1
|
Liguori A, Zoncapè M, Casazza G, Easterbrook P, Tsochatzis EA. Staging liver fibrosis and cirrhosis using non-invasive tests in people with chronic hepatitis B to inform WHO 2024 guidelines: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol 2025; 10:332-349. [PMID: 39983746 DOI: 10.1016/s2468-1253(24)00437-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/23/2024] [Revised: 12/14/2024] [Accepted: 12/18/2024] [Indexed: 02/23/2025]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Non-invasive tests (aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index [APRI] and transient elastography [FibroScan]) were recommended in the 2015 WHO guidelines to guide treatment decisions in people with chronic hepatitis B. We updated the systematic review and meta-analysis that informed the 2015 guidelines to inform new cutoffs for non-invasive tests for the diagnosis of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis for the 2024 WHO guidelines for chronic hepatitis B. METHODS We searched PubMed (MEDLINE), Embase, and Science Citation Index Expanded (Web of Science) for studies published in any language between Jan 1, 2014, and Feb 15, 2023. We included all studies that reported cross-sectional data on the staging of fibrosis or cirrhosis with APRI, Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4), and FibroScan compared with liver biopsy as the reference standard in people with chronic hepatitis B. We excluded studies in which the maximum interval between liver biopsy and non-invasive fibrosis test was more than 6 months; that reported on fewer than ten patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis; that were done exclusively in children; and did not report diagnostic accuracy across our prespecified ranges of test cutoffs. The results of this updated search were collated with the meta-analysis that informed the 2015 guidelines. Outcomes of interest were the sensitivity and specificity of non-invasive tests using defined index test cutoffs for detecting significant fibrosis (≥F2), advanced fibrosis (≥F3), and cirrhosis (F4) based on the METAVIR staging system. We performed meta-analyses using a bivariate random-effects model. FINDINGS Of 19 933 records identified by our search strategy, 195 were eligible for our systematic review and combined with the 69 studies from the previous meta-analysis to total 264. Two studies were at low risk of bias, 31 studies had unclear risk of bias, and 231 studies had a high risk of bias. Of these 264, 211 studies with 61 665 patients were used in the meta-analysis. For the diagnosis of significant fibrosis (≥F2), sensitivity and specificity were 72·9% (95% CI 70·2-75·5) and 64·7% (95% CI 61·0-68·2) for the APRI low cutoff (>0·3 to 0·7), 30·5% (23·7-38·3) and 92·3% (89·3-94·6) for the APRI high cutoff (>1·3 to 1·7), and 75·1% (72·2-77·7) and 79·3% (76·2-82·2) for FibroScan (>6·0 to 8·0 kPa), respectively. For the diagnosis of cirrhosis (F4), sensitivity and specificity were 59·4% (53·2-65·2) and 73·9% (70·1-77·4) for the APRI low cutoff (>0·8 to 1·2), 30·2% (24·2-36·9) and 88·2% (85·4-90·6) for the APRI high cutoff (>1·8 to 2·2), and 82·6% (77·8-86·5) and 89·0% (86·3-91·2) for FibroScan (>11·0 to 14·0 kPa), respectively. Using a hypothetical population of 1000 unselected patients with chronic hepatitis B with a 25% prevalence of significant fibrosis (≥F2), the APRI low cutoff for significant fibrosis (≥F2) would result in 262 (26·2%) false positives but only 68 (6·8%) false negatives. The FibroScan cutoff would result in 158 (15·8%) false positives and 63 (6·3%) false negatives. In a population with a 5% prevalence of cirrhosis (F4), the APRI low cutoff for cirrhosis (F4) would result in 247 (24·7%) false positives and 21 (2·1%) false negatives and the FibroScan cutoff would result in 105 (10·5%) false positives and nine (0·9%) false negatives. INTERPRETATION These findings have informed new thresholds of APRI and FibroScan for diagnosis of significant fibrosis and cirrhosis in the 2024 WHO guidelines on chronic hepatitis B, with an APRI score greater than 0·5 or a FibroScan value greater than 7·0 kPa considered to identify most adults with significant fibrosis (≥F2) and an APRI score greater than 1·0 or a FibroScan value greater than 12·5 kPa to identify most adults with cirrhosis (F4). These patients are a priority for antiviral treatment. FUNDING WHO.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Antonio Liguori
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital and University College London, London, UK; Department of Medical and Surgical Sciences, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy
| | - Mirko Zoncapè
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital and University College London, London, UK; Liver Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Verona and Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Integrata of Verona, Verona, Italy
| | - Giovanni Casazza
- Department of Clinical Sciences and Community Health, Università degli Studi di Milano, Milan, Italy; Fondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, Milan, Italy
| | - Philippa Easterbrook
- Department of Global HIV, Hepatitis and STI Programmes, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland
| | - Emmanuel A Tsochatzis
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital and University College London, London, UK.
| |
Collapse
|
2
|
Koroglu M, Ayvaz MA, Bakan SB, Sirin A, Akyuz U. Can quantitative surface antigen levels and systemic immune-inflammation index be predictive as a new indicator for the initiation of treatment in chronic hepatitis b? Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2024; 36:489-497. [PMID: 38407853 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0000000000002737] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/27/2024]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The natural history of chronic HBV infection (CHB) is generally divided into four phases: HBeAg-positive chronic HBV infection (EPCI) and -hepatitis (EPCH), HBeAg-negative chronic HBV infection (ENCI) and -hepatitis (ENCH). This study aimed to investigate changes in serum quantitative surface antigen (qHBsAg), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII) and systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI) in a large number of CHB patients. METHOD Three hundred seventy-two CHB patients who underwent liver biopsy between January 2015 and February 2020 were evaluated. RESULTS The SII-values were strongly significant between EPCI-EPCH ( P = 0.002), however, there was significant difference between ENCI-ENCH ( P = 0.025). Considering the SIRI results, there was a significant difference between both EPCI-EPCH ( P = 0.009) and ENCI-ENCH ( P = 0.118). In HBeAg-positive patients HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, and SII were found to be predictive ( P = 0.029, P = 0.039, P = 0.027, respectively) while in HBeAg-negative patients, age, AST, HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, SII, and SIRI were found to be predictive ( P = 0.047, P = 0.084, P = <0.001, P = 0.001, P = 0.012, P = 0.002, respectively). In EPCH phase, whereby accuracy rate results of HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, and SII were 75.3%, 73.4%, and 60.4%, respectively, while in the ENCH phase the accuracy rates of age, AST, HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, SII, and SIRI values were 57.8%, 65.6%, 68.3%, 63.8%, 57.3% and 53.2%, respectively. CONCLUSION HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, and SII are predictive in EPCH patients. Age, AST, HBV-DNA, qHBsAg, SII and SIRI are all predictive in ENCH patients. In patients with CHB, we recommend using SII to distinguish between EPCI-EPCH and ENCI-ENCH. Based on its sensitivity and features, we believe that qHBsAg and SII are suitable measuring instruments in discrimination both of EPCI-EPCH and ENCI-ENCH.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Mehmet Koroglu
- University of Health Sciences, Fatih Sultan Mehmet Training and Research Hospital, Department of Gastroenterology, Istanbul, Turkey
| | - Muhammed Ali Ayvaz
- Klinikum Fuessen, Department of Gastroenterology, Teaching hospital of the Ludwig-Maximilian University, Munich, Germany
| | - Suat Baran Bakan
- University of Health Sciences, Fatih Sultan Mehmet Training and Research Hospital, Department of Internal Medicine, Istanbul
| | - Abdullatif Sirin
- Duzce University Hospital, Department of Gastroenterology, Duzce
| | - Umit Akyuz
- University of Health Sciences, Fatih Sultan Mehmet Training and Research Hospital, Department of Gastroenterology, Istanbul, Turkey
| |
Collapse
|
3
|
Gabr AK, Hawash NI, Abd-Elsalam S, Badawi R, Soliman HH. Diagnostic Accuracy of Red Cell Distribution Width to Platelet Ratio for Detection of Liver Fibrosis Compared with Fibroscan in Chronic Hepatitis B Egyptian patients. THE OPEN BIOMARKERS JOURNAL 2022; 12. [DOI: 10.2174/18753183-v12-e2208150] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2021] [Revised: 03/16/2022] [Accepted: 04/22/2022] [Indexed: 09/01/2023]
Abstract
Background and Aims:
The decision to treat chronic hepatitis B Virus infection (CHB) may necessitate an assessment of the degree of liver fibrosis. Guidelines recommend Fibroscan examination in such cases. However, it is costly and not widely available. Red cell distribution width (RDW) and platelet count are simple parameters obtained from the blood pictures; and their ratio RDW to platelet ratio (RPR) was claimed to correlate with liver fibrosis. We aimed to assess the ability of RPR to replace the costly fibroscan in the detection of significant fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B patients.
Patients and Methods:
This cross-sectional study was conducted in the Tropical medicine department, Tanta University, Egypt, between December 2018 and September 2019. One hundred and twenty-five patients with CHB were included and divided according to the fibroscan examination into: Group I: patients with no significant fibrosis (n=66), Group II: patients with significant (≥ F2) fibrosis (n=59). RPR was calculated for all patients and tested against Fibroscan results.
Results:
Both groups were matched in regards to age, sex, viral load, and steatosis. There was a significant positive correlation between the degree of stiffness measured by FibroScan in patients with a significant degree of fibrosis and serum bilirubin, a quantitative polymerase chain reaction of hepatitis B virus DNA (HBV DNA PCR), and fibrosis-4 score (FIB-4 score) (P value= 0.020, 0.049, and 0.0402, respectively). However, RPR was not correlated to the degree of fibrosis in fibroscan examination.
Conclusions:
The accuracy of RDW to platelet ratio (RPR) for the detection of fibrosis in CHB patients is questionable. FIB-4 is correlated with liver stiffness measurement (LSM) in patients with significant fibrosis (F2 or more). Neither RPR, AST to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) or FIB4 can replace fibroscan for grading of fibrosis in CHB patients for evaluation to start therapy.
Collapse
|
4
|
Chang K, Chi C, Lee R, Hou M, Huang Y, Lee I. Efficacy and predictors of survival in patients with solitary hepatocellular carcinoma larger than 5 cm undergoing transarterial chemoembolization. ADVANCES IN DIGESTIVE MEDICINE 2021. [DOI: 10.1002/aid2.13278] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/11/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Ke‐Bin Chang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine Keelung Hospital, Ministry of Health and Welfare Keelung Taiwan
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine Taipei Veterans General Hospital Taipei Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University School of Medicine Taipei Taiwan
| | - Chen‐Ta Chi
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine Taipei Veterans General Hospital Taipei Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University School of Medicine Taipei Taiwan
| | - Rheun‐Chuan Lee
- Department of Radiology Taipei Veterans General Hospital Taipei Taiwan
| | - Ming‐Chih Hou
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine Taipei Veterans General Hospital Taipei Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University School of Medicine Taipei Taiwan
| | - Yi‐Hsiang Huang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine Taipei Veterans General Hospital Taipei Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University School of Medicine Taipei Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University Taipei Taiwan
| | - I‐Cheng Lee
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine Taipei Veterans General Hospital Taipei Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University School of Medicine Taipei Taiwan
| |
Collapse
|
5
|
Zhang TT, Ye SS, Liang J, Bai L. Prognostic value of non-invasive fibrosis indices post-curative resection in hepatitis-B-associated hepatocellular carcinoma patients. Exp Biol Med (Maywood) 2020; 245:703-710. [PMID: 32223331 DOI: 10.1177/1535370220914252] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
IMPACT STATEMENT Non-invasive fibrosis indices, according to regular laboratory and clinical data, could be useful in assessing liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis patients. However, the role of these biomarkers remains unclear in predicting the outcome of HBV-associated HCC in patients. This study was carried out retrospectively and included a relatively large sample size (n = 405) with a heterogeneous population of HBV infected patients and longer duration of prospective follow-up. Our study suggested that APRI and Fibro-α Scores are inversely correlated with overall survival in HBV-associated HCC patients. Meanwhile, GUCI, King Score, and APRI were highly correlated with cirrhosis status. Also, in subgroups of cirrhosis or non-cirrhosis, Fibro-α Scores could differentiate patients with good prognosis from those with poor outcome. This result would aid clinicians in acquiring preventive and therapeutic methods in patients with high risk.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Ting-Ting Zhang
- Department of Oncology, Peking University International Hospital, Beijing 102206, China
| | - Si-Si Ye
- Department of Oncology, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| | - Jun Liang
- Department of Oncology, Beijing Cancer Hospital, Beijing 101142, China
| | - Li Bai
- Department of Oncology, Chinese PLA General Hospital, Beijing 100853, China
| |
Collapse
|
6
|
Hu CL, Du QC, Wang ZX, Pang MQ, Wang YY, Li YY, Zhou Y, Wang HJ, Fan HN. Relationship between platelet-based models and the prognosis of patients with malignant hepatic tumors. Oncol Lett 2020; 19:2384-2396. [PMID: 32194738 PMCID: PMC7039130 DOI: 10.3892/ol.2020.11317] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/22/2019] [Accepted: 11/29/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
Platelets (PLTs) are involved in tumor growth, metabolism and vascular activation. PLT-based models have been reported to have significant value on the recurrence of malignant hepatic tumors. The present study aimed to investigate the effect of PLT count and 18 PLT-based models on the prognosis of patients with malignant hepatic tumors. The clinical data from 189 patients with malignant hepatic tumors were retrospectively analyzed and used to calculate the scores of the 18 PLT-based models. Receiver operating characteristic curve was used to determine the suitable cut-off values of mortality and recurrence in patients with malignant hepatic tumors. The overall survival and cumulative recurrence rates of patients were calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and the difference was analyzed using log-rank test. Multivariate analysis was performed to determine the independent risk factors of recurrence-free survival and overall survival. In the present study, 11 models were considered as predictors of mortality (P<0.05) and six models were considered as predictors of recurrence (P<0.05). The results from multivariate analysis demonstrated that vascular cancer embolus, uric acid >231 µmol/l, hemoglobin >144 g/l and the Lok index model >0.695 were considered as independent risk factors of mortality (P<0.05). Furthermore, vascular cancer embolus, PLT to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) >175 and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) >4.82 were independent factors of recurrence (P<0.05). In addition, the results from this study indicated that the Lok-index could be considered as a predictor of the overall survival rate. In conclusion, the FIB-4 and PLR model may be valuable for predicting the recurrence-free rate of patients with malignant hepatic tumors.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Chen-Liang Hu
- Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University and Qinghai Province Key Laboratory of Hydatid Disease Research, Qinghai University, Xining, Qinghai 81000, P.R. China
| | - Qian-Cheng Du
- Department of General Surgery, Shanghai Fourth People's Hospital Affiliated to Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai 200081, P.R. China
| | - Zhi-Xin Wang
- Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University and Qinghai Province Key Laboratory of Hydatid Disease Research, Qinghai University, Xining, Qinghai 81000, P.R. China
| | - Ming-Quan Pang
- Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University and Qinghai Province Key Laboratory of Hydatid Disease Research, Qinghai University, Xining, Qinghai 81000, P.R. China
| | - Yan-Yan Wang
- Department of Hematology, Affiliated Fuyang Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Fuyang, Anhui 236000, P.R. China
| | - Ying-Yu Li
- Department of Medical Record Room, The Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University, Qinghai University, Xining, Qinghai 81000, P.R. China
| | - Ying Zhou
- Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University and Qinghai Province Key Laboratory of Hydatid Disease Research, Qinghai University, Xining, Qinghai 81000, P.R. China
| | - Hai-Jiu Wang
- Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University and Qinghai Province Key Laboratory of Hydatid Disease Research, Qinghai University, Xining, Qinghai 81000, P.R. China
| | - Hai-Ning Fan
- Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University and Qinghai Province Key Laboratory of Hydatid Disease Research, Qinghai University, Xining, Qinghai 81000, P.R. China
| |
Collapse
|
7
|
The diagnostic nomogram of platelet-based score models for hepatic alveolar echinococcosis and atypical liver cancer. Sci Rep 2019; 9:19403. [PMID: 31852926 PMCID: PMC6920149 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-019-55563-3] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/31/2019] [Accepted: 11/29/2019] [Indexed: 12/18/2022] Open
Abstract
Hepatic alveolar echinococcosis (HAE) and liver cancer had similarities
in imaging results, clinical characteristics, and so on. And it is difficult for
clinicians to distinguish them before operation. The aim of our study was to build a
differential diagnosis nomogram based on platelet (PLT) score model and use internal
validation to check the model. The predicting model was constructed by the
retrospective database that included in 153 patients with HAE (66 cases) or liver
cancer (87 cases), and all cases was confirmed by clinicopathology and collected
from November 2011 to December 2018. Lasso regression analysis model was used to
construct data dimensionality reduction, elements selection, and building prediction
model based on the 9 PLT-based scores. A multi-factor regression analysis was
performed to construct a simplified prediction model, and we added the selected
PLT-based scores and relevant clinicopathologic features into the nomogram.
Identification capability, calibration, and clinical serviceability of the
simplified model were evaluated by the Harrell’s concordance index (C-index),
calibration plot, receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and decision curve.
An internal validation was also evaluated by the bootstrap resampling. The
simplified model, including in 4 selected factors, was significantly associated with
differential diagnosis of HAE and liver cancer. Predictors of the simplified
diagnosis nomogram consisted of the API index, the FIB-4 index, fibro-quotent
(FibroQ), and fibrosis index constructed by King’s College Hospital (King’s score).
The model presented a perfect identification capability, with a high C-index of
0.929 (0.919 through internal validation), and good calibration. The area under the
curve (AUC) values of this simplified prediction nomogram was 0.929, and the result
of ROC indicated that this nomogram had a good predictive value. Decision curve
analysis showed that our differential diagnosis nomogram had clinically
identification capability. In conclusion, the differential diagnosis nomogram could
be feasibly performed to verify the preoperative individualized diagnosis of HAE and
liver cancer.
Collapse
|
8
|
Du QC, Hu CL, Wang YY, Zhou Y. Comparison of the prognostic value of platelet-based prognostic models in patients with malignant hepatic tumors after TACE therapy. Acta Cir Bras 2019; 34:e201900710. [PMID: 31531530 PMCID: PMC6756010 DOI: 10.1590/s0102-865020190070000010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2019] [Accepted: 06/08/2019] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
PURPOSE To investigate the prognostic value of 17 platelet-based prognostic scores in patients with malignant hepatic tumors after TACE therapy. METHODS In total, 92 patients were divided into death group and survival group according to long-term follow-up results. The AUC was calculated to determine the optimal cut-off values for predicting prognosis. To determine better prognostic models, platelet-based models were analyzed separately after being showed as binary according to cut-off values. Cumulative survival rates of malignant hepatic tumors were calculated using Kaplan-Meier curves and differences were analyzed by the log-rank test. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify platelet-based prognostic scores associated with overall survival. RESULTS Univariate analysis showed that APGA, APRI, FIB-4, FibroQ, GUCI, King's score, Lok index, PAPAS, cirrhosis, number of tumors, vascular cancer embolus, AFP, ALP and APTT were significantly related to prognosis. A multivariate analysis showed that the APGA, number of tumors, ALP and APTT were independently associated with overall survival. CONCLUSION This study showed that the APGA, a platelet-based prognostic score, was an independent marker of prognosis in patients with malignant hepatic tumors after TACE and was superior to the other platelet-based prognostic scores in terms of prognostic ability.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Qian Cheng Du
- Master, Department of General Surgery, Shanghai Fourth People's Hospital Affiliated to Tongji University School of Medicine, Shanghai, China. Intellectual, scientific, conception and design of the study; acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data; technical procedures; statistical analysis; manuscript preparation, final approval
| | - Chen Liang Hu
- Master, Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, the Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University, Xining, China. Intellectual, scientific, conception and design of the study; acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data; technical procedures; statistical analysis; manuscript preparation, final approval
| | - Yan Yan Wang
- Master, Department of Hematology, Affiliated Fuyang Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Fuyang, China. Intellectual, scientific, conception and design of the study; acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data; technical procedures; statistical analysis; manuscript preparation, final approval
| | - Ying Zhou
- Full Professor, Department of Hepatopancreatobiliary Surgery, the Affiliated Hospital of Qinghai University and Qinghai Province Key Laboratory of Hydatid Disease Research, Qinghai University, Xining, China. Acquisition, analysis and interpretation of data; technical procedures; critical revision; manuscript preparation, final approval
| |
Collapse
|
9
|
Lee IC, Hung YW, Liu CA, Lee RC, Su CW, Huo TI, Li CP, Chao Y, Lin HC, Hou MC, Huang YH. A new ALBI-based model to predict survival after transarterial chemoembolization for BCLC stage B hepatocellular carcinoma. Liver Int 2019; 39:1704-1712. [PMID: 31319016 DOI: 10.1111/liv.14194] [Citation(s) in RCA: 55] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/08/2019] [Revised: 06/29/2019] [Accepted: 07/07/2019] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a standard treatment for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage B hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but the outcome varied. This study aimed to develop a model to predict the outcome of TACE in HCC patients. METHODS Consecutive 570 treatment-naïve BCLC stage B HCC patients undergoing TACE as the initial treatment from 2007 to 2016 were retrospectively enrolled. Factors associated with survival were analysed. Patients undergoing TACE from 2007 to 2011 constituted the training cohort (n = 293), while patients undergoing TACE from 2012 to 2016 constituted the validation cohort (n = 277). Homogeneity and corrected Akaike information criterion (AICc) were compared between each prognostic model. RESULTS A total of 1796 TACE sessions were performed for the 570 patients during the median follow-up period of 18.3 months. By multivariate analysis, beyond up-to-11 criteria (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.694, P < .001), alpha-foetoprotein >200 ng/mL (HR = 1.771, P < .001) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade 2 or 3 (HR = 1.817, P < .001) were independent predictors of overall survival (OS) in the training cohort. An ALBI-TAE model based on the three independent predictors of OS from the training cohort was developed to classify HCC patients into four subgroups. The performance of the ALBI-TAE model was superior to other prognostic models with lowest AICc values and highest homogeneity in both the training and validation datasets as well as the overall cohort. CONCLUSIONS Albumin-bilirubin grade is an important factor associated with survival in BCLC stage B HCC patients undergoing TACE. ALBI-TAE model can be applied to select patients who can get most benefit from TACE.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- I-Cheng Lee
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Ya-Wen Hung
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Chien-An Liu
- Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Rheun-Chuan Lee
- Department of Radiology, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Chien-Wei Su
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Chung-Pin Li
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yee Chao
- Cancer Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Han-Chieh Lin
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Ming-Chih Hou
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Hsiang Huang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan.,Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan.,Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| |
Collapse
|
10
|
Current noninvasive liver reserve models do not predict histological fibrosis severity in hepatocellular carcinoma. Sci Rep 2018; 8:15074. [PMID: 30305679 PMCID: PMC6180073 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-33536-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/06/2018] [Accepted: 09/26/2018] [Indexed: 02/08/2023] Open
Abstract
The Ishak scoring system has been used to stage liver fibrosis. Ten noninvasive liver reserve models were proposed to assess the severity of liver fibrosis, but their performance in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is unknown. We aimed to evaluate the correlation between these models and severity of fibrosis in patients with HCC. A total 464 patients with HCC undergoing surgical resection were retrospectively analyzed. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to determine independent factors associated with advanced fibrosis (Ishak score 4 or higher). There were no significant correlations between all noninvasive models and severity of fibrosis in HCC (p for trend all >0.1). In subgroup analysis, cirrhosis discriminant index (CDS) and Lok’s index in hepatitis B-, and fibrosis index based on 4 factors (FIB-4), CDS and Lok’s index in hepatitis C-associated HCC, best correlated with the severity of liver fibrosis. Low platelet count, prolonged prothrombin time, hepatitis C and multiple tumors were independently associated with advanced fibrosis. Among the 10 models, CDS was the best model to predict cirrhosis. Currently used noninvasive liver reserve models do not well correlate with severity of histological fibrosis in HCC. New noninvasive models are required to improve the predictive accuracy of liver fibrosis in HCC.
Collapse
|
11
|
Fibrosis-4 Model Influences Results of Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Hepatectomy. BIOMED RESEARCH INTERNATIONAL 2018; 2018:4305408. [PMID: 30057907 PMCID: PMC6051273 DOI: 10.1155/2018/4305408] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/26/2018] [Revised: 05/24/2018] [Accepted: 06/07/2018] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
Background Several noninvasive models based on routine laboratory index have been developed to predict liver fibrosis. Our aim is to discuss whether these indexes could predict prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma undergoing hepatectomy. Methods This study retrospectively enrolled 788 consecutive hepatocellular carcinoma patients undergoing liver resection in the cohort. Univariate and multivariate analysis were used to identify the risk factors of complications, survival, and disease-free survival. Results Fibrosis-4 index had the best prediction ability for cirrhosis among other noninvasive models. Both the univariate and multivariate analyses showed that fibrosis-4 was independent risk factor for survival and disease-free survival. With the optimal cutoff value of 3.15, patients with fibrosis-4 ⩾3.15 had higher postoperative hepatic insufficiency (P=0.006) and worse survival than the fibrosis-4<3.15 group. The corresponding 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year overall survival were 80.9%, 56.3%, and 44.6% in the High fibrosis-4 group and were 86.5%, 69.9%, and 63.2% in the Low fibrosis-4 group, respectively (P<0.001). Worse disease-free survival was also observed in the fibrosis-4 ⩾3.15 group; the corresponding 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year disease-free survival were 74.9%, 45.3%, and 24.6% for the fibrosis-4 ⩾3.15 group and were 81.8%, 54.9%, and 34.4% for the fibrosis-4<3.15 group (P=0.009). Conclusions Fibrosis-4 is useful for assessing the short-term and long-term results for hepatocellular carcinoma patients with liver resection.
Collapse
|
12
|
Lee IC, Chau GY, Yeh YC, Chao Y, Huo TI, Su CW, Lin HC, Hou MC, Huang YH. Risk of recurrence in chronic hepatitis B patients developing hepatocellular carcinoma with antiviral secondary prevention failure. PLoS One 2017; 12:e0188552. [PMID: 29176777 PMCID: PMC5703552 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0188552] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2017] [Accepted: 11/06/2017] [Indexed: 12/26/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUCs) treatment can reduce the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development and recurrence in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. However, the risk of recurrence in CHB patients who develop HCC despite NUC treatment remains unclear. Methods 167 consecutive CHB patients receiving curative resection for HCC with NUC therapy after surgery were retrospectively enrolled. Thirty-eight patients who developed HCC despite NUC therapy for more than 1 year were defined as secondary prevention failure. The other 129 patients started NUC therapy after surgery. Factors associated with recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were evaluated. Results The 5-year RFS and OS rates were 44.7% and 77.3%, respectively. Sex, BMI, BCLC stage, AFP levels and cirrhosis status were the independent predictors of RFS, while microvascular invasion was the independent predictor of OS. The RFS was comparable between patients with and without NUC secondary prevention. In the subgroup analysis, the RFS was significantly worse in cirrhotic patients with secondary prevention failure (hazard ratio = 2.373, p = 0.009). Secondary prevention failure did not have adverse impact on OS. Among 84 patients with recurrence, 58.3% of the cases remained in BCLC stage A, and 53.6% received a second curative treatment. Long-term NUC therapy may lead to a decline of non-invasive indices of hepatic fibrosis in HCC patients. Conclusions In general, the risk of recurrence and survival are comparable between patients with and without secondary prevention failure. However, a higher risk of recurrence was observed in cirrhotic patients with secondary prevention failure.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- I-Cheng Lee
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Gar-Yang Chau
- Department of Surgery, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Chen Yeh
- Department of Pathology and Laboratory Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yee Chao
- Cancer Center, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Teh-Ia Huo
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Institute of Pharmacology, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Chien-Wei Su
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Han-Chieh Lin
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Ming-Chih Hou
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | - Yi-Hsiang Huang
- Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Taipei Veterans General Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
- Faculty of Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University, Taipei, Taiwan
- * E-mail:
| |
Collapse
|
13
|
Hu YC, Liu H, Liu XY, Ma LN, Guan YH, Luo X, Ding XC. Value of gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase-to-platelet ratio in diagnosis of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B. World J Gastroenterol 2017; 23:7425-7432. [PMID: 29151696 PMCID: PMC5685848 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v23.i41.7425] [Citation(s) in RCA: 28] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/07/2017] [Revised: 09/14/2017] [Accepted: 09/28/2017] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM To investigate the value of the gamma-glutamyltraspeptidase (GGT)-to-platelet (PLT) ratio (GPR) in the diagnosis of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).
METHODS We included 390 untreated CHB patients in this study. The GPR, aspartate aminotransferase (AST)-to-PLT ratio index (APRI), and fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) of all patients were analysed to determine if these parameter were correlated with age, gender, medical history, liver function [total bilirubin (TBil), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), and AST], GGT, PLT count, or hepatic fibrosis stage. The GPR, APRI, and FIB-4, as well as the combination of the GPR and APRI or the GPR and FIB-4 were assessed in different cirrhosis stages using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis to evaluate their value in diagnosing hepatic fibrosis in CHB patients.
RESULTS The GPR, APRI, and FIB-4 were not correlated with CHB patients’ age, gender, or disease duration (P > 0.05), but all of these parameters were positively correlated with serum ALT, AST, GGT, and PLT count (P < 0.01). Additionally, the GPR, APRI, and FIB-4 were positively correlated with hepatic fibrosis (P < 0.01); the areas under the ROC curve for the GPR in F1, F2, F3, and F4 stages were 0.723, 0.741, 0.826, and 0.833, respectively, which were significantly higher than the respective values for the FIB-4 and APRI (F1: 0.581, 0.612; F2: 0.706, 0.711; F3: 0.73, 0.751; and F4: 0.799, 0.778). The respective diagnostic cut-off points for each stage were 0.402, 0.448, 0.548, and 0.833, respectively. The diagnostic sensitivity and specificity were, respectively, 88.8% and 87.5% in F1, 72.7% and 89.7% in F2, 81.3% and 98.6% in F3, and 80% and 97.4% in F4 when the GPR and APRI were connected in parallel; 86.6% and 90.2%, 78.4% and 96%, 78.6% and 97.4%, and 73.2% and 97.9%, respectively, when the GPR and APRI were connected in series; 80.2% and 89%, 65% and 89%, 70.3% and 98.5%, and 78.8% and 96.8%, respectively, when the GPR and FIB-4 were connected in parallel; and 83.6% and 87.9%, 76.8% and 96.6%, 72.7% and 98%, and 74.4% and 97.7%, respectively, when the GPR and FIB-4 were connected in series.
CONCLUSION The GPR, as a serum diagnostic index of liver fibrosis, is more accurate, sensitive, and easy to use than the FIB-4 and APRI, and the GPR can significantly improve the sensitivity and specificity of hepatic fibrosis diagnosis in CHB when combined with the FIB-4 or APRI.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Yan-Chao Hu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan 750001, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China
| | - Hao Liu
- Department of Gastroenterology, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan 750001, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China
| | - Xiao-Yan Liu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan 750001, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China
| | - Li-Na Ma
- Department of Infectious Diseases, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan 750001, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China
| | - Yu-Hua Guan
- Department of Infectious Diseases, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan 750001, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China
| | - Xia Luo
- Department of Infectious Diseases, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan 750001, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China
| | - Xiang-Chun Ding
- Department of Infectious Diseases, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan 750001, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China
| |
Collapse
|
14
|
Korkmaz P, Demirturk N, Batırel A, Cem Yardimci A, Cagir U, Atakan Nemli S, Korkmaz F, Zeynep Akcam F, Sener Barut H, Bayrak B, Karakecili F, Tarakci H, Yulugkural Z, Yuksel E, Aktug Demir N, Ural O, Sumer S, Harman R, Kadanali A, Ozturk S, Cetin Akhan S, Eren Tulek N, Keten D, Sener A, Aygen B, Kocagul Celikbas A, Yilmaz Karadag F, Aydin G, Arslan E, Sacligil C, Akengin Ocal G, Tanoglu A, Ulcay A, Karagoz E, Saltoglu N, Sırmatel F, Akdeniz H, Aynıoglu A, Arslan Ozel S, Dirgen Caylak S, Celik I, Alpay Y, Bestepe Dursun Z, Bekcibasi M, Tuncer Ertem G, Tigli A, Sargin Altunok E, Avsar K, Suer K, Sayan M. Noninvasive Models to Predict Liver Fibrosis in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B: A Study from Turkey. HEPATITIS MONTHLY 2017; In Press. [DOI: 10.5812/hepatmon.60266] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 08/29/2023]
|
15
|
Zhu MY, Zou X, Li Q, Yu DM, Yang ZT, Huang D, Chen J, Gong QM, Zhang DH, Zhang Y, Chen L, Chen PZ, Zhang XX. A novel noninvasive algorithm for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection. J Viral Hepat 2017; 24:589-598. [PMID: 28130852 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.12682] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2016] [Accepted: 12/19/2016] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
Several noninvasive blood biomarkers have been established for the assessment of liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, but their clinical performance remains inconclusive. Here, we compared the diagnostic performance of these biomarkers and developed a novel algorithm for assessing liver fibrosis. Six hundred and sixteen chronically HBV-infected and treatment-naïve patients who underwent liver biopsy were enrolled and randomly divided into training (N=410) and internal validation cohorts (N=206). One hundred and fifty-nine patients from another centre were recruited as an external validation cohort. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyse the performance of the gamma-glutamyltransferase-to-platelet ratio (GPR), red cell volume distribution width-to-platelet ratio (RPR), FIB-4 index, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio index (APRI) and HBV DNA level against liver histology, and a novel algorithm was developed using the recursive partitioning and regression tree (RPART) method. In the training cohort, the area under the ROC curve of FIB-4 was significantly higher than that of APRI (P=.038) but was comparable to those of GPR, RPR and HBV DNA; however, the performance of the biomarkers was similar among the validation cohort. The established RPR-HBV DNA algorithm performed better in the training cohort than any individual blood biomarker, and the corresponding sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value were 63%, 90%, 72% and 80%, respectively. In the internal and external validation cohorts, the performance of the algorithm in assessing liver fibrosis was also superior to that of other biomarkers. These results suggest that the established RPR-HBV DNA algorithm might improve the diagnostic accuracy of liver fibrosis in treatment-naïve patients with chronic HBV infection, although additional studies are warranted to confirm these findings.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- M-Y Zhu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - X Zou
- Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Systems Biomedicine, Shanghai Center for Systems Biomedicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Q Li
- Department of Hepatitis, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - D-M Yu
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Z-T Yang
- Pôle Sino-Français de Recherches en Science du Vivant et Génomique, Ruijin Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - D Huang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - J Chen
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Q-M Gong
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - D-H Zhang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - Y Zhang
- Ministry of Education Key Laboratory of Systems Biomedicine, Shanghai Center for Systems Biomedicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.,Collaborative Innovation Center of Systems Biomedicine, Shanghai, China
| | - L Chen
- Department of Hepatitis, Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Fudan University, Shanghai, China
| | - P-Z Chen
- Translational Medicine Research Center, Ruijin Hospital North, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| | - X-X Zhang
- Department of Infectious Diseases, Ruijin Hospital, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China.,Translational Medicine Research Center, Ruijin Hospital North, School of Medicine, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
| |
Collapse
|
16
|
Parikh P, Ryan JD, Tsochatzis EA. Fibrosis assessment in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. ANNALS OF TRANSLATIONAL MEDICINE 2017; 5:40. [PMID: 28251119 DOI: 10.21037/atm.2017.01.28] [Citation(s) in RCA: 70] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/11/2022]
Abstract
Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a major cause of liver morbidity and mortality worldwide. While a proportion of the 250 million individuals chronically infected with HBV will not come to significant harm or require therapy, many others risk developing complications of the end-stage liver disease such as decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), without intervention. Due to the complex natural history of HBV infection, patients require an expert assessment to interpret biochemistry, viral serology and appropriately stage the disease, and to initiate monitoring and/or therapy where indicated. The detection and quantification of liver fibrosis is a key factor for disease management and prognostication for an individual with HBV. The reliance on invasive liver biopsy to stage disease is diminishing with the advent of robust non-invasive blood- and imaging-based algorithms which can reliably stage disease in many cases. These tests are now incorporated into International guidelines for HBV management and relied upon daily to inform clinical judgement. Both blood- and imaging-based approaches have advantages over liver biopsy, including minimal risks, lower cost, better patient acceptance and speed of results, while disadvantages include lower diagnostic accuracy in intermediate disease stages and variability with co-existing hepatic inflammation or steatosis. This review outlines the methods of fibrosis assessment in chronic HBV infection and focuses on the most commonly used blood- and imaging-based non-invasive tests, reviewing their diagnostic performance and applicability to patient care.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Pathik Parikh
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health and Sheila Sherlock Liver Unit, Royal Free Hospital and UCL, London, UK
| | - John D Ryan
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health and Sheila Sherlock Liver Unit, Royal Free Hospital and UCL, London, UK
| | - Emmanuel A Tsochatzis
- UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health and Sheila Sherlock Liver Unit, Royal Free Hospital and UCL, London, UK
| |
Collapse
|
17
|
Zeng X, Xu C, He D, Li M, Zhang H, Wu Q, Xiang D, Wang Y. Performance of several simple, noninvasive models for assessing significant liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B. Croat Med J 2016; 56:272-9. [PMID: 26088852 PMCID: PMC4500965 DOI: 10.3325/cmj.2015.56.272] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Aim To compare the performance of several simple, noninvasive models comprising various serum markers in diagnosing significant liver fibrosis in the same sample of patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) with the same judgment standard. Methods A total of 308 patients with CHB who had undergone liver biopsy, laboratory tests, and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) at the Southwest Hospital, Chongqing, China between March 2010 and April 2014 were retrospectively studied. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under ROC curves (AUROCs) were used to analyze the results of the models, which incorporated age-platelet (PLT) index (API model), aspartate transaminase (AST) to alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR model), AST to PLT ratio index (APRI model), γ-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) to PLT ratio index (GPRI model), GGT-PLT-albumin index (S index model), age-AST-PLT-ALT index (FIB-4 model), and age-AST-PLT-ALT-international normalized ratio index (Fibro-Q model). Results The AUROCs of the S index, GPRI, FIB-4, APRI, API, Fibro-Q, AAR, and LSM for predicting significant liver fibrosis were 0.726 (P < 0.001), 0.726 (P < 0.001), 0.621 (P = 0.001), 0.619 (P = 0.001), 0.580 (P = 0.033), 0.569 (P = 0.066), 0.495 (P = 0.886), and 0.757 (P < 0.001), respectively. The S index and GPRI had the highest correlation with histopathological scores (r = 0.373, P < 0.001; r = 0.372, P < 0.001, respectively) and LSM values (r = 0.516, P < 0.001; r = 0.513, P < 0.001, respectively). When LSM was combined with S index and GPRI, the AUROCs were 0.753 (P < 0.001) and 0.746 (P < 0.001), respectively. Conclusion S index and GPRI had the best diagnostic performance for significant liver fibrosis and were robust predictors of significant liver fibrosis in patients with CHB for whom transient elastography was unavailable.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | - Yuming Wang
- Yuming Wang, Department of Infectious Diseases, Southwest Hospital, Third Military Medical University, Chongqing 400038, China,
| |
Collapse
|
18
|
Crossan C, Tsochatzis EA, Longworth L, Gurusamy K, Davidson B, Rodríguez-Perálvarez M, Mantzoukis K, O'Brien J, Thalassinos E, Papastergiou V, Burroughs A. Cost-effectiveness of non-invasive methods for assessment and monitoring of liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with chronic liver disease: systematic review and economic evaluation. Health Technol Assess 2015; 19:1-409, v-vi. [PMID: 25633908 DOI: 10.3310/hta19090] [Citation(s) in RCA: 109] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Liver biopsy is the reference standard for diagnosing the extent of fibrosis in chronic liver disease; however, it is invasive, with the potential for serious complications. Alternatives to biopsy include non-invasive liver tests (NILTs); however, the cost-effectiveness of these needs to be established. OBJECTIVE To assess the diagnostic accuracy and cost-effectiveness of NILTs in patients with chronic liver disease. DATA SOURCES We searched various databases from 1998 to April 2012, recent conference proceedings and reference lists. METHODS We included studies that assessed the diagnostic accuracy of NILTs using liver biopsy as the reference standard. Diagnostic studies were assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Meta-analysis was conducted using the bivariate random-effects model with correlation between sensitivity and specificity (whenever possible). Decision models were used to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the NILTs. Expected costs were estimated using a NHS perspective and health outcomes were measured as quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Markov models were developed to estimate long-term costs and QALYs following testing, and antiviral treatment where indicated, for chronic hepatitis B (HBV) and chronic hepatitis C (HCV). NILTs were compared with each other, sequential testing strategies, biopsy and strategies including no testing. For alcoholic liver disease (ALD), we assessed the cost-effectiveness of NILTs in the context of potentially increasing abstinence from alcohol. Owing to a lack of data and treatments specifically for fibrosis in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), the analysis was limited to an incremental cost per correct diagnosis. An analysis of NILTs to identify patients with cirrhosis for increased monitoring was also conducted. RESULTS Given a cost-effectiveness threshold of £20,000 per QALY, treating everyone with HCV without prior testing was cost-effective with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of £9204. This was robust in most sensitivity analyses but sensitive to the extent of treatment benefit for patients with mild fibrosis. For HBV [hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative)] this strategy had an ICER of £28,137, which was cost-effective only if the upper bound of the standard UK cost-effectiveness threshold range (£30,000) is acceptable. For HBeAg-positive disease, two NILTs applied sequentially (hyaluronic acid and magnetic resonance elastography) were cost-effective at a £20,000 threshold (ICER: £19,612); however, the results were highly uncertain, with several test strategies having similar expected outcomes and costs. For patients with ALD, liver biopsy was the cost-effective strategy, with an ICER of £822. LIMITATIONS A substantial number of tests had only one study from which diagnostic accuracy was derived; therefore, there is a high risk of bias. Most NILTs did not have validated cut-offs for diagnosis of specific fibrosis stages. The findings of the ALD model were dependent on assuptions about abstinence rates assumptions and the modelling approach for NAFLD was hindered by the lack of evidence on clinically effective treatments. CONCLUSIONS Treating everyone without NILTs is cost-effective for patients with HCV, but only for HBeAg-negative if the higher cost-effectiveness threshold is appropriate. For HBeAg-positive, two NILTs applied sequentially were cost-effective but highly uncertain. Further evidence for treatment effectiveness is required for ALD and NAFLD. STUDY REGISTRATION This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42011001561. FUNDING The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Catriona Crossan
- Health Economics Research Group, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, UK
| | - Emmanuel A Tsochatzis
- Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
| | - Louise Longworth
- Health Economics Research Group, Brunel University London, Uxbridge, UK
| | | | | | - Manuel Rodríguez-Perálvarez
- Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
| | - Konstantinos Mantzoukis
- Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
| | - Julia O'Brien
- Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
| | - Evangelos Thalassinos
- Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
| | - Vassilios Papastergiou
- Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
| | - Andrew Burroughs
- Sheila Sherlock Liver Centre, Royal Free Hospital and UCL Institute for Liver and Digestive Health, Royal Free Hospital, London, UK
| |
Collapse
|
19
|
Pang Q, Zhang JY, Xu XS, Song SD, Qu K, Chen W, Zhou YY, Miao RC, Liu SS, Dong YF, Liu C. Significance of platelet count and platelet-based models for hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence. World J Gastroenterol 2015; 21:5607-5621. [PMID: 25987786 PMCID: PMC4427685 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v21.i18.5607] [Citation(s) in RCA: 29] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2014] [Revised: 09/02/2014] [Accepted: 10/15/2014] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM: To explore the effects of platelet count (PLT) and 11 platelet-based indices on postoperative recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).
METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 172 HCC patients who were treated by partial hepatectomy. Preoperative data, including laboratory biochemical results, were used to calculate the 11 indices included in the analysis. We performed receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to determine the optimal cut-off values for predicting recurrence. Cumulative rates of HCC recurrence were calculated using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and differences were analyzed by log-rank tests. Multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent predictors of recurrence, early recurrence (within one year after surgery), and late recurrence in HCC. To obtain better prognostic models, PLT-based indices were analyzed separately after being expressed as binary and continuous variables. Two platelet-unrelated, validated HCC prognostic models were included in the analyses as reference indices. Additional analyses were performed after patients were stratified based on hepatitis B virus infection status, cirrhosis, and tumor size to investigate the significance of platelets in different subgroups.
RESULTS: In the study cohort, 44.2% (76/172) of patients experienced HCC recurrence, and 50.6% (87/172) died during a median follow-up time of 46 mo. PLT and five of the 11 platelet-related models were significant predisposing factors for recurrence (P < 0.05). Multivariate analysis indicated that, among the clinical parameters, presence of ascites, PLT ≥ 148 × 109/L, alkaline phosphatase ≥ 116 U/L, and tumor size ≥ 5 cm were independently associated with a higher risk of HCC recurrence (P < 0.05). Independent and significant models included the aspartate aminotransferase/PLT index, fibrosis index based on the four factors, fibro-quotient, aspartate aminotransferase/PLT/γ-glutamyl transpeptidase/alpha-fetoprotein index, and the PLT/age/alkaline phosphatase/alpha-fetoprotein/aspartate aminotransferase index. There were different risk factors between early and late recurrences, and PLT and these indices were more inclined to influence late recurrence. PLT was only predictive of recurrence in non-cirrhotic HCC patients, and was not influenced by tumor size, which was a critical confounder in our study.
CONCLUSION: PLT and PLT-based noninvasive models are effective tools for predicting postoperative recurrence, especially late recurrence. Larger cohorts are needed to validate our findings.
Collapse
|
20
|
Zeng DW, Liu YR, Dong J, Zhu YY, Li YB, Chen J, Zheng Q, Jiang JJ. Serum HBsAg and HBeAg levels are associated with liver pathological stages in the immune clearance phase of hepatitis B virus chronic infection. Mol Med Rep 2015; 11:3465-72. [PMID: 25592612 DOI: 10.3892/mmr.2015.3207] [Citation(s) in RCA: 17] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/13/2013] [Accepted: 05/28/2014] [Indexed: 01/04/2023] Open
Abstract
The association between hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) and hepatitis B 'e' antigen (HBeAg) levels and liver inflammation and fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) in the immune clearance (IC) remains elusive. The aim of the present study was to investigate whether HBsAg and HBeAg levels were associated with liver inflammation and fibrosis in CHB patients during the IC phase. Kendall's rank correlation analysis and receiver operating characteristic curves were used to determine the correlation between HBsAg, HBeAg and liver pathological stages. Multivariate analysis by forward logistic regression was used to analyze significant predictors of cirrhosis. A liver pathology‑predicting model (IC model), which used routinely assessed markers in combination with HBsAg and HBeAg levels, was constructed. There were significantly positive correlations between the HBsAg and HBeAg levels (γ=0.317, P<0.001), and between the HBsAg and HBV‑DNA levels (γ=0.489, P<0.001). However, there was no correlation between the HBsAg and alanine aminotransferase levels. HBsAg and HBeAg levels differed significantly at various liver pathological stages and declined progressively in advanced liver pathological stages. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that age, HBsAg and HBeAg levels as well as the international normalized ratio (INR) were independent predictors of liver fibrosis during the IC phase. The IC model had a specificity and sensitivity of 88.64 and 78.24%, respectively, a positive predictive value of 48.15% and negative predictive value of 96.79%. In conclusion, HBsAg and HBeAg levels were negatively and indirectly correlated with liver inflammation and fibrosis in CHB patients in the IC phase. The IC model reliably predicted the probability of liver cirrhosis.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Da-Wu Zeng
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350005, P.R. China
| | - Yu-Rui Liu
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350005, P.R. China
| | - Jing Dong
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350005, P.R. China
| | - Yue-Yong Zhu
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350005, P.R. China
| | - You-Bing Li
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350005, P.R. China
| | - Jing Chen
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350005, P.R. China
| | - Qi Zheng
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350005, P.R. China
| | - Jia-Ji Jiang
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, Fujian 350005, P.R. China
| |
Collapse
|
21
|
Pang Q, Zhang JY, Xu XS, Song SD, Chen W, Zhou YY, Miao RC, Qu K, Liu SS, Dong YF, Liu C. The prognostic values of 12 cirrhosis-relative noninvasive models in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. Scandinavian Journal of Clinical and Laboratory Investigation 2014; 75:73-84. [PMID: 25465804 DOI: 10.3109/00365513.2014.981759] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hepatocellular carcinogenesis is associated with the progression of cirrhosis, and the latter further aggravates tumor development and prognosis. The aim of the study was to investigate the prognostic values of 12 cirrhosis-relative noninvasive models in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). METHODS We retrospectively analyzed 363 HCC patients who either underwent partial hepatectomy (PH) or received transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TCAE). Preoperative data were collected to calculate these indices using the original formulas. Diagnostic accuracy of these models in detection of cirrhosis was evaluated by area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analysis. Multivariate analyses were performed to assess the independent prognostic significance of the 12 indicators. RESULTS Aspartate aminotransferase-platelet ratio index (APRI) and Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index (GUCI) were found to be significant in discriminating cirrhotic patients from non-cirrhotic individuals. When the indices were expressed as continuous variables, multivariate analyses indicated that APRI and GUCI were independent indices to predict overall survival in patients underwent PH, with a hazard ratio (HR) value 1.04 (p = 0.005) and 1.07 (p = 0.001), respectively. In the cohort of TACE, APRI and GUCI were independently associated with survival as well. CONCLUSION Of the 12 indices, APRI and GUCI were relatively accurate predictors of cirrhosis status as well as outcome of HCC. As only a limited study population was enrolled in the current study, larger cohorts are needed to validate our results.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Qing Pang
- Department of Hepatobiliary Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Xi'an Jiaotong University College of Medicine , Xi'an, Shaanxi Province , China
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|
22
|
Zeng DW, Liu YR, Zhang JM, Zhu YY, Lin S, You J, Li YB, Chen J, Zheng Q, Jiang JJ, Dong J. Serum ceruloplasmin levels correlate negatively with liver fibrosis in males with chronic hepatitis B: a new noninvasive model for predicting liver fibrosis in HBV-related liver disease. PLoS One 2013; 8:e77942. [PMID: 24282481 PMCID: PMC3837017 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0077942] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2013] [Accepted: 09/06/2013] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
AIMS This study aimed to investigate associations between ceruloplasmin (CP) levels, inflammation grade and fibrosis stages in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) and to establish a noninvasive model to predict cirrhosis. METHODS Liver biopsy samples and sera were collected from 198 CHB patients randomized into a training group (n=109) and a validation group (n=89). CP levels were determined using nephelometric immunoassays. Relationships between CP and liver inflammation and fibrosis were analyzed by Spearman rank correlation. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the diagnostic value of CP for determining liver fibrosis in CHB. The liver pathology-predictive model was built using multivariate logistic regression analysis to identify relevant indicators. RESULTS CP levels were lower in males than in females, lower in patients with inflammation stage G4 compared to other stages and lower in cirrhotic compared to non-cirrhotic patients. Using area under the curve (AUC) values, CP levels distinguished different stages of inflammation and fibrosis. Multivariate analysis showed that CP levels were all significantly associated with cirrhosis in males. A model was developed combining routine laboratory markers APPCI (alpha-fetoprotein [AFP], prothrombin time, and platelets [PLT] with CP) to predict fibrosis in CHB patients. The APPCI had a significantly greater AUC than FIB-4 (aspartate aminotransferase [AST]/ alanine aminotransferase [ALT]/PLT/age), APRI (AST/PLT ratio index), GPI (globin/PLT), and APGA (AST/PLT/gammaglutamyl transpeptidase [GGT]) models (all P-values<0.001). CONCLUSIONS CP levels correlate negatively and indirectly with inflammation and fibrosis stages in male CHB patients. The APPCI model uses routine laboratory variables with CP to accurately predict liver fibrosis in CHB.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Da-Wu Zeng
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Yu-Rui Liu
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Jie-Min Zhang
- Department of Pharmacy, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Yue-Yong Zhu
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Su Lin
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Jia You
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - You-Bing Li
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Jing Chen
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Qi Zheng
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Jia-Ji Jiang
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| | - Jing Dong
- Liver Center, First Affiliated Hospital, Fujian Medical University, Taijiang District, Fuzhou, Fujian Province, China
| |
Collapse
|
23
|
Evaluation of seven noninvasive models in staging liver fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection. Eur J Gastroenterol Hepatol 2013; 25:428-34. [PMID: 23358121 DOI: 10.1097/meg.0b013e32835cb5dd] [Citation(s) in RCA: 42] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/26/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE Few studies have evaluated the validity of noninvasive models for the diagnosis of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, with controversial results. In this study, we evaluated the ability of seven noninvasive models in staging liver fibrosis in a large cohort of CHB. METHODS This is a retrospective study. A total of 1168 severe CHB patients with a clear diagnosis of liver fibrosis were included in this study. Data from routine laboratory tests were collected to establish noninvasive models. The stage of fibrosis was defined by the Metavir scoring system. Fibro-quotient, AST/ALT ratio, AST to PLT ratio index (APRI), cirrhosis discriminant score, age-PLT index (API), fibrosis index based on the four factors (FIB-4), and Lok's model were adapted as noninvasive models in this study. RESULTS FIB-4 (rs=0.542), API (rs=0.427), and Lok's model (rs=0.452) showed a higher positive correlation with liver fibrosis in CHB patients than the other models. APRI, FIB-4, and Lok's model were effective in distinguishing fibrotic stage. APRI, API, FIB-4, and Lok's model were the most effective models in distinguishing significant (S1, S2) and extensive (S3, S4) fibrosis, with area under receiver-operating characteristic values of 0.721, 0.727, 0.789, and 0.712, respectively. However, only FIB-4 and Lok's model showed higher sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value at the cutoff value of 1.433-1.858 and 0.415-0.511, respectively. CONCLUSION FIB-4 and Lok's model are the most effective models for distinguishing significant and extensive fibrosis, whereas APRI, FIB-4, and Lok's model are suitable for staging fibrosis in CHB patients.
Collapse
|
24
|
Erdogan S, Dogan HO, Sezer S, Uysal S, Ozhamam E, Kayacetin S, Koca Y. The diagnostic value of non-invasive tests for the evaluation of liver fibrosis in chronic hepatitis B patients. Scandinavian Journal of Clinical and Laboratory Investigation 2013; 73:300-8. [PMID: 23514016 DOI: 10.3109/00365513.2013.773592] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/17/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Liver biopsy, which is considered the gold standard for the evaluation of hepatic fibrosis in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), has certain limitations. The aim of this study was to investigate the diagnostic performance of non-invasive markers of hepatic fibrosis as potential alternatives to liver biopsy. METHODS The medical records of 221 patients with a diagnosis of CHB who underwent a liver biopsy were reviewed. Indirect indicators of fibrosis were calculated for each patient based on previously described formulas [Aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio (AAR), age-platelet index (API), cirrhosis discriminant score (CDS), AST-platelet ratio index (APRI), Forns index, FIB-4, Pohl score, AAR-platelet score (AARP), fibro-quotient (FibroQ), AST/platelet/Gammaglutamyl transpeptidase (GGT)/Alphafetoprotein (AFP) (APGA) index, Platelet/Age/Phosphatase (ALP)/AFP/AST (PAPAS) index, Lok's model, Goteborg University Cirrhosis Index (GUCI)]. Diagnostic adequacy of these indices was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. RESULTS Area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for the FIB-4, Forns, GUCI, APRI, PAPAS, APGA and FibroQ indices were 0.701, 0.680, 0.670, 0.670, 0.639, 0.638 and 0.588, respectively. The AAR, API, CDS and AARP indices, Pohl score and Lok's model were all deemed diagnostically inadequate. FIB-4 had the best diagnostic adequacy whereas AAR had the worst. CONCLUSIONS Our results suggest that out of the 13 indices evaluated, only FIB-4 index may be useful in estimating the extent of fibrosis in patients with CHB. There is a need for more comprehensive prospective studies to help determine the diagnostic value of non-invasive tests for liver fibrosis.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- Serpil Erdogan
- a Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital , Ankara, Turkey
| | - Halef Okan Dogan
- a Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital , Ankara, Turkey
| | - Sevilay Sezer
- a Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital , Ankara, Turkey
| | - Sema Uysal
- a Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital , Ankara, Turkey
| | - Esra Ozhamam
- b Department of Clinical Pathology, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital , Ankara, Turkey
| | - Serra Kayacetin
- b Department of Clinical Pathology, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital , Ankara, Turkey
| | - Yuksel Koca
- a Department of Clinical Biochemistry, Ankara Numune Training and Research Hospital , Ankara, Turkey
| |
Collapse
|
25
|
Prognostic significance of computed tomography scan-derived splenic volume in hepatocellular carcinoma treated with radiofrequency ablation. J Clin Gastroenterol 2012; 46:789-95. [PMID: 22941428 DOI: 10.1097/mcg.0b013e31825ceeb5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/15/2022]
Abstract
GOALS To evaluate the clinical implication of splenic volume measured by computed tomography (CT) scan in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients undergoing percutaneous radiofrequency ablation (RFA). BACKGROUND Splenomegaly is an important sign of portal hypertension and poor liver function in patients with advanced liver disease. But whether it could predict the prognosis of patients with HCC is still obscure. STUDY We enrolled 161 treatment-naive HCC patients. Splenomegaly was defined as splenic volume >300 mL by CT scan and its impact on prognosis was analyzed. Moreover, noninvasive serum markers were validated to predict splenomegaly. RESULTS A total of 78 patients were with splenomegaly, while the remaining 83 patients had normal splenic volume at the time of receiving RFA. After a median follow-up of 38.1±20.8 months, 41 patients died. The cumulative 5-year survival rates were 54.8% and 77.8% in patients with splenomegaly and in those with normal splenic volume, respectively (P=0.003). By multivariate analysis, age 65 years and older, serum albumin levels ≤3.5 g/dL, and splenic volume >300 mL were independent risk factors associated with poor overall survival after RFA. For predicting splenomegaly by noninvasive serum markers, platelet count yielded the highest area under the curve from corresponding receiver operating curves with a level of 0.868 at a cut-off value of 11,7000/mm(3). CONCLUSIONS HCC patients with splenomegaly measured by CT scan have relatively poorer liver functional reserve than those with normal splenic volume. Splenomegaly is an independent risk factor predicting overall survival for patients with small HCC undergoing RFA.
Collapse
|
26
|
Liu XD, Wu JL, Liang J, Zhang T, Sheng QS. Globulin-platelet model predicts minimal fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B virus infected patients. World J Gastroenterol 2012; 18:2784-92. [PMID: 22719186 PMCID: PMC3374981 DOI: 10.3748/wjg.v18.i22.2784] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/04/2012] [Revised: 03/20/2012] [Accepted: 04/09/2012] [Indexed: 02/06/2023] Open
Abstract
AIM: To establish a simple model consisting of the routine laboratory variables to predict both minimal fibrosis and cirrhosis in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected patients.
METHODS: We retrospectively investigated 114 chronic HBV-infected patients who underwent liver biopsy in two different hospitals. Thirteen parameters were analyzed by step-wise regression analysis and correlation analysis. A new fibrosis index [globulin/platelet (GP) model] was developed, including globulin (GLOB) and platelet count (PLT). GP model = GLOB (g/mL) × 100/PLT (× 109/L). We evaluated the receiver operating characteristics analysis used to predict minimal fibrosis and compared six other available models.
RESULTS: Thirteen clinical biochemical and hematological variables [sex, age, PLT, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), albumin, GLOB, total bilirubin (T.bil), direct bilirubin (D.bil), glutamyltransferase, alkaline phosphatase, HBV DNA and prothrombin time (PT)] were analyzed according to three stages of liver fibrosis (F0-F1, F2-F3 and F4). Bivariate Spearman’s rank correlation analysis showed that six variables, including age, PLT, T.bil, D.bil, GLOB and PT, were correlated with the three fibrosis stages (FS). Correlation coefficients were 0.23, -0.412, 0.208, 0.220, 0.314 and 0.212; and P value was 0.014, < 0.001, 0.026, 0.018, 0.001 and 0.024, respectively. Univariate analysis revealed that only PLT and GLOB were significantly different in the three FS (PLT: F = 11.772, P < 0.001; GLOB: F = 6.612, P = 0.002). Step-wise multiple regression analysis showed that PLT and GLOB were also independently correlated with FS (R2 = 0.237). By Spearman’s rank correlation analysis, GP model was significantly correlated with the three FS (r = 0.466, P < 0.001). The median values in F0-F1, F2-F3 and F4 were 1.461, 1.720 and 2.634. Compared with the six available models (fibrosis index, AST-platelet ratio, FIB-4, fibrosis-cirrhosis index and age-AST model and age-PLT ratio), GP model showed a highest correlation coefficient. The sensitivity and positive predictive value at a cutoff value < 1.68 for predicting minimal fibrosis F0-F1 were 72.4% and 71.2%, respectively. The specificity and negative predictive value at a cutoff value < 2.53 for the prediction of cirrhosis were 84.5% and 96.7%. The area under the curve (AUC) of GP model for predicting minimal fibrosis and cirrhosis was 0.762 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.676-0.848] and 0.781 (95% CI: 0.638-0.924). Although the differences were not statistically significant between GP model and the other models (P all > 0.05), the AUC of GP model was the largest among the seven models.
CONCLUSION: By establishing a simple model using available laboratory variables, chronic HBV-infected patients with minimal fibrosis and cirrhosis can be diagnosed accurately, and the clinical application of this model may reduce the need for liver biopsy in HBV-infected patients.
Collapse
|
27
|
Lee IC, Huang YH, Chan CC, Huo TI, Chu CJ, Lai CR, Lee PC, Su CW, Wu JC, Lin HC, Lee SD. Impact of body mass index and viral load on liver histology in hepatitis B e antigen-negative chronic hepatitis B. Clin Nutr 2011; 30:647-52. [PMID: 21612848 DOI: 10.1016/j.clnu.2011.05.001] [Citation(s) in RCA: 18] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/26/2010] [Revised: 04/20/2011] [Accepted: 05/02/2011] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND & AIMS The impact of overweight and obesity on chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is unclear. This study was to examine the relationship among body mass index, viral load and liver histology in HBeAg-negative CHB. METHODS The study retrospectively investigated 136 HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B patients who had undergone liver biopsies in Taiwan. Factors associated with significant liver histology were analyzed. Definitions of overweight and obesity for the Asian population were body mass index≥23 kg/m(2) and ≥25 kg/m(2), respectively. RESULTS The prevalence of overweight, obesity, and type 2 diabetes mellitus in the 136 patients were 22.8%, 52.2%, and 12.5%, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified obesity, AST>40 U/L, HBV DNA>20,000IU/mL and platelet count<150 × 10(9)/L as independent factors associated with significant liver fibrosis. Similarly, overweight/obesity, ALT>80 U/L, HBV DNA>1,000,000IU/mL, and platelet count<150 × 10(9)/L were independent predictors of significant hepatic necro-inflammation. By stratification, high BMI and high viral load patients had more advanced stage and grade of liver histology. CONCLUSIONS Body mass index and HBV viral loads may have synergistic effect on disease progression in HBeAg-negative CHB. Both controlling body weight and anti-viral therapy are important in the management of CHB.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- I-Cheng Lee
- Institute of Clinical Medicine, National Yang-Ming University School of Medicine, Taipei, Taiwan
| | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
Collapse
|