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Wu S, Hao B, Xu W, Lin Z. Impact of frailty assessment on outcomes in critical acute myocardial infarction: Insights from the hospital frailty risk measure (HFRM). Int J Cardiol 2025; 433:133294. [PMID: 40274053 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2025.133294] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/10/2025] [Revised: 04/10/2025] [Accepted: 04/18/2025] [Indexed: 04/26/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Frailty impacts outcomes in critical Acute Myocardial Infarction (AMI). This study evaluates three Hospital Frailty Risk Measure (HFRM) formats-continuous score, 8 risk groups, and binary classification-for predicting clinical outcomes. METHODS Using 2129 critical AMI patients' data from MIMIC-IV, logistic and COX regression models assessed associations between HFRM formats and outcomes (ICU mortality, in-hospital mortality, discharge with nursing support, one-year mortality), adjusted for age, gender, smoking, and NSTEMI. RESULTS All HFRM formats consistently predicted adverse outcomes. The continuous score showed increased adjusted odds/hazard ratios for ICU mortality (OR 1.289, 95 % CI:1.065-1.516), in-hospital mortality (OR 1.343, 95 % CI:1.161-1.554), nursing support discharge (2.389, 95 % CI: 1.960-2.912), and one-year mortality (1.709, 95 % CI:1.533-1.904). The binary measure (groups 4-8 as frail) demonstrated higher adjusted risks for all outcomes except ICU mortality. CONCLUSION HFRM effectively predicts adverse outcomes in critical AMI. The binary classification offers robust risk stratification, underscoring frailty assessment's role in personalized care planning.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shuting Wu
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Benchuan Hao
- Department of Cardiology, The Ninth Medical Center, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing, China.
| | - Weihao Xu
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
| | - Zhanyi Lin
- Department of Cardiology, Guangdong Provincial Cardiovascular Institute, Guangdong Provincial People's Hospital, Guangdong Academy of Medical Sciences, Guangzhou, China.
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Greenberg BM, Fujihara K, Weinshenker B, Patti F, Kleiter I, Bennett JL, Palace J, Blondeau K, Burdeska A, Ngwa I, Klingelschmitt G, Triyatni M, Yamamura T. Analysis of infection rates in neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder: Comparing satralizumab treatment in SAkuraMoon, post-marketing, and US-based health claims data. Mult Scler Relat Disord 2025; 99:106444. [PMID: 40288333 DOI: 10.1016/j.msard.2025.106444] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/22/2024] [Revised: 03/29/2025] [Accepted: 04/12/2025] [Indexed: 04/29/2025]
Abstract
Satralizumab showed a comparable safety profile versus placebo in 2 pivotal neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) studies. We analyzed infection rates with long-term satralizumab treatment in the open-label study, SAkuraMoon, and in a post-marketing setting (PMS), comparing frequencies with US-based health claims real-world data (US-RWD). Incidence rates of infection per 100 patient-years (IR/100 PY) were analyzed in the SAkura studies (clinical cut-off date: 31 January 2023). Reported rates of infection ( %) in a PMS using Periodic Benefit-Risk Evaluation Reports (2020-2023), and cumulative incidence of infections ( %) from the US PharMetrics claims data in NMOSD patients (2017-2022) were analyzed. 166 patients (SAkura studies), 2951 patients (PMS) and 2872 patients (US-RWD) were included. In the SAkura studies, the incidence rates of infection, serious infection, and sepsis were lower versus the double-blind period (IR/100 PY [95 % confidence intervals (Tur, C. et al.)] infection 91.7 [85.5-98.3] vs 113.0 [98.6-129.0]; serious infection 2.6 [1.7-3.9] vs 4.1 [1.8-8.1]; sepsis 0.6 [0.2-1.3] vs 1.0 [0.1-3.7], respectively). In a PMS, reported rates of infection, serious infection, and sepsis were 7.3 %, 3.8 %, and 0.6 %, respectively. In the US-RWD, cumulative incidence of infection, serious infection, and sepsis in NMOSD were 67.3 %, 8.4 %, and 4.9 %, respectively. Concomitant IST use, comorbidities, Expanded Disability Status Scale score ≥4.0, and age >65 years were potential confounders of sepsis. US-RWD indicated infection is a major comorbidity in NMOSD, independent of satralizumab treatment. Infection rates were consistently lower in satralizumab-treated patients compared with US-RWD. Trial Registration: NCT04660539(SAkuraMoon), NCT02028884(SAkuraSky), NCT02073279(SAkuraStar).
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Affiliation(s)
- Benjamin M Greenberg
- Department of Neurology, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, 5323 Harry Hines Blvd, Dallas, TX, 75390, USA
| | - Kazuo Fujihara
- Department of Multiple Sclerosis Therapeutics, Fukushima Medical University School of Medicine, Hikariga-oka, Fukushima City, Fukushima, 960-1295, Japan
| | - Brian Weinshenker
- Department of Neurology, University of Virginia, 200 Jeanette Lancaster Way, Charlottesville, VA, 22903, USA
| | - Francesco Patti
- Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences and Advanced Technologies "GF Ingrassia" and Multiple Sclerosis Center, UOS Sclerosi Multipla, AOU Policlinico "G Rodolico" San Marco, University of Catania, V. Santa Sofia 78, 95123, Catania, Italy
| | - Ingo Kleiter
- Marianne-Strauß-Klinik, Behandlungszentrum Kempfenhausen für Multiple Sklerose Kranke GmbH, Milchberg 21, 82335, Berg, Germany
| | - Jeffrey L Bennett
- Departments of Neurology and Ophthalmology, Programs in Neuroscience and Immunology, University of Colorado School of Medicine, 13001 E 17th Pl, Aurora, CO, 80045, USA
| | - Jacqueline Palace
- Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, John Radcliffe Hospital, Headington, Oxford, OX3 9DU, United Kingdom
| | - Kathleen Blondeau
- F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Grenzacherstrasse 124, CH-4070, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Alexander Burdeska
- F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Grenzacherstrasse 124, CH-4070, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Innocent Ngwa
- F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Grenzacherstrasse 124, CH-4070, Basel, Switzerland
| | | | - Miriam Triyatni
- F. Hoffmann-La Roche Ltd, Grenzacherstrasse 124, CH-4070, Basel, Switzerland.
| | - Takashi Yamamura
- Department of Immunology, National Institute of Neuroscience, National Center of Neurology and Psychiatry, 4-chōme-1-1 Ogawahigashichō, Kodaira, Tokyo, 187-8551, Japan
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Xing S, Li X, Chen C. Association between frailty and inflammatory cytokines in patients with multiple sclerosis: a case-control study. Cytokine 2025; 191:156945. [PMID: 40334398 DOI: 10.1016/j.cyto.2025.156945] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/09/2024] [Revised: 11/24/2024] [Accepted: 04/13/2025] [Indexed: 05/09/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Frailty is a common symptom in Multiple Sclerosis (MS), yet its precise mechanism remains elusive, and the clinical implications of frailty in MS are uncertain. Moreover, inflammation is closely linked to frailty. This study aims to assess serum cytokine levels in individuals with MS and explore their correlation with frailty. METHODS A case-control study included 83 primary MS patients and 100 healthy individuals undergoing health check-ups. Serum cytokine levels were measured, and MS severity was determined using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) score. Additionally, a comprehensive frailty index (FI) was calculated based on health deficits from various domains following standardized procedures. RESULTS Serum IL-6 and TNF-α levels were significantly higher in the frail group than in the non-frail group, with a statistically significant difference (P < 0.05). After adjusting for disease duration, sex, age, BMI, SBP, and DBP, serum IL-6 independently correlated with frailty in MS patients (OR = 1.46; 95 % CI = 1.02-1.93; P = 0.003). Moreover, increased serum IL-6 levels were associated positively with the frailty index (β = 0.123, P = 0.008). CONCLUSION Our initial findings suggest elevated levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines in MS patients with frailty, with IL-6 showing a positive correlation with frail indices. These results underscore the potential impact of inflammatory responses on frailty development in MS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shucheng Xing
- Department of Neurology, Zhengzhou University People's Hospital, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China.
| | - Xue Li
- Department of Neurology, Zhengzhou University People's Hospital, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China
| | - Chen Chen
- Department of Neurology, Zhengzhou University People's Hospital, Henan Provincial People's Hospital, Zhengzhou, China
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Tchatat Wangueu L, Kassa-Sombo A, Ilango G, Gaborit C, Si-Tahar M, Grammatico-Guillon L, Guillon A. Machine Learning-Based Prediction to Support ICU Admission Decision Making among Very Old Patients with Respiratory Infections: A Proof of Concept on a Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study. Med Decis Making 2025; 45:587-601. [PMID: 40377186 DOI: 10.1177/0272989x251337314] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/18/2025]
Abstract
BackgroundIntensive care unit (ICU) hospitalizations of very old patients with acute respiratory infection have risen. The decision-making process for ICU admission is multifaceted, and the prediction of long-term survival outcome is an important component. We hypothesized that data-driven algorithms could build long-term prediction by examining massive real-life data. Our objective was to assess machine learning (ML) algorithms to predict the 1-y survival of very old patients with severe respiratory infections.MethodsA national 2011-2020 study of ICU patients ≥80 y with respiratory infection was carried out, using French hospital discharge databases. Data for the training cohort were collected from 2013 to 2016 to build the models, and the data of patients extracted in 2017 were used for external validation. Our proposed models were developed using random forest, logistic regression (LR), and XGBoost. The optimal model was selected based on its accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, Matthews coefficient correlation (MCC), receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), and decision curve analysis (DCA). The local interpretable model-agnostic explanation (LIME) algorithm was used to analyze the contribution of individual features.ResultsA total of 24,270 very old patients were hospitalized in the ICU for respiratory infection (2013-2017) with a known vital status at 1 y. The 1-y survival rate was 41.3% (median survival: 3 mo [2.7-3.3]). Of the 3 ML models tested, LR exhibited promising performance with an accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, MCC, and AUROC (95% confidence interval) of 0.65, 0.76, 0.60, 0.27, and 0.70 (0.69-0.72), respectively. LR achieved an AUROC of 0.70 (0.68-0.71) in external validation by temporal splitting. LR demonstrated higher net benefits across a range of threshold probability values in DCA. The LIME algorithm identified the 10 most influential features at an individual scale.ConclusionsWe demonstrated that a ML model has the potential to predict long-term outcomes for very old patients with acute respiratory infections. As a proof of concept, we proposed a program that acts as an "explainer" for the ML model. This work represents a step forward in translating ML models into practical, transparent, and reliable clinical tools to support medical decision making.HighlightsThe decision to admit a very old patient to the ICU is one of the most complex challenges faced by intensivists, often relying on subjective judgment.In this study, we evaluated the efficacy of machine learning algorithms in predicting the 1-y survival rate of critically ill very old patients (≥80 y) with severe respiratory infections, using data available prior to the admission decision.Our findings demonstrate that machine learning can effectively predict long-term outcomes in very old patients. We used an innovative approach that aims to support medical decision making about admission in ICU.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Arthur Kassa-Sombo
- Research Center for Respiratory Diseases (CEPR), INSERM U1100, University of Tours, Tours, France
| | - Guy Ilango
- Research Center for Respiratory Diseases (CEPR), INSERM U1100, University of Tours, Tours, France
| | - Christophe Gaborit
- Epidemiology Unit EpiDcliC, Department of Public Health, Tours University Hospital, Tours, France
| | - Mustapha Si-Tahar
- Research Center for Respiratory Diseases (CEPR), INSERM U1100, University of Tours, Tours, France
| | - Leslie Grammatico-Guillon
- Epidemiology Unit EpiDcliC, Department of Public Health, Tours University Hospital, MAVIVH, INSERM U1259, University of Tours, Tours, France
| | - Antoine Guillon
- Intensive Care Unit, Tours University Hospital, Research Center for Respiratory Diseases (CEPR), INSERM U1100, University of Tours, Tours, France
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Gan JM, Elderton L, Vijayakumar Sheela M, Knight J, Louca J, Evans S, Shahab K, Lovett NG, Sneade M, Muchenje N, Fenchyn M, Simonato D, McColl A, Pendlebury ST. Protocol for a prospective cohort study to determine the multimodal biomarkers of delirium and new dementia after acute illness in older adults: ORCHARD-PS. BMJ Open 2025; 15:e102028. [PMID: 40514232 PMCID: PMC12164623 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2025-102028] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2025] [Accepted: 05/20/2025] [Indexed: 06/16/2025] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Delirium is common in the older hospital population and is often precipitated by acute illness. Delirium is associated with poor outcomes including subsequent cognitive decline and dementia and may therefore be a modifiable risk factor for dementia. However, the mechanisms underpinning the delirium-dementia relationship and the role of coexisting acute illness factors remain uncertain. Current biomarker studies of delirium have limitations including lack of detailed delirium characterisation with few studies on neurodegenerative or neuroimaging biomarkers especially in the acute setting. The Oxford and Reading Cognitive Health After Recovery from acute illness and Delirium-Prospective Study (ORCHARD-PS) aims to elucidate the pathophysiology of delirium and subsequent cognitive decline after acute illness in older adults, through acquisition of multimodal biomarkers for deep phenotyping of delirium and acute illness, and follow-up for incident dementia. METHODS AND ANALYSIS ORCHARD-PS is a bi-centre, prospective cohort study. Consecutive eligible patients requiring acute hospital admission or assessment are identified by the relevant acute clinical care team. All patients age >65 years without advanced dementia, nursing home residence, end-stage frailty or terminal illness are eligible. Details of potential participants are communicated to the research team and written informed consent or consultee agreement is obtained. Participants are interviewed as soon as possible after admission/assessment using a structured proforma.Data are collected on demographics, diagnosis and comorbidities, social and functional background. Delirium is assessed using the 4A's test, Confusion Assessment Method (long-form), Observational Scale of Level of Arousal, Richmond Agitation-Sedation Scale and Memorial Delirium Assessment Scale and diagnosed using the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, Fifth Edition criteria. Delirium is categorised by time of onset (prevalent vs incident), dementia status, motoric subtype, severity and duration. Cognitive tests include the 10-point Abbreviated Mental Test and Montreal Cognitive Assessment. Participants are reassessed every 48-72 hours if remaining in hospital. Informant questionnaire data and interview are supplemented by hand searching of medical records and linkage to electronic patient records for nursing risk assessments, vital observations, laboratory results and International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision diagnostic and procedure codes.In-person follow-up with more detailed cognitive testing and informant interview is undertaken at 3 months, and 1 and 3 years supplemented with indirect follow-up using medical records. Blood banking is performed at baseline and all follow-ups for future biomarker analyses. CT-brain and MRI-brain imaging acquired as part of standard care is obtained for quantification of brain atrophy and white matter disease/stroke supplemented by research CT-brain imaging. Outcomes include length of hospitalisation, change in care needs, institutionalisation, mortality, readmission, longitudinal changes in cognitive and functional status and incident dementia. Biomarker associations with delirium, and with incident dementia on follow-up, will be determined using logistic or Cox regression as appropriate, unadjusted and adjusted for covariates including demographics, baseline cognition, frailty, comorbidity and apolipoprotein E genotype. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION ORCHARD-PS is approved by the South Central-Berkshire Research Ethics Committee (REC Reference: 23/SC/0199). Results will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and conference presentations. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ISRCTN24171810.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jasmine Ming Gan
- Wolfson Centre for Prevention of Stroke and Dementia, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Lily Elderton
- Wolfson Centre for Prevention of Stroke and Dementia, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Meenu Vijayakumar Sheela
- Neurosciences Research Delivery Team (DENDRON), Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Jessica Knight
- Oxford (Thames Valley) Foundation School, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - John Louca
- Oxford (Thames Valley) Foundation School, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Sarah Evans
- Departments of Acute General Internal Medicine and Geratology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Kinza Shahab
- Departments of Acute General Internal Medicine and Geratology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Nicola G Lovett
- Departments of Acute General Internal Medicine and Geratology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Mary Sneade
- Wolfson Centre for Prevention of Stroke and Dementia, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Nycola Muchenje
- University Department of Elderly Care, Royal Berkshire NHS Foundation Trust, Reading, UK
| | - Mariya Fenchyn
- University Department of Elderly Care, Royal Berkshire NHS Foundation Trust, Reading, UK
| | - Davide Simonato
- Department of Neuroradiology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
| | - Aubretia McColl
- University Department of Elderly Care, Royal Berkshire NHS Foundation Trust, Reading, UK
| | - Sarah Tamsin Pendlebury
- Wolfson Centre for Prevention of Stroke and Dementia, Nuffield Department of Clinical Neurosciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
- Departments of Acute General Internal Medicine and Geratology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Oxford, UK
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Igarashi T, Kamo T, Miyata K, Tamura S, Kobayashi S, Kaizu Y, Saito H, Kubo H, Momosaki R. Impact of frailty risk on postoperative activities of daily living and in-hospital events in older patients with hydrocephalus using a nationwide Japanese database. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2025. [PMID: 40491216 DOI: 10.1111/ggi.70091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/09/2025] [Revised: 04/01/2025] [Accepted: 05/22/2025] [Indexed: 06/11/2025]
Abstract
AIM Understanding the impact of frailty risk on outcomes after hydrocephalus surgery in older adults is critical for improving prognosis and guiding tailored treatment strategies. This study evaluated the effect of frailty risk on postoperative activities of daily living (ADL) and in-hospital events in older patients with hydrocephalus, using a nationwide Japanese database. METHODS A retrospective study was conducted on older patients who underwent cerebrospinal fluid shunt surgery. Frailty risk was assessed using the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) based on ICD-10 codes. Patients were categorized into low (<5 points) and moderate-to-high (≥5 points) frailty risk groups. Outcomes included the Barthel Index (BI) at discharge, BI gain, BI efficiency, and incidences of dysphagia and delirium. Propensity score-based inverse probability weighting was applied to adjust for confounding. RESULTS Among 3075 patients, 1539 were at low risk and 1526 were at moderate-to-high risk of frailty. Moderate-to-high frailty risk significantly reduced BI at discharge (β = -0.10, P < 0.001), BI gain (β = -0.07, P < 0.001), and BI efficiency (β = -0.07, P < 0.001). Frailty risk also increased the odds of dysphagia (odds ratio = 1.86, P = 0.017) and delirium (odds ratio = 31.07, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS Moderate-to-high frailty risk negatively impacts postoperative ADL recovery and increases dysphagia and delirium risk in older patients with hydrocephalus. These findings highlight the need for early frailty assessment and tailored interventions to improve surgical outcomes. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2025; ••: ••-••.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tatsuya Igarashi
- Department of Physical Therapy, Bunkyo Gakuin University, Fujimino, Japan
| | - Tomohiko Kamo
- Department of Physical Therapy, Faculty of Rehabilitation, Gunma Paz University, Takasaki, Japan
| | - Kazuhiro Miyata
- Department of Physical Therapy, Ibaraki Prefectural University of Health Sciences, Ami, Japan
| | - Shuntaro Tamura
- Department of Physical Therapy, Ota College of Medical Technology, Ota, Japan
| | - Sota Kobayashi
- Department of Physical Therapy, Niigata University of Health and Welfare, Niigata, Japan
| | - Yoichi Kaizu
- Rehabilitation Center, Hidaka Rehabilitation Hospital, Takasaki, Japan
| | - Hiroyuki Saito
- Department of Rehabilitation, Geriatrics Research Institute and Hospital, Maebashi, Japan
| | - Hiroki Kubo
- Department of Physical Therapy, Faculty of Nursing and Rehabilitation, Konan Women's University, Kobe, Japan
| | - Ryo Momosaki
- Department of Rehabilitation Medicine, Mie University Graduate School of Medicine, Tsu, Japan
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Abdel-Qadir H, Gunn M, Fang J, Odugbemi T, Jeong I, Austin PC, Dorian P, Jackevicius CA, Lee DS, Singh SM, Tu K, Ko DT. Risk for Stroke After Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation During Hospitalization for Other Primary Diagnoses : A Retrospective Cohort Study. Ann Intern Med 2025; 178:765-774. [PMID: 40258280 DOI: 10.7326/annals-24-01967] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/23/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Atrial fibrillation (AF) that is first diagnosed during hospitalization for other causes can subside with resolution of the inciting stressor. OBJECTIVE To describe the risk for stroke after newly diagnosed AF during hospitalization for other causes. DESIGN Population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING Ontario, Canada. PARTICIPANTS Patients aged 66 years or older discharged alive from the hospital between April 2013 and March 2023 with a first diagnosis of AF. INTERVENTION Newly diagnosed AF during hospitalization for other causes, categorized into cardiac medical, noncardiac medical, cardiac surgical, and noncardiac surgical. MEASUREMENTS The primary outcome was hospitalization for stroke. The cumulative incidence function was used to estimate crude incidence, censoring on anticoagulant dispensation. Inverse probability of censoring weights were used to account for informative censoring. RESULTS Atrial fibrillation was diagnosed in 20 639 patients (mean age, 77.1 years; 58.1% male) while hospitalized for other causes: 8340 (40.4%) for noncardiac medical, 7097 (34.4%) for cardiac surgical, 3553 (17.2%) for noncardiac surgical, and 1649 (8.0%) for cardiac medical diagnoses. At 1 year, anticoagulants were being dispensed to 26.4% of patients with CHA2DS2-VA scores of 1 to 4 and 35.2% of those with CHA2DS2-VA scores of 5 to 8. The 1-year risk for stroke without anticoagulation was 1.3% (95% CI, 0.7% to 2.3%) for cardiac medical, 1.2% (CI, 0.9% to 1.5%) for noncardiac medical, 1.1% (CI, 0.8% to 1.7%) for noncardiac surgical, and 1.0% (CI, 0.7% to 1.3%) for cardiac surgical patients. Patients with CHA2DS2-VA scores of 1 to 4 had a 1-year stroke risk of 0.7% (CI, 0.6% to 1.0%) without anticoagulation, compared with 1.8% (CI, 1.4% to 2.2%) at CHA2DS2-VA scores of 5 to 8. LIMITATION Long-standing AF may have been misclassified as newly diagnosed, leading to overestimation of stroke risk. CONCLUSION Among patients with newly diagnosed AF during hospitalization for other causes, a substantial proportion with low CHA2DS2-VA scores receive anticoagulation, with modest increases in this proportion at higher scores. The stroke risk in patients with CHA2DS2-VA scores greater than 4 approximated the 2% threshold commonly used to initiate anticoagulation in AF. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE Canadian Cardiovascular Society.
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Affiliation(s)
- Husam Abdel-Qadir
- Women's College Hospital; University Health Network; ICES; Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto; and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (H.A.-Q.)
| | - Madison Gunn
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (M.G.)
| | - Jiming Fang
- ICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (J.F., T.O., I.J.)
| | | | - Irene Jeong
- ICES, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (J.F., T.O., I.J.)
| | - Peter C Austin
- ICES and Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (P.C.A.)
| | - Paul Dorian
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, and Division of Cardiology, Unity Health, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (P.D.)
| | - Cynthia A Jackevicius
- University Health Network; ICES; Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto; and College of Pharmacy, Western University of Health Sciences, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (C.A.J.)
| | - Douglas S Lee
- University Health Network; ICES; Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto; and Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (D.S.L.)
| | - Sheldon M Singh
- Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, and Schulich Heart Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (S.M.S.)
| | - Karen Tu
- University Health Network; Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto; North York General Hospital; and Department of Family and Community Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (K.T.)
| | - Dennis T Ko
- ICES; Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto; Department of Medicine, University of Toronto; and Schulich Heart Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada (D.T.K.)
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Bosque-Mercader L, Conroy S, Lasserson D, Mannion R, Nicodemo C, Wittenberg R. Resilience of the acute sector in recovery from COVID-19 pressures. Soc Sci Med 2025; 375:118062. [PMID: 40245775 DOI: 10.1016/j.socscimed.2025.118062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2024] [Revised: 03/13/2025] [Accepted: 04/08/2025] [Indexed: 04/19/2025]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on the management and delivery of acute healthcare. To tackle the pandemic, hospitals redesigned their organisational models to provide a rapid increase in acute care assessment and treatment capacity for patients with COVID-19 whilst also trying to maintain delivery of care for patients with non-COVID-19 healthcare needs. This capacity to adjust and recover after COVID-19 might be shaped by both measures taken by acute hospitals and wider hospital pre-pandemic characteristics. The aim of this study is to examine how hospital characteristics in acute care are associated with recovery of elective activity after the height of the COVID-19 pandemic compared to pre-pandemic levels. Using patient-level data from Hospital Episode Statistics aggregated at monthly-trust level for all English National Health Service (NHS) acute hospital trusts in 2019 and 2021, we estimate the associations between hospital recovery rate and hospital pre-pandemic characteristics by employing linear regressions of the proportional change over time in elective activity against a set of explanatory variables related to supply factors (e.g., hospital size, workforce, type of hospital, regional location), demand factors (e.g., population need, patient case-mix) and time factors. On average, English NHS acute hospital trusts did not fully recover from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021. The results show that the explanatory variables are not systematically associated with hospital recovery rate, excepting regional differences. Hospital trusts not located in London, especially in the North of England, are associated with a lower recovery (less resilience) of total elective activity and orthopaedic and vascular surgical elective activity. The implication for policy development is that the evolution of hospital recovery rates in elective activity varied across English regions, especially for high-volume and high-risk elective specialties, with better recovery in London than elsewhere.
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Affiliation(s)
- Laia Bosque-Mercader
- Department of Econometrics, Statistics and Applied Economics, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, 08034, Spain.
| | - Simon Conroy
- Royal London Hospital, Whitechapel Road, London, E1 1FR, UK
| | - Daniel Lasserson
- Warwick Applied Health, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, CV4 7AL, UK
| | - Russell Mannion
- Health Services Management Centre, University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15 2RT, UK
| | - Catia Nicodemo
- Nuffield Department of Primary Care Health Sciences, University of Oxford, Oxford, OX2 6GG, UK; Brunel Business School, Brunel University of London, Uxbridge, UB8 3PH, UK
| | - Raphael Wittenberg
- Care Policy and Evaluation Centre, London School of Economics and Political Science, London, WC2A 2AE, UK
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Yalzadeh D, Cho NY, Tabibian D, Song J, Cherif A, Badiee B, Chaturvedi A, Singer G, Benharash P. Comparison of frailty measures in predicting outcomes after emergency general surgery. Surgery 2025; 182:109317. [PMID: 40088539 DOI: 10.1016/j.surg.2025.109317] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2024] [Revised: 01/24/2025] [Accepted: 02/17/2025] [Indexed: 03/17/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Although frailty has been recognized to adversely influence outcomes of emergency general surgery, there are limited data comparing the performance of frailty instruments among this population. We compared the discriminatory power of 4 risk prediction models across a national cohort of patients who underwent emergency general surgery to assess outcomes of interest. METHODS Adults undergoing emergency general surgery (large bowel resection, small bowel resection, repair of perforated ulcer, cholecystectomy, appendectomy, lysis of adhesions, or laparotomy) were identified in 2016-2021 Nationwide Readmissions Database. Patients were grouped into frail and non-frail cohorts on the basis of various frailty instruments: Hospital Frailty Risk Score, Modified 5-factor Frailty Index, Modified 11-factor Frailty Index, and Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups index. Multivariable regressions were developed to assess independent associations between frailty instruments and in-hospital mortality as well as a composite of perioperative complications. RESULTS Of 1,385,505 hospitalizations for emergency general surgery, 57.0%, 29.9%, 26.6%, and 10.5% were identified as frail by mFI-11, Hospital Frailty Risk Score, Modified 5-factor Frailty Index, and Adjusted Clinical Groups, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, Hospital Frailty Risk Score demonstrated the greatest discriminatory power for predicting in-hospital mortality and perioperative complications when compared with other frailty indices. Subjects classified as frail using the Hospital Frailty Risk Score were associated with the greatest risk of mortality (adjusted odds ratio, 7.8; 95% confidence interval, 7.4-8.3) and composite complications (adjusted odds ratio, 8.4; 95% confidence interval, 9.3-8.5) compared with other indices across all frailty levels. CONCLUSION Among patients undergoing emergency general surgery, Hospital Frailty Risk Score demonstrated the greatest discrimination in predicting mortality and composite complications. Risk-stratification efforts should prioritize Hospital Frailty Risk Score in elderly patients undergoing emergency general surgery to optimize clinical outcomes and resource allocation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dariush Yalzadeh
- Center for Advanced Surgical and Interventional Technology, Department of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA. https://twitter.com/dariush8833
| | - Nam Yong Cho
- Center for Advanced Surgical and Interventional Technology, Department of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA. https://twitter.com/NamYong_Cho
| | - Daniel Tabibian
- Center for Advanced Surgical and Interventional Technology, Department of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA. https://twitter.com/DanielTabibian
| | - Joseph Song
- Center for Advanced Surgical and Interventional Technology, Department of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA
| | - Aboubacar Cherif
- Center for Advanced Surgical and Interventional Technology, Department of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA
| | - Barzin Badiee
- Center for Advanced Surgical and Interventional Technology, Department of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA
| | - Arjun Chaturvedi
- Center for Advanced Surgical and Interventional Technology, Department of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA
| | - George Singer
- Department of Surgery, Harbor-UCLA Medical Center, Torrance, CA
| | - Peyman Benharash
- Center for Advanced Surgical and Interventional Technology, Department of Surgery, University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA; Department of Surgery, David Geffen School of Medicine at University of California, Los Angeles (UCLA), Los Angeles, CA.
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10
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Bui T, Leung MT, Dooley MJ, Myles PS, Ilomaki J, Bell JS. Trajectories of new opioid use after hip fracture surgery: a population-based cohort study. Pain Rep 2025; 10:e1286. [PMID: 40386128 PMCID: PMC12084111 DOI: 10.1097/pr9.0000000000001286] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/21/2024] [Revised: 01/30/2025] [Accepted: 03/10/2025] [Indexed: 05/20/2025] Open
Abstract
Introduction The global annual incidence of hip fractures is projected to double over the next 20 to 30 years. The rates and risk factors for new persistent opioid use after hip fracture surgery remain poorly quantified. Objective To describe trajectories, rates, and risk factors for new persistent opioid use after hip fracture surgery in Australia. Methods A retrospective population-based cohort study was conducted using linked administrative health data in Australia. Adults aged ≥30 years discharged from hospital after a first hip fracture surgery between July 2012 and June 2017, opioid-naïve on admission, and alive 12 months postdischarge were included. Group-based trajectory modelling was utilised to determine trajectories and rates of opioid use 12 months postdischarge. Multivariate multinomial logistic regression analysis was performed to identify risk factors for persistent opioid use. Results Among 10,309 opioid-naïve patients who had first hip fracture surgery, 5305 (51.5%) used opioids postdischarge. Opioid users were categorised as 58.9% (3127/5305) nonpersistent, 12.6% (670/5305) fluctuating, 12.1% (641/5305) late discontinuation, and 16.3% (867/5305) persistent. Key risk factors for persistent use were total oral morphine equivalent >600 mg in first 30 days postdischarge (relative risk [RR] 13.61, 95% confidence interval [CI] 9.34-19.83), transdermal opioid in the first 30 days postdischarge (RR 7.64, 95% CI 5.61-10.39), and hospital length of stay >60 days (RR 4.31, 95% CI 3.02-6.15). Conclusion Among opioid-naïve patients, 16.3% were persistent opioid users at 12 months posthospital discharge. Future research should focus on targeted interventions to address modifiable risk factors to reduce new persistent opioid use in older and vulnerable populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Thuy Bui
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Parkville, Australia
- Pharmacy Department, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Miriam T.Y. Leung
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Parkville, Australia
| | - Michael J. Dooley
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Parkville, Australia
- Pharmacy Department, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia
- Departments of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine and
| | - Paul S. Myles
- Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia
- Department of Anaesthesiology and Perioperative Medicine, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia
| | - Jenni Ilomaki
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Parkville, Australia
- Departments of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine and
| | - J. Simon Bell
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Parkville, Australia
- Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Eastern Finland, Kuopio, Finland
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11
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Kim SJH, Marquina C, Foster E, Bell JS, Ilomäki J. Comparative risk of major health events among individuals prescribed different antiseizure medications following ischemic stroke. Epilepsia 2025; 66:1907-1918. [PMID: 40067170 DOI: 10.1111/epi.18336] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2024] [Revised: 02/11/2025] [Accepted: 02/12/2025] [Indexed: 06/18/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to compare the risk of seizure, recurrent stroke, fall or fracture, and mortality in individuals prescribed different antiseizure medications (ASMs) following an ischemic stroke. METHODS We identified all patients admitted to a Victorian public or private hospital with a principal diagnosis of an incident ischemic stroke between 2013 and 2017 and dispensed an ASM within 12 months of discharge. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the risk of cause-specific rehospitalization or emergency department visits (seizure, fall or fracture, recurrent stroke) and all-cause mortality over a 2-year period. Inverse probability of treatment weighting was applied to each model to adjust for baseline covariates. RESULTS Of 19 601 individuals hospitalized for incident ischemic stroke, 897 initiated ASM treatment within 12 months. More than three quarters were initiated on a non-enzyme-inducing ASM (78.0%). Levetiracetam (41.9%), valproate (28.4%), and carbamazepine (11.4%) were commonly dispensed initial ASMs. Non-enzyme-inducing ASMs demonstrated similar risk of seizure (hazard ratio [HR] = .93, 95% confidence interval [CI] = .63-1.37), fall or fracture (HR = 1.47, 95% CI = .92-2.34), stroke (HR = .83; 95% CI = .52-1.33), and mortality (HR = .96; 95% CI = .69-1.32) compared to enzyme-inducing ASMs. However, when valproate was grouped as a separate class, non-enzyme-inducing ASMs (HR = 1.67, 95% CI = 1.04-2.71) showed higher risk of fall or fracture compared to enzyme-inducing ASMs. SIGNIFICANCE At a population level, ASMs of different types showed no significant differences in the risk of hospitalization or emergency department presentation for seizure, fall or fracture, stroke, and mortality within 2 years of an incident stroke presentation, suggesting similar short-term health outcomes in a real-world setting. Future research should investigate decision-making around ASM choice for stroke survivors and examine the impact of long-term ASM exposure on health outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Stella Jung-Hyun Kim
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Clara Marquina
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Emma Foster
- School of Translational Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - J Simon Bell
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
| | - Jenni Ilomäki
- Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
- School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Nursing, and Health Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Victoria, Australia
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12
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Grüneberg E, Fliedner R, Beißbarth T, von Arnim CAF, Blaschke S. [Multimorbidity as a predictor for inpatient admission in clinical emergency and acute medicine : Single-center cluster analysis]. Med Klin Intensivmed Notfmed 2025; 120:419-425. [PMID: 39261337 DOI: 10.1007/s00063-024-01180-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/07/2024] [Revised: 07/17/2024] [Accepted: 08/12/2024] [Indexed: 09/13/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Parallel to demographic trends, an increase of multimorbid patients in emergency and acute medicine is prominent. To define easily applicable criteria for the necessity of inpatient admission, a hierarchical cluster analysis was performed. METHODS In a retrospective, single-center study data of n = 35,249 emergency cases (01/2016-05/2018) were statistically analyzed. Multimorbidity (MM) was defined by at least five ICD-10-GM diagnoses resulting from treatment. A hierarchical cluster analysis was performed for those diagnoses initially summarized into 112 diagnosis subclusters to determine specific clusters of in- and outpatient cases. RESULTS Hospital admission was determined in 81.2% of all ED patients (n = 28,633); 54.7% of inpatients (n = 15,652) and 0.97% of outpatient cases (n = 64) met the criteria for multimorbidity and the age difference between them was highly significant (68.7/60.8 years; p < 0.001). Using a hierarchical cluster analysis, 13 clusters with different diagnoses were identified for inpatient multimorbid patients (MP) and 7 clusters with primarily hematological malignancies for outpatient MP. The length of stay in the ED of inpatient MP was more than twice as long (max. 8.3 h) as for outpatient MP (max. 3.2 h.). CONCLUSIONS The combination of diagnoses typical for MM were characterized as clusters in this study. In contrast to single or combined single diagnoses, the statistically determined characterization of clusters allows for a significantly more accurate prediction of ED patients' disposition as well as for economic process allocation.
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Affiliation(s)
- E Grüneberg
- Zentrale Notaufnahme, Universitätsmedizin Göttingen, Robert-Koch-Str. 40, 37075, Göttingen, Deutschland
| | - R Fliedner
- Klinik für Geriatrie, Universitätsmedizin Göttingen, Göttingen, Deutschland
| | - T Beißbarth
- Institut für Bioinformatik, Universitätsmedizin Göttingen, Göttingen, Deutschland
| | - C A F von Arnim
- Klinik für Geriatrie, Universitätsmedizin Göttingen, Göttingen, Deutschland
| | - S Blaschke
- Zentrale Notaufnahme, Universitätsmedizin Göttingen, Robert-Koch-Str. 40, 37075, Göttingen, Deutschland.
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13
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Dawes M, Packman Z, McDonald RA, Cheetham MJ, Gallagher-Ball NMT, Warwick E, Oyston M, McCone E, Snowden C, Swart M, Briggs TWR, Gray WK. Hospital length of stay, 30-day emergency readmissions and the role of the DrEaMing enhanced recovery pathways in colonic and rectal surgery in England. Br J Anaesth 2025; 134:1765-1772. [PMID: 40268639 PMCID: PMC12106874 DOI: 10.1016/j.bja.2025.02.034] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2024] [Revised: 02/11/2025] [Accepted: 02/16/2025] [Indexed: 04/25/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Enhanced recovery pathways (ERPs) are designed to improve patient outcomes after elective surgery. Our primary aim was to examine whether shorter hospital stay, as a surrogate ERP outcome, was associated with higher 30-day emergency readmission rates for colonic and rectal surgery in England. A secondary aim was to assess how hospital trust compliance with a specific postoperative care bundle, drinking, eating, and mobilising (DrEaMing) within 24 h, relates to outcomes. METHODS This was a retrospective analysis of observational data from the Hospital Episode Statistics dataset for England. All patients aged ≥17 yr undergoing elective colonic or rectal surgery for cancer between April 1, 2014, and March 31, 2024, were included. RESULTS Shorter hospital stays were significantly associated with a lower rate of 30-day emergency readmission among 124 580 colonic and 87 036 rectal surgery patients. Comparing the first (reference) and fourth quartile of length of stay, the odds of 30-day emergency readmission increased by 2.16 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.04-2.30) and 2.41 (95% CI 2.26-2.57) for colonic and rectal surgery, respectively. Increased hospital trust DrEaMing compliance was associated with a reduction in the number of patients with extended length of stay (colonic surgery: X2=24.885, P<0.001; rectal surgery: X2=61.670, P<0.001) and was not associated with 30-day emergency readmission. CONCLUSIONS We found no evidence that shorter length of stay, or greater DrEaMing compliance, were associated with higher emergency admission rates. These findings should not be interpreted as causal.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mindy Dawes
- Getting It Right First Time Programme, NHS England, London, UK; Queen Elizabeth Hospital, University Hospitals Birmingham NHS Foundation Trust, Birmingham, UK; Office of the Chief Nurse, NHS England, London, UK.
| | - Zoë Packman
- Office of the Chief Nurse, NHS England, London, UK
| | - Ruth A McDonald
- Gynaecology Elective Surgery, University College London Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Mark J Cheetham
- Getting It Right First Time Programme, NHS England, London, UK; Department of General Surgery, Shrewsbury and Telford NHS Hospital Trust, Shrewsbury, UK
| | - Nannette M T Gallagher-Ball
- Getting It Right First Time Programme, NHS England, London, UK; Clinical and Professional Development, Bolton NHS Foundation Trust, Bolton, UK
| | - Eleanor Warwick
- Anaesthesia and Perioperative Medicine, King's College Hospital NHS Foundation Trust, London, UK
| | - Maria Oyston
- Office of the Chief Nurse, NHS England, London, UK
| | - Emma McCone
- Getting It Right First Time Programme, NHS England, London, UK; Anaesthesia and Perioperative Medicine, The Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, UK
| | - Chris Snowden
- Getting It Right First Time Programme, NHS England, London, UK; Anaesthesia and Perioperative Medicine, The Newcastle Upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, UK
| | - Michael Swart
- Getting It Right First Time Programme, NHS England, London, UK; Department of Anaesthesia and Perioperative Medicine, Torbay and South Devon NHS Foundation Trust, Torquay, UK
| | - Tim W R Briggs
- Getting It Right First Time Programme, NHS England, London, UK; Department of Surgery, Royal National Orthopaedic Hospital, Stanmore, London, UK
| | - William K Gray
- Getting It Right First Time Programme, NHS England, London, UK
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14
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Hasjim BJ, Mohammadi M, Balbale SN, Paukner M, Banea T, Shi H, Furmanchuk A, VanWagner LB, Zhao L, Duarte-Rojo A, Doll J, Mehrotra S, Ladner DP, CAPriCORN Team. High Hospitalization Rates and Risk Factors Among Frail Patients With Cirrhosis: A 10-year Population-based Cohort Study. Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol 2025; 23:1152-1163. [PMID: 39426643 PMCID: PMC12006459 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2024.08.044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2024] [Revised: 08/26/2024] [Accepted: 08/27/2024] [Indexed: 10/21/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Cirrhosis-related inpatient hospitalizations have increased dramatically over the past decade. We used a longitudinal dataset capturing a large metropolitan area in the United States from 2011 to 2021 to evaluate contemporary hospitalization rates and risk factors among frail patients with cirrhosis. METHODS We conducted a retrospective, longitudinal cohort study using the Chicago Area Patient-Centered Outcomes Research Network (CAPriCORN) database, an electronic health record repository that aggregates de-duplicated data across 7 health care systems in the Chicago metropolitan area, from 2011 to 2021. The primary outcome of our study was the rate of hospitalization encounters. Frailty was defined by the Hospital Frailty Risk Score. Hospitalization rates were reported per 100 patients per year, and a multivariable logistic regression analysis identified predictors of annual hospitalization probability. RESULTS During the study period, of 36,971 patients, 16,265 patients (44%) were hospitalized (compensated, 18.4%; decompensated, 81.6%). Hospitalization rates were highest in patients with decompensated cirrhosis, reaching nearly 77.3 hospitalizations/100 patients per year. Hospitalization rates among patients with compensated cirrhosis were also high (14.2 vs 77.3 hospitalization/100 patients per year), with odds of annual hospitalization 3 times (odds ratio, 3.1; 95% confidence interval, 2.9-3.4) as high among compensated patients with intermediate frailty and 5 times (odds ratio, 5.2; 95% confidence interval, 4.5-6.0) as high among those with severe frailty (compared with compensated patients with low frailty). CONCLUSION Compensated and decompensated cirrhosis patients with intermediate to severe frailty face a substantially increased odds of annual hospitalizations compared with those with low frailty. Future work should focus on targeted interventions to incorporate routine frailty screenings into cirrhosis care and to ultimately minimize high hospitalization rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bima J Hasjim
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Mohsen Mohammadi
- Center for Engineering and Health, McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences, McCormick School of Engineering, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois
| | - Salva N Balbale
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois; Center for Health Services and Outcomes Research, Institute of Public Health and Medicine & Northwestern Quality Improvement, Research, & Education in Surgery (NQUIRES), Department of Surgery, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois; Center of Innovation for Complex Chronic Healthcare (CINCCH), Edward Hines, Jr. VA Hospital, Hines, Illinois
| | - Mitchell Paukner
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Division of Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Therese Banea
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Haoyan Shi
- Center for Engineering and Health, McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Department of Mathematics, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois; Department of Computer Science, McCormick School of Engineering, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois
| | - Al'ona Furmanchuk
- Department of General Internal Medicine, Feinberg School of Medicine, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Lisa B VanWagner
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Division of Digestive and Liver Diseases, Department of Medicine, University of Texas Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, Texas
| | - Lihui Zhao
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Division of Biostatistics, Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Andres Duarte-Rojo
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Julianna Doll
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois
| | - Sanjay Mehrotra
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Center for Engineering and Health, McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Department of Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences, McCormick School of Engineering, Northwestern University, Evanston, Illinois
| | - Daniela P Ladner
- Northwestern University Transplant Outcomes Research Collaborative (NUTORC), Comprehensive Transplant Center (CTC), Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois; Center for Health Services and Outcomes Research, Institute of Public Health and Medicine & Northwestern Quality Improvement, Research, & Education in Surgery (NQUIRES), Department of Surgery, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois; Division of Transplantation, Department of Surgery, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois.
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15
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Migeon A, Kassa-Sombo A, Laurent E, Godillon L, Grammatico-Guillon L, Guillon A. Hospitalization of very old critically ill patients in medical intermediate care units in France: a nationwide population-based study. Ann Intensive Care 2025; 15:73. [PMID: 40425943 PMCID: PMC12116954 DOI: 10.1186/s13613-025-01485-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2025] [Accepted: 05/06/2025] [Indexed: 05/29/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND As the trajectory of very old critically-ill patients becomes an increasingly significant global challenge, these patients are often referred to intermediate care units. Intermediate care units provide a level of care that is less intensive than the intensive care unit (ICU) but more advanced than standard hospital wards. We aimed to assess the nationwide utilization of intermediate care units for critically ill patients aged 80 years or older (≥ 80 y.o.) and to examine their characteristics and long-term mortality outcomes. METHODS From the overall adult population (aged 18 years and older) hospitalized in France (French Hospital Discharge Database) from January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2022, patients ≥ 80 y.o. were included. We examined trends in the utilization of medical intermediate care units for critically ill patients ≥ 80 y.o and reported patient characteristics, including the Charlson comorbidity index and Hospital Frailty Risk Score. Readmission rates (hospital or rehabilitation unit) and mortality rates were calculated during a one-year follow-up period after the end of hospital stay. RESULTS The proportion of patients ≥ 80 y.o. in intermediate care units was 31% whereas it was 17% in ICU. Patients with greater comorbidities and severity were more frequently hospitalized in polyvalent intermediate care units (10% of them receiving acute organ support) compared to specialized intermediate care units. Admission to intermediate care units was associated with a 14% mortality rate during the stay, 28% at one year. Additionally, 58% of intermediate care units patients were rehospitalized within the year following discharge (6% in critical care units). CONCLUSIONS One-third of the patients hospitalized in the intermediate care units in France are aged 80 years or older.
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Affiliation(s)
- Adrien Migeon
- Department of Geriatrics, Tours University Hospital, Tours, France
- Epidemiology Unit EpiDcliC, Clinical Data Center, Service of Public Health, Tours University Hospital, Tours, France
| | - Arthur Kassa-Sombo
- Research Center for Respiratory Diseases (CEPR), INSERM U1100, University of Tours, 2 Bd Tonnellé, 37044, Tours Cedex 9, France
| | - Emeline Laurent
- Epidemiology Unit EpiDcliC, Clinical Data Center, Service of Public Health, Tours University Hospital, Tours, France
- Research unit EA1075 (Education, Ethics and Health), University of Tours, Tours, France
| | - Lucile Godillon
- Epidemiology Unit EpiDcliC, Clinical Data Center, Service of Public Health, Tours University Hospital, Tours, France
| | - Leslie Grammatico-Guillon
- Epidemiology Unit EpiDcliC, Clinical Data Center, Service of Public Health, Tours University Hospital, Tours, France
- Research unit MAVIVH, INSERM U1259, Medical School, University of Tours, Tours, France
| | - Antoine Guillon
- Research Center for Respiratory Diseases (CEPR), INSERM U1100, University of Tours, 2 Bd Tonnellé, 37044, Tours Cedex 9, France.
- Intensive Care Unit, Tours University Hospital, University of Tours, Tours, France.
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16
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Cho J, Salas J, Scherrer JF, Grossberg G. A retrospective cohort study on the relationship between frailty and healthcare outcomes. J Frailty Aging 2025; 14:100053. [PMID: 40411786 DOI: 10.1016/j.tjfa.2025.100053] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2025] [Revised: 04/15/2025] [Accepted: 05/11/2025] [Indexed: 05/26/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Frailty increases vulnerability for adverse outcomes in older adults. Characterizing the prevalence and distribution of frailty can help guide healthcare service decision-making and policy. OBJECTIVES This study evaluated the association between frailty and healthcare utilization and interactions by demographic characteristics. DESIGN Using electronic health records (2018-2022), we conducted a retrospective cohort study with 355,266 patients ≥65 years of age who had ≥2 ambulatory office visits in separate years in the 4-year baseline period (2018-2021). The Gilbert Frailty Index (GFI) was calculated (low vs. intermediate vs. high) using ICD-10 codes. One-year utilization outcomes in 2022 included high outpatient clinic utilizations (OCU), inpatient (IP), emergency department (ED), and nursing home (NH) admissions. Fully adjusted log-binomial regression models were calculated overall and by race (White vs. Black), age groups, and gender. RESULTS The sample was 74.5(±7.5) years of age, 57.7 % female, 89.2 % White, and 13.5 % categorized as GFI high. After adjustment for covariates, GFI high had the highest risk for all outcomes (RR=3.31 for IP; 2.77 for ED; 4.26 for NH; 1.60 for high OCU). We observed significant interactions by race, gender, and age for some outcomes. Effects of GFI high vs. low were larger for White (IP, ED, & high OCU), female patients (ED & high OCU), and younger patients (IP). Conversely, the effects of GFI high vs. low were strongest in older patients for ED, IP and high OCU. CONCLUSIONS Monitoring frailty and paying attention to patient's demographic characteristics is needed to best estimate associations between frailty and healthcare utilization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jinmyoung Cho
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
| | - Joanne Salas
- AHEAD Institute, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO, USA
| | - Jeffery F Scherrer
- Department of Family and Community Medicine, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA; AHEAD Institute, Saint Louis University, St. Louis, MO, USA; Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Neuroscience, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA
| | - George Grossberg
- Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Neuroscience, Saint Louis University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA
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Elsamadicy AA, Serrato P, Ghanekar SD, Brown EDL, Ward M, Pennington Z, Schneider D, Lo SFL, Sciubba DM. Assessing combined effects of risk analysis index-revised (RAI-rev), malnutrition, and anemia on morbidity and mortality after spine surgery for metastatic spinal tumors. J Neurooncol 2025:10.1007/s11060-025-05071-4. [PMID: 40405043 DOI: 10.1007/s11060-025-05071-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2025] [Accepted: 05/06/2025] [Indexed: 05/24/2025]
Abstract
PURPOSE This study evaluates the combined effects of frailty, anemia, and malnutrition on outcomes in spinal metastases patients. METHODS We conducted a retrospective cohort study using the 2011-2022 NSQIP database. Adult patients undergoing spinal surgery for spinal metastases were identified using CPT and ICD codes and stratified based on Risk Analysis Index-revised (RAI-rev) frailty status; frail patients were subdivided based on anemia and malnutrition status. Our primary outcomes were extended hospital length of stay (LOS), 30-day adverse events (AEs), non-routine discharge (NRD), and 30-day mortality. For each outcome, we fitted four nested multivariable logistic regression models (RAI-rev + anemia + malnutrition, RAI-rev + anemia, RAI-rev + malnutrition, and RAI-rev alone) and compared the incremental discrimination of each model using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. RESULTS 1530 patients were stratified accordingly: 355 Frail Alone, 540 Frail + Anemic, 85 Frail + Malnourished, 407 Frail + Anemic + Malnourished, and 143 Not Frail. RAI-rev and malnourishment were risk factors for extended LOS ((RAI-rev: aOR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08; malnourishment: aOR 1.98, 95% CI 1.44-2.73)) and mortality (RAI-rev: aOR: 1.07, 95% CI 1.03-1.11; malnourishment: aOR: 2.37, 95% CI 1.50-3.75). RAI-rev (aOR 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.03) and anemia (aOR 2.06, 95% CI 1.50-2.84) independently predicted AEs and malnourishment predicted NRD (aOR 1.56, 95% CI 1.15-2.13). On ROC analysis, RAI-rev + anemic + malnourished superiorly predicted extended LOS (p = 0.021), AEs (p = 0.035), and mortality (p = 0.023) compared to RAI-rev. RAI-rev + malnourished outperformed RAI-rev in predicting extended LOS (p = 0.035) and mortality (p = 0.020). RAI-rev + anemic outperformed RAI-rev in predicting AEs (p = 0.032). CONCLUSION Our study suggests that RAI-rev-defined frailty combined with anemia and malnutrition is a superior predictor of outcomes in spinal metastases patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aladine A Elsamadicy
- Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, 333 Cedar Street, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA.
| | - Paul Serrato
- Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, 333 Cedar Street, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA
| | - Shaila D Ghanekar
- Department of Neurosurgery, Yale University School of Medicine, 333 Cedar Street, New Haven, CT, 06510, USA
| | - Ethan D L Brown
- Department of Neurosurgery, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra, Long Island Jewish Medical Center and North Shore University Hospital, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, USA
| | - Max Ward
- Department of Neurosurgery, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra, Long Island Jewish Medical Center and North Shore University Hospital, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, USA
| | | | - Daniel Schneider
- Department of Neurosurgery, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra, Long Island Jewish Medical Center and North Shore University Hospital, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, USA
| | - Sheng-Fu Larry Lo
- Department of Neurosurgery, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra, Long Island Jewish Medical Center and North Shore University Hospital, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, USA
| | - Daniel M Sciubba
- Department of Neurosurgery, Zucker School of Medicine at Hofstra, Long Island Jewish Medical Center and North Shore University Hospital, Northwell Health, Manhasset, NY, USA
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18
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Nakajima E, Ha ACT, Qiu F, Austin PC, Jackevicius CA, Ko DT, Dorian P, Lee DS, Abdel-Qadir H. East Asian immigration and direct oral anticoagulant dosing for atrial fibrillation: A population-based cohort study. Heart Rhythm 2025:S1547-5271(25)02500-7. [PMID: 40412595 DOI: 10.1016/j.hrthm.2025.05.040] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/27/2024] [Revised: 05/09/2025] [Accepted: 05/14/2025] [Indexed: 05/27/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Some East Asian (EA) guidelines recommend lower doses of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for atrial fibrillation (AF) than in North America and Europe. OBJECTIVE Investigate the association of immigration from EA with DOAC dosing and outcomes in AF. METHODS Population-based cohort study using administrative databases of Ontario immigrants with AF aged ≥66 years who were dispensed DOAC prescriptions from 2012-2019. Birth country was classified as EA or not. We used multivariable logistic regression to assess the association of EA birth with DOAC dose and cause-specific hazards regression for the association of EA birth and DOAC dose with stroke/bleeding/death. Interaction between EA birth and DOAC dosing was studied for each outcome. RESULTS Among 14,421 immigrants, 3958 (27.4%) were born in EA. EA immigrants had lower odds of receiving full-dose DOACs versus non-EA immigrants (OR 0.64, 95%CI 0.58-0.69, p<0.001). EA birth was not associated with a composite of hospitalization for stroke/bleeding (HR 0.97, 95%CI 0.84-1.12, p= 0.67) nor hospitalization for stroke (HR 0.86, 95%CI 0.71-1.04, p= 0.13), but was associated with higher bleeding hazard (HR 1.15, 95%CI 1.02-1.30, p= 0.02) and lower mortality (HR 0.91, 95%CI 0.84-0.99, p= 0.04). There was no significant interaction between EA birth and DOAC dosing for stroke (p=0.41), bleeding (p=0.27), or death (p=0.33). CONCLUSIONS EA immigrants were less likely to receive full-dose DOACs and had a higher bleeding hazard, similar stroke hazard, and lower mortality risk than non-EA immigrants. There was no evidence that DOAC dosing had a differential treatment effect in EA immigrants.
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Affiliation(s)
- Erika Nakajima
- Women's College Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada; Temerty Faculty of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Andrew C T Ha
- Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Feng Qiu
- ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences), Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Peter C Austin
- ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences), Toronto, ON, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Cynthia A Jackevicius
- ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences), Toronto, ON, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; Western University of Health Sciences, Pomona, California
| | - Dennis T Ko
- ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences), Toronto, ON, Canada; Schulich Heart Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Center, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Paul Dorian
- Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Douglas S Lee
- Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences), Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Husam Abdel-Qadir
- Women's College Hospital, Toronto, ON, Canada; Peter Munk Cardiac Centre, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada; ICES (formerly known as the Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences), Toronto, ON, Canada; Institute of Health Policy, Management, and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
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19
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Li Y, Hall T, Razak F, Verma A, Chignell M, Wang L. Using interpretable survival analysis to assess hospital length of stay. BMC Health Serv Res 2025; 25:741. [PMID: 40405155 PMCID: PMC12096686 DOI: 10.1186/s12913-025-12852-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/15/2024] [Accepted: 05/06/2025] [Indexed: 05/24/2025] Open
Abstract
Accurate in-hospital length of stay prediction is a vital quality metric for hospital leaders and health policy decision-makers. It assists with decision-making and informs hospital operations involving factors such as patient flow, elective cases, and human resources allocation, while also informing quality of care and risk considerations. The aim of the research reported in this paper is to use survival analysis to model General Internal Medicine (GIM) length of stay, and to use Shapley value to support interpretation of the resulting model. Survival analysis aims to predict the time until a specific event occurs. In our study, we predict the duration from patient admission to discharge to home, i.e., in-hospital length of stay. In addition to discussing the modeling results, we also talk about how survival analysis of hospital length of stay can be used to guide improvements in the efficiency of hospital operations and support the development of quality metrics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yan Li
- Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Trevor Hall
- Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Healthcare Insurance Reciprocal of Canada, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Fahad Razak
- The General Medicine Inpatient Initiative (GEMINI), Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Amol Verma
- The General Medicine Inpatient Initiative (GEMINI), Unity Health Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
| | - Mark Chignell
- Department of Mechanical and Industrial Engineering, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada.
| | - Lu Wang
- Department of Biomedical Engineering, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
- Department of Health Systems & Population Health Sciences, University of Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
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20
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Zheng J, Yu P, Yang M. Development, Validation, and Application of the Electronic Frailty Index: A Scoping Review. J Am Med Dir Assoc 2025; 26:105577. [PMID: 40164233 DOI: 10.1016/j.jamda.2025.105577] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/16/2025] [Revised: 02/22/2025] [Accepted: 02/24/2025] [Indexed: 04/02/2025]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE The aim of this scoping review was to examine the scope and characteristics of the published literature related to the Electronic Frailty Index (eFI). DESIGN Scoping review. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS Original studies related to the eFI in older adults. METHODS Six databases were searched for articles published between March 2016 and August 2024: PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Scopus, China National Knowledge Infrastructure (CNKI), and Wanfang Database. Data extracted included the publication year, country, sample size, data sources for developing an eFI, number of items included in the eFI, performance of the eFI, and application of the eFI. RESULTS Of the 424 articles initially retrieved, this scoping review included 50 studies for analysis. Thirty-nine (78%) of these studies were conducted after the year 2019. Moreover, we identified 8 distinct eFIs. Twelve studies assessed the performance of eFIs, whereas 30 studies used them. The eFIs covered 4 key domains: diseases, functional information, laboratory tests and measures, and symptoms and signs. The most common outcome examined was mortality. Furthermore, the eFIs were applied for diverse purposes, including exploring the relationship between frailty and health outcomes. CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS This scoping review revealed that eFIs can be developed using various electronic health care data sources, and they have been extensively employed for various population-level purposes. The observed associations between the eFIs, existing frailty assessment tools, and health outcomes highlight their utility in evaluating the care needs of an aging population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiaying Zheng
- School of Public Health and Nursing, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.
| | - Ping Yu
- Faculty of Engineering and Information Sciences, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales, Australia
| | - Minmu Yang
- Zhejiang Provincial Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
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21
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Shawon MSR, Yu J, Gomes S, Ooi SY, Jorm L. Real-World Evidence on Lead Extraction Following Cardiac Implantable Electronic Device (CIED) Infections and Its Association With 1-year Mortality. Am J Cardiol 2025:S0002-9149(25)00313-3. [PMID: 40379121 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2025.05.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2025] [Revised: 05/07/2025] [Accepted: 05/09/2025] [Indexed: 05/19/2025]
Abstract
Complete lead extraction is strongly recommended for managing cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) infections. However, actual practices and associated patient outcomes in real-world settings are not well documented. This study aims to quantify use of lead extraction among Australian patients with CIED infections. In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed linked hospital and mortality data from New South Wales (July 2008 to September 2022). We included patients aged ≥18 years diagnosed with CIED infections, identified using diagnosis codes T82.71 (from July 2017 onwards) and T82.7 with relevant supplementary codes prior to July 2017. We quantified the association between lead extraction and 1-year mortality using time-varying Cox proportional hazards regression models. We included 2,339 patients (mean age 72.5 years, 31.5% female) who were hospitalized with CIED infections, of which 24.0% (n = 561) underwent lead extraction within 30 days. The likelihood of lead extraction was higher among those with sepsis, endocarditis, Staphylococcus aureus infection, prior revision/replacement CIED procedures, and patients admitted to private hospitals. In contrast, older patients (aged 75+ years), female patients, and those with chronic kidney disease were less likely to undergo lead extraction. Lead extraction was associated with reduced 1-year mortality rate (adjusted-HR = 0.64, 95% CI: 0.51 to 0.81), with evidence of greater survival benefit in patients with sepsis and lesser benefit in older patients and females. In conclusion, utilization of lead extraction was limited among patients with CIED infections. Lead extraction was linked to significantly reduced mortality rate, highlighting the importance of improving adherence to recommended management for patients with CIED infections.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Jennifer Yu
- Prince of Wales Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Sean Gomes
- Prince of Wales Hospital, Sydney, Australia
| | - Sze-Yuan Ooi
- Prince of Wales Hospital, Sydney, Australia; Faculty of Medicine, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
| | - Louisa Jorm
- Centre for Big Data Research in Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia
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22
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Hashimoto Y, Inoue N, Tani T, Imai S. Machine Learning for Predicting Postoperative Functional Disability and Mortality Among Older Patients With Cancer: Retrospective Cohort Study. JMIR Aging 2025; 8:e65898. [PMID: 40369796 DOI: 10.2196/65898] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/29/2024] [Revised: 03/18/2025] [Accepted: 03/18/2025] [Indexed: 05/16/2025] Open
Abstract
Background The global cancer burden is rapidly increasing, with 20 million new cases estimated in 2022. The world population aged ≥65 years is also increasing, projected to reach 15.9% by 2050, making cancer control for older patients urgent. Surgical resection is important for cancer treatment; however, predicting postoperative disability and mortality in older patients is crucial for surgical decision-making, considering the quality of life and care burden. Currently, no model directly predicts postoperative functional disability in this population. Objective We aimed to develop and validate machine-learning models to predict postoperative functional disability (≥5-point decrease in the Barthel Index) or in-hospital death in patients with cancer aged ≥ 65 years. Methods This retrospective cohort study included patients aged ≥65 years who underwent surgery for major cancers (lung, stomach, colorectal, liver, pancreatic, breast, or prostate cancer) between April 2016 and March 2023 in 70 Japanese hospitals across 6 regional groups. One group was randomly selected for external validation, while the remaining 5 groups were randomly divided into training (70%) and internal validation (30%) sets. Predictor variables were selected from 37 routinely available preoperative factors through electronic medical records (age, sex, income, comorbidities, laboratory values, and vital signs) using crude odds ratios (P<.1) and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator method. We developed 6 machine-learning models, including category boosting (CatBoost), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), logistic regression, neural networks, random forest, and support vector machine. Model predictive performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) with 95% CI. We used the Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) method to evaluate contribution to the predictive performance for each predictor variable. Results This study included 33,355 patients in the training, 14,294 in the internal validation, and 6711 in the external validation sets. In the training set, 1406/33,355 (4.2%) patients experienced worse discharge. A total of 24 predictor variables were selected for the final models. CatBoost and XGBoost achieved the largest AUCs among the 6 models: 0.81 (95% CI 0.80-0.82) and 0.81 (95% CI 0.80-0.82), respectively. In the top 15 influential factors based on the mean absolute SHAP value, both models shared the same 14 factors such as dementia, age ≥85 years, and gastrointestinal cancer. The CatBoost model showed the largest AUCs in both internal (0.77, 95% CI 0.75-0.79) and external validation (0.72, 95% CI 0.68-0.75). Conclusions The CatBoost model demonstrated good performance in predicting postoperative outcomes for older patients with cancer using routinely available preoperative factors. The robustness of these findings was supported by the identical top influential factors between the CatBoost and XGBoost models. This model could support surgical decision-making while considering postoperative quality of life and care burden, with potential for implementation through electronic health records.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yuki Hashimoto
- Department of Clinical Data Management and Research, Clinical Research Center, National Hospital Organization Headquarters, 2-5-21 Higashigaoka, Meguroku, 152-8621, Japan, 81 3-5712-5133, 81 3-5712-5088
| | - Norihiko Inoue
- Department of Clinical Data Management and Research, Clinical Research Center, National Hospital Organization Headquarters, 2-5-21 Higashigaoka, Meguroku, 152-8621, Japan, 81 3-5712-5133, 81 3-5712-5088
| | - Takuaki Tani
- Department of Pharmacoepidemiology, Showa University Graduate School of Pharmacy, Shinagawaku, Japan
| | - Shinobu Imai
- Department of Pharmacoepidemiology, Showa University Graduate School of Pharmacy, Shinagawaku, Japan
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23
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Asensi-Diez R, Ballesteros-Fernández Á, Rouco M, Tortajada-Goitia B, Linares-Alarcón A. [Analysis of the concordance between theoretical and real stratification in patients living with HIV infection treated at a tertiary care hospital]. REVISTA ESPANOLA DE QUIMIOTERAPIA : PUBLICACION OFICIAL DE LA SOCIEDAD ESPANOLA DE QUIMIOTERAPIA 2025; 38:228-233. [PMID: 40059630 PMCID: PMC12095939 DOI: 10.37201/req/003.2025] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2025] [Accepted: 02/18/2025] [Indexed: 03/19/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION To analyse the concordance between theoretical and actual stratification of people living with HIV infection attending a pharmaceutical care outpatient clinic in a tertiary regional hospital. MATERIAL AND METHODS Observational, retrospective, analytical, cross-sectional and single-centre study in people living with HIV infection. Study period: April 2024. Inclusion criteria: patients with HIV infection aged over 18 years who had been receiving active antiretroviral therapy (ART) for at least two years prior to inclusion. The 2022 version of the pharmaceutical care stratification model for people living with HIV infection was used. Reliability was evaluated from a qualitative perspective using Cohen's Kappa coefficient. RESULTS Of the 199 patients attended during the study period, 100 were consecutively selected, of whom 93 were ultimately stratified. Men accounted for 77.41% of the cohort, with a mean age of 47.81 ± 12.53 years. The obtained stratification percentages were: Priority 1: 7.52%; Priority 2: 26.88%; Priority 3: 65.59%. Quantitative analysis of concordance between the models yielded a Cohen Kappa value of K=0.866. CONCLUSIONS There is a good concordance between the distribution percentages of the theoretical stratification and the actual one obtained in our study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rocío Asensi-Diez
- Servicio de Farmacia, Hospital Regional Universitario de Málaga, Málaga, Spain.
| | | | - Manuel Rouco
- Servicio de Farmacia, Hospital Regional Universitario de Málaga, Málaga, Spain
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24
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Poeran J. CORR Insights®: Frailty Is Associated With Increased 30-day Readmissions and Costs After Total Shoulder Arthroplasty. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2025:00003086-990000000-02018. [PMID: 40331704 DOI: 10.1097/corr.0000000000003533] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/07/2025] [Accepted: 04/15/2025] [Indexed: 05/08/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Jashvant Poeran
- Director of Research, Department of Anesthesiology and Critical Care & Pain Management, Hospital for Special Surgery, New York, NY, USA
- Associate Professor, Department of Population Health Science & Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, USA
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25
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Qiu Y, Xiong W, Fang X, Li P, Conroy S, Maynou L, Rockwood K, Liu X, Wu J, Street A. Validation of the hospital frailty risk score in China. Eur Geriatr Med 2025:10.1007/s41999-025-01212-0. [PMID: 40314855 DOI: 10.1007/s41999-025-01212-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/29/2024] [Accepted: 04/07/2025] [Indexed: 05/03/2025]
Abstract
PURPOSE To validate the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) in Chinese hospital settings, describing how patients are allocated to frailty risk groups and how frailty risk is associated with length of stay (LoS) and hospital costs. DESIGN Retrospective observational study. SETTING Forty-eight hospitals in Lvliang City, Shanxi Province, China. SUBJECTS Patients aged 75 years or older hospitalised between 1 January 2022 and 31 December 2023 (n = 34,731). METHODS A logistic regression model examined the association between long length of stay (LoS) and frailty risk. A generalised linear model assessed the association between hospital costs and frailty risk. Subgroup analyses of age group, sex, and hospital tiers were conducted. RESULTS 22.2% of patients were categorised as having zero risk, 62.4% as low risk, 15.3% as intermediate risk, and 0.08% as high risk. Compared to the zero risk group: for those with low risk, the probability of long LoS was 1.92 (95% CI 1.79-2.06) times higher and hospital costs were ¥1926 (95% CI 1655-2197) higher; for those with intermediate risk, the probability of long LoS was 2.7 (95% CI 2.49-2.96) times higher and hospital costs were ¥4284 (95% CI 3916-4653) higher; and for those with high risk, the probability of long LoS was 6.7 (95% CI 3.06-14.43) times higher and hospital costs were ¥16,613 (95% CI 12,827-20,399) higher. The explanatory power of the HFRS held across subgroups. CONCLUSIONS Compared to patients aged 75 + elsewhere, those in China had lower frailty risk scores, likely reflecting a younger age structure and recording of fewer diagnosis codes. Even so, the HFRS is a powerful predictor of long length of stay and hospital costs in China.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yue Qiu
- Tsinghua Medicine, Tsinghua University, Haidian District, Beijing, 100084, China
| | - Weiqing Xiong
- Tsinghua Medicine, Tsinghua University, Haidian District, Beijing, 100084, China
| | - Xinyue Fang
- Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, Guangdong, 518055, China
| | - Pei Li
- Tsinghua Medicine, Tsinghua University, Haidian District, Beijing, 100084, China
| | - Simon Conroy
- Wolfson Institute of Population Health, Queen Mary University of London, Mile End Road, E1 4NS, London, UK
| | - Laia Maynou
- Department of Econometrics, Statistics and Applied Economics, Universitat de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Kenneth Rockwood
- Division of Geriatric Medicine, Frailty Elder Care Network, Nova Scotia Health, Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, B3H2E1, Canada
| | - Xien Liu
- Department of Electronic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
| | - Ji Wu
- Department of Electronic Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
- College of AI, Tsinghua University, Beijing, 100084, China
| | - Andrew Street
- Department of Health Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, Houghton Street, London, WC2A 2AE, UK.
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Jaan A, Maryyum A, Ali H, Farooq U, Dahiya DS, Muhammad QUA, Castro FJ. Frailty Predicts Mortality and Procedural Performance in Patients With Non-Variceal Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding. JGH Open 2025; 9:e70188. [PMID: 40401185 PMCID: PMC12093336 DOI: 10.1002/jgh3.70188] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/18/2025] [Revised: 04/20/2025] [Accepted: 05/12/2025] [Indexed: 06/01/2025]
Abstract
Introduction Nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) is a common cause of hospitalization in the United States, with approximately 400 000 admissions annually and a 5%-10% mortality rate. This study aimed to evaluate frailty's impact on NVUGIB outcomes. Methods We utilized the 2019 National Readmission Database (NRD) to identify adult patients (≥ 18 years) admitted with a principal diagnosis of NVUGIB using ICD-10-CM codes. NVUGIB hospitalizations were stratified by frailty using the hospital frailty risk score (HFRS) of 5 or more as the cut-off for frailty. Multivariate regression analyses were conducted to analyze the outcomes. STATA 14.2 was used for statistical testing. Results Among 218 647 NVUGIB admissions, 99 892 (45.69%) were frail. Frail patients were older, more often female, and had higher comorbidity burdens. They showed significantly greater in-hospital mortality (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 5.64, 95% CI 4.94-6.44; p < 0.001), acute kidney injury (5.85), respiratory failure (6.93), septic shock (40.94), hemorrhagic shock (2.64), vasopressor use (4.36), mechanical ventilation (6.04), and ICU admission (5.41). Although frail patients had higher odds of esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD) with intervention (1.04; p < 0.001), they were less likely to receive EGD within 24 h (0.75; p < 0.001). They also had higher odds of rebleeding (1.18; p < 0.001) and radioembolization (2.69; p < 0.001). Length of stay increased by 2.30 days, total charges rose by $28 518, discharge to rehabilitation was more frequent (3.12; p < 0.01), and 30-day readmission was higher (15.24% vs. 11.43%, HR 1.16; p < 0.001). Conclusion Frailty independently predicts worse clinical outcomes and increased resource use in NVUGIB. Recognizing frailty may improve risk stratification and guide more tailored management strategies for this high-risk population.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ali Jaan
- Division of Internal MedicineUnity HospitalRochesterNew YorkUSA
| | - Adeena Maryyum
- Division of Internal MedicineAyub Medical CollegeAbbottabadPakistan
| | - Hassam Ali
- Division of GastroenterologyEast Carolina UniversityGreenvilleNorth CarolinaUSA
| | - Umer Farooq
- Division of GastroenterologySaint Louis UniversitySaint LouisMissouriUSA
| | - Dushyant Singh Dahiya
- Division of GastroenterologyUniversity of Kansas School of MedicineKansas CityKansasUSA
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Li Y, Li Y, Zhuo C, Shen S, Zhuo N. Predictive value of the hospital frailty risk score in perioperative complications of artificial hip and knee arthroplasty in elderly patients. Technol Health Care 2025; 33:1298-1303. [PMID: 40331542 DOI: 10.1177/09287329241296769] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/08/2025]
Abstract
BackgroundAlthough artificial hip and knee arthroplasty has been widely used, the incidence of perioperative complications remains relatively high due to factors such as long operation time and large surgical incisions. However, the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) clinical value for patients undergoing artificial hip and knee arthroplasty in China is not yet clear. This study aims to explore its clinical value in this population.ObjectiveTo explore predictive value of the HFRS in perioperative complications of artificial hip and knee arthroplasty in elderly patients.MethodsElderly patients who underwent artificial hip and knee arthroplasty in our hospital from March 2020 to March 2022 were selected as the study subjects. The patients were divided into the non-frail risk group (HFRS <5 points) and the frail risk group (HFRS ≥5 points) on the basis of the literature grading method. 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) scores were assessed. General data including age, sex, ASA classification, preoperative course, and surgical time were collected through the electronic medical record system. The occurrence of postoperative deep venous thrombosis, periprosthetic infection, hematoma, anemia, and overall complications was recorded. Hospitalization days, surgical costs, and total treatment costs were also calculated for all patients.ResultsThere were no significant differences in age, sex, ASA classification, preoperative course, or surgical time between the two groups (p > 0.05). The frail risk group had significantly higher mFI-5 and CCI scores (p < 0.05). This group also had a higher incidence of deep venous thrombosis and overall complications (p < 0.05), but similar rates of periprosthetic infection, hematoma, and anemia (p > 0.05). ROC analysis showed HFRS had the highest predictive value for postoperative complications (AUC = 0.851) compared to mFI-5 (0.786) and CCI (0.739). Surgical costs were similar (p > 0.05), but the frail group had longer hospital stays and higher total treatment costs (p < 0.05).ConclusionHFRS has better predictive value for perioperative complications in elderly patients undergoing artificial hip and knee arthroplasty compared to mFI-5 and CCI scores, and it can be used for predicting perioperative complications in elderly patients with this surgery.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yang Li
- Department of Orthopedics, The Affiliated Hospital, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, China
| | - Yujie Li
- Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, China
| | | | - Shi Shen
- Department of Orthopedics, The Affiliated Hospital, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, China
| | - Naiqiang Zhuo
- Department of Orthopedics, The Affiliated Hospital, Southwest Medical University, Luzhou, Sichuan, China
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Piepenburg SM, Maslarska M, Weber C, Kaier K, von Zur Mühlen C, Westermann D, Hehrlein C. Hospital frailty risk and CHA2DS2-VA scores in the mortality assessment of older patients with peripheral artery disease. VASA 2025; 54:201-208. [PMID: 39957287 DOI: 10.1024/0301-1526/a001183] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/18/2025]
Abstract
Background: Older patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) encounter an increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Accurate risk scoring methods are crucial for assessing the likelihood of cardiovascular events in these patients. However, a comprehensive comparison of these scoring methods for predicting in-hospital mortality in PAD patients has not yet been conducted. Patients and methods: This study analyzed 173,075 patients hospitalized with PAD in the year 2020 from a German nationwide registry. We assessed five risk scores: the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index, the Charlson Comorbidity Index, the CHA2DS2-VA Score, the EuroSCORE, and the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS). The average patient age was 72 ± 10.94 years, with 36.82% female and 35.27% also diagnosed with diabetes mellitus. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 2.68%. Mean scores were 7.12±6.55 for the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index, 2.66±1.72 for the Charlson Comorbidity Index, 3.85±1.43 for the CHA2DS2-VA Score, 8.96%±8.85% for the EuroSCORE, and 3.53±5 for the HFRS. The HFRS showed the highest predictive potential for in-hospital mortality with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.86 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.86-0.87) but had the worst calibration for high-risk patients. The CHA2DS2-VA Score had the lowest AUC 0.69 (95% CI: 0.68-0.70) but was the most consistent prediction model regarding calibration. Conclusions: HFRS was the most effective overall predictor of in-hospital mortality, but did not detect those patients with a very high risk of mortality. The CHA2DS2-VA Score was the most robust predictor of increasing score points but had the lowest sensitivity. Therefore, use of the HFRS combined with application of the CHA2DS2-VA Score appears to be most appropriate in identifying older PAD patients at risk of in-hospital mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sven M Piepenburg
- Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Interdisciplinary Vascular Center Freiburg-Bad Krozingen, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
| | - Mariya Maslarska
- Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Interdisciplinary Vascular Center Freiburg-Bad Krozingen, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
| | - Christian Weber
- Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Interdisciplinary Vascular Center Freiburg-Bad Krozingen, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
| | - Klaus Kaier
- Institute of Medical Biometry and Statistics, University Medical Center Freiburg, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
- Center of Big Data Analysis in Cardiology (CeBAC), Heart Center Freiburg University, Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
| | - Constantin von Zur Mühlen
- Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Interdisciplinary Vascular Center Freiburg-Bad Krozingen, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
- Center of Big Data Analysis in Cardiology (CeBAC), Heart Center Freiburg University, Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
| | - Dirk Westermann
- Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Interdisciplinary Vascular Center Freiburg-Bad Krozingen, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
| | - Christoph Hehrlein
- Department of Cardiology and Angiology, Interdisciplinary Vascular Center Freiburg-Bad Krozingen, Faculty of Medicine, University of Freiburg, Germany
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Turner M, Dennis M, Barber M, Macleod MJ. Impact of Rurality and Geographical Accessibility on Stroke Care and Outcomes. Stroke 2025; 56:1210-1217. [PMID: 40084706 DOI: 10.1161/strokeaha.124.048251] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2024] [Revised: 12/19/2024] [Accepted: 02/04/2025] [Indexed: 03/16/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Providing equitable health care to rural stroke patients is challenging and associated with less intervention and poorer outcomes. We assessed how several distinct patient-related geographic classifications influenced stroke care and outcomes in Scotland, United Kingdom. METHODS We conducted a population-level data-linkage study of ischemic stroke patients admitted to the hospital (2010-2018). Geographic classifications included 2 binary (urban versus rural; accessible versus remote) and 1 six-category classification encompassing both rurality and accessibility (large urban areas, other urban areas, accessible small towns, remote small towns, accessible rural areas, and remote rural areas). Process outcomes included achievement of a stroke care bundle and thrombolysis administration. Clinical outcomes included 30-day discharge from hospital care, 90-day home time, inpatient and 1-year all-cause mortality. RESULTS We included 42 917 ischemic stroke patients (35 766 urban and 7151 rural). Binary classifications of rurality or accessibility missed important differences in stroke care and outcomes revealed using 6-category classification. Using the latter, compared with large urban areas, patients in accessible rural areas were more likely to receive a complete stroke care bundle (adjusted odds ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.12-1.31]); patients in remote rural areas were less likely (adjusted odds ratio, 0.85 [95% CI, 0.78-0.93]). Compared with large urban areas, 30-day discharge from hospital care was more likely for patients residing elsewhere (eg, remote rural areas adjusted subdistribution hazards ratio, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.05-1.17]); home time within 90 days was higher for other urban areas (adjusted incidence rate ratio, 1.05 [95% CI, 1.03-1.07]) and accessible rural areas (adjusted incidence rate ratio, 1.03 [95% CI, 1.01-1.06]); and 1-year mortality was less likely in other urban areas (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.88-0.98]) and remote small towns (adjusted hazard ratio, 0.89 [95% CI, 0.80-0.99]). CONCLUSIONS When considering geographic disparities in stroke care and outcomes across Scotland, it is important to account for both home location and accessibility of care. Despite patients residing in remote rural areas being less likely to achieve a complete stroke care bundle, this did not translate into poorer outcomes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Melanie Turner
- Institute of Applied Health Sciences (M.T.), University of Aberdeen, United Kingdom
| | - Martin Dennis
- Centre for Clinical Brain Sciences, University of Edinburgh, United Kingdom (M.D.)
| | - Mark Barber
- Department of Stroke Care, University Hospital Monklands, Airdrie, United Kingdom (M.B.)
| | - Mary-Joan Macleod
- Institute of Medical Sciences (M.-J.M.), University of Aberdeen, United Kingdom
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Tewari A, Lockey SD. CORR Synthesis: What Is the Impact of Frailty on Postoperative Complications After Spinal Surgery? Clin Orthop Relat Res 2025; 483:808-819. [PMID: 39915052 PMCID: PMC12014117 DOI: 10.1097/corr.0000000000003382] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2024] [Accepted: 12/23/2024] [Indexed: 04/24/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Anant Tewari
- Medical Student, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA
| | - Stephen D. Lockey
- Assistant Professor of Orthopaedic Surgery, Division of Spine Surgery, University of Virginia, University of Virginia Medical Center, Charlottesville, VA, USA
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Buergler H, Gregoriano C, Laager R, Mueller B, Schuetz P, Conen A, Kutz A. Microbiological Trends, In-hospital Outcomes, and Mortality in Infective Endocarditis: A Swiss Nationwide Cohort Study. Clin Infect Dis 2025; 80:784-794. [PMID: 39602522 DOI: 10.1093/cid/ciae582] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/01/2024] [Revised: 11/15/2024] [Accepted: 11/26/2024] [Indexed: 11/29/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The epidemiology of infective endocarditis (IE) is evolving, driven by an aging population and increased use of endovascular devices, and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. This study aims to evaluate changes in microbiological trends and clinical outcomes in patients with IE over the past decade in Switzerland. METHODS This nationwide cohort study analyzed in-hospital claims data from patients hospitalized with IE in Switzerland between 2012 and 2021. We assessed incidence rates per 100 000 hospitalizations, categorizing them by common pathogens. The outcomes included in-hospital and 6-month mortality, admission to the intensive care unit, and length of hospital stay. RESULTS Among 15 255 hospitalizations with IE, the annual number of cases increased from 1361 in 2012 to 1636 in 2021. The most frequently diagnosed pathogens were Staphylococcus aureus (increasing from 19.8% to 30.0%, Ptrend < .01) and Streptococcus species (from 17.6% to 24.4%, Ptrend < .01). Infective endocarditis caused by Staphylococcus aureus was associated with the highest in-hospital (19.9%) and 6-month mortality (30.3%), and intensive care unit admission rates (44.2%), with no relevant changes over time. The longest length of hospital stay was observed in hospitalizations with IE caused by Enterococcus species (mean 23.9 days) and S. aureus (23.8 days). CONCLUSIONS This nationwide cohort study showed an increase in IE hospitalizations from 2012 to 2021, primarily from S. aureus and Streptococcus species. Predominantly, S. aureus was associated with adverse outcomes that remained consistently high over time compared to other or unidentified pathogens.
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Affiliation(s)
- Helene Buergler
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Medical University Clinic, Aarau, Switzerland
- Medical Faculty, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
| | - Claudia Gregoriano
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Medical University Clinic, Aarau, Switzerland
| | - Rahel Laager
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Medical University Clinic, Aarau, Switzerland
- University Hospital of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry and Psychotherapy, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland
| | - Beat Mueller
- Medical Faculty, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
- Medical University Department, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland
| | - Philipp Schuetz
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Medical University Clinic, Aarau, Switzerland
- Medical Faculty, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
- Medical University Department, Clinic for Endocrinology, Diabetes and Metabolism, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland
| | - Anna Conen
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Medical University Clinic, Aarau, Switzerland
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Infection Prevention, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Aarau, Switzerland
| | - Alexander Kutz
- Department of Internal Medicine, Cantonal Hospital Aarau, Medical University Clinic, Aarau, Switzerland
- Medical Faculty, University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland
- Division of Pharmacoepidemiology and Pharmacoeconomics, Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
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Sanchez MM, Sabillon CA, Paduano SJ, Egwim C, Ankoma-Sey V. Frailty, Comorbidities, and In-Hospital Outcomes in Older Cholangiocarcinoma Patients. J Clin Med 2025; 14:3112. [PMID: 40364142 PMCID: PMC12072325 DOI: 10.3390/jcm14093112] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/01/2025] [Revised: 04/26/2025] [Accepted: 04/28/2025] [Indexed: 05/15/2025] Open
Abstract
Introduction: Frailty is increasingly recognized as a critical predictor of adverse outcomes in older adults, particularly those with cancer. However, the role of frailty-distinct from comorbidity burden-has not been fully characterized in older adults hospitalized with cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), a rare but aggressive malignancy with rising incidence in the aging population. Methodology: A retrospective cross-sectional analysis of the Nationwide Inpatient Sample (NIS) 2019-2022 was performed. Adult inpatients aged ≥ 65 with CCA-related ICD-10 codes were identified. Patients were stratified into frailty categories based on the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS). Multivariable regression models were used to assess associations with in-hospital mortality, length of stay (LOS), and hospital charges. Results: Among 18,785 hospitalizations, the in-hospital mortality rate was 7.18%. High frailty conferred an eight-fold increased risk of mortality, a 70% longer LOS, and 52% higher charges compared to low frailty. Elixhauser comorbidity scores were not significantly associated with outcomes. Discussion: These findings support the use of frailty screening to guide inpatient care planning and optimize outcomes in older adults with CCA.
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Affiliation(s)
- Miriam M. Sanchez
- Department of Internal Medicine, Texas Health Resources (HEB/Denton), Bedford, TX 76022, USA;
| | - Chris A. Sabillon
- Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX 78712, USA;
| | - Stephanie J. Paduano
- Department of Internal Medicine, Texas Health Resources (HEB/Denton), Bedford, TX 76022, USA;
| | - Chukwuma Egwim
- Liver Associates of Texas, Houston, TX 77030, USA; (C.E.); (V.A.-S.)
| | - Victor Ankoma-Sey
- Liver Associates of Texas, Houston, TX 77030, USA; (C.E.); (V.A.-S.)
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Patrick R, Mahale P, Ackerson BK, Hong V, Shaw S, Kapadia B, Spence B, Feaster M, Slezak J, Stern JA, Davis GS, Goodwin G, Lewin B, Lewnard JA, Tseng HF, Tartof SY. Respiratory syncytial virus vaccine uptake among adults aged ≥60 years in a large, integrated healthcare system in Southern California 2023-2024. Vaccine 2025; 53:127033. [PMID: 40179438 DOI: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2025.127033] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/10/2025] [Revised: 03/12/2025] [Accepted: 03/13/2025] [Indexed: 04/05/2025]
Abstract
During the 2023-2024 respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) season, vaccination was recommended for adults ≥60 years based on shared clinical decision-making with their healthcare providers. We examined RSV vaccine uptake and characteristics associated with uptake among age-eligible Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) patients. Our study cohort included all patients ≥60 years from September 23, 2023 (i.e., date RSV vaccination first became available at KPSC; N = 1,003,132) to April 9, 2024 (i.e., end of local RSV season). To identify sociodemographic and clinical characteristics associated with RSV vaccination, we used multivariable robust Poisson regression to estimate the adjusted relative risk (aRR) and 95 % CI. Overall, 7.6 % of patients were vaccinated for RSV. In multivariable regression analyses, those aged 70-79.9 years (aRR: 1.36; 95 % CI: 1.34-1.39) and aged ≥80 years (aRR: 1.35; 95 % CI: 1.32-1.38) were more likely to be vaccinated, compared with those aged 60-69.9 years. Compared with Non-Hispanic White patients, Asian (aRR: 0.95; 95 % CI: 0.93-0.97), Hispanic (aRR: 0.52; 95 % CI: 0.51-0.54), Non-Hispanic Black (aRR: 0.69; 95 % CI: 0.67-0.71), Pacific Islander (aRR: 0.91; 95 % CI: 0.84-0.98), and Native American or Alaska Native (aRR: 0.80; 95 % CI: 0.70-0.92) patients were less likely to be vaccinated. Those in higher neighborhood deprivation quartiles were less likely to be vaccinated (Q2: aRR: 0.86; 95 % CI: 0.85-0.88; Q3: aRR: 0.77; 95 % CI: 0.76-0.79; and Q4: aRR: 0.67; 95 % CI: 0.65-0.68), compared with those in the lowest deprivation quartile. We found low vaccination uptake and identified disparities in vaccination that might exacerbate existing disparities in RSV infection and severe RSV disease among certain populations. CDC's ACIP recently updated their recommendations for all adults 75+ years, and this might begin to address these disparities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rudy Patrick
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States; Division of Epidemiology and Disease Control, Pasadena, Public Health Department, United States; Epidemic Intelligence Service, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States.
| | - Parag Mahale
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Bradley K Ackerson
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Vennis Hong
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Sally Shaw
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Banshri Kapadia
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Brigitte Spence
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Matt Feaster
- Division of Epidemiology and Disease Control, Pasadena, Public Health Department, United States
| | - Jeff Slezak
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Julie A Stern
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Gregg S Davis
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Gabriella Goodwin
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Bruno Lewin
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Joseph A Lewnard
- Division of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, United States
| | - Hung Fu Tseng
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
| | - Sara Y Tartof
- Department of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, United States
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Leiva O, Rao S, Cheng RK, Pauwaa S, Katz JN, Alvarez-Cardona J, Bernard S, Alviar C, Yang EH. Outcomes of patients with cancer with acute coronary syndrome-associated cardiogenic shock. CARDIOVASCULAR REVASCULARIZATION MEDICINE 2025:S1553-8389(25)00171-X. [PMID: 40268570 DOI: 10.1016/j.carrev.2025.04.020] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/26/2025] [Revised: 04/07/2025] [Accepted: 04/14/2025] [Indexed: 04/25/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Cardiogenic shock (CS) is a common complication of acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and is associated with significant morbidity and mortality. Revascularization has been shown to reduce mortality in ACS-CS. Patients with cancer are at high risk of ACS and CS. However, patients with cancer are often undertreated with invasive procedures and outcomes of patients with cancer and ACS-CS have not been thoroughly characterized. METHODS Patients with ACS-CS from 2014 to 2020 with and without cancer were identified using the National Readmission Database (NRD). Primary outcome was death at 90-days. Secondary outcomes were 90-day cardiovascular (CV) and bleeding readmissions, and index hospitalization major bleeding and thrombotic complications. Patients with cancer were compared to patients without cancer using multivariable logistic and Cox proportional hazards regression. Temporal trends in revascularization among patients with and without cancer were examined. Effect of revascularization among patients with cancer and ACS-CS was assessed using propensity score weighting (PSW). RESULTS A total of 140,205 patients were identified, of whom 6118 (4.4 %) with cancer were identified. Patients with cancer were less likely to undergo percutaneous coronary intervention (45.5 % vs 53.5 %) or be managed with mechanical circulatory support (36.6 % vs 46.0 %). After multivariable logistic regression, there was no difference in primary outcome (adjusted OR 0.98, 95 % CI 0.92-1.06) but patients with cancer had higher risk of 90-day CV (HR 1.11, 95 % CI 1.01-1.22) and bleeding readmissions (HR 1.39, 95 % CI 1.10-1.76). Among patients with cancer and ACS-CS, revascularization was associated with lower primary outcome (OR 0.54, 95 % CI 0.50-0.58) and 90-day CV readmission (HR 0.68, 95 % CI 0.59-0.77) after PSW. CONCLUSIONS Among patients with ACS-CS, patients with cancer have similar 90-day death but higher risk of 90-day CV and bleeding readmissions. Additionally, revascularization was associated with improved outcomes among patients with cancer and ACS-CS. Further studies are needed to optimize patient selection for invasive management among patients with cancer.
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Affiliation(s)
- Orly Leiva
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States of America; Section of Cardiology - Heart Failure, Department of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, United States of America.
| | - Sunil Rao
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States of America
| | - Richard K Cheng
- Division of Cardiology, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States of America
| | - Sunil Pauwaa
- Division of Cardiology, Advocate Christ Medical Center, Oak Lawn, IL, United States of America
| | - Jason N Katz
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States of America
| | - Jose Alvarez-Cardona
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States of America
| | - Samuel Bernard
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States of America
| | - Carlos Alviar
- Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, United States of America
| | - Eric H Yang
- UCLA Cardio-Oncology Program, Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States of America.
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Wei J, Walker AS, Eyre DW. Addition of Macrolide Antibiotics for Hospital Treatment of Community-Acquired Pneumonia. J Infect Dis 2025; 231:e713-e722. [PMID: 39718980 PMCID: PMC11998547 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiae639] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/21/2024] [Revised: 12/12/2024] [Accepted: 12/20/2024] [Indexed: 12/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Guidelines recommend combining macrolides with β-lactam antibiotics for moderate-to-high severity community-acquired pneumonia (CAP); however, macrolides pose risks of adverse events and anti-microbial resistance. METHODS We analyzed electronic health data from 8872 adults hospitalized with CAP in Oxfordshire, UK (2016-2024), initially treated with amoxicillin or co-amoxiclav. Using inverse probability treatment weighting, we examined the effects of adjunctive macrolides on 30-day all-cause mortality, time to hospital discharge, and changes in Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score. RESULTS There was no evidence of an association between adjunctive macrolides and 30-day mortality (marginal odds ratio 1.05 [95% CI 0.75-1.47] for amoxicillin with vs. without macrolide; 1.12 [0.93-1.34] for co-amoxiclav with vs. without macrolide); and no evidence of a difference in time to discharge (restricted mean days lost +1.76 days [-1.66, +5.19] for amoxicillin, +0.44 days [-1.63, +2.51] for co-amoxiclav). Macrolide use was not associated with SOFA score decreases. Results were consistent across severity sub-groups and sensitivity analyses with missing covariates imputed. CONCLUSIONS At a population level, the addition of macrolides was not associated with improved clinical outcomes for patients with CAP. The potential benefits of additional macrolides should be weighed against the risks of adverse effects and anti-microbial resistance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jia Wei
- Nuffield Department of Medicine
| | - A Sarah Walker
- Nuffield Department of Medicine
- National Institute for Health and Care Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre
- National Institute for Health and Care Research Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare-Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance
| | - David W Eyre
- National Institute for Health and Care Research Oxford Biomedical Research Centre
- National Institute for Health and Care Research Health Protection Research Unit in Healthcare-Associated Infections and Antimicrobial Resistance
- Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford
- Department of Infectious Diseases and Microbiology, Oxford University Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust, John Radcliffe Hospital, Oxford, United Kingdom
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Choi J, Villarreal JA, Handelsman R, Kirkorowciz J, Knight A, Kumar A, McNabb E, Perlstein J, Tesoriero RB, Tsui EY, White C, Forrester JD. Prospective multicenter external validation of the rib fracture frailty index. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2025:01586154-990000000-00966. [PMID: 40223174 DOI: 10.1097/ta.0000000000004624] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 04/15/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The Rib Fracture Frailty (RFF) Index is an internally validated machine learning-based risk assessment tool for adult patients with rib fractures that requires minimal provider entry. Existing frailty risk scores have yet to undergo head-to-head performance comparison with age, a widely used proxy for frailty in clinical practice. Our aim was to externally validate the RFF Index in a small-scale implementation feasibility study. METHODS Prospective observational cohort study conducted across five ACS COT-verified trauma centers. Participants included ≥18-year-old adults presenting January 1, 2021, to December 31, 2021, with traumatic rib fractures. The primary outcome was a composite outcome score comprised of three clinical factors: hospitalization ≥5 days, discharge disposition, and inpatient mortality. Proportional odds logistic regression evaluated associations of age model or RFF Index score model with composite outcome scores. Models were compared using standard discrimination and calibration metrics. Secondary analysis delineated predictive performance among patients with lower (Injury Severity Score < 15) and higher Injury Severity Score ≥ 15) injury burden. RESULTS Of 849 participants, 546 (64%) were male and median age was 62 years (interquartile range, 46-76 years). A one-point increase in RFF score was associated with 6% increased odds of higher composite outcome score (odds ratio [OR], 1.06; 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.04-1.08), while a 1-year increase in age did not show statistically significant association (OR, 1.10; 95% CI, 0.75-1.61). The RFF score had higher discrimination (OR, 0.09; 95% CI, 0.08-0.11 vs. OR, 0.06; 95% CI, 0.04-0.08; p = 0.04) and calibration performance compared with age, but on secondary analysis, higher predictive performance was limited to patients with lower injury burden. Both RFF Index and age had poor calibration for predicting patients discharged to home after hospitalization ≥5 days. CONCLUSION This prospective external validation study found RFF Index may be a better alternative to age for predicting adverse outcomes among patients with traumatic rib fractures and lower overall injury burden. Staged implementation studies in accordance with clinical prediction model implementation guidelines are required to evaluate the RFF Index's clinical efficacy and guide potential adoption. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic; Level II.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jeff Choi
- From the Department of Surgery (J.C., J.A.V., A.K., J.D.F.), Stanford University, Stanford; Department of Surgery (R.H., J.K., E.M.), Kaweah Health, Visalia; Department of Surgery (A.K.), Santa Clara Valley Medical Center, San Jose; Department of Surgery (J.P., C.W.), Sutter Roseville, Roseville; and Department of Surgery (R.B.T.), University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, California
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Hart KL, McFadden KM, Golas SB, Sacks CA, McCoy TH. Diagnostic yield of laboratory testing in hospitalized older adults with altered mental status. Gen Hosp Psychiatry 2025; 95:19-24. [PMID: 40239412 DOI: 10.1016/j.genhosppsych.2025.04.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2025] [Revised: 04/08/2025] [Accepted: 04/09/2025] [Indexed: 04/18/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Altered mental status (AMS) is a common cause of hospitalization among older adults, with a wide range of potential etiologies. However, the diagnostic and therapeutic yield of routine laboratory testing in such patients is unknown. METHODS In a retrospective cohort of inpatient hospital admissions to a large academic medical center from 2017 to 2022 of patients 65 years and older for whom the admitting diagnosis was AMS, we assessed laboratory testing for thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH), syphilis, vitamin B12, folate, vitamin C, vitamin D, zinc, niacin, and thiamine. We calculated the frequency of testing, rate of abnormal results, and rate of follow-up treatment. RESULTS Of the 3169 patients, 2312 (73 %) received at least one designated lab, and overall, 12 % of labs were abnormal. Labs varied in frequency of use (0.2 % for niacin-66 % for TSH) and rate of abnormality (0 % for niacin-71 % for zinc). 16 % of abnormal index labs led to a new prescription at discharge. The most common tests - TSH, folate, and B12- were of relatively low diagnostic and therapeutic utility. Tests that were less common-zinc, vitamin D, and vitamin C-were more commonly abnormal. 3.8 % of patients tested for syphilis had abnormal results, and 72 % of patients with an abnormal result received treatment with penicillin during the index hospitalization. CONCLUSIONS These analyses suggest that commonly obtained labs in the workup of AMS have varied diagnostic and therapeutic utility. The contribution of observed laboratory abnormalities to a patients' AMS warrants further study to improve the delivery of high-value care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kamber L Hart
- Massachusetts General Hospital, 55 Fruit Street, Boston, MA 02114, United States; Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck Street, Boston, MA 02115, United States
| | - Kathleen M McFadden
- Massachusetts General Hospital, 55 Fruit Street, Boston, MA 02114, United States; Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck Street, Boston, MA 02115, United States
| | - Sara B Golas
- Massachusetts General Hospital, 55 Fruit Street, Boston, MA 02114, United States
| | - Chana A Sacks
- Massachusetts General Hospital, 55 Fruit Street, Boston, MA 02114, United States; Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck Street, Boston, MA 02115, United States
| | - Thomas H McCoy
- Massachusetts General Hospital, 55 Fruit Street, Boston, MA 02114, United States; Harvard Medical School, 25 Shattuck Street, Boston, MA 02115, United States.
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Lakra A, Kyaw NR, Puleo JM, Kuna MC, Tram M, Zimmerman JP. Frailty Is Associated With Increased 30-day Readmissions and Costs After Total Shoulder Arthroplasty. Clin Orthop Relat Res 2025:00003086-990000000-01955. [PMID: 40210427 DOI: 10.1097/corr.0000000000003461] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2024] [Accepted: 02/24/2025] [Indexed: 04/12/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Frailty has been associated with a greater risk of complications and higher treatment costs for various medical conditions and surgical procedures. The Modified Frailty Index, which analyzes five or six medical comorbidities, helps grade the severity of a patient's frailty. Patients with frailty, as recognized by this index, are more likely to face adverse medical and surgical events after total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA). However, these modified indices often do not consider less common medical conditions that contribute to frailty. As such, we believe that patients may be more readily misdiagnosed as not having frailty. A more comprehensive frailty score that more accurately recognizes frailty in a wider patient population is necessary. QUESTION/PURPOSES After analyzing for any possible differences due to confounding variables such as age, gender, socioeconomic variables, and insurance provider, we asked: (1) Was frailty, defined as a score of ≥ 5 on the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS), associated with a higher risk of reoperation or readmission within 30 days of primary TSA? (2) Was frailty associated with an increased risk of major medical or surgical complications after TSA? (3) Was frailty associated with higher hospital costs (assessed by insurance charge-to-cost ratio per admission) and length of stay for patients after TSA? METHODS This study examined the Nationwide Readmissions Database, which includes patients from 28 states, representing 60% of all US residents and 60% of all US hospitalizations. We identified adult patients who were discharged after both anatomic and reverse TSA for primary osteoarthritis between January and November of 2017 to 2019 (patients who underwent TSA in December of each year were excluded). The HFRS was calculated for each patient based on 109 differently weighted ICD-10 Clinical Modification codes as validated in previous studies. Patients with an HFRS of ≥ 5 were considered as having frailty. Of the 107,774 patients who underwent TSA and were recorded in this database, 15% (16,210) were classified as patients with frailty. Patients over age 65 years comprised a larger portion of patients with frailty than patients without frailty (81% [13,130 of 16,210] of patients with frailty versus 74% [67,757 of 91,564] of patients without frailty; p < 0.01). Women comprised a larger portion of patients with frailty than patients without frailty (62% [10,050 of 16,210] women with frailty versus 53% [48,528 of 91,564] women without frailty; p < 0.01). Patients paying with Medicare comprised a larger portion of patients with frailty than patients without frailty (80% [12,968 of 16,210] Medicare payers with frailty versus 72% [65,926 of 91,564] Medicare payers without frailty; p < 0.01). We used the Student t-test to compare demographics and complication risk. After analysis of these confounders and controlling for them, we used multivariate logistic regression to analyze 30-day readmissions and negative binomial regression to analyze length of stay and hospital costs (as estimated by insurance charge-to-cost ratios per patient admission). Length of stay was expressed as an incidence rate ratio (IRR) because it was recorded and analyzed as a continuous variable. The Student t-test was used to compare demographics and risk of major surgical and medical complications of similar severity. RESULTS After controlling for confounding variables such as age, gender, socioeconomic status, and insurance provider, we found that frailty was associated with increased odds of reoperation within 30 days (OR 1.61 [95% CI 1.22 to 2.09]; p < 0.001) and increased 30-day readmissions (OR 1.79 [95% CI 1.63 to 1.97]; p < 0.001). We also found that frailty was associated with higher 30-day major surgical complication risk (0.4% [70 of 16,210] versus 0.3% [266 of 91,564]; p < 0.01) and 30-day major medical complication risk (2.6% [421 of 16,210] versus 1.1% [1007 of 91,564]; p < 0.01). We also found that frailty was associated with greater hospitalization costs (IRR 1.09 [95% CI 1.09 to 1.10]; p < 0.001) and longer lengths of hospital stay (IRR 1.46 [95% CI 1.44 to 1.47]; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION Frailty, as measured by the HFRS, is associated with increased postoperative events and estimated hospitalizations costs after TSA. The HFRS is derived from routinely collected administrative data and could help clinicians quickly identify patients at risk of complications without increased cost. Once patients with frailty are identified, clinicians may be able to provide additional counseling regarding patients' increased risk for postoperative complications and costs. An automatically calculated, robust scoring tool such as the HFRS can also aid clinicians in operative decision-making, as patients with severe frailty may be advised against undergoing TSA if the procedure is not absolutely necessary. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Level III, therapeutic study.
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Affiliation(s)
- Akshay Lakra
- Department of Orthopedic Surgery, Albany Medical Center, Albany, NY, USA
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Jin L, Dong YY, Xu JP, Chen MS, Zeng RX, Guo LH. Relationship between the laboratory test-based frailty index and overall mortality in critically ill patients with acute pancreatitis: a retrospective study based on the MIMIC-IV database. Front Med (Lausanne) 2025; 12:1524358. [PMID: 40265180 PMCID: PMC12011769 DOI: 10.3389/fmed.2025.1524358] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/09/2024] [Accepted: 03/25/2025] [Indexed: 04/24/2025] Open
Abstract
Background and aims The frailty index, based on laboratory assessments, helps identify individuals at risk for adverse health outcomes. However, its relationship with overall mortality in acute pancreatitis patients in ICUs remains unclear. This study aims to investigate the association between the frailty index and all-cause mortality and assess its prognostic value for these patients. Methods We carried out a retrospective observational investigation utilizing data from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV 2.2) database. Extract data from the database for all ICU patients (first-time ICU admissions, age ≥ 18 years) who meet the diagnostic criteria for acute pancreatitis. The frailty index derived from laboratory tests (FI-lab) encompassed three vital sign indicators and 30 laboratory test indicators. Patients were categorized into four groups based on quartiles of the FI-lab score. To assess the differences in 28-day all-cause mortality among these groups, we employed Kaplan-Meier analysis, whereas the relationship between FI-lab scores and 28-day mortality was explored through Cox proportional hazards analysis. In addition, we applied Harrell's C statistic, Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI), and Net Reclassification Improvement (NRI) to assess the additional predictive capability of FI-lab scores compare to traditional disease severity metrics. Results The study included a total of 741 patients (all age ≥ 18 years, 19.84% age > 75 years, 41.16% Female). The Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated that individuals with elevated FI-lab scores exhibited a significantly heightened risk of all-cause mortality (log-rank p < 0.0001). The multivariate Cox regression analysis suggested that treating FI-lab as a continuous variable (per 0.01 increment) was linked to an increased risk of 28-day all-cause mortality [hazard ratio (HR) 1.072, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.055-1.089), p < 0.001]. Moreover, when FI-lab was analyzed as a categorical variable, patients in the fourth quartile of FI-lab had a notably greater risk of 28-day all-cause mortality in comparison to those in the first quartile [HR 9.933, 95% CI (4.676-21.104), p < 0.001]. Additionally, the integration of FI-lab scores with conventional disease severity scores improved the predictive performance for 28-day mortality. Conclusion In patients in the ICU who have been diagnosed with acute pancreatitis, the FI-lab score functions as a reliable indicator of short-term mortality. Early detection of patients at high risk for acute pancreatitis through the implementation of the FI-lab score, along with prompt interventions, is essential for enhancing these individuals' prognoses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Li Jin
- The Second Clinical College of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Yan-Yan Dong
- The Second Clinical College of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Jun-Peng Xu
- The Second Clinical College of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Mao-Sheng Chen
- The Second Clinical College of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Rui-Xiang Zeng
- The Second Clinical College of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
| | - Li-Heng Guo
- The Second Clinical College of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
- Department of Critical Care Medicine, Guangdong Provincial Hospital of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China
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Li J, Kang L, Liu X, Sun X, Zhu M, Wang Q, Qu X, Zhang N, Xia E, Lu F, Liu S, Jin S, Wang X, Yao G. Development of a multidimensional 1-year mortality prediction model for patients discharged from the geriatric department: a longitudinal cohort study based on comprehensive geriatric assessment and clinical data. BMC Geriatr 2025; 25:230. [PMID: 40200133 PMCID: PMC11978187 DOI: 10.1186/s12877-025-05734-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/11/2024] [Accepted: 01/23/2025] [Indexed: 04/10/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND A poor prognosis within 1 year of discharge is important when making decisions affecting postoperative geriatric inpatients. Comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) plays an important role in guiding holistic assessment-based interventions. However, current prognostic models derived from CGA and clinical data are limited and have unsatisfactory performance. We aimed to develop an accurate 1-year mortality prediction model for patients discharged from the geriatric ward using CGA and clinical data. METHODS This longitudinal cohort study analysed data from 816 consecutively assessed geriatric patients between January 1, 2018 and December 31, 2019. Models were constructed using Cox proportional hazards regression and their validity was assessed by analysing discrimination, calibration, and decision curves. The robustness of the model was determined using sensitivity analysis. A nomogram was developed to predict the 1-year probability of mortality, and the model was validated using C-statistics, Brier scores, and calibration curves. RESULTS During 644 patient-years of follow-up, 57 (11·7%) patients died. Clinical variables included in the final prediction model were activities of daily living, serum albumin level, Charlson Comorbidity Index, FRAIL scale, and Mini-Nutrition Assessment-Short Form scores. A C-statistic value of 0·911, a Brier score of 0·058, and a calibration curve validated the model. CONCLUSION Our risk stratification model can accurately predict prospective mortality risk among patients discharged from the geriatric ward. The functionality of this tool facilitates objective palliative care.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jiaojiao Li
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Lin Kang
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China.
| | - Xiaohong Liu
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China.
| | - Xiaohong Sun
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Minglei Zhu
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Qiumei Wang
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Xuan Qu
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Ning Zhang
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Eryu Xia
- IDMED Research Lab, Beijing Intelligent Decision Medical Technology Co. Ltd, Beijing, China
| | - Fei Lu
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Shuo Liu
- Department of Geriatric Medicine, Qilu Hospital of Shandong University, WenhuaxiRoad 107, Jinan, China
| | - Shuang Jin
- Department of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No.1 Shuaifuyuan, Wangfujing, Dongcheng District, Beijing, 100730, China
| | - Xueping Wang
- Department of Geriatrics Medicine II, Qinghai University Affiliated Hospital, No. 29 Tongren Road, Chengxi District, Xining City, Qinghai Province, China
| | - Guojun Yao
- Department of Geriatrics, Shenzhen Second People's Hospital, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, China
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Strang P, Schultz T. High Frequency of Depression in Advanced Cancer with Concomitant Comorbidities: A Registry Study. Cancers (Basel) 2025; 17:1214. [PMID: 40227770 PMCID: PMC11987968 DOI: 10.3390/cancers17071214] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2025] [Revised: 03/26/2025] [Accepted: 04/01/2025] [Indexed: 04/15/2025] Open
Abstract
Background/objectives: Depression is a common complication of cancer and is associated with distress and reduced participation in medical care. The prevalence is still uncertain in advanced cancer due to methodological problems. Our aim was to study depression in the last year of life and related variables. Methods: We used an administrative database and analyzed clinically verified diagnoses of depression during the last year of life for 27,343 persons (nursing home residents excluded) and related the data to age, sex, socioeconomic status on an area level (Mosaic system), and frailty risk as calculated by the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS). T-tests, chi-2 tests, and binary logistic regression models were used. Results: During the last year of life, a clinical diagnosis of depression was found in 1168/27,343 (4.3%) cases and more frequently seen in women (4.8% vs. 3.8%, p = 0.001), in the elderly aged 80 years or more, p = 0.03, and especially in persons with a frailty risk according to the HFRS, with rates of 3.3%, 5.3% and 7.8% in the low-risk, intermediate and high-risk groups, respectively (p < 0.001), whereas no differences were found based on socioeconomic status. In a multiple logistic regression model, being female (aOR 1.30, 95% CI 1.16-1.46) or having an intermediate (1.66, 1.46-1.88) or high frailty risk (2.57, 2.10-3.14) retained the predictive value (p < 0.001, respectively). Conclusions: Depression is more common in women and, above all, in people with multimorbidity. Depression affects the amount of health care needed, including the need for psychiatric care. Therefore, it should be included in clinical decision-making, especially as depression is associated with poorer prognosis in cancer.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter Strang
- Department of Oncology-Pathology, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholms Sjukhem Foundation, Mariebergsgatan 22, SE 112 19 Stockholm, Sweden
- Research and Development Department, Stockholms Sjukhem Foundation, Mariebergsgatan 22, SE 112 19 Stockholm, Sweden;
| | - Torbjörn Schultz
- Research and Development Department, Stockholms Sjukhem Foundation, Mariebergsgatan 22, SE 112 19 Stockholm, Sweden;
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Stern BZ, Sabo GC, Balachandran U, Agranoff R, Hayden BL, Moucha CS, Poeran J. Frailty Is Strongest Need Factor Among Predictors of Prehabilitation Utilization for Total Hip or Knee Arthroplasty in Fee-for-Service Medicare Beneficiaries. Phys Ther 2025; 105:pzae183. [PMID: 39714224 DOI: 10.1093/ptj/pzae183] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2024] [Revised: 07/26/2024] [Accepted: 09/07/2024] [Indexed: 12/24/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Prehabilitation may have benefits for total hip arthroplasty (THA) and total knee arthroplasty (TKA), given an aging population with multimorbidity and the growth of value-based programs that focus on reducing postoperative costs. This study aimed to describe prehabilitation use and examine predictors of utilization in fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries. METHODS This retrospective cohort study using the Medicare Limited Data Set included fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries who were ≥66 years old and who underwent inpatient elective THA or TKA between January 1, 2016, and September 30, 2021. The study assessed predictors of receiving preoperative physical therapist services within 90 days of surgery (prehabilitation) using a mixed-effects generalized linear model with a binary distribution and logit link. Adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were reported. RESULTS Of 24,602 THA episodes, 18.5% of patients received prehabilitation; of 38,751 TKA episodes, 17.8% of patients received prehabilitation. For both THA and TKA, patients with medium or high (vs low) frailty were more likely to receive prehabilitation (OR = 1.72-2.64). Male (vs female) patients, Black (vs White) patients, those with worse county-level social deprivation, those with dual eligibility, and those living in rural areas were less likely to receive prehabilitation before THA or TKA (OR = 0.65-0.88). Patients who were ≥85 years old (vs 66-69 years old) and who underwent THA were also less likely to receive services (OR = 0.84). Additionally, there were geographic differences in prehabilitation utilization and increased utilization in more recent years. CONCLUSION The need factor of frailty was most strongly associated with increased prehabilitation utilization. The variation in utilization by predisposing factors (eg, race) and enabling factors (eg, county-level social deprivation) suggests potential disparities. IMPACT The findings describe prehabilitation use in a large cohort of fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries. Although services seem to be targeted to those at greater risk for adverse outcomes and high spending, potential disparities related to access warrant further examination.
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Affiliation(s)
- Brocha Z Stern
- Institute for Healthcare Delivery Science, Department of Population Health Science & Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
- Leni and Peter W. May Department of Orthopaedics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
| | - Graham C Sabo
- Leni and Peter W. May Department of Orthopaedics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
| | - Uma Balachandran
- Leni and Peter W. May Department of Orthopaedics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
| | - Raquelle Agranoff
- Department of Rehabilitation and Human Performance, Mount Sinai Hospital, New York, NY, United States
| | - Brett L Hayden
- Leni and Peter W. May Department of Orthopaedics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
| | - Calin S Moucha
- Leni and Peter W. May Department of Orthopaedics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
| | - Jashvant Poeran
- Institute for Healthcare Delivery Science, Department of Population Health Science & Policy, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
- Leni and Peter W. May Department of Orthopaedics, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States
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Lahbib H, Mandereau-Bruno L, Goria S, Wagner V, Torres MJ, Féart C, Helmer C, Pérès K, Carcaillon-Bentata L. Development and indirect validation of a model predicting frailty in the French healthcare claims database. Sci Rep 2025; 15:11344. [PMID: 40175586 PMCID: PMC11965288 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-025-95629-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/16/2024] [Accepted: 03/24/2025] [Indexed: 04/04/2025] Open
Abstract
This study aimed to build a predictive model to identify frailty in the French national health data system (SNDS) so as to create a new tool to monitor and anticipate the disability burden associated with population ageing. We developed the model using the 2012 wave of the French Health, Healthcare, and Insurance Survey (ESPS) linked to the SNDS (n = 2,829). This survey used Fried's frailty phenotype as the gold standard. We compared two statistical approaches - logistic regressions (stepwise and LASSO selection) and random forest - to predict frailty probability based on different SNDS healthcare claims. We indirectly validated the model by comparing (1) the predicted frailty prevalence in the overall French population in the SNDS with the expected prevalence and (2) the predictive ability of the model for 6-year mortality with that of Fried's frailty phenotype. Logistic regression with LASSO selection was retained as the best method to predict frailty. After stratification for age, we obtained three models for individuals aged 55-64, 65-74, and ≥ 75 years (AUC = 0.61, 0.76, and 0.80 respectively). Applying these models to the SNDS, frailty prevalence was comparable to expected prevalence in all sex and age groups: overall prevalence = 12.9% (95%CI: 12.9-12.9) in the SNDS versus 12.0% (95%CI: 10.8-13.2) in the ESPS. Predicted frailty probabilities in the SNDS showed a similar strong association with 6-year mortality (HRfrail_probability=2.6, 95%CI: 1.9-3.5) compared with Fried's phenotype (HRfrail_phenotype=2.9, 95%CI: 2.1-3.8). Our predictive models are thus useful for estimating frailty probability in the SNDS.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hana Lahbib
- Santé publique France, French National Public Health Agency, Saint-Maurice, 94410, France
| | | | - Sarah Goria
- Santé publique France, French National Public Health Agency, Saint-Maurice, 94410, France
| | - Vérène Wagner
- Santé publique France, French National Public Health Agency, Saint-Maurice, 94410, France
| | - Marion J Torres
- Santé publique France, French National Public Health Agency, Saint-Maurice, 94410, France
| | - Catherine Féart
- Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, Bordeaux University, INSERM, UMR U1219, Bordeaux, 33000, France
| | - Catherine Helmer
- Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, Bordeaux University, INSERM, UMR U1219, Bordeaux, 33000, France
| | - Karine Pérès
- Bordeaux Population Health Research Center, Bordeaux University, INSERM, UMR U1219, Bordeaux, 33000, France
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Inoue N, Nagai H, Fushimi K. Severity and outcomes of adult respiratory syncytial virus inpatient compared with influenza: observational study from Japan. Infect Dis (Lond) 2025; 57:366-375. [PMID: 39903208 DOI: 10.1080/23744235.2025.2450590] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/12/2024] [Revised: 12/24/2024] [Accepted: 01/03/2025] [Indexed: 02/06/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) significantly impacts not only children but also adults. However, knowledge of the severity and outcomes among adult RSV inpatients is still limited. OBJECTIVES To clarify the short- and long-term health threats associated with adult RSV infections. METHODS This retrospective observational study included 56,980 adult inpatients aged 18 years and older due to RSV or influenza infection between April 2010 and March 2022. After inverse probability weighting adjustment, we used Poisson's regression to estimate the risk of outcomes. RESULTS The RSV group had a higher risk of requiring mechanical ventilation during hospitalization compared to the influenza group (9.7% vs. 7.0%; risk ratio (RR), 1.35; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.08-1.67). In-hospital mortality was comparable between RSV and influenza groups (7.5% vs. 6.6%; RR, 1.05; 95% CI, 0.82-1.34). RSV group was associated with increased risk of readmission within 1 year after surviving discharge (34.0% vs. 28.9%; RR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.07-1.32) and all-cause mortality within 1 year of admission (12.9% vs. 10.3%; RR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.02-1.36). In the age-stratified analysis, the RSV group aged 60 years and older had a higher risk than the influenza group for in-hospital death, readmission and all-cause mortality within one year. CONCLUSIONS RSV infections demonstrated comparable or greater health threats than influenza infections not only during hospitalization but also in long-term outcomes. The findings underscore the threat of RSV in adults, the impact on healthcare systems and the need for continued development of public health counter measures against RSV.
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Affiliation(s)
- Norihiko Inoue
- Department of Health Policy and Informatics, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Institute of Science Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
- Department of Clinical Data Management and Research, Clinical Research Center, National Hospital Organization Headquarters, Tokyo, Japan
- Institute of Clinical Epidemiology (iCE), Showa University, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Hideaki Nagai
- Center for Pulmonary Diseases, National Hospital Organization Tokyo National Hospital, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Kiyohide Fushimi
- Department of Health Policy and Informatics, Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Institute of Science Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
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Kuwatani M. Endoscopic treatment for pancreatic fluid collections: Is active intervention always the optimal option? Dig Endosc 2025; 37:426-427. [PMID: 39658849 DOI: 10.1111/den.14969] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/25/2024] [Accepted: 11/10/2024] [Indexed: 12/12/2024]
Affiliation(s)
- Masaki Kuwatani
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Hokkaido University Hospital, Hokkaido, Japan
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Ling N, Merchant RA, Lim Z. Authors reply: The interplay of delirium and frailty in hospitalized older adults. J Intern Med 2025; 297:450-451. [PMID: 39988460 DOI: 10.1111/joim.20075] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/25/2025]
Affiliation(s)
- Natalie Ling
- Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatric Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Reshma Aziz Merchant
- Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatric Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
- Department of Medicine, Yong Loo Lin School of Medicine, National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
| | - Zhiying Lim
- Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatric Medicine, National University Hospital, Singapore, Singapore
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Castillo-Angeles M, Zogg CK, Jarman MP, Nitzschke S, Askari R, Cooper Z, Salim A, Havens JM. Hospital experience with geriatric trauma impacts long-term survival. Am J Surg 2025; 242:116227. [PMID: 39893831 PMCID: PMC11893228 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2025.116227] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2024] [Revised: 12/31/2024] [Accepted: 01/28/2025] [Indexed: 02/04/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hospital experience measured by geriatric trauma proportion (GTP) is associated with in-hospital mortality among geriatric patients. Our goal was to determine the impact of GTP on long-term survival among older trauma patients. METHODS This was a retrospective analysis of Medicare inpatient claims (2014-2015) of geriatric trauma patients admitted in Florida. GTP was calculated by dividing the number of geriatric trauma patients by the overall adult trauma volume in each hospital. Hospitals were then categorized into tertiles of GTP. Our main outcome was mortality at 30, 90, 180, and 365 days. Multivariable regression was performed to identify the association between GTP and long-term survival. RESULTS We included 65,763 geriatric trauma patients. As compared with hospitals in the lowest tertile, patients treated at the highest tertile were associated with lower mortality at 90 days (OR 0.90, 95%CI 0.82-0.98), 180 days (OR 0.90, 95%CI 0.83-0.97), and 365 days (OR 0.91, 95%CI 0.85-0.98). CONCLUSIONS Higher GTP is associated with improved long-term outcomes. However, mortality following trauma among geriatric patients continues to increase for 12 months.
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Affiliation(s)
- Manuel Castillo-Angeles
- Division of Trauma, Burn, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Center for Surgery and Public Health, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School and Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Cheryl K Zogg
- Center for Surgery and Public Health, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School and Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA; Department of Surgery, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, USA.
| | - Molly P Jarman
- Center for Surgery and Public Health, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School and Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Stephanie Nitzschke
- Division of Trauma, Burn, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Reza Askari
- Division of Trauma, Burn, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Zara Cooper
- Division of Trauma, Burn, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Center for Surgery and Public Health, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School and Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Ali Salim
- Division of Trauma, Burn, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Center for Surgery and Public Health, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School and Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
| | - Joaquim M Havens
- Division of Trauma, Burn, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA; Center for Surgery and Public Health, Department of Surgery, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School and Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, USA.
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Bazan HA, Fort D, Snyder L, Opelka FG, Money SR, Sternbergh WC, Burton J. Precision in Stroke Care: Novel Model for Predicting Functional Independence in Urgent Carotid Intervention Patients. J Am Coll Surg 2025; 240:491-504. [PMID: 39819768 PMCID: PMC11913246 DOI: 10.1097/xcs.0000000000001276] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/11/2024] [Accepted: 12/12/2024] [Indexed: 01/19/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Stroke requires timely intervention, with carotid endarterectomy (CEA) and carotid artery stenting (CAS) increasingly used in select acute carotid-related stroke patients. We aimed to build a model to predict neurologic functional independence (modified Rankin scale [mRS] ≤ 2) in this high-risk group. STUDY DESIGN We analyzed data from 302 stroke patients undergoing urgent CEA or CAS between 2015 and 2023 at a tertiary comprehensive stroke center. Predictors included (1) stroke severity (NIH Stroke Scale), (2) time to intervention (≤48 hours), (3) thrombolysis use, and (4) frailty risk score. Two-way interactions were included to enhance generalizability without overfitting. Multiple models were constructed and selected based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The primary endpoint was discharge neurological functional independence (mRS ≤ 2). RESULTS Presenting clinical factors and neurological outcomes data from 302 patients undergoing urgent CEA and CAS during the index hospitalization from 2015 to 2023 at a tertiary comprehensive stroke center formed the model's foundation. Most patients (72.8%, 220 of 302) were discharged functionally independent (mRS ≤ 2). The combined 30-day rate of stroke, death, and MI was 8.3% (25 of 302), 6.5% (14 of 214) for CEA alone, and 12.5% (11 of 88) for CAS. The model, incorporating thrombolysis, time to intervention, stroke severity (NIH Stroke Scale), and frailty risk, correctly predicted 93% of functional independence outcomes (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.808). CONCLUSIONS We present a novel model using 4 clinical factors-stroke severity, time to intervention, thrombolysis use, and frailty risk-to predict functional neurologic independence with 93% accuracy in patients undergoing urgent carotid interventions for acute stroke. This high predictive capability can enhance clinical decision-making and improve patient outcomes by identifying those most likely to benefit from timely carotid revascularization.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hernan A Bazan
- From the Section of Vascular/Endovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery (Bazan, Money, Sternbergh), Ochsner Clinic Foundation, New Orleans, LA
- The University of Queensland Medical School, Ochsner Clinical School, New Orleans, LA (Bazan, Fort, Burton)
| | - Daniel Fort
- Ochsner Center for Outcomes Research (Fort, Snyder, Burton), Ochsner Clinic Foundation, New Orleans, LA
- The University of Queensland Medical School, Ochsner Clinical School, New Orleans, LA (Bazan, Fort, Burton)
| | - Larry Snyder
- Ochsner Center for Outcomes Research (Fort, Snyder, Burton), Ochsner Clinic Foundation, New Orleans, LA
| | - Frank G Opelka
- American College of Surgeons and Episodes of Care Solutions, Washington, DC (Opelka)
| | - Samuel R Money
- From the Section of Vascular/Endovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery (Bazan, Money, Sternbergh), Ochsner Clinic Foundation, New Orleans, LA
| | - WC Sternbergh
- From the Section of Vascular/Endovascular Surgery, Department of Surgery (Bazan, Money, Sternbergh), Ochsner Clinic Foundation, New Orleans, LA
| | - Jeffrey Burton
- Ochsner Center for Outcomes Research (Fort, Snyder, Burton), Ochsner Clinic Foundation, New Orleans, LA
- The University of Queensland Medical School, Ochsner Clinical School, New Orleans, LA (Bazan, Fort, Burton)
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Castillo-Angeles M, Zogg CK, Smith CB, Etheridge JC, Wu C, Jarman MP, Nitzschke S, Askari R, Cooper Z, Salim A, Havens JM. Predictors of healthy days at home: Benchmarking long-term outcomes in geriatric trauma. J Trauma Acute Care Surg 2025; 98:600-604. [PMID: 39702236 DOI: 10.1097/ta.0000000000004542] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/21/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Quality benchmarking has recently evolved from a historical focus on short-term morbidity and mortality as the key metrics to assessing long-term outcomes. Long-term quality metrics have been shown to provide a more complete assessment of geriatric trauma care. Among these metrics, patients' average number of healthy days at home (HDAH) proports to be a useful administrative claims-based marker of patient functional status. Our goal was to determine the predictors of HDAH among injured older adults. METHODS Medicare inpatient claims (2014-2015) were used to identify all geriatric trauma patients. Patients' number of HDAH was measured from the date of discharge and calculated as the total sum of patients' time during that period less any time spent in the hospital or emergency department, step-down/rehabilitation/nursing care, home health, or after death within a 365-period after index admission. Controlling for demographic, injury severity, and hospital-level characteristics, multivariable regression analyses were performed to identify the factors associated with increased HDAH. RESULTS We included 772,109 geriatric trauma patients. The mean age was 82.15 years (SD, 8.49 years), 68.3% were female, and 91.6% were White. The median HDAH was 351 days (interquartile range, 351-355 days). After adjusted analysis, age, Black race, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and care at a level 3/nontrauma center were associated with fewer HDAH within 365 days after discharge. CONCLUSION This study suggests that higher level trauma centers provide more HDAH after index admission for injured older adults. Future studies should focus on correlating HDAH with more granular but less readily accessible quality of life metrics. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE Prognostic and Epidemiological; Level III.
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Affiliation(s)
- Manuel Castillo-Angeles
- From the Division of Trauma, Burn, and Surgical Critical Care, Department of Surgery (M.C.-A., C.B.S., J.C.E., C.W., S.N., R.A., Z.C., A.S., J.M.H.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School; Center for Surgery and Public Health, Department of Surgery (M.C.-A., C.K.Z., M.J., Z.C., A.S., J.M.H.), Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School; Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health (M.C.-A., C.K.Z., M.J., Z.C., A.S., J.M.H.), Boston, Massachusetts; and Department of Surgery (C.K.Z.), Duke University Medical Center, Durham, North Carolina
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Majmundar M, Wan-Chi C, Patel KN, Majmundar V, Vasudeva R, Hance KA, Ali A, Hajj G, Thors A, Hu J, Gupta K. Prognostic value of the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) and outcomes in peripheral artery disease and end-stage kidney disease. Vasc Med 2025; 30:138-146. [PMID: 40079754 DOI: 10.1177/1358863x251316837] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/15/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Peripheral artery disease (PAD) and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) are independent risk factors affecting outcomes like in-hospital mortality. The role of a frailty index in prognosticating outcomes in patients with ESKD and PAD is unknown. We aim to assess the prognostic value of the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS) and its association with outcomes in these patients. METHODS We identified patients with PAD using data from the United States Renal Data System (USRDS) for the years 2015-2018. These patients were stratified into three categories of frailty risk based on their HFRS, a validated frailty assessment tool using ICD-10 codes: low (< 5), intermediate (5-10), and high risk (> 10) and based on revascularization or not. Primary outcomes included in-hospital mortality and composite of mortality or major amputation. Secondary outcomes encompassed postdischarge mortality and composite of mortality or major amputation at 1 year. RESULTS Out of 122,649 patients with PAD and ESKD, 4118 underwent revascularization and 118,531 did not. In-hospital outcomes demonstrated a nonlinear relationship and postdischarge outcomes displayed a nearly linear relationship with HFRS, regardless of revascularization status. In both cohorts, the high-risk group was associated with a significantly higher risk of in-hospital mortality/amputation (revascularization: odds ratio [OR] 4.6, 95% CI 3.3-6.2, p < 0.001; no revascularization: OR 3.1, 95% CI 2.8-3.3, p < 0.001) and mortality (revascularization: OR 5.5, 95% CI 3.4-8.7, p < 0.001; no revascularization: OR 5.1, 95% CI 4.6-5.6, p < 0.001) compared with the low-risk group. CONCLUSION In patients with ESKD and PAD, the HFRS serves as a valuable predictor of mortality and amputation irrespective of revascularization. This information can support informed decision-making.
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Affiliation(s)
- Monil Majmundar
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Chan Wan-Chi
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Kunal N Patel
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Vidit Majmundar
- Department of Internal Medicine, Saint Vincent Hospital, Worcester, MA, USA
| | - Rhythm Vasudeva
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Kirk A Hance
- Department of Surgery, Division of Vascular Surgery, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Adam Ali
- Department of Radiology, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - George Hajj
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Axel Thors
- Department of Surgery, Division of Vascular Surgery, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Jinxiang Hu
- Department of Biostatistics & Data Science, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
| | - Kamal Gupta
- Department of Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS, USA
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