The Japanese Society for Cancer of the Colon and Rectum guidelines recommend intensive surveillance for curatively resected pathological stage I-III colorectal cancer. However, there is still no global consensus on the optimal method, duration, or frequency of surveillance, and no clinical trials have demonstrated the usefulness of surveillance. We are conducting a clinical trial to confirm the efficacy of less-intensive surveillance after R0 resection with lymph node dissection for stage I or low-risk stage II colorectal cancer in patients without risk factors for recurrence. If this less intensive surveillance method proves effective, medical costs will be considerably reduced. The primary endpoint is overall survival. A total of 680 patients will be enrolled from 59 institutions over 2 years. This trial has been registered at the Japan Registry of Clinical Trials (jRCT) as study number jRCT1030220350.

Accurate recurrence risk evaluation in patients with stage II and III colorectal cancer (CRC) remains difficult. Traditional histopathological methods frequently fall short in predicting outcomes after adjuvant chemotherapy. This study aims to evaluate the use of comprehensive genomic profiling combined with machine learning for prognostic risk stratification in patients with CRC.

A machine learning model was developed using a training cohort of 52 patients with stage II/III CRC who underwent curative surgery at Fujita Health University Hospital. Genomic DNA was isolated from formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue sections and analyzed with a 160 cancer-related gene panel. The random forest algorithm was used to determine key genes affecting recurrence-free survival. The model was validated by developing a risk score with internal and external cohorts, including 44 patients from Keio University Hospital.

Six key genes (KRAS, KIT, SMAD4, ARID2, NF1, and FBXW7) were determined as significant prognostic risk predictors. A risk score system integrating these genes with clinicopathological factors effectively stratified patients in both internal (p < 0.001) and external cohorts (p = 0.017).

This study reveals that machine learning, combined with comprehensive genomic profiling, significantly improves prognostic risk stratification in patients with stage II/III CRC after adjuvant chemotherapy. This approach provides a promising tool for individualized treatment strategies, warranting further validation with larger cohorts.

In Japan, immunohistochemistry for mismatch repair (MMR) proteins targeted at stage II and III colorectal cancers (CRCs) has been covered by national insurance since October, 2022. This study aimed to clarify the long-term outcomes of patients with stage II and III CRCs receiving postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy based on their MMR status.

The outcomes of 640 patients who underwent radical surgery for stage II and III CRCs were analyzed retrospectively.

Deficient MMR (dMMR) was diagnosed in 41 (13.3%) patients with stage II and 28 (9.1%) patients with stage III CRC. The overall survival and recurrence rates were not significantly different between the patients with stage II and those with stage III CRC. The risk factors for recurrence among those with stage II CRC were tumors on the left side, T4 disease, and the presence of BRAF wild type. The recurrence rates were lower in the stage II CRC patients with sporadic dMMR than in those with suspected Lynch syndrome (LS). The first site of recurrence was more frequently the peritoneum or distant lymph node in patients with dMMR.

Stage II CRC patients with sporadic dMMR were found to have a very good prognosis. On the other hand, peritoneal dissemination or distant lymph node metastasis tended to develop in patients with dMMR.

The decision to administer adjuvant chemotherapy to patients with local stage depends on specific high-risk features that are T4 tumor stage, presence of perineural invasion, lymphovascular invasion, poorly differentiated tumor histology, inadequate lymph node sampling (fewer than 12 lymph nodes), and evidence of tumor perforation or obstruction. Tumor-stroma ratio, tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL), Crohn-like reaction (CLR), desmoid reaction, poorly differentiated clusters (PDC) are new pathological markers that are being studied.

To examine the relationship between new pathological markers and defined high risk factors, in early stage colorectal cancer.

We evaluated 155 patients with the diagnosis stage I and II colorectal cancer between the years 2007 and 2021 who were treated at Trakya University Hospital, Department of Medical Oncology. We divided those with and without high-risk factors into two groups. We examined the relationship of new pathological markers with these groups and with pathological markers in risk factors.

There was no statistically significant correlation between presence of TIL, presence of PDC, presence of tumor budding, presence of CLR, presence of desmoid reaction and low and high-risk groups according to the degree of those with PDC (P = 0.82, P = 0.51, P = 0.77, P = 0.37, P = 0.83, respectively). In addition, no statistically significant correlation was found between the tumor-stroma ratio and low and high risk groups (P = 0.80). We found a statistically significant correlation between the presence of PDC and the presence of PDC grade 3 and T stage (P = 0.001, P = 0.001, respectively). It was determined that the presence of PDC and the frequency of grade 3 PDC increased with the advanced T stage.

No relationship was found between the presence of new pathological markers and high-low risk groups. When we examined the relationship between new and old pathological markers, only the frequency of detection of PDC and PDC grade 3 was found to be correlated with advanced T stage.

Stage II and III colorectal cancer (CRC) poses a significant challenge due to rising global incidence and mortality rates. Despite advancements in screening and treatment, there's a pressing need for reliable prognostic biomarkers. Tumor budding emerges as a promising marker associated with poor prognosis and higher recurrence. However, its incorporation into clinical guidelines differs when considering adjuvant treatment. This study assesses tumor budding's prognostic value for recurrence in stage II and III CRC, exploring its implications for risk stratification.

This retrospective study encompassed patients with stage II-III CRC at Hospital Universitario La Paz from October 2016 to January 2022. Tumor budding was assessed according to the 2016 ITBCC guidelines and categorized as low, intermediate, or high. The primary outcomes, time to recurrence (TTR) and overall survival (OS), were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models.

A total of 390 patients were included in the final analysis. They were predominantly male (55%) with an average age of 75 years (range 35-95). Fifty percent of patients were stage II. Tumor budding was categorized as low, intermediate, and high in 186 (48%), 110 (28%), and 94 (24%) patients, respectively. After a median follow-up of 46.1 months, there were 71 recurrences and 96 deaths. Time to recurrence (TTR) was significantly shorter for patients with high tumor budding. At 24 months, freedom from recurrence was 92%, 84%, and 69% for low, intermediate, and high tumor budding groups, respectively. Median TTR was not reached in any group. Multivariate analysis revealed high-grade budding as an independent predictor of recurrence with a hazard ratio (HR) of 2.39 (P = .01; 95% CI, [1.42-4.04]).

Our study highlights the prognostic value of tumor budding in predicting recurrence in both stage II and III colorectal cancer patients, reinforcing its potential as an important biomarker beyond stage II CRC.

Although the TNM staging system plays a critical role in guiding adjuvant chemotherapy for colorectal cancer (CRC), its precision for risk stratification in stage II and III CRC patients with proficient DNA mismatch repair (pMMR) remains limited. Therefore, precise predictive models and research on postoperative treatments are crucial for enhancing patient survival and improving quality of life.

This retrospective study analyzed 1051 pMMR CRC patients who underwent radical resection and were randomly assigned to training (n = 736) and validation (n = 315) groups. Immunohistochemistry and hematoxylin and eosin staining were utilized to evaluate regulatory-Immunoscore (RIS), tertiary lymphoid structures (TLS), and tumor budding (TB). The Tumor Aggression-Defense Index (TADI) was derived through a multi-factor COX regression model. Subgroup analysis demonstrated potential of TADI in guiding personalized adjuvant therapy for stage II and III CRC.

Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis indicated that TADI was an independent prognostic indicator. Among stage II CRC, chemotherapy was significantly correlated with improved recurrence times in individuals with intermediate (95% CI 0.19-0.59, P < 0.001) and high (95% CI 0.36-0.95, P = 0.031) TADI. In stage III CRC receiving adjuvant chemotherapy, a duration of 3 months or longer was notably associated with a prolonged time to recurrence in those with high TADI (95% CI 0.40-0.98, P = 0.041) compared to durations of less than 3 months.

The TADI serves as an effective parameter for predicting the survival outcomes of stage I-III pMMR CRC patients and guiding precision treatment strategies.

Uterine endometrioid carcinoma (UEC) has well-defined morphologic features that carry prognostic significance and guide treatment. In addition to the well-known features, tumor budding (TB), poorly differentiated clusters (PDCs), and amount of stroma within the invasive front are associated with a poor prognostic outcome in many carcinomas. Here, we evaluate TB, PDCs, and the stroma percentage in UEC and correlate these findings with morphologic features known to be associated with a poor clinical outcome and with recurrence-free survival (RFS). We performed a retrospective search of our institution's EMR for cases of hysterectomy for UEC. We collected clinical data including disease recurrence, death, and data associated with poor patient outcomes. Cases were evaluated for TB, PDCs, and percent stroma by 2 pathologists. Ten 20× fields were examined, and the one with the most PDCs and TB was evaluated. Percent stroma was evaluated in a ×10 field of tumor at the area of deepest invasion. Less than 10% stroma was defined as stroma poor, and >10% stroma was defined as stroma rich. Statistical testing and analysis were conducted, and P-value was set at 0.05. One hundred thirteen cases were evaluated. Decreased RFS was seen with TB (P=0.03), at least 5 PDCs (P=0.01), and stroma-rich tumors (P=0.043). This study shows a statistically significant association between TB presence, at least 5 PDCs, stroma-rich tumors, and decreased RFS in UEC. We conclude that TB, PDCs and stromal evaluation are strong independent prognostic indicators in UEC and provide additional value to the currently used morphologic assessment of UEC.

Lymphovascular invasion (LVI) is an important prognosticator in rectal cancer (RC). We aimed to determine predictors for LVI in RC and incorporate them into a predictive risk score (PRS).

Case-control analysis of predictors of LVI in RC using data from a national database (2010-2019). Main outcome was LVI in RC and its predictors. Odds ratios of significant independent predictors of LVI were incorporated into a PRS.

55,178 patients were included (60.9% male; mean age: 61.3 years). LVI was detected in 10,446 (18.9%). Independent predictors were carcinomas that were signet-ring cell (OR: 1.98, p < 0.001), moderately differentiated (OR: 1.58, p < 0.001), poorly differentiated (OR: 3.9, p < 0.001), or undifferentiated carcinomas (OR: 4.1, p < 0.001), cN1 (OR: 1.21, p < 0.001), and cN2 (OR: 1.49, p < 0.001), stage and incorporated into a PRS (0-8). Incidence of LVI was 16.3% in the low-risk group, 27.8% in the intermediate-risk group, and 40.5% in the high-risk group (p < 0.001). The PPV of the score was 40.5%, NPV was 83.7%, accuracy was 82.4%, and specificity was 97.9%.

High-grade adenocarcinomas, signet-ring cell carcinomas, and lymph node involvement in clinical assessment were independently associated with LVI in RC. Incorporation of these predictors into a PRS conferred high specificity and good accuracy.

Tumor Budding (TB) and Immunoscore are independent prognostic markers in colon cancer (CC). Given their respective representation of tumor aggressiveness and immune response, we examined their combination in association with patient disease-free survival (DFS) in pTNM stage I-III CC.

In a series of pTNM stage I-III CCs (n = 654), the Immunoscore was computed and TB detected automatically using a deep learning network. Two-tiered systems for both biomarkers were used with cut-offs of 25% and ten buds for Immunoscore and TB according to clinical guidelines, respectively. Associations of Immunoscore with TB with 5-year DFS were examined using Kaplan-Meier survival analysis in addition to multivariable modeling and relative contribution analysis using Cox regression.

Immunoscore and TB independently are prognostic with hazard ratio (HR) = 2.0, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.4-2.8 and HR 2.5, with 95% CI 1.4-4.5, respectively; P value < 0.0001. By combining Immunoscore with TB, patients with Immunoscore Low, TB High tumors had a significantly poorer DFS (HR 5.6, 95% CI 2.6-12.0; P value < 0.0001) than those with Immunoscore High, TB Low tumors. The combined Immunoscore with TB score was independently prognostic (P value = 0.009) in comparison to N-stage, T-stage, and MSI. Immunoscore with TB had the highest relative contribution (35%) to DFS in pTNM stage I-II CCs.

The association of Immunoscore and TB with patient survival suggests that both biomarkers are complementary and should be interpreted in combination to identify high-risk Stage I-II patients who should be considered for adjuvant therapy or further diagnostic testing.

The association between the molecular profiles and prognosis of Stage II colorectal cancer remains unclear. This study aimed to examine the risk factors for relapse of Stage II colorectal cancer using molecular profiling.

We retrospectively enrolled patients with pStage II colorectal cancer who did not receive perioperative adjuvant therapy and whose surgically resected specimens were evaluated using gene expression and whole-exome analyses between January 2014 and December 2018. We evaluated the long-term outcomes and examined the risk factors for relapse-free survival.

We evaluated 322 patients with pStage II colorectal cancer, including 126 (39.1%) with right colon cancer. Eighty-seven patients (27.0%) had pT4 tumor, 175 (54.3%) had positive venous invasion, 120 (37.3%) had positive lymphatic invasion, and 68 (21.1%) had perineural invasion. The presence of mutations in key genes for colorectal cancer development based on whole-exome analyses was as follows: APC, 245 (76.1%); TP53, 208 (64.6%); and KRAS, 134 (41.6%). According to the consensus molecular subtype classification based on gene expression, 76 patients (23.6%) had consensus molecular subtype 4 and a significantly lower relapse-free survival than the other patients (5-year relapse-free survival: 83.8% vs. 92.9%, p = 0.017). Perineural invasion (hazard ratio: 5.316, p < 0.001) and consensus molecular subtype 4 (hazard ratio: 2.399, p = 0.020) were identified as independent risk factors for relapse-free survival.

Molecular profiling of Stage II colorectal cancer to assess the risk factors for relapse may contribute to the indication and drug selection for adjuvant chemotherapy.

The SCRUM-Japan MONSTAR-SCREEN consortium is a nationwide molecular profiling project employing artificial intelligence-driven multiomics analyses for patients with advanced malignancies, aiming to develop novel therapeutics and diagnostics and deliver effective drugs to patients. Concurrently, studies assessing molecular residual disease-based precision medicine for resectable solid tumors, including CIRCULATE-Japan, are ongoing. The substantial data generated by these platforms are stored within a state-of-the-art supercomputing infrastructure, VAPOR CONE. Since 2015, our project has registered over 24,000 patients as of December 2023. Among 16,144 patients with advanced solid tumors enrolled in MONSTAR-SCREEN projects, 5.0% have participated in matched clinical trials, demonstrating a 29.2% objective response rate and 14.8-month median survival (95% CI, 13.4-16.3) for patients treated in the matched clinical trials. Notably, patients who received matched therapy demonstrated significantly prolonged overall survival compared with those who did not (hazard ratio 0.77; 95% confidence interval, 0.71-0.83). Significance: Our nationwide molecular profiling initiative played pivotal roles in facilitating the enrollment of patients with advanced solid tumors into matched clinical trials and highlighted the substantial survival benefits of patients treated with matched therapy. We aim to facilitate an industry-academia data-sharing infrastructure ecosystem, fostering new drug discovery paradigms and precision medicine.

Gastric cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer-related mortalities worldwide. According to the pathological TNM classification, T3N0M0, Stage IIA gastric cancer has been excluded from the S-1 adjuvant chemotherapy trials. Thus, the clinical impact of S-1 adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with pathological T3N0M0 cancer and the associated prognostic factors have not been elucidated. Consequently, we determined the prognostic factors in patients with pathological T3N0M0 gastric cancer and the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy.

From 2007 to 2018, 205 patients diagnosed with pathological T3N0M0 gastric cancer were enrolled at seven institutions. Recurrence-free and overall survival rates were evaluated. Univariate and multivariate survival analyses for recurrence-free and overall survival were performed, using the Cox proportional hazards model.

The 5-year recurrence-free and overall survival rates were 84.7 % and 81.4 %, respectively. Although there was no difference in overall survival, multivariate analysis identified positive venous invasion as an independent risk factor for recurrence (p = 0.007, hazard ratio = 3.851). Adjuvant chemotherapy had no impact on both recurrence free and overall survival. However, the 5-year overall survival rates in the sub-cohort that completed adjuvant chemotherapy with S-1 were higher than those in the sub-cohort that did not complete the treatment (p = 0.019).

The prognosis of patients with pathological T3N0M0 gastric cancer was relatively favorable. However, adjuvant chemotherapy was not identified as an independent risk factor and patients with venous invasion were at a high risk of recurrence. Therefore, a large-scale multi-institutional prospective study evaluating the efficacy of adjuvant chemotherapy for high risk pT3N0M0 is required.

To develop an aggregate model that integrated clinical data, habitat characteristics, and intratumoral and peritumoral features to assess the risk categorization of thymomas.

We retrospectively analyzed 140 thymoma patients (70 low-risk and 70 high-risk), including pathological data. The patients were randomly divided into training cohort (n = 114) and test cohort (n = 26). The k-means clustering was utilized to partition the primary tumor into habitats based on intratumoral radiomic features, 6 distinct habitats were identified. By expanding the region of interest (ROI) mask, 2 peritumoral regions were obtained. Finally, 7 clinical characteristics, 3 habitat values, 20 radiomic features were utilized to develop an aggregated model, to predict the risk of thymoma. Shapley additive explanations (SHAP) interpretation was used for features importance ranking. The accuracy and area under curve (AUC) were used to analyze the performance of the models.

The aggregated model, which utilized the XGBoost classifier, demonstrated the best performance with an AUC of 0.811 and an accuracy of 0.769. In comparison, the radiomic model produced an AUC of 0.654 and an accuracy of 0.692. Additionally, the Intratumoral + peritumoral model exhibited an AUC of 0.728 and an accuracy of 0.769.

Our study establishes a novel tool to predict the risk of thymoma with a good performance. If prospectively validated, the model may refine thymoma patient selection for risk-adaptative therapy and improve prognosis.

Tumor budding (TB) has been shown to be a poor prognostic indicator after colorectal cancer (CRC) surgery. The aim of the present study is to evaluate the predictive role of morphological features (e.g., the number, structure, and location of tumor buds, and their reaction with the extracellular mesenchyme) in postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy in surgically resectable stage II CRC.

Between 2016 and 2019, 336 patients with stage II CRC who underwent radical surgery were enrolled in this study. TB status was determined according to the criteria adopted at the 2016 International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference (ITBCC). We retrospectively recorded all the clinical and pathological data and assessed the effect of different types of TB status on patients' recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS).

Of the 336 patients, 173, 88, and 75 were budding grade 1 (BD1), BD2, and BD3, respectively. The 5-year RFS rates were 84.6%, 81.2%, and 68.0% (P=0.01), and the 5-year OS rates were 91.0%, 83.3%, and 76.2% (P=0.007) in BD1, BD2, and BD3, respectively. TB grade was strongly associated with vascular invasion status and mucinous adenocarcinoma, and BD3 was detected in 51.7% of patients with positive vascular invasion. The multivariate analysis showed that only age, perineural invasion, and TB grade [BD2 vs. BD1, hazard ratio (HR) =1.468, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.703-3.063, P=0.30; BD3 vs. BD1, HR =2.310, 95% CI: 1.154-4.625, P=0.01] had an independent effect on RFS. In addition, the Kaplan-Meier curve analysis showed that BD3 patients had the worst RFS (P=0.01). The OS of the adjuvant chemotherapy group was significantly improved compared to that of the surgery-only group in the BD1/2 patients (HR =0.278, 95% CI: 0.114-0.676, P=0.005) but not in the BD3 patients with significant interaction (Pinteraction=0.03).

Our results indicate that TB could play a subsidiary role in selecting stage II CRC patients who could achieve a favorable prognosis with chemotherapy.

Tumor budding (TB), defined as the presence of individual neoplastic cells or isolated groups of up to 4 cells at the front of tumor invasion, has become an adverse prognostic marker in colorectal cancer (CRC) in recent decades. The prognostic impact of TB in CRC remains not clearly defined and histological methods for its evaluation vary depending on the center. The objective of this study is to investigate the association between TB and CRC, in terms of oncological evolution and pathological stage.

A retrospective observational study was conducted, including patients undergoing curative oncological surgery for CRC between January 2017 and December 2022. The effects of TB on disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated according to the Kaplan-Meier curves.

In 78 cases TB was described in the pathology report. TB was present in 56 patients (71.8%), divided into the following categories: low grade in 22 (39.3%), intermediate grade in 17 (30.4%) and high grade in 17 (30.4%). The proportion of patients who presented lymph node metastases, lympho-vascular and perineural invasion was significantly higher in patients with TB (26.8% vs 0%, P=.008; 41.1% vs 4.5%, P=.002; 16.1% vs 0% P=.054; respectively). DFS was 86.3% in low-grade TB, 75.3% in intermediate-grade TB, and 70.3% in high-grade TB. Cases with intermediate and high grade were associated with a shorter OS compared to the low grade group (93.7% and 75.4% vs 100% P=.012, respectively).

These results suggest that TB expression may be a useful risk factor as a prognostic factor for the detection of lymph node metastasis, local recurrence, and distant metastasis in CRC.

To develop a prognostically relevant scoring system for stage pT1 non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer (NMIBC) incorporating tumour budding, growth pattern and invasion pattern because the World Health Organisation grading system shows limited prognostic value in such patients.

The tissue specimens and clinical data of 113 patients with stage pT1 NMIBC who underwent transurethral resection of bladder tumour were retrospectively investigated. Tumour budding, and growth and invasion patterns were evaluated and categorised into two grade groups (GGs). GGs and other clinical and histopathological variables were investigated regarding recurrence-free survival (RFS), progression-free survival (PFS), cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) using univariable and multivariable Cox regression analyses.

The integration of two tumour budding groups, two growth patterns, and two invasion patterns yielded an unfavourable GG (n = 28; 24.7%) that had a high impact on oncological outcomes. The unfavourable GG was identified as an independent RFS and OS predictor (P = 0.004 and P = 0.046, respectively) and linked to worse PFS (P = 0.001) and CSS (P = 0.001), irrespective of the European Association of Urology risk group. The unfavourable GG was associated with higher rates of BCG-unresponsive tumours (P = 0.006). Study limitations include the retrospective, single-centre design, diverse therapies and small cohort.

We present a morphology-based grading system for stage pT1 NMIBC that correlates with disease aggressiveness and oncological patient outcomes. It therefore identifies a highest risk group of stage pT1 NMIBC patients, who should be followed up more intensively or receive immediate radical cystectomy. The grading incorporates objective variables assessable on haematoxylin and eosin slides and immunohistochemistry, enabling an easy-to-use low-cost approach that is applicable in daily routine. Further studies are needed to validate and confirm these results.

Despite contributions provided by the recent clinical trials, several issues and challenges still remain unsolved in adjuvant colon cancer (CC). Hence, further studies should be planned to better refine risk assessment as well as to establish the optimal treatment strategy in the adjuvant setting. However, it is necessary to request adequate, contemporary and relevant variables and report them homogeneously in order to bring maximal information when analyzing their prognostic value.

The project was devised to gain a consensus from experts engaged in the planning, accrual and analyses of stage II and III CC clinical trials, to identify mandatory and recommended baseline variables in order to i) harmonize future data collection worldwide in clinical trials dedicated to adjuvant treatment of CC; ii) propose guidance for Case Report Forms to be used for clinical trials in this setting. A total of 72 questions related to variables that should be reported and how to report them in adjuvant clinical trials were approved and then voted to reach a final consensus from panelists.

Data items on patient-related factors, histopathological features, molecular profile, circulating biomarkers and blood analyses were analyzed and discussed by the whole expert panel. For each item, we report data supporting the acquired consensus and the relevant issues that were discussed. Nineteen items were deemed to be mandatory for resected stage III patients and 24 for resected stage II disease. In addition, 9 and 4 items were judged as recommended for stage III and II, respectively.

In our opinion, these 28 variables should be used and uniformly reported in more comprehensive CRFs as research groups design future clinical trials in the field of adjuvant colon cancer.

Introduction: Tumor budding (TB) is considered to be a morphological and prognostic factor relevant to colon cancer (CC). The aim of our study is to assess the TB and to evaluate its relationship to clinicopathological findings within stage II and III CC patients as a single center experience. Materials and methods: A total of 120 CC patients operated between 2018 and 2021 at the University Clinic of Digestive Surgery in Skopje, the Republic of North Macedonia were included in this retrospective, single center study. TB was evaluated by the magnification of 200x along the invasive front of the primary tumor on H&E and CKAE1/AE3 immunohistochemically stained sections. Two grades were used: low grade (TB1, 0-4 TBs) and high-grade, which includes intermediate (TB2, 5-9 TBs) and high grade (TB3 ≥10TBs) of TBs. Results: A statistically significant correlation has been identified between high-grade TB and age (p=0.05) of the patients. There was also a significantly higher occurrence of high-grade TB in patients within stage III CC. Statistically significant correlations were also found in lymph node status (p<0.01), vascular invasion (p<0.05), lymphatic invasion (p<0.01), postoperative relapse (p<0.01), and death (p<0.01). Tumor relapse and death were significantly more frequent in patients with high-grade TB than those with low-grade TB. Patients with registered high-grade TB demonstrated significantly lower relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) rates than patients with low-grade TB over the observation period (RFS: 53.8% vs. 98.5%, p<0.001; OS: 65.4% vs. 97.1%, p<0.001, respectively). Patients with lung and liver postoperative relapses had higher percentage of cases with high-grade TB (94.1%). Conclusion: Our results are highly suggestive that TB should be included as a histological biomarker in the pathology report of patients with stage II and stage III CC, because of its prognostic value.

Tumour budding shows promise as a prognostic factor in various cancers, but its widespread application is hindered by the lack of large, validated studies and standardized criteria. This meta-analysis aims to review and examine the prognostic role of tumour budding specifically in noncolorectal gastrointestinal and pancreatobiliary tract cancers, broadening our perspective on its clinical relevance. The literature review was conducted through PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science from inception till 20 February 2023. Pooled odds ratio (OR) and hazard ratio (HR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) were calculated to assess the relation between tumour budding and clinicopathologic features, as well as overall survival. Each study was evaluated using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale and both heterogeneity and publication bias were analysed. In this meta-analysis of 57 studies across various cancer types, multivariate HR revealed worse overall survival in oesophageal squamous cell carcinoma (HR 3.34 [95% CI 2.21-5.04]), gastric adenocarcinoma (2.03 [1.38-2.99]), pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (2.56 [2.02-3.25]), and biliary tract adenocarcinoma (3.11 [2.46-3.93]) with high-grade tumour budding. Additionally, high-grade tumour budding consistently correlated with adverse clinicopathological features, including lymph node metastasis, lymphovascular invasion, and distant metastasis without any observed inverse association. High heterogeneity was noted. Our study suggests that tumour budding is a valuable prognostic marker in various cancers. Nonetheless, standardized criteria tailored to specific organ types are necessary to enhance its clinical utility.

There is a need to improve current risk stratification of stage II colorectal cancer to better inform risk of recurrence and guide adjuvant chemotherapy. We sought to examine whether integration of QuantCRC, a digital pathology biomarker utilizing hematoxylin and eosin-stained slides, provides improved risk stratification over current American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) guidelines.

ASCO and QuantCRC-integrated schemes were applied to a cohort of 398 mismatch-repair proficient (MMRP) stage II colorectal cancers from three large academic medical centers. The ASCO stage II scheme was taken from recent guidelines. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme utilized pT3 versus pT4 and a QuantCRC-derived risk classification. Evaluation of recurrence-free survival (RFS) according to these risk schemes was compared using the log-rank test and HR.

Integration of QuantCRC provides improved risk stratification compared with the ASCO scheme for stage II MMRP colorectal cancers. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme placed more stage II tumors in the low-risk group compared with the ASCO scheme (62.5% vs. 42.2%) without compromising excellent 3-year RFS. The QuantCRC-integrated scheme provided larger HR for both intermediate-risk (2.27; 95% CI, 1.32-3.91; P = 0.003) and high-risk (3.27; 95% CI, 1.42-7.55; P = 0.006) groups compared with ASCO intermediate-risk (1.58; 95% CI, 0.87-2.87; P = 0.1) and high-risk (2.24; 95% CI, 1.09-4.62; P = 0.03) groups. The QuantCRC-integrated risk groups remained prognostic in the subgroup of patients that did not receive any adjuvant chemotherapy.

Incorporation of QuantCRC into risk stratification provides a powerful predictor of RFS that has potential to guide subsequent treatment and surveillance for stage II MMRP colorectal cancers.

Background/Objectives: Recently, some new morphological features of colorectal cancer have been discovered as important prognostic factors; in this paper, we study the relationship between tumor budding (TB) and tumor deposits (TDs). Methods: The retrospective cohort study included 90 patients with pathohistologically confirmed stage III CRC who were treated with radical surgical resection. All hematoxylin and eosin (H and E)-stained slides from each patient were reviewed, and histological parameters were recorded. The samples were divided into two groups with similar sizes: a group without TDs (N = 51) and a control group with TDs (N = 39). The presence and TB grade were further analyzed in these groups and compared with other clinical and histological features. Results: The prevalence of TB in the investigated cohort was unexpectedly high (94.4%). Overall, there were 23 (25.6%) Bd1, 20 (22.2%) Bd2, and 47 (52.2%) Bd3 cases. The presence of TDs was significantly associated with a higher number of TB (p < 0.001, OR 16.3) and, consequently, with a higher TB grade (p = 0.004, OR 11.04). A higher TB grade (p = 0.001, HR 2.28; 95% CI 1.93-4.76) and a growing number of TDs (p = 0.014, HR 1.52; 95% CI 1.09-2.1) were statistically significantly associated with shorter survival. Conclusions: TDs appear more often in patients with higher TB grades in stage III CRC. A higher TB grade and a growing number of TDs were statistically significantly associated with shorter overall survival. These results could give additional emphasis to the importance of TB as an adverse prognostic factor since a strong relationship with TDs has been demonstrated.

Tumor budding as a prognostic marker in colorectal cancer has not previously been investigated in a cohort of screened stage II colon cancer patients. We assessed the prognostic significance of tumor budding in a thoroughly characterized stage II colon cancer population comprising surgically resected patients in the Region of Southern Denmark from 2014 to 2016. Tumors were re-staged according to the 8th edition of UICC TNM Classification, undergoing detailed histopathological evaluation and tumor budding assessment following guidelines from the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference. Prognostic evaluation utilized Kaplan-Meier curves, log-rank tests, and Cox proportional hazard models for time to recurrence (TTR), recurrence-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS). Out of 497 patients, 20% were diagnosed through the national colorectal cancer screening program. High-grade tumor budding (Bd3) was found in 19% of tumors and was associated with glandular subtype, perineural invasion, mismatch repair proficient tumors, and tumor recurrence (p < 0.001, p < 0.001, p = 0.045, and p = 0.007 respectively). In multivariable Cox regression, high-grade budding was a significant prognostic factor for TTR compared to low-grade (Bd3 HR 2.617; p = 0.007). An association between tumor budding groups and RFS was observed, and the difference was significant in univariable analysis for high-grade compared to low-grade tumor budding (Bd3 HR 1.461; p = 0.041). No significant differences were observed between tumor budding groups and OS. High-grade tumor budding is a predictor of recurrence in a screened population of patients with stage II colon cancer and should be considered a high-risk factor in a shared decision-making process when stratifying patients to adjuvant chemotherapy.

Most clinical doctors rely on high-risk factors recommended by guidelines to decide whether to undergo adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer. However, these high-risk factors do not include postoperative carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA). This study aims to explore the elevation of postoperative CEA as a risk factor, in addition to other high-risk factors, to guide adjuvant chemotherapy for patients with stage II colon cancer. A retrospective analysis was conducted on stage II colon cancer patients who underwent curative surgery at Yunnan Cancer Hospital and The Sixth Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-Sen University from April 2008 to January 2019. Patients were classified into three groups based on high-risk factors recommended by guidelines and postoperative CEA levels: low-risk with normal postoperative CEA, low-risk with elevated postoperative CEA and high-risk. COX regression analysis was used to identify independent prognostic factors affecting patients' recurrence free survival (RFS). The Kaplan-Meier method was used to create the patients' RFS curve. The restricted cubic spline (RCS) curve was used to assess the correlation between postoperative CEA and RFS on a continuous scale. Among 761 patients, there were 444 males (62.01%), with a median [IQR] age of 58.0 (18.0-88.0) years. A group of 425 high-risk patients had a 3-year RFS of 82.2% (95% CI 78.5-86.1%), while a group of 291 low-risk patients had a 3-year RFS of 89.7% (95% CI 86.1-93.5%). There was a statistically significant difference between the two groups (HR 1.83; 95% CI 1.22-2.74; P = 0.0067). Among them, the 3-year RFS of 261 low-risk patients with normal postoperative CEA was 93.6% (95% CI 90.5-96.8%), while the 3-year RFS of 30 low-risk patients with elevated postoperative CEA was 57.3% (95% CI 41.8-71.4%). There was a significant difference compared to the 3-year RFS of 425 high-risk patients (overall log-rank P < 0.0001). The multivariate analysis adjusted by the COX proportional hazards model showed that low-risk patients with elevated postoperative CEA patients (HR 14.95, 95% CI 4.51-49.63, P < 0.0001) was independently associated with a 3-year RFS. The restricted cubic spline model showed that in stage II colon cancer patients with tumor diameter > 1.955 ng/mL, the risk of postoperative recurrence increased with increasing postoperative CEA levels. Patients with elevated postoperative CEA levels have a significantly increased risk of recurrence. They should be included as high-risk factors to guide adjuvant chemotherapy for stage II colon cancer.

A higher number of tumor buds in the invasive front of colorectal cancer (CRC) specimens has been shown to contribute to a poor prognosis in CRC patients. Because macrophages (Mφs) have been demonstrated to alter the phenotype of cancer cells, we hypothesized that the phenotype of CRC cells in the tumor budding (TB) area might be changed by the interaction between CRC cells and Mφs.

We assessed the expression of topoisomerase 1 in CRC cells to estimate the acquisition of chemoresistance in CRC. To demonstrate the tumor-stromal interaction between CRC cells and Mφs, we assessed two histological findings, the number of Mφs per single CRC cell and the proximity between CRC cells and Mφs by histological spatial analysis using HALO software.

The expression levels of topoisomerase 1 in CRC cells were decreased in deeper areas, especially in the TB area, compared to the surface area. Our histological spatial analysis revealed that 2.6 Mφs located within 60 μm of a single CRC cell were required to alter the phenotype of the CRC cell. Double-immunofluorescence staining revealed that higher Mφs were positive for interleukin-6 (IL-6) in the TB area and that AE1/AE3-positive CRC cells were also positive for phospho-STAT3 (pSTAT3) in the TB area; thus, the IL-6 receptor (IL-6R)/STAT3 signaling pathway in CRC cells was upregulated by IL-6 derived from neighboring Mφs.

IL-6 secreted from the neighboring Mφs would alter the phenotype of CRC cells via IL-6R/STAT3 signaling pathway.

Tumor budding (TB) is a powerful prognostic factor in colorectal cancer (CRC). An internationally standardized method for its assessment (International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference [ITBCC] method) has been adopted by most CRC pathology protocols. This method requires that TB counts are reported by field area (0.785 mm 2 ) rather than objective lens and a normalization factor is applied for this purpose. However, the validity of this approach is yet to be tested. We sought to validate the ITBCC method with a particular emphasis on normalization as a tool for standardization. In a cohort of 365 stage I-III CRC, both normalized and non-normalized TB were significantly associated with disease-specific survival and recurrence-free survival ( P <0.0001). Examining both 0.95 and 0.785 mm 2 field areas in a subset of patients (n=200), we found that normalization markedly overcorrects TB counts: Counts obtained in a 0.95 mm 2 hotspot field were reduced by an average of 17.5% following normalization compared with only 3.8% when counts were performed in an actual 0.785 mm 2 field. This resulted in 45 (11.3%) cases being downgraded using ITBCC grading criteria following normalization, compared with only 5 cases (1.3%, P =0.0007) downgraded when a true 0.785 mm 2 field was examined. In summary, the prognostic value of TB was retained regardless of whether TB counts in a 0.95 mm 2 field were normalized. Normalization resulted in overcorrecting TB counts with consequent downgrading of most borderline cases. This has implications for risk stratification and adjuvant treatment decisions, and suggests the need to re-evaluate the role of normalization in TB assessment.

Accurate preoperative estimation of the risk of breast-conserving surgery (BCS) resection margin positivity would be beneficial to surgical planning. In this multicenter validation study, we developed an MRI-based radiomic model to predict the surgical margin status.

We retrospectively collected preoperative breast MRI of patients undergoing BCS from three hospitals (SYMH, n = 296; SYSUCC, n = 131; TSPH, n = 143). Radiomic-based model for risk prediction of the margin positivity was trained on the SYMH patients (7:3 ratio split for the training and testing cohorts), and externally validated in the SYSUCC and TSPH cohorts. The model was able to stratify patients into different subgroups with varied risk of margin positivity. Moreover, we used the immune-radiomic models and epithelial-mesenchymal transition (EMT) signature to infer the distribution patterns of immune cells and tumor cell EMT status under different marginal status.

The AUCs of the radiomic-based model were 0.78 (0.66-0.90), 0.88 (0.79-0.96), and 0.76 (0.68-0.84) in the testing cohort and two external validation cohorts, respectively. The actual margin positivity rates ranged between 0-10% and 27.3-87.2% in low-risk and high-risk subgroups, respectively. Positive surgical margin was associated with higher levels of EMT and B cell infiltration in the tumor area, as well as the enrichment of B cells, immature dendritic cells, and neutrophil infiltration in the peritumoral area.

This MRI-based predictive model can be used as a reliable tool to predict the risk of margin positivity of BCS. Tumor immune-microenvironment alteration was associated with surgical margin status.

This study can assist the pre-operative planning of BCS. Further research on the tumor immune microenvironment of different resection margin states is expected to develop new margin evaluation indicators and decipher the internal mechanism.

• The MRI-based radiomic prediction model (CSS model) incorporating features extracted from multiple sequences and segments could estimate the margin positivity risk of breast-conserving surgery. • The radiomic score of the CSS model allows risk stratification of patients undergoing breast-conserving surgery, which could assist in surgical planning. • With the help of MRI-based radiomics to estimate the components of the immune microenvironment, for the first time, it is found that the margin status of breast-conserving surgery is associated with the infiltration of immune cells in the microenvironment and the EMT status of breast tumor cells.

Emerging evidence has demonstrated that tumour budding (TB) is negatively associated with T-lymphocyte infiltration in CRC. Despite extensive research, the molecular characteristics of immunologically 'hot' TB remain poorly understood.

We quantified the number of TB by haematoxylin-eosin (H&E) sections and the densities of CD3+ and CD8+ T-lymphocytes by immunohistochemistry in a CRC cohort of 351 cases who underwent curative resection. We analysed the differential expression and T-lymphocyte infiltration score of 37 human epithelial keratins in CRC using RNA sequencing from the TCGA dataset. In 278 TB-positive cases, KRT17 expression was evaluated in tumour centre (TC) and TB with a staining score. Patient demographic, clinicopathological features and survival rates were analysed.

In a CRC cohort of 351 cases, low-grade TB was associated with high CD3+ and CD8+ T-cell densities in the invasive margin (IM) but not in the TC. Of 37 human epithelial keratins, only KRT17 expression in TB had an apparent association with TB-grade and T-lymphocyte infiltration. In 278 TB-positive cases, high KRT17 expression in TB (KRT17TB) was negatively associated with low-grade TB and positively associated with high CD3+ and CD8+ T-cell densities in IM. High KRT17TB predicted early tumour grade, absence of lymph node metastasis and absence of tumour deposits. Additionally, patients with high KRT17TB had good overall survival and disease-free survival. Notably, low KRT17TB can specifically identify those patients with a poor prognosis among colorectal cancer patients with low TB and high T-lymphocyte infiltration.

KRT17 can be employed as a new indicator for distinguishing different immunological TBs.

Tumor budding (TB) has emerged as a promising independent prognostic biomarker in colorectal cancer (CRC). The prognostic role of TB has been extensively studied and currently affects clinical decision making in patients with stage I and II CRC. However, existing prognostic studies on TB in stage III CRC have been confined to small retrospective cohort studies. Consequently, this study investigated the correlation among TB categories, clinicopathological features, and prognosis in stage III-IV CRC to further enhance the precision and individualization of treatment through refined prognostic risk stratification.

To analyze the relationship between TB categories and clinicopathological characteristics and assess their prognostic value in stage III-IV CRC to further refine the prognostic risk stratification of stage III-IV CRC.

The clinical data of 547 CRC patients were collected for this retrospective study. Infiltration at the front edge of the tumor buds was counted according to the 2016 International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference guidelines.

Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis demonstrated that chemotherapy (P = 0.004), clinical stage IV (P < 0.001), ≥ 4 regional lymph node metastases (P = 0.004), left-sided colonic cancer (P = 0.040), and Bd 2-3 (P = 0.002) were independent prognostic factors in patients with stage III-IV CRC. Moreover, the density of tumor infiltrating lymphocytes was higher in Bd 1 than in Bd 2-3, both in the tumor stroma and its invasive margin.

TB has an independent predictive prognostic value in patients with stage III-IV CRC. It is recommended to complete the TB report of stage III-IV CRC cases in the standardized pathological report to further refine risk stratification.

High tumour budding has been indicated as a risk factor of poor survival in colorectal cancer. This study aimed to investigate the impact of tumour budding grades and the use of adjuvant chemotherapy on prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer.

This study included consecutive colorectal cancer patients who underwent radical surgery for primary colorectal adenocarcinoma at The Sixth Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University between 2009 and 2019. Tumour budding was assessed based on the recommendations of the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference using haematoxylin and eosin (H&E)-stained slides with tumour samples. The primary outcome of interest was to correlate tumour budding with disease-free survival and overall survival; the secondary outcome was investigation of the impact of adjuvant therapy on different tumour budding grades. In addition, a subgroup analysis was performed for the effects of lymphocytic infiltration on adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with Bd3.

Of 709 eligible patients, 412 with colorectal cancer were included. According to the International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference, 210 (50.9 per cent), 127 (30.8 per cent) and 75 (18.2 per cent) were classified as low budding (Bd1), intermediate budding (Bd2) and high budding (Bd3) respectively. Patients with Bd1, Bd2 and Bd3 had 5-year disease-free survival rates of 82.9 per cent, 70.1 per cent and 49.3 per cent respectively, and 5-year overall survival rates of 90 per cent, 79.5 per cent and 62.7 per cent respectively (P <0.001). Adjuvant chemotherapy yielded a significant survival benefit in patients with Bd3 (5-year disease-free survival, 65 per cent versus 31.4 per cent, P <0.001; 5-year overall survival, 84.4 per cent versus 63.1 per cent, P <0.001), but not in those with Bd1 or Bd2. In patients with Bd3, the benefit of adjuvant chemotherapy was maintained in those with low, but not high lymphocytic infiltration.

High grade of tumour budding was strongly correlated with poorer survival outcomes in colorectal cancer. Patients with Bd3 benefited from adjuvant chemotherapy, with the exclusion of patients with high lymphocytic infiltration.

Tumor budding (TB) is a small tumor cell cluster with highly aggressive behavior located ahead of the invasive tumor front. However, the molecular and biological characteristics of TB and the regulatory mechanisms governing TB phenotypes remain unclear. This study reveals that TB exhibits a particular dynamic gene signature with stemness and partial epithelial-mesenchymal transition (p-EMT). Importantly, nuclear expression of CYTOR is identified to be the key regulator governing stemness and the p-EMT phenotype of TB cells, and targeting CYTOR significantly inhibits TB formation, tumor growth and lymph node metastasis in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Mechanistically, CYTOR promotes tumorigenicity and metastasis of TB cells by facilitating the formation of FOSL1 phase-separated condensates to establish FOSL1-dependent super enhancers (SEs). Depletion of CYTOR leads to the disruption of FOSL1-dependent SEs, which results in the inactivation of cancer stemness and pro-metastatic genes. In turn, activation of FOSL1 promotes the transcription of CYTOR. These findings indicate that CYTOR is a super-lncRNA that controls the stemness and metastasis of TB cells through facilitating the formation of FOSL1 phase separation and SEs, which may be an attractive target for therapeutic interventions in HNSCC.