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Retrospective Study
Copyright: ©Author(s) 2026.
World J Transplant. Jun 18, 2026; 16(2): 118450
Published online Jun 18, 2026. doi: 10.5500/wjt.v16.i2.118450
Table 1 Patient demographics and baseline characteristics
Variable
Category
n (%)
Recipient genderFemale54 (48.2)
Male58 (51.8)
Donor genderFemale35 (31.2)
Male77 (68.8)
Donor typeDeceased8 (7.1)
Living104 (92.9)
DSA presencePresent112 (100.0)
Induction therapyATG only108 (96.4)
Basiliximab only4 (3.6)
Sensitizing eventsNone103 (92.0)
Pregnancy5 (4.5)
Blood Transfusion4 (3.5)
Maintenance therapyCSA + MMF + PRED1 (0.9)
FK + MMF + PRED111 (99.1)
Pre-transplant desensitizationNo60 (53.6)
Yes52 (46.4)
Previous transplantNo109 (97.3)
Yes3 (2.7)
IVIG useNo45 (40.2)
Yes67 (59.8)
VariableMedianIQR/unit
Recipient age (years)46.035.0-60.0
Donor age (years)35.029.0-43.2
ATG dose (mg/kg)5.04.0-5.0
Length of stay (days)9.08.0-12.0
Creatinine-4 months (μmol/L)90.072.0-112.0
Creatinine-1 year (μmol/L)83.072.5-107.0
Creatinine-2 years (μmol/L)82.069.2-104.5
eGFR-4 months (mL/minute)78.062.5-96.2
eGFR-1 year (mL/minute)86.067.0-99.5
eGFR-2 years (mL/minute)86.572.5-102.0
Table 2 Clinical interpretation and labeling of the three clusters based on immunologic and outcome profiles
Cluster
Immunologic profile
Risk interpretation
Key characteristics
0Combined Class I + II sensitizationHigh riskHighest DSA number, high MFI, broad reactivity, highest rejection/mortality
1Predominantly Class II sensitizationIntermediate riskModerate MFI, mild graft loss/mortality, no acute rejection
2Class I only sensitizationLow riskLow MFI, low DSA number, no graft loss or mortality
Table 3 Patient demographics and baseline characteristics by cluster
Risk group
Variable
Category
n (%)
Categorical variables
High riskRecipient genderMale30 (51.7)
Female28 (48.3)
Donor genderMale37 (63.8)
Female21 (36.2)
Donor typeLiving52 (89.7)
Deceased6 (10.3)
Intermediate riskRecipient genderMale17 (50.0)
Female17 (50.0)
Donor genderMale27 (79.4)
Female7 (20.6)
Donor typeLiving33 (97.1)
Deceased1 (2.9)
Low riskRecipient genderMale11 (55.0)
Female9 (45.0)
Donor genderMale13 (65.0)
Female7 (35.0)
Donor typeLiving19 (95.0)
Deceased1 (5.0)
High riskDSA presencePresent58 (100.0)
Induction therapyATG only58 (100.0)
Sensitizing eventsNone53 (91.4)
Pregnancy3 (5.2)
Blood transfusion2 (3.4)
Intermediate riskDSA presencePresent34 (100.0)
Induction therapyATG only31 (91.2)
Basiliximab only3 (8.8)
Sensitizing eventsNone31 (91.2)
Pregnancy3 (8.8)
Low riskDSA presencePresent20 (100.0)
Induction therapyATG only19 (95.0)
Basiliximab only1 (5.0)
Sensitizing eventsNone19 (95.0)
Blood Transfusion1 (5.0)
High riskMaintenance therapyFK + MMF + PRED57 (98.3)
CSA + MMF + PRED1 (1.7)
Diabetes pre-transplantNo31 (53.4)
Yes27 (46.6)
Previous transplantNo56 (96.6)
Yes2 (3.2)
IVIG useNo18 (31.0)
Yes40 (69.0)
Intermediate riskMaintenance therapyFK + MMF + PRED34 (100.0)
Diabetes pre-transplantNo16 (47.1)
Yes18 (52.9)
Previous transplantNo34 (100.0)
IVIG useNo15 (44.1)
Yes19 (55.9)
Low riskMaintenance therapyFK + MMF + PRED20 (100.0)
Diabetes pre-transplantNo13 (65.0)
Yes7 (35.0)
Previous transplantNo19 (95.0)
Yes1 (5.0)
IVIG useNo12 (60.0)
Yes8 (40.0)
High riskAcute rejectionNo54 (93.1)
Yes4 (6.9)
Graft lossNo54 (93.1)
Yes4 (6.9)
Delayed graft functionNo56 (96.6)
Yes2 (3.4)
MortalityNo55 (94.8)
Yes3 (5.2)
CMV infectionNo56 (96.6)
Yes2 (3.4)
BKV infectionNo54 (98.2)
Yes1 (1.8)
Intermediate riskAcute rejectionNo34 (100.0)
Graft lossNo32 (94.1)
Yes2 (5.9)
Delayed graft functionNo32 (94.1)
Yes2 (5.9)
MortalityNo32 (94.1)
Yes2 (5.9)
CMV infectionNo33 (97.1)
Yes1 (2.9)
BKV infectionNo29 (96.7)
Yes1 (3.3)
Low riskAcute rejectionNo19 (95.0)
Yes1 (5.0)
Graft lossNo20 (100.0)
Delayed graft functionNo20 (100.0)
MortalityNo20 (100.0)
CMV infectionNo20 (100.0)
BKV infectionNo19 (100.0)
Continuous variables
Risk groupVariableMedianIQR/unit
High risk (years)Recipient age46.531.5-59.8
Donor age35.529.0-44.0
Intermediate risk (years)Recipient age51.539.5-62.8
Donor age3529.0-43.2
Low risk (years)Recipient age42.536.5-52.8
Donor age32.527.2-39.2
High risk
Length of stay (days)98.0-12.0
Creatinine 4 months (μmol/L)9476.0-114.0
eGFR 4 months (mL/minute)76.563.2-88.0
Intermediate risk
Length of stay (days)108.0-11.0
Creatinine 4 months (μmol/L)8870.5-110.8
eGFR 4 months (mL/minute)7859.5-97.5
Low riskLength of stay (days)97.0-12.5
Creatinine 4 months (μmol/L)77.569.8-103.8
eGFR 4 months (mL/minute)9266.2-109.5
Table 4 Comparison of cluster features (univariate analysis), n (%)
Variable
High risk (n = 58)
Intermediate risk (n = 34)
Low risk (n = 20)
P value
Significance
Donor and recipient
Recipient gender0.9388Not significant
    Male30 (51.7)17 (50.0)11 (55.0)
    Female28 (48.3)17 (50.0)9 (45.0)
Recipient age, median (IQR)46.5 (31.5-59.8)51.5 (39.5-2.8)42.5 (36.5-52.8)0.1989Not significant
Donor gender0.2735Not significant
    Male37 (63.8)27 (79.4)13 (65.0)
    Female21 (36.2)7 (20.6)7 (35.0)
Donor age, median (IQR)35.5 (29.0-44.0)35.0 (29.0-43.2)32.5 (27.2-39.2)0.3195Not significant
Donor type0.3791Not significant
Living donor52 (89.7)33 (97.1)19 (95.0)
Deceased donor6 (10.3)1 (2.9)1 (5.0)
DSA and HLA matching
HLA mismatches, median (IQR)8.0 (6.2-10.0)6.0 (5.0-7.0)7.0 (5.0-9.0)0.0000Significant
DSA typeClass I + II, 58 (100.0)Class II only, 34 (100.0)Class I, 19 (95.0), Class II, 1 (5.0)-Not tested
Number of DSAs, median (IQR)5.0 (2.0-7.8)3.0 (2.0-6.0)1.0 (1.0-2.2)0.0005Significant
Cumulative DSA strength (MFI), median (IQR)3811.0 (2366.5-6998.8)2277.0 (1213.8-3900.8)686.5 (612.5-857.5)0.0000Significant
Treatment and sensitization
Sensitizing events
Sensitized5 (8.6)3 (8.8)1 (5.0)1.0000Not significant
Not sensitized53 (91.4)31 (91.2)19 (95.0)
Induction therapy
ATG58 (100.0)31 (91.2)19 (95.0)0.0825Borderline
Basiliximab0 (0.0)3 (8.8)1 (5.0)
Maintenance therapy
FK MMF PRED57 (98.3)34 (100.0)20 (100.0)0.6252Not significant
CSA MMF PRED1 (1.7)0 (0.0)0 (0.0)
Diabetes pre-transplant
Yes27 (46.6)18 (52.9)7 (35.0)0.4426Not significant
No31 (53.4)16 (47.1)13 (65.0)
Previous transplant
Yes2 (3.4)0 (0.0)1 (5.0)-Not tested
No56 (96.6)4 (100.0)19 (95.0)
IVIG use
Yes40 (69.0)19 (55.9)8 (40.0)0.0637Borderline
No18 (31.0)15 (44.1)12 (60.0)
ATG dose5.0 (4.0-5.0)5.0 (4.0-5.0)5.0 (4.0-5.0)0.7762Not significant
Graft function and outcomes
Acute rejection
Yes4 (6.9)0 (0.0)1 (5.0)0.3002Not significant
No54 (93.1)20 (100.0)19 (95.0)
Graft loss
Yes4 (6.9)2 (5.9)0 (0.0)0.4912Not significant
No54 (93.1)32 (94.1)20 (100.0)
Delayed graft function0.5298Not significant
Yes2 (3.4)2 (5.9)0 (0.0)
No56 (96.6)32 (94.1)20 (100.0)
Death (mortality)
Yes3 (5.2)2 (5.9)0 (0.0)0.5590Not significant
No55 (94.8)32 (94.1)20 (100.0)
CMV infection
Yes2 (3.4)1 (2.9)0 (0.0)0.7078Not significant
No56 (96.6)19 (97.1)20 (100.0)
BKV infection
Yes1 (1.8)1 (3.3)0 (0.0)-Not tested
No54 (98.2)29 (96.7)19 (100.0)
Length of stay (days)9.0 (8.0-12.0)10.0 (8.0-11.0)9.0 (7.0-12.5)0.9692Not significant
Creatinine at 4 months (µmol/L)94.0 (76.0-114.0)88.0 (70.5-110.8)77.5 (69.8-103.8)0.4911Not significant
eGFR at 4 months (mL/minute/1.73 m2)76.0 (64.0-88.0)78.0 (59.5-97.5)92.0 (66.2-109.5)0.3234Not significant
Table 5 Immunologic stratification and antibody patterns by risk cluster (median values)
Risk cluster
Class I MFI
Class II MFI
eGFR at 4 months (mL/minute/1.73 m2)
HLA mismatches
DSA type
DSA count
High risk cluster11741966768Both5
Intermediate risk cluster02277786Class II3
Low risk cluster6860927Class I1
Table 6 Frequency (and percentage) of key adverse clinical outcomes observed within each immunologic risk cluster, n (%)
Cluster
Acute rejection
Graft loss
Delayed graft function
Mortality
High risk cluster4 (6.9)4 (6.9)2 (3.4)3 (5.2)
Intermediate risk 0 (0.0)2 (5.9)2 (5.9)2 (5.9)
Low risk cluster 1 (5.0)0 (0.0)0 (0.0)0 (0.0)


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