular Explorations of Uro-nephrological Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Maël Silva-Rodriguez
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Division of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Medical Biology Laboratory for Biochemical and Molecular Explorations of Uro-nephrological Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Françoise Barbé
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Division of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Medical Biology Laboratory for Biochemical and Molecular Explorations of Uro-nephrological Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Mouni Bensenane
- Department of Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Vincent Haghenejad
- Department of Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- University of Lorraine, INSERM UMR_S 1256, Nutrition, Genetics, and Environmental Risk Exposure (NGERE), Faculty of Medicine of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Isabelle Vrillon
- Pediatric Nephrology Unit, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Asma Alla
- Department of Nephrology, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Adrien Flahault
- Department of Nephrology, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Raphael Kormann
- Department of Nephrology, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Alice Corbel
- Department of Nephrology, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Zakia Aitdjafer
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Division of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Medical Biology Laboratory for Biochemical and Molecular Explorations of Uro-nephrological Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Didier Quilliot
- University of Lorraine, INSERM UMR_S 1256, Nutrition, Genetics, and Environmental Risk Exposure (NGERE), Faculty of Medicine of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Department of Endocrinology Diabetology and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Laurence Derain-Dubourg
- Nephrology, Dialysis, Hypertension and Functional Renal Exploration, Edouard Herriot Hospital, Hospices Civils de Lyon and Université Lyon 1, Lyon, France
| | - Farès Namour
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Division of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Medical Biology Laboratory for Biochemical and Molecular Explorations of Uro-nephrological Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- University of Lorraine, INSERM UMR_S 1256, Nutrition, Genetics, and Environmental Risk Exposure (NGERE), Faculty of Medicine of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Center for Inborn Errors of Metabolism (ORPHA67872), University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Jean-Louis Guéant
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Division of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Medical Biology Laboratory for Biochemical and Molecular Explorations of Uro-nephrological Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- University of Lorraine, INSERM UMR_S 1256, Nutrition, Genetics, and Environmental Risk Exposure (NGERE), Faculty of Medicine of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Center for Inborn Errors of Metabolism (ORPHA67872), University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Jean-Pierre Bronowicki
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Division of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Department of Gastroenterology and Liver Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- University of Lorraine, INSERM UMR_S 1256, Nutrition, Genetics, and Environmental Risk Exposure (NGERE), Faculty of Medicine of Nancy, Nancy, France
| | - Abderrahim Oussalah
- Department of Molecular Medicine, Division of Biochemistry, Molecular Biology, and Nutrition, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Medical Biology Laboratory for Biochemical and Molecular Explorations of Uro-nephrological Diseases, University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
- University of Lorraine, INSERM UMR_S 1256, Nutrition, Genetics, and Environmental Risk Exposure (NGERE), Faculty of Medicine of Nancy, Nancy, France
- Reference Center for Inborn Errors of Metabolism (ORPHA67872), University Hospital of Nancy, Nancy, France
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Yokoyama S, Honda T, Ishizu Y, Imai N, Ito T, Yamamoto K, Mizuno K, Nakamura M, Kawashima H. Predicting early rebleeding and mortality after endoscopic hemostasis of esophagogastric varices: Diagnostic performance of aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index and model for end-stage liver disease-Na score. JOURNAL OF HEPATO-BILIARY-PANCREATIC SCIENCES 2024; 31:830-839. [PMID: 39022894 DOI: 10.1002/jhbp.12057] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/20/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Endoscopic variceal ligation and sclerotherapy are recommended for esophagogastric variceal bleeding (EGVB) in cirrhosis but can be complicated by early rebleeding and death. This study aimed to identify noninvasive markers accurately predicting early rebleeding and mortality after endoscopic hemostasis for EGVB. METHODS Among 116 patients with endoscopically confirmed EGVB and endoscopic hemostasis, various noninvasive markers were calculated, and their predictive accuracy was compared by receiver-operating characteristic curve analysis. Endpoints included 5-day rebleeding, 5-day mortality, 6-week rebleeding, and 6-week mortality. RESULTS The median age was 63 years. Child-Pugh class B and C patients accounted for 40.5% and 34.5%, respectively. Only the aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) significantly predicted 5-day rebleeding, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.777 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.537-1). The model for end-stage liver disease-Na (MELD-Na) score showed good predictive accuracy for 5-day mortality (AUC: 0.839, 95% CI: 0.681-0.997), 6-week rebleeding (AUC: 0.797, 95% CI: 0.663-0.932), and 6-week mortality (AUC: 0.888, 95% CI: 0.797-0.979). CONCLUSIONS Patients with cirrhosis with a high APRI and MELD-Na score were at high risk of early rebleeding and death after EGVB. Allocating appropriate monitoring and care for those patients is necessary.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shinya Yokoyama
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| | - Takashi Honda
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| | - Yoji Ishizu
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| | - Norihiro Imai
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| | - Takanori Ito
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| | - Kenta Yamamoto
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| | - Kazuyuki Mizuno
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| | - Masanao Nakamura
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
| | - Hiroki Kawashima
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Nagoya University Graduate School of Medicine, Nagoya, Aichi, Japan
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Wattanachayakul P, Martinez Manzano JM, Geller A, Malin J, Leguizamon R, John TA, Khan R, McLaren I, Prendergast A, Jarrett SA, Sarvottam K, Lo KB. Clinical Characteristics and Outcomes Associated With Distinct Hemodynamic Patterns in End-stage Liver Disease: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis. J Clin Exp Hepatol 2024; 14:101470. [PMID: 39100890 PMCID: PMC11292490 DOI: 10.1016/j.jceh.2024.101470] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2024] [Accepted: 06/12/2024] [Indexed: 08/06/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction Despite advances in the diagnosis and therapeutics strategies for pulmonary hypertension (PH) in patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD), the impact of hemodynamic patterns among ESLD patients identified through right heart catheterization (RHC) on clinical outcomes remains poorly understood. Methods This single-center retrospective cohort study identified patients diagnosed with ESLD who underwent RHC from August 2018 to June 2023. Demographic and clinical data, including comorbidities, transthoracic echocardiography, and RHC findings, were obtained. Our outcomes of interest were all-cause mortality and the chance of receiving orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) within a year after RHC. Kaplan-Meier with log-rank test was employed to generate survival curves. Results We identified 415 ESLD patients with the RHC results. The median (IQR) age was 59 years (52-66), and 62% were male. Caucasians accounted for 43%, followed by African Americans (30%). Up to 89% had a diagnosis of portal hypertension. Median MELD-Na score was 30 (19-36). The etiology of ESLD was mainly from alcohol use (55%). Patients were classified based on RHC results as pre-capillary PH (19%), post-capillary PH (28%), and non-PH (53%) groups. Overall, one-year mortality post-RHC was 22%, with no significant difference in mortality regardless of hemodynamic group. However, the pre-capillary PH group was less likely to receive OLT compared to other groups (P < 0.001). Conclusion We observed no difference in all-cause mortality among hemodynamic groups. However, pre-capillary PH group were less likely to undergo OLT compared to others. Further investigations are necessary to determine how this should be addressed in clinical practice.
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Affiliation(s)
- Phuuwadith Wattanachayakul
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Jose M. Martinez Manzano
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Andrew Geller
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - John Malin
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Raul Leguizamon
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Tara A. John
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Rasha Khan
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Ian McLaren
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Alexander Prendergast
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Simone A. Jarrett
- Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Kumar Sarvottam
- Division of Pulmonary and Critical Care, Department of Medicine, Jefferson Einstein Hospital, Sidney Kimmel College of Medicine, Philadelphia, PA, USA
| | - Kevin B. Lo
- Department of Cardiology, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
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Dale R, Cheng M, Pines KC, Currie ME. Inconsistent values and algorithmic fairness: a review of organ allocation priority systems in the United States. BMC Med Ethics 2024; 25:115. [PMID: 39420378 PMCID: PMC11483980 DOI: 10.1186/s12910-024-01116-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/30/2024] [Accepted: 10/09/2024] [Indexed: 10/19/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Organ Procurement and Transplant Network (OPTN) Final Rule guides national organ transplantation policies, mandating equitable organ allocation and organ-specific priority stratification systems. Current allocation scores rely on mortality predictions. METHODS We examined the alignment between the ethical priorities across organ prioritization systems and the statistical design of the risk models in question. We searched PubMed for literature on organ allocation history, policy, and ethics in the United States. RESULTS We identified 127 relevant articles, covering kidney (19), liver (60), lung (24), and heart transplants (23), and transplant accessibility (1). Current risk scores emphasize model performance and overlook ethical concerns in variable selection. The inclusion of race, sex, and geographical limits as categorical variables lacks biological basis; therefore, blurring the line between evidence-based models and discrimination. Comprehensive ethical and equity evaluation of risk scores is lacking, with only limited discussion of the algorithmic fairness of the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and the Kidney Donor Risk Index (KDRI) in some literature. We uncovered the inconsistent ethical standards underlying organ allocation scores in the United States. Specifically, we highlighted the exception points in MELD, the inclusion of race in KDRI, the geographical limit in the Lung Allocation Score, and the inadequacy of risk stratification in the Heart Tier system, creating obstacles for medically underserved populations. CONCLUSIONS We encourage efforts to address statistical and ethical concerns in organ allocation models and urge standardization and transparency in policy development to ensure fairness, equitability, and evidence-based risk predictions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Reid Dale
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Center for Academic Medicine, 453 Quarry Road, Room 267, MC 5661, Stanford, CA, 94304, USA
| | - Maggie Cheng
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Center for Academic Medicine, 453 Quarry Road, Room 267, MC 5661, Stanford, CA, 94304, USA
| | - Katharine Casselman Pines
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Center for Academic Medicine, 453 Quarry Road, Room 267, MC 5661, Stanford, CA, 94304, USA
| | - Maria Elizabeth Currie
- Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery, Stanford University School of Medicine, Center for Academic Medicine, 453 Quarry Road, Room 267, MC 5661, Stanford, CA, 94304, USA.
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Lu Y, Xin J, Liang X, Luo J, Li P, Zhou X, Yang H, Li J, Wang Y. Plasma MERTK Is a Promising Biomarker for the Diagnosis and Prognosis of Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure. J Infect Dis 2024; 230:957-969. [PMID: 38373244 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiae079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2023] [Revised: 02/07/2024] [Accepted: 02/15/2024] [Indexed: 02/21/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) has a high short-term mortality. This study aimed to determine the diagnostic and prognostic role of MER tyrosine kinase (MERTK) in patients with HBV-ACLF. METHODS Transcriptomics analysis evaluated MERTK expression and function during disease progression. The diagnostic and prognostic significance of MERTK for patients with HBV-ACLF were verified by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis, and immunohistochemistry (IHC) of liver tissues. RESULTS MERTK mRNA was highly expressed in patients with HBV-ACLF compared to those with liver cirrhosis (LC), chronic hepatitis B (CHB), and normal controls (NC). Elevated MERTK mRNA predicted poor prognosis for HBV-ACLF at 28 and 90 days (AUROC = 0.814 and 0.731, respectively). Functional analysis showed MERTK was significantly associated with toll-like receptor and inflammatory signaling and several key biological processes. External validation with 285 plasma subjects confirmed the high diagnostic accuracy of plasma MERTK for HBV-ACLF (AUROC = 0.859) and potential prognostic value for 28- and 90-day mortality rates (AUROC = 0.673 and 0.644, respectively). Risk stratification analysis indicated higher mortality risk for patients with plasma MERTK level above the cutoff value. Moreover, IHC staining showed increasing MERTK expression from NC, CHB, and LC to HBV-ACLF. CONCLUSIONS MERTK shows promise as a candidate biomarker for early diagnosis and prognosis of HBV-ACLF.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yingyan Lu
- Cancer Institute of Integrative Medicine, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy Combining Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou
| | - Jiaojiao Xin
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou
| | - Xi Liang
- Precision Medicine Center, Taizhou Central Hospital, Taizhou University Hospital, Taizhou, China
| | - Jinjin Luo
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou
| | - Peng Li
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou
| | - Xingping Zhou
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou
| | - Hui Yang
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou
| | - Jun Li
- State Key Laboratory for Diagnosis and Treatment of Infectious Diseases, National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, Collaborative National Clinical Research Center for Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital, Zhejiang University School of Medicine, Hangzhou
| | - Yifan Wang
- Cancer Institute of Integrative Medicine, Zhejiang Key Laboratory of Cancer Prevention and Therapy Combining Traditional Chinese and Western Medicine, Zhejiang Academy of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Tongde Hospital of Zhejiang Province, Hangzhou
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Liu L, Huang C, Zhang Y, Zhu X. Lymphocyte to high density lipoprotein ratio can predict the short-term prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients. Heliyon 2024; 10:e37983. [PMID: 39386794 PMCID: PMC11462468 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e37983] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/05/2024] [Revised: 09/13/2024] [Accepted: 09/15/2024] [Indexed: 10/12/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by systemic inflammation, leading to high short-term mortality. The lymphocyte to high-density lipoprotein ratio (LHR) has been introduced as a novel marker of inflammation. However, its role as a prognostic inflammatory biomarker in the context of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) has received limited attention. Methods We retrospectively included 272 patients with HBV-ACLF who met the definition of APALC. Data on clinical features and laboratory tests were collected from medical records within 24 h. Logistic regression was used to identify risk factors for poor short-term prognosis, and LHR-based prediction (LHRB) models were constructed based on risk factors. Furthermore, the accuracy of the LHRB model was validated through rigorous testing. Results In the survival and death groups, there were statistical differences in their CTP, MELD, MELD-Na, COSSH-ACLF II scores, and LHR. Multivariate logistic regression identified seven predictors significantly associated with 28-day mortality. Furthermore, statistically significant differences in short-term mortality and certain clinical laboratory tests for poor prognosis were observed between the high and low LHR groups. To assess the predictive performance of various models in terms of short-term mortality, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) was calculated. The AUROC values for the CTP, MELD, MELD-Na, COSSH-ACLF II, and LHRB models were found to be 0.725, 0.788, 0.772, 0.871, and 0.877, respectively. The results in the validation group were similar to those in the training group, and the validation results suggested excellent performance of the LHRB model. Conclusion LHR levels have the potential to serve as indicators for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF. Additionally, the recently developed LHRB model offers an accessible risk assessment tool.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linxiang Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Digestive Disease Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Gastroenterology, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330006, China
| | - Chenkai Huang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Digestive Disease Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Gastroenterology, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330006, China
| | - Yue Zhang
- Department of Gastroenterology, Digestive Disease Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Gastroenterology, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330006, China
| | - Xuan Zhu
- Department of Gastroenterology, Digestive Disease Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital, Jiangxi Medical College, Nanchang University, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330006, China
- Jiangxi Clinical Research Center for Gastroenterology, Nanchang, Jiangxi, 330006, China
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Far A, Bastani A, Lee A, Gologorskaya O, Huang CY, Pletcher MJ, Lai JC, Ge J. Evaluating the positive predictive value of code-based identification of cirrhosis and its complications utilizing GPT-4. Hepatology 2024:01515467-990000000-01046. [PMID: 39378414 PMCID: PMC11975717 DOI: 10.1097/hep.0000000000001115] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/22/2024] [Accepted: 09/23/2024] [Indexed: 10/10/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND AIMS Diagnosis code classification is a common method for cohort identification in cirrhosis research, but it is often inaccurate and augmented by labor-intensive chart review. Natural language processing using large language models (LLMs) is a potentially more accurate method. To assess LLMs' potential for cirrhosis cohort identification, we compared code-based versus LLM-based classification with chart review as a "gold standard." APPROACH AND RESULTS We extracted and conducted a limited chart review of 3788 discharge summaries of cirrhosis admissions. We engineered zero-shot prompts using a Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4 to determine whether cirrhosis and its complications were active hospitalization problems. We calculated positive predictive values (PPVs) of LLM-based classification versus limited chart review and PPVs of code-based versus LLM-based classification as a "silver standard" in all 3788 summaries. Compared to gold standard chart review, code-based classification achieved PPVs of 82.2% for identifying cirrhosis, 41.7% for HE, 72.8% for ascites, 59.8% for gastrointestinal bleeding, and 48.8% for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. Compared to the chart review, Generative Pre-trained Transformer 4 achieved 87.8%-98.8% accuracies for identifying cirrhosis and its complications. Using LLM as a silver standard, code-based classification achieved PPVs of 79.8% for identifying cirrhosis, 53.9% for HE, 55.3% for ascites, 67.6% for gastrointestinal bleeding, and 65.5% for spontaneous bacterial peritonitis. CONCLUSIONS LLM-based classification was highly accurate versus manual chart review in identifying cirrhosis and its complications. This allowed us to assess the performance of code-based classification at scale using LLMs as a silver standard. These results suggest LLMs could augment or replace code-based cohort classification and raise questions regarding the necessity of chart review.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aryana Far
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Asal Bastani
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Albert Lee
- Academic Research Services, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Oksana Gologorskaya
- Academic Research Services, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
- Bakar Computational Health Sciences Institute, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Chiung-Yu Huang
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Mark J. Pletcher
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Jennifer C. Lai
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
| | - Jin Ge
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California – San Francisco, San Francisco, CA
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