Retrospective Cohort Study
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©The Author(s) 2018. Published by Baishideng Publishing Group Inc. All rights reserved.
World J Transplantation. Sep 10, 2018; 8(5): 167-177
Published online Sep 10, 2018. doi: 10.5500/wjt.v8.i5.167
Table 1 Donor characteristics n (%)
Donor characteristics Total 5 yr periods P -value1 Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 Age, mean (SD) 39.1 (17.4) 32.3 (15.2) 37.0 (17.4) 40.6 (17.6) 42.4 (17.2) < 0.001 Gender < 0.001 Female 27884 (39.6) 3831 (35.4) 6397 (40.1) 8077 (41.0) 9579 (40.1) Male 42492 (60.4) 6998 (64.6) 9573 (59.9) 11625 (59.0) 14296 (59.9) BMI, mean (SD) 25.9 (5.7) 23.8 (4.6) 24.8 (5.2) 26.0 (5.6) 27.0 (6.0) < 0.001 BMI < 0.001 Underweight 3310 (4.7) 502 (4.6) 1077 (6.7) 910 (4.6) 821 (3.4) Normal 29093 (41.3) 3655 (33.8) 7698 (48.2) 8730 (44.3) 9010 (37.7) Overweight 20441 (29.1) 1582 (14.6) 4461 (27.9) 6345 (32.2) 8053 (33.7) Obese - Class I 7921 (11.3) 384 (3.6) 1369 (8.6) 2459 (12.5) 3709 (15.5) Obese - Class II 2722 (3.9) 84 (0.8) 367 (2.3) 801 (4.1) 1470 (6.2) Obese - Class III 1496 (2.1) 47 (0.4) 196 (1.2) 446 (2.3) 807 (3.4) Unknown 5394 (7.7) 4575 (42.3) 802 (5.0) 12 (0.1) 5 (0.0) Ethnicity < 0.001 White 51594 (73.3) 8747 (80.8) 12334 (77.2) 14444 (73.3) 16069 (67.3) Black 9195 (13.1) 1044 (9.6) 1741 (10.9) 2481 (12.6) 3929 (16.5) Hispanic 7460 (10.6) 812 (7.5) 1396 (8.7) 2144 (10.9) 3108 (13.0) Asian 1327 (1.9) 135 (1.3) 255 (1.6) 395 (2.0) 542 (2.3) Other 662 (0.9) 47 (0.4) 164 (1.0) 224 (1.1) 227 (1.0) Unknown 139 (0.2) 44 (0.4) 80 (0.5) 15 (0.1) Causes of death < 0.001 Anoxia 7848 (11.2) 483 (4.5) 1256 (7.9) 2028 (10.3) 4081 (17.1) Cerebrovascular/stroke 29788 (42.3) 3778 (34.9) 6645 (41.6) 8929 (45.3) 10436 (43.7) Head trauma 28087 (39.9) 3576 (33.0) 7592 (47.5) 8171 (41.5) 8748 (36.6)
Table 2 Recipient characteristics n (%)
Recipient characteristics Total 5 yr periods P -value1 Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 Age, mean (SD) 51.3 (10.5) 48.2 (11.4) 49.8 (10.5) 51.5 (9.7) 53.5 (9.9) < 0.001 Gender < 0.001 Female 25073 (35.6) 4724 (43.6) 6272 (39.3) 6544 (33.2) 7533 (31.6) Male 45304 (64.4) 6105 (56.4) 9698 (60.7) 13159 (66.8) 16342 (68.5) BMI, mean (SD) 27.75 (5.6) 26.26 (5.3) 27.47 (5.6) 28.03 (5.6) 28.35 (5.6) < 0.001 BMI < 0.001 Underweight 1458 (2.1) 371 (3.4) 319 (2.0) 364 (1.9) 404 (1.7) Normal 22533 (32.0) 4580 (42.3) 5395 (33.8) 5868 (29.8) 6690 (28.0) Overweight 24550 (34.9) 3436 (31.7) 5494 (34.4) 7077 (35.9) 8543 (35.8) Obese - Class I 13417 (19.1) 1488 (13.7) 2771 (17.4) 3991 (20.3) 5167 (21.6) Obese - Class II 5583 (7.9) 527 (4.9) 1166 (7.3) 1623 (8.2) 2267 (9.5) Obese - Class III 2084 (3.0) 203 (1.9) 452 (2.8) 629 (3.2) 800 (3.4) Unknown 752 (1.1) 224 (2.1) 373 (2.3) 151 (0.8) 4 (0.0) Ethnicity < 0.001 White 53474 (76.0) 8839 (81.6) 12501 (78.3) 14844 (75.3) 17290 (72.4) Black 5448 (7.7) 631 (5.8) 1097 (6.9) 1565 (7.9) 2155 (9.0) Hispanic 7907 (11.2) 901 (8.3) 1655 (10.4) 2294 (11.6) 3057 (12.8) Asian 2785 (4.0) 317 (2.9) 555 (3.5) 785 (4.0) 1128 (4.7) Other 719 (1.0) 99 (0.9) 160 (1.0) 215 (1.1) 245 (1.0) Unknown 44 (0.1) 42 (0.4) 2 (0.0) Highest education level 0.2 Unknown 26282 (37.3) 9872 (91.2) 5735 (35.9) 5897 (29.9) 4778 (20.0) Less than high school 2335 (3.3) 55 (0.5) 513 (3.2) 704 (3.6) 1063 (4.5) High school (9-12) or GED 21249 (30.2) 438 (4.0) 4846 (30.3) 6835 (34.7) 9130 (38.2) College less than graduate 17559 (25.0) 384 (3.6) 4183 (26.2) 5359 (27.2) 7633 (32.0) Graduate 2952 (4.2) 80 (0.7) 693 (4.3) 908 (4.6) 1271 (5.3) Causes of liver failure < 0.001 Alcoholic cirrhosis 9857 (14.0) 2165 (20.0) 2366 (14.8) 2497 (12.7) 2829 (11.9) Alcoholic cirrhosis with hepatitis C 4467 (6.4) 302 (2.8) 1373 (8.6) 1244 (6.3) 1548 (6.5) Cirrhosis: Autoimmune 2486 (3.5) 568 (5.3) 696 (4.4) 629 (3.2) 593 (2.5) Cirrhosis: Cryptogenic (Idiopathic) 5918 (8.4) 1397 (12.9) 1565 (9.8) 1515 (7.7) 1441 (6.0) Cirrhosis: Fatty liver (NASH) 1442 (2.1) 9 (0.1) 173 (0.9) 1260 (5.3) Cirrhosis: Hepatitis type B (HBSAG+) 2367 (3.4) 509 (4.7) 675 (4.2) 694 (3.5) 489 (2.1) Cirrhosis: Hepatitis type C 17611 (25.0) 1849 (17.1) 4024 (25.2) 6058 (30.8) 5680 (23.8) Other 13851 (19.7) 2344 (21.7) 3195 (20.0) 4196 (21.3) 4116 (17.2) PLM: Hepatoma (HCC) and cirrhosis 4960 (7.1) 143 (1.3) 272 (1.7) 984 (5.0) 3561 (14.9) PLM: Hepatoma - HCC 1954 (2.8) 173 (1.6) 141 (0.9) 423 (2.2) 1217 (5.1) Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) 3762 (5.4) 1122 (10.4) 1105 (6.9) 814 (4.1) 721 (3.0) PSC: Ulcerative colitis 1702 (2.4) 257 (2.4) 549 (3.4) 476 (2.4) 420 (1.8)
Table 3 Recipient perioperative data n (%)
Recipient characteristics Total 5 yr periods P -value1 Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 MELD (median) (Q1-Q3) Listing 16 (12-23) NA NA 16 (12-23) 16 (12-23) Transplant 18 (13-26) NA NA 18 (13-25) 19 (14-27) CIT (median hours) (Q1-Q3) 8 (6.0-10.0) 10.3 (8.0-13.2) 8.5 (6.5-10.9) 7.3 (5.7-9.5) 7 (5.1-8.7) < 0.001 WIT(median Minutes) (Q1-Q3) 45 (35.0-59.0) 58 (45.0-75.0) 48 (38.0-60.0) 40 (31.0-50.0) 40 (31.0-49.0) < 0.001 Waiting list/inactive (median days) (Q1-Q3) 93 (21-278) 53 (14-31) 151 (45-332) 124 (27-386) 68 (15-235) < 0.001 Hospital stay (median days) (Q1-Q3) 12 (08-20) 20 (14-31) 13 (09-21) 10 (07-17) 10 (07-16) < 0.001
Table 4 Functional status and medical condition n (%)
Recipient characteristics Total 5 yr periods P -value1 Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 Functional status - listing < 0.001 Unknown 16999 (24.2) 7131 (65.9) 3916 (24.5) 4279 (21.7) 1673 (7.0) ADL with no assistance 30882 (43.9) 1527 (14.1) 8019 (50.2) 11006 (55.9) 10330 (43.3) ADL with some assistance 16803 (23.9) 2096 (19.4) 3772 (23.6) 4101 (20.8) 6834 (28.6) ADL with total assistance 5693 (8.1) 75 (0.7) 263 (1.7) 317 (1.6) 5038 (21.1) Functional status - transplant < 0.001 Unknown 22251 (31.6) 7686 (71) 6695 (41.9) 6722 (34.1) 1148 (4.8) ADL with no assistance 23277 (33.1) 1338 (12.4) 5959 (37.3) 8363 (42.5) 7617 (31.9) ADL with some assistance 15434 (21.9) 1686 (15.6) 2876 (18.0) 3986 (20.2) 6886 (28.8) ADL with total assistance 9415 (13.4) 119 (1.1) 440 (2.8) 632 (3.2) 8224 (34.5) Medical condition - listing < 0.001 Unknown 14394 (20.5) 83 (0.8) 76 (0.5) 5 (0.0) 14230 (59.6) ICU 4549 (6.5) 1354 (12.5) 1208 (7.6) 1339 (6.8) 648 (2.7) Hospitalized not in ICU 5949 (8.5) 1447 (13.4) 1615 (10.1) 1819 (9.2) 1068 (4.5) Not Hospitalized 45485 (64.6) 7945 (73.4) 13071 (81.9) 16540 (84.0) 7929 (33.2) Medical condition - transplant < 0.001 Unknown 28 (0.0) 2 (0.0) 26 (0.2) ICU 10220 (14.5) 1883 (17.4) 2824 (17.7) 2946 (15.0) 2567 (10.8) Hospitalized not in ICU 12076 (17.2) 2219 (20.5) 3467 (21.7) 2613 (13.3) 3777 (15.8) Not Hospitalized 48053 (68.3) 6725 (62.1) 9653 (60.4) 14144 (71.8) 17531 (73.4)
Table 5 Medical comorbidities n (%)
Recipient characteristics Total 5 yr periods P -value1 Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 Diabetes < 0.001 Unknown 11392 (16.2) 9331 (86.2) 848 (5.3) 714 (3.6) 499 (2.1) No DM 47401 (67.4) 1310 (12.1) 12792 (80.1) 15326 (77.8) 17973 (75.3) Type 1 DM 702 (1.0) 63 (0.3) 639 (2.7) Type 2 DM 10882 (15.5) 188 (1.7) 2330 (14.6) 3600 (18.3) 4764 (20.0) COPD 0.4 Unknown 26589 (37.8) 9359 (86.4) 1387 (8.7) 1159 (5.9) 14684 (61.5) No 43172 (61.3) 1449 (13.4) 14412 (90.2) 18280 (92.8) 9031 (37.8) Yes 616 (0.9) 21 (0.2) 171 (1.1) 264 (1.3) 160 (0.7) Hypertension < 0.001 Unknown 26387 (37.5) 9412 (86.9) 1115 (7.0) 1159 (5.9) 14701 (61.6) No 37629 (53.5) 1288 (11.9) 13356 (83.6) 15664 (79.5) 7321 (30.7) Yes 6361 (9.0) 129 (1.2) 1499 (9.4) 2880 (14.6) 1853 (7.8) Angina 0.5 Unknown 28259 (40.2) 9365 (86.5) 1019 (6.4) 2103 (10.7) 15772 (66.1) No angina 40926 (58.2) 1416 (13.1) 14567 (91.2) 17081 (86.7) 7862 (32.9) Angina 1192 (1.7) 48 (0.4) 384 (2.4) 519 (2.6) 241 (1.0) Dialysis < 0.001 Unknown 9682 (13.8) 8532 (78.8) 629 (3.9) 471 (2.4) 50 (0.2) No 57690 (82.0) 2234 (20.6) 14789 (92.6) 18282 (92.8) 22385 (93.8) Yes 3005 (4.3) 63 (0.6) 552 (3.5) 950 (4.8) 1440 (6.0)
Table 6 Graft status n (%)
Recipient characteristics Total 5 yr periods P -value1 Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 Graft status < 0.0001 Not Failed 35460 (50.4) 2879 (26.6) 6221 (39) 10361 (52.6) 15999 (67) Failed 34917 (49.6) 7950 (73.4) 9749 (61.1) 9342 (47.4) 7876 (33) Treated for rejection ≤ 12 mo < 0.0001 Unknown 37869 (53.8) 10081 (93.1) 12610 (79) 8066 (40.9) 7112 (29.8) No 25835 (36.7) 145 (1.3) 2000 (12.5) 9392 (47.7) 14298 (59.9) Yes 6673 (9.5) 603 (5.6) 1360 (8.5) 2245 (11.4) 2465 (10.3) Causes of graft failure Biliary < 0.001 Unknown 23875 (68.4) 6299 (79.2) 6558 (62.3) 5989 (64.1) 5029 (63.9) No 10098 (28.9) 1514 (19) 2981 (30.6) 3112 (33.3) 2491 (31.6) Yes 944 (2.7) 137 (1.7) 210 (2.1) 241 (2.6) 356 (4.5) Hep de novo 0.0006 Unknown 23854 (68.32) 6329 (79.61) 6551 (67.2) 5971 (63.92) 5003 (63.52) No 10968 (31.41) 1591 (20.01) 3168 (32.5) 3356 (35.92) 2853 (36.22) Yes 95 (0.27) 30 (0.38) 30 (0.31) 15 (0.16) 20 (0.25) Hep recurrence 0.9 Unknown 23670 (67.79) 6230 (78.36) 6523 (66.91) 5929 (63.47) 4988 (63.33) No 8086 (23.16) 1232 (15.5) 2387 (24.48) 2403 (25.72) 2064 (26.21) Yes 3161 (9.05) 488 (6.14) 839 (8.61) 1010 (10.81) 824 (10.46) Infection <0.001 Unknown 23794 (68.14) 6213 (78.15) 6564 (67.33) 5986 (64.08) 5031 (63.88) No 9429 (27) 1333 (16.77) 2690 (27.59) 2897 (31.01) 2509 (31.86) Yes 1694 (4.85) 404 (5.08) 495 (5.08) 459 (4.91) 336 (4.27) Primary graft failure 0.0013 Unknown 23289 (66.7) 5921 (74.48) 6475 (66.42) 5901 (63.17) 4992 (63.38) No 8392 (24.03) 1369 (17.22) 2432 (24.95) 2521 (26.99) 2070 (26.28) Yes 3236 (9.27) 660 (8.3) 842 (8.64) 920 (9.85) 814 (10.34) Recurrent disease 0.3 Unknown 23686 (67.84) 6177 (77.7) 6536 (67.04) 5965 (63.85) 5008 (63.59) No 9548 (27.34) 1464 (18.42) 2862 (29.36) 2890 (30.94) 2332 (29.61) Yes 1683 (4.82) 309 (3.89) 351 (3.6) 487 (5.21) 536 (6.81) Acute rejection 0.6 Unknown 23854 (68.32) 6318 (79.47) 6546 (67.15) 5969 (63.89) 5021 (63.75) No 10374 (29.71) 1530 (19.25) 2999 (30.76) 3180 (34.04) 2665 (33.84) Yes 689 (1.97) 102 (1.28) 204 (2.09) 193 (2.07) 190 (2.41) Chronic rejection <0.001 Unknown 26635 (76.28) 6507 (81.85) 7441 (76.33) 6927 (74.15) 5760 (73.13) No 7018 (20.1) 1124 (14.14) 1949 (19.99) 2128 (22.78) 1817 (23.07) Yes 1264 (3.62) 319 (4.01) 359 (3.68) 287 (3.07) 299 (3.8) Vascular thrombosis 0.3 Unknown 23750 (68.02) 6231 (78.38) 6535 (67.03) 5970 (63.9) 5014 (63.66) No 9635 (27.59) 1473 (18.53) 2780 (28.52) 2964 (31.73) 2418 (30.7) Yes 1532 (4.39) 246 (3.09) 434 (4.45) 408 (4.37) 444 (5.64)
Table 7 Recipient status n (%)
Recipient characteristics Total 5 yr periods P -value1 Period 1 Period 2 Period 3 Period 4 1990-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004 2005-2009 Re-transplantation < 0.001 No 64588 (91.8) 9586 (88.5) 14350 (89.9) 18180 (92.3) 22472 (94.1) Yes 5789 (8.2) 1243 (11.5) 1620 (10.1) 1523 (7.7) 1403 (5.9) Causes of death < 0.001 Cardiovascular/cardio 2893 (9.9) 718 (10.7) 783 (9.6) 735 (9.4) 657 (10.2) Cerebrovascular 647 (2.2) 177 (2.6) 191 (2.4) 146 (1.9) 133 (2.1) Graft Failure 3363 (11.6) 677 (10.1) 895 (11) 948 (12.1) 843 (13) Hemorrhage 825 (2.8) 237 (3.5) 213 (2.6) 222 (2.8) 153 (2.4) Infection 3794 (13) 1032 (15.4) 1011 (12.4) 893 (11.4) 858 (13.3) Malignancy 3477 (12) 704 (10.5) 847 (10.4) 931 (11.9) 995 (15.4) Multiorgan failure 2192 (7.5) 349 (5.2) 536 (6.6) 669 (8.6) 638 (9.9) Other 3378 (11.6) 629 (9.4) 919 (11.3) 1004 (12.9) 826 (12.8) Pulmonary 965 (3.3) 187 (2.8) 260 (3.2) 269 (3.4) 249 (3.9) Renal failure 708 (2.4) 208 (3.1) 237 (2.9) 167 (2.1) 96 (1.5) Unknown 6861 (23.6) 1788 (26.7) 2232 (27.5) 1825 (23.4) 1016 (15.7)
Table 8 Cox proportional hazards regression of survival after liver transplantation
Unadjusted HR (95%CI) Adjusted HR (95%CI)1 Over all patient survival Period 2 (1995-1999 vs 1990-1994) 0.90 (0.87-0.93) 0.90 (0.84-0.94) Period 3 (2000-2004 vs 1990-1994) 0.87 (0.84-0.90) 0.76 (0.72-0.81) Period 4 (2005-2009 vs 1990-1994) 0.83 (0.80-0.86) 0.67 (0.62-0.72) 5 yr patient survival Period 2 (1995-1999 vs 1990-1994) 0.90 (0.86-0.95) 0.90 (0.82-0.98) Period 3 (2000-2004 vs 1990-1994) 0.90 (0.86-0.95) 0.80 (0.73-0.88) Period 4 (2005-2009 vs 1990-1994) 0.86 (0.82-0.90) 0.73 (0.66-0.80) Over all graft survival Period 2 (1995-1999 vs 1990-1994) 0.90 (0.87-0.93) 0.88 (0.83-0.93) Period 3 (2000-2004 vs 1990-1994) 0.84 (0.82-0.87) 0.74 (0.70-0.79) Period 4 (2005-2009 vs 1990-1994) 0.80 (0.76-0.81) 0.66 (0.62-0.71) 5 yr graft survival Period 2 (1995-1999 vs 1990-1994) 0.91 (0.87-0.95) 0.89 (0.82-0.96) Period 3 (2000-2004 vs 1990-1994) 0.87 (0.84-0.91) 0.77 (0.71-0.84) Period 4 (2005-2009 vs 1990-1994) 0.81 (0.76-0.84) 0.71 (0.65-0.77)