Revised: May 6, 2026
Accepted: May 26, 2026
Published online: September 25, 2026
Processing time: 155 Days and 15.7 Hours
Deceased donor kidney transplantation (DDKT) remains underutilized in India due to organ shortage. Understanding determinants of transplant outcomes such as delayed graft function (DGF), graft survival and patient survival is essential to optimize patients and wisely allocate organs to best deserving patients.
To identify donor, recipient and peri-transplant determinants of DGF, graft and patient survival in DDKT.
This is an ambispective cohort study for patients transplanted between January 2017 and September 2024. Primary outcome was incidence of DGF and predicting factors. Secondary outcomes were graft and patient survival. Logistic regression was used to analyse predicting factors for DGF and cox proportional hazards model was used to assess factors for graft and patient survival.
Among 62 DDKT, DGF occurred in 35.5% of DDKT recipients. While 6 factors affected DGF, only high recipient body mass index and high donor terminal serum creatinine were independent predictors of DGF. Over a median follow up of 32 months, 4 patients returned to maintenance haemodialysis and 11 patients died with functioning grafts with most events occurring within first year of transplant. Graft survival was 85.2% at 1 year and 68.2% at 4 years, while patient survival was 90.2% and 75.5%, respectively. Recipient age and kidney donor risk index (KDRI) were associated with graft loss. No factor affected mortality.
These findings highlight the importance of comprehensive donor and recipient assessment along with using KDRI or a new prediction tool for organ allocation in India. Larger multicentric studies from India are needed to further refine risk prediction models in DDKT.
Core Tip: In this ambispective study we evaluated predictors of delayed graft function (DGF), graft and patient survival in deceased donor kidney transplant programme over a period of eight years in a tertiary care centre in north India. Only high recipient body mass index and high donor terminal serum creatinine were independent predictors of DGF. High recipient and donor age, kidney donor risk index and DGF were associated with graft loss.
- Citation: Pahuja T, Sangha SS, Yadav S, Aggarwal A, Bansal VK, Vuthaluru S, Aggarwal S, Subbiah AK, Vij A, Agarwal SK, Bhowmik D, Yadav P, Yadav RK. Clinical outcomes of deceased donor kidney transplantation: Eight years of experience from a tertiary care center in India. World J Nephrol 2026; 15(3): 120809
- URL: https://www.wjgnet.com/2220-6124/full/v15/i3/120809.htm
- DOI: https://dx.doi.org/10.5527/wjn.120809
India accounts for nearly one-third of the world’s chronic kidney disease (CKD) population[1]. For patients progressing to maintenance haemodialysis, kidney transplantation offers a permanent cure improving quality of life. Yet, tran
Multiple studies have analysed recipient and donor factors influencing outcome after DDKT[2-4]. DGF represents an important short-term outcome which affects long term outcomes namely graft survival and patient survival. A study of 2637 recipients by Ahlmark et al[5] showed that donor and recipient’s increasing age, male sex and KDPI were associated with increased risk of DGF. USRDS registry of DDKT showed that female recipients of male donor kidneys had higher risk of graft failure[6]. A systematic review and meta-analysis by Hill et al[7] linked obesity with graft loss and mortality.
However, the applicability of these findings to the Indian context remains uncertain. Differences in donor characteristics, higher prevalence of marginal donors, variability in CIT, and unique healthcare and allocation dynamics may significantly influence transplant outcomes. Furthermore, the relative contribution and interaction of these factors in determining outcomes such as DGF, graft survival, and patient survival have not been well characterized in Indian cohorts. Addressing this gap is essential for improving risk stratification, guiding donor selection, and minimizing organ wastage in a resource-limited setting. Therefore, this study evaluates the factors influencing DGF and transplant out
This ambispective cohort study included adult (≥ 18 years of age) patients who underwent DDKT at All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India between January 2017 to September 2024. The inclusion of both retrospective and prospective data in this study is intended to enhance the overall robustness and feasibility of the research. Retrospective data allow for rapid accumulation of cases, providing preliminary insights, improving statistical power, and enabling hypothesis refinement based on real-world clinical patterns. The prospective component, in contrast, ensures standar
The primary outcome was the incidence of DGF after DDKT and the recipient and donor factors associated with DGF. DGF was defined as the need for dialysis within the first week post-transplant[9]. Secondary outcomes included graft and patient survival and factors associated with them. Graft loss was defined as return to permanent dialysis, re-trans
All transplants were ABO compatible and complement-dependent cytotoxicity crossmatch negative. Donors with elevated creatinine were accepted if their baseline creatinine was documented to be normal with few donors undergoing a pre implantation kidney biopsy to rule out chronicity or cortical necrosis. The kidneys were stored in a standard cold storage solution (Graftsol). Only brain-dead donors were considered for kidney donation in our institute. All recipients received induction with rabbit-anti-thymocyte globulin and methylprednisolone which were continued for 3 days postoperatively. Maintenance of immunosuppression consisted of prednisolone, mycophenolate mofetil, and tacrolimus. All patients received prophylaxis with trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole for 12 months, valganciclovir for 6 months and fluconazole for 1 month.
Variables were checked for normal distribution using the Shapiro-Wilk normality test. Normally distributed continuous variables were expressed as mean ± SD and skewed variables were expressed as median and interquartile range. Categorical data were reported as counts and percentages. Mann-Whitney U test was used for continuous non-normally distributed variables. χ2 or Fisher’s exact test for discrete variables. Logistic regression was done to calculate odds ratio (OR) for DGF and variables having P value ≤ 0.10 were included in multivariate model. Kaplan-Meier method was used for graft survival and patient survival analysis with hazard ratio calculated using cox proportional hazards model which was tested in multivariate model for factors having P value ≤ 0.10. Given the limited number of graft loss events in addition to the missing data for KDRI, multivariable Cox regression model was not applied for KDRI in graft loss analysis. Patients with missing values for a given variable were excluded from the corresponding analysis. All the analysis has been done using Stata/MP v17.0.
Out of 780 transplants performed in study period, 62 (7.9%) were DDKT. The baseline characteristics of recipient and donor are shown in Table 1. Recipients included 29 males (46.8%) and 33 females (53.2%), while donors included 50 males (80.6%) and 12 females (19.4%). Median age of recipients in DDKT was 42 (34-47) years. Four patients had diabetes mellitus in pre-transplant period. Underlying etiology for CKD was unknown in 45 patients with glomerulonephritis being the most common known cause in 8 patients. Other etiologies are detailed in Supplementary Table 1. Patients who could not be biopsied and imaging couldn’t confirm the diagnosis pre transplant were listed under unknown. The median donor age was 45 (26-58) years. All except one donor who died from spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage had traumatic brain death. The median terminal serum creatinine was 1.1 (0.8-1.7) and median CIT was 3.5 (2.7-4.9) hours. A total of 62 patients were included (45 retrospective, 17 prospective), with greater missing data in the retrospective cohort: HLA was missing in 7 patients (6 vs 1), PRA in 10 (10 vs 0), KDRI in 14 (13 vs 1), and CIT in 4 (3 vs 1). Patients with missing values for a given variable were excluded from the corresponding analysis. The retrospective cohort had a longer follow-up duration compared to the prospective cohort [median 37 (28-85) vs 15 (10-19) months].
| Variables | Total (n = 62) | No-DGF (n = 40) | DGF (n = 22) | P value |
| Recipient characteristics | ||||
| Age | 42 (34-47) | 41 (34-44) | 43 (35-49) | 0.286 |
| Male | 29 (46.8) | 15 (37.5) | 14 (63.6) | 0.048 |
| BMI | 21.8 (19.2-23.4) | 20.6 (18.7-22.7) | 22.8 (21.5-26.5) | 0.013 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 4 (6.5) | 2 (5.0) | 2 (9.1) | 0.610 |
| Dialysis vintage (months) | 81 (63-96) | 83 (71-102) | 76 (50-84) | 0.035 |
| Peritoneal dialysis | 7 (11.3) | 3 (7.5) | 4 (18.1) | 0.233 |
| PRA class I > 20 (n = 52) | 9/52 (17.3) | 6/34 (17.7) | 3/18 (16.7) | 1.000 |
| PRA class II > 20 (n = 52) | 14/52 (26.9) | 10/34 (29.4) | 4/18 (22.2) | 0.746 |
| Any sensitisation event ever | 54 (87.1) | 33/40 (82.5) | 21/22 (95.5) | 0.240 |
| Pregnancy (n = 33) | 23/33 (69.7) | 16/25 (64.0) | 7/8 (87.5) | 0.382 |
| Blood transfusion | 44 (71.0) | 26 (65.0) | 18 (81.8) | 0.243 |
| Second transplant | 8 (12.9) | 3 (7.5) | 5 (22.7) | 0.119 |
| Donor characteristics | ||||
| Age | 45 (26-58) | 45 (25-53) | 52 (32-64) | 0.077 |
| Male | 50 (80.6) | 35 (87.5) | 15 (68.2) | 0.065 |
| Terminal creatinine | 1.1 (0.8-1.7) | 1.0 (0.8-1.3) | 1.4 (0.8-2.2) | 0.014 |
| BMI | 24.5 (23.3-26.3) | 24.5 (23.0-26.4) | 24.8 (24.2-26.3) | 0.504 |
| Hypertension | 12 (19.4) | 7 (17.5) | 5 (22.7) | 0.618 |
| Diabetes mellitus | 11 (17.7) | 6 (15.0) | 5 (22.7) | 0.446 |
| Expanded criteria donor | 14 (22.6) | 7 (17.5) | 7 (31.8) | 0.197 |
| HLA mismatch (n = 55) | 0.137 | |||
| 0, 1, 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 3 | 3/55 (5.5) | 2 (5.4) | 1 (5.6) | |
| 4 | 9/55 (16.4) | 3 (8.1) | 6 (33.3) | |
| 5 | 21/55 (38.2) | 16 (43.2) | 5 (27.8) | |
| 6 | 22/55 (40.0) | 16 (43.2) | 6 (33.3) | |
| Donor KDRI Rao (n = 48) | 1.2 (1.0-1.6) | 1.1 (1.0-1.4) | 1.4 (1.1-1.7) | 0.098 |
| KDRI scaled (2024) (n = 48) | 0.8 (0.7-1.1) | 0.8 (0.7-1.0) | 1.0 (0.8-1.2) | 0.098 |
| KDPI 2025 (%) (n = 48) | 32 (15-61) | 24 (14-47) | 48 (23-67) | 0.145 |
| Cold ischemia time (hours) (n = 58) | 3.5 (2.7-4.9) | 3.4 (2.6-4.1) | 4.7 (3.0-6.0) | 0.054 |
| Donor-recipient sex combinations | 0.011 | |||
| Male to male | 24/62 (38.7) | 15/24 (62.5) | 9/24 (37.5) | |
| Male to female | 26/62 (41.9) | 20/26 (76.9) | 6/26 (23.1) | |
| Female to male | 5/62 (8.1) | 0 | 5/5 (100) | |
| Female to female | 7/62 (11.3) | 5/7 (71.4) | 2/7 (28.6) |
DGF was seen in 22 (35.5%) patients. There was significantly higher risk of DGF in male recipients compared to females (P = 0.048), patients with higher BMI (P = 0.013) and lower dialysis vintage (P = 0.035). Raised terminal donor creatinine also showed significantly higher risk of DGF (P = 0.014). No significant difference in occurrence of DGF was seen with recipient age, pretransplant diabetes, type of dialysis, pretransplant PRA, any sensitisation event, donor BMI, hy
We employed three different multivariate models adjusting for different variables (Table 2). Model 1 adjusted for core baseline clinical covariates (recipient BMI, recipient gender, dialysis vintage, donor age, donor sex, donor terminal creatinine). Model 2 incorporated KDRI instead of individual components. Model 3 adjusted for CIT separately as CIT represents perioperative management rather than donor/recipient core baseline biology. Overall, these findings suggest that increased BMI of recipients and kidneys from donors with higher terminal creatinine are at substantially increased risk of DGF independently, whereas other donor and recipient characteristics were not independently predictive after adjustment. Recipient male gender shows an increased odds of DGF in all three multivariate models, but the statistical significance varies across models.
| Variable | Model 1 | Model 2 | Model 3 | |||
| OR (95%CI) | P value | OR (95%CI) | P value | OR (95%CI) | P value | |
| Recipient BMI | 1.28 (1.07-1.53) | 0.007 | 1.16 (0.97-1.40) | 0.099 | 1.22 (1.01-1.46) | 0.036 |
| Male recipient | 4.31 (1.00-18.52) | 0.050 | 2.81 (0.63-12.50) | 0.174 | 2.85 (0.56-14.57) | 0.207 |
| Dialysis vintage (months) | 1.00 (1.00-1.00) | 0.833 | 1.00 (1.00-1.00) | 0.853 | 1.00 (1.00-1.00) | 0.826 |
| Male donor | 0.28 (0.04-1.99) | 0.205 | 0.24 (0.04-1.60) | 0.141 | 0.32 (0.05-2.32) | 0.264 |
| Donor age | 1.02 (0.98-1.06) | 0.326 | 1.04 (0.99-1.09) | 0.137 | ||
| Donor terminal creatinine | 2.66 (1.25-5.66) | 0.011 | 2.29 (1.09-4.82) | 0.029 | ||
| KDRI | 1.60 (0.31-8.25) | 0.574 | ||||
| CIT (hours) | 1.00 (1.00-1.01) | 0.133 | ||||
Over a median follow up of 32 months (17-71 months), 4 patients returned to maintenance haemodialysis and 11 patients died with functioning grafts. Most adverse events occurred in the first-year post-transplant, where 2/4 (50.0%) patients experienced graft loss and 6/11 (54.5%) patients died with functioning grafts. Graft survival was 85.2% (95%CI: 73.6-92.1) at 1 year, 81.3% (95%CI: 68.6-89.2) at 2 years, 68.2% (95%CI: 50.9-80.5) at 4 years. Patient survival was 90.2% (95%CI: 79.5-95.5) at 1 year, 86.2% (95%CI: 74.1-92.9) at 2 years, 75.5% (95%CI: 58.2-86.5) at 4 years.
DGF was associated with a substantially higher risk of graft failure, with patients experiencing DGF having a 3.07-fold greater risk compared with those without DGF (95%CI: 1.09-8.62; P = 0.034), as is shown in Figure 1A. DGF also showed a trend towards increasing mortality risk [hazard ratio (HR) 3.20, 95%CI: 0.94-10.95; P = 0.063] as is shown in Figure 1B. The trends were lost after adjusting for recipient and donor characteristics with a HR for graft loss (Table 3) being 2.50 (95%CI: 0.85-7.34; P = 0.095) and for mortality 2.40 (95%CI: 0.65-8.87; P = 0.191).
| Variable | Model 1 | Model 2 | ||
| HR (95%CI) | P value | HR (95%CI) | P value | |
| Recipient age | 1.06 (1.00-1.12) | 0.024 | 1.07 (1.00-1.13) | 0.022 |
| Donor age | 1.03 (1.00-1.07) | 0.051 | 1.02 (1.00-1.06) | 0.137 |
| DGF | 2.50 (0.85-7.34) | 0.095 | ||
On univariable analysis (Supplementary Table 2), higher donor risk indices were significantly associated with graft loss. KDRI demonstrated a strong association with both graft loss and mortality (Supplementary Tables 2 and 3). But this association did not persist for mortality (Supplementary Table 4, HR: 2.72, 95%CI: 0.71-10.46; P = 0.144). Recipient age was also significantly associated with increasing graft loss (Table 3, HR: 1.06, 95%CI: 1.00-1.12; P = 0.024) but not mor
In this ambispective cohort study of DDKT from a high-volume tertiary care centre in India, DGF occurred in more than one-third of recipients and was independently associated with BMI and donor terminal creatinine. In addition, higher donor risk indices (KDRI/KDPI) and increasing recipient age, donor age were associated with decreased graft survival. Importantly, DGF was associated with an increased risk of graft loss, although this association attenuated after adju
The incidence of DGF in our cohort (35.5%) is similar to that reported in many western registries despite the differences in donor characteristics, allocation practices, and recipient factors across transplant programme[5,11]. In India, deceased donor transplantation often occurs under significant logistical constraints, including limited donor availability and variable organ retrieval networks[12]. Consequently, transplant centres may accept organs from donors with less optimal characteristics, which may lead to DGF despite the relatively short CIT (as median 3.5 hours in our cohort). CIT has been shown to be associated with increased risk of DGF[5,13-15] but it did not influence DGF in our study. The absence of a statistically significant association between CIT and DGF in our cohort should be interpreted in the context of the remarkably short median CIT. Most of donor were from in house trauma centre which resulted in short and stable CIT.
Recipient BMI emerged as an independent predictor of DGF. Obesity has been consistently associated with inferior transplant outcomes, including DGF and graft loss[16]. Several mechanisms have been proposed to explain this association. Obesity is linked to wound infection, dehiscence, increased chances of hyperglycemia. Also, obesity is characterised by chronic systemic inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, and increased oxidative stress, all of which may exacerbate ischemia-reperfusion injury in the transplanted kidney[16], which predisposes the graft to early dysfunction. Previous studies have reported similar associations. A large cohort study by Molnar et al[17] demonstrated a significant relationship between higher BMI and DGF (adjusted HR: 1.34). A point to be noted is that the median BMI in that study was 26.8 kg/m2, however our median BMI was 21.8 kg/m2 indicating that association holds even within non-obese cohort. BMI may act as a continuous risk factor reflecting underlying metabolic and inflammatory susceptibility to ischemia-reperfusion injury. The attenuation of this effect after KDRI adjustment indicates interaction with donor quality. While obesity is linked to increased chances of DGF as shown in other studies, its effects on long term outcomes is controversial. When compared to non-obese recipients, some reports described an increased risk of graft failure and mortality for obese recipients whilst others have found no significant differences[7,18,19]. Contemporary cohorts from Korea similarly report an association between BMI and DGF without a corresponding effect on graft or patient survival[20].
Similarly, elevated donor creatinine likely reflects underlying donor kidney injury, increasing vulnerability to reperfusion stress[21]. We observed that terminal creatinine and donor acute kidney injury do increase the risk of DGF but doesn’t have impact on graft survival and mortality. Similar findings have been reported in other studies also[22-24].
Interestingly, male recipients showed a higher risk of DGF, although this association was not consistently statistically significant across multivariate models. Donor-recipient sex combinations also revealed that incidence of DGF was highest in female donor to male recipient transplants, whereas the lowest rate was observed in male donor to female recipient pairs. These findings suggest that sex mismatch, particularly the female-to-male combination, may predispose to early graft dysfunction. In female-donor-to-male-recipient transplants, reduced nephron mass from the donor kidney is coupled with a higher metabolic demand and a testosterone-driven pro-inflammatory milieu in the recipient. This convergence likely amplifies susceptibility to ischemic injury, thereby predisposing to DGF[25]. Experimental murine models demonstrating testosterone-mediated exacerbation of IRI provide mechanistic support for this observation, and our clinical data extend these findings by illustrating how such biological differences manifest as markedly increased DGF risk in human transplant settings[26]. Deceased donor renal transplants (n = 128493) from UNOS data (1997-2011) and by Budhiraja et al[27] showed that male recipient gender was highly associated with DGF [OR: 1.39 (1.33-1.46)] independent of donor gender. However, the above donor-recipient sex combination data must be interpreted cautiously given the extremely small sample size especially female to male donation (only 5 such instances were there).
According to large population databases from Finland and United States[5], DGF, KDPI, diabetes, recipient age and sex, peak PRA affected graft loss. Consistent with existing literature, DGF was associated with an increased risk of graft loss in our study also. DGF reflects early ischemia-reperfusion injury, which can trigger inflammatory cascades, endothelial dysfunction, and activation of innate immunity, ultimately predisposing to acute rejection and chronic al
Recipient age was also independently associated with graft loss. Older recipients may have higher comorbidity burden, reduced physiological reserve, and greater susceptibility to complications such as infections or cardiovascular events, which may adversely influence long-term outcomes after transplantation. This observation underscores the importance of careful recipient selection and individualized risk assessment in deceased donor transplantation. Indian study by Go
Our study provides important insights into DDKT outcomes in India complementing existing reports from other Indian centres. But unlike prior Indian studies that described only outcomes post DDKT, our study specifically examined impact of donor and recipient clinical characteristics along with peri-transplant factors (CIT, DGF) on graft and patient survival. Application of multivariable analysis provides more robust results compared to earlier descriptive studies which used only univariate analysis. The study also reflects real-world clinical practice, with all eligible patients included and minimal selection bias. The study reflects outcomes in current era of immunosuppression and donor management making these findings more relevant to present-day clinical practice. Lastly, the ambispective design allowed capture of both historical and prospective data, enabling a comprehensive evaluation of transplant outcomes over time.
KDRI and KDPI demonstrated an association with graft survival in our cohort, suggesting that donor quality indices developed in Western populations may retain some prognostic relevance in the Indian deceased donor setting. However, these findings should be interpreted cautiously. The KDRI was originally derived and validated using large United States transplant registry data and incorporates donor characteristics, demographic variables, and weighting systems specific to that population. Certain components of the original model, including body metrics, and causes of donor death, may not fully reflect the demographic and clinical characteristics of Indian deceased donors.
In the Indian context, deceased donors are generally younger, predominantly trauma-related, and differ substantially from Western donor populations in terms of comorbidity burden, anthropometric characteristics, and healthcare infra
Larger multicentric Indian studies are required to evaluate the external validity of KDRI and potentially develop a region-specific donor risk prediction model better suited to the Indian transplant population.
Missing KDRI and CIT data were mainly confined to the retrospective cohort and were attributable to incomplete archival donor and perioperative records, particularly during the earlier transplant period before standardized data collection practices were established.
A major limitation of the present study is the relatively small sample size and limited number of graft loss events, which restrict the statistical power of multivariable Cox regression analyses. Although clinically relevant covariates were selected carefully and collinearity was assessed prior to model construction, the possibility of model overfitting cannot be excluded. Therefore, the identified associations should be interpreted cautiously and considered exploratory rather than definitive independent predictors. Larger multicentric studies with higher event rates are needed to validate these findings and better define the determinants of graft outcomes following deceased donor kidney transplantation.
While this study represents one of the larger DDKT series from India, single centre study limits generalizability and several associations might not have reached statistical significance despite showing clinical trends due to small sample size. Retrospective data are subject to selection bias, incomplete or inconsistent documentation, and potential misclassification of variables. Additionally, differences in data collection methods between retrospective and prospective phases may introduce heterogeneity. There is also a risk of information bias and confounding, particularly if key variables were not uniformly recorded in the retrospective cohort. As most patients were studied retrospectively, certain donor variables such as haemodynamic parameters, vasopressor requirements, biopsy findings, vascular anatomy, warm ischemia times were not consistently available for analysis. Prior studies suggest that dopamine infusion in donor before organ retrieval may reduce the risk for DGF but such data is unavailable for our cohort. These factors are known to significantly in
In conclusion, DGF remains common following DDKT in our setting and is influenced by both donor and recipient characteristics. Higher recipient BMI, male sex and elevated donor terminal creatinine increase the risk of DGF, while higher donor risk indices and increasing recipient age are associated with poorer graft survival. The observed association between KDRI and graft loss in our cohort suggests its potential applicability in risk stratification within the Indian transplant setting. However, given differences in donor demographics and clinical profiles compared to western po
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